Amino acid formula as a new strategy for

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cost of the current Brazilian guidelines strategy was R$ 3,641.08. .... The cost in Brazilian Reals (R$) for each can of soy, extensively ..... R$ 500.000.000.
Journal of Medical Economics

ISSN: 1369-6998 (Print) 1941-837X (Online) Journal homepage: http://www.tandfonline.com/loi/ijme20

Amino acid formula as a new strategy for diagnosing cow´s milk allergy in infants: is it costeffective? Mauro Batista de Morais, José Vicente Spolidoro, Mário César Vieira, Ary Lopes Cardoso, Otavio Clark, Alvaro Nishikawa & Ana Paula Moschione Castro To cite this article: Mauro Batista de Morais, José Vicente Spolidoro, Mário César Vieira, Ary Lopes Cardoso, Otavio Clark, Alvaro Nishikawa & Ana Paula Moschione Castro (2016): Amino acid formula as a new strategy for diagnosing cow´s milk allergy in infants: is it cost-effective?, Journal of Medical Economics, DOI: 10.1080/13696998.2016.1187621 To link to this article: http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/13696998.2016.1187621

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Amino acid formula as a new strategy for diagnosing cow´s milk allergy in infants: is it cost-effective? Mauro Batista de Morais [1], José Vicente Spolidoro [2,3], Mário César Vieira [2,4], Ary Lopes Cardoso [5], Otavio Clark [6], Alvaro Nishikawa [6], Ana Paula Moschione Castro [5] Paulista School of Medicine, São Paulo, Brazil Pontificia Universidade Católica do RS, RS, Brazil Hospital Moinhos de Vento, Porto Alegre, RS, Brazil Hospital Pequeno Príncipe, Curitiba, Brazil Hospital das Clinicas, Universidade de São Paulo, Brazil Evidencias - a Kantar Health Company, Campinas, Brazil.

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Address for Correspondence: Mauro Batista de Morais, Rua dos Otonis, 880 ap. 63 São Paulo, Brazil, CEP: 04025-002, Email: [email protected]

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Transparency Declaration of funding This study was funded by Support Advanced Medical Nutrition, a Danone group company.

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Acknowledgements None reported.

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Declaration of financial/other relationships: MBM, JVS, MCV, ALC and APMC are consultants and speakers for Support Advanced Medical Nutrition. OC and AN are employees of Evidências, which is a company that is specialized in Pharmacoeconomics that was contracted by Support Advanced Medical Nutrition to develop this pharmacoeconomic model. JME peer reviewers on this manuscript have no relevant financial or other relationships to disclose.

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1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6.

Abstract

Methods: This pharmacoeconomic study was developed from the perspective of the Brazilian Public Healthcare System. The new strategy proposes using an amino acid formula in the diagnostic elimination diet of infants (≤ 24 months) with suspected CMA. Our rationale is that infants who do not respond to the amino acid formula do not suffer from CMA. Patients with a positive oral challenge test receive a therapeutic elimination diet based on Brazilian Food Allergy Guidelines. This approach was compared to the current recommendations of the Brazilian Food Allergy Guidelines. A decision model was constructed using TreeAge Pro 2012 software. Model inputs were based on a literature review and the opinions of a panel of experts. A univariate sensitivity analysis of incremental cost-effectiveness ratios was performed.

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Results: The mean cost per patient of the new amino acid formula strategy was R$ 3,341.57, while the cost of the current Brazilian guidelines strategy was R$ 3,641.08. The mean number of symptom-free days per patient, which was used as an indicator of effectiveness, was 900.6 and 875.7 days, respectively. The new strategy is therefore dominant. In the sensitivity analysis, the dominance was maintained with parameter variation.

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Limitations: This analysis did not evaluate the impact of the new strategy on quality of life or whether it improved the general well-being of infants with CMA or their parents.

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Conclusions: The new strategy, which uses an amino acid formula in the elimination diagnostic diet followed by an oral food challenge, is a dominant pharmacoeconomic approach that has a lower cost and results in an increased number of symptom-free days.

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Keywords: Cost-effectiveness evaluation, diagnosis, infant formula, milk hypersensitivity, health economics

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Objective: To estimate the cost-effectiveness of a new strategy that uses an amino acid formula in the elimination diet of infants with suspected cow’s milk allergy (CMA).

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Methods Study design This pharmacoeconomic study was developed from the perspective of the Brazilian Public Healthcare System ("Sistema Único de Saude - SUS”) to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of a new strategy in which an amino acid formula is used as the diagnostic elimination diet followed by an oral food challenge for diagnostic confirmation. Patients with a positive challenge were switched to an extensively hydrolyzed or soy formula, on which they completed 6 months of a therapeutic elimination diet based on the Brazilian Food Allergy Guidelines. [9] For therapeutic elimination diets, amino acid formulas are currently recommended only for patients who are intolerant to extensively hydrolyzed formulas. New challenges are performed every 6 months to determine whether cow’s milk tolerance has been achieved. The proposed strategy uses an amino acid formula as the diagnostic elimination diet followed by an oral food challenge for diagnosis. The results of using this strategy were compared to the results of following the recommendations of the Brazilian Food Allergy Guidelines. [9] Model inputs were based on a literature review and the opinions of a panel of experts. Only direct costs were considered. A univariate sensitivity analysis of incremental cost-effectiveness ratios was performed.

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Introduction Cow's milk allergy (CMA) has a significant economic impact on public and private healthcare resources. However, only a few recent articles have evaluated the management of CMA from an economic perspective. [1-7] The clinical presentation of CMA is variable, and none of its clinical manifestations are pathognomonic. Therefore, CMA symptoms may mimic those of other disorders, including gastroesophageal reflux disease, infant colic, chronic diarrhea, constipation, metabolic disease and intestinal infections. [8-13] A cow’s milk elimination diet followed by full clinical recovery and a positive oral food challenge test is the best strategy to diagnose CMA. [8-13]. Several guidelines define the type of substitute formula that should be used in infants suspected of having CMA. [8-14] Similar to those guidelines, the Brazilian Food Allergy Guideline [9] recommends that the first option that should be used as a diagnostic elimination diet for non-breastfed infants is an extensively hydrolyzed formula or soy protein formula in infants older than 6 months who have IgE-mediated CMA. [9] Extensively hydrolyzed formulas are hypoallergenic. These and soy formulas are not entirely allergen-free, therefore full recovery is not achieved in all patients. [15-17]. As a result, formulas may need to be switched, which extends the symptomatic period and diagnostic process. However, amino acid formulas are allergen-free and are tolerated by 100% of infants with CMA.[8,9,12,18,19] Therefore, amino acid formulas promote clinical improvement in all allergic patients, which allows a CMA diagnosis to be excluded earlier in patients who fail to respond to the therapy.[12,18] Nevertheless, because of the higher cost of these formulas, they are typically reserved for more severe cases or for patients who cannot tolerate extensively hydrolyzed and/or soy formulas.[10,13,19] The present pharmacoeconomic study was conducted based on the following premises: 1) in general, CMA guidelines recommend using extensively hydrolyzed formulas (efficacy ≅ 90%) before substituting with amino acid formulas (efficacy = 100%) in severe cases and in patients who do not respond to extensively hydrolyzed formulas [8-14]; and 2) a lack of response to an amino acid formula makes a diagnosis of CMA unlikely.[12,18] Thus, the aim of this study was to estimate the cost-effectiveness of implementing a new strategy in which an amino acid formula is used instead of extensively hydrolyzed or soy formulas as the diagnostic elimination diet in infants with suspected CMA. This approach was compared to the recommendations of the Brazilian Food Allergy Guidelines. [9]

Decision model A decision model was constructed using TreeAge Pro 2012 software (TreeAge Software, Inc., Williamstown, MA, USA), a modeling tool that is accepted by the scientific community and regulatory

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agencies as a standard modeling platform that supports cost-effectiveness analyses. Two decision trees were constructed: one for the current practice, which follows the Brazilian Food Allergy Guidelines, [9] and another for the new strategy, which uses the amino acid formula as the diagnostic elimination diet followed by an oral food challenge (Figure 1). The Brazilian Food Allergy Guidelines is the main reference for the supply of formulas by the Brazilian public healthcare system. This guideline [9] recommends eight weeks of a diagnostic elimination diet with an extensively hydrolyzed formula or soy formula prior to the oral food challenge. Because amino acid formulas can relieve symptoms in as quickly as two weeks, [16] a four-week period on a diagnostic elimination diet with the amino acid formula was estimated to be effective for most patients.[20] This assumption was consistent with the ESPGHAN GI Committee’s practical guidelines, which were published in 2012.[12] The flow of care that is adopted for infants with suspected CMA in the pharmacoeconomic models is described in Supplementary Material 1. In current practice, according to the Brazilian guidelines, an oral food challenge is performed in patients who experience symptomatic relief after 8 weeks on an elimination diet.[9] In the event of a negative challenge test (i.e., no symptom recurrence over 14 days), the patient is dropped out of the model. In the event of a positive test (i.e., recurrence of symptoms at any time), a diagnosis of CMA is confirmed. The therapeutic elimination diet is reintroduced with the same formula that was previously tolerated (either soy formula, extensively hydrolyzed formula or amino acid formula). The oral food challenge is then repeated every 6 months up to 36 months of age to determine whether tolerance to milk has been achieved. If one of these challenges produces a negative result, the patient is dropped out of the model. The new strategy for obtaining diagnoses using an amino acid formula differs from the Brazilian guidelines only in its duration and the type of formula that is used in the diagnostic elimination diet. In this new strategy, the formula used in the diagnostic elimination diet consisted of an amino acid formula for 4 weeks instead of 8 weeks, the latter of which is recommended by the Brazilian guidelines. After using the amino acid formula as the diagnostic elimination diet for 4 weeks, the challenge and the therapeutic elimination diet (for those patients with a confirmed diagnosis) were applied according to the Brazilian guidelines. [9] Model inputs were obtained from evidence published in the medical literature. In the absence of published data, the opinions of a panel of experts in pediatrics, allergy, gastroenterology and nutrition were included. Only non-breastfed infants were included because hypoallergenic formulas are not required when breastfeeding is available. The prevalence of suspected CMA was 6.7%. [21] Twenty-three percent of the children were breastfed and therefore excluded.[21] The decision tree simulation included a population that was followed up until they reached three years of age in consideration for the elevated percentage of patients who are tolerant to cow’s milk protein (87%) at that age.[21] The clinical and epidemiological features used in this pharmacoeconomical study are described in Table 1. [Table 1 near here] Given the multiple possible differential diagnoses and the lack of pathognomonic symptoms,[8-13] only one-third of the suspected cases result in a confirmed diagnosis of CMA.[18,21] The remaining two-thirds of the patients may experience the following: 1) improvement while on the elimination diet but no confirmation of a diagnosis of CMA during the oral food challenge test or 2) no response during the diagnostic elimination diet. Given that the literature is unclear about the proportions of these two outcomes that should be expected, a value of 50% was adopted by the panel of experts based on studies conducted in Brazil [22] and in the Netherlands.[18] A period of symptoms was calculated to input the costs, including drug treatment and medical consultations. In this estimate, we assumed that a 14-day period would cover the full relief of symptoms in patients with a successful response to the elimination diet [12,16,20] in both decision trees. The

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Outcome The resulting incremental cost/effectiveness ratio was demonstrated as the cost per clinical symptom-free period of time. In light of the Brazilian directives for economical evaluations, a discount rate of 5% was applied to the costs and outcomes because the timeframe was greater than one year. Monetary indices are reported in local currency (Brazilian Real, 2014). The total Brazilian population of infants (24 months old and younger) in 2014 was 4,586,658 according to the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics.[36] The prevalence of suspected CMA was 6.7%. Of these patients, 23.0% were excluded because they were exclusively breastfed. Therefore, the number of infants with suspected CMA was expected to be 236,626 infants per year.

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Sensitivity analysis A univariate sensitivity analysis was conducted to clarify the inherent uncertainty in the model parameters. The single clinical and cost variables associated with the new diagnostic strategy (using the amino acid formula) were remodeled based on minimum and maximum estimated values. Variables were moved up and down within a range of 25%, with the exception of clinical and formula efficacy, which had a range of 10%.

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duration of symptoms was also important for calculating the symptom-free time, which was considered the more important outcome. Based on the opinions of the panel of experts, the frequency of medical consultations was established at two consultations per month for symptomatic patients and one per month for non-symptomatic patients. Only direct costs were considered (i.e., drugs, hospitalizations, medical consultations, laboratory tests and formulas). Values were based on a national epidemiological study that covered all 5 regions of Brazil [22] and on other published data. These data were complemented by the opinions of the panel of experts. Full payment by the public health care system was considered (Table 2). The prices of the hypoallergenic formulas (Table 2) corresponded to government purchases (public tenders) made in 2012 and 2013. The cost in Brazilian Reals (R$) for each can of soy, extensively hydrolyzed and amino acid formula was R$ 18.50, R$ 85.18 and R$ 166.57, respectively (1.00 USD = R$ 2.30). The weekly consumption that was assumed for patients who were 0 to 6 months of age (1.6 cans/week = 640 g) and 6 to 24 months of age (2.1 cans/week = 840 g) were based on energy requirements and the estimated daily intake of breast milk. [33] Drug prices were collected from the Ministry of Health cost bank, [34] from which we obtained the mean published prices. All other financial values were obtained from the Brazilian management system for drugs and procedures (SIGTAP - Sistema de Gerenciamento da Tabela de Procedimentos, Medicamentos e OPM do Sistema Único de Saúde).[35] To calculate drug dosages, body weight was defined as 6 kg for infants younger than 6 months old and 8.8 kg for older infants.

Results Table 3 shows the detailed clinical and economic results of using both strategies in infants with suspected CMA. The new strategy of using an amino acid formula in the diagnostic elimination diet had a lower cost than the clinical management plan that followed the Brazilian Food Allergy Guidelines. The analysis of the duration of the symptomatic period also revealed advantages. Therefore, the new strategy of using an amino acid formula in the diagnostic elimination diet followed by an oral challenge test was dominant (i.e., it had lower costs and higher effectiveness). The new strategy was associated with a shorter symptomatic period (24.9 days) and lower costs (R$ 299.51 per patient). Given the expectation that each year, 236,626 Brazilian infants with suspected CMA will need to be managed until they are 3 years old, the financial savings would reach R$ 70,871,853 if all

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Discussion Our study developed a pharmacoeconomic model to assess the cost-effectiveness of a new strategy for treating infants with suspected CMA. This strategy employs an amino acid formula in the diagnostic elimination diet. The model was based on the published literature as well as the opinions of a panel of experts. This new strategy would result in lower direct costs and provide more symptom-free days than the strategy recommended by the Brazilian Food Allergy Guidelines.[9] The new strategy is therefore dominant, based on a pharmacoeconomic point of view. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first pharmacoeconomic study to analyze the use of an amino acid formula in the diagnostic elimination diet. Few studies have been published on the pharmacoeconomic aspects of managing CMA, and they have tended to explore different scenarios according to the specific characteristics of the health systems of the countries in which the studies were conducted.[1-7] In most of them, as in our study, the model was constructed based on information obtained from the literature and/or the opinions of a panel of experts. Two studies from the United Kingdom are potential exceptions.[3,4] These studies [3,4] extracted information from a data bank into which information was input by general practitioners (“The Health Improvement Network”, THIN). The first study [3] that used the THIN database revealed that 60% of all infants were treated with soy formula, 18% were treated with extensively hydrolyzed formula, and 3% were treated with an amino acid formula. This ratio of clinical management strategies is not consistent with the current guidelines for the treatment of CMA. Another characteristic of these studies was the lack of obtaining a diagnostic confirmation using an oral food challenge test. The inclusion of the challenge test for diagnosing a cow's milk allergy in the pharmacoeconomic model of our study followed the recommendations described in several guidelines.[8-13] If the correct diagnosis is not established using the challenge test, the costs associated with special formulas increase considerably because all infants suspected of having cow's milk allergies are fed a special formula until they are at least one year old. The second study [4] that used the THIN database assessed the cost-effectiveness of using an extensively hydrolyzed formula in comparison to using an amino acid formula as the first-line treatment for CMA from the perspective of the National Health Service in the United Kingdom. In this study, the incremental cost of starting treatment with an amino acid formula instead of an extensively hydrolyzed formula accounted for an additional cost requirement of four medical consultations and a 147% increase in the cost of the formula itself.[4] The authors also highlighted the fact that few patients underwent an oral food challenge.[4] This limitation has been discussed in the literature.[37] When evaluating these results, the fact that infants with CMA were not randomized to receive both types of formula must be

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of the infants with suspected CMA received medical assistance in the public health system. Additionally, the number of symptom-free days would increase from 207,213,388 to 213,105,375 days. Other potential savings, such as workday savings, improved quality of life, and other variables, were not analyzed in the model. In both models, the substitute formula (soy, extensive hydrolyzed or amino acid) represented approximately 95% of the total cost, while laboratory tests, visitations and oral challenge tests accounted for approximately 5% of the total costs. Drugs represented less than 0.5% of the total costs (Supplementary Material 2). The sensitivity analysis (one-way univariate) demonstrated that the costs were most sensitive to the following changes: 1) the probability of improvement in subjects on an amino acid formula in whom CMA was not confirmed, 2) the probability of improvement in subjects on extensively hydrolyzed formula in whom CMA was confirmed, and 3) the cost of extensively hydrolyzed formulas. Therefore, the efficacy of both formulas and the cost of the hydrolyzed formula were the parameters that most substantially impacted final costs. Nevertheless, the sensitivity analysis showed that the new strategy was cost-saving even when the parameters varied and that it provided a strong benefit to patients. The graphic representation of the sensitive analysis is presented in Supplementary Material 3.

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considered. Therefore, it is possible to speculate that the amino acid formula was prescribed to the patients with more severe clinical manifestations despite similarities in admission data between patients. Another interesting aspect that may have influenced the results of the economic evaluation that was performed in the United Kingdom study [4] was that the patients who received an amino acid formula and did not exhibit a clinical recovery remained in the model until the end of the observation period. In addition, the cost of H2 receptor antagonists or proton pump inhibitors was added in these models, which potentially increased costs. A lack of response to an amino acid formula and a complete cow´s milk elimination diet should exclude a diagnosis of CMA.[12,18,37] Thus, other causes that might explain the observed clinical manifestations must be investigated. Recent publications have assessed the pharmacoeconomic impact and potential role of adding Lactobacillus rhamnosus GG [38] to formulas containing extensively hydrolyzed casein to support the development of immunologic tolerance in the healthcare systems of Italy,[5] Spain [6] and the United States.[7] However, a randomized and controlled study must be performed in children who receive a probiotic-containing formula before the conclusions of these articles can be confirmed.[5-7] In addition to the initial prescription of the amino acid formula in our pharmacoeconomic model, we considered the oral food challenge to be very important. Patients who did not exhibit symptom resolution were excluded from the model because a diagnosis of CMA could be eliminated in these patients. Of note, for any elimination diet to be successful – either for diagnosing or treating CMA – it is important for cow’s milk proteins to be completely eliminated from the diet, including complementary food items. It must be emphasized that if the oral food challenge was not performed after four weeks on the diagnostic elimination diet to confirm the diagnosis, an important proportion of the patients would have been maintained in the model, which would have increased the costs resulting from the need to maintain these patients on special formulas and to perform additional medical consultations. Additionally, these patients would not be assessed to determine the additional causes of their clinical manifestations. Thus, when considering such pharmacoeconomic analyses, the costs associated with special formulas, medical assistance and diagnostic tests and the lack of diagnostic confirmation via oral food challenge must be considered. Therefore, when managing infants with suspected CMA, it is essential to perform an oral food challenge test. Our and other studies [1-7] that have explored CMA pharmacoeconomics have some limitations. Our analysis did not include an evaluation of the impact on the quality of life or improvement in the general wellbeing of the infants with CMA or their parents. Additionally, changes in the patients’ behavior and social costs, such as a caregiver’s absenteeism from work or expenses related to trips to the hospital and clinics, were not included because these factors were beyond the scope of this investigation. Consequently, this study potentially underestimated the burden that CMA imposes on society as a whole. The possibility of experiencing a reaction to extensively hydrolyzed protein formulas may be higher in non-IgE mediated reactions, which may reach a prevalence of 29%,[15,16] than in IgE-mediated reactions, which affect from 2 to 10% of patients.[16,17] In our pharmacoeconomic model, we used 10% as the value for these reactions because this value was mentioned in important guidelines.[10,12] Future studies might be able to assess the potentially pharmacoeconomic differences that are associated with each type of CMA. For parents of an individual child, it may not make any sense to switch from the amino acid formula to another option, which risks the recurrence of CMA symptoms. In addition, the child may refuse the extensively hydrolyzed protein or soy-based formula because of its flavor, or the parents may report the onset of fictitious symptoms. However, there are no published reports on the frequency of such behaviors to justify their inclusion in our assumptions. Therefore, in our pharmacoeconomic model, the public healthcare perspective prevailed, and the chosen approach was to transition all patients with

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Conclusion In conclusion, the results of this study demonstrated that a diagnostic strategy that uses an amino acid formula followed by an oral challenge test offers cost savings and reduces the duration of the symptomatic period once CMA is diagnosed, or allows CMA to be excluded earlier. Given this difference, an effective treatment can be established over a shorter period of time, which reduces expenses and shortens the duration of symptoms. The earlier exclusion of a CMA diagnosis in a subgroup of infants also allows the investigation of other diseases to take place. These findings collectively support the use of amino acid formulas in the diagnostic elimination diet followed by an oral food challenge test for CMA as a dominant strategy from both clinical and pharmacoeconomic points of view.

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confirmed CMA to less costly formulas, leaving the amino acid formula for only the patients who displayed a recurrence of clinical manifestations when using other alternatives. The most significant difference in the sensitivity analysis was associated with a variable that was recommended by the panel of experts. However, despite these limitations, the univariate sensitivity analysis robustly indicated that the strategy of using an amino acid formula was superior to the strategy proposed as the recommended practice in the Brazilian guidelines under all circumstances. Therefore, a global expenditure evaluation should be performed to evaluate the economic impact of CMA instead of only the unitary price of special formulas.[39]

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Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística. Projeção da população do Brasil por sexo e idade: 2000 - 2060. Website. http://www.ibge.gov.br/home/estatistica/populacao/projecao_da_populacao/2013/default_tab .shtm. Accessed December 10, 2014.

37.

Petrus NC, Hulshof L, Rutjes NW, et al. Response to: cost-effectiveness of using an extensively hydrolysed formula compared to an amino acid formula as first-line treatment for cow milk allergy in the UK. Pediatr Allergy Immunol 2012;23:686.

38.

Canani RB, Nocerino R, Terrin G, et al. Formula Selection for Management of Children with Cow's Milk Allergy Influences the Rate of Acquisition of Tolerance: A Prospective Multicenter Study. J Pediatr. 2013;132:771-7.

39.

Terracciano L, Schünemann H, Brozek J, et al. How DRACMA changes clinical decision for the individual patient in CMA therapy. Curr Opin Allergy Clin Immunol 2012;12:316-22.

ST

AC

C

EP

TE

D

32.

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31.

Table 1. Clinical and epidemiological data used to construct the decision model Parameter

Value

Reference

Incidence of infants with suspected CMA

6.7/100

21

infants/year

Incidence of infants with confirmed CMA

2.2/100

21

< 6 months

EP

6 to 24 months

50%

22

50%

Amino acid

100%

8,9,12,18,19,23,24

Extensively hydrolyzed

90%

10,12,25-28 12,13,29-31

21

C

Formula success rate

21

TE

23%

Age at model admission

D

Breast feeding in infants with CMA

86%

Development of oral tolerance to cow’s

At 12 months

56%

milk protein

At 24 months

77%

ST

AC

Soy

Proportion of IgE-mediated CMA

54%

21

Proportion of children with a confirmed

50%

18,32

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infants/year

CMA diagnosis after the challenge test CMA - cow's milk allergy

Resource use

Total cost

Amino acid formula

6 months (1.6 cans/week)

R$ 266.51/week1

Extensively hydrolyzed

6 months (1.6 cans/week)

R$ 136.29/week1

Soy formula

>6 months (1.6 cans/week)

R$ 29.60/week1

Medical consultations

Symptomatic (2/month) (expert panel’s

D

Resource

R$ 20.00/month2

TE

opinion)

Asymptomatic (1/month) (expert panel’s

R$ 10.00/month2

EP

opinion)

100% of oral food challenge tests according R$ 190.522

medical supervision at the

to the expert panel’s opinion and the

hospital

Brazilian guideline recommendations

Colonoscopy

54.0% of the patients (incidence of

R$ 1.772

IgE-mediated food allergy) [19]

ST

protein

AC

Specific IgE to cow’s milk

C

Oral food challenge under

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Table 2. Unit resource costs (Currency: Brazilian real, 1 R$ = 2.3 US dollars)

1.8% of patients with no clinical

R$ 122.662

improvement after the first 6 weeks on an elimination diet (expert panel’s opinion) R$ 35.222

Barium contrast radiography

10.0% of patients with no clinical

of esophagus, stomach and

improvement after the first 6 weeks on an

duodenum

elimination diet (expert panel’s opinion)

Drugs for vomiting and

53.5% (symptomatic patients with vomiting R$ 6.83 (6 months)3

Drugs for atopic eczema5

18.2% (symptomatic patients with

R$ 3.62 (< 6 months) and R$

cutaneous symptoms) [10]

3.62 (>6 months)3

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1. The purchase price in regular public tender; 2. SIGTAP: Management system for drugs and procedures, SIFTAP-SUS [23]; 3. Health cost bank (BPS) by the Ministry of Health [24]; 4. Domperidone (2.5 ml/10 kg, 3 times/day), Ranitidine (4 mg/kg, 2 times/day); 5. Hydrocortisone acetate and hydroxyzine (0.7 mg/kg, 3 times/day).

Table 3. Cost-effectiveness according to the mean of the cohort used in the model Total costs (Brazilian

Symptom-free days until 36

real)

months of age (days)

R$ 3,641.08

875.7

R$ 3,341.57

900.6

Current practice according to the Brazilian Food Allergy

TE

amino acid formula in the

D

New strategy using an

diagnostic elimination diet

-R$ 299.51

ST

AC

C

EP

Incremental

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Guideline

24.9

ST

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D

TE

EP

C

AC

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Figure 1. Decision tree showing the strategy used to manage infants suspected of having a cow’s milk allergy according to the Brazilian Food Allergy Guidelines and the new strategy, which used an amino

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acid formula in the diagnostic elimination diet.

Supplementary Material 1. Flow of dietary management in infants with suspected cow’s milk allergy according to their response to the elimination diet. The current practice and the new strategy of using

Dietary management

Age