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Department of Science, Information Technology, Innovation and the Arts Report for Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Inundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

March 2013

This Report for Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Inundation Study Final Report (“Report”): 1.

has been prepared by GHD Pty Ltd (“GHD”) for the Queensland Department of Science, Information Technology, Innovation and the Arts (“DSITIA”);

2.

may only be used and relied on by DSITIA;

3.

must not be copied to, used by, or relied on by any person other than DSITIA without the prior written consent of GHD;

GHD and its servants, employees and officers otherwise expressly disclaim responsibility to any person other than DSITIA arising from or in connection with this Report. To the maximum extent permitted by law, all implied warranties and conditions in r elation to the services provided by GHD and the Report are excluded unless they are expressly stated to apply in this Report. The opinions, conclusions and any recommendations in this Report are based on assumptions made by GHD when undertaking services and preparing the Report (“Assumptions”), including (but not limited to) the ones listed in the Provision of Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Inundation Study (GHD, March 2010). GHD expressly disclaims responsibility for any error in, or omission from, this Report arising from or in connection with any of the Assumptions being incorrect. Subject to the paragraphs in this section of the Report, the opinions, conclusions and any recommendations in this Report are based on conditions encountered and information reviewed at the time of preparation and may be relied on until 6 months from issue of this Report, after which time, GHD expressly disclaims responsibility for any error in, or omission from, this Report arising from or in connection with those opinions, conclusions and any recommendations. Climate change is an emerging issue and the effects are, at this stage, complex to quantify. The assumptions about projected climate change conditions have been made during preparation of this report and are summarised in Section 7.6 of this report.

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Contents Executive Summary

1

1.

Introduction

2

1.1

The Historical Context

2

1.2

The Challenge

2

1.3

Aims and Objectives

4

1.4

Definitions

5

1.5

Study Area and Study Tasks

8

2.

3.

4.

5.

Methodology Overview

11

2.1

Stage 1a Background Information and Issues Report

11

2.2

Data Assembly

13

2.3

An Overview of the Steps in the Analyses

15

Digital Elevation Model Development

18

3.1

Introduction

18

3.2

Input Datasets

18

3.3

DEM Development

20

Regional Meteorology

25

4.1

Synoptic Patterns and Winds

25

4.2

The “Morning Glory”

27

4.3

Regional Extreme Wind Analyses

28

4.4

Analysis of Station Adjusted Wind Extremes

31

Astronomical Tides

34

5.1

Analysis of Regional Tide Gauge Data

34

5.2

Numerical Hydrodynamic Modelling of the Regional Astronomical Tide

41

Estimation of the Highest Astronomical Tide Levels (HAT)

47

5.3

6.

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Modelling the Broadscale Sea Level Variability

49

6.1

Introduction

49

6.2

Reproducing the Average Annual and Inter-Annual Water Level Variability

50

6.3

Statistical Broadscale Modelling of Water Level

55

6.4

2010 Climate Modelling

56

Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stage 1 and 2 Combined Final Report

7.

8.

9.

Tropical Cyclone Modelling

61

7.1

Definitions

61

7.2

Dataset Description

63

7.3

Tropical Cyclone Wind and Pressure Model

66

7.4

Synthetic Tropical Cyclone Track Model

67

7.5

Verification of Regional Wind Speeds

70

7.6

Potential Future Climate Change

73

Tropical Cyclone Surge Modelling

74

8.1

Model Verification Rationale

74

8.2

Model Grids and Parameters

74

8.3

Model Verification of Tropical Cyclone Kathy

77

8.4

Model Verification of Tropical Cyclone Ted

86

8.5

Sensitivity Testing

92

8.6

2010 Climate Tide plus Surge Modelling

97

8.7

Combining the Broadscale and Tropical Cyclone Statistics

100

8.8

Theoretical Maximum Storm Tide for 2010 Climate

104

8.9

2050 and 2100 Climates- Tide plus Surge Modelling

106

Spectral Wave Modelling

111

9.1

Model Grids and Parameters

111

9.2

Model Verification

112

9.3

Sensitivity Testing

115

9.4

2010 Climate TC Wave Modelling

118

9.5

2050 and 2100 Climate TC Wave Modelling

120

9.6

Breaking Wave Setup and Runup

122

10. Parametric Storm Tide Modelling 10.1 Methodology

129

10.2 Open Coast Sites and Tide Responses

133

10.3 Surge – Tide Interactions

133

10.4 Wave Setup and Dune Crest Assumption

134

10.5 An Example Parametric Prediction – TC Ted 1976

134

10.6 Allowing for Broadscale or Near-Equilibrium Forcing Effects

134

11. Stage 2 – Inundation Modelling and Mapping

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129

137

11.1 Introduction

137

11.2 Model Setup

137

11.3 Model Verification

141

Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stage 1 and 2 Combined Final Report

11.4 Model Sensitivity Testing

146

11.5 Production Modelling

148

11.6 Storm Surge Flooding Duration

153

11.7 Inundation Mapping

154

11.8 Discussion

155

12. Conclusions

161

13. References

163

A1 - General

170

Table Index Table 1-1

Gulf Notable Storm Tide E vents

Table 4-1

Summary of regional wind station metadata and raw peak winds.

30

Available Tidal Data

35

Table 5-1 Table 5-2 Table 5-3

o

Measured amplitude (m) and local phase ( ) of major tidal constituents

40

o

Modelled amplitude (m) and local phase ( ) of major tidal constituents

45

Difference in modelled and measured amplitude (m) and local phase (o ) of major tidal constituents (modelled –measured).

46

Estimated HAT values at the communities of interest.

47

Table 6-1

Sa Tidal Constituent Amplitude and Phase

50

Table 6-2

Climate models datasets

51

Table 6-3

Broadscale Only Water Level (m MSL) Return Periods at Key Communities

57

Table 7-1

Australian tropical cyclone category scale

61

Table 7-2

Adopted Climate Change Scenarios

73

Table 8-1

MMUSURGE Hydrodynamic Model Grids

75

Table 8-2

2010 Tide Water Level (m MSL) Return Periods at Key Communities

102

Estimated Theoretical Maximum Storm Tide (TMS T) levels at the communities of interest.

105

Table 5-4

Table 5-5

Table 8-3

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Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stage 1 and 2 Combined Final Report

Table 8-4

2050 and 2100 Tide Plus Surge Water Level (m) Increases from the 2010 Climate

108

2050 and 2100 Tide Plus Surge Water Level Percentage Increase from the 2010 Climate

109

Stillwater level adopted for spectral wave modelling.

111

2010 Significant Wave Height (m) Return Period Estimates at Key Communities

118

2010 Peak Spectral Wave Period (s) Return Period Estimates at Key Communities

119

2050 Significant Wave Height (m) Return Period Estimates at Key Communities

120

2100 Significant Wave Height (m) Return Period Estimates at Key Communities

121

2010 Breaking Wave Setup (m) Return Period Estimates at Key Communities

123

2050 Breaking Wave Setup (m) Return Period Estimates at Key Communities

124

2100 Breaking Wave Setup (m) Return Period Estimates at Key Communities

125

2010 Wave Runup Potential (m) Return Period Estimates at Key Communities

126

2050 Wave Runup Potential (m) Return Period Estimates at Key Communities

127

2100 Wave Runup Potential (m) Return Period Estimates at Key Communities

128

Parametric storm set and numbers of storms modelled in each domain.

130

Table 10-2

River tidal attenuation

133

Table 10-3

Example Input to the Parametric Model

134

Table 11-1

Adopted Bed Roughness Coefficients

138

Table 11-2

Duration 2010 HAT Level Exceeded (h) at Key Locations for 2010 Climate

153

Duration 2050 HAT Level Exceeded (h) at Key Locations for 2050 Climate

153

Duration 2100 HAT Exceeded (h) at Key Locations for 2100 Climate

154

Peak Tide plus Surge Water Levels and Depth for Climate 2010

158

Peak Tide plus Surge Water Levels and Depth for Climate 2050

159

Table 8-5 Table 9-1 Table 9-2 Table 9-3 Table 9-4 Table 9-5 Table 9-6 Table 9-7 Table 9-8 Table 9-9 Table 9-10 Table 9-11 Table 10-1

Table 11-3 Table 11-4 Table 11-5 Table 11-6

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Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stage 1 and 2 Combined Final Report

Table 11-7

Peak Tide plus Surge Water Levels and Depth for Climate 2100

160

Water level components of an extreme storm tide (after Harper 2001)

6

Figure Index Figure 1-1 Figure 1-2

10

Figure 2-1 An overview of the study methodology

12

Figure 3-1

Extent of Project Elevation Data

19

Figure 3-2

Accuracy of Shifted Shuttle Data (Shifted Shuttle – LiDAR) **

21

Figure 3-3

AusGeoid Corrected GA Shuttle Data vs PSMs

22

Figure 3-4

DEM Development of the Norman River

23

Figure 3-5

Digital Elevation Model (FIX FIGURE NO.)

24

Figure 4-1

Seasonal mean synoptic pressure patterns (BoM analysis NCEP/NCAR 1979-2000).

26

Seasonality of mean wind patterns for Burketown (left) and Weipa (right) for the summer half year (top) and the winter half year (bottom), (BoM online climate data).

26

Seasonal synoptic regional mean wind summary (BoM online climate data).

27

Figure 4-4

Location of BoM regional wind stations.

29

Figure 4-5

Statistical analysis of regional peak gust wind speeds.

32

Statistical analysis of regional peak mean wind speeds.

33

Figure 5-1

Available Tidal Data Stations

36

Figure 5-2

Booby Island (top) and Weipa (bottom) tide gauge data and tidal residual analysis.

37

Karumba (top) and Centre Island (bottom) tide gauge data and tidal residual analysis.

38

Groote Eylandt (top) and Gove (bottom) tide gauge data and tidal residual analysis.

39

Figure 5-5

A00 Hydrodynamic grid extent.

43

Figure 5-6

K1 and M2 tidal constituents amplitude and phase.

44

Figure 6-1

Monsoonal (left) and tradewinds (right) average seasonal mean wind speed and direction (Derived by AMC from BoMLAPS output).

49

Figure 4-2

Figure 4-3

Figure 4-6

Figure 5-3 Figure 5-4

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Study Area

Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stage 1 and 2 Combined Final Report

Figure 6-2

Annual water level signals used on the boundaries of the A00 broadscale model.

54

Figure 6-3

The raw and filtered SOI record.

54

Figure 6-4

60 year broadscale verification at Groote Eylandt.

56

Figure 6-5

Mainland open coast broadscale water level longsection.

58

Figure 6-6

Weipa broadscale return period curves.

58

Figure 6-7

Modelled broadscale water levels – 100 (top) and 1,000 y (bottom) return periods.

59

Effect of the contamination of the Karumba water level record by riverine flooding.

60

Figure 6-8

Figure 7-1 Severe tropical cyclone Ingrid near Gove when at estimated Category 5 intensity in March 2005. (US Navy processed image) Figure 7-2

Historical cyclone tracks for the period 1959 to 2009. A total of 119 cyclones enter the red polygon in this period. The circles represent the starting position.

64

Time history of cyclone occurrence within the A00 hydrodynamic mode grid extent.

65

Time history of cyclone peak intensity within the A00 hydrodynamic mode grid extent.

65

Statistical Track Model Domains (a. left) and Sample of Synthetic Tracks (b. right).

67

Historic peak intensity (top) and modelled peak intensity (bottom).

68

Statistical comparison between synthetic and measured data within the green box. Measurements are shown in red, modelled data in blue.

69

Analysis of storm intensity and radius to maximum wind.

70

Modelled mean wind speeds for the 100 and 1000 y return periods (m/s).

71

Comparison of simulated and measured winds at Weipa and simulated winds at Thursday Island (Bottom panel shows zoomed version of top panel).

72

Figure 8-1

MMUSURGE Hydrodynamic Modelling Domains

76

Figure 8-2

Enhanced infra-red image of Tropical Cyclone Kathy (left) (AMM, 1984) and Dvorak enhanced picture of NOAA 7 on Kathy at 0638 UTC 22 March 1984

77

Figure 7-3 Figure 7-4 Figure 7-5 Figure 7-6 Figure 7-7

Figure 7-8 Figure 7-9 Figure 7-10

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Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stage 1 and 2 Combined Final Report

Figure 8-3

Wind and pressure record from Centre Island during TC Kathy (1984).

78

Reconstructed Track of Tropical Cyclone Kathy (1984) (colorbar indicates pressure deficit from 1010 hPa).

79

Figure 8-5

Modelled and observed wind speed and directions.

81

Figure 8-6

Modelled peak mean wind speed swath of TC Kathy.

82

Modelled surge plus tide during Kathy (panel 1 top left, panel 2 top right, panel 3 bottom left, panel 4 bottom right).

83

Modelled storm tide at Quince Islet, Centre Island Tide Gauge, Barbara Cove and Sharker Point, TC Kathy 1984.

85

BoM satellite image of Tropical Cyclone Ted (1979).

87

Figure 8-10

TC Ted synoptic situation (after Callaghan 2000).

87

Figure 8-11

Reconstructed track of TC Ted (colorbar indicates pressure deficit from 1010 hPa).

88

Modelled and observed MSLP, wind speed and directions for TC Ted.

89

Figure 8-4

Figure 8-7

Figure 8-8

Figure 8-9

Figure 8-12 Figure 8-13 Figure 8-14

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Modelled peak mean wind speed swath of TC Ted

91

Modelled storm tide at Karumba and Mornington Island, TC Ted 1976.

91

Figure 8-15

Water level sensitivity to model advection schemes

93

Figure 8-16

Modelled peak Advection 1 – model peak Advection 2 for the B13 model domain (left) and B13c01 model domain (right). Note: positive values indicate where the advection 1 run resulted in higher peak water levels.

93

Figure 8-17

Model sensitivity to bed friction.

95

Figure 8-18

Modelled peak difference plot Z0 = 0.005 – model peak Z0 = 0.001 (a.)(Left) and. Modelled peak Z0 = 0.0005 – model peak Z0 = 0.001 (right).

95

Figure 8-19

Model sensitivity to domain resolution.

96

Figure 8-20

Modelled peak difference B13 model domain – modelled peak B13c01 domain.

96

Figure 8-21

TC only, 1000 y return period tide plus surge map.

99

Figure 8-22

TC only mainland coast long section.

99

Figure 8-23

Broadscale, TC and combined tide plus surge return period for Karumba.

Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stage 1 and 2 Combined Final Report

100

Figure 8-24

Combined 100, 1,000 and 10,000 y return periods at key locations. Note top panel shows sites plotted in geographical order, the bottom panel has been ranked according to the 1,000 y resultant water levels.

101

Figure 8-25 Combined broadscale/TC 1000 return period for the 2010, 2050 and 2100 climates at key locations. Note top panel shows sites plotted in geographical order, the bottom panel has been ranked according to the resultant water levels.

107

Figure 9-1 Figure 9-2 Figure 9-3

Figure 9-4 Figure 9-5

Figure 9-6

Figure 9-7

Figure 10-1 Figure 10-2 Figure 10-3 Figure 10-4

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BoM satellite image of ex-TC Charlotte on 12th Jan 2009.

112

Synoptic development of the ex-TC Charlotte wind and pressure field. (Courtesy J. Callaghan).

113

Example NCEP/LAPS-based TC Charlotte Wind and Pressure Fields for 10th Jan when maximum mean winds were estimated as 18 m/s. The colour palette indicates pressure deficit from 1010 hPa.

114

TC Charlotte Wave Model Calibration at Weipa Wave Buoy.

114

Difference plot of peak significant wave height Hs with water depth increased by 5 m minus case with water depth increased by 1 m. (i.e. positive values indicate 5 m case has larger significant wave heights).

115

Peak water level plot from Mike21 Case 1 (left), Mike21 Case 3 (middle) and peak water level difference plot (Case 3 – Case 1) difference plot (right).

117

Peak water level plot from Mike21 Case 2 (left), Mike21 Case 4 (middle) and peak water level difference plot (Case 4 – Case 2) difference plot (right).

117

An example of the synthetic storm tracks used in the B10 parametric modelling.

131

Example of the storm surge parameterisation process for the B10 60° track.

132

Alongshore peak storm tide profile generated by the parametric model for TC Ted

136

Time history of storm tide at Karumba generated by the parametric model for TC Ted.

136

Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stage 1 and 2 Combined Final Report

Figure 11-1

Coastal flats looking north from Burketown from both the air (left) and adjacent to the town centre (right).

137

Southern Gulf model extent and mesh (blue line represents the coastline).

139

Detail of the southern Gulf mesh at Karumba (blue line represents the coastline).

140

Detail of the southern Gulf mesh at Burketown (blue line represents the coastline).

140

Weipa model extent and mesh (blue line represents the coastline).

141

MMUSURGE (red) and Mike21 (blue) modelled water levels for TC Ted at the Albert/Saltwater Arm confluence (top), Burketown (middle) and Karumba (bottom).

143

Figure 11-7

Modelled inundation depth of TC Ted at Karumba.

144

Figure 11-8

Modelled inundation depth of TC Ted at Burketown.

145

Figure 11-9

Bed roughness sensitivity tests at Karumba (top panel) and the Albert/Saltwater Arm confluence (bottom panel).

147

Eddy viscosity and density sensitivity tests at Weipa.

147

Example of Stage 2 TC selection process, Weipa climate 2050.

148

Weipa (top left), Karumba (top right), Gununa (bottom left) and Albert River Mouth (bottom right) Stage 1 and Stage 2 model result comparison for the 2010 climate scenario.

150

Weipa (top left), Karumba (top right), Gununa (bottom left) and Albert River Mouth (bottom right) Stage 1 and Stage 2 model result comparison for the 2050 climate scenario.

151

Weipa (top left), Karumba (top right), Gununa (bottom left) and Albert River Mouth (bottom right) Stage 1 and Stage 2 model result comparison for the 2100 climate scenario.

152

Figure 11-2 Figure 11-3 Figure 11-4 Figure 11-5 Figure 11-6

Figure 11-10 Figure 11-11 Figure 11-12

Figure 11-13

Figure 11-14

Appendices

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A

Return Period Concepts

B

Stage 1a Background and Data Issues Report

C

Site Visit

Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stage 1 and 2 Combined Final Report

D

Broadscale Hindcast Results

E

Broadscale Production Results

F

Tropical Cyclone Review

G

Historical Track Record

H

Synthetic Track Model Verification

I

2010 Tropical Cyclone/Broadscale Combined Tide Plus Surge Return Period Curves

J

2010 Tropical Cyclone Tide Plus Surge Return Period Maps

K

2010 Combined Broadscale and Tropical Cyclone Tide Plus Surge Tabulated Results

L

2050 Tropical Cyclone/Broadscale Combined Tide Plus Surge Return Period Curves

M

2050 Tropical Cyclone/Broadscale Combined Tide Plus Surge Tabulated Results

N

2100 Tropical Cyclone/Broadscale Combined Tide Plus Surge Return Period Curves

O

2100 Tropical Cyclone/Broadscale Combined Tide Plus Surge Tabulated Results

P

2010 Tropical Cyclone Wave Return Period Maps

Q

2010 Tropical Cyclone Significant Wave Height and Period Tabulated Results

R

2010 Tropical Cyclone Wave Setup and Runup Potential Tabulated Statistics

S

2050 Tropical Cyclone Significant Wave Height and Period Tabulated Results

T

2050 Tropical Cyclone Wave Setup and Runup Potential Tabulated Statistics

U

2100 Tropical Cyclone Significant Wave Height and Period Tabulated Results

V

2100 Tropical Cyclone Wave Setup and Runup Potential Tabulated Statistics

W

Tropical Cyclone Maximum Potential Intensity Analysis

Mapping Addendums Mapping Addendum 1 (Water Level) & 2 (Depth) External A3 Documents.

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Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stage 1 and 2 Combined Final Report

ACRONYM GLOSSARY A AHD

Australian Height Datum

AHS

Australian Hydrographic Service

AMC

Australian Maritime College

AMSA

Australian Maritime Safety Authority

AWS

Automatic Weather Station

B BoM

Bureau of Meteorology

C CCAM

CSIRO Cubic Conformal Atmospheric Model

CSIRO

Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation

CDF

Cumulative Distribution Function

D DCS

Department of Community Safety (QLD)

DEM

Digital Elevation Model

DSITIA

Department of Science, Information Technology, Innovation and the Arts (QLD)

E ECMWF

European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasts

EGM96

Earth Geopotential Model 1996

ENSO

El Niño - Southern Oscillation

AEST

Australian Eastern Standard Time

G GDA

Geocentric Datum of Australia

GIS

Geographic Information System

H HAT

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Highest Astronomical Tide

Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stage 1 and 2 Combined Final Report

hPa

hectopascal (1 hPa = 100 Pa) – unit widely adopted for reporting of barometric pressure in meteorology

I IPCC

Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change

L LAPS

Bureau of Meteorology Limited Area Predication System

LAT

Lowest Astronomical Tide

LiDAR

Light Detection and Ranging

M MHHW

Mean Higher High Water

MMU

Marine Modelling Unit

MPI

Maximum Potential Intensity (of tropical cyclones)

MSLP

Mean Sea Level (ocean surface) Pressure

MSQ

Maritime Safety Queensland (QLD)

MSL

Mean Sea Level

MWL

Mean Water Level

N NCC

National Climate Centre

NCEP

US National Centre for Environmental Prediction

NDMP

Natural Disaster Mitigation Program

NOAA

US National Ocean and Atmospheric Administration

LRM

Northern Territory Department of Land Resources Management

NTC

National Tidal Centre (BoM)

NTG

Northern Territory Government

P PSM

Permanent Survey Mark

Q QCC

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Queensland Climate Change study initiative

Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stage 1 and 2 Combined Final Report

S SAG

Study Advisory Group

SATSIM

Surge and Tide Simulation – a statistical simulation model

SEA

Systems Engineering Australia Pty Ltd

SOI

Southern Oscillation Index

SRTM

Shuttle Radar Topography Mission

SST

Sea Surface Temperature

SWL

Still Water Level

T TC

Tropical Cyclone

U UTAS

University of Tasmania

UTC

Coordinated Universal Time

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS GHD would like to acknowledge the many parties from Government (Local, State and Federal), Tertiary Institutions and Industry who have contributed to the successful completion of this study. Mainly: 

DSITIA Coastal Impacts Unit, Deagon, Brisbane;



Mr Luciano Mason (MMU/AMC/UTAS);



Mr Jeff Callaghan (ex BoM Severe Weather Unit);



Dr Kendal McGuffie (Sydney University of Technology);



Dr James Kossin (NOAA).



SAG Committee;



Mr Jason McConochie;



Mr Paul Davill (NTC); and



Dr Marcus Thatcher (CSIRO).

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Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stage 1 and 2 Combined Final Report

Executive Summary This study involved a statistical analysis of ocean water levels throughout the entire Gulf of Carpentaria region, resulting in estimates of the probability of exceedance of so-called extreme ocean-induced water levels along the open coast and at a number of nominated Gulf sites. This study also presents detailed inundation mapping of specific community areas. The study is predicated on knowledge of existing or immediately past climatic data and utilises projections of possible future climate change, including sea level rise. The shallow water depths of the Gulf (< 70 m) means that it is susceptible to wind-induced forcing on a range of temporal and spatial scales, from daily to seasonal, which is sufficient to significantly interfere with the expected astronomical tide at many locations. The tidal dynamics are also inherently complex, due to the Gulf being semi-enclosed and adjoining the Arafura Sea to the west and the Coral Sea to the east via the narrow constricted Torres Strait whereby tidal flows oscillate and interfere. Additionally, the meteorology of the region is characterised by distinct and vigorous summer (monsoonal) and winter (SE trades) influences, interspersed by occasional severe tropical cyclone activity from November to April. The shallow waters, mild nearshore seabed slopes and low-lying coastal topography together with the level of tropical cyclone threat, indicate that the southern Gulf is likely the most hazardous storm tide region of Australia. The study has shown that there is potential for storm tide inundation up to as high as 9 m AHD at the coastline and for inland penetration across the flat featureless coastal margins as much as 30 km. These are the very extreme values deemed possible (10,000 y ARI), but very s ignificant threats exist to many Gulf communities at much higher levels of probability (say 100 y ARI, or a 40% chance within 50 years). In addition to the extensive statistical analyses of extreme water levels, which relate to long term planning decisions, the study has also delivered a series of parametric storm tide models for use in real time prediction of tropical cyclone storm tide threats. These models are based on the same assumptions and data that underpin the statistical analyses. The study results show that the highest storm tide hazard risk is in the southern Gulf, predominantly the south-east corner, but also extending to the western side north of Centre Island. The communities most exposed to this hazard in Queensland are therefore Burketown, Karumba, Sweers and Bentinck Island. In the Northern Territory the highest hazard risk is indicated for Numbulwar and Bing Bong. The least affected communities are those towards the northern end of the Gulf, such as Weipa and Yirrkala. Notwithstanding this, many of the other communities have a significant storm tide hazard risk. Burketown is the most exposed community to storm tide inundation with flooding of property commencing below the 100 y event, becoming significant by the 200 y event (~20% chance within a given 50 y period) and with total inundation occurring for return periods exceeding 500 y (10% chance within a given 50 y period). Karumba is also vulnerable with total inundation for events exceeding 1,000 y (5 % chance within a given 50 y period). The threat is much lower at Normanton and Weipa with only minor inundation to property occurring at much higher return periods (i.e. about 10,000 y). Under projected climate conditions the risk to all these communities is worsened with total inundation of Burketown estimated for a 200 y return period (for both 2050 and 2100) and at Karumba for the 500 y return period. The Mornington Island community of Gununa is estimated to be largely immune from significant storm tide threat under present and future climates.

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Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stage 1 and 2 Combined Final Report

1.

Introduction

This study addresses the need for understanding, assessing and managing the risk posed by ocean storm tide inundation to population, housing and infrastructure within the Gulf of Carpentaria. It provides essential information for future planning and emergency response to mitigate the effects of extreme storm tide. Both tropical cyclone and other large scale weather systems are considered in the context of present (2010) and projected future (2050 and 2100) climate and sea level conditions. The study has been undertaken for the Department of Science, Information Technology, Innovation and the Arts (QLD) following receipt of a Natural Disaster Mitigation Program (NDMP) grant. The study has included input from a Study Advisory Group (SAG) which is chaired by the Department of Science, Information Technology, Innovation and the Arts (DSITIA) and includes representatives from: The Northern Territory Department of Land Resources Management (LRM); the Queensland Department of Community Safety (DCS); the Commonwealth Bureau of Meteorology (BoM); Carpentaria Shire, Burke Shire, Weipa Shire and Mornington Island Councils.

1.1

The Historical Context

As noted in Harper (1999, 2001a) and further summarised here in Table 1-1, the Gulf of Carpentaria features prominently in the list of extreme storm tide events known to have occurred in Queensland since the late 19th century. The 1887 storm that devastated Burketown (refer Appendix F) is the earliest and highest estimated inundation level. Considering that Burketown is located 25 km inland from the Gulf coast, this represents a formidable feat of nature. Likewise the so-called Douglas Mawson storm of 1923, which had earlier caused destruction in the Torres Strait, crossed the Gulf to destroy mission buildings at Groote Eylandt 1 and also affected Burketown. The town of Karumba, located in the south-east corner of the Gulf, has experienced several events in the past 50 years that have threatened the residential areas.

1.2

The Challenge

The Gulf of Carpentaria is a partly-enclosed shallow tropical sea that experiences a range of atmospheric and ocean forcing that must be adequately described in order to represent the statistics of extreme storm tide episodes along its coastline. While tropical cyclones (TCs) remain the principal threat to life and property, the s hallow waters also react quickly to the more modest but often persistent atmospheric circulation surrounding these intense vortices, effectively extending the reach of the storm centre and likely making this area the most surgeprone in Australia. Considering the TC vortex forcing in isolation from its background environment underestimates the potential for storm tide impacts in this region. Accordingly this study has sought to retain the important linkages between these scales of forcing. Combined with the Gulf’s extensive lowlying coastal regions, modest inundation of the land-sea margins above tidal levels is likely a relatively common feature of the region, and often results in “erratic” tides. In addition to impacts posed by TCs, the Gulf also exhibits a significant seasonal variation in water level. During the summer monsoon the dominant northwesterly wind regime can result in a water level setup 1

The exact contribution from storm tide versus river flood ing in the case of Groote Eylandt warrants further investigation.

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exceeding 0.4 m in the southern Gulf. When these strong monsoonal systems coincide with a period of high tidal amplitudes, the resulting water level can easily exceed the Highest Astronomical Tide (HAT) and result in inundation of coastal flats. Depending on location, extreme water levels generated by regional monsoonal forcing may dominate extreme ocean water levels for Return Periods out to approximately 200 years. To accurately capture these higher probability regional non-cyclonic events this study has undertaken a comprehensive assessment that is detailed herein as the broadscale water level variability. Table 1-1

Gulf Notable Storm Tide Events

Date

Place

Event

Storm Tide

Height > HAT

m AHD

m

7.8

5.1

04-Mar-1887

Albert R Heads

30-Mar-1923

Albert R Heads

Douglas Mawson

5?

2.3?



Groote Eylandt



7?

5?

23-Feb-1948

Bentinck Is

4.7?

3.2?

11-Jan-1964

Karumba

Audrey

?

03-Feb-1964

Edward River

Dora

?

?

19-Feb-1971

Inkerman Station

Fiona

?

?

19-Dec-1976

Albert River

Ted

6.3?

3.6?



Burketown



3.2

1.0



Karumba



4.0

1.5

31-Dec-1978

Weipa

Peter

2.3

0.6

13-Feb-1987

Karumba

Jason

3.1

15-Dec-1989

Gilbert River

Felicity

?

25-Dec-1992

Weipa

Nina

3.2

06-Mar-1995

Karumba

Warren

3.8

06-Jan-1996

Gilbert River

Barry

6?

3.4?

09-Mar-1996

Weipa

Ethel

3.6

0.3

26-Feb-2001

Karumba

Abigail

2.43

-0.17

03/Jan/2002

Karumba

Bernie

2.35

-0.25

12/Mar/2003

Weipa

Craig

1.80

0.17

07/Feb/2005

Karumba

Harvey

2.79

0.19

"

Weipa

"

1.54

-0.09

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10/Mar/2005

Weipa

Ingrid

0.24

-1.39

20/Apr/2006

Weipa

Monica

1.4

-0.2

17/Apr/2006

Karumba

"

1.9

-0.7

09/Feb/2009

Karumba

Ellie

3.0

0.4

"

Mornington Island

"

2.9

0.2

1.3

Aims and Objectives

The objective of the study is to quantify the likelihood of coastal and associated waterway areas within the Gulf of Carpentaria area being inundated by storm tide caused either by severe TCs or other broadscale atmospheric influences. With knowledge of the probability of specific water elevations being equalled or exceeded, long term planning can be adopted to mitigate against the more adverse impacts. Emergency response planning can also utilise this information to ensure adequate resources will be allocated to those areas most likely to be affected. The study outcomes are provided in a number of forms, including graphs, tables and principally innundaton maps showing storm tide elevation/depth that corresponds to a specific return period risk or ARI. These provide an essential input to long term planning whilst also allowing a relative ranking of risks for emergency response. The storm tide probability levels considered are the 50, 100, 200, 500, 1,000, 10,000 year return periods for 2010, 2050 and 2100 climate scenarios and the maximum theoretical for the 2010 climate. A series of parametric storm tide models for the Gulf region have also been prepared that are consistent with the overall methodology and can be utilised for rapid prediction and warning purposes.

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1.4

Definitions

All severe weather systems are capable of producing a storm surge, which can increase coastal and ocean water levels for periods of several hours to days and significantly affect over 1,000 km of coastline (Harper 2001a). Tropical cyclones are the most damaging wind and storm surge events in northern Australia, but their greatest impacts are typically limited to within 100 km of the centre and last for less than 12 hours. Meanwhile, the more common and regular tropical monsoon can also affect much wider areas and persist for several days at much lower levels of impact. The combination of these events with the astronomical tide in areas that are low-lying and susceptible to inundation can be very significant. The storm surge (or meteorological tide), is an atmospherically forced ocean response caused by the high surface winds and low surface pressures associated with severe and/or persistent offshore weather systems. An individual storm surge is measured relative to the tide level at the time. It is generated by the combined action of the severe surface winds (tropical cyclone winds circulate clockwise around a storm centre while strong monsoon winds tend to be more frontal in nature), generating ocean currents, and the decreased atmospheric pressure, causing a local rise in sea level (the so-called inverted barometer effect). When a severe tropical cyclone crosses the coast, the strong winds perpendicular to the coastline are responsible for the greater proportion of the surge (also called wind setup). The total seawater level experienced at a coastal, ocean or estuarine site during the passage of a severe large scale ocean storm (e.g. tropical cyclone or monsoonal depression) will be made up of relative contributions from a number of different effects, as depicted in Figure 1-1. The combined or total water level is then termed the storm tide, which is an absolute vertical level, referenced in this report to Australian Height Datum (AHD). 1.4.1

Components of a Storm Tide

It is important to understand the different water level components that can comprise the total storm tide at a specific site. These effects can vary throughout any given region in both time and space and depending on the local physical conditions. With reference to the definition sketch in Figure 1-1: (a)

The Astronomical Tide

This is the regular periodic variation in water levels due to the gravitational effects of the moon and sun, which can often be predicted with generally very high accuracy at any point in time (past and present) where sufficiently long and precise measurements are available2. In practice, the analysis of tides often also includes non-astronomical components that are persistent and have a fixed periodicity. This includes components such as the radiation tide which is driven by the daily solar cycle and the annual tide created by seasonal variations in wind and atmospheric pressure. The highest expected tide level at any location is termed the Highest Astronomical Tide (HAT) and occurs theoretically once each 18.6 y period, although at some sites tide levels similar to HAT may occur several times per year or even be exceeded due to atmospheric influences.

2

The minimum desirable period is not less than about 40 days, while many years of data are normally required to determine socalled seasonal corrections.

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Ocean Waves Wave Runup

HAT

MWL

Wave Setup

SWL Surge

Storm Tide

MSL datum

Extreme Winds

Currents

Expected High Tide

Copyright © 2008 Systems Engineering Australia Pty Ltd

Figure 1-1 Water level components of an extreme storm tide (after Harper 2001) (b)

Storm Surge

By some definitions, the storm surge is simply the difference between the expected (predicted) astronomical tide and the actual (measured) average sea level at some point in time and space. This difference is typically termed the “residual” water level variation. However, because of non-linear interactions in some situations, the residual often does not fully represent the incident non-astronomical wave-form. As previously introduced, the storm surge is perhaps best referred to as the meteorological tide because it is the combined result of atmospheric pressure gradients and wind shear stress acting on the underlying ocean. While these influences are universally active everywhere, and are present at many time and space scales (e.g. refer (f) later), the effects are significantly greater during the enhanced forcing provided by weather events colloquially called storms. The storm surge manifests as a long period “wave” capable of sustaining above-normal or below-normal water levels over a number of hours. The wave travels with and ahead of the storm system and may be amplified as it progresses into shallow waters or is confined by coastal features. The magnitude of the surge can be affected by many factors such as storm intensity, size, speed and angle of approach to the coast and the coastal bathymetry (undersea depths). The storm surge will add to the normally expected tide over a large area, combining to produce the so-called “still water level” or SWL. This is the highest water level at a point on the shoreline if wave action is smoothed out. (c)

Breaking Wave Setup

Severe wind fields also create abnormally high sea conditions and extreme waves may propagate large distances from the centre of a storm as ocean swell. As the waves enter shallower waters they refract and steepen under the action of shoaling until their stored energy is dissipated by wave breaking either offshore in shallow regions or at a beach or reef. Through the continuous action of many breaking waves,

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shoreward water levels can rise above the still-water level (SWL), creating a locally higher “mean water level” (MWL) at the shore. This increase in water level immediately after wave breaking is known as break ing wave setup and applies to most natural beaches and reefs. Seawards of the breaker zone there is also a region of minor wave setdown. Importantly, wave setup needs some type of a vertical barrier that will act to sustain the water level gradient that balances the incoming wave momentum. Accordingly, wave setup generally is not expected to be significant in harbours or navigable river mouths (due to an absence of breaking processes) or protected swampy lands (due to precedent wave dissipation). The presence of irregular (i.e. 2-D) natural banks and channels can also act to dissipate the products of wave setup on natural beaches and generate so-called rip current circulations. (d)

Breaking Wave Runup

Notwithstanding wave setup, there may remain some residual energy in the form of individual waves that will generate intermittent vertical runup and may cause localised impacts and erosion at elevations above that of the nominated storm tide (MWL) level. These effects can only be accurately estimated with specific information about the land-sea interface, which may even be changing in time as the storm tide increases in height. This would include the slope of the shoreline, the porosity, vegetation and the incident wave height and period. (e)

Overland Inundation and Wave Penetration

When normally dry, relatively flat nearshore land becomes inundated during a severe storm tide episode, the sea begins to quickly flood inland as an intermittent “wave front”, driven by the initial momentum of the surge, products of wave setup and runup and the local surface wind stress. This flow then reacts to the local ground contours and the encountered hydraulic roughness due to either natural vegetation or housing and other infrastructure. It will continue inland until a dynamic balance is reached between the applied hydraulic gradients, wind stress and the land surface resistance or until it becomes constrained by elevation and creates ponding etc. As the storm surge abates or the tide reduces, an ebb flow is created which is commonly responsible for much of the observed coastline scouring after such ex treme inundation events. (f)

Other Effects on Sea Level

There remain other related phenomena that can also have an effect on the local ocean water level. These include annual and inter-annual variations in the sea level caused by large scale wind-forced ocean currents and their associated temperature changes. These meteorological tides are relatively large contributors to sea level variability in the Gulf of Carpentaria on an annual basis. In addition, there exist episodic, low amplitude, long period shelf waves that can propagate large distances and affect the predicted tidal elevation over periods of several days. Finally, where there is a high exposure to large swell waves, the wave setup effect can be further modulated by unsteady “surf beat” or infra-gravity waves but this effect is unlikely within the largely enclosed Gulf of Carpentaria. However, some communities may be affected by localised stormwater and/or river runoff in specific situations. 1.4.2

Water Level Components not Considered in this Study

With reference to the above definitions, the following potential effects on local coastal water levels are not included in this study:

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Episodic low amplitude long period shelf waves not directly related to the local or regional meteorological forcing;



Breaking wave runup;



Wave grouping (infra-gravity) effects;



Fluvial flooding;



Stormwater or local flash flooding due to rainfall events.

1.4.3

Return Period Concepts

The present study reports its findings in terms of statistical Return Periods. It is important to understand that a return period (or Average Recurrence Interval or ARI) is simply the expected average elapsed time in years between equalling or exceeding a specified event level. This concept does not guarantee that the nominated event’s return period number of years will have elapsed before such an event occurs again. In fact, the probability of experiencing the “n” year return period event within any consecutive period of “n” years is approximately 64%, i.e. more likely than not. For example, the 100 year and 1,000 year ARI event could both occur in the same year or one might occur twice in the same year, etc. Appendix A provides more explicit advice on the choice of return periods in the context of encounter probability.

1.5

Study Area and Study Tasks

The project study area is presented in Figure 1-2, encompassing the entire coastline of the Gulf of Carpentaria, from its north-western margin marked by the Gove Peninsula, through to its north-eastern margin of Cape York’s intersection with the Torres Strait. This figure indicates the principal communities in this remote region, some of which are the subject of detailed investigation. The various hydrodynamic model computational domains used in the study exceed this immediate area in order to adequately capture the meteorological forcing and large scale open boundary conditions. Importantly though, this study does not directly consider or report on extreme water levels within the highly complex Torres Strait, which has recently been the subject of a separate study (SEA 2011). In accordance with the project brief (DERM 2010), delivery of the Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Inundation Study has been completed in a staged approach comprising: 

Stage 1a – Background Information and Issues Report (issued October 2010) - Developed to identify issues, knowledge gaps or limitations in the proposed project data and methodology;



Stage 1b – Numerical Modelling of Storm Tide Levels and Extreme Waves – Provision of open coast storm tide statistics over the entire Gulf region involving: –

Review of the regional meteorology;



Historical tropical cyclone review and development of the Gulf tropical cyclone climatology;



Tidal data collation and analysis;



Hydrodynamic model development;



Model calibration to the astronomical tide;



Investigation of broadscale synoptic influences and selection of appropriate regional climate model datasets;

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Broadscale model verification and production modelling;



Tropical cyclone wind and pressure model development;



Hindcast verification of tropical cyclone wind and pressure models and hydrodynamic surge models;



Statistical track analyses and development of synthetic tropical cyclone track database;



Tropical cyclone production modelling (2010, 2050 and 2100 climates);



Parametric tropical cyclone model development and production modelling; and



Wave model development and production modelling.

Stage 2 – Inundation Modelling and Mapping – High resolution storm tide modelling and inundation mapping for the selected communities of Weipa, Karumba, Normanton, Burketown and Mornington Island. Provision of: -

Storm tide mapping for the 50, 100, 200, 500, 1000 and 10000 y return period storm tide events for 2010, 2050 and 2100 climate scenarios;

-

Detailed storm tide statistics for the aforementioned communities.

This document forms the key reporting deliverable for Stages 1 and 2.

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136.48

137.48

138.48

139.48

140.48

141.48

142.48 -8.24

135.48

-8.24

134.48

PAPUA NEW GUINEA -9.24

SEA

-9.24

ARAFURA

-10.24 -11.24

-11.24

-10.24

TORRES STRAIT

!

YIRRKALA

-12.24

-12.24

!

WEIPA

BANIYALA !

-13.24

-13.24

!

!

MAPOON

AURUKUN

MILYAKBURRA

NUMBULWAR

-14.24

!

ALYANGULA ! ! UMBAKUMBA

OF

CARPENTARIA

!

-15.24

GULF

PORMPURAAW

!

!

BING BONG

KOWANYAMA

QUEENSLAND

-16.24

KING ASH BAY

-16.24

!

-15.24

-14.24

!

!

MORNINGTON ISLAND

NORTHERN TERRITORY BENTINCK ISLAND SWEERS ISLAND

! !

134.48

135.48

136.48

137.48

138.48

BURKETOWN

139.48

!

140.48

-17.24

KARUMBA NORMANTON

141.48

142.48

-18.24

-17.24

! !

LEGEND !

Gulf Community

1:5,000,000 (at A4) 0

50

100

150

Kilometers Horizontal Datum: GDA 1994 Grid: GCS GDA 1994

200

o

DSITIA Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide Study

Study Area

Job Number Revision Date

41 - 23138 B 14 Dec 2012

Figure 1.2

145 Ann Street Brisbane QLD 4000 Australia T 61 7 3316 3000 F 61 7 3316 3333 E [email protected] W www.ghd.com.au G:\41\23138\GIS\Maps\Deliverables\4123138_016_rev_b.mxd © 2011. While GHD has taken care to ensure the accuracy of this product, GHD, DSITIA and GA make no representations or warranties about its accuracy, completeness or suitability for any particular purpose. GHD, DSITIA and GA cannot accept liability of any kind (whether in contract, tort or otherwise) for any expenses, losses, damages and/or costs (including indirect or consequential damage) which are or may be incurred as a result of the product being inaccurate, incomplete or unsuitable in any way and for any reason. Data source: DSITIA - Gazetted Places Names (2009); GA - State Boundaries (2007)

Methodology Overview

2.

The adopted methodology utilises a number of sophisticated analyses and numerical models, some addressing the deterministic (cause and effect) elements of the problem and others addressing the probabilistic (chance) aspects. Each has been done to a comparable level of detail and together demonstrates a good degree of accuracy against historical datasets. The methodology closely follows the recommendations set out in the Government-sponsored Queensland Climate Change (QCC) investigations (e.g. Harper 2001a, 2004). In particular, the so-called “hybrid” modelling philosophy has been implemented, whereby a range of numerical, analytical and statistical models are constructed to provide a basis for the estimation of storm tide risks and the extrapolation of their impacts to very low probabilities (very high return periods). Figure 2-1 provides an overall conceptual view of the study methodology, which is based firstly on the availability of data to describe the meteorology of the region (cyclonic and non-cyclonic, together with wind records), data to describe the coastal geography, his torical storm tide, wind and wave data for calibration and for defining the regional tide characteristics. These data describing the physical interactions are then ultimately combined with the vulnerability of the various Gulf of Carpentaria communities.

2.1

Stage 1a Background Information and Issues Report

Given the size of the study area, its remoteness and the substantial interaction of ocean and atmosphere it was acknowledged early that there would be a number of data capture limitations and challenges that would influence the study methodology. The Stage 1a Background Information and Issues Report (GHD, 2010b) was developed to confirm potential data limitations, identify additional data sources and accordingly refine/confirm the proposed methodology. That report was delivered in October 2010 and is provided as Appendix B. Key issues identified in the report included: 

Availability and accuracy of bathymetric and ground elevation data;



Importance of the seasonal water level signal and selection of a suitable climate model in which to adequately reproduce this seasonal variation and drive the broadscale climatology;



Spatial and temporal distribution of available tidal stations;



Accuracy and reliability of the historical tropical cyclone track record; and



The uncertainties associated with estimating wave setup in a region with extensive shallow water regions and very low nearshore slopes, and where surge inundation can extend many kilometres inland.

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Figure 2-1 An overview of the study methodology

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2.2

Data Assembly

2.2.1

Previous Relevant Studies

There is limited oceanographic and meteorological information available for the Gulf of Carpentaria region due its large scale, remoteness, low population density and limited coastal development. While a number of mine export sites have been operating since the mid-1960s (e.g. Groote Eylandt, Weipa) and others have developed export facilities in more recent times (e.g. Bing Bong, Karumba), the localised investigations done for these facilities remain essentially proprietary and of limited regional value. One of the earliest studies regarding tropical cyclone storm tide was JCU (1979), which was commissioned for the expanding bauxite mining and export operations at Weipa. Harper (2001a) provided insight into the special characteristics of extreme storm tide in the southern Gulf with the hindcast example of TC Ted. More recently, regional tropical cyclone risks were investigated as part of the development of the BoM storm tide warning system for use by the Northern Territory Regional Office in Darwin (SEA 2005). This study undertook hydrodynamic and spectral wave modelling of a selection of design tropical cyclones along the western coastline only, including a detailed wind, surge and wave calibration against TC Kathy in 1985 at Centre Island. Another study (SEA 2007) was undertaken for the Gove Peninsula, using the BoM model domains but concentrating more on information for planning rather than emergency response. As previously mentioned, a detailed investigation of the complex tides and storm surge response of the Torres Strait was recently undertaken for the Torres Strait Regional Authority (SEA 2011), which with the acquisition of SEA’s engineering consultancy by GHD, has provided a formative basis for much of the methodology that has been adopted for this study. Use has also been made of a flood study covering a part of the southern study area (Maunsell 2003) and the regional coastal morphology overview by Short (2006) has also assisted interpretations of dominant coastal processes at work. During the present study a paper by Oliver and Thompson (2011) became available that also considers many of the broadscale factors that are of importance to the storm tide problem and similarly concedes the degree of difficulty in reproducing some effects in this region. Aspects of the present analyses also follow procedures developed during similar storm tide investigations for the Queensland east coast (e.g. GHD/SEA 2003, 2007, 2009). Finally, the “Blue Book” recommendations (Harper 2001a) and associated studies (e.g. Hardy et al. 2004a, b) also form a technical reference for the present study, although some aspects here necessarily exceed those specifications in order to meet the special challenges posed by the Gulf of Carpentaria environment. 2.2.2

Site Visit

A site inspection was undertaken from the 24 th to 27th of October 2011 focusing on the regions of Normanton, Karumba, Mornington Island and Burketown. While a longer site visit encompassing NT sites and also Weipa would have been beneficial, the study area was simply too vast to allow this within the financial scope of the project. Key items obtained during the site visit included: 

Discussions with locals at Burketown and Karumba regarding the impact of TC Ted, 1976;

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Viewing of historical storm tide accounts and imagery at the Normanton and Burketown museums;



Confirmation of tide gauge recording sites and locations of historical damage;



Investigation of topographic features such as levee banks, roadways and waterways that might control storm tide propagation during Stage 2;



Understanding of likely beach profiles within the southern Gulf; and



Indication of likely tidal inundation of salt flats adjacent to Burketown and Karumba.

Appendix C provides a number of images captured during the site visit which highlight the remarkable coastal features of the southern Gulf. 2.2.3

Elevation Data

Adequate survey of both bathymetric and topographic features forms the basis for any storm tide inundation study. Datasets have been collated from a number of sources and include: 

Aerial Survey (LiDAR and Space Shuttle derived altimetry (SRTM));



Digital and hardcopy bathymetric charts/survey;



Topographic contours;



Survey control points; and



River cross sections.

Based on a combination of the above datasets a project wide Digital Elevation Model (DEM) has been developed. For full details of the input datasets and DEM development please refer to Chapter 3. 2.2.4

Meteorological Models

In order to adequately capture synoptically driven water level variability, several numerical reanalysis model products were investigated. These included datasets from the Bureau of Meteorology (BoM), The US NOAA National Centre for Environmental Prediction (NCEP), European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting (ECMWF), and the CSIRO. These datasets are detailed further in Section 6.2. 2.2.5

Meteorological Observations

To develop a representation of the regional meteorology and to assist in the verification of modelling results, surface pressure and wind speed data were sourced from available BoM weather stations throughout the study area. In addition to ground observation stations, satellite-sensed Quikscat surface wind datasets for the period 1999-2007 were obtained. 2.2.6

Tropical Cyclone Database

GHD maintains an up-to-date TC dataset based on the Systems Engineering Australia Pty Ltd (SEA) proprietary storm dataset that has been assembled during, for example, the Queensland Climate Change project (Harper 2001a) and the Torres Strait Extreme Water Level Study (SEA 2011). The latter study included an expert review of the major TCs to impact the study area (1887-Present). This review, undertaken by ex-BoM severe weather specialist meteorologist Mr Jeff Callaghan, was revisited to focus on the southern Gulf region of specific interest to this study. Additionally, Dr James Kossin of the US NOAA National Climatic Data Center provided a research dataset based on the objective estimation of TC intensity and scale that included the Gulf region.

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2.2.7

Maximum Potential Intensity TC Analyses

Maximum Potential Intensity (MPI) represents the theoretical maximum intensity that a TC can reach for a given region. Fortunately environmental limitations mean that this condition is rarely if ever achieved. For this study gridded MPI estimates were commissioned from Dr Kendal McGuffie at the University of Technology, Sydney (Appendix W) for present and future climates. 2.2.8

Astronomical Tides

Measured tidal datasets have been collated from a number of sources including: 

Long term raw tidal records of sea level height in electronic format obtained from DSITIA, MSQ, AHS and BoM/NTC;



Tidal analyses including tidal plane estimates and predictions (ANTT and MSQ);



Tidal constituents via a database maintained by sub-consultant Mr Luciano Mason at UTAS/AMC; and



Various reports and technical papers (published and unpublished as available).

Details of individual tidal records are explored further in Chapter 5. 2.2.9

Waves

The Weipa/Albatross Bay waverider buoy operated by DSITIA represents the only reliable long term wave record in the Gulf, with non-directional wave data available (with gaps) for the period 1978 to the present.

2.3

An Overview of the Steps in the Analyses

Following the data assembly task, which was a very significant aspect of the present study, the analyses were undertaken in a series of steps as illustrated further in Figure 2-1. The principal processes as reported in the remaining report chapters are outlined here: 2.3.1

Chapter 3 - Digital Elevation Model Development

This section details the input datasets and methodology undertaken to develop a project -wide Digital Elevation Model (DEM). 2.3.2

Chapter 4 - Regional Meteorology

This provides an overview of the dominant meteorological processes across the region and consideration of the limited long-term wind speed record. 2.3.3

Chapter 5 - Astronomical Tides

The astronomical tide in the region is extremely complex and is the dominant modulator of ocean water levels. This chapter firstly analyses the available tide data to extract the harmonic components of the tide and to obtain the non-astronomical water level residuals for later statistical analysis. The bathymetry data for the region is then utilised to construct a numerical hydrodynamic model. This model is driven by its open boundary conditions that are calibrated to reproduce the measured tidal data throughout the region to a high level of accuracy. Importantly, the so-called seasonal tidal constituents are excluded in this

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analysis, as they are more correctly a part of the broadscale meteorological forcing. The resulting numerical tidal model then provides a spatially consistent representation of the varying tide behaviour across the entire Gulf region. 2.3.4

Chapter 6 - Modelling the Broadscale Sea Level Variability

In this section the impact of broadscale (non-TC) meteorological and long period oceanic forcings on water levels in the Gulf are investigated. Given the shallow bathymetry (< 70 m, and typically < 30 m) and the semi-enclosed shape of the Gulf, sustained winds and low atmospheric pressures experienced during the summer monsoon can result in significant seasonal water level setup. Water level setdown can also be observed during cooler months under the forcing of the southeastery tradewinds. The coastal waters off Karumba are particularly sensitive to this change in synoptic conditions with measured seasonal water level variations of up to +0.4m in summer. Firstly this chapter addresses the ability of the hydrodynamic model to accurately reproduce the magnitude of the seasonal water level variability. To do this, a suitable wind and pressure input dataset was selected by undertaking sensitivity testing on a number of available global meteorological reanalyses and Australian region weather model datasets. Secondly, to assess the broadscale water level variability, the hydrodynamic model (as developed for tidal calibration) is forced with hindcast meteorological and tidal constituent data for the pas t 60 y. Interannual variability of the ocean levels external to the model is also represented. This provides a baseline 60 y of broadscale water level variability that can then be validated against the available tide gauge data. Following validation this 60 y hindcast is then re-simulated under differing tide and boundary inputs to develop broadscale statistics for the entire Gulf. 2.3.5

Chapter 7 - Tropical Cyclone Modelling

Tropical Cyclones (TCs) are the most energetic of the atmospheric forcings in the t ropics and the waters within the Gulf are affected on average by 2.6 TCs per year. These storms are known to have impacted all regions of the Gulf coast in recorded history (e.g. Harper 1999). This chapter details the basis for the adopted TC climatology using an up to date tropical cyclone track database previously developed by Systems Engineering Australia (SEA) and recently reviewed and updated for the Torres Strait study (SEA 2010) and the present study by Jeff Callaghan (ex. BoM). Historic variability in tropical cyclone parameters (maximum forward speed, radius to maximum winds, central pressure, etc.) is then assessed by statistically analysing the track database. These regional statistics can then be modelled using the methods developed by James and Mason (2005) allowing the extension of the estimated tropical cyclone parameter records out to 50,000 y. This synthetic record is then used to enable the modelling of wind, storm surge and wave effects. The effect of potential climate change on tropical cyclones and storm tide is also included, consistent with the recently enacted Queensland Coastal Plan (DSITIA 2012). 2.3.6

Chapter 8 - Tropical Cyclone Surge Modelling

This chapter details the development of the tropical cyclone hydrodynamic model domains, model sensitivity testing, model simulation methodology and provides the Stage 1b open coast storm tide statistics.

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To obtain storm tide statistics along the entire Gulf coastline (over 2,500 km in length) detailed deterministic hydrodynamic modelling of over 225,000 individual tropical cyclones has been undertaken using the MMUSURGE model (Mason and McConochie 2001, Harper 2001a). This modelling has been completed using a nested grid approach in which finer scale ‘B Grid’ and ‘C Grid’ models are simulated within a large scale ‘A Grid’ model (the A grid as developed for the tidal and broadscale modelling). This nesting process provides good representation of the coastline and nearshore bathymetry thus providing a more accurate depiction of surge response along the coast while maintaining practical runtime efficiency. Each individual track has been simulated with a randomly generated start date and associated open boundary astronomic tide within a pre-conditioned background seasonal broadscale water level pattern. Depending on the track and intensity, up to eight model grids have been simulated for each storm, providing comprehensive storm tide statistics not only along the open coast but for the entire Gulf. This has been conducted for the 2010 and future projected 2050 and 2100 climate scenarios. 2.3.7

Chapter 9 Spectral Wave Modelling

In addition to the long-period ocean sea level response from tide and weather, surface wave effects can have a localised impact on water levels through the processes of breaking wave s etup and runup. Accordingly, separate models are developed to provide estimates of surface wave impacts due to both broadscale and local tropical cyclone forcing. The extreme wave climate of the Gulf is unusual in that wave heights are largely depth limited over very extensive areas, particularly in the southern Gulf where bathymetry depths of 20 m are observed up to 80 km offshore. Weipa is the only long-term wave record in the Gulf. Third generation spectral wave modelling has been completed using the WAMGBR model (Hardy et al. 2003) and wave setup and runup have been estimated based on the analytical approach by Stockdon et al. (1996). 2.3.8

Chapter 10 Parametric Storm Tide Modelling

A parametric storm tide modelling capability has also been developed to ass ist in the real-time rapid estimation of storm tide threats across the Gulf. The parametric models follow the general methodology developed in Hardy et al. (2004a) and Harper (2001b) and are matched to the hydrodynamic model grids. The supplied parametric model data files are compatible with the proprietary SEAtide software system as used by the BoM NT Regional Office.

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3.

Digital Elevation Model Development

3.1

Introduction

The Digital Elevation Model (DEM) of the study area provides the basis for the open coast and inundation modelling and is based on available bathymetric and topographic data. Given the vast and remote nature of the Gulf a large number of elevation datasets have been assessed and included to ensure adequate representation of offshore and nearshore bathymetric features, major river systems and adjacent coastal plains and marshes. This chapter details the methods involved in developing a suitable DEM, mainly: 

The input datasets utilised;



Discussion of the input dataset accuracy and required processing; and



The merging of input datasets to produce the final project DEM.

3.2

Input Datasets

Datasets collated for DEM development include: Bathymetric 

Digital hydrographic data sourced from CMAP digital chart database (Jeppesen Commercial Marine (Norway) database held by GHD);



Maritime Safety Queensland (MSQ) bathymetric survey, confined to river mouths and port areas;



Norman River cross sections in the vicinity of Karumba and Normanton surveyed during the Carpentaria Flood Study (Maunsell, 2003);



Hydrographic survey of the Albert River (Department of Harbours and Marine, 1973);

Topographic 

LiDAR capture at a 1 x 1 m resolution for selected QLD communities. The horizontal and vertical accuracy of this data is quoted at 0.14-0.16 m and 0.07-0.09 m respectively;



Topographic survey at selected NT communities provided by the NT Department of Lands and Planning;



One arc second (approximately 30 m) resolution Geoscience Australia (GA) Shuttle Radar Topographic Mission (SRTM) derived DEM-S to represent topography on the low-lying floodplains and coastline adjacent to the Gulf of Carpentaria. The quoted vertical accuracy of this dataset is estimated at ±3 m (GA, 2010) in relatively featureless de-vegetated regions;



Queensland Permanent Survey Mark (PSM) database supplied by DSITIA;

Vegetation 

Queensland Wetlands Data (DSITIA, 2009);

The distribution and extent of each input dataset mentioned above are provided Figure 3-1.

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A R A F U R A

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!

MORN NGTON SLAND

BENT NCK SLAND SWEERS SLAND ! !!! ! ! ! ! !! ! ! !! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! !! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! !! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! !! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! !! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! !! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! !! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! !! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! !! !! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! !! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! !! ! ! !

!

!

NORTHERN TERR TORY

BURKETOWN

!! ! ! !! ! !! !! ! ! ! ! !! ! !! !! ! ! ! ! ! ! !! ! !! !! ! ! ! ! ! ! !!! ! ! ! ! ! !! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! !! !! ! ! ! ! ! ! !! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! !! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! !! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! !! ! !! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! !! !! ! ! ! ! ! !! ! ! ! ! !! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! !! !! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! !!! ! ! !! ! !! ! ! !! !! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! !! ! !! ! !!! ! !! !! !! !! !! ! ! ! ! !! ! ! ! ! ! !! ! ! ! ! !! ! !! !! !! !! ! ! ! ! ! !! ! ! ! ! ! ! !! ! ! ! ! !! !! !! !! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! !!! ! ! ! !! ! ! ! !! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! !! ! ! !!! ! !!! ! !!! !!! !! ! !! ! ! ! ! !!! ! !! ! !! ! !! ! ! ! ! ! !! ! ! ! !! !!! ! ! ! !! ! ! ! ! ! ! !!! ! !! !! !! !!! !! !! ! ! !! ! ! ! ! !! ! ! ! ! ! ! !! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! !! ! ! ! ! ! !! !! !! !! !! !! ! ! ! !!! ! !! !! ! !! !! ! !! ! ! ! !! ! !! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! !! ! !! ! ! ! ! !! ! ! ! ! ! ! !!! ! ! ! ! ! !! ! !! ! !! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! !! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! !! ! ! ! !! ! ! !! ! !! ! ! ! ! ! ! !! ! ! ! ! ! ! !! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! !! ! ! ! !! ! ! !! ! ! !! ! !! ! ! ! ! ! ! !

!

KARUMBA !

A be R e Ba h me

NORMANTON

No man on R e Ba h me

QUEENSLAND

LEGEND !

MSQ Da a

Gu Commun

CMap Ba h me

Shu e Da a

1 5 000 000 K H G © W GHD DS w D

G

Depa men o Land and P ann ng Su e Da a

L Da Da a

o

a A4

m

D m GDA GCS GDA

GSM D GHD A GA m DS A D

m

B

m

G

Gu o Ca pen a a S o m T de S udy

E eva on Da a Sources GHD DS

w P

ob Numbe Re on Da e

DS T A

N m

m

A

w

A

GA m

GA S

B

w

S

B m

w

SR M DEM

Q D

A

m

E m

m

@

m

41 23138 B 14 De 2012

F gure 3 1

W www

m

3.3

DEM Development

This section details the process and considerations in developing the Gulf of Carpentaria DEM which forms a major input to the hydrodynamic and wave models used throughout the course of the project. The philosophy was to use the best available data and, where required, carefully modifying datasets to ensure that they retained a level of hydraulic correctness to advancing storm tide propagation. 3.3.1

Overland Storm Surge Propagation

The onshore propagation of a storm surge is sensitive to the underlying topography and thus it is important to capture the ground/bathymetry elevations reasonably accurately. Unlike other regions of coastal Queensland where significant aerial topographic or bathymetric survey have been previously undertaken, there are large sections of the Gulf coast that remain relatively unsurveyed. While LiDAR data was available for key localities (Weipa, Pormpuraaw, Normanton, Karumba and Burketown) this data was spatially limited to the region immediately surrounding the community 3 leaving large data voids adjacent to communities affected by surge propagation. A good example of this issue is observed on the plains seaward of Burketown and Normanton (modelled as part of Stage 2) which have very low gradients and where storm surges have been recorded to travel up to 30 km inland. To ensure adequate storm tide propagation to these communities and fill in these data voids the study has made use of available river bathymetry, wetland data and elevation datasets not conventionally adopted for this form of study (such as the Shuttle Radar Topographic Mission (SRTM) DEM-S). 3.3.2

Accuracy of the provided SRTM DEM-S

The SRTM DEM-S elevation data (hereafter referred to as the Shuttle Data) is a 30 m resolution space shuttle captured radar elevation dataset. The DEM-S version adopted for this study represents the smoothed, de-vegetated dataset although it is noted there are significant sections of the study area that did not have this de-vegetation undertaken (refer brown gridded in Figure 3-3). In addition to the noise of vegetation there were also large sections of the southern Gulf where low-lying elevations had been set to 0.0 m and closer review of the dataset found large erroneous values in the salt pan regions adjacent to Karumba and Burketown. The shuttle data as supplied was provided on the Earth Geopotential Model 1996 (EGM96) datum which has between -0.8 and 1.2 m difference from the Australian Height Datum 1971 (AHD71), (GA, 2010). Generally this difference is less than uncertainties associated with the errors in the Shuttle Data and is an acceptable error range. Given the low-lying regions close to the coast this difference of up to 1.2 m was deemed significant enough to warrant shifting from EGM96 to AHD71. This shift to AHD71 would also provide a consistent datum for combining the Shuttle Data with LiDAR and other elevation datasets during DEM development. The process of shifting the Shuttle Data from EGM96 to AHD71 was undertaken under the guidance of DSITIA in the following sequence: 1. The provided Shuttle Data DEM-S was translated from the WGS84 to the GDA94 ellipsoid; 2. The translated data from step 1 had EGM96 (NASA, 1998) heights removed; 3

Thin strips of LiDAR capture were provided allowing some indication of ground levels seaward to the coast

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20

3. The residual heights from step 2 then had AusGeoid09 added; and 4. The data from step 3 was then shifted to the GDA94 Ellipsoid. To assess the accuracy of the AHD shifted Shuttle Data, levels were compared with the Queensland Permanent Survey Mark (PSM) database (refer Figure 3-3). This indicated that the differences were generally in the order of ± 2 m. To provide a better understanding of the spatial variability in accuracy the shifted shuttle data was also compared with the available LiDAR data for the study area. This LiDAR data was resampled to 30 m to provide a direct comparison to the LiDAR data. These differences are provided in Figure 3-2 and indicate: 

In low-lying areas differences are generally within ±1.0 m of the provided LiDAR(note Burketown and Karumba), which is better than expected from this dataset;



Regions to the west of Karumba with saltpans exhibit large erroneous values where the ground surface values may have been affected by ponded water; and



Regions of heavy vegetation indicate elevation differences of greater than ±2.5 m indicating large errors (along the Norman River in Karumba, Weipa).

Burketown

Normanton

Karumba

Weipa

Figure 3-2 Accuracy of Shifted Shuttle Data (Shifted Shuttle – LiDAR) ** ** Note: Green indicates Shifted Shuttle Data within ±1.0 m of LiDAR; Yellow within ±1.0 – 2.5 m; Red >±2.5 m of error.

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139 .3

140 .3

141 .3

Red Labels indicate the difference in elevation (m) between the GA Shuttle Data and Permanant Survey Marks (PSMs). Positive values indicate where the GA Shuttle Data is higher than the PSMs Blue areas indicate where the GA Shuttle Data has been set to 0mAHD. Review of the PSM vs GA Shuttle Data indicates absolute differences of approximately 2m where vegetation effects have been removed from the GA Shuttle Data (within light green squares). In areas where vegetation effects remain the GA shuttle data is much less reliable (within light red squares).

MORNINGTON ISLAND

!

-16 .58

-16 .58

!

-2.37 !

G U LF

O F

C A R PE N TA R IA

-1.2 !

! -1.86 !

!

SWEERS ISLAND

1 1 ! 2.66 !!4.3 !

-17 .58

-0.87 2.71

0.96 !

2.54 ! !

7.69 7.69

-0.99 ! 1.48 2.07! 2.56 ! ! 1.48 2.23 2.07 1.55 1.55 ! 1.5 1.5 !

! KARUMBA

! ! !! ! ! ! ! !!!! ! ! 1.62 ! ! 0.68 ! !

1.06 !

!

-0.3

!

-17 .58

-1.69 !

0.82 !

2.08 ! ! NORMANTON ! !

1.6 !!

BURKETOWN

-0.5! ! ! ! ! ! ! 0.44 ! -0.5 -0.56 ! -0.08 -0.08 !

-0.5 !

1.09 1.09 ! 1.22 2.57 1.22 ! 2.57 !

0.45 !

0.36 ! 1.29 ! 0.63 !

3.19 !

0.75 !

2.32

! 2.71 !!!! 1.21 !! ! ! 5.99 3.28 ! 9.63 ! 1.27 3.14 ! 4.11 ! !! ! 2.03 5.88 ! ! !! ! 7.42 1.9 ! ! 4.87 ! 1.32 !! 3.23 2.08 !! !!! 0.39 1.84 ! 0.36 ! ! ! !! ! 1.44 ! 1.98 4.62 0.93 ! 1.32 ! 1.32 !!

4.23 !

1.32

4.23

139 .3

140 .3

Source: Esri, i-cubed, USDA, USGS, AEX, GeoEye, Getmapping, Aerogrid, IGN, IGP, and the GIS User Community 141 .3

-18 .58

-0.72 !

LEGEND

! ! !

0

Gulf Community

-0.04 ( Corrected Shuttle - PSM) Permanant Survey Mark

1:1,200,000 (at A4) 25

Kilometers Horizontal Datum: GDA 1994 Grid: GCS GDA 1994

LiDAR Capture Zone

GA Shuttle Data Elevation = 0mAHD

50

o

No Veg. Removal Veg. Removal

DSITIA

Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide Study

Aus Geoid Corrected GA Shuttle Data vs PSMs

Job Number Revision Date

41 - 23138 B 14 Dec 2012

Figure 3.3

145 Ann Street Brisbane QLD 4000 Australia T 61 7 3316 3000 F 61 7 3316 3333 E [email protected] W www.ghd.com.au G:\41\23138\GIS\Maps\Deliverables\4123138_019_rev_b.mxd © 2011. While GHD has taken care to ensure the accuracy of this product, GHD, DSITIA and GA make no representations or warranties about its accuracy, completeness or suitability for any particular purpose. GHD, DSITIA and GA cannot accept liability of any kind (whether in contract, tort or otherwise) for any expenses, losses, damages and/or costs (including indirect or consequential damage) which are or may be incurred as a result of the product being inaccurate, incomplete or unsuitable in any way and for any reason. Data source: DSITIA - Gazetted Places Names (2009), QLD Permanent Survey Marks(2009); GA - State Boundaries (2007)

3.3.3

Removal of Erroneous Saltpan Features and Hydraulic Enforcement

Due to the initial setting of mudflats to 0.0 m and also erroneous values observed in mudflat areas, these regions have been set to a value of 1.7 m AHD. This was a representative level for salt pan areas as provided in LiDAR capture surrounding Karumba, Normanton and Burketown. It also represents a level approximately 0.1 m above Mean Higher High Water (MHHW). The spatial extent of mudflats was defined using aerial photography and also the DSITIA 2009 Wetland Dataset. In addition to setting erroneous mudflats to a representative elevation all major river systems (with the exception of the Norman and Albert (see below)) were set to a nominal bed elevation of -10.0 m AHD. This level provided some conveyance of storm surge flow into major river systems in the Gulf region. 3.3.4

Bathymetric Representation of the Albert and Norman Rivers

The communities of Burketown and Normanton both reside on major river systems that need to be represented to ensure the adequate propagation of storm tide upriver. A DEM was developed for the Norman River by stringing cross sectional data together (Maunsell, 2003) in the survey package 12D. An example of the Norman River DEM creation is provided in Figure 3-4. For the Albert River limited survey data was available dating to the early 1970s. Review of this data indicated the river had been poorly surveyed at this time or perhaps there had been large morphological changes post 1970s. While there were inadequacies in the survey, where possible this data was used to inform the DEM development of the Albert River.

Figure 3-4 DEM Development of the Norman River 3.3.5

Merging the DEM Datasets

The available datasets were combined to produce a final project DEM with resolutions ranging from 30 m to 750 m. Where high resolution accurate datasets were available these were used in preference of less accurate or lower resolution datasets. This was undertaken by ‘stamping’ the more reliable data onto the less accurate datasets. It is noted that due to the reduced spatial resolution of the hydrodynamic model outside of populated areas (i.e. where LiDAR was available), it is unlikely that this stamping led to rapid changes or so-called ‘vertical walls’ in the model DEM, thus avoiding ‘shocks’ in the modelled storm tide response. The project DEM is provided in Figure 3-5.

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23

135 .95

136 .95

137 .95

138 .95

139 .95

140 .95

141 .95

142 .95

-9.04

SE A

-10 .04

A R A F U R A

PAPUA NEW GUINEA

-10 .04

-9.04

-8.04

134 .95

-8.04

133 .95

-11.04

!

G U LF O F C A R P EN TA R IA

BANIYALA

!

!

!

!

ALYANGULA ! UMBAKUMBA

NUMBULWAR

-15 .04

!

BING BONG

-16 .04

!

PORMPURAAW

!

KOWANYAMA

KING ASH BAY

!

QUEENSLAND

MORNINGTON ISLAND

BENTINCK ISLAND SWEERS ISLAND

NORTHERN TERRITORY

-17 .04

!

-17 .04

AURUKUN

-15 .04

-14 .04

!

WEIPA

-14 .04

MILYAKBURRA

-12 .04

YIRRKALA

MAPOON

! !

!

KARUMBA

NORMANTON

133 .95

134 .95

LEGEND

! Gulf Community

135 .95

Elevation (mAHD)*** -69.2 - -60

-59.99 - -50 -49.99 - -40

0

1:5,500,000 (at A4)

50

100

150

Kilometers Horizontal Datum: GDA 1994 Grid: GCS GDA 1994

136 .95

-39.99 - -30

10.01 - 20

-9.99 - 0

30.01 - 40

-29.99 - -10 0.01 - 10

200

137 .95

o

20.01 - 30

138 .95

139 .95

140 .95

141 .95

142 .95

-19 .04

-18 .04

!

-18 .04

!

BURKETOWN

-16 .04

-13 .04

!

!

-13 .04

-12 .04

-11.04

TORRES STRAIT

***Offshore bathymetry has been shifted to m AHD based on available tidal plane information.

DSITIA

Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide Study

Job Number Revision Date

Project Digital Elevation Model

41 - 23138 B 14 Dec 2012

Figure 3.5

145 Ann Street Brisbane QLD 4000 Australia T 61 7 3316 3000 F 61 7 3316 3333 E [email protected] W www.ghd.com.au G:\41\23138\GIS\Maps\Deliverables\4123138_018_rev_b.mxd © 2011. While GHD has taken care to ensure the accuracy of this product, GHD, DSITIA and GA make no representations or warranties about its accuracy, completeness or suitability for any particular purpose. GHD, DSITIA and GA cannot accept liability of any kind (whether in contract, tort or otherwise) for any expenses, losses, damages and/or costs (including indirect or consequential damage) which are or may be incurred as a result of the product being inaccurate, incomplete or unsuitable in any way and for any reason. Data source: DSITIA - Gazetted Places Names (2009); GA - Coastline (2007). GHD - DEM (2011)

4.

Regional Meteorology

The large scale meteorology of the Gulf of Carpentaria region is dominated predominantly by the influences of, inter alia: 

The summer NW Monsoon, and



The winter SE Trade Winds.

The seasonality, strength and persistence of these two major influences dictate the mean oceanic response. TCs are then capable of intermittently influencing and interacting with these larger scale influences during summer, which is the peak rain season. On the hemispheric scale, inter-annual influences due to the El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) (e.g. Nicholls 1992) and potential inter-decadal influences such as the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation (IPO) (e.g. Power et al. 1999) act to adjust the background ocean and atmospheric conditions.

4.1

Synoptic Patterns and Winds

The Gulf of Carpentaria regional meteorology is dominated by the summer NW monsoon and the winter SE Trade circulations, as summarised in Figure 4-1. The monsoon trough typically develops in late October and moves southwards during the summer, being located over the Arnhem Land region in January, and then ascends once again by April. During the monsoon trough descent and ascent periods TCs have an enhanced opportunity to form in the Arafura and Coral Sea. For the remainder of the year the region is under the influence of high pressure systems far to the south. The strong seasonal directionality is evident in the example wind roses at Burketown (SW Gulf) and Weipa (NE Gulf) (refer Figure 4-2) To provide a broad basin overview of wind strengths, Figure 4-3 summarises the seasonally-varying 10 min mean wind for Horn Island, Weipa, Kowanyama, Mornington Island, Centre Island and Groote Eylandt. These 9 am and 3 pm snapshot (aka synoptic) data are based on varying record lengths (13 y at Horn Island4 to 41 at Mornington Island) and although indicative, not all observations over time are instrumented. The dominance of what are the SE Trades during the winter half-year in the Torres Strait is very clear. Also of interest is the significant diurnal variation at Horn Island, while there is much less diurnal variability evident in the other sites, some of which are not particularly well exposed to the ocean. In any case it can be seen that wind speeds generally decease from north to south on the Cape York coast but conversely increase on the Northern Territory coast with the increased easterly fetch.

4

In the Torres Strait, Thursday Island has the longer record of 42.5 y, but as discussed in SEA (2011), is deemed topographically affected such that the surface data is over-estimated. Nearby Horn Island winds however may also tend to be under-estimated.

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Figure 4-1 Seasonal mean synoptic pressure patterns (BoM analysis NCEP/NCAR 1979-2000).

Figure 4-2 Seasonality of mean wind patterns for Burketown (left) and Weipa (right) for the summer half year (top) and the winter half year (bottom), (BoM online climate data).

41/23138/432535

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26

35

30

9am Groote Eyelandt

25

3pm

30

Wind Speed km/h

Wind Speed km/h

35

20 15 10

15 10 5

0

0

9am Horn Is 3pm

35

30

9am Centre Island

25

3pm

20 15 10

Wind Speed km/h

Wind Speed km/h

20

5

35

30

9am Weipa Aero

25

3pm

20 15 10

5

5

0

0

35

35

30

9am Mornington Is

25

3pm

Wind Speed km/h

Wind Speed km/h

25

20 15 10

30

9am Kowanyama Airport

25

3pm

20 15 10

5

5

0

0

Figure 4-3 Seasonal synoptic regional mean wind summary (BoM online climate data).

4.2

The “Morning Glory”

A curious meteorological effect in the Gulf of Carpentaria is the somewhat frequent occurrence of a large scale undular bore, manifested by a spectacular roll-cloud colloquially-named the “Morning Glory” that is triggered largely by the sea breeze confluence across the Cape York Peninsula. Nudelman et al. (2010) is one of the more recent of many investigations into these bore-like disturbances, which notes that they tend to have two main directions of travel: The most common propagate predominantly from the northeastern sector and are associated with disturbances that originate over Cape York Peninsula. However, a number of disturbances originate south of the Gulf and subsequently propagate towards the north or northwest. These southerly morning glory disturbances are associated with the passage of cold fronts across central Australia, or are spawned within the inland trough following strong ridging across the continent. Notwithstanding their spectacular appearance, these features are not associated with extreme wind or significant storm tide episodes, although their signat ure will be present in such datasets.

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27

4.3

Regional Extreme Wind Analyses

Considering the vastness of the Gulf region there is unfortunately a paucity of coastal wind speed data upon which to infer extreme wind statistics. However the available regional wind speed record is still a valuable asset for assessing the broadscale variability and providing some order of magnitude verification for the later statistical modelling of winds that leads to estimates of extreme water levels (refer Section 7.5). In this section, wind data from four long-term official BoM sites is considered, derived from SEA (2011) analyses. The peak 10-min mean (V600) and 3-s peak daily gusts (V3) have been adjusted for station exposure and analysed to estimate the wind speed ARIs in those localities for both cyclonic and noncyclonic influences. The BoM stations used for the extreme wind analysis are indicated on Figure 4-4 with site details provided in Table 4-1. After considering the many gaps in the data, it can be seen in Table 4-1 that the longest wind record available in the region is for peak daily wind gust at Weipa. This assumes that the current Aero and earlier Eastern Avenue site datasets can be merged (herein termed “combined”) to form a single recoverable 45 y record (refer section 4.4). This is closely followed by the 10-min mean wind record at the same merged Weipa site, followed by Gove with 27 to 35 y (also a merged data site from SEA (2011)). The mean wind dataset is often a mixture of synoptic (3-hourly) and hourly mean winds as a result of various changes in instrumentation and the shift from manual to automatic operation at many sites, especially airports. These changes unavoidably act to reduce the homogeneity of the record in ways that cannot be readily identified or corrected. Table 4-1 also indicates the peak raw wind speeds from each of the datasets for reference. The values from the short record at Kowanyama are however deemed unreliable. The majority of sites have experienced peak gusts to about 25 to 30 ms -1 and peak mean winds of about 20 to 25 ms -1.

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136 .48

137 .48

138 .48

139 .48

140 .48

141 .48

142 .48

-8.24

135 .48

-8.24

134 .48

PAPUA NEW GUINEA -9.24

SE A

-9.24

A R A F U R A

-10 .24

-10 .24

TORRES STRAIT

-11.24

-11.24

Horn Island !

MAPOON -12 .24

-12 .24

Gove Airport !!

!

YIRRKALA

WEIPA

Weipa Aero ! BANIYALA !

-14 .24

!

ALYANGULA ! UMBAKUMBA

NUMBULWAR

G U LF O F C A R P EN TA R IA

!

-15 .24

!

!

-14 .24

MILYAKBURRA

KOWANYAMA

! Kowanyama Airport !

BING BONG

QUEENSLAND

KING ASH BAY

-16 .24

!

PORMPURAAW

!

NORTHERN TERRITORY

-16 .24

!

AURUKUN

-13 .24

!

-15 .24

-13 .24

!

MORNINGTON ISLAND

BENTINCK ISLAND SWEERS ISLAND

!

134 .48

135 .48

136 .48

137 .48

138 .48

!

BURKETOWN

139 .48

!

140 .48

-17 .24

KARUMBA

NORMANTON

141 .48

142 .48

-18 .24

-17 .24

! !

LEGEND !

Gulf Community

!

BOM Regional Wind Station

0

1:5,000,000 (at A4)

50

100

150

Kilometers Horizontal Datum: GDA 1994 Grid: GCS GDA 1994

200

o

DSITIA

Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide Study

BoM Regional Wind Stations

Job Number Revision Date

41 - 23138 B 14 Dec 2012

Figure 4.4

145 Ann Street Brisbane QLD 4000 Australia T 61 7 3316 3000 F 61 7 3316 3333 E [email protected] W www.ghd.com.au G:\41\23138\GIS\Maps\Deliverables\4123138_021_rev_b.mxd © 2011. While GHD has taken care to ensure the accuracy of this product, GHD, DSITIA and GA make no representations or warranties about its accuracy, completeness or suitability for any particular purpose. GHD, DSITIA and GA cannot accept liability of any kind (whether in contract, tort or otherwise) for any expenses, losses, damages and/or costs (including indirect or consequential damage) which are or may be incurred as a result of the product being inaccurate, incomplete or unsuitable in any way and for any reason. Data source: DSITIA - Gazetted Places Names (2009); GA - State Boundaries (2007)

Table 4-1

Summary of regional wind station metadata and raw peak winds.

3-sec Peak Daily Gust Winds V3 Station

Name

Raw Peak Wind Lat

Lon

Station Ht

deg

deg

m MSL

Start

End

Span

Av ail

Record

V3

y

%

y

m/s

27045

WEIPA AERO

-12.6778

141.9208

18.0

30/10/1980

30/07/2009

28.8

87

29.0

28

09/03/1996

27042

WEIPA EASTERN AVE

-12.6267

141.7475

20.0

02/01/1959

28/02/1994

35.2

84

31.0

32

10/01/1992

27045

WEIPA (combined)

-12.6267

141.8836

18.0

02/01/1959

30/07/2009

50.6

86

45.0

28

09/03/1996

29038

KOWANYAMA AIRPORT

-15.4839

141.7475

9.6

29/11/1965

30/07/2009

43.7

21

9.4

54 5

01/02/2001

14508

GOVE (combined)

-12.2741

136.8203

51.6

02/03/1972

19/12/2006

34.8

77

27.3

32

12/03/2005

10-min Mean Winds (3 hourly or Hourly) V600 Station

5

Date

Name

Raw Peak Wind Lat

Lon

Station Ht

deg

deg

m MSL

Start

End

Span

Av ail

Record

V600

y

%

y

m/s

Date

27058

HORN ISLAND

-10.5844

142.2900

4.0

11/10/1995

30/07/2009

13.8

63

15.0

16

11/01/2009

27045

WEIPA AERO

-12.6778

141.9208

18.0

11/10/1995

30/07/2009

13.8

99

14.0

27

05/01/1999

27042

WEIPA EASTERN AVE

-12.6267

141.7475

20.0

01/01/1959

28/02/1994

35.2

25

31.0

19

02/03/1961

27045

WEIPA (combined)

-12.6267

141.8836

18.0

01/01/1959

22/08/2004

45.7

42

42.0

19

29038

KOWANYAMA AIRPORT

-15.4839

141.7475

9.6

28/11/1965

22/08/2004

38.8

10

38.0

40

14508

GOVE (combined)

-12.2741

136.8203

51.6

31/08/1966

20/12/2006

40.3

60

35.0

23

02/03/1961 5

18/10/2003 11/03/2005

Deemed unreliable or possible thunderstorm.

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4.4

Analysis of Station Adjusted Wind Extremes

Following a series of site-specific directional wind adjustments for topography and surface roughness (SEA 2011), each station record was further analysed as follows: 

The time series were “windowed” using a 5 day period to approximate the independence of event peak winds;



The data were separated into “combined”, “non-cyclonic” and “cyclonic” classifications;



The “cyclonic” classification was based on whether a tropical cyclone centre (as estimated by the best track file, refer later) was within 300 km of the station at the time of the reading;



The resulting peak data plotting positions have been allocated according to Gringorten (1963).

The results of the analysis of measured peak daily wind gusts are presented in Figure 4-5, where the applicable Region C regional design wind speed from Standards Australia (2002) is also illustrated for reference and can be seen to lie comfortably above the various objective analyses. As previously noted the peak value at Kowanyama is considered likely spurious. Similarly Figure 4-6 shows the mean wind speeds across the region, stratified into all-data, cyclonic-only and non-cyclonic categories. The interested reader is encouraged to consult SEA (2011) to judge the quality of the various data, which clearly varies between sites and categories and as a function of the length of record. In particular, the Kowanyama and Horn Island results are not deemed reliable generally due to their very short records. Considering the peak gust analyses, there is a very clear differentiation between the cyclonic and noncyclonic results for all sites. Gove and Weipa indicate essentially identical results and, while the Weipa record is longer, this similarity with Gove may well be related to their like latitude on either s ide of the Gulf of Carpentaria. Considering the mean wind analyses, the relative wind risks are similar to the gusts but with less differentiation between the sites.

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60 Weipa Combined Kowanyama Gove Combined AS/NZ1170.2 (2002)

Peak Gust V3 m/s

50 40 30 20

All Data 10 0 1

10 Return Period y

100

60 Weipa Combined Kowanyama Gove Combined

Peak Gust V3 m/s

50 40 30 20

TC-only 10 0 1

10 Return Period y

100

60 Weipa Combined Kowanyama Gove Combined

Peak Gust V3 m/s

50 40 30 20

Non-TC-only 10 0 1

10 Return Period y

100

Figure 4-5 Statistical analysis of regional peak gust wind speeds.

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60

All Data Peak Mean V600 m/s

50

Weipa Combined Kowanyama

40

Gove Combined Horn Is

30 20 10 0 1

10 Return Period y

100

60

TC-only Peak Mean V600 m/s

50

Weipa Combined Kowanyama

40

Gove Combined Horn Is

30 20 10 0 1

10 Return Period y

100

60

Non-TC Only Peak Mean V600 m/s

50

Weipa Combined Kowanyama

40

Gove Combined Horn Is

30 20 10 0 1

10 Return Period y

100

Figure 4-6 Statistical analysis of regional peak mean wind speeds.

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Astronomical Tides

5.

The Gulf of Carpentaria is a semi-enclosed shallow sea located at the confluence of the Pacific and Indian Oceans. On its eastern boundary Pacific waters pass into the Gulf via the Torres Strait, a region of very shallow bathymetry, reefs and islands which act to limit the flow to/from the Gulf to the Pacific. In comparison, the Arafura Sea to the west provides a largely unimpeded linkage to the Timor Sea and Indian Ocean. Tidally, the region is complex due to the influence of these merged ocean systems, the shallow bathymetry and the degree of ocean interaction with the atmosphere. Here water levels experienced are a complex combination of both the astronomical tide and seasonal, annual and inter-annual weather and oceanic variability. The accurate reproduction of the astronomical tide forms the basis for the overlying storm tide and broadscale statistics. To understand each contribution from astronomic, ocean and weather forcing this chapter firstly investigates the available regional tidal records using harmonic analysis. Once the astronomic components have been separated from the residual background water levels the astronomical tide is then reproduced using the hydrodynamic model MMUSURGE. It is noted here that this chapter focuses on accurately reproducing water levels due to the astronomical forcing alone. The effects of non-astronomical forcings are more closely related to broadscale variability and thus are addressed in Chapter 6.

5.1

Analysis of Regional Tide Gauge Data

The measured tidal data in the region is the primary source of information regarding storm tide events from both broadscale and TC origins. It is therefore necessary to separate, as much as possible, the periodic astronomical signal from the raw signal to obtain the estimates of both the tidal constituents and the residual non-tidal water levels. This was done by harmonic analysis of the water level records utilising up to 36 constituents in software developed by the AMC/MMU. Measured tidal data with records of length sufficient to allow harmonic analysis are indicated in Table 5-1 and shown on Figure 5-1. 5.1.1

Tidal Analysis Results

The results of the tidal analyses for the major semi-diurnal and diurnal tidal constituents (O1, K1, N2, M2 and S2) are given in Table 5-2 and extraction of residuals is summarised graphically in Figure 5-2 to Figure 5-4 for each of the long term tidal stations. Each location is presented as two panels. Taking Booby Island (top two panels of Figure 5-2) as an example, the figure details the following: 

The upper panel shows the full time history of the available tide gauge water level data plotted in blue. Over-plotted in red is the same dataset with periods of TC removed.



Within the lower panel for Booby Island, the plotted green data shows the residual water levels derived from harmonic analysis of the identifiable tidal constituents. This green dataset essentially shows the contribution of daily, seasonal and inter-annual meteorological variability on water levels

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within the region, inclusive of TCs. The over-plotted red data shows the full residual dataset stratified by periods with and without TC activity. At this compressed scale the considerable annual variability in the residual water levels is quite evident . Note that for this work the astronomical tide analysis does not include constituents such as the Sa and Ssa whose effects are treated as part of atmospheric forcing in the broadscale synoptic modelling. Visual inspection also shows the periodic impact of tropical cyclones in the residual record (green spikes in the lower panel). Missing data (indicated by gaps) does not interfere with this process but does act to limit the value of the analysis.

Table 5-1 Authority

Location

Longitude

Latitude

Data Record (y)

AMSA

Booby Island

-10.601

141.911

>39

NTC

Weipa (Humbug Pt.)

-12.666

141.883

>45

DSITIA

Weipa Storm Surge

-12.666

141.867

>15

NTC

Karumba

-17.500

140.833

>32

DSITIA

Karumba Storm Surge

-17.500

140.816

>15

DSITIA

Mornington Island Storm Surge

-16.667

139.167

>3

NTTG

Centre Island

-15.750

136.817

21

NTC

Groote Eylandt/Milner Bay

-13.867

136.427

>17

NTC

Gove

-12.167

136.700

>45

6

6

Available Tidal Data

Northern Territory Transport Group

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136 .48

137 .48

138 .48

139 .48

140 .48

141 .48

142 .48 -8.24

135 .48

-8.24

134 .48

PAPUA NEW GUINEA -9.24

SE A

-9.24

A R A F U R A

-10 .24

-10 .24

TORRES STRAIT

-11.24

Booby Island

-11.24

! .

Gove !

MAPOON

YIRRKALA

-12 .24

-12 .24

! .

!

Weipa (Humbug Pt)

!

BANIYALA !

-13 .24

-13 .24

! .!

AURUKUN

MILYAKBURRA Groote Eylandt/Miner Bay ! ! ! UMBAKUMBA -14 .24

NUMBULWAR

G ULF O F CARP ENTA RIA

!

PORMPURAAW

-15 .24

!

BING BONG !

KING ASH BAY

! .

!

Centre Island

-15 .24

-14 .24

! .

KOWANYAMA

QUEENSLAND

-16 .24

-16 .24

!

! .

NORTHERN TERRITORY

Mornington Island !

BENTINCK ISLAND SWEERS ISLAND -17 .24

Karumba

! .! !

134 .48

135 .48

136 .48

137 .48

138 .48

BURKETOWN

139 .48

!

NORMANTON

140 .48

141 .48

142 .48

-18 .24

-17 .24

! !

LEGEND !

. !

Gulf Community Tidal Data Station

1:5,000,000 (at A4) 0

50

100

150

Kilometers Horizontal Datum: GDA 1994 Grid: GCS GDA 1994

200

o

DSITIA Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide Study

Available Tidal Stations 145 Ann Street Brisbane QLD 4000 Australia T 61 7 3316 3000 F 61 7 3316 3333 E

Job Number Revision Date

41 - 23138 B 14 Dec 2012

Figure 5.1

[email protected] W www.ghd.com.au G:\41\23138\GIS\Maps\Deliverables\4123138_015_rev_b.mxd © 2011. While GHD has taken care to ensure the accuracy of this product, GHD, DSITIA and GA make no representations or warranties about its accuracy, completeness or suitability for any particular purpose. GHD, DSITIA and GA cannot accept liability of any kind (whether in contract, tort or otherwise) for any expenses, losses, damages and/or costs (including indirect or consequential damage) which are or may be incurred as a result of the product being inaccurate, incomplete or unsuitable in any way and for any reason. Data source: DSITIA - Gazetted Places Names (2009); GA - State Boundaries (2007)

Figure 5-2 Booby Island (top) and Weipa (bottom) tide gauge data and tidal residual analysis.

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Figure 5-3 Karumba (top) and Centre Island (bottom) tide gauge data and tidal residual analysis.

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Figure 5-4 Groote Eylandt (top) and Gove (bottom) tide gauge data and tidal residual analysis.

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Table 5-2

Measured amplitude (m) and local phase (o) of major tidal constituents

Station Name

Latitude

Longitude

Constituents O1

K1

N2

M2

S2

Amp

Phase

Amp

Phase

Amp

Phase

Amp

Phase

Amp

Phase

Booby Island

-10.601

141.911

0.43

133

0.69

193

0.17

85

0.72

131

0.14

262

Weipa (Humbug Pt.)

-12.666

141.883

0.31

159

0.45

216

0.09

114

0.36

147

0.11

209

Karumba

-17.500

140.833

0.63

258

0.86

334

0.03

126

0.19

178

0.04

325

Mornington Island Storm Surge

-16.667

139.167

0.45

254

0.57

328

0.03

340

0.14

29

0.03

120

Centre Island

-15.750

136.817

0.36

276

0.44

355

0.08

14

0.40

57

0.10

143

Groote Eylandt/Milner Bay

-13.867

136.427

0.26

300

0.33

21

0.02

341

0.06

345

0.04

48

Gove

-12.167

136.700

0.22

25

0.27

99

0.17

225

0.81

260

0.25

343

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5.2

Numerical Hydrodynamic Modelling of the Regional Astronomical Tide

In order to obtain estimates of the statistical distribution of extreme water levels within the region it is necessary to construct a numerical model bordering on the Arafura and Coral Seas encompassing the entire Gulf of Carpentaria and Torres Strait at a resolution sufficient to represent the tidal scale processes and the coastal features. The adopted model domain, which makes use of the bathymetry data, is termed here the A00 model and is illustrated in Figure 5-5. The spatial resolution is 4' (four minutes of arc or 7.50 km) and the model is driven by tidal signals along its eastern and western boundaries guided by previous AMC regional modelling and further manually calibrated here against the regionally measured tide. The numerical tidal model used is based on Bode and Mason (1994, 1995) and Bode et al. (1997) and is a rectilinear-nested three-dimensional barotropic model with an implicit finite difference numerical scheme. The two-dimensional (depth-integrated) model mode was used for the tidal modelling. The nested rectilinear domains provide for highly efficient numerical performance and the model’s ability to incorporate internal sub-grid scale boundary conditions provides for enhanced resolution of reefs, banks and shoals (Bode and Mason 2005). The A00 tidal model was then calibrated using all seven suitable tide stations to ensure that the principal tidal components would each be well represented. A total of 36 major and minor tidal constituents are included. The model’s ability to reproduce the tide is initially evaluated at the individual constituent level by comparing the measured and modelled amplitudes and local phases. Data for the 5 major tidal constituents O1, K1, N2, M2 and S2 (Table 5-2) can be compared with those produced by the model (Table 5-3). Table 5-4 provides a simple difference (modelled – measured) of these constituents and indicates: 

The accuracy of tidal amplitudes is consistently higher than that achieved for tidal phase. Generally the modelled constituent amplitudes accurately match the measured, with errors within ±0.05 m;



The O1 and K 1 modelled tidal phases are most accurate achieving ± 20o at all sites. The N2 and M2 phases are less reliable particularly at Weipa and Karumba. It is noted that the Gulf is highly sensitive to water depth and phase differences of several degrees could be achieved with a water depth change of 1 m (Lou Mason, personal communication);



The tidal calibrations at Gove, Centre Island and Groote Eylandt may be limited by the spatial resolution of the A00 model. It is noted that tidal calibration could have been improved for each individual sites with the use of higher resolution models, however the aim here was to produce a Gulf-wide model that could adequately capture the tide for the purposes of storm tide statistics; and



Overall, given the many uncertainties involved, this is regarded as a suitably accurate match for the present purposes.

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The full predictive value of the output from the A00 model is best illustrated by considering the modelled propagation of the principal tidal components in terms of their amplitude and relative phase. This is lustrated in Figure 5-6 which shows the modelled amplitude of the major diurnal constituent (K1) and major semi-diurnal constituent (M2) across the study region as a series of height contours and the propagation phase angle as a colour-coded background. The red dots at each location represent that corresponding measured tidal constituents. The highest tidal amplitude can be seen concentrated against the coast of Irian Jaya, Indonesia and the Papua New Guinea coastline. The combinations of harmonics, plus shallow water sub-harmonics that are generated by the tidal flow interaction with the bathymetry are responsible for giving the tide its special and complex character across the region.

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Figure 5-5 A00 Hydrodynamic grid extent.

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Figure 5-6 K1 and M2 tidal constituents amplitude and phase.

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Table 5-3

Modelled amplitude (m) and local phase (o) of major tidal constituents

Station Name

Latitude

Longitude

Constituents O1

K1

N2

M2

S2

Amp

Phase

Amp

Phase

Amp

Phase

Amp

Phase

Amp

Phase

Booby Island

-10.601

141.911

0.40

125

0.72

185

0.16

98

0.77

141

0.21

230

Weipa (Humbug Pt.)

-12.666

141.883

0.28

146

0.45

202

0.08

87

0.33

124

0.13

193

Karumba

-17.500

140.833

0.63

245

1.00

315

0.02

176

0.14

201

0.05

326

Mornington Island Storm Surge

-16.667

139.167

0.38

241

0.54

312

0.02

338

0.15

28

0.04

110

Centre Island

-15.750

136.817

0.34

267

0.47

342

0.06

18

0.29

64

0.10

150

Groote Eylandt/Milner Bay

-13.867

136.427

0.25

287

0.34

6

0.02

313

0.09

321

0.04

47

Gove

-12.167

136.700

0.20

18

0.30

89

0.15

231

0.76

266

0.27

247

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Table 5-4

Difference in modelled and measured amplitude (m) and local phase (o) of major tidal constituents (modelled –measured).

Station Name

Latitude

Longitude

Constituents O1

K1

Amp

Phase

N2

Amp

Phase

M2

Amp

Phase

S2

Amp

Phase

Amp

Phase

Booby Island

-10.601

141.911

-0.03

-7

0.03

-8

-0.01

13

0.05

10

0.07

-32

Weipa (Humbug Pt.)

-12.666

141.883

-0.03

-12

0.01

-14

-0.01

-26

-0.04

-23

0.02

-17

Karumba

-17.500

140.833

0.00

-13

0.14

-19

-0.01

50

-0.05

23

0.01

1

Mornington Island Storm Surge

-16.667

139.167

-0.07

-13

-0.03

-16

0.00

-2

0.00

-2

0.01

-10

Centre Island

-15.750

136.817

-0.02

-9

0.03

-13

-0.03

4

-0.11

7

-0.01

8

Groote Eylandt/Milner Bay

-13.867

136.427

-0.02

-14

0.02

-14

0.00

-28

0.03

-24

0.00

-1

Gove

-12.167

136.700

-0.02

-7

0.03

-10

-0.02

6

-0.05

6

0.02

-96

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5.3

Estimation of the Highest Astronomical Tide Levels (HAT)

The estimated HAT is used for two purposes in this study – as a reference elevation representing the normally expected upper range of the ocean levels during benign weather periods and to form the basis of the Theoretical Maximum Storm Tide (TMST) level (refer Section 8.8). The base HAT “surface” is estimated from the hydrodynamic model constituents for each model point. These are produced by analysing an extended period of NCEP-forcing to produce a synthetic tidal record at each model node that will also enable identification of the “seasonal correction” constituents. The following 16 constituents were then extracted by harmonic analysis: M2, S2, K1, N2, O1, K2, P1, Q1, neu2, L2, S1, meu2, 2N2, J1, sa and ssa. These constituents were then used to generate tides for the 20 y epoch 1992 to 2011 at a 0.5 h interval so as to provide an estimate of HAT at each of the designated open coast sites. This base HAT estimate from this process was then replaced by the official ANTT HAT values at Standard Ports in the Northern Territory (and interpolated between them) and also interpolated to match DSITIA-supplied7 HAT values along the Queensland coast. This matching process then yielded a simple range ratio that is used by the parametric storm tide model (refer Section 10.2) when reconstructing the tide at the designated open coast sites based on the 16 model constituents. Guidance on the tide response at some estuarine locations was also provided by the use of the Stage 2 hydrodynamic model (as described in Section 10.2). In summary the adopted HAT method uses the varying tidal surface derived from the hydrodynamic model but adjusts it (up or down) to match the published values. This acts to preserve the regionally significant details of the tidal signal.

Table 5-5

Estimated HAT values at the communities of interest.

Location

HAT m MSL

Mapoon

1.56

Weipa (Evans Landing)

1.55

Aurukun

1.58

Pormpuraaw

1.92

Kowanyama (Mitchell River)

1.96

Karumba

2.77

Normanton

0.82 (approx.)

Sweers Island

2.66

Bentinck Island

2.61

Gununa

1.91

Burketown

2.82 (approx.)

7

The DSITIA HAT line is based on associated analyses of the tide model developed for this study by UTAS/AMC.

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Location

HAT

King Ash Bay (Port McArthur)

1.35

Bing Bong

1.23

Numbulwar

1.13

Umbakumba

1.09

Alyangula

1.10

Milyakburra

1.13

Baniyala

1.29

Yirrkala

1.22

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6.

Modelling the Broadscale Sea Level Variability

6.1

Introduction

In this section the impact of meteorological and long period oceanic forcings on water levels in the Gulf are investigated. The term ‘broadscale’ water level variability is used here to define extreme water levels due to the combined effects of the astronomic tide plus wind and pressure variations not directl y associated with tropical cyclone vortices within the Gulf. Extreme water levels due solely to tropical cyclones are detailed in subsequent chapters. The sea level in the Gulf of Carpentaria, because of its relatively shallow waters, is strongly influenced by both seasonal changes in synoptic wind patterns and other intense synoptic scale weather systems such as the monsoon, southeastery tradewinds and tropical cyclones. While tropical cyclones result in the most extreme water levels experienced in the region, often the onset of an energetic and prolonged northwesterly monsoonal flow, combined with periods of high tides can result in modest yet relatively frequent inundation of low-lying coastal margins. Figure 6-1 illustrates the typical broadscale process that occurs in the region. During the summer monsoon northerly winds tend to drive water level setup in the southern Gulf. This effect is opposite in the non-summer months where the south-easterly trades can lead to water level setdown and tidal suppression. This effect is prevalent in the observation record as determined using tidal analysis in Section 5.1.

Figure 6-1 Monsoonal (left) and tradewinds (right) average seasonal mean wind speed and direction (Derived by AMC from BoMLAPS output). Firstly this chapter addresses the ability of the hydrodynamic model to accurately reproduce the magnitude of the seasonal water level variability of the so-called seasonal constituents as identified by tidal analyses in Section 5.1. Secondly, the hydrodynamic model (as developed for tidal calibration) is forced with hindcast meteorological and tidal constituent data for the past 60 y. Inter-annual variability of the ocean levels external to the model is also represented via the model open boundaries. This provides a baseline 60 y of broadscale water level variability which can then be validated against the available tide gauge data. To form the basis of the statistical analysis of broadscale extreme ocean conditions, this 60 y reconstruction

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is then re-simulated with a varying tide phase for twenty-one separate renditions 100 y apart to provide an effective data period of over 1300 y.

6.2

Reproducing the Average Annual and Inter-Annual Water Level Variability

To obtain a reliable estimate of the extremes in sea level due to broadscale forcing it is necessary to capture not only the locally generated non-astronomical water level gradients and associated currents, but also those passing into the Gulf through the Torres Strait and Arafura Sea. These effects include: 

Daily water level responses generated by synoptic variations acting directly on the surface of the Gulf;



Average annual water level responses generated by synoptic variations acting directly on the surface of the Gulf;



Average annual water level variability passing into the Gulf from both the Torres Strait and Arafura/Timor Sea; and



Longer term (inter annual) water level variability passing into the Gulf, such as the effect of the Southern Oscillation Index.

To reproduce observed broadscale water levels these local and externally driven wind, pressure and oceanic water level signals have been input as open boundary conditions into the calibrated A00 hydrodynamic tidal model (as developed in Chapter 5) using a selection of global climate reanalysis model outputs, regional hindcast model outputs (either stand-alone or in combination). 6.2.1

The Locally Generated Average Annual Water Level Variability

Changes in water level associated with the seasonal weather cycle for most locations on the east Queensland coast are relatively small and have amplitudes that are generally less than 0.1 m. However in the Gulf of Carpentaria this seasonal response is much larger and, as highlighted in Chapter 5 via tidal harmonic analyses, reaches amplitudes of about 0.4 m at Karumba (refer Table 6-1) in the southernmost part. While a component of this seasonal variability is generated externally to the Gulf, a significant proportion of the Sa and Ssa8 variability (~75%) is generated by wind and pressure variations directly on the surface of the Gulf of Carpentaria and Arafura Sea. Table 6-1

Sa Tidal Constituent Amplitude and Phase

Site

Amplitude (m)

Phase (o)

Weipa

0.32

309

Karumba

0.42

304

Mornington Island

0.45

305

Centre Island

0.31

310

Groote Eylandt

0.28

316

Gove

0.24

313

8

. These ‘constituents’ as used here are not purely astronomic in nature but incorporate the annual solar cycle which in turn is manifested as the seasonal changes in weather conditions.

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The aim here has been to utilise a suitable wind and pressure dataset that would be capable of capturing both the long term broadscale climatology and also the observed Sa and Ssa tidal constituents at each of the available tidal gauge locations. In total, six global and regional climate model reanalyses were collated from AMC data holdings and websites including NCEP and ECMWF. Where available, long term record lengths ( d/2, and indicates a highly depth-limited environment within the southern Gulf; and



Depth limitations affect the entire coastline of the B12 domain.

Figure 9-5 Difference plot of peak significant wave height Hs with water depth increased by 5 m minus case with water depth increased by 1 m. (i.e. positive values indicate 5 m case has larger significant wave heights).

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To provide better insight into the likely generation of breaking wave setup under the full range of dept hs during a real TC event, TC Ted was then simulated within the Stage 2 Mike21 model for the following sensitivity cases: 

Mike21 Case 1 -- Hydrodynamic only with tidal and wind forcing (no waves);



Mike21 Case 2 -- Full spectral wave model and hydrodynamics enabled in coupled mode but without wind and tides so as to determine the magnitude of currents and water levels induced by waves only (run at MSL);



Mike21 Case 3 – Full spectral waves and full hydrodynamics (plus winds and tides) in coupled mode; and



Mike21 Case 4 – Full spectral wave model and hydrodynamics enabled in coupled mode plus the bathymetry was deliberately “stretched” (multiplied by a factor of 10) to increase the potential for direct wave attack on the coastline. In this case, real depths of -1 m would become -10 m and topographic levels of 2 m would become 20 m. As with Case 2, in this simulation the hydrodynamics were run without wind and tides to understand currents and water levels induced by waves only. This case was also completed with all depths at MSL.

An understanding of the impact of simulating waves under a full range of water levels as would be experienced during TC Ted is provided in Figure 9-6, which shows the resultant peak water levels from Mike21 Cases 3 and 1 respectively. Both the left and middle plots indicate storm tide levels of approximately 4 m throughout Karumba. The key result here is the difference in peak water levels between the fully coupled wave model run and hydrodynamic only run which is typically less than 0.02 m at the coast. Figure 9-7 provides the resulting peak water levels for the Mike21 Cases 2 and 4 respectively. The left panel shows that the model estimates negligible wave setup produced by TC Ted due to the depth limitation of wave heights. The middle panel indicates that even with direct wave attack upon artificially steep and deepened nearshore profiles, wave setup of less than 0.3 m results. Based on the above sensitivity tests it was determined that: 1. For those regions of the Gulf most exposed to inundation from storm tide that the incident wave heights would be severely depth-limited, and 2. As a result of this, the breaking wave setup component of the storm tide at such coastlines would likely be minimal. These conclusions justified the decision to restrict the comput ationally demanding numerical wave modelling effort to consider only the present climate condition and to adjust model wave heights for future climates purely in accordance with the SLR allowance (refer Section 7.6) Notwithstanding the above arguments it is important to note that not all areas of the Gulf are similarly affected by this severe depth-limiting situation but this is balanced typically by dune-backed shorelines that limit potential wave setup to the beachface environment. Application of the modelled nearshore wave condition at all locations still ensures that representative wave setup and runup values can be estimated (refer next section).

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Figure 9-6 Peak water level plot from Mike21 Case 1 (left), Mike21 Case 3 (middle) and peak water level difference plot (Case 3 – Case 1) difference plot (right).

Figure 9-7 Peak water level plot from Mike21 Case 2 (left), Mike21 Case 4 (middle) and peak water level difference plot (Case 4 – Case 2) difference plot (right).

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9.4

2010 Climate TC Wave Modelling

Spectral wave modelling of the 2010 (present) climate tropical cyclone condition was undertaken analogously to the storm surge plus tide modeling using the synthetic TC track database, with the previously noted exception that a fixed water level is always applied (i.e. no tidal variation for each storm). In order to limit the computational burden though, only a top 5,000 storm-tide ranked subset of the 50,000 simulation period were modeled. This still permits identification of the 50 y return peri od and beyond. In total, due to individual storms impacting more than one B grid domain, a total of 10,500 storms were actually modeled. Here, broadscale forcing is also ignored on the assumption that waves will be mostly TC-dominated by the 50 y return period. The results of the wave modeling statistical analysis (Hs) are presented in Appendix P as maps and in Table 9-2 below for key sites. This indicates most strongly the influence of depth-limiting wave breaking throughout most of the nearshore regions and the variability between some of the sites. A model estimate is also provided for the Weipa Wave Buoy location. Table 9-3 presents the estimated peak spectral wave periods (Tp) for the key sites. To reduce model scatter, these are the average of all Tp values within 2% of the associated Hs value at the indicated return period. Further details about the Hs and Tp results for all named sites across all regions are provided in Appendix Q, Appendix S and Appendix U. Table 9-2

2010 Significant Wave Height (m) Return Period Estimates at Key Communities

Location

Depth (m)19

50

100

200

500

1000

10000 y

Mapoon

11.3

1.6

1.7

1.8

1.9

1.9

2.0

Weipa (Evans Landing)

4.1

1.8

1.9

2.0

2.0

2.0

2.0

Weipa Wave Buoy

14.0

4.8

6.4

6.9

7.0

7.0

7.0

Aurukun

6.3

3.0

3.0

3.0

3.0

3.0

3.0

Pormpuraaw

5.2

2.5

2.5

2.5

2.5

2.5

2.5

Kowanyama (Mitchell River)

6.8

3.5

3.5

3.5

3.5

3.5

3.5

Karumba (Elbow Bank)

5.8

2.5

2.7

2.8

3.0

3.0

3.0

Sweers Island

8.9

2.1

2.3

2.4

2.6

2.7

2.9

Bentinck Island

8.4

3.2

3.3

3.4

3.4

3.5

3.9

Gununa/Dubbar Point

7.9

3.3

3.6

3.9

4.0

4.0

4.0

Burketown (Albert River Mouth)

6.1

3.0

3.0

3.0

3.0

3.0

3.0

King Ash Bay (Port McArthur)

4.8

1.3

1.6

1.8

2.2

2.4

2.5

Bing Bong

6.6

3.1

3.5

3.5

3.5

3.5

3.5

Numbulwar

5.8

3.0

3.0

3.0

3.0

3.0

3.0

Umbakumba

9.1

2.0

2.5

2.7

3.0

3.2

3.5

19

This includes the water level allowance detailed in Section 9.1.

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Location

Depth (m)19

50

100

200

500

1000

10000 y

Alyangula (Milner Bay)

24.1

3.0

3.5

3.9

4.2

4.4

5.0

Milyakburra

5.0

1.4

1.6

1.8

2.1

2.3

2.5

Baniyala

6.0

2.3

2.8

3.0

3.0

3.0

3.0

Yirrkala

16.8

4.5

6.0

7.3

8.5

8.5

8.5

Table 9-3

2010 Peak Spectral Wave Period (s) Return Period Estimates at Key Communities

Location

Depth (m)20

50

100

200

500

1000

10000 y

Mapoon

11.3

5.7

5.9

6.1

6.1

6.0

6.7

Weipa (Evans Landing)

4.1

9.9

9.9

10.4

10.4

10.4

10.4

Weipa Wave Buoy

14

14.0

10.4

10.4

11.0

11.1

11.1

Aurukun

6.3

9.9

9.9

9.9

9.9

9.9

9.9

Pormpuraaw

5.2

10.8

10.8

10.8

10.8

10.8

10.8

Kowanyama (Mitchell River)

6.8

9.3

9.3

9.3

9.3

9.3

9.3

Karumba (Elbow Bank)

5.8

9.7

9.8

9.9

10.9

10.9

10.9

Sweers Island

8.9

7.0

7.3

7.2

7.3

7.3

8.2

Bentinck Island

8.4

7.5

7.6

7.7

7.63

7.8

7.4

Gununa/Dubbar Point

7.9

10.5

10.9

11.2

11.5

11.5

11.5

Burketown (Albert River Mouth)

6.1

6.7

6.7

6.7

6.7

6.7

6.7

King Ash Bay (Port McArthur)

4.8

3.7

4.0

3.9

3.9

3.2

3.9

Bing Bong

6.6

8.9

8.7

8.7

8.7

8.7

8.7

Numbulwar

5.8

7.7

7.7

7.7

7.7

7.7

7.7

Umbakumba

9.1

8.3

9.4

9.3

10.1

9.6

8.8

Alyangula (Milner Bay)

24.1

6.7

7.0

7.1

7.6

7.8

7.7

Milyakburra

5

6.0

6.3

6.6

6.3

7.0

6.5

Baniyala

6

6.6

6.8

7.2

7.2

7.2

7.2

Yirrkala

16.8

11.0

10.7

11.1

12.2

12.2

12.2

20

This includes the water level allowance detailed in Section 9.1.

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9.5

2050 and 2100 Climate TC Wave Modelling

Consistent with the sensitivity testing conclusions discrete spectral wave modeling of the future climate condition was deemed unnecessary. Instead, the present climate Hs estimates have been depthadjusted from the Table 9-2 results according to the projected SLR allowance (increased by SLR/2), while the peak spectral wave periods Tp are assumed unchanged. The resultant 2050 and 2100 wave statistics are provided in Table 9-4 and Table 9-5 respectively. Table 9-4

2050 Significant Wave Height (m) Return Period Estimates at Key Communities

Location

Depth (m)21

50

100

200

500

1000

10000 y

Mapoon

11.6

1.7

1.9

2.0

2.1

2.1

2.1

Weipa (Evans Landing)

4.4

2.0

2.1

2.2

2.2

2.2

2.2

Aurukun

6.6

3.2

3.2

3.2

3.2

3.2

3.2

Pormpuraaw

5.5

2.7

2.7

2.7

2.7

2.7

2.7

Kowanyama (Mitchell River)

7.1

3.7

3.7

3.7

3.7

3.7

3.7

Karumba (Elbow Bank)

6.1

2.7

2.8

3.0

3.2

3.2

3.2

Sweers Island

9.2

2.3

2.4

2.6

2.7

2.8

3.1

Bentinck Island

8.7

3.3

3.4

3.5

3.6

3.7

4.0

Gununa/Dubbar Point

8.2

3.4

3.8

4.0

4.2

4.2

4.2

Burketown (Albert River Mouth)

6.4

3.2

3.2

3.2

3.2

3.2

3.2

King Ash Bay (Port McArthur)

5.1

1.4

1.7

2.0

2.3

2.6

2.7

Bing Bong

6.9

3.2

3.7

3.7

3.7

3.7

3.7

Numbulwar

6.1

3.2

3.2

3.2

3.2

3.2

3.2

Umbakumba

9.4

2.2

2.6

2.9

3.2

3.3

3.6

Alyangula (Milner Bay)

24.4

3.2

3.6

4.0

4.4

4.6

5.1

Milyakburra

5.3

1.5

1.7

2.0

2.3

2.4

2.7

Baniyala

6.3

2.4

3.0

3.2

3.2

3.2

3.2

Yirrkala

17.1

4.6

6.2

7.5

8.7

8.7

8.7

21

This includes the water level allowance detailed in Section 9.1 and the SLR adjustment.

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Table 9-5

2100 Significant Wave Height (m) Return Period Estimates at Key Communities

Location

Depth (m)22

50

100

200

500

1000

10000 y

Mapoon

12.1

2.0

2.1

2.2

2.3

2.3

2.4

Weipa (Evans Landing)

4.9

2.2

2.3

2.4

2.4

2.4

2.4

Aurukun

7.1

3.4

3.4

3.4

3.4

3.4

3.4

Pormpuraaw

6

2.9

2.9

2.9

2.9

2.9

2.91

Kowanyama (Mitchell River)

7.6

3.9

3.9

3.9

3.9

3.9

3.9

Karumba (Elbow Bank)

6.6

2.9

3.1

3.2

3.4

3.4

3.4

Sweers Island

9.7

2.5

2.7

2.8

3.0

3.1

3.3

Bentinck Island

9.2

3.6

3.7

3.8

3.8

3.9

4.3

Gununa/Dubbar Point

8.7

3.7

4.0

4.3

4.4

4.4

4.4

Burketown (Albert River Mouth)

6.9

3.4

3.4

3.4

3.4

3.4

3.4

King Ash Bay (Port McArthur)

5.6

1.7

2.0

2.2

2.6

2.8

2.9

Bing Bong

7.4

3.5

3.9

3.9

3.9

3.9

3.9

Numbulwar

6.6

3.4

3.4

3.4

3.4

3.4

3.4

Umbakumba

9.9

2.4

2.9

3.1

3.4

3.6

3.9

Alyangula (Milner Bay)

24.9

3.4

3.9

4.3

4.6

4.8

5.4

Milyakburra

5.8

1.8

2.0

2.2

2.5

2.7

2.9

Baniyala

6.8

2.7

3.2

3.4

3.4

3.4

3.4

Yirrkala

17.6

4.9

6.4

7.7

8.9

8.9

8.9

22

This includes the water level allowance detailed in Section 9.1 and the SLR adjustment.

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9.6

Breaking Wave Setup and Runup

Measured beachface wave setup at open sites adjacent to deepwater on the east coast of Queensland is known to exceed 1 m in typical storm conditions (Hanslow and Nielsen 1993), and can be suitably estimated by empirical formulae, albeit exhibiting a wide scatter. However, the extensive shallow water and low foreshore slopes of much of the Gulf are not expected to display similar water level responses (personal communication P. Nielsen). Also, as discussed in Section 9.3, the wave setup component in the southern Gulf appears likely to make a negligible contribution to the total storm tide due to the extensive shallow water dissipation. Examination of the study results here for example indicate that wave breaking commences as far as 10 km or more offshore in most areas of the Gulf, with only the northern areas likely to have breaking commencing within (say) 3 km of shore. Even under the applied severe wind forcing, nearer to the shore waves remain depth-limited, but at the beachface are still capable of producing some wave runup elevation (subject to the local dune crest height restriction and the transition to overtopping etc). In a recent review of several approaches to estimating breaking wave setup tested in a numerical model context Stephens et al. (2011) highlighted the very high variability of wave setup estimates as a function of the incident cross-shore profile. It was concluded that this parameter’s influence was essentially equal to the effect of incident wave height itself. Their study recommended, as a general rule, application of the widely-used Stockdon et al. (1996) formula that includes beachface slope as a principal parameter (in preference therefore to alternative approaches such as Hanslow and Nielsen (1993)). However, as cross-shore profiles and beachface slopes remain largely unknown throughout the Gulf, even this approach is likely to only provide very nominal estimates of these metrics. Notwithstanding the above, efforts were made to develop a rational and objective approach to estimating wave setup and runup magnitudes across the study area. Firstly, Smartline beach classifications (Sharples 2009) were accessed to indicate the degree of variability and spatial distribution of beach types. These were cross-checked manually at each of the community sites of interest and indicative nearshore beachslopes were determined from available LiDAR data. This correlation of geomorphic types and actual data was then used to populate the entire coastline with an indicative beachface slope broadly consistent with the (limited) geomorphology classes. Combined with the estimated depth at each nearshore modelled site, this permitted application of the Stockdon et al. (1996) formula for wave setup and 2% exceedance wave runup. The results of these analyses are presented in summary as Table 9-6 to Table 9-8 for setup and Table 9-9 to Table 9-11 for runup and show a realistic distribution of likely setup and runup potential across the study area. It is cautioned that these results should not be relied upon for any detailed design purposes due to the small scale variability of wave setup and especially runup and the influence of actual beach slopes and surface conditions. This caution is particularly applicable in complex coastal embayment’s where model resolution may not capture full wave behaviour. Notwithstanding this, the nearshore wave conditions can be used as input into such detailed investigations. Because of the above uncertainties the indicated wave setup and runup values have not been directly added to the more robust tide plus surge estimates but remain as nominal allowances over and above those estimates. Likewise in Stage 2, these allowances have not been included in mapping. Wave runup in particular can only be considered as a “potential” increase in elevation in the presence of an exposed beachface, which in many of the low-lying areas of the Gulf is unlikely to be present during inundation events.

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A full tabulation of wave setup and runup potential at named sites are provided in Appendix R, Appendix T and Appendix V. Table 9-6

2010 Breaking Wave Setup (m) Return Period Estimates at Key Communities

Location

Slope (Tan)

50

100

200

500

1000

10000 y

Mapoon

0.010

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

Weipa (Evans Landing)

0.010

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

Aurukun

0.010

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

Pormpuraaw

0.010

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

Kowanyama (Mitchell River)

0.010

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

Karumba (Elbow Bank)

0.005

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

Sweers Island

0.010

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.1

0.1

0.1

Bentinck Island

0.010

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

Gununa/Dubbar Point

0.010

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

Burketown (Albert River Mouth)

0.005

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

King Ash Bay (Port McArthur)

0.010

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

Bing Bong

0.010

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

Numbulwar

0.013

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

Umbakumba

0.013

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

Alyangula (Milner Bay)

0.013

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

Milyakburra

0.013

0.0

0.0

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

Baniyala

0.013

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

Yirrkala

0.020

0.2

0.2

0.3

0.3

0.3

0.3

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Table 9-7

2050 Breaking Wave Setup (m) Return Period Estimates at Key Communities

Location

Slope (Tan)

50

100

200

500

1000

10000 y

Mapoon

0.010

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

Weipa (Evans Landing)

0.010

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

Aurukun

0.010

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

Pormpuraaw

0.010

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

Kowanyama (Mitchell River)

0.010

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

Karumba (Elbow Bank)

0.005

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

Sweers Island

0.010

0.0

0.0

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

Bentinck Island

0.010

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

Gununa/Dubbar Point

0.010

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

Burketown (Albert River Mouth)

0.005

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

King Ash Bay (Port McArthur)

0.010

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

Bing Bong

0.010

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

Numbulwar

0.013

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

Umbakumba

0.013

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

Alyangula (Milner Bay)

0.013

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

Milyakburra

0.013

0.0

0.0

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

Baniyala

0.013

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

Yirrkala

0.020

0.2

0.2

0.3

0.3

0.3

0.3

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Table 9-8

2100 Breaking Wave Setup (m) Return Period Estimates at Key Communities

Location

Slope (Tan)

50

100

200

500

1000

10000 y

Mapoon

0.010

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

Weipa (Evans Landing)

0.010

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

Aurukun

0.010

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

Pormpuraaw

0.010

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

Kowanyama (Mitchell River)

0.010

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

Karumba (Elbow Bank)

0.005

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

Sweers Island

0.010

0.0

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

Bentinck Island

0.010

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

Gununa/Dubbar Point

0.010

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

Burketown (Albert River Mouth)

0.005

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

King Ash Bay (Port McArthur)

0.010

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

Bing Bong

0.010

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

Numbulwar

0.013

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

Umbakumba

0.013

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

Alyangula (Milner Bay)

0.013

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

Milyakburra

0.013

0.0

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

Baniyala

0.013

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

Yirrkala

0.020

0.2

0.2

0.3

0.3

0.3

0.3

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Table 9-9

2010 Wave Runup Potential (m) Return Period Estimates at Key Communities

Location

Slope (Tan)

50

100

200

500

1000

10000 y

Mapoon

0.010

0.4

0.4

0.4

0.5

0.4

0.5

Weipa (Evans Landing)

0.010

0.7

0.7

0.7

0.7

0.7

0.7

Aurukun

0.010

0.9

0.9

0.9

0.9

0.9

0.9

Pormpuraaw

0.010

0.9

0.9

0.9

0.9

0.9

0.9

Kowanyama (Mitchell River)

0.010

0.9

0.9

0.9

0.9

0.9

0.9

Karumba (Elbow Bank)

0.005

0.8

0.8

0.9

1.0

1.0

1.0

Sweers Island

0.010

0.5

0.6

0.6

0.6

0.6

0.8

Bentinck Island

0.010

0.7

0.7

0.8

0.8

0.8

0.8

Gununa/Dubbar Point

0.010

1.0

1.1

1.2

1.2

1.2

1.2

Burketown (Albert River Mouth)

0.005

0.6

0.6

0.6

0.6

0.6

0.6

King Ash Bay (Port McArthur)

0.010

0.2

0.3

0.3

0.3

0.3

0.3

Bing Bong

0.010

0.8

0.9

0.9

0.9

0.9

0.9

Numbulwar

0.013

0.7

0.7

0.7

0.7

0.7

0.7

Umbakumba

0.013

0.6

0.8

0.8

0.9

0.9

0.9

Alyangula (Milner Bay)

0.013

0.6

0.7

0.8

0.8

0.9

0.9

Milyakburra

0.013

0.4

0.4

0.5

0.5

0.6

0.6

Baniyala

0.013

0.5

0.6

0.7

0.7

0.7

0.7

Yirrkala

0.020

1.3

1.4

1.6

1.9

1.9

1.9

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Table 9-10 2050 Wave Runup Potential (m) Return Period Estimates at Key Communities Location

Slope (Tan)

50

100

200

500

1000

10000 y

Mapoon

0.010

0.4

0.4

0.5

0.5

0.5

0.5

Weipa (Evans Landing)

0.010

0.7

0.7

0.8

0.8

0.8

0.8

Aurukun

0.010

0.9

0.9

0.9

0.9

0.9

0.9

Pormpuraaw

0.010

0.9

0.9

0.9

0.9

0.9

0.9

Kowanyama (Mitchell River)

0.010

1.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

Karumba (Elbow Bank)

0.005

0.8

0.9

0.9

1.0

1.0

1.0

Sweers Island

0.010

0.6

0.6

0.6

0.6

0.7

0.8

Bentinck Island

0.010

0.7

0.8

0.8

0.8

0.8

0.8

Gununa/Dubbar Point

0.010

1.0

1.1

1.2

1.2

1.2

1.2

Burketown (Albert River Mouth)

0.005

0.6

0.6

0.6

0.6

0.6

0.6

King Ash Bay (Port McArthur)

0.010

0.2

0.3

0.3

0.3

0.3

0.3

Bing Bong

0.010

0.8

0.9

0.9

0.9

0.9

0.9

Numbulwar

0.013

0.7

0.7

0.7

0.7

0.7

0.7

Umbakumba

0.013

0.7

0.8

0.9

1.0

0.9

0.9

Alyangula (Milner Bay)

0.013

0.6

0.7

0.8

0.9

0.9

0.9

Milyakburra

0.013

0.4

0.4

0.5

0.5

0.6

0.6

Baniyala

0.013

0.5

0.6

0.7

0.7

0.7

0.7

Yirrkala

0.020

1.3

1.4

1.6

1.9

1.9

1.9

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Table 9-11 2100 Wave Runup Potential (m) Return Period Estimates at Key Communities Location

Slope (Tan)

50

100

200

500

1000

10000 y

Mapoon

0.010

0.4

0.5

0.5

0.5

0.5

0.6

Weipa (Evans Landing)

0.010

0.8

0.8

0.8

0.8

0.8

0.8

Aurukun

0.010

1.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

Pormpuraaw

0.010

0.9

0.9

0.9

0.9

0.9

0.9

Kowanyama (Mitchell River)

0.010

1.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

Karumba (Elbow Bank)

0.005

0.9

0.9

0.9

1.0

1.0

1.0

Sweers Island

0.010

0.6

0.6

0.6

0.7

0.7

0.8

Bentinck Island

0.010

0.8

0.8

0.8

0.8

0.8

0.8

Gununa/Dubbar Point

0.010

1.1

1.2

1.2

1.3

1.3

1.3

Burketown (Albert River Mouth)

0.005

0.7

0.7

0.7

0.7

0.7

0.7

King Ash Bay (Port McArthur)

0.010

0.3

0.3

0.3

0.3

0.3

0.4

Bing Bong

0.010

0.9

0.9

0.9

0.9

0.9

0.9

Numbulwar

0.013

0.8

0.8

0.8

0.8

0.8

0.8

Umbakumba

0.013

0.7

0.9

0.9

1.0

1.0

0.9

Alyangula (Milner Bay)

0.013

0.7

0.7

0.8

0.9

0.9

1.0

Milyakburra

0.013

0.4

0.5

0.5

0.5

0.6

0.6

Baniyala

0.013

0.6

0.7

0.7

0.7

0.7

0.7

Yirrkala

0.020

1.3

1.5

1.7

2.0

2.0

2.0

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10. Parametric Storm Tide Modelling The Scope of Work required the supply of parametric storm tide models to facilitate inclusion in a rapid storm tide prediction system for the region to be utilised by the BoM and DSITIA. The GHD proposal included supplying these models in a format that would be compatible with the SEAtide warning system in use by the BoM Northern Territory Regional Office (SEA 2006). “Parametric Modelling” is a technique whereby very complex or time consuming calculations can be successfully represented by much more simplified analytical approaches. The name comes from the process of parameterising the complex processes of interest using semi-empirical approaches that principally focus on the outcomes of interest. There is always some loss of detail or accuracy in any parametric model compared with a more “complete” solution, but the technique is extremely valuable where the benefits well outweigh the drawbacks or there is simply no other viable alternative. A good parametric model will go well beyond a simple “black box” and provide a range of physically -based variables that can be used to vary the state of the system over its expected dynamic range and allow for sensitivity testing of assumptions.

10.1

Methodology

The SEA parametric modelling methodology broadly follows the approach advocated in Harper (2001b) but differs in detail regarding the allowance for speed and scale effects. This modified approach has been used in several GHD/SEA studies (2003, 2007, 2009) and shown capable of ac curately reproducing the storm tide response from historical storms (e.g. Althea 1971, Larry 2006), as well as producing statistical storm tide estimates comparable to those obtained by full numerical modelling approaches in Hardy et al. (2004a). The method has also been used successfully in other SEA studies (2006, 2007) in the Northern Territory. The TC climatology assessment from Section 7 identified the principal cyclone parameter values likely to apply to the various parts of the Gulf region. These form the basis of a series of conceptual straightline and constant speed synthetic storm tracks, which when modelled systematically by the full numeri cal models, provide a response function for surge (and/or waves) that can be readily interpolated to provide output at any coastal location. These tests are done at Mean Sea Level and the tidal effects are later added in the predictive model. Each of the conceptual TCs is described by the same set of parameters as presented in Section 7.3, except that the pressure difference ∆p is introduced to specify the storm intensity: ∆p = pn – po Up to 3,500 individual simulations were then used to form the “base” storm response for each of the five domains, as summarised in Table 10-1. These comprised four values for intensity, and three values each for radius R, B, and forward speeds and up to five angles of approach. In addition to these parameters, consistent with the use of a “Double Holland” parametric windfield, the storm surge parametric modelling also included a fixed outer vortex specification (R2 =100 km; B 2 =1.0; ∆p2 = 8 hPa) approximating the average outer vortex scales obtained from the TC climatology simulation.

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Table 10-1 Parametric storm set and numbers of storms modelled in each domain. Domain

B10

Δp

R

Vfm

θfm

Number of Storms

hPa

km

ms -1

bearing˚

Modelled

15

10

1.4

2

60

45

25

1.7

4

110

85

35

2.2

6

150

B

115

3,500

190 270

B11

15

10

1.4

2

90

45

25

1.7

4

120

85

35

2.2

6

150

115

3,500

220 270

B12

15

15

1.3

2

100

45

25

1.5

4

160

90

40

1.9

6

200

120

3,108

240 280

B13

15

15

1.3

2

120

45

25

1.5

4

180

90

40

1.9

6

220

120

2,772

260 300

B14

15

15

1.3

2

90

45

25

1.5

4

180

90

40

1.9

6

220

120 Totals:

4

3,052

260 3

3

3

varies

15,932

The separation between the sets of tracks (coastal crossing distances) was a constant 20 km and a schematic example is shown for the B10 domain in Figure 10-1. Parallel-to-coast examples were also modelled as indicated by the storm track bearings in the above table.

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Each of the 15,932 combinations of intensity, speed, direction, size and location were simulated by the hydrodynamic model MMUSURGE, comprising an elapsed real-time each of 30 h, with the start of the storm being 18 h before “landfall” and continuing until 12 h afterwards. In the case of the parallel -moving storms, “landfall” is the time of closest approach to a central reference location (indicated by the c ross in the example figure). Each model storm also underwent an additional initial 12 h build up period, with the storm held stationary, to reduce numerical transient effects.

Figure 10-1

An example of the synthetic storm tracks used in the B10 parametric modelling.

An example of the parameterisation process is given in Figure 10-2 showing the distilled B10 storm surge response for the 60° bearing case. The upper panel shows the peak open coast storm surge magnitude as a function of the storm intensity, followed by the normalised alongshore profile of the storm surge relative to the crossing location, the RMS error of the normalised profile across all the sites processed and then the normalised time history profile. The parametric model is able to reconstruct actual event responses based on these types of information.

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Peak Magnitude (m)

`

5.0 4.5 4.0 3.5 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 0

20

40

60

80

100

120

Intensity Deltap (hPa)

Normalised Magnitude

1.2 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 -500

-400

-300

-200

-100

0

100

200

300

400

500

Magnitude Error (m)

Distance Perpendicular to Track (km)

1.0 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 -0.2 -0.4 -0.6 -0.8 -1.0

RMS Err

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

Site Sequence

Normalised Magnitude

1.2 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 -20

-15

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

20

Time (h)

Figure 10-2

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Example of the storm surge parameterisation process for the B10 60° track.

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10.2

Open Coast Sites and Tide Responses

The parametric model produces storm tide estimates only at the open coast sites declared during the pre-processing stage. These form a continuous line of adjacent or diagonally spaced points at the B grid resolution of approximately 1.5 km. Since the modelling is done at MSL, one requirement of the open coast sites is that they do not become dry during the event. This requires that they be located in a minimum of (nominally) 3 m depth, thus placing them typically some small distance offshore relative to the defined shoreline. Notwithstanding this the resulting predictions can be assumed to apply at the immediate shoreline. The tidal constituents applicable to each of the open coast sites are also assembled to enable the parametric model to reconstruct the tide during any specific TC event. The calibrated hydrodynamic model from Section 5 is utilised for this, whereby an extended period of NCEP-forcing is used to produce a synthetic tidal record at each site that will also enable identification of the “seasonal correction” constituents. The site-specific tidal generation is then adjusted by a simple range ratio to match the official ANTT HAT values at Standard Ports in the Northern Territory and to match DSITIA-supplied23 HAT values along the Queensland coast. The HAT values are also used to inform the users of the parametric model of the likely storm tide elevation above highest expected tides. To estimate upriver tidal attenuation in the Albert and Norman Rivers, the Stage 2 southern Gulf HD model was run over a number of tidal cycles. Modelled water levels were then extracted at each river mouth and at Truganini Landing (Albert) and Normanton (Norman). Table 10-2 below provides the average difference in tidal amplitude and phase between the river mouth and upstream. These have also been incorporated into the parametric model to provide some indication of possible storm tide penetration to these specific non-open-coast sites. Table 10-2 River tidal attenuation Location

Phase

Tidal Range Ratio (Tidal Range Up River/ Tidal Range at Mouth)

Albert River Mouth to Truganini Landing

-2 h

0.85

Norman River Mouth (Karumba) to Normanton

-5 h

0.29

10.3

Surge – Tide Interactions

A series of additional model tests were undertaken to determine the extent to which there is non-linear interaction between the astronomical tide and the storm surge across the shallow Gulf region. Tests show that a simulation conducted at a consistently low tide level (e.g. -1.5 m AHD), can be expected to produce a larger storm surge component than that conducted at a consistently high tide level (e.g. +1.5 m AHD) because of the wind stress term slope dependency on the depth. The parametric model then applies the non-linear adjustment at run time to approximate the actual dynamics of surge-tide interaction. 23

The DSITIA HAT line is based on associated analyses of the ti de model developed for this study by UTAS/AMC.

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10.4

Wave Setup and Dune Crest Assumption

The total water level is calculated on the basis of the modelled tide plus surge result and a breaking wave setup component as described in Section 9.6. The wave setup level is relative to the local stillwater tide plus surge level and is clipped by the declared “dune crest” elevation associated with each open coast point, beyond which inundation occurs.

10.5

An Example Parametric Prediction – TC Ted 1976

The supplied parametric model is a variant of the SATSIM simulation model that accepts an individual set of storm parameters, namely: Table 10-3 Example Input to the Parametric Model Generic Input

Example Input



B12_Gulf



TC Ted



19,12,1976,13,30



-16.93,138.99



956,1.6,38.4,2.4,154.



160,446,498,615,620

where the storm parameters are nominally the average parameters over the preceding 12 h or approach to landfall. This produces a CSV formatted file that can be readily imported to a supplied MS Excel ™ template designed for each of the different basins. This then automatically generates a series of graphical outputs as illustrated below in Figure 10-3 showing the peak alongshore storm tide profile, and Figure 10-4 showing the predicted water level variation at Karumba during the duration of the event. In this example the wave components (setup and runup) are omitted for clarity because they are mostly small. As previously mentioned, the same parametric model files can be utilised with the probabilisti c SEAtide warning system in use by the BoM Northern Territory Regional Office (SEA 2006), which provides much greater functionality.

10.6

Allowing for Broadscale or Near-Equilibrium Forcing Effects

It must be noted that the parametric model skill in estimating the impact from any specific real event is limited by the assumptions described in Section 10.1, which are designed to represent the transient storm surge response to a moving tropical cyclone of moderate to severe intensity. This is the type of storm that could cause loss of life and therefore require warning and an emergency response. However, many storms tend to form within the Gulf and then gradually intensify. If they are nearly stationary during this period, the transient response at landfall can be preceded by a persistent but low level broadscale near-equilibrium response. For example, a tropical low developing over several days might generate a

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near-equilibrium condition that could register a tidal residual of the order of 0.5 m above or below the predicted astronomical tide on the adjacent coastline. Because the present parametric model only considers the predicted tide as the base water level, it is important that this additional residual level (measured or estimated) should be considered as a background or broadscale input water level condition, which should then be combined with the transient response predicted by the parametric model. This process is recommended in the SEAtide (SEA 2006) model context, which has a specific manual operator input for that purpose, using information obtained in real-time from the tide gauges. As storms become more energetic this effect tends to become less important, as validated above for TC Ted. Basically, if the storm behaviour is similar to the assumption made in the modelling then the parametric model can be expected to produce a reliable estimate of the transient storm surge response at “landfall” based on the average storm parameters over the preceding 12 h period.

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5.0 4.5

Peak Alongshore

4.0

Solid Lines: Dot-Dash : Dashed :

Water Level (m)

3.5

m AHD m AHD m

3.0 2.5

Tide plus Surge Storm Surge

2.0

Dune Crest HAT

1.5

Peak_Tide 1.0 0.5

TC Ted Tully_Inlet Gee_Wee_Creek Dubbar_Point Brookes_Reef Goojamun_Creek Snapper_Point Denham_Island Whale_Point Dalgurge_Creek Beche_De_Mer_Bay Ivis_Island Lowareah_Point Gerrigroo_Point Woolgunjin_Point Lelkajindi_Creek Jubuneah_Point Dungnoreah_Point Charlie_Bush_Bay Sydney_Island Dalmumeah_Creek Albinia_Island Meahyawogan_Point Wilson_Bay Bentinck_Is_Airport Carnarvon Channon_Creek Pandanus_Creek Finucane_Island Van_Diemen_Inlet Brannigan_Creek Gumtree_Point Karumba Magowra_Creek

0.0

19/12/1976 13:30 EST Landfall

Figure 10-3 Alongshore peak storm tide profile generated by the parametric model for TC Ted 5.0

Karumba 4.0 Solid Lines: Dot-Dash : Dashed :

m AHD m AHD m

3.0

Water Level (m)

Tide plus Surge 2.0 Storm Surge Dune Crest

1.0

HAT 0.0

Tide

-1.0

TC Ted 19/12/1976 13:30 EST Landfall

-2.0 -18

-12

-6

0 6 Time Relative to Landfall (h)

12

18

Figure 10-4 Time history of storm tide at Karumba generated by the parametric model for TC Ted.

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11. Stage 2 – Inundation Modelling and Mapping This section details the high resolution inundation modelling and mapping that was undertaken for the selected Queensland communities of Weipa, Karumba, Normanton, Burketown and Mornington Island.

11.1

Introduction

As detailed in Table 1-1 there have been many notable storm tide inundation events along the QLD coast throughout the historical record. The unique coastline of the southern Gulf in particular (refer Figure 11-1), is highly susceptible to storm surge inundation with inland surges of up to 30 km not an uncommon feature in this landscape. In recent history, the community of Burketown has been most affected with significant events occurring in 1887, 1923 (Douglas Mason) and 1976 (TC Ted). During this period the communities of Karumba, Normanton, Weipa and Mornington Island have been less impacted24, however a significant threat to infrastructure and housing remains from storm tide in these regions. To understand the extent and severity of overland flooding, two high resolution hydrodynamic models have been developed centred over the southern Gulf region and Weipa respect ively. Modelled tide plus surge water surface elevations and depths have then been mapped, resulting in the production of key planning and emergency response datasets for the 50, 100, 200, 500, 1,000 and 10,000 y return periods over a range of climate scenarios (2010, 2050 and 2100). The following sections detail the model setup, storm selection methodology, model verification and production modelling and mapping that has been completed.

Figure 11-1 Coastal flats looking north from Burketown from both the air (left) and adjacent to the town centre (right).

11.2

Model Setup

Detailed inundation modelling has been completed using the Mike21 Flexible Mesh (Mike21 FM) package (DHI 2012) which has the advantage of allowing the generation of an irregular model grid. This irregular grid can be used to provide high resolution representation of coastal and overland features 24

Karumba did experience minor flooding during TC Ted, 1976.

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where required (in this case up to 60 m) while not compromising overall model runtimes. The two model extents, encompassing the southern Gulf and Weipa are provided in Figure 11-2 and Figure 11-5 respectively. Figure 11-3 and Figure 11-4 highlights via zoomed images of the southern Gulf mesh the high degree of spatial resolution that can be achieved at areas of interest. 11.2.1

Representation of Model Bathymetry/Topography and Bed Roughness

To capture the extent of overland flooding, both the southern Gulf and Weipa models have been populated with bathymetric and topographic information (derived from the project DEM, refer Chapter 3) for both offshore and land areas up to the 15 m AHD contour. This level was deemed to exceed the maximum likely tide plus surge levels for the return periods assessed for inundation mapping. Roughness has been represented using a spatially varying coefficient grid based on Manning’s equation. The adopted values for differing land cover are provided in Table 11-1. The spatial extent and value of these roughness coefficients are based on DSITIA GIS wetland classification datasets and aerial photography for the region. For consistency with the Stage 1 modelling (within offshore areas), the adopted roughness coefficient for marine, estuarine water and salt flats of 0.024 is approximately equivalent to the z0 value 0.001 applied within MMUSURGE. A further investigation to model roughness sensitivity is detailed in Section 11.4 below. Table 11-1 Adopted Bed Roughness Coefficients Landcover Type

Manning’s ‘n’ Roughness Coefficient**

Marine/Estuarine Water/Salt flats and Saltmarshes

0.024

Estuarine Mangrove

0.10

Freshwater Floodplain

0.04

Coastal grass, sedge and herb swamp

0.06

**Note: Roughness coefficients sourced from Chow, 1959. 11.2.2

Model Water Level Boundaries

The A00 Stage 1 model has been used to generate temporally and spatially varying open boundary water level conditions for both the southern Gulf and Weipa Stage 2 models for each of the storms considered. This pseudo nesting approach has allowed water level conditions generated by TCs external to each individual model domain(which can be significant) to be applied, thus negating the need t o generate a computationally inefficient Gulf-wide Stage 2 model. 11.2.3

TC Wind and Pressure Input

Spatially and temporally varying wind and pressure fields based on the Double Holland model have been developed for each of the storms considered for Stage 2. These fields have been applied to Mike21 on a 5 x 5 km grid which is considered to adequately capture features such as Rmax, and the spatial variability of wind fields near the storm centre for the purposes of storm surge generation (consistent with the recommendations of Harper, 2001a). The Mike21 surface wind stress coefficients were modified to produce a wind speed dependant relationship scale consistent with the MMUSURGE assumption.

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Figure 11-2 Southern Gulf model extent and mesh (blue line represents the coastline).

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Figure 11-3 Detail of the southern Gulf mesh at Karumba (blue line represents the coastline).

Figure 11-4 Detail of the southern Gulf mesh at Burketown (blue line represents the coastline).

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Figure 11-5 Weipa model extent and mesh (blue line represents the coastline).

11.3

Model Verification

To demonstrate the skill of the inundation models to accurately reproduce storm surge, model verification has been undertaken using two approaches, as follows: 

For the southern Gulf model, verification has been undertaken of TC Ted, which impacted the communities of Mornington Island, Burketown and Karumba in 1976. This verification has been completed by assessing both the limited historical data and the modelled results derived from Stage 1; and



At Weipa, where there has been limited historical surge events, cross calibration has been undertaken to a number of Stage 1 modelled storms. This work is detailed further in Section 11.5 for each of the 2010, 2050 and 2100 climate scenarios.

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11.3.1

Verification to TC Ted

Inundation modelling of TC Ted has been completed by generating the Stage 1 Ted wind and pressure inputs to suit Mike21. Details of TC Ted’s historical context, wind and pressure field calibration and open coast surge calibration are provided in Section 8.4 and thus are not repeated here. Figure 11-6 provides a comparison of the modelled water level time histories for the Stage 1 MMUSURGE and Stage 2 Mike21 results at the Albert/Saltwater Arm confluence (top panel), Burketown town centre (middle panel) and Karumba (bottom panel). Review of the results indicates: 

At each location the Mike21 model tends to slightly overpredict MMUSURGE, (by approximately 0.2 m , 0.3 m and 0.4 m at Karumba, the Albert/Saltwater Arm confluence and Burketown respectively);



The Mike21 model detail provides much greater resolution of inland features such as rivers, and flood plains. This is evident when comparing the MMUSURGE and Mike21 modelled levels in the top panel and middle panel whereby the MMUSURGE model does not represent the available depth of water; and



The duration of flooding within the two modelled results compares well considering the differing model grid resolutions and bed roughness.

The resulting modelled flood extents from TC Ted at Karumba and Burketown are provided in Figure 11-7 and Figure 11-8 respectively. These are consistent with historical evidence that while some flooding of low-lying areas in each town occurred during the event the higher parts of town were not inundated. Considering the lack of data to provide more detailed calibration and given that the MMUSURGE model and Mike21 model have differing model resolutions and bed roughness assumptions, overall the Stage 2 model is deemed to adequately capture the nature of the very significant inundation caused by TC Ted in 1976.

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Figure 11-6 MMUSURGE (red) and Mike21 (blue) modelled water levels for TC Ted at the Albert/Saltwater Arm confluence (top), Burketown (middle) and Karumba (bottom).

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480,000

485,000

* 4.9 # Karu

8,070,000

* 5.4 #

* 2.7 #

Karumba Airport

mba

Poin

t Ro

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ad

0.2

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* 6.3 #

# *

mba

lopm Deve

Road ental 8,070,000

GULF OF CARPENTARIA

# *

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* 6.2 #

0.8

# *

* 6.2 #

rS

# *

NO

n lle

H

ow

ie

ay W

8,065,000

Based on or contains data provided by the State of Queensland (Department of Environment and Resource Management) [2012]. In consideration of the State permitting use of this data you acknowledge and agree that the State gives no warranty in relation to the data (including accuracy, reliability, completeness, currency or suitability) and accepts no liability (including without limitation, liability in negligence) for any loss, damage or costs (including consequential damage) relating to any use of the data. Data must not be used for direct marketing or be used in breach of the privacy laws.

* 6.2 #

8,065,000

* 1#

Ca tal i

Ya pp na ar St St ree ree t t

A

* 6.2 #

Wa lke

! KARUMBA

6.2

RM AN

RI VE

R

Nor

tre et

ma n

Stre et

* 0.8 #

© The State of Queensland 2012

480,000

0

1:30,000

0.75

@ A3

Kilometres

Map Projection: Transverse Mercator Horizontal Datum: GDA 1994 Grid: GDA 1994 MGA Zone 54

1.5

o

485,000

LEGEND

!

Locality

Rail

^ J

Airport

Road

Sample Point

Watercourse

Ocean

Cadastre (2010)

# *

Depth (m)

G:\41\23138\GIS\Maps\Deliverables\4123138_022_rev_b.mxd

0 - 0.25 0.26 - 0.5 0.51 - 0.75

0.76 - 1

2.01 - 2.5

1.01 - 1.25

2.51 - 3

1.26 - 1.5

3.01 - 4

1.51 - 2

>4

© 2012. Whilst every care has been taken to prepare this map, GHD (and DSITIA) make no representations or warranties about its accuracy, reliability, completeness or suitability for any particular purpose and cannot accept liability and responsibility of any kind (whether in contract, tort or otherwise) for any expenses, losses, damages and/or costs (including indirect or consequential damage) which are or may be incurred by any party as a result of the map being inaccurate, incomplete or unsuitable in any way and for any reason. Data source: GHD, Depth Surface/2012, Water Level Surface/2012, Sample Points/2012. DSITIA: Gazetted Place Names/2009, QLD Road Network/2009, Rail/2009, Cadastre/2010.

DSITIA Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide Study

Job Number Revision Date

Modelled inundation depth of TC Ted at Karumba

145 Ann St Brisbane QLD 4000 Australia

T 61 7 3316 3000

F 61 7 3316 3333

E [email protected]

41-23138 B 14 Dec 2012

Figure 11-7

W www.ghd.com

345,000

350,000

4.1

* 3.7 #

8,040,000

8,040,000

* 2.8 #

# *

g Tru n ani ad i Ro

Truganini Road 0.6

1.4 1.8 # *

* 4.2 # * 5.1 #

# *

pm

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* 5.5 #

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* 1.5 # 1.2

# *

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# * Nard u oo B

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elo ev

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6.3

* 5.8 #

! BURKETOWN # *

Burketown Airport

ALBERT RIVER

* 4.5 #

Truganini Road

# *

5.3 # *

Alb

o wn rket

ert S

tree

* 5.7 #

t

Roa d

* 5.2 #

* 5.5 #

ERT R

IVER

Escott Road

R BE AL

T

Based on or contains data provided by the State of Queensland (Department of Environment and Resource Management) [2012]. In consideration of the State permitting use of this data you acknowledge and agree that the State gives no warranty in relation to the data (including accuracy, reliability, completeness, currency or suitability) and accepts no liability (including without limitation, liability in negligence) for any loss, damage or costs (including consequential damage) relating to any use of the data. Data must not be used for direct marketing or be used in breach of the privacy laws.

8,035,000

* 4.4 #

8,035,000

ALB

R

VE RI

© The State of Queensland 2012

345,000

0

1:25,000

0.5

@ A3

Kilometres

Map Projection: Transverse Mercator Horizontal Datum: GDA 1994 Grid: GDA 1994 MGA Zone 54

1

o

LEGEND

!

Locality

Rail

^ J

Airport

Road

Sample Point

Watercourse

Ocean

Cadastre (2010)

# *

Depth (m)

G:\41\23138\GIS\Maps\Deliverables\4123138_023_rev_b.mxd

0 - 0.25 0.26 - 0.5 0.51 - 0.75

350,000

0.76 - 1

2.01 - 2.5

1.01 - 1.25

2.51 - 3

1.26 - 1.5

3.01 - 4

1.51 - 2

>4

© 2012. Whilst every care has been taken to prepare this map, GHD (and DSITIA) make no representations or warranties about its accuracy, reliability, completeness or suitability for any particular purpose and cannot accept liability and responsibility of any kind (whether in contract, tort or otherwise) for any expenses, losses, damages and/or costs (including indirect or consequential damage) which are or may be incurred by any party as a result of the map being inaccurate, incomplete or unsuitable in any way and for any reason. Data source: GHD, Depth Surface/2012, Water Level Surface/2012, Sample Points/2012. DSITIA: Gazetted Place Names/2009, QLD Road Network/2009, Rail/2009, Cadastre/2010.

DSITIA Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide Study

Job Number Revision Date

Modelled inundation of TC Ted at Burketown

145 Ann St Brisbane QLD 4000 Australia

T 61 7 3316 3000

F 61 7 3316 3333

E [email protected]

41-23138 B 14 Dec 2012

Figure 11-8

W www.ghd.com

11.4

Model Sensitivity Testing

11.4.1

Bed Roughness

Given the significant role that overland flooding likely plays within the southern Gulf region, the model’s sensitivity was tested under a number of differing Manning’s ‘n’ bed roughness conditions. These cases included: 

Case 1: The spatial varying grid adopted for production modelling (as detailed in Table 11-1);



Case 2: Ocean areas set to 0.03 and land regions set to 0.04; and



Case 3: A constant value of 0.03 applied over the entire domain.

Figure 11-9 below shows the resultant water level time series at Karumba and the Albert/Saltwater Arm confluence (downstream of Burketown). The results indicate: 

The selection of bed roughness affects the surge phase, with the production model (Case 1) resulting in a slightly earlier peak at Karumba. Also due to the lower bed roughness, levels of up to 0.2 m higher than cases 2 and 3 are generated; and



The effect of bed roughness is best observed at the Albert/Saltwater Arm confluence which is approximately 20 km upstream from the Albert River mouth. Here the selection of bed roughness can result in water level differences of up to 0.5 m. As Karumba is directly on the coast the effect of bed roughness is less pronounced (negligible differences between cases 2 and 3).

As the spatially varying roughness was based on aerial photography and land cover layers it was considered to be more representative of floodplain conditions. Based on this, the variable grid was adopted for production modelling. 11.4.2

Eddy Viscosity and Water Density

The model sensitivity to eddy viscosity and water density assumptions were tested within the Weipa model domain. These cases included: 

Case 1: Production modelling setup: Smagorinsky eddy viscosity, and water density based on Mike21 default for water temperature of 10oC and salinity of 32 PSU;



Case 2: Similar to Case 1 but without the eddy viscosity formulation being active; and



Case 3: Similar to Case 1 but with the density of water modified to reflect average summer sea conditions (sea surface temperature of 29oC and salinity 36 PSU) within the Gulf.

The modelled results at Weipa are provided in Figure 11-10 below and indicate that there is very little difference in water levels due to the modification of eddy viscosity and water density values within the ranges considered.

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Figure 11-9 Bed roughness sensitivity tests at Karumba (top panel) and the Albert/Saltwater Arm confluence (bottom panel).

Note: Results are close to coincident.

Figure 11-10

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11.5

Production Modelling

11.5.1

Storm Selection

The open coast tide plus surge estimates from Stage 1 were developed based on the simulation of many thousands of storm tracks using the MMUSURGE model. For Stage 2, the increased runtime of the high resolution Mike21 FM models precluded the modelling of similarly large numbers of storms. Accordingly, the aim here was to sample a number of storms for each Stage 1 return period considered, at each location, which would provide inundation levels consistent with the water level statistics developed during Stage 1. A total of 540 individual storms were selected from the Stage 1 Open Coast modelling return period curves for re-simulation within Mike21 (for details of return period curve development please refer sections 8.6 and 8.9 for the 2010, 2050 and 2100 climates respectively). For each of the production model simulations, the model setup was conducted in the manner described in Section 11.2 for either the southern Gulf or Weipa models. Figure 11-11 provides an example of this process at Weipa, where five modelled storms have been selected as representative of each return period (the selection return period regions indicated by black circles).

For each return period considered, five TCs have been selected from the Stage 1 Open Coast results.

Figure 11-11 11.5.2

Example of Stage 2 TC selection process, Weipa climate 2050.

Comparison of the Mike21 and MMUSURGE Model Results

The ability of the Stage 2 inundation models to reproduce Stage 1 Open Coast levels was investigated for each of the 2010, 2050 and 2100 climate scenarios. This was undertaken via a number of cross -plots and associated statistics for the locations of Weipa, Karumba, Mornington Island (Gununa) and at the mouth of the Albert River (Burketown). The following describes the key features of the provided cross plots in Figures Figure 11-12 to Figure 11-14: 

For comparison purposes, at each location and each climate scenario, results for 18 storms have been extracted (three for each return period considered). The blue dots in in each figure are the

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resultant scatter plot of the peak Stage 1 MMUSURGE model water levels (x axis) vs. the peak Stage 2 Mike21 modelled water levels (y axis) for all of the return periods considered; 

To quantify the degree of agreement between the two models, a linear regression has been developed as represented by the black trend line, with linear slope and r 2 correlation coefficients provided in the legend of each figure; and



The red triangles indicate the benchmark Stage 1 Open Coast statistics for each return period as developed in Sections 8.6 and 8.9.

When viewing the results, it is important to consider that the Stage 1 Open Coast statistics (red triangles) were developed from a sample of well over 100,000 individual storm tracks wit h each individual storm having markedly differing and independent parameters including: tide, forward speed, landfall location, bearing at landfall, central intensity, radius to maximum wind, secondary vortex characteristics and model peakedness, all of which can affect the onshore propagation of surge inundation. While the Stage 2 sample population of 540 has been carefully selected to produce levels similar to Stage 1 results, due to the sample size and the differing model detail, there will remain some differences between the Stage 1 and Stage 2 model results. Ideally, if the Stage 2 sample population was increased (to say 20 storms per location, per return period, per climate scenario) the average location of the plotted Stage 2 results would be expected to converge on Stage 1 results. One exception to this would be locations where the Mike21 model is deemed to better represent bathymetry, coastal topographic features and bed roughness.

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11.5.3

Production Modelling for the 2010 Climate

Examination of Figure 11-12 indicates the following results for the 2010 climate: 

A good level of agreement is obtained for the Weipa, Karumba and the Albert River Mouth25 indicating that the Mike21 model is well capable of reproducing MMUSURGE results along the open coast;



At Gununa the Mike21 model tends to result in lower levels than MMUSURGE. This is due largely to the better representation of the Appel Channel within Mike21 increasing the conveyance through this region; and



The Mike21 water levels are generally within 5-10% of the Stage 1 open coast return period statistics (red triangles) providing an acceptable level of verification; This is particularly the case at lower return periods where less overland flow is expected.

Figure 11-12 Weipa (top left), Karumba (top right), Gununa (bottom left) and Albert River Mouth (bottom right) Stage 1 and Stage 2 model result comparison for the 2010 climate scenario. 25

Storm selection for Burketown was based on those affecting the town centre and thus a comparison to the open coast statistics are not available for this location.

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11.5.4

Production Modelling of 2050 Climate

Examination of Figure 11-13 indicates the following results for the 2050 climate: 

A good level of agreement is obtained for the Weipa, Karumba and the Albert River Mouth indicating that the Mike21 model is still well capable of reproducing MMUSURGE results along the open coast;



At Karumba for higher return periods (i.e. 10,000 y) the Mike21 model tends to underpredict MMUSURGE. This may be largely explained by the increased overland flooding within Mike21;



At Gununa the Mike21 model tends to result in lower levels than MMUSURGE. This is likely due to the better representation of the adjacent Appel Channel within Mike21 increasing the conveyance through this region; and



The Mike21 levels are generally within 5-10% of the Stage 1 open coast return period statistics (red triangles) providing an acceptable level of verification. This is again particularly the case at lower return periods where less overland flow is expected.

Figure 11-13 Weipa (top left), Karumba (top right), Gununa (bottom left) and Albert River Mouth (bottom right) Stage 1 and Stage 2 model result comparison for the 2050 climate scenario.

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11.5.5

Production Modelling of 2100 Climate

Review of the Figure 11-14 indicates the following results for the 2100 climate: 

A good level of agreement is again obtained for the Weipa, Karumba and the Alert River Mouth indicating that the Mike21 model is capable of reproducing MMUSURGE results along the open coast;



At Karumba for higher return periods (i.e. 10,000 y) the Mike21 model tends to underpredict MMUSURGE. This is likely explained by the increased overland flooding within Mike21;



At Gununa the Mike21 model tends to again result in lower levels than MMUSURGE likely due to. to the better representation of the Appel Channel within Mike21, thus increasing the conveyance through this region; and



The Mike21 levels are generally within 5-10% of the Stage 1 open coast return period statistics (red triangles) providing an acceptable level of verification. This is particularly the case at lower return periods where less overland flow is expected.

Figure 11-14 Weipa (top left), Karumba (top right), Gununa (bottom left) and Albert River Mouth (bottom right) Stage 1 and Stage 2 model result comparison for the 2100 climate scenario.

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11.6

Storm Surge Flooding Duration

To provide an indication of likely periods of disruption due to flooding by storm surge for consideration in emergency response and planning, an assessment of tide plus surge flood duration was undertaken. This was completed for each of the communities considered for Stage 2 inundation modelling as provided in Table 11-2, Table 11-3 and Table 11-4 for the 2010, 2050 and 2100 climate scenarios respectively. For each Stage 2 storm event the elapsed time that flood levels exceeded HAT26 has been extracted. This duration was then averaged27 for each return period (3 storms per return period) and provided as 6 hourly rounded estimates as detailed in the following tables. Review of the results indicates the following: 

Significant flooding is not expected at Normanton until the 1,000 y return period for the 2010 and 2050 climates and the 200 y return period for the 2100 climate;



Flooding of Burketown and surrounds results in the longest period of duration with flooding over 3-4 days for severe systems;



Karumba and Weipa, being located close to the coast tend to ‘drain’ quickly following a significant surge event; and



At Mornington Island (Gununa) water levels exceed HAT for periods typically between 30-48 h for the 2010 and 2050 projected climates and from 36-48 hr for the 2100 projected climate.

Table 11-2 Duration 2010 HAT Level Exceeded (h) at Key Locations for 2010 Climate Location

HAT 50 (m MSL)

100

200

500

1,000

10,000 y

Mornington Island

1.9

30

30

36

36

42

48

Burketown

2.8

18

24

36

48

60

96

Karumba

2.8

12

12

18

18

24

30

Normanton

2.8

0

0

0

0

42

60

Weipa

1.6

6

6

12

12

18

30

Table 11-3 Duration 2050 HAT Level Exceeded (h) at Key Locations for 2050 Climate Location

HAT 50 (m MSL)

100

200

500

1,000

10,000 y

Mornington Island

2.2

36

36

36

42

42

48

Burketown

3.1

42

48

48

60

60

78

26

For the 2050 and 2100 climates the adopted HAT values were calculated by adding the 0.3 m and 0.8 m sea level rise allowances to the 2010 HAT values.

27

The significant scatter in the results necessitated averaging and smoothing to provide indicative flooding duration estimates.

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Karumba

3.1

6

12

12

18

18

30

Normanton

3.1

0

0

0

0

48

72

Weipa

1.9

12

18

18

24

24

30

Table 11-4 Duration 2100 HAT Exceeded (h) at Key Locations for 2100 Climate Location

HAT 50 (m MSL)

100

200

500

1,000

10,000 y

Mornington Island

2.7

36

36

42

48

48

60

Burketown

3.6

24

30

36

48

54

84

Karumba

3.6

12

12

18

24

24

36

Normanton

3.6

0

0

48

54

54

60

Weipa

2.4

12

12

18

18

24

30

11.7

Inundation Mapping

Storm tide inundation elevation and depth maps for the 50-10,000 y return periods tide plus surge only results have been developed by processing the inundation modelling results with a suite of GHDdeveloped GIS modelling toolboxes. These GIS toolboxes are similar to those used for earlier studies (GHD/SEA 2007, 2009; GHD 2010) whereby hydrodynamic model results are mapped to a high resolution DEM (here 10 m horizontal) in order to more accurately represent small scale depressions and waterways in the final mapping product. Two map-sets have been produced that show water levels of a given Return Period overlaid on cadastral information and other GIS layers to allow incorporation of risk assessment and disaster management into local and regional planning. These consist of: 

Tide plus surge inundation surface elevation for the 50, 100, 200, 500, 1,000 and 10,000 y return periods; and



Tide plus surge inundation depth for the 50, 100, 200, 500, 1,000 and 10,000 y return periods.

Each of the mapping surfaces represents the average of a number of hydrodynamically modelled water level events applicable to the return period. An exception to this rule is for the community of Normanton where mapped water levels have been estimated as a function of water levels at Karumba based on a relationship established between modelled28 water levels at Karumba and Normanton. This approach was required to smooth variation in statistical water levels at Normanton due to its significant inland separation and localised high sensitivity to wind stress from the individual storm events. The estimated 28

This water level function between Karumba and Normanton was developed based on hydrodynamic modelling of 180 separate tropical cyclones.

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water levels at Normanton have been mapped using the so-called bathtub approach (i.e. spatially constant) based on a single location representative of the whole township. In addition to hydrodynamic result mapping, digital emergency services datasets have been developed consistent with the QLD evacuation guideline mapping framework. These datasets have been provided in ESRI shape file format for each of communities considered for Stage 2. The maps are delivered in two separate drawing Addendums for Weipa, Karumba, Normanton, Burketown and Mornington Island. These maps have been provided in the Universal Transverse Mercator projection, horizontal datum- Geocentric Datum of Australia, on a MGA, Zone 54 grid and vertically in AHD.

11.8

Discussion

Table 11-5, Table 11-6 and Table 11-7 below provide a summary of the water levels and depths determined at specifically nominated locations within each of the communities of interest for the range of modelled return periods. The following commentary discusses the broader community impacts as visible on the associated mapping products. Burketown The town is located on a remnant of the main channel of the Albert River and represents the most eastward extent of a very flat ridgeline that provides the highest ground on the western bank of the river in this area. A smaller channel bounds the southern side of the town c entre, separating it from the airport just to the west where the land is of similar elevation. In present climate conditions the town begins to become susceptible to storm tide flooding by about the 80 y return period, with the 100 y map showing encroachment into some allotments and becoming isolated from the airport. At the 200 y return period event more than half the town is impacted, with some areas likely requiring evacuation and with the road to the airport almost 1 m in depth. Average duration of flooding above the HAT is of the order of one day for such events. By the 500 y event all but the very centre of town would need access by boat 29 and the 10,000 y event inundates to at least 2 m in parts and would likely persist above HAT for about 60 h. For the projected 2050 climate scenario, the 50 y event resembles the present climate 100 y event, the 100 y resembling the 200 y and so on, reaching at least 2.5 m inundation at the 10,000 y event. For the 2100 scenario the 50 y pattern resembles the 200 y situation under present climate, with boat accessonly by the 200 y event and the town at least 3 m underwater in the 10,000 y event. Clearly, even in present climate conditions, Burketown will require evacuation with the threat of a 200 y event or greater, representing a 10% chance in any 20 y period, or about a 20% chance in any 50 y period.

29

Boat access would be highly unlikely during this period due to extreme wind speed.

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Karumba The town centre is situated close to the mouth of the Norman River and is built on a series of low alluvial ridges along the eastern river bank with many small channels. The airport and associated settlement of Karumba Point is at the mouth of the river, separated from the town centre by intervening salt pans that encroach in from the river bank. In present climate conditions some allotments at the point and in the town begin to be impacted by the 100 y event, with Catalina and then Yappar Street being increasingly affected. B y the 500 y event almost all properties at the point are impacted and about half in the rest of the town, including the Walker Street area. At the 1,000 y event it is only the very centre of town and a few properties on the frontal ridge at the point that are unaffected directly. By the 10,000 y event there is almost no part of the t own that is less than about 1 m inundated. For the 2050 projected climate scenario the 200 y event is similar in impact to the present 500 y and total inundation is achieved by the 1000 y event. For 2100, the 50 y event resembles the present 200 y event and total inundation is reached by the 500 y event. In present climate conditions, Kurumba would likely require evacuation under threat of a 500 y event, representing a 4% chance in any 20 y period, or about a 10% chance in any 50 y period.

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Mornington Island The community of Gununa is located on comparatively higher land that is separated from the generally lower Denham Island by the narrow Appel Channel. The airport is immediately adjacent to the Gununa town centre on similarly high ground. There are several gullies that reach slightly inland. In present climate conditions, some of the lower parts of Lardhill Street that cross the gullies are impacted by the 200 y event and these increasingly fill with longer return period events, becoming joined together by the 10,000 y event. However the extent of these incursions is quite limited in area and the majority of the community is unaffected. Meanwhile, the lower parts of Denham Island and surrounding salt pan areas are increasingly inundated beyond the 50 y event. For the 2050 projected climate the 100 y event resembles the present climate 1,000 y event in extent but still with minor community impacts even at the 10,000 y event. By 2100 the effects are similar in extent and no more significant to the community. Gununa is therefore unlikely to require evacuation due to storm tide. Normanton The town is located mainly on the western bank of the Norman River about 60 km upstream of the mouth at Karumba and is located near a series of shallow flood overflow channels. The airport is co-located immediately to the south-west of the town centre on connected level ground. In present climate there is some minor encroachment into allotments indicated from the 200 y event, increasing to affect about one third of the town properties by the 10,000 y event. The airport is unaffected at all return periods. For the 2050 projected climate the minor encroachment commences at about the 100 y event and the 500 y event resembles the 1,000 y event under present climate. The 10,000 y event impacts about half of the properties. By 2100 the 50 y event resembles the 500 y event in present climate but even by the 10,000 y event the inundation extent is largely unchanged from climate 2050. Normanton is therefore unlikely to require evacuation due to storm tide, except in exceptionally rare circumstances. Weipa All of the Weipa town areas are located on generally high ground in the Rocky Point area, with the port and associated mining export infrastructure fronting the Embley River to the south. The airport is on connected ground to the east. In present climate the storm tide impacts are limited to coastal gullies until the 1,000 y event, after which some minor encroachment onto property is indicated near the town centre and Jessica Point in the Embley River. Even for the 10,000 y event the spatial extent is relatively limited and the impacts likely minor. The airport remains unaffected at all modelled return periods. For the 2050 projected climate the effects are similar, with Jessica Point being increasingly impacted. For 2100 climate the town centre is impacted by the 10,000 y event but the airport remains unaffected. Some parts of Weipa community may require evacuation in rare circumstances and port land-based operations will be impacted by the 500 y to 1,000 y events.

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Table 11-5 Peak Tide plus Surge Water Levels and Depth for Climate 2010 Location

Longitude (GDA94)

Latitude (GDA94)

Burketown30

139.541

-17.741

Mornington Island31

139.174

-16.665

Karumba32

140.830

Normanton33 Weipa34

DEM Elevation

Peak Water Level (m AHD)

Water Depth (m)

50

(m AHD) 100 200

500

1,000 10,000

50

100 200

500

1,000 10,000 y

3.6

0.0 3.9

4.5

5.4

6.0

7.3

0.0 0.2

0.8

1.7

2.3

3.5

1.8

0.0 0.0

3.6

3.7* 3.8

4.9

0.0 0.0

0.5

0.6* 0.7

1.8

-17.460

3.6

0.0 0.0

3.9

4.3

4.4

6.0

0.0 0.0

0.2

0.6

0.8

2.4

141.087

-17.665

3.0

0.0 0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

4.4

0.0 0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

1.5

141.868

-12.638

1.7

2.0 2.2

3.0

3.0

3.6

4.5

0.2 0.4

1.2

1.2

1.8

2.7

*Water levels have been based on a log linear interpolation for this return period and location due to localised sensitivity to wind stress.

30

Small channel to west of Burketown on Wills Development Road

31

Adjacent to Lardill St

32

Corner of Fielding St and Karumba Point Road

33

Landsborough St

34

Immediately North of Weipa Hospital

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Table 11-6 Peak Tide plus Surge Water Levels and Depth for Climate 2050 Location

Longitude (GDA94)

Latitude (GDA94)

DEM Elevation

Peak Water Level (m AHD)

Water Depth (m)

(m AHD) 50

100

200

500

1,000

10,000

50

100

200

500

1,000

10,000 y

3.6

3.9

4.6

5.3

6.2

6.6

8.0

0.2

0.9

1.6

2.5

2.9

4.3

1.8

0.0

0.0

3.4

3.9*

4.2

5.2

0.0

0.0

0.3

0.8*

1.2

2.1

Burketown

139.541

-17.741

Mornington Island

139.174

-16.665

Karumba

140.830

-17.460

3.6

0.0

3.7

4.2

4.6

4.9

6.6

0.0

0.1

0.6

1.0

1.3

3.0

Normanton

141.087

-17.665

3.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

3.0

5.9

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.1

3.0

Weipa

141.855

-12.664

0.0

2.3

2.7

2.9*

3.3

3.9

5.4

0.5

0.9

1.1*

1.5

2.1

3.6

*Water levels have been based on a log linear interpolation for this return period and location due to localised sensitivity to wind stress.

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Table 11-7 Peak Tide plus Surge Water Levels and Depth for Climate 2100 Location

Longitude (GDA94)

Latitude (GDA94)

Burketown

139.541

-17.741

Mornington Island

139.174

-16.665

Karumba

140.830

Normanton

DEM Elevation

Peak Water Level (m AHD)

Water Depth (m)

50

200 500 1,000 10,000

50

(m AHD) 100

100

200 500 1,000 10,000 y

3.6

4.7 5.3

6.0

6.8

7.4

8.8

0.9 1.6

2.3

3.1

3.7

5.1

1.8

3.2 3.3

3.9

4.2

4.5

5.8

0.1 0.2

0.9

1.1

1.4

2.8

-17.460

3.6

3.8 4.3

4.9

5.4

5.6

7.2

0.2 0.7

1.2

1.7

1.9

3.5

141.087

-17.665

3.0

0.0 0.0

3.5

4.2

4.6

7.4

0.0 0.0

0.5

1.2

1.6

4.5

Weipa

141.868

-12.638

1.7

2.6 3.1

3.6

4.2

4.7

6.1

0.8 1.3

1.7

2.4

2.9

4.3

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12. Conclusions This study has undertaken a statistical analysis of ocean water levels throughout the entire Gulf of Carpentaria region, leading to estimates of the probability of exceedance of so-called extreme oceaninduced water levels along the open coast and at a number of nominated Gulf sites, as well as detailed inundation mapping of specific community areas. The study is predicated on knowledge of existing or immediately past climatic data and utilises projections of possible future climate change, including sea level rise. The methodology is one of numerical simulation, whereby a variety of established and trusted analytic, deterministic and statistical models have been constructed for addressing the relevant time and space scales of the dominant ocean processes that affect ocean water level. These models have been derived from and/or checked against all available relevant geophysical data to ensure the veracity of the many necessary assumptions. Representation of the physical environment has been paramount in the simulation process. This has entailed constructing a reliable Digital Elevation Model of the entire land surface from Mean Sea Level to beyond the expected extent of ocean-induced storm tide (15 m AHD). Next, the undersea bathymetry has been assembled from a variety of sources, noting that significant parts of the region are not fully surveyed. The wide extent of the study area has itself been a significant challenge. The shallow water depths of the Gulf (< 70 m) means that it is susceptible to wind-induced forcing on a range of time and space scales, from daily to seasonal, which is sufficient to significantly interfere with the expected astronomical tide at many locations. The tidal dynamics are also inherently complex, due to the Gulf being semi-enclosed and adjoining the Arafura Sea to the west and the Coral Sea to the east via the narrow constricted Torres Strait whereby tidal flows oscillate and interfere. Additionally, the meteorology of the region is characterised by distinct and vigorous summer (monsoonal) and winter (SE trades) influences, interspersed by occasional severe tropical cyclone activity from November to April. Given the shallow waters, mild nearshore seabed slopes and low-lying coastal topography together with the level of tropical cyclone threat, the southern Gulf is likely the most hazardous st orm tide region of Australia. To enable accurate estimation of extreme water levels from 50 y to 10,000 y return period and the theoretical maximum surge, it has been necessary to consider both the prevalent background broadscale forcing of the ocean and also the rare but extreme effects of tropical cyclones. The former consideration includes daily, seasonal, annual, inter-annual and inter-decadal variation in sea level and meteorological forcing producing storm surge. The latter considers the tracks, sizes, intensities of tropical cyclones and their interaction with the monsoon circulation, and the extrapolation of their characteristics to very low probability levels. These two influences have been able to be considered separately, because of their scale separation, and their impacts are then statistically recombined to provide the final water level estimation. This has resulted in estimates of potential for storm tide inundation up to as high as 9 m AHD at the coastline and for inland penetration across the flat featureless coastal margins as much as 30 km. These are the very extreme values deemed possible (10,000 y ARI) but very significant threats exist to many Gulf communities at much higher levels of probability (say 100 y ARI, or a 40% chance within 50 years).

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When comparing water level return period curves for both TCs and broadscale events, broadscale events tend to result in higher water levels at low return periods. In the northern Gulf the subsequent analyses reveal that broadscale events may dominate TC events out to a 200 y return period. Given the significance of broadscale events to lower return period water levels, considerable effort has been required to ensure that they are adequately represented. The study has also considered the influence of extreme waves from tropical cyclones, which can contribute to storm tide levels through breaking wave setup. However, extensive investigation of the likelihood that wave setup makes any significant contribution in this specific environment has determined that much of the Gulf coastline is likely not significantly impacted in this way. This is because of the estimated very high level of wave energy dissipation in the shallow nearshore waters. In addition to the extensive statistical analyses of extreme water levels, which relate to long term planning decisions, the study has also delivered a series of parametric storm tide models for use in real time prediction of tropical cyclone storm tide threats. These models are based on the same assumptions and data that underpin the statistical analyses. The study results shows that the highest storm tide hazard risk is in the southern Gulf, predominantly the south-east corner, but also extending to the western side north of Centre Island. The communities most exposed to this hazard in Queensland are therefore Burketown, Karumba, Sweers and Bentinck Island. In the Northern Territory the highest hazard risk is indicated for Numbulwar and Bing Bong. The least affected communities are those towards the northern end of the Gulf, such as Weipa and Yirrkala. Notwithstanding this, many of the other communities have a significant storm tide hazard risk. Of the communities considered for detailed inundation modelling and mapping, Burketown is the most exposed to severe storm tide inundation with flooding of property prevalent for events with return periods of less than 200 y (~20% chance of being equalled or exceeded within a given 50 y period) and total inundation occurring for return periods exceeding 500 y (10% chance of being equalled or exceeded within a given 50 y period). Karumba is also vulnerable to the impacts of storm tide with total inundation of the community for events exceeding 1,000 y (5 % chance of being equalled or exceeded within a given 50 y period). The likelihood of storm tide inundation is much lower at Normanton and Weipa with only minor inundation to property occurring at much higher return periods (ie. about 10,000 y). Under projected climate conditions the risk to all these communities is worsened with total inundation of Burketown estimated for a 200 y return period (for both 2050 and 2100) and at Karumba for the 500 y return period. The Mornington Island community of Gununa is estimated to be largely immune from significant storm tide threat under present and future climates. It is recommended that data collection studies in the Gulf of Carpentaria region be continued and expanded to ensure more reliable geophysical data is available for future studies. In particular, permanent tide gauges are highly desirable at each of the principal communities to provide long term data for mapping the tidal variability, establishing accurate land elevation datums and to assist in emergency services. These should be matched by an expansion of and site-specific calibration of standard meteorological observation stations and strategically placed wave monitoring buoys, current measuring devices, or other composite instrumentation. Accurate bathymetric data is also scarce in many areas and this should continue to be addressed. It is noted that land elevations for some communities are already available from LiDAR survey but this should be expanded to include all habitable areas and extended to include details of nearshore beach and dune profiles .

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13. References Benjamin and Cornell (1970) Probability, statistics and decision for civil engineers, McGraw-Hill. Bode L. and Mason L.B. (1995) Tidal modelling in Torres Strait and the Gulf of Papua. Proc Pacific Congress on Marine Science and Technology: PACON 94, Townsville, O. Bellwood, H. Choat and N. Saxena, Eds., 55--65. Callaghan J. (2000) Personal communication to Harper. Bureau of Meteorology, Queensland Regional Office. Chow,V.T. (1959) Open-Channel Hydraulics, McGraw-Hill Kogakusha, Ltd 680pp. DERM (2010) Invitation to Offer DERM 10-02: Provision of Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Inundation Study. Department of Environment and Resource Management, The State of Queensland, Feb. DERM (2012) Queensland coastal plan – coastal hazards guideline. Department of Environment and Resource Management,, The State of Queensland, Jan,27pp. Efron B. (1979) Bootstrap methods; another look at the jackknife. The Annuals of Statistics, V ol 7, 1-26. Emanuel K.A. (1988) The maximum intensity of hurricanes. Journal of Atmospheric Science, 45, 11431155. JCU (1979). Weipa peninsula extreme water level study. Report prepared by Dept of Civil and Systems Engin James Cook Univ for Comalco Limited. Aug. GA (2010) Digital Elevation Models User Guide: 1 second DSM, DEM and DEM-S and 3 second DSM, DEM and DEM-S. Version 1.0.3 August 2010. GHD (2010a) Proposal for DERM 10-02: Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Inundation Study. Mar. GHD (2010b) Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide Study - Stage 1a Background and Issues Report, Oct, 24pp. GHD (2010c) Northern Territory Storm Tide Mapping, Northern Territory Department of Natural Resources, Environment, the Arts and Sport. Dec, 19pp. GHD/SEA (2003) Storm Tide Modelling Study of the Whitsunday Coast and Resort Islands -Prepared by GHD Pty Ltd in association with Systems Engineering Australia Pty Ltd GHD/SEA (2007) Townsville - Thuringowa storm tide study. Prepared by GHD Pty Ltd in association with Systems Engineering Australia Pty Ltd, GHD/SEA (2009) Cassowary Coast Storm Tide Study - Thuringowa storm tide study. Prepared by GHD Pty Ltd in association with Systems Engineering Australia Pty Ltd, Ginger J.B., Cechet B., Sanabria A., Kepert J., Holmes J. and Henderson D. (2011) Extreme wind baseline climate investigation project: A report for the Commonwealth Department of Climate Change and Energy Efficiency. [Available online at http://www.jcu.edu.au/cts/public/groups/everyone/documents/technical report/jcu 081619.pdf] Gringorten I.I. (1963) A plotting rule for extreme probability paper. Jnl Geophysical Res, 68, 3, 813-814.

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Gomes L. and Vickery B.J.,(1977) Extreme wind speeds in mixed climates, J. Wind Eng. Ind. Aerodyn. 2 (331–344. Günther H., Hasselmann S. and Janssen P.A.E.M. (1992) The WAM model cycle 4. Modellberatungsgruppe, DKRZ, Hamburg, Oct. Hanslow D.J. and Nielsen P. (1993) Shoreline setup on natural beaches. J Coastal Res, Special Issue 15, 1-10. Hardy T.A., McConochie J.D. and Mason L.B. (2003) Modelling the tropical cyclone wave population of the Great Barrier Reef. J. Waterway, Port, Coastal and Ocean Engineering, ASCE, 129 (3), 101-113. Hardy T.A., Mason, L.B., Astorquia A. and Harper B.A. (2004a) Queensland climate change and community vulnerability to tropical cyclones - ocean hazards assessment - stage 2: tropical cycloneinduced water levels and waves : Hervey Bay and Sunshine Coast. Report prepared by James Cook University Marine Modelling Unit in association with Systems Engineering Australia Pty Ltd, Queensland Government, May, 109pp. Hardy T.A., Mason L.B. and Astorquia A. (2004b) Queensland climate change and community vulnerability to tropical cyclones - ocean hazards assessment - stage 3: the frequency of surge plus tide during tropical cyclones for selected open coast locations along the Queensland east coast. Report prepared by James Cook University Marine Modelling Unit, Queensland Government, June. Harper B.A. (1999) Storm tide threat in Queensland: history, prediction and relative risks. Dept of Environment and Heritage, Conservation Tech Rep No. 10, RE 208, Jan, 24pp. Harper B.A. (ed.), (2001a) Queensland climate change and community vulnerability to tropical cyclones ocean hazards assessment - stage 1, Report prep by Systems Engineering Australia Pty Ltd in association with James Cook University Marine Modelling Unit, Queensland Government, March, 375pp. Harper B A (2001b) Queensland climate change and community vulnerability to tropical cyclones - ocean hazards assessment - Stage 1A – Operational Manual, Report prep by Systems Engineering Australia Pty Ltd, Queensland Government, March, 75pp. Harper B.A. (2002) Tropical cyclone parameter estimation in the Australian region: Wind-Pressure Relationships and Related Issues for Engineering Planning and Design, Systems Engineering Australia Pty Ltd for Woodside Energy Ltd, Perth, May, 83pp. Harper B.A. (2004) Queensland climate change and community vulnerability to tropical cyclones – ocean hazards assessment: synthesis report, Queensland Government, Aug, 38pp. Harper B A and Holland G J (1999) An updated parametric model of the tropical cyclone. Proc. 23rd Conf. Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, AMS, Dallas, Texas, 10-15 Jan. Harper, B.A., Stroud, S.A., McCormack, M. and West, S. (2006) A review of historical tropical cyclone intensity in north-western Australia and implications for climate change trend analysis. Aust. Met. Mag., 57/2, 141-121. Harper B.A., Kepert J. and Ginger J. (2010) Guidelines for converting between various wind averaging periods in tropical cyclone conditions. World Meteorological Organization, TCP Sub-Project, WMO/TDNo. 1555, August, 60pp. Holland, G.J. (1980) An analytic model of the wind and pressure profiles in hurricanes. Mon. Wea. Rev., 108, 1212-1218.

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Holland G.J. (1981) On the quality of the Australian tropical cyclone data base. Aust. Met. Mag., 29, 169181. Holland G.J. (1997) The maximum potential intensity of tropical cyclones. J. Atmos. Sci., 54, Nov, 25192541. IPCC (2007) Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Solomon, S., D. Qin, M. Manning, Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K.B. Averyt, M. Tignor and H.L. Miller (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, 996 pp. James M.K. and Mason L.B. (2005) Synthetic tropical cyclone database. J Waterway, Port, Coastal and Ocean Engineering, ASCE, 131 (4), 181-192. Kepert J. D. (2006) Observed boundary–layer wind structure and balance in the hurricane core. Part I: Hurricane Georges. J. Atmos. Sci., 63, 2169–2193. doi:10.1175/JAS3745.1 Kepert J. and Wang Y. (2001) The dynamics of boundary layer jets within the tropical cyclone core - Part II: nonlinear enhancement. Jnl Atmospheric Sciences, 58, Sept, 2485-2501. Kistler R., Kalnay E., Collins W., Saha S., White G., Woollen J., Chelliah M., Ebisuzaki W., Kanamitsu M., Kousky V., van den Dool H., Jenne R. and Fiorino M. (2001) The NCEP–NCAR 50–Year Reanalysis: Monthly Means CD–ROM and Documentation. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 82, 2, Feb, 247–267. Komen G.J., Cavaleri L., Donelan .M., Hasselmann H., Hasselmann S. and Janssen P. (1994) Dynamics and modeling of ocean waves. Cambridge University Press, 532pp. Kossin J.P., Knaff J.A., Berger H.I. , Herndon D.C., Cram T.A., Velden C.S., Murnane R.J. and Hawkins J.D. (2007) Estimating hurricane wind structure in the absence of aircraft reconnaissance. Weather and Forecasting, Vol 22, Issue 1, 89-101. Knutson T.R., McBride J.L., Chan J., Emanuel K., Holland G., Landsea C., Held I., Kossin J.P., Srivastava A.K. and Sugi M., 2010: Tropical cyclones and climate change. Nature Geoscience, 3, 15 – 163. Landsea C.W., Harper B.A., Hoarau K., and Knaff J. (2006) Can we detect trends in extreme tropical cyclones? Science, 313, 28 July, (10.1126/science.1128448). Makkonen L. (2008) Bringing closure to the plotting position controversy. Comm. Stat. Theory Methods, 37, 460–467. Mason L.B. and McConochie J.D. (2001) MMUSURGE user's guide. School of Engineering, Marine Modelling Unit, James Cook University, Townsville. Maunsell (2003) Carpentaria Shire drainage and flood study. Dec, 186pp. McConochie J.D., Hardy T.A. and Mason L.B. (2004) Modelling tropical cyclone over-water wind and pressure fields. Ocean Engineering, 31, 1757-1782. McGuffie K. (2010) Future tropical cyclone season characteristics from a thermodynamics model driven by coupled climate model simulations, in, Climate Alert: Climate Change Monitoring and Strategy, You, J. and Henderson-Sellers, A. (Eds), 2010, Sydney University Press.

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MSQ (2012) Queensland Tide Tables 2010. Maritime Safety Queensland, Department of Transport and Main Roads, Queensland Government. Nicholls N. (1992) Historical El Niño/Southern Osscillation variability in the Australian region. In: Nicholls, N., 1992: Recent performance of a method for forecasting Australian seasonal tropical cyclone activity. Aust. Meteor. Mag., 40, 105 110. Nudelman, I., Smith, R.K., Reeder, M.J. (2010) A climatology of pressure jumps around the Gulf of Carpentaria 2010 Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Journal. Vol. 60, no. 2, June. 91-101 Oliver E.C.J and Thompson K.R. (2011) Sea level and circulation variability of the Gulf of Carpentaria: Influence of the Madden‐Julian Oscillation and the adjacent deep ocean. J. Geophysical Res, Vol 116, C02019, 14pp. Power S., Casey T., Folland C., Colman A. and Mehta V. (1999) Inter-decadal modulation of the impact of ENSO on Australia. Climate Dynamics, 15, 319-324. SEA (2005) Darwin TCWC Northern Region storm tide prediction system - system development technical report. Prep by Systems Engineering Australia Pty Ltd for the Bureau of Meteorology, Darwin. SEA Report J0308-PR001C. Dec, 208pp. SEA (2006) Darwin Storm Tide Mapping Study 2006. Prep by Systems Engineering Australia Pty Ltd for the Northern Territory Dept of Emergency Services, Darwin. SEA Report J0606-PR001C, 119pp, Nov. SEA (2007) Gove storm tide study. Prep by Systems Engineering Australia Pty Ltd for Alcan Gove Pty Ltd. SEA Report J0607-PR001B, August, 77pp, SEA (2011) Torres Strait extreme water level study. Prepared by Systems Engineering Australia Pty Ltd for the Torres Strait Regional Authority, July,386pp, Sharples C., Mount R., Pedersen T., Lacey M., Newton J., Jaskierniak D. and Wallace L. (2009) The Australian coastal Smartline geomorphic and stability map version 1: project report School of Geography and Environmental, University of Tasmania, June, 69 pp. Short A.D. (2006) Beaches of the northern Australian coast: the Kimberley, Northern Territory & Cape York - a guide to their nature, characteristics, surf and safety. Sydney University Press. Stephens S.A., Coco G. and Bryan K.R. (2011) Numerical simulations of wave setup over barred beach profiles: implications for predictability. Jnl Waterway, Port, Coastal and Ocean Engineering, July/August, 175-181. Stockdon H.F., Holman R.A., Howd P.A. and Sallenger A.H. (2006) Empirical parameterization of setup, swash, and runup. Coastal Engineering, 53, 573-588. Thompson E.F. and Cardone V.J. (1996) Practical modelling of hurricane surface wind fields. J. Waterways, Port, Coastal and Ocean Engineering, ASCE, 122, 4, 195-205. Velden C., Harper B., Wells F., Beven J.L., Zehr R., Olander T., Mayfield M., Guard C., Lander M., Edson R., Avila L., Burton A., Turk M., Kikuchi A., Christian A., Caroff P., McCrone P. (2006) The Dvorak tropical cyclone intensity estimation technique: a satellite-based method that has endured for over 30 years. Bulletin American Meteorological Society, Vol 87, Sept, 1195-1210. Victory S.J. and Davis B.D. (1996) Tropical cyclone “Ted” storm tide elevations re-examined. Dept of Environment and Heritage, Queensland. Unpublished.

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Willoughby H. E. and Rahn M.E. (2004): Parametric representation of the primary hurricane vortex. Part I: Observations and evaluation of the Holland (1980) model. Mon. Wea. Rev., 132, (12), 3033-3048. WMO (2006) Statement on tropical cyclones and climate change. Outcome of the Sixth International Workshop on Tropical Cyclones (IWTC-VI), Costa Rica, World Meteorological Organization, WMO-TCP, Geneva, Nov, 13pp.

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Appendix A

Return Period Concepts

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A1 - General This study has presented its analyses of risk in terms of the so-called Return Period (or Average Recurrence Interval ARI). The return period is the “average” number of years between successive events of the same or greater magnitude. For example, if the 100-year return period storm tide level is 3.0 m AHD then on average, a 3.0 m AHD level storm tide or greater will occur due to a single event once every 100 years, but sometimes it may occur more or less frequently than 100 years. It is important to note that in any “N”-year period, the “N”-year return period event has a 64% chance of being equalled or exceeded. This means that the example 3.0 m storm tide has a better-than-even chance of being exceeded by the end of any 100-year period. If the 100-year event were to occur, then there is still a finite possibility that it could occur again soon, even in the same year, or that the 1000 year event could occur, for example, next year. Clearly if such multiple events continue unchecked then the basis for the estimate of, say, the 100 year event might then need to be questioned, but statistically this type of behaviour can be expected. A more consistent way of considering the above (NCCOE 2004) is to include the concepts of “design life” and “encounter probability” which, when linked with the return period, provide better insight into the problem and can better assist management risk decision making. These various elements are linked by the following formula (Borgman 1963): T = - N / ln [1 - p ] Where

p

=

encounter probability

N

=

the design life

(years)

T

=

the return period

(years)

This equation describes the complete continuum of risk when considering the prospect of at least one event of interest occurring. More complex equations describe other possibilities such as the risk of only two events in a given period or only one event occurring. Figure S.1 illustrates the above equation graphically. It presents the variation in probability of at least one event occurring (the encounter probability) versus the period of time considered (the design life). The intersection of any of these chosen variables leads to a particular return period and a selection of common return periods is indicated. For example, this shows that the 200-year return period has a 40% chance of being equalled or exceeded in any 100-year period. The level of risk acceptable in any situation is necessarily a corporate or business decision. Figure A.1, is provided to assist in this decision making process by showing a selection of risk options. For example, accepting a 5% chance of occurrence in a design life of 50 years means that the 1000-year return period event should be considered. A similar level of risk is represented by a 1% chance in 10 years. By comparison, the 100 year return period is equivalent to about a 10% chance in 10 years. AS1170.2 (Standards Australia 2002), for example, dictates a 10% chance in 50 years criteria or the 500-year return period as the minimum risk level for wind speed loadings on engineered structures.

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A2 - References NCCOE (2004) Guidelines for responding to the effects of climate change in coastal and ocean engineering – 2004 update. The National Committee on Coastal and Ocean Engineering, ENGINEERS AUSTRALIA, Canberra, EA Books, 75pp. Borgman L. (1963) Risk Criteria. Journal of the Waterway, Port, Coastal and Ocean Division, ASCE, Vol 89, No. WW3, Aug, 1 - 35. Standards Australia (2002) AS/NZS 1170.2 – 2002. Structural design actions - Part 2: wind actions. 88pp, as amended.

Figure A.1 Relationship between Return Period and Encounter probability

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Appendix B

Stage 1a Background and Data Issues Report

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Department of Environment and Resource Management Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide Study Stage 1a Background and Issues Report October 2010

Contents 1.

Introduction

1

2.

Review of Background Information

3

2.1

Bathymetry and Topography

3

2.2

Climatological Datasets

5

2.3

Tide and Wave Data

6

3.

Proposed Project Methodology

7

3.1

Representation of the Regional Meteorology

8

3.2

Tropical Cyclone Wind and Pressure Modelling

10

3.3

Stage 1b- Development of Hydrodynamic/Wave Models

10

3.4

Stage 1b - Statistical and Parametric Modelling

12

3.5

Stage 2 – Inundation Modelling

13

4.

Conclusion

14

5.

References

15

Table Index Table 1

Climate Model Data Sets

Appendix A – DERM Supplied Data

5 17

Figure Index Figure 1

Project Extent

2

Figure 2

Flowchart of the proposed study methodology.

7

Figure 3

Monsoonal (left) and tradewinds (right) seasonal mean wind speed and direction (Derived by AMC from the LAPS output).

9

Gulf bathymetry contouring and the AMC-modelled K1 tide amplitude and phase

9

Figure 4 Figure 5

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Indicative A and B Grid Hydrodynamic Modelling Extents - Source (SEA, 2004)

Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide Study Stage 1a Background and Issues Report

11

Appendices A

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DERM Supplied Resources

Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide Study Stage 1a Background and Issues Report

1.

Introduction

In accordance with the project brief (DERM 2010; 3.4.1.1) the Stage 1a report provides a summary of the project planning to date. Key deliverables for the Stage 1a report include: Review of background information; Details of proposed project methodology; and Identification of issues, knowledge gaps or limitations which may impact the successful delivery of the project. This report draws upon the GHD (2010) study proposal, the DERM-supplied background material and resources, and the result of the internal Technical Planning Meeting held at GHD offices on 13/09/10 involving our principal sub-contractors: Lou Mason (Australian Maritime College, University of Tasmania and ex JCU Marine Modelling Unit) Jeff Callaghan (Consulting Meteorologist). In the sections that follow, the items below have been identified as the key issues requiring consideration in planning and refinement of the methodology and/or affecting progress: 1.

Availability and accuracy of the bathymetric and topographic data;

2.

Accuracy of historical tropical cyclone intensity;

3.

Absence of associated tropical cyclone scale data;

4.

Availability/accuracy of broadscale climate model forcing;

5.

The ability to accurately model the astronomical tide across the entire Gulf using a single 2D hydrodynamic model:

6.

Limited regional surge and wave model calibration data;

7.

Lack of understanding of likely wave setup mechanisms in extended shallow coastal margins;

8.

The effect of groundcover (mangroves etc) on the inundation events;

9.

Limited long term wind data for statistical calibration of the model;

10.

Blending of cyclonic and non-cyclonic wind and pressure fields;

11.

Potential schedule delays resulting from the computationally-intensive spectral wave modelling;

12.

The need to customise aspects of various numerical and statistical models.

Our preferred approaches and recommendations to minimise the adverse impacts of the above are discussed in the respective methodology contexts in subsequent sections. The extent of the project study area is provided in Figure 1.

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Source: (DERM, 2010).

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2.

Review of Background Information

This section details the key datasets that are proposed for use on the project. Due to the size and complexity of storm tide studies a large data collection campaign has been undertaken and numerous bathymetric, climatic and hydrographic datasets have been assessed for suitability. GHD would like to acknowledge the efforts of DERM in assembling a large background dataset for the project. A summary of the DERM provided resource material is detailed in Appendix A.

2.1

Bathymetry and Topography

2.1.1

Proposed Data Sources

The bathymetric and topographic representation of the earth’s surface provides the foundation for the hydrodynamic modelling components of the study and the accuracy of the subsequent inundation mapping. Based on discussions with the Australian Hydrographic Service (AHS), Geoscience Australia (GA) and following review of bathymetric and topographic datasets, a number of key datasets were identified. From these datasets, it is proposed to compile a project wide Digital Elevation Model (DEM). Key datasets include: The 9 second (250m) resolution GA Australian Bathymetry and Topography Grid, 2009 to represent the bathymetry within the Gulf of Carpentaria; The 1 second (approximately 30m) resolution GA Shuttle Radar Topographic Mission (SRTM) derived DEM to represent topography on the low-lying floodplains and coastline adjacent to the Gulf of Carpentaria; Digital hydrographic charts datasets sourced from CMAP digital chart database (database held by GHD); Maritime Safety Queensland (MSQ) bathymetric survey (refer Appendix A); LiDAR data acquired for nominated sites for inundation modelling and mapping; and River cross sections developed during the Norman River Flood Study. GHD is currently attempting to acquire this data but it may not be made available by the consultant who conducted the study. Meanwhile, we are aware of the EPA modelling study done by Stephen Victory for Cyclone Ted circa 1996 and it may be possible that there was some cross-sectional data used for that study. 2.1.2

Potential Data Limitations and Issues

Due to the sensitivity of overland storm surge propagation to the underlying topography, the accuracy of the elevation data in this remote area provides a potential limitation to the accuracy of the final project deliverables. GHD is still in the process of acquiring and reviewing the various datasets, which have a number of known limitations. These include:

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Limited elevation data at the interface between ocean and land within the GA 9 second bathymetric dataset. In reviewing this data it is apparent that data points of up to 40 km apart have been interpolated between the coastline and deeper sections of the Gulf; Limited nearshore bathymetry capture in the CMAP digital bathymetric database. Notwithstanding this, the GHD-held CMAP dataset would appear superior to the GA 9s bathymetry in areas close to the coastline. Given that there appears little advantage in using the GA dataset in the deeper regions we propose to use the CMAP dataset as the primary data source of bathymetric input to the DEM; Accuracy of the 1 second SRTM-derived DEM in low-lying coastal areas. This is particularly relevant given the extent of inland storm tide propagation (in some cases 20-30km). GHD is currently accessing this dataset through DERM and GA. Following receipt its accuracy will be reviewed and the findings provided to the Study Advisory Group (SAG). Potential issues include: – Areas of low-lying land set to 0 mAHD; – Inherent noise in low-lying areas associated with the dataset. This may be up to ±5m; – Conversion of SRTM vertical datum to AHD; – Vegetation and man-made features not effectively filtered from the DEM; and – Limited river bathymetric data. At this time the accuracy of the STRM dataset remains unknown. However given the extent of the project area there are limited alternative topographic datasets (eg. mapping) that provide similar coverage. If it is found that there are flaws in the STRM dataset it is proposed to discuss with DERM to discuss the implications on the project deliverables. We propose to seek expert advice from DERM (P. Todd) in respect of the likely accuracy of all nearshore datasets.

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2.2 2.2.1

Climatological Datasets Climate Models

A number of global and regional climate models have been reviewed for suitability in the project. This has been necessary to assess the climate models’ ability to resolve and force intra- seasonal wind driven water level responses in the Gulf. Given the pool of available climate models, the project team is confident that a suitable dataset will be derived from those detailed in Table 1. Following testing in the hydrodynamic context; the most appropriate dataset will be adopted for the project. When the review is complete the reasons for choosing the specific climate model will be discussed with DERM. Table 1

Climate Model Data Sets

Climate Model

Progress/Details

NCEP Climate Re-Analysis 1948 – present 2.5 degree resolution

Have Acquired Dataset; Low resolution; Reliable;

ERA-40 1957 – 2002 2.5 degree resolution ERA – Interim 1989 -present 1.5 degree

Lou Mason is currently undertaking a review of these datasets;

ACRE 20th Century Re- Analysis V1 1908-1958 and V2 1871present 2 degree resolution

Acquisition will be dependant on the findings of the ERA review being undertaken by Lou Mason. Can be readily supplied by the Queensland Climate Change Centre of Excellence (QCCCE) if required.

CSIRO CCAM 1970+ 60km resolution

Data is currently being reviewed by GHD.

BoM LAPS 1996-2008 approximately 40km resolution

Lou Mason has acquired dataset; High quality dataset which is capable of forcing wind driven water responses in the Gulf.

2.2.2

Meteorological Observations

GHD has acquired surface pressure and wind speed data from available BoM weather stations throughout the study area and has Quikscat satellite scatterometer surface wind datasets for 1999-2007 that will be assessed for suitability. These datasets will be used collectively to help identify suitable tropical cyclones to hindcast, and the BoM data will be additionally used to undertake a regional extreme value analysis of windspeed to assist in verifying the statistical model performance. BoM recorded winds will also need to be adjusted for significant station exposure (topography and roughness). 2.2.3

Tropical Cyclone Database

GHD maintains an up-to-date tropical cyclone (TC) database based on the Systems Engineering Australia (SEA) proprietary storm dataset that has been assembled from many projects. Jeff Callaghan has undertaken a review of the major TCs to impact the study area (1887-Present) for the Torres Strait Extreme Ocean Levels Assessment (SEA, 2010) and we are currently confirming with TSRA that these can be made available for this project.

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Notwithstanding the above, it is well known that the accuracy of the historical dataset is likely prone to biases as a result of changing operational procedures and technology (e.g. Harper et al. 2008). The influence of this on the present project remains unknown. 2.2.4

Storm Surge Evidence/History

Jeff Callaghan has provided a detailed review of major TCs in the Gulf (1887-present). This review includes evidence of storm surge, including historical accounts, anecdotal and some measured storm surge water levels. This information has been made available to DERM.

2.3

Tide and Wave Data

2.3.1

Tides

GHD/Lou Mason has acquired tidal data from available sources throughout the study area. Much of this data had already been collected as part of the Torres Strait Extreme Ocean Levels Assessment (SEA, 2010). Tidal constituents are available at only a few isolated locations across the study area but will be essential for calibration of the numerical tidal model. Although limited in number, the spatial distribution should not limit the ability to verify the model, subject to the adequacy of the bathymetric data. Key tidal stations include: Gove; Milner Bay (Groote Island); Centre Island; Karumba; and Weipa. 2.3.2

Waves

Weipa (Albatross Bay) provides the only long term record of wave data within the Gulf (1978-present) This includes the Weipa uni-directional (pre-2008) and directional Waverider Buoy (2008-present). We are also aware of satellite altimetry data that might be able to be obtained at some cost through Prof Ian Young at Swinburne University of Technology. This could be used to assist in verification of the wave model statistics across the Gulf region. 2.3.3

Storm Tide Monitoring Stations

DERM currently maintain three storm tide monitoring stations within the Gulf. These include: Weipa; Karumba; and Mornington Island. The project team is currently in the process of acquiring and review of this dataset, which will be analysed to isolate any significant storm surge events

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3.

Proposed Project Methodology

The proposed GHD (2010) study methodology is outlined in the following sections, and Figure 2 provides a conceptual flowchart for the project. This conceptual view remains unchanged relative to the original study methodology, although a number of specific details have now been clarified as a result of the Technical Planning Meeting, and these are discussed below in the relevant sections. We emphasise that the study is complex and requires the combination of a wide range of techniques and processes. As such we have considered as many options as possible and are planning for contingencies at each stage.

Figure 1

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Flowchart of the proposed study methodology.

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3.1

Representation of the Regional Meteorology

Consistent with GHD (2010), the statistics of extreme water levels in the Gulf of Carpentaria are expected to be dominated by: Tropical cyclones during the summer months; Trade wind and monsoon forcing at other times; Interactions with the astronomical tide, and Local components due to breaking wave setup. 3.1.1

Monsoon, Trade Wind Interactions and Hindcast Climate Model/Data:

Based on previous work in the nearby Torres Strait (SEA, 2010), a significant seasonal water level response (up to 0.4m) is observed in the Gulf due to the regional wind forcing of the SE Trades and NW Monsoon (refer Figure 2 and Figure 3). Given the magnitude of this residual, which is typically represented by the Sa or Ssa tidal component when analysing tidal records, the ideal climate model will be capable of representing this wind and pressure driven signal in determining statistical storm surge levels. The presently identified limitations of the various broadscale climate models are that: Spatial resolution is typically insufficient to capture the local wind and pressure gradients, especially at the base of the Gulf (e.g. NCEP and ACRE); Temporal data span is short (LAPS), or Data is not freely available (ERA, CCAM). At present, all of the climate models of interest (refer Table 1) are being reviewed to assess their ability to resolve and reproduce the seasonal water level response in the hydrodynamic model (refer Section 3.3.1). We plan to utilise the best combination of available models to achieve the desired outcome. This may include a combination of mean and residual seasonal signals obtained from different models to provide the necessary spatial detail on the one hand, and to reproduce the statistics of tidal residuals on the other. The ability to hindcast specific events will be given a lower priority than matching of the statistics.

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Figure 2

Monsoonal (left) and tradewinds (right) seasonal mean wind speed and direction (Derived by AMC from the LAPS output).

Figure 3

Gulf bathymetry contouring and the AMC-modelled K1 tide amplitude and phase

3.1.2

Review of Tropical Cyclone Parameters:

To develop appropriate input parameters for TCs in the Gulf, a review of historical storm parameters is being undertaken. Examples of TC input parameters include radius of maximum winds, maximum wind speeds, maximum potential intensity etc. The refinement of Gulf specific parameters will be based on

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previous project experience (SEA) and also input from various studies undertaken by the project team. This includes the work of: Mr Jeff Callaghan: Review of historical cyclones and storm surge in the Gulf, including the provision of Synoptic and Satellite imagery; Dr Kendal McGuffie – Key dataset for the determination of Maximum Potential Intensity (MPI) in the Gulf for current and future TC climates ; and Dr James Kossin – Historical evidence of TC structure in the Gulf based on infra-red satellite imagery trained against US/NOAA aircraft reconnaissance of hurricanes.

3.2

Tropical Cyclone Wind and Pressure Modelling

To represent TC pressure and windfields the following analyses will be undertaken: Hindcasting of significant TC events where (gale force) wind data is available to assist in determining spatial characteristics of Rmax and windfield peakedness; Application of double-Holland (e.g. Thompson and Cardone 1996) parametric wind and pressure models using an inner and outer vortex scaling method originally developed by Lou Mason; Statistical track analyses and synthetic TC track generation according to the advanced method in Hardy et al. (2004), as further developed by Lou Mason; Merging of the cyclone vortex winds into the background seasonal winds; Calibration of the TC wind field radii scales against the available wind records. The above processes will provide the input wind and pressure datasets to drive the hydrodynamic and wave models. Risks include that the previously developed calibration techniques will fail to capture the Gulf TC wind characteristics.

3.3

Stage 1b- Development of Hydrodynamic/Wave Models

3.3.1

Hydrodynamic Models

Consistent with GHD (2010) it is proposed to undertake the Stage 1b open coast storm tide hydrodynamic modelling using the proprietary model MMUSURGE, which will provide the project team with the flexibility and efficiency required to model the complex wind fields effectively. It is proposed to undertake the hydrodynamic modelling using an A + B Grid approach, rather than the A+B+C approach used previously by GHD (2003, 2007, 2009). This is designed to provide adequate matching with the Stage 2 (equivalent C+D) inundation modelling at specific sites, whilst providing economy of modelling across the whole Gulf. An example of the A and B grid scales is provided in Figure 4 as per SEA (2004). The final extent and resolution of these grids is currently under development; however, it is likely that the A and B grids will have a resolution of approximately 7 km and 2 km respectively. The success of the A + B grid approach will be subject to the ability of the A grid to accurately predict tides within the study area over a large extent. If the A + B grid approach does not provide the required

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tidal accuracy, an A + B + C grid approach will be undertaken in which tidal matching is undertaken at the B Grid level.

Figure 4

3.3.2

Indicative A and B Grid Hydrodynamic Modelling Extents - Source (SEA, 2004)

Wave Models

To determine the impact of wave setup in the Gulf it is proposed to adopt the WAMGBR 3rd Generation Spectral Wave Model as the preferred wave source model over our other offering of Delft Hydraulics SWAN. As with MMUSURGE this model provides an efficient and flexible package to undertake the required Stage 1b modelling by being able to accommodate the customised complex wind fields. 3.3.3

Model Calibration

Tides The adopted MMUSURGE models (A or B grid depending on trials) will be calibrated to the astronomical tide at the available gauges by a combination of open boundary conditions and/or bathymetry changes if justified. Surge Model In order to assess the reliability of the MMUSURGE and WAMGBR to predict hydrodynamic and wave responses in the Gulf, it is necessary to calibrate against historical TC events. It is proposed to model at least two storms for calibration/verification of storm tide. These include: Calibration to Severe Tropical Cyclone Kathy (1984); and/or Verification to Severe Tropical Cyclone Ted (1976); and/or Another suitable event (depending on detailed assessment of all the available data).

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The Kathy and Ted hindcasts will be updated versions of previously modelled scenarios using refined data from the various reviews. While there have been many TC events in the Gulf, it is our experience that very few are suitable for accurate hindcasting due to the lack of spatial wind and tide gauge data.

Wave Model A cyclonic and non-cyclonic event during the period of available Weipa wave data will be modelled. This will likely require development of a small localised C grid for these purposes. We will investigate the possible use of satellite altimeter data and/or BoM WAM modelled waves for estimation of non-cyclonic wave conditions with a fallback to 1D wave growth curves to provide suitably indicative values.

3.4

Stage 1b - Statistical and Parametric Modelling

Open coast storm tide statistics will be developed for the 50, 100, 200, 500, 1000 and 10,000 year storm tide events. This will be undertaken using the SATSIM statistical storm tide model that will combine modelled broadscale (non-cyclonic) events with cyclonic events. Broadscale Water Level Statistics for Present Climate These will be based on hydrodynamic modelling of the full available period of wind and pressure forcing (NCEP or equivalent as previously discussed) to obtain a time history at each A (or B) grid point for (say) 60 years, combined either with A grid or B grid tidal boundaries. This synthetic water level record will then be filtered to remove the TC periods and the maximum water level each year used to assemble the statistics. This process is then repeated with (say) 20 further phase-shifted tides to provide a total record of approximately 1200 yr. The final output from this phase is an exceedance of water level graph at each grid point that will later be statistically merged with the cyclonic statistics. This tidal combination method is similar to that used in Hardy et al. (2004) for TC events. Wave setup will also be included in this process. Tropical Cyclone Statistics for Present Climate Firstly the gulf-wide seasonally-varying equilibrium surface and associated currents that will represent the strong seasonal signal (equivalent to the Sa and Ssa tidal harmonics) must be modelled. This will be based on an “average” year derived from the climate model data. TCs will then be selected from the synthetic track set and their wind and pressure fields merged into the broadscale fields. The time histories of tide, surge and/or waves will then be modelled and accumulated at all sites and not more than 100km intervals along the coastline for each synthetic TC, representing up to 10,000 years of possible TC climate. Wave modelling computational constraints may require ranking of events to avoid the weaker systems. Wave setup and run-up will be based on the analytical methods recommended in Harper (2001), although it must be recognised that these approaches are derived from data collected at high energy, typically steep beaches, which are typically not representative of the Gulf. This will be a further source of uncertainty in peak water levels, which will be compared with the inundation modelling in Stage 2 using some selected coupled hydrodynamic and spectral wave model simulations. Parametric adjustments for wave setup may be justified in the open coast estimates on that basis. Parametric Storm Tide Hydrodynamic model results will also be parameterised to provide for rapid Monte Carlo sampling using the methodology in Hardy et al. (2004) by Harper. The resulting SATSIM parametric model definitions will

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be compatible with the SEAtide model available from SEA and currently in use by the NT BoM and be based on straight-line tracks as per the SEA (2004) approach. The parametric models will be informed by the numerical tide modelling to provide spatially varying tidal constituents, including the Sa and SSa obtained from the broadscale forcing. The supplied parametric storm tide prediction model will be a deterministic version of the SATSIM model that is used for the probabilistic simulations.

Climate Change Scenarios Repeating the very complex present climate hydrodynamic modelling step for two future climate conditions of 2050 and 2100 will represent a significant amount of computation and storage that can only be feasibly done within a limited scope of climate parameter scenarios. Accordingly, in order to allow a wide range of sensitivity testing (SLR, MPI, track shifts, frequency change, size change etc) it is proposed to undertake climate change scenario testing using the parametric model developed as detailed above. This is deemed consistent with the precision of the future climate sea level rise and TC intensity and frequency estimates. Confidence in this decision is underpinned by our previous (GHD/SEA) storm tide study experiences for Townsville, Whitsunday and Innisfail, each of which demonstrated that the parametric modelling approach was very consistent with the Hardy et al. (2004) discrete modelling for both present and 2050 climates and so is capable of reflecting the likely changes without the need to repeat the full hydrodynamic modelling step. Instead, this approach will allow greater versatility in choosing climate change scenarios and reduce the risk of schedule delays late in the project.

3.5

Stage 2 – Inundation Modelling

3.5.1

Inundation Modelling

One or more modelled TC events that match the Stage 1b open coast storm tide levels at the locality of interest and for the respective ARI risk level will be selected from the synthetic climate set. Storms will then be re-modelled in association with the sampled coincident tide to allow inundation. It is proposed to adopt the DHI Mike 21 FM model for Stage 2 of the project. During Stage 2, the Mike21 models would be cross-calibrated with Stage 1b model statistics. As detailed in Section 2.1.2, the accuracy of the inundation modelling will be based largely on the underlying accuracy of the bathymetric and topographic datasets but will also be likely impacted by the representation of the surface roughness over the very extensive salt-pan coastal margins. We propose to undertake some sensitivity testing in an attempt to quantify this uncertainty. 3.5.2

Inundation Mapping

GHD has developed a robust mapping system for the delivery of storm tide projects. Key deliverables of the mapping will include: Water level extents; Water depth; and Emergency Maps (based on EMQs evacuation framework).

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4.

Conclusion

The study is complex and requires the combination of a wide range of techniques and processes within a background of inadequate and sparse datasets. As such our philosophy continues to be one of considering and retaining a range of analysis options while the various components are assembled and tested. Consistent with the likely lack of precision of some elements we then are focused on enabling sensitivity testing of as many assumptions as is reasonably possible. To achieve this we require efficiency of our computationally-intensive work elements and a consistency between the probabilistic and deterministic elements of the work. We expect to report on these developments throughout the study phases and will provide the basis for our deliberations within the overall methodology and approach. In summary, our progress to date is: Both the inception meeting and technical project planning meeting have been completed; A detailed data collection phase has been undertaken and we are in the final stages of accessing the required datasets for the project; The project team is currently reviewing the various data, primarily the climate model datasets and bathymetric/topographic datasets for significant issues/limitations, and We have identified our preferred models and detailed methodologies. Further details of any specific aspect of the proposed work can be provided on request and progress will be reported as agreed on a monthly basis against schedule.

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5.

References

DERM (2010) Invitation to Offer DERM 10-02: Provision of Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Inundation Study. Feb. GHD/SEA (2003) Storm Tide Modelling Study of the Whitsunday Coast and Resort Islands -Prepared by GHD Pty Ltd in association with Systems Engineering Australia Pty Ltd GHD/SEA (2007) Townsville - Thuringowa storm tide study. Prepared by GHD Pty Ltd in association with Systems Engineering Australia Pty Ltd, GHD/SEA (2009) Cassowary Coast Storm Tide Study - Thuringowa storm tide study. Prepared by GHD Pty Ltd in association with Systems Engineering Australia Pty Ltd, GHD (2010) Proposal for DERM 10-02: Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Inundation Study. Mar. Hardy T.A., Mason, L.B., Astorquia A. and Harper B.A. (2004) Queensland climate change and community vulnerability to tropical cyclones - ocean hazards assessment - stage 2: tropical cycloneinduced water levels and waves : Hervey Bay and Sunshine Coast. Report prepared by James Cook University Marine Modelling Unit in association with Systems Engineering Australia Pty Ltd, Queensland Government, May, 109pp Harper B.A. (Ed.) (2001) Queensland climate change and community vulnerability to tropical cyclones ocean hazards assessment - Stage 1, Report prep by Systems Engineering Australia Pty Ltd in association with James Cook University Marine Modelling Unit, Queensland Government, March, 375pp. Harper, B.A., Stroud, S.A., McCormack, M. and West, S. (2006) A review of historical tropical cyclone intensity in north-western Australia and implications for climate change trend analysis. Aust. Met. Mag., 57/2, 141-121. SEA (2004) Queensland climate change and community vulnerability to tropical cyclones – ocean hazards assessment – Stage 1a: Operational manual. Prepared by Systems Engineering Australia Pty Ltd, Queensland Government, Mar, 85pp. SEA (2010) Storm tide inundation study of the Torres Strait. Prepared by Systems Engineering Australia Pty Ltd in association with UTAS/AMC and GHD Pty Ltd for the Torres Strait Regional Authority, (in prep). Thompson, E.F. and V.J. Cardone (1996) Practical modelling of hurricane surface wind fields. J. Waterways, Port, Coastal and Ocean Engineering, ASCE, 122, 4, 195-205.

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Appendix A

DERM Supplied Resources

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Appendix A – DERM Supplied Data Item No.

Type

Date/Relevant Event

Source

Dataset

Details

Initial Data Provision BoM 1

Historical Evidence

1887 Cyclone/Burket own

QPS/BoM

Letter

Historical Account

2

Observations/Historical Evidence

1932 Cyclone at Groote Island

BoM

Powerpoint

Some details of Pressure/Wind

3

Observations/Historical Evidence

1936

BoM

Powerpoint

Some details of Pressure/Wind

5

Observations/Historical Evidence

1948

BoM

Powerpoint

Some details of Pressure/Wind

6

Observations/Historical Evidence

1887

Jeff (BoM)

Word document

7

Observations/Historical Evidence

1964 (Dora)

BoM

Powerpoint

Surge/wind and pressure/

8

Observations/Historical Evidence

1964(Flora)

BoM

Powerpoint

Surge/wind and pressure

9

Observations/Historical Evidence

1971 (Fiona)

BoM

Powerpoint

Surge/wind and pressure

10

Observations/Historical Evidence

1976 (Ted)

BoM

PowerPoint

Surge/wind and pressure

MSQ

PDF

MSQ Bathymetry Data 11

Various MSQ Bathymetry Files

LIDAR Data 12

LIDAR Data

DERM

To be provided

13

Height Modernisation AusGeoid09 (Peter Todd)

DERM

PowerPoint

Previous Studies 14

Island Coordinating Council Natural Disaster Risk Management Strategy

2006

ARUP

G:\41\23138\Stag e1A\Related Studies\ICC\CD2 \Report on Risk Management Study_Vol 1.pdf

15

Kowanyama Natural Disaster Risk Mitigation

2005

Kowanyam a Aboriginal

G:\41\23138\Stag e1A\Related

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Item No.

Type

Date/Relevant Event

Project – Stage 1 Report

Source

Dataset

Details

Council/Joh n C Taylor

Studies\Kowanya ma\Natural disasters draft #2.pdf

Department of Emergency Services/D OTARS

G:\41\23138\Stag e1A\Related Studies\Kowanya ma\kowndrmp.pd f

16

Natural Disaster Risk Management Plan for the Kowanyama Community

2007

17

Mapoon Natural Disaster Risk Management Study

AECOM 2009

G:\41\23138\Stag e1A\Related Studies\Mapoon\ Mapoon NDRMS 09-04-29 updated with Appendix.pdf

18

Lockhart River Natural Risk Management Study

AECOM 2008

G:\41\23138\Stag e1A\Related Studies\Mapoon\ Natural Disaster Risk Management Report updated with Appendices.pdf

19

Pormpuraaw Natural Disaster Risk Mitigation Plan

20

Weipa Natural Disaster Risk Management Study

Connell Wagner 2006

G:\41\23138\Stag e1A\Related Studies\Weipa\C 2006.06.15 Weipa NDRMS Rept_Rev0.doc

21

Gove Storm Tide Study

SEA 2007

G:\41\23138\Stag e1A\Related Studies\Alcan Gove Storm Tide - final.pdf

22

Port of Weipa Capital Dredging

GHD 2004

G:\41\23138\Stag e1A\Related Studies\Appendix D Port of Weipa Capital Dredging Modlleing.pdf

23

Carpentaria Drainage and Flood Study

l 2003

G:\41\23138\Stag e1A\Related Studies\Pormpur aaw\hazard.pdf

Norman River, Normanton, Kurumba

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Could be potential source of river cross sections

G:\41\23138\Stag e1A\Related Studies\Carpentri a Flood Study.pdf

Item No.

Type

24

CSIRO – Flagships Study

25

The Effect of Climate Change on Extreme Sea Levels along Victoria’s Coast

26

27

Date/Relevant Event

Source

Dataset

Details

CSIRO

G:\41\23138\Stag e1A\Related Studies\CSIRO Flagship Study.pdf

2009

CSIRO

G:\41\23138\Stag e1A\Related Studies\CSIRO+ Report_Victorian +Coast.pdf

Enhanced Greenhouse Climate Change Scenarios for Tropical Cyclone Storm Tide in the Gove Region

2008

SEA

G:\41\23138\Stag e1A\Related Studies\FINAL Appendix G.PDF

Guidelines for Repsonding to the Effects of Climate Change in Coastal and Ocean Engineering

National

G:\41\23138\Stag e1A\Related Studies\fmsdownl oad.pdf

Committee on Coastal and Ocean Engineering (NCCOE)Engin eers Australia 2004

28

Submerged coral reefs and benthic habitats of the southern Gulf of Carpentaria

2007

GA

G:\41\23138\Stag e1A\Related Studies\GA11201 .pdf

29

Sources and Sinks of terrigenous Sediments in the Southern Gulf of Carpentaria

2006

GA

G:\41\23138\Stag e1A\Related Studies\GA8723. pdf

30

Climate Change in the Gulf Region

2009

Queensland Governmen t QCCCE

G:\41\23138\Stag e1A\Related Studies\GR_Reg Summ_2009071 3_web.pdf

31

Climate Change in the Northern Territory

2004

CSIRO

G:\41\23138\Stag e1A\Related Studies\henness y_2004a.pdf

32

Large-Area, HighResolution Remote Sensing Based Mapping of Alluvial Gully

Griffith and UQ

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Erosion in Australia’s Tropical Rivers

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Item No.

Type

Date/Relevant Event

Source

Dataset

Details Gully.pdf

AIMS 2009

Development of a Hydrodynamic and Water Quality Model: To describe the dilution

RMA model of Norman River

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performance of the diffuser at the MMG Century Wharf in the Norman River.

Comparisons between topographically surveyed debris lines and modelled inundation levels from severe tropical cyclones Vance and Chris, and their geomorphic impact on the sand coast

JCU, GEMS

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Cyclone Impacts in Gulf

Jeff Callaghan

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A Regional Storm Surge and Inundation Model Testbed for SECOORA

NOAA

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Report from the

QLD Governmen t

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CSIRO

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CSIRO

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State of Queensland to the National Oceans Office under the scoping phase for the Northern Region Marine Plan CCAM Geometric Aspects and Dynamical Formulation

2005

The impact of Climate Change on the Climatology of Tropical Cyclones in the Australian Region

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GHD 201 Charlotte Street Brisbane QLD 4000 GPO Box 668 Brisbane QLD 4001 T: (07) 3316 3000 F: (07) 3316 3333 E: [email protected] © GHD 2010 This document is and shall remain the property of GHD. The document may only be used for the purpose for which it was commissioned and in accordance with the Terms of Engagement for the commission. Unauthorised use of this document in any form whatsoever is prohibited. Document Status Reviewer

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Author

1

M.Smith

B.Harper

B.Harper

07/10/2010

2

M.Smith

B.Harper

B.Harper

15/10/2010

3

M.Smith

B.Harper

B.Harper

01/11/2010

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Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide Study Stage 1a Background and Issues Report

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Signature

Date

Appendix C

Site Visit

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C1 – Coastal plains looking north from near Burketown

C3 – Aerial view of the Nicolson River discharging to the Gulf north of Burketown.

C2 – Albert River looking downstream from Truganini Landing, Burketown.

C4 – Appel Channel adjacent to Gununa, Mornington Island.

C5 – Beach at Karumba Point looking north east.

C7 – Norman River at Karumba adjacent to Raptis Wharf.

C6 – Norman River at Karumba adjacent to Raptis Wharf.

C8 – Norman River bank at Normanton.

Appendix D

Broadscale Hindcast Results

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Figure D - 1 Booby Island, Centre Island and Gove 60 y hindcast broadscale model results.

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Figure D - 2 Groote Eylandt, Karumba and Weipa 60 y hindcast broadscale model results.

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Appendix E

Broadscale Production Results

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Figure E - 1 Booby Island, Centre Island and Gove broadscale production model results.

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Figure E - 2 Groote Eylandt, Karumba and Weipa broadscale production model results.

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Figure E - 3 50 and 100 y broadscale only return period water levels spatial plot.

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Figure E - 4 200 and 500 y broadscale only return period water levels spatial plot.

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Figure E - 5 1,000 y broadscale only return period water levels spatial plot.

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Appendix F

Tropical Cyclone Review (Undertaken by Jeff Callaghan)

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Appendix F.1 Major storm surge events in the Eastern Gulf of CarpentairiaTropical cyclones Dora(1964), Flora(1964), Fiona (1971), Dominic (1982), Felicity (1989) and Barry (1996). Dora 2-9 February 1964.

Figure 1 Mean sea level analysis with some wind observations for 1100UTC 2 February 1964.Pressure contours every 2hPa down to 1000hPa.

Figure 2. Best Track of Dora where 740223 means 974hPa 2 February 2300UTC. Hatching denotes areas of wind damage-Horizontal hatching marks areas of maximum wind damage (20% of timber down. ) Arrows show reported direction of tree fall.

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Figure3 . Storm surge and other impacts from Dora. Storm surge data The movement of Dora at landfall was 3050/9km per hr. A large storm surge came ashore with the cyclone near the Edward and Mitchell Rivers – It was reported that the sea came right over the beach ridge, a rise of approximately 18 feet. (5.5metres). Other impact data Dora made landfall on the eastern Gulf coast and devastated the Edward and Mitchell River missions on the 3rd (see Figures 1,2 and 3). Trees over a wide area of Western Cape York Peninsula were blown down or completely defoliated in winds of around 100 mph (87 knots). The eye passed directly over Rutland Plains which experienced a 3 hour calm and gave the eye diameter as 12 nm. The winds at Edward River Mission reached hurricane force Easteries at noon on the 3rd. These winds backed to the NW and maintained hurricane force before decreasing after midnight. At Mitchell River easterly winds reached hurricane force at 3.30 pm on the 3rd thereafter veering to the SE and increasing in force. A near calm period was observed there between 8.30 pm and 10.30 pm after which the wind veered SW, then W, slackening in speed at 3.30 am on the 4th. Rutland Plains experienced destructive easterly winds from 3pm to 10.30 pm on the 3rd with the strongest winds between 8pm and 10 pm. A complete calm then occurred until 1.30 am on the 4th after which westerly winds of slightly less speed persisted until 6.30 am. Damage was reported as far north as Aurukun Mission, extending to Miranda Downs and Karumba in the south.- a strip almost 480 km in length. Maximum damage was a 130 km strip from near Edward River to the Nassua River. The Edward River Mission reported little damage 8km east of the mission- the strip was therefore very narrow in the north and widened to about 48 km in the south. In this maximum damage zone one quarter of the trees were blown down and those left standing were defoliated with major limb damage. At Wallaby Island at the mouth of the Mitchell River extensive and dense belts of Mangrove 10 metres high were completely destroyed and flattened like grass. The two mission stations and Rutland Plains all suffered severe damage. For the two mission stations the damage was estimated at 300,000 pounds(1964). Dora was accompanied by torrential rainfall over a long period. Example of large 24 hour totals were Yirrkala 248mm on the 1st, Edward River 197mm 4th, Croydon 368mm 5th, Mary Kathleen 228mm 7th, Disraeli 320mm 8th and Iffley 247 mm 9th. The Norman, Flinders, Leichhardt and Gregory experienced record floods with river levels in many instances breaking records. The total discharge was estimated at nearly double the average annual discharge of the Murray/Darling systems. The Norman River was 8 inches higher than the 1951 record at Normanton.

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Flora5-6 February 1964.

Figure 4 Mean sea level analysis with some wind observations for 1100UTC 5 December 1964.Pressure contours every 2hPa down to 1000hPa.

Figure 5. Position of Flora at landfall at 1200UTC 5 December 1964 and 6 hours later together with damage areas. Storm surge data

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The movement of Flora at landfall was 2830/26km per hr. A storm surge accompanied the cyclone with the sea coming up the creek with a terrific rush. The bridge weighing approximately 2 tons was lifted and carried upstream about 800 metres and dumped approximately 90 metres up a ridge. Other Impact data Flora crossed the southern Gulf passing to the north of Mornington Island and making landfall near Inkerman Station at 9pm (Figures 4 and 5). The station (7 km inland) felt the full effects and the natives quarters, the butcher shop and a 2 room house were demolished. The northeast side of the homestead was lifted, 2-way radio aerials disappeared and rain penetrated all buildings. Large trees were snapped off or blown down . A surge of sea water accompanied the winds. Further north and 95km inland, Dunbar Station was subjected to damaging winds between 6.30 pm and 7.25pm. Mango trees were blown over in a strip 200 metres wide, houses were flattened, while roofing iron was deposited 800 metres away and twisted beyond use. Vanrook Station (80 km inland) estimated hurricane ESE winds followed by a lull between 2.30 am and 3.30 am and then storm force SW winds. Buildings were unroofed and structures badly damaged and trees uprooted. At Miranda wireless aerials were blown down, roofing iron lifted, trees stripped of branches and many birds were found dead. There was heavy flooding and around Burketown about 100 stations were isolated. Fiona 19-20 February 1971.

Figure 6 Mean sea level analysis with some wind observations for 0200UTC 19February 1971. Pressure contours every 2hPa down to 992hPa.

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Figure .7 Position of Fiona at landfall at 1200UTC 9 February 1971 together with damage areas. Fiona 19 Feb 1971 +12.5. Movement at landfall 3180/26km per hr. A tidal wave 4.6 metres high came 2km up the Nassua River washing away 3m high walls. At Edward River Mission the sea washed out a road on one of the sand ridges 2.7 m above sea level. At Aurukun a tidal surge of 0.9 m was observed in the river about 5 miles from the Gulf. Other Impact data Fiona was a continuation of Gertie which crossed the east coast and Peninsula and entered the SE Gulf (Figure 6). It looped back and crossed the coast at the Nassua River mouth while rapidly intensifying. From the extensive defoliation and damage to the few buildings there (Figure 7), it was most likely accompanied by hurricane force winds. From satellite imagery before landfall the cyclone had a very clear well shaped eye with a small bright convective ring surrounding it and a bright overcast cloud canopy surrounding this three latitude degrees in diameter. An outstation of Inkerman Station is located at the Nassua River mouth and a brief calm was noted at 0930 UTC preceded by ESE winds and followed by WNW winds. Damaging winds lasted about 2 hours and flattened timber and demolished buildings. About 50 % of the trees were left standing and these were damaged, some stripped of bark. The wharf was destroyed and 4 four 55,000 litre fuel tanks lifted and scattered up to a mile away. Forty four gallon drums were scattered widely like confetti. The caretaker of the outstation observed

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Dominic 7-8 April 1982.

Figure 8 Mean sea level analysis with some wind observations for 0000UTC 7April 1982.Pressure contours every 2hPa down to 1000hPa.

Figure 9Dvorak enhancement of infrared satellite imagery at 0900UTC 7 April 1982 from the Japanese geostationary satellite imagery. Dominic 7 Apr 1982 -3.2. Movement at landfall 2880/11km per hr. One mile north of Cape Keerweer was an area devoid of all vegetation (no grass or trees) - the area appeared like a ploughed field for one mile inland. Tides were 1 m above normal at Weipa and 1.5 m above normal at Karumba. The most extensive damage was from Love River to Holyrod River. There, all seashore Casuarinas were killed presumably due to salt water in root system

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Dominic crossed the coast near Cape Keerweer (Figure 8). Just prior to landfall satellite imagery 0 showed a clear eye around 40 km in diameter surrounded by cloud tops colder than -70 C (7.0 on the Dvorak T scale) (Figure 9). There was damage to buildings and power lines at Edward River Mission (Pormpuraaw). At Aurukun damage was assessed at $(1982)200,000. A detailed report of the damage in the remote Cape Keerweer area was provided by the log of The Round Australia Kayak expedition (Figure 10). Tree damage commenced at Wallaby Island (mouth of Archer River) and extended south of Edward River Mission. The most extensive damage was from Love River to Holyrod River. There, all seashore Casuarinas were killed presumably due to salt water in root system. North of Cape Keerweer tree damage suggested onshore winds. One mile north of Cape Keerweer was an area devoid of all vegetation (no grass or trees) - the area appeared like a ploughed field for one mile inland.

Figure 10. Three hourly positions of Dominic up to landfall at 1200UTC 7 April 1982 together with damage areas.

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Felicity 15-16 December 1989

Figure 11. Depiction of rapid intensification of tropical cyclone Felicity.Mean sea level analyses on left and Japanese geostationary satellite imagery on the right with the lower right image a coloured Dvorak enhancement. 0

Felicity 15 Dec 1989 -2.7. Movement at landfall 288 /22km per hr. The sea came up to within 1.1m of a fisherman’s house ( 3.6m above HAT) i.e. a storm tide 2.5m above HAT. The house remained in offshore winds so that the surge would have been greater to the north. The strongest winds were from the SE. Figure 11 shows the rapid development of Felicity with a Dvorak analysis of T5.5 (lower right frame) at landfall. The surrounding cloud tops are the pink colour (-540C to -630C) with the dark green (-310C to 410C) which yields and eye number 5.0. For the eye correction the surrounding cloud is the blue (-700C to -750C ) which adds 0.5 resulting in a T number of 5.5. The impact was severe. A Barramundi fisherman, Gordon Bell, has his house 12 feet above the high tide level and the sea came up to within 4 feet of the house which is an 8 ft(2.5m) surge (Figure 12). The house remained in offshore winds so that the surge would have been greater to the north. The strongest winds were from the SE and 80% of the trees were blown down and all trees were stripped of leaves. The wind was of sufficient strength to blow over a heavy stove which took 4 men to lift. Mr Bell was in Townsville during the landfall of tropical cyclone Althea and his impression was that Felicity was more intense.

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Figure 12. Positions of Felicity at landfall at 1024UTC 15 December 1989 together with position of Gordon Bell’s camp.

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Barry 5-6 January 1996

Figure 13. Depiction of rapid intensification of tropical cyclone Felicity.Mean sea level analyses in the top frames and radar images in the bottom frame. 0

Barry was another rapidly developing cyclone (Figure 13) and it was moving 315 /10km per hr at landfall and caused a massive storm surge.An area of coastline 6 to 10 km in length between Duck Creek and the Gilbert R. was badly affected by storm surge with debris in trees indicating a storm tide of 6 to 6.5m. A camp 4m above high water was wrecked by storm surge which from a helicopter survey traveled 7km inland and was “at least” 4metres high (Figure 14). The storm surge again destroyed Gordon Bell’s Camp and several others see below in Figure 15.

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Figure 14. Positions of Barry leading up to landfall during January 1996 with storm surge details.

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Figure 15. Two of the Barramundi fishers’ camps affected by Barry.

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Appendix F.2 Major storm surge events in the Southeast Gulf of CarpentairiaThe 1887 cyclone, David (1976), Jason (1987) and The 1948 Bentinck Island cyclone. The 1887 cyclone 5 Mar 1887 From all reports the storm surge from the disastrous 1887 cyclone flooded almost all of Burketown. Only the highest part of town, which we understand to be near the hotel, escaped the waters from the Gulf. A copy of a 1918 report to the Queensland Parliament from the Department of Harbours and Rivers Engineer is held in this office. This report refers to the sea rising to 5.5 metres above the highest spring tide level at the Albert River Heads during the 1887 event. This level is about 8 metres above Australian Height Datum (AHD). Seven people out of a population of 138 died in the cyclone. Storm force winds commenced at 11 am from the SE and backed to the E and the NE increasing in violence until 10 pm when virtually the whole of Burketown was devastated. The storm surge arrived at 7pm. From a 1979 Main Roads survey map the high point is near the hotel at Burketown at 5.6 metres above AHD. A plan of the town drawn from this survey map is shown in Figure 1.

Figure 1. A plan of Burketown with Department of Main Roads surveyed elevations shown. Tropical cyclone Ted 19 December 1976 The last significant storm surge near Burketown was associated with tropical cyclone Ted just before Christmas in 1976. Reportedly the surge from this event extended 20 km inland where it piled mangroves and logs 2 to 3 metres high and badly damaged the Truganini wharf just out of town. Right in Burketown our observer reported that the tide "came higher than any normal flood". We understand that normally under flood conditions the low point on the Burketown- Camooweal Road (2.7 metres AHD in Figure 1) is covered by water. We have assumed that the surge from Ted also covered the road at this point. Ted passed directly over Burketown during the evening of 19December 1976 and the town experienced the calm winds inside the eye between 7.15 pm and 8.50 pm. Immediately before the period of calm the wind was blowing from a north-northeast direction. The strongest winds occur in tropical cyclones just

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outside the calm eye and north-northeasterly winds blow at right angles to the open coast near Burketown. Such intense winds normal to the coast generate the larger storm surges and the major contribution to the inundation around Burketown would have developed around 7pm that evening. Our records show that the high tide at Karumba (the standard tide port for the southeast Gulf region) that evening was at 7pm. The nearest secondary tide port is Sweers Island which lies 40 km off the open coast north of Burketown. High tide at Sweers Island occurs 20 minutes before Karumba so the inundation near Burketown would have been developing just after high tide. The predicted high tide at Karumba that evening was 3.3 metres which is one of the smaller peak tides to be experienced there. The highest tides in the southeast Gulf coincide with maximum lunar declination when they average 3.7 metres at Karumba. The highest tide expected at Karumba under average meteorological conditions is 4.75 metres. Obviously the tide adds to the storm surge effect so the inundation accompanying Ted could have been worse if it coincided with one of these higher tides. Meteorological factors also make Ted a somewhat less than extreme storm surge event. Ted passed to the west of Mornington Island before making landfall near Bayley Point. It then moved southeastwards towards Burketown. Fortunately this was a track which reduced its efficiency in generating storm surge. Additionally satellite photographs indicated it was weakened as it approached landfall (Figure 2). It is not unusual for tropical cyclones in the Gulf of Carpentaria to intensify right up to the time of landfall. It largely depends on the type of weather systems in the upper atmosphere passing across Central Australia at the time. Additionally some of these cyclones have approached the Southern Gulf Coast from the north-northeast. This direction of approach would produce the worst storm surge in the Burketown region.

Figure 2 Satellite imagery of Ted with a clear compact eye some 18hours before reaching Burketown (left frame) only to have a ragged eye shortly before landfall (right frame).

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Figure 3. Mean sea level analysis with some wind observations for the period 2300UTC 16 December 1976 to 0500UTC 19 December 1976. Ted crossed the coast near Mornington Island (Figure 3) and passed directly over Burketown where a central pressure of 950 hPa was recorded (Figures 4 and 5). Damage in its path was almost total. Mornington Islands 700 inhabitants were rendered homeless with 95% of its buildings damaged and Burketown was similarly affected. A large storm surge accompanied the cyclone and it extended 20 km inland near Burketown where logs were piled 2-3 m high and a small wharf was destroyed. Tides at Karumba were 2 metres above normal and badly damaged the wharf and prawn processing installations. Magowra Station (SW of Normanton) reported that the sea came 30 km inland. Extensive flooding and wind damage occurred in stations inland from Burketown. The hurricane force winds extended a long way inland, for example Cowan Downs near the Burke and Wills Roadhouse had out buildings unroofed, windows blown out of the main building, telephone posts bent to ground level and trees 4 feet in diameter snapped. Livestock losses caused by drowning and low temperatures were estimated to be 250,000.

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Figure 4. Track of Ted through the Gulf Country with detail of damage.

Figure 5. Barograph at Burketown.

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Tropical cyclone Jason 19 February 1987 Jason 13 Feb crossed the Qld coast about 40 km ENE of Burketown (Figures 6 and 7)). An anemometer at Burketown (Figure 8) recorded a 10 minute average wind of 64 knots with gusts to 85 knots (from the SSE). The cyclone was moving S at 17 km/hr (6 knots) so that winds on the eastern side of the cyclone were stronger. Lowest pressure at Burketown Figure 8) was 983 hPa at 3pm 13th (at the time of the strongest winds). The bar dropped to 981 hPa (10 min max wind 50 knots) at Mornington Island. There was structural damage at Burketown and Mornington Island and tree damage throughout the SE Gulf Country. A 2.04 metre storm surge was measured at Karumba at 0500 UTC 13th. The maximum storm tide was 4.7 metres (lowest astronomical tide datum) at 0700 UTC which was 0.11 metres above highest astronomical tide.

Figure 6. Track of Jason through the Gulf Country with details of impact.

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Figure 7. Mean sea level analysis with some wind observations for0500UTC 13 February 1987

Figure 8a. Anemometer and barograph charts for Jason at Burketown.

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13/2/19 87 Jason February 1987

12/2/19 87 Figure 8b. Anemometer and barograph charts for Jason at Burketown.

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The 1948 Bentinck Island cyclone

Figure 9. Mean sea level analysis with some wind observations for the period 2300UTC 22 February 1948 to 0500UTC 23 February 1948. Reliable pressure analyses down to 1000hPa. This cyclone moved from the Groote Eylandt area and made landfall just to the west of Mornington Island (Figure 9). Aborigines described a storm surge covering all but the highest parts of Bentinck Island. The water deeply covered places where they were accustomed to live and where they obtained their water. This caused wells and springs to go salty and eventually the inhabitants were forced to abandon the Island. It was later estimated that on Mornington Island the rise in sea water was 12 feet above the highest normal tide mark. On Mornington Island the surge caused large eucalypts to die and had caused a change in vegetation to salt loving species in some areas. It was assessed that the water on Bentinck Island also rose 12 feet above high water. After landfall, the town of Borroloola was badly damaged. The hotel was wrecked and a number of other buildings were destroyed.

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Appendix F.3 Major storm surge events in the Western Gulf of Carpentairia- The Douglas Mawson Cyclone (1923), Rosa (1979), (Kathy(1984), Sandy (1985) Winsome (20010 and the 1948 cyclone. The Douglas Mawson Cyclone (1923) This cyclone tracked directly from Coen towards Groote Eylandt at 5 to 6 knots. The abnormal sea conditions in the Gulf led to the loss of a well-found Gulf steamer, the Douglas Mawson, with the loss of 20 lives. Contributing to the large waves was the huge size of the cyclone’s circulation (Figure 1). An accurate storm surge height was obtained from the Mission house on Groote Island (see Figures 2, 3 and 4). At 9am 30th March 1923 they recorded 6.4 inches (163 mm) of rain over the previous 24 hr. At 4pm the wind turned southerly and increased to force 8 and reached hurricane force southwesterly at 6pm with torrential rain. At this time flooding combined with storm surge caused the water to reach the top of the river bank (12 feet above both the mean tide level and the predicted tide level). By 9 pm 30th the roof and the front wall blew off and the rain gauge overflowed (more than 10 inches of rain). At 10 pm the east wall was blown out and the water reached up stairs (20 feet above mean tide level and 18.5 feet above predicted tide. At midnight the water level peaked at 23 feet above the mean and 21.5 feet above that predicted. The wind then turned westerly with stronger gusts. At 4 am 31st the building collapsed as the water receded. At 6am the wind was down to gale force and the water level was 15 feet above mean. The ground became visible at 10 am. Few trees were left standing. At Burketown at storm surge of 9 feet was reported and at Pt McArthur a storm surge of between 18 feet and 8 feet was reported. The flooding by the 21.5 feet storm surge at the mission house at Groote Eylandt (Figure 5)was ascribed at the time to flooding in the Emerald River (Figures 3 and 4). However the catchment of this stream is so small that a flood of this magnitude could not be sustained, particularly as the Mission was only 2 miles from the sea and surrounded by swampy country. Whittingham (1968) concluded that the sea level must have risen by something of the order of 20 feet or more above high water. Reference Whittingham (1968)The ‘Douglas Mawson’ Tropical Cyclone of 1923. Appendix 1 Tropical Cyclones in the Northern Australian Regions For 1964-65 season 88 pages. Bureau of Meteorology

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Figure 1 Mean Sea Level Composite analysis of 1923 Douglas Mawson cyclone.

Figure 2 Graph of storm surge 30/31 March 1923 on Groote Eylandt also showing rainfall and wind effects.

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Figure 3 Map showing the ocation of the mission house (1) in 1923

Figure 4 Location of Emerald River on the southwest coast of Groote Eylandt.

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Figure 5.

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Tropical cyclone Rosa(1979)

Figure 6 M.S.L. P. analysis of Rosa 0000UTC 26 February 1979 with isobars every 2hPa down to 996hPa. Rosa (Figure 6) crossed the coast 30 km NNW of Bing Bong homestead (NT) at maximum intensity (central pressure estimated at 955 hPa). A NOAA research aircraft flew a single mission over the cyclone and at the point of closest approach at 0440 UTC 26th, the maximum wind encountered was 91 knots at 540m elevation and 37 km NE from the centre of the eye (eye diameter was 37km). This is corrected to 77knots (1 minute winds) using the National Hurricane mean wind profiles (Figure 7). Coastal and riverside stations in the SW Gulf reported large tides. The water level at Bing Bong (Rosa is north of Bing Bong in Figure 8) rose 2 metres above the spring high tide mark. A tide gauge on Groote Eylandt was washed away. There was thousand of dollars of structural damage to stations in the SW Gulf together with the felling of extensive tracts of forests. A light aircraft stranded on North Island was destroyed. The track through the damage area is shown in Figure8.

Figure 7 National Hurricane Centre correction for flight level winds so 91 knots at 540m is corrected to 77knots at 10metres elevation (92knots 1.0/1.2).

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Figure 8 Track of Rosa through the South West Gulf with storm surge sites marked. Tropical cyclone Kathy(1984)

Figure .9 M.S.L. P. analysis of Kathy 2300UTC 21 March 1984 with isobars every 2hPa down to 1004hPa then every 10hPa.

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Kathy was a small cyclone in size (Figure 9) but was very intense (Figure 10) and it crossed the coast rd near Borroloola and Centre Island on the morning of the 23 March 1984. The radius of maximum winds at landfall was about 10 km for Kathy and the radius of gales about 65 km. It made landfall during a spring high tide and a surge of 4.2 metre (Thom 1984 and Murphy 1984) was estimated from debris lines on the eastern side of Vanderlin Island. However another report (Bureau of Meteorology1984) states –‘The cyclone made landfall during a spring high tide. A storm surge of 3metres above the high tide level was estimated from debris lines on the eastern side of Vanderlin Island.’ From Murphy (1984), after the passage of the eye northerly winds came into Barbara Cove (see Figures 11 and 12) on the north coast of Vanderlin Island and a surge of 3.5m was measured there. There was a pronounced surge also on the mainland coast. Large numbers of turtles and dugongs were swept onto the mainland by the surge - up to 8km inland. The cyclone was very small with a radius of maximum wind speed of 15 km and the eye radius 10 km. Gales extended out to 65km. The anemometer at Centre Island was blown away however before this it recorded a 10 minute average wind speed of 100 knots with gusts to 125 knots. The eye passed over Centre Island and a pressure of 940 hPa was recorded there. From Murphy (1984) the prawn Trawler Newfish I at Geranium Bay (Figures 11 and 12) on the west coast of Vanderlin Island measured 938hPa in the eye (this was calculated after the Barometer was checked against a standard BoM barometer.) Twenty prawn trawlers were sheltered in the Pellew Islands and one sunk, 3 ran aground and most of the others were scattered over a large area with some damage. One crewman from the sunken trawler drowned. The cyclone caused devastation to woodland vegetation in the Pellew Group and inland for 250 km. Several holiday camps in the islands were destroyed or badly damaged. At Borroloola, 45km inland, several buildings were wrecked and many others damaged. The estimated the peak wind gusts at Borroloola at 52 m/s (Broughton and Reardon 1984).

Figure 10. Dvorak enhancement picture of NOAA 7 on Kathy at 0638 UTC 22 March 1984 showed an eye of +15.9C in a CMG ring (-76 to -80C) giving a T number of 7.5 (Australian Category 5).

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Figure11 Location Map.

Figure 12 Track of Kathy through the Pellow Islands with impact sites marked.

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References for TC Kathy Discussion Bureau of Meteorology 1984. Report on Cyclone Kathy March 1984 20 Pages. Murphy Kevin 1984. Big Blow Up North. Published by University Planning Authority Darwin with 94 Pages. G. Broughton and G. Reardon 1984. Technical Report No 21 from the Cyclone Testing Station at Townsville James Cook University Tropical Cyclone Kathy. Thom, D.E. 1984 The Australian tropical cyclone season 1983-84. Australian Meteorological magazine 32,137-153. Tropical cyclone Sandy (1985)

Figure 13 M.S.L. P. analysis of Sandy at 2300UTC 234 March 1985 with isobars every 2hPa down to 984hPa. After Sandy passed just to the north of Centre Island on 24 March 1985 (Figure 13) a Bureau survey team measured a storm surge of 3 to 3.5 metre at Centre Island and a pilot whale was swept 1km inland. Centre Island recorded a minimum pressure of 973 hPa, 10 min average winds to 92 knots (47 m/s) and gusts to 130 knots (67 m/s). A pressure of 968 hPa was recorded at North Island. Two trawlers, the Hayman and Sea Fever, were beached after experiencing gusts over 118 knots and swells (measured by their depth sounders) to 12 metres. Storm Surges were also reported along the mainland coast between Bing Bong and Roper River Mouth. Flooding was extensive along the southern Gulf coast with 860 mm recorded at Centre Isand in 4 days. Sandy then made landfall near Roper bar. Trawlers sheltering in the Roper River suffered damage and reported a calm eye lasting 1 hour. Bing Bong homestead was severely damaged. Severe vegetation damage was reported from The Pellew Islands to Roper River area. From Figure 14 it is evident that there would have been a larger surge on the east coast of Vanderlin Island than that measured on Centre Island.

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Figure 14. Track of Kathy passed Centre Island Tropical cyclone Winsome 10 11 February 2001.

Figure 15 M.S.L. P. analysis of Winsome at 0000UTC 11 February 2001 with isobars every 2hPa.

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The cyclone, although the winds were only gale force, due to its large size (see Figures 15 and 16) it generated large seas and storm surge across wide areas of the Gulf (Figures 17 and 18). A barge taking supplies from Karumba to Pormpuraaw capsized at the Gilbert River Mouth at 4am (EST) 11 February 2001. The crew of 2 were rescued by a fishing boat. A fisherman was missing near Eagle Bay in the Northern Territory while trying to search for a missing punt. There were large areas of storm surge of between 1 to 2.5 metres at various locations about the southwest Gulf of Carpentaria. Coastal erosion and damage to shoreline facilities were reported from Groote Eylandt, Bickerton Island and along the mainland coast. At Nhulunbuy, the sea level rose 0.5 metres above highest astronomical tide (HAT), covering the Perkins Wharf and inundating areas not previously known to have been covered by the sea. At Alyangula the storm surge reached 1.3 m above highest astronomical tide (HAT). A small boat drifted from its moorings and was lifted ashore on to the Golf course. A car was washed off Shoreline Road and a lot of sand was deposited on the golf course. At Bickerton Island, the storm surge caused some beach and dune erosion, undermining Casuarina trees. At Numbulwar the majority of the estimated $1 million damage bill was caused by the storm surge which was estimated at 2.5m (1 metre above HAT) with about another metre of wave action above that level. Workshops, roads, plant and equipment were damaged and inundated with seawater. Shipping containers and beached boats were shifted inland and the road to the barge landing was damaged. A 2 metre surge was also reported at Bing Bong Port (Port McArthur), raising the water level over the wharf at high tide. Observations The strongest 10 minute average winds of 130/41 knots were recorded at Centre Island AWS at 1207 UTC 10 February 2001. Gales were reported from Centre Island from 1100 UTC 10 February 2001 to 2023 UTC 10 February 2001. The maximum 10 minute average wind speed recorded at buoy 52625 (14.6S 138.8E) was 050/30 knots (MSLP 994.4 hPa) at 1909 UTC 10 February 2001.

Figure 16 Quik scat images of tropical cyclone Winsome.

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Figure 17 Storm surge and wave damage from Winsome across the Gulf of Carpentaria.

Figure 18 Storm surge locations in the Groote Eylandt area. Tropical Cyclone 6 March 1948 (Not in data base) This Tropical Cyclone flattened the Johnston homestead on Vanderlin Island. The storm raged for 4 hours with flying debris. Trees were uprooted or stripped of foliage and the sea rose 3.7 metres above normal and caused Vanderlin Island to be separated into three islets. (See P47 Big Blow up North by Kevin Murphy). There are records of an interview with Steve Johnston of Vanderlin Island held at Bureau of Meteorology Darwin.

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Appendix F.4 Storm surges near Weipa with record wave events Tropical cyclone Mark 15 January 1992 Mark crossed the coast near Weipa and Weipa suffered widespread minor damage with falling trees largely responsible for house damage and power line damage (see Figures 1 and 2). Wave action caused $3.5 (1994 million) damage to the Kaolin loading facility at the Port. The maximum wind gust at Weipa Met Office was 63 knots from the NW. A maximum gust of 75 knots was recorded from an anemometer located at Lorim Point. Weipa wave rider buoy Hsig 4.68m Hmax 6.16m Tp 10.22 seconds. The significant wave height recording was an all time record for Weipa.

Figure 1 Radar images of tropical cyclone Mark at landfall .

Figure 2 MSLP analysis of tropical cyclone Mark 24hours before landfall (left) and at landfall (right)..

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Ex Tropical cyclone Helen January 2008 Tropical Cyclone Helen affected the Northern Territory before weakening below tropical cyclone intensity in the Gulf of Carpentaria (Figure 3). Despite losing tropical cyclone intensity this system had a large wind field of gales or near gales on its northern side (Figures 4 and 5).This system also brought large waves and storm surges into the area and the Weipa tide gauge recorded levels of over a metre above predicted levels (Figures 6 and7).The peak maximum individual wave height (7.1m Hmax) during this event is the largest wave ever recorded by the EPA at this site since recordings commenced there in December 1978. There was a 1.37m storm surge at Weipa at 10.50pm 06 January 2008 (Figure 7), a 1.0m surge at Karumba 2pm 06 January 2008 and a 0.92m surge at Mornington Island at 5.30pm 06 January 2008.

Figure 3 Preliminary track of tropical cyclone Helen.

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Figure 4 Mean sea level pressure distribution at 6am EST 6 January 2009 (top) and 6am 7 January 2008 (lower frame) with observations of wind speed and direction with mean sea level pressure for verification.

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Figure 5 Surface wind observations derived from the quikscat satellite at 7.22am 6 January 2008 (left) and 6.24pm 6 January 2008(right).

Figure 6 Weipa wave data 3-9 January 2008.

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Figure 7 Weipa tide data 3 to 9 January 2008.

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Appendix G

Historical Track Record

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Appendix G- Historical Track Record Tropical Cyclones within [132 143.3 -18.5 -3.5] No.

195902 195906 196005 196013 196107 196220 196221 196223 196303 196305 196307 196402 196405 196406 196408 196501 196506 196612 196707 196710 196711 196713 196715 196812 196905 196908 197003 197011 197014 197016 197103 197106 197117 197205 197208 197209 197211 197301 197313 197318 197405 197412 197415 197503 197508 197602 197608 197611 197613 197705 197709 197801 197802 197804 197809 197904 197915 198008

Name

CY0286_1959 CY0289_1960 CY0295_1961 CY0301_1961 CY0309_1962 CY0655_1963 CY0656_1963 CY0324_1963 Audrey_1964 Dora_1964 Carmen_1964 Flora_1964 Cy545_1965 Judy_1965 Marie_1965 Amanda_1965 Cy553_1966 Cynthia_1967 Betty_1968 Dixie_1968 Cy564_1968 Cy568_1968 Bonnie_1968 Audrey_1969 Dawn_1970 Cindy_1970 Beverley_1970 Aggie_1971 Gertie_1971 Fiona_1971 Kitty_1971 Bronwyn_1972 Faith_1972 Adeline_1973 Leah_1973 Madge_1973 Bella_1973 Ines_1973 Yvonne_1974 Jenny_1974 Tracy_1974 Wilma_1975 Amelia_1975 Kim_1975 Alan_1976 Ted_1976 Nancy_1977 Otto_1977 Verna_1977 Gwen_1978 Hal_1978 Peter_1978 Greta_1979 Rosa_1979 Stan_1979 Paul_1980 Cy526_1980 Eddie_1981

Date

24-Dec-59 14-Mar-60 14-Jan-61 2-Mar-61 16-Feb-62 25-Mar-63 26-Mar-63 10-Apr-63 6-Jan-64 27-Jan-64 6-Mar-64 30-Nov-64 12-Jan-65 25-Jan-65 21-Feb-65 20-Dec-65 9-Feb-66 13-Mar-67 19-Jan-68 25-Jan-68 2-Feb-68 12-Feb-68 19-Feb-68 28-Feb-69 10-Feb-70 15-Mar-70 26-Nov-70 31-Jan-71 10-Feb-71 16-Feb-71 2-Dec-71 2-Jan-72 10-Apr-72 27-Jan-73 27-Feb-73 28-Feb-73 19-Mar-73 17-Nov-73 8-Feb-74 17-Mar-74 21-Dec-74 10-Mar-75 6-Apr-75 7-Dec-75 29-Jan-76 15-Dec-76 12-Feb-77 6-Mar-77 28-Apr-77 25-Feb-78 6-Apr-78 29-Dec-78 8-Jan-79 11-Feb-79 6-Apr-79 2-Jan-80 27-Mar-80 8-Feb-81

Time

2300 2300 2300 500 500 500 1700 500 2300 2300 2300 2330 500 2300 2300 2300 0 2300 0 2300 2300 2300 2300 2300 500 2300 600 2300 2300 2300 0 2300 1700 600 0 1700 2330 0 1100 0 1200 1800 1200 2300 2300 2300 200 1700 0 0 500 2300 1100 2300 500 2300 1700 1200

Start Lat

-12.5 -12.4 -10 -11.1 -12.9 -12 -10.7 -11 -10.2 -9.2 -11 -10.7 -11.7 -11.6 -11.8 -10 -11 -14.9 -12.2 -14.3 -14.5 -16.7 -13 -12.8 -13.9 -13.7 -9 -15.1 -16.9 -16 -9 -16.2 -11 -14 -11.1 -8.1 -8.9 -11.5 -18.3 -13 -9.2 -10.5 -10.3 -13.5 -12.5 -12.6 -15.5 -14 -8.3 -11.2 -12.2 -12.7 -13.9 -11.2 -11.1 -15.1 -14.3 -14

Long

133.2 149 135 136.8 136.9 139 137.8 137.3 141.5 131 137.1 134.5 138.4 133 137 134 135 137.9 131.8 138.5 139.7 138.5 139 135.9 138.5 139.9 138 136.9 149.5 140.8 139 138.7 139.5 138.1 139.3 160.8 130.9 134.8 152.6 137.9 132.1 134.5 137 136.2 162 140.5 147.7 140.1 134.9 136.4 138.1 137.7 137.2 160.9 150.1 137.1 138.7 153.1

Date

31-Dec-59 27-Mar-60 27-Jan-61 8-Mar-61 19-Feb-62 26-Mar-63 30-Mar-63 14-Apr-63 14-Jan-64 7-Feb-64 10-Mar-64 8-Dec-64 20-Jan-65 5-Feb-65 1-Mar-65 1-Jan-66 11-Feb-66 19-Mar-67 20-Jan-68 27-Jan-68 5-Feb-68 16-Feb-68 26-Feb-68 8-Mar-69 19-Feb-70 20-Mar-70 7-Dec-70 3-Feb-71 16-Feb-71 28-Feb-71 5-Dec-71 11-Jan-72 24-Apr-72 29-Jan-73 11-Mar-73 17-Mar-73 25-Mar-73 24-Nov-73 11-Feb-74 31-Mar-74 25-Dec-74 14-Mar-75 8-Apr-75 9-Dec-75 9-Feb-76 20-Dec-76 13-Feb-77 10-Mar-77 3-May-77 27-Feb-78 11-Apr-78 3-Jan-79 13-Jan-79 3-Mar-79 15-Apr-79 8-Jan-80 31-Mar-80 13-Feb-81

Time

Finish Lat

2300 1100 500 1700 1100 1100 1700 1700 500 2300 2300 2300 2300 1700 1100 2300 1800 1100 600 2300 500 1700 2300 2300 500 2300 100 2300 500 1100 600 2300 500 0 100 2300 1900 600 2300 0 600 1200 1200 2300 1100 2300 500 500 0 1100 2300 1100 500 1700 1700 1100 1100 0

-17.5 -32.8 -32.5 -13.3 -14.1 -17 -22.4 -14.6 -30.4 -18 -15 -20 -17.8 -31.5 -15.7 -23.8 -14.8 -15.9 -13.4 -17.9 -16 -22.2 -16.9 -20.9 -25 -16.6 -17.6 -15.7 -17.5 -20.8 -11.6 -25.1 -9.6 -16.2 -20.3 -20.2 -16.4 -19.8 -16.6 -22.6 -12.7 -15.2 -12 -14.8 -25.9 -20.7 -15.7 -22.6 -10 -17 -21 -15.3 -17.8 -22.6 -13.2 -30 -10.5 -20

Long

164 115.5 125.6 159.7 142.5 142 144.9 132.7 153.9 139.7 130 152.8 155.8 164.5 130.3 120.1 129 137.1 129.2 139.3 134.9 140.3 128.1 125.9 158 140.2 127.2 133.1 144.5 161.8 130.7 142.6 139.5 137.5 89.9 87.5 136.2 129.2 139.8 109.1 131.9 128 133.4 142 138.9 140.8 144.6 145.4 127.8 144 154 145.3 139.3 113.7 152.8 159.6 133.2 126.5

Dur

Path

168 300 294 156 78 30 96 108 174 264 96 191 210 258 180 288 66 132 30 48 54 90 168 192 216 120 259 72 126 276 78 216 324 42 289 414 139 174 84 336 90 90 48 48 252 120 27 84 120 59 138 108 114 474 228 132 90 108

Lifetime Vfm

3638 5443 4526 3688 655 663 1673 910 3472 2185 1176 3517 2073 5185 1408 4079 861 1305 435 483 596 1095 1326 2452 3886 1215 3108 907 1698 4000 984 2480 3129 252 5765 8260 1319 2080 1404 4301 639 1012 441 794 4348 1241 341 1806 1235 1206 2268 1049 1807 6773 3273 3041 864 2997

Theta

6 5 4.3 6.6 2.3 6.1 4.8 2.3 5.5 2.3 3.4 5.1 2.7 5.6 2.2 3.9 3.6 2.7 4 2.8 3.1 3.4 2.2 3.5 5 2.8 3.3 3.5 3.7 4 3.5 3.2 2.7 1.7 5.5 5.5 2.6 3.3 4.6 3.6 2 3.1 2.6 4.6 4.8 2.9 3.5 6 2.9 5.7 4.6 2.7 4.4 4 4 6.4 2.7 7.7

99 236 201 95 102 149 149 231 149 136 240 117 109 124 239 224 237 217 244 167 252 162 249 229 121 174 230 260 262 103 252 157 0 194 259 260 145 213 277 250 183 233 244 102 238 177 266 149 256 128 119 109 152 255 128 125 305 256

p0

Date

985 998 999 988 997 996 998 984 983 955 996 955 996 996 994 997 1002 993 998 986 1002 997 1004 991 990 995 995 984 999 925 1002 993 990 970 994 985 998 972 998 995 990 985 990 990 998 930 1003 984 997 987 985 980 986 965 995 998 997 981

25-Dec-59 20-Mar-60 16-Jan-61 2-Mar-61 18-Feb-62 25-Mar-63 26-Mar-63 12-Apr-63 10-Jan-64 2-Feb-64 7-Mar-64 5-Dec-64 13-Jan-65 27-Jan-65 25-Feb-65 27-Dec-65 9-Feb-66 14-Mar-67 19-Jan-68 27-Jan-68 4-Feb-68 14-Feb-68 20-Feb-68 3-Mar-69 11-Feb-70 17-Mar-70 29-Nov-70 2-Feb-71 16-Feb-71 19-Feb-71 3-Dec-71 6-Jan-72 12-Apr-72 28-Jan-73 28-Feb-73 5-Mar-73 23-Mar-73 17-Nov-73 11-Feb-74 17-Mar-74 21-Dec-74 11-Mar-75 7-Apr-75 9-Dec-75 1-Feb-76 18-Dec-76 13-Feb-77 7-Mar-77 29-Apr-77 26-Feb-78 6-Apr-78 31-Dec-78 9-Jan-79 25-Feb-79 13-Apr-79 3-Jan-80 28-Mar-80 11-Feb-81

At Maximum Intensity Within Region Time Dist Bear

500 500 1100 1700 500 500 2300 500 2300 2300 2300 1100 500 1700 2300 1700 1800 2300 600 500 500 1100 1700 500 1700 1700 0 1700 500 500 1200 500 500 1800 600 500 1200 0 1700 600 1200 1800 0 500 1700 1100 500 500 600 1700 1700 500 2300 2300 1700 2300 1700 600

477 547 716 340 406 148 105 359 625 538 488 709 267 337 371 520 770 409 690 649 437 717 292 482 671 541 396 565 988 537 364 309 242 578 291 448 198 412 699 267 722 711 242 182 777 441 858 347 701 473 253 480 346 529 155 735 187 660

246 110 276 126 159 158 174 245 169 144 279 153 121 180 249 260 246 205 258 168 181 158 201 251 97 214 249 194 139 153 277 107 115 189 211 181 221 258 166 211 283 272 276 151 134 188 129 128 284 154 139 147 131 201 122 180 193 191

Vfm

11.7 2.1 5.1 8 2.5 4.8 6.8 6.1 3.6 3.2 7.5 4.5 3 5.4 1.4 4 4 2.1 5.6 5.3 5 3.9 2.6 2.5 10.9 3.8 3.2 2.1 6.2 6.8 2.5 2.1 2.3 1.6 2.6 6.1 3.1 4 1.8 3.1 2.9 2.7 2.3 3.8 10.3 4.1 4.5 5.6 3.7 7.2 4.7 3.8 6 4.3 3.7 3 2.2 8

Theta

97 284 270 108 90 148 132 260 223 142 250 117 90 131 315 310 270 315 259 163 270 141 258 270 103 246 274 284 299 138 270 104 153 197 180 295 180 270 327 279 224 247 243 113 229 151 276 117 253 124 131 113 90 248 124 150 315 258

Appendix G- Historical Track Record Tropical Cyclones within [132 143.3 -18.5 -3.5] No.

198011 198012 198103 198104 198107 198111 198115 198317 198318 198320 198410 198411 198414 198415 198417 198505 198506 198513 198602 198604 198606 198811 198902 198907 198912 199005 199102 199109 199202 199306 199402 199404 199505 199509 199511 199513 199606 199613 199702 199705 199708 199709 199803 199809 199811 199906 199910 200001 200003 200005 200006 200008 200103 200108 200206 200302 200304

Name

Freda_1981 Max_1981 Amelia_1981 Cy531_1981 Bruno_1982 Coral_1982 Dominic_1982 Ferdinand_1984 Jim_1984 Kathy_1984 Pierre_1985 Rebecca_1985 Sandy_1985 Tanya_1985 Gretel_1985 Vernon_1986 Winifred_1986 Manu_1986 Irma_1987 Jason_1987 Kay_1987 Meena_1989 Felicity_1989 Greg_1990 Ivor_1990 Kelvin_1991 Mark_1992 Neville_1992 Nina_1992 Sadie_1994 Bobby_1995 Warren_1995 Barry_1996 Unnamed_1996 Dennis_1996 Ethel_1996 Phil_1996 Justin_1997 Sid_1997 Les_1998 May_1998 Nathan_1998 Thelma_1998 Rona_1999 Vance_1999 Steve_2000 Tessi_2000 Sam_2000 Winsome_2001 Wylva_2001 Abigail_2001 Alistair_2001 Bernie_2001 Bonnie_2002 Craig_2003 Debbie_2003 Fritz_2004

Date

24-Feb-81 9-Mar-81 30-Nov-81 19-Dec-81 10-Jan-82 4-Feb-82 4-Apr-82 2-Mar-84 5-Mar-84 16-Mar-84 18-Feb-85 20-Feb-85 20-Mar-85 27-Mar-85 12-Apr-85 21-Jan-86 27-Jan-86 21-Apr-86 19-Jan-87 5-Feb-87 8-Apr-87 5-May-89 12-Dec-89 1-Mar-90 16-Mar-90 24-Feb-91 7-Jan-92 6-Apr-92 23-Dec-92 29-Jan-94 19-Feb-95 4-Mar-95 3-Jan-96 27-Jan-96 15-Feb-96 7-Mar-96 26-Dec-96 6-Mar-97 24-Dec-97 22-Jan-98 24-Feb-98 20-Mar-98 30-Nov-98 9-Feb-99 14-Mar-99 25-Feb-00 31-Mar-00 28-Nov-00 8-Feb-01 14-Feb-01 24-Feb-01 15-Apr-01 30-Dec-01 7-Apr-02 7-Mar-03 16-Dec-03 10-Feb-04

Time

1800 2000 2300 2300 2300 500 2100 500 2100 1800 600 600 1800 600 0 0 600 0 600 1800 0 0 2300 1800 0 600 1200 1800 0 600 0 0 0 1800 0 1800 0 1800 600 0 1800 1800 2330 1100 1200 0 0 0 0 0 0 1200 2100 1800 1200 0 600

Start Lat

-14.4 -11.6 -16 -11.7 -11.2 -13.5 -11.4 -11.9 -11.6 -12 -11.8 -11.1 -13.4 -13.2 -11 -16.5 -12.9 -8 -12.6 -12 -8.5 -13.4 -11.6 -11.9 -15.8 -11.7 -13.3 -10 -13 -12.3 -11 -13.3 -15 -15.1 -11.8 -15.8 -13.4 -17 -13.5 -15.5 -13.1 -11.1 -12 -15.1 -12.5 -17.2 -14.8 -11 -11 -13.5 -16.6 -7.5 -11.5 -7.2 -13 -10 -13.8

Long

140.6 135.1 139 140.3 140.5 140.5 139.7 131.3 151.4 148.5 143.3 135.7 138.2 151.5 133.4 139.5 144.8 156 139 142.8 140.1 160 134 137.9 160.8 141.9 136.1 133.5 140 137.8 134 140.1 136.8 138.3 140.3 139.5 137 153.5 130.8 142.1 139.1 143.3 138 146.8 131.5 153 156.2 140 138.7 141.5 146.1 137 137.5 133.2 130.3 140.4 146.7

Date

7-Mar-81 19-Mar-81 6-Dec-81 22-Dec-81 17-Jan-82 6-Feb-82 14-Apr-82 4-Mar-84 10-Mar-84 24-Mar-84 24-Feb-85 23-Feb-85 24-Mar-85 1-Apr-85 14-Apr-85 24-Jan-86 5-Feb-86 27-Apr-86 21-Jan-87 14-Feb-87 17-Apr-87 10-May-89 19-Dec-89 3-Mar-90 26-Mar-90 5-Mar-91 10-Jan-92 13-Apr-92 2-Jan-93 31-Jan-94 27-Feb-95 6-Mar-95 9-Jan-96 28-Jan-96 18-Feb-96 13-Mar-96 3-Jan-97 23-Mar-97 28-Dec-97 1-Feb-98 7-Mar-98 31-Mar-98 11-Dec-98 12-Feb-99 23-Mar-99 11-Mar-00 3-Apr-00 14-Dec-00 13-Feb-01 16-Feb-01 26-Feb-01 23-Apr-01 6-Jan-02 15-Apr-02 12-Mar-03 23-Dec-03 15-Feb-04

Time

Finish Lat

0 0 500 1100 700 500 900 2300 0 0 600 1200 1800 1800 0 1800 1800 0 0 0 0 600 1200 0 1200 1800 1800 0 1800 1200 600 100 0 1800 600 600 100 2300 2100 0 0 0 1430 1100 2200 2200 1200 0 0 1100 1800 2200 600 0 2100 0 0

-24 -17 -14.2 -11.4 -17.7 -14.8 -15.9 -12.9 -14.9 -18.2 -23.8 -16.7 -14.5 -15.2 -14.2 -24 -20.9 -16 -15.4 -21.1 -19 -11.5 -20.2 -12.1 -21.9 -14.7 -13.3 -12.5 -11.5 -20.1 -29.2 -17.2 -23.1 -15.7 -15.6 -17.2 -18.6 -19.2 -16.2 -18.8 -14.8 -13.8 -16.5 -15.8 -35.2 -37 -17.5 -20.5 -18 -16.4 -16.7 -24.7 -18.8 -15.9 -15.2 -15.5 -21.2

Long

165.1 98.8 121.5 125 123.5 132.8 143.9 134.2 134 134 160 143.5 135.1 142.8 129.4 160 144.2 144.6 134.1 139.4 107.5 137.4 160.2 139.8 146.8 150 143.5 125.2 171 142.5 121 137.8 147.5 136.3 151 136.3 105.3 147.3 137.1 122.7 136.3 145 125 145 133 127.5 143.5 135.5 130 137 137.8 114 137.4 101.3 141.4 130.5 126.3

Dur

Path

246 220 126 60 152 48 228 66 99 174 144 78 96 132 48 90 228 144 42 198 216 126 157 30 252 228 78 150 258 54 198 49 144 24 78 132 193 413 111 240 246 246 255 72 226 382 84 384 120 59 66 202 153 174 129 168 114

Lifetime Vfm

3626 4186 2250 1697 2058 891 3025 562 1992 1824 2492 1268 766 1082 588 2365 2009 1584 656 2028 3988 2640 3516 225 4075 3053 870 1074 4000 1123 3603 781 1641 226 1311 2285 3688 3679 1797 2827 2271 3498 2010 876 5091 6883 1507 4575 1555 619 924 4205 961 3818 2050 1568 2398

Theta

4.1 5.3 5 7.9 3.8 5.2 3.7 2.4 5.6 2.9 4.8 4.5 2.2 2.3 3.4 7.3 2.4 3.1 4.3 2.8 5.1 5.8 6.2 2.1 4.5 3.7 3.1 2 4.3 5.8 5.1 4.4 3.2 2.6 4.7 4.8 5.3 2.5 4.5 3.3 2.6 4 2.2 3.4 6.3 5 5 3.3 3.6 2.9 3.9 5.8 1.7 6.1 4.4 2.6 5.8

112 261 276 271 248 260 137 109 259 246 126 126 249 256 230 111 184 234 239 199 251 274 108 96 245 110 90 252 87 149 213 209 128 252 110 245 260 249 113 259 238 148 250 248 176 228 257 204 230 236 269 232 180 254 101 240 249

p0

Date

994 996 999 990 993 996 920 983 970 920 1002 994 953 986 988 996 1003 1005 978 965 990 1000 950 992 930 999 980 988 970 985 1005 960 950 986 995 980 991 999 985 976 990 990 1000 990 1001 985 1006 1001 981 990 970 995 980 1008 976 970 985

25-Feb-81 11-Mar-81 2-Dec-81 20-Dec-81 14-Jan-82 4-Feb-82 7-Apr-82 4-Mar-84 9-Mar-84 22-Mar-84 18-Feb-85 22-Feb-85 22-Mar-85 31-Mar-85 12-Apr-85 22-Jan-86 27-Jan-86 26-Apr-86 20-Jan-87 12-Feb-87 9-Apr-87 8-May-89 15-Dec-89 3-Mar-90 19-Mar-90 24-Feb-91 9-Jan-92 7-Apr-92 24-Dec-92 30-Jan-94 19-Feb-95 5-Mar-95 5-Jan-96 28-Jan-96 16-Feb-96 9-Mar-96 26-Dec-96 22-Mar-97 28-Dec-97 24-Jan-98 26-Feb-98 21-Mar-98 5-Dec-98 11-Feb-99 15-Mar-99 29-Feb-00 3-Apr-00 28-Nov-00 10-Feb-01 16-Feb-01 26-Feb-01 16-Apr-01 3-Jan-02 7-Apr-02 11-Mar-03 19-Dec-03 12-Feb-04

At Maximum Intensity Within Region Time Dist Bear

1800 800 2300 1100 1700 2300 900 500 1800 1200 600 0 1200 1200 1200 600 600 1800 600 1200 1200 1800 1100 0 1200 600 1800 600 1800 1800 600 1700 700 600 0 1800 0 1200 0 2100 600 600 530 1800 1800 1800 1200 600 1800 0 1200 1800 1800 1800 0 1500 0

783 699 624 214 496 436 483 494 553 506 536 268 361 747 714 791 726 890 337 528 429 647 719 205 722 385 399 667 399 674 639 659 650 560 713 398 335 985 393 480 636 582 730 886 697 562 921 35 420 525 647 629 507 702 694 450 670

127 259 265 229 255 180 144 256 215 193 102 129 174 111 263 147 109 128 213 174 276 106 154 136 120 105 134 269 134 153 262 177 155 196 105 115 209 134 183 212 177 96 282 131 260 193 144 141 216 181 180 277 172 304 262 274 168

Vfm

Theta

4.1 4 3.4 1.8 3.7 5.5 3.2 1.8 6 2.5 2 4.8 2.6 2.9 4.1 2.5 1 1.8 4.8 2.9 4.1 5 4.3 1.8 4 2.2 4.3 3.6 4.2 5.3 7.5 6.7 4.3 3 8 6.1 6 0 5.8 4.1 5.9 1.5 4.2 2.6 0.5 4.1 6.2 7.1 4.3 3.2 3.5 6.1 1 5.2 4.5 2.3 4.2

104 270 243 235 235 264 108 124 270 232 90 122 191 238 239 101 0 235 251 135 239 270 136 124 277 44 53 261 166 163 250 242 136 260 108 80 270 90 148 284 150 90 284 316 90 284 299 274 224 217 261 180 180 281 116 206 291

Appendix G- Historical Track Record Tropical Cyclones within [132 143.3 -18.5 -3.5] No.

200306 200308 200402 200406 200408 200411 200505 200507 200512 200601 200602 200605 200701 200702 200703 200802 200805 201002 201004

Name

Evan_2004 Fay_2004 Raymond_2004 Harvey_2005 Ingrid_2005 Unnamed_2005 Kate_2006 Larry_2006 Monica_2006 Nelson_2007 George_2007 Pierre_2007 Guba_2007 Helen_2007 Ophelia_2008 Charlotte_2009 Kirrily_2009 Olga_2010 Paul_2010

Date

27-Feb-04 12-Mar-04 30-Dec-04 3-Feb-05 4-Mar-05 13-Apr-05 22-Feb-06 14-Mar-06 16-Apr-06 5-Feb-07 27-Feb-07 15-May-07 12-Nov-07 28-Dec-07 23-Feb-08 10-Jan-09 23-Apr-09 22-Jan-10 23-Mar-10

Time

0 0 0 1200 0 0 0 1200 0 1200 0 1200 600 0 1500 1800 1800 0 0

Start Lat

-12.8 -11 -12.9 -14 -11.5 -8 -10.7 -12.5 -9.5 -15.5 -12.1 -9.7 -8 -13.2 -16.5 -15.4 -8.3 -13.2 -8

Long

141.5 146 119.8 135.8 140 138 143.5 158 152.5 138 135.2 157.7 151 130.9 132.5 138.8 132.7 157.3 141

Date

4-Mar-04 28-Mar-04 10-Jan-05 7-Feb-05 16-Mar-05 15-Apr-05 24-Feb-06 20-Mar-06 27-Apr-06 7-Feb-07 12-Mar-07 23-May-07 19-Nov-07 6-Jan-08 29-Feb-08 12-Jan-09 1-May-09 30-Jan-10 5-Apr-10

Time

Finish Lat

0 1200 0 1800 2100 1200 0 1800 1800 1200 600 0 2100 600 2100 600 600 0 0

-15 -21.5 -14.7 -16.9 -15.3 -11 -11.2 -19 -17.8 -15.9 -27.4 -10 -9.8 -14.4 -14.9 -17.3 -5.1 -18.4 -14.2

Long

126.1 120.9 136.6 137.1 128.4 149 146.2 140.8 132.6 143.7 124.4 139 145.1 140.3 124.4 141.7 130.5 141.3 135.2

Dur

Path

144 396 264 102 309 60 48 150 282 48 318 180 183 222 150 36 180 192 312

Lifetime Vfm

1765 4140 3229 1085 4060 1270 460 2664 3545 625 3873 2319 1816 3120 1806 395 1222 3401 3179

Theta

3.4 2.9 3.4 3 3.7 5.9 2.7 4.9 3.5 3.6 3.4 3.6 2.8 3.9 3.3 3.1 1.9 4.9 2.8

261 246 96 156 251 105 100 248 246 94 213 269 252 97 281 124 325 251 222

p0

Date

991 998 999 967 924 995 992 985 916 985 994 1007 987 990 1000 987 998 985 982

1-Mar-04 15-Mar-04 3-Jan-05 7-Feb-05 11-Mar-05 14-Apr-05 22-Feb-06 20-Mar-06 23-Apr-06 6-Feb-07 28-Feb-07 22-May-07 18-Nov-07 5-Jan-08 24-Feb-08 11-Jan-09 26-Apr-09 29-Jan-10 29-Mar-10

At Maximum Intensity Within Region Time Dist Bear

900 600 1800 800 1800 1800 1800 600 600 1200 1800 600 2100 0 600 1200 900 2100 600

384 623 1024 642 224 675 712 966 140 660 355 398 695 745 859 635 518 846 377

208 270 223 187 235 73 94 143 239 155 239 81 103 246 235 161 313 161 221

Vfm

3.6 9.1 10.9 4 5.1 8 4.1 9.1 2.1 2 1.8 5.2 0 8.6 2.2 4.7 3.1 5 1.1

Theta

235 270 98 247 281 116 82 239 284 90 235 281 90 83 242 126 270 144 235

Appendix H

Synthetic Track Model Verification

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This Appendix provides insight into the method used by the Australian Maritime College Marine Modelling Unit to construct the synthetic tropical cyclone climatology for this project. The folowing series of illustrations are from application of the CycSyn synthetic TC track generator (James and Mason 2005), which is a similar approach to that used by Hardy et al. (2004a,b) in studies for the Queensland coast. The process is one of establishing various control volumes within which the historcal TC track parameters are processed through the auto-regressive statistical track model. The synthetic track parameters are then generated and compared statistically with the original data for that region. Other sub-regions are then defined to help further refine and optimise the various sub-models, each time rechecking the statistical match with the raw data.

Figure H-1 Operating domains. In Figure H-1 the thick green rectanangle is the so-called outer or base domain, meaning that if a synthetic storm moves outside of this area it is truncated. Each cyan ploygon forms a statistical model, which have an allocated “rank”, which is determined by trial and error. A “catch-all” model is the last model that can be used if the storm is not in any other model (has the lowest rank). If a storm occurs in models that overlap, the model with highest rank is adopted. The red polygon extent defines the intialisation zone or sample zone and is the extent of where the synthetic storms start (either inside or on the edge of the polygon). The synthetic track data is only valid inside the red polygon. Figure H-2 shows the density of the historical track fixes and their colour-coded intensity in terms of the pressure deficit ∆p (hPa). Figure H-3 shows the equivalent set of synthetic tracks covering 50,000 years, whereby it can be seen that the algorithm permits storm tracks outside of the historical area and also generates intensities beyond the historical intensities. However, the basic distribution pattern is simialr to the raw data.

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Figure H-4 shows the initial step in the generation process, whereby the starting locations of the historical storms are noted by the circles. These locations are then synthesised for the 50,000 year climate either inside or along the boundary of the red polygon and Figure H-5 is an example of of an equivalent number of synthetic storms to those available from the historical data. This illustrates that the generated tracks are quite similar to the original and can be regarded as being just as likely as the original tracks in a statistical sense.

Figure H-2 Historical pressures (ΔP) for the period 1969 to 2009. (most intense storms have been plotted on top)

Figure H-3 Synthetic pressures (ΔP) for 50,000y. (most intense storms have been plotted on top) Values are only valid within the red polygon.

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Figure H-6 shows the type of summary statistics that are generated by the CycSyn model for a particular model sub-region (green). Each of the historical storm parameters (red) are compared with the synthetic parameters (blue) in terms of histograms and Cumulative Density Functions (CDFs) that show the shapes of the probability distributions. Various goodness-of-fit statistics and confidence limits, derived from the synthetic data, are also shown. Figures H-7 and H-8 show details of frequency and intensity, which are the parameters of principal interest. If the red line lies follows the thick blue line faithfully then the model is near-perfect. However, even if the red line lies within the outer blue line it can be regarded as satisfactory, as it is but one possible realisation of 119 storms. Figures H-9 and H-10 show the statistics of coastal crossings for the same sub-region, depending on whether the storm moves onshore or offshore.

Figure H-4 Historical storm tracks for the period 1969 to 2009. A total of 119 storms enter this region in this period.

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Figure H-5 Synthetic storm tracks. Equivalant in number (119) to the historical storm for the period 1969 to 2009.

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Figure H-6 Statistics for storms inside green polygon. Only one sample, at maximum intensity (ΔP), is taken for each storm.

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Figure H-7 Exceedence frequency from Figure H-6 (panel b).

Figure H-8 Return Period plot from Figure H-6 (panel c).

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Figure H-9 Statistics for storms crossing the green line, moving from land to sea. Only one sample is taken for each storm.

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Figure H-10 Statistics for storms crossing the green line, moving from sea to land. Only one sample is taken for each storm.

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Figure H-11 and H-12 show more detail regarding the coastal crossing behaviour of the H-6 domain model, whereby the limited red data (step function) is able to be compared with the near-continuous synthetic data (blue). Figure H-13 provides details of the scatter-plot comparison of intensity, speed and headings as well as intensity versus heading and time of year.

Figure H-11 Statistics for storms crossing the green line, moving from land to sea.

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Figure H-12 Statistics for storms crossing the green line, moving from sea to land.

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Figure H-13 Scatter plot comparison for storms inside the green polygon.

Figures H-14 to H-18 provide statistics for other sub-regions around and outside of the Gulf to illustrate the good model fits in the various areas. Figures H-19 to H-22 show the statistics for storms crossing a vertical line through the centre of Cape York, illustrating the basin interconnection modelling.

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Figure H-14 Statistics for storms inside the green polygon. Only one sample, at maximum intensity (ΔP), is taken for each storm.

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Figure H-15 Statistics for storms inside the green polygon. Only one sample, at maximum intensity (ΔP), is taken for each storm.

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Figure H-16 Statistics for storms inside the green polygon. Only one sample, at maximum intensity (ΔP), is taken for each storm.

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Figure H-17 Statistics for storms inside green polygon. Only one sample, at maximum intensity (ΔP), is taken for each storm.

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Figure H-18 Statistics for storms inside green polygon. Only one sample, at maximum intensity (ΔP), is taken for each storm.

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Figure H-19 Storms moving East to West.

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Figure H-20 Storms moving East to West.

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Figure H-21 Storms moving West to East.

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Figure H-22 Storms moving West to East.

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The raw historical data does not supply all the information needed for the wind model. Figure H-23 provides details of the “Double Holland” parameters that have been assumed by the synthetic model, which are derived using a proprietary AMC method based on research into tropical cyclone structure using both Australian data and US hurricane data. Radius to maximum winds R1 (inner) and R2 (outer) are now blue and red respectively, as well as windfield peakedness B1 and B2.

Figure H-23 Statistics of wind field parameters for storms inside the green polygon. The AMC relationships can be seen to well match US intensity versus R max (R1) data in Figure H-24 when stratified into a low latitude dataset more applicable to the Gulf.

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Figure H-24 Willoughby and Rahn (2004) data includes Rmax from 616 profiles for 70 hurricanes.

As intensity varies throughout the synthetic storm lifetimes, the Rmax also is allowed to vary and Figure H25 provides some examples of how this varies for individual storms. Figure H-26 shows the statistical matching as a CDF.

Figure H-25 The evolution of 8 synthetic storms in Rmax vs ΔP0 space.

Figure H-27 compares the Vmax vs ΔP0 space and highlights the influence of forward speed as a component of the industry-accepted A&H relationship. Finally, Figure H-28 illustrates how Vmax and ΔP0 are allowed to realistically vary for individual synthetic storms.

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Figure H-26 The synthetic Rmax CDF compared with US hurricane data.

Figure H-27 The comparison of synthetic Vmax vs ΔP0 compared with industry expectations.

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Figure H-28 The evolution of 8 synthetic storms in Vmax vs ΔP0 space.

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Appendix I

2010 Tropical Cyclone/Broadscale Combined Tide Plus Surge Return Period Curves

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Figure I - 1 Mapoon, Weipa and Aurukun broadscale, TC and combine d return period curves for climate 2010.

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Figure I - 2 Pormpuraaw, Kowanyama and Karumba broadscale, TC and combine d return period curves for climate 2010.

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Figure I - 3 Sweers Island, Bentinck Island and Burketown Offshore broadscale, TC and combined return period curves for climate 2010.

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Figure I - 4 Gununa, Dubbar Point and King Ash Bay broadscale, TC and combined return period curves for climate 2010.

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28

Figure I - 5 Bing Bong, Numbulwar and Baniyala broadscale, TC and combined return period curves for climate 2010.

28

Where the combined return period curve is below either the TC or broadscale return period curve, the higher of the TC or broadscale return periods should be adopted.

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Figure I - 6 Alyangula, Umbakumba and Yirrkala broadscale, TC and combined return period curves for climate 2010.

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Appendix J

2010 Tropical Cyclone Tide Plus Surge Return Period Maps

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Figure J - 1 50 and 100 y return period spatial plot. Tide plus surge for TC events only.

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Figure J - 2 200 and 500 y return period spatial plot. Tide plus surge for TC events only.

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Figure J - 3 1,000 and 10,000 y return period spatial plot. Tide plus surge for TC events only.

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Appendix K

2010 Combined Broadscale and Tropical Cyclone Tide Plus Surge Tabulated Results

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Note: In the vicinity of Mornington and Centre Islands higher resolution HD modelling has been undertaken in comparison to the wave modelling. As a result, a number of additional sites are presented here that are not within wave statistic appendices.

Appendix K 2010 Combined Broadscale and Tropical Cyclone Tabulated Results Name Bremer_Islets Gutjangan_Community East_Woody_Beach Gangaru_Lagoon Ruwakpuy_Community Bremer_Island East_Bremer_Islet Town_Beach Gove Rainbow_Cliff Yirrkala Miles_Island Garrirri_Beach Rocky_Bay Baringura_Inlet Garanhan_Beach Needle_Point Dalywoi_Bay Ngumuy_Beach Arnhem_Shoal Cape_Arnhem Lurrupukurru_Beach Bawaka_Community Gwapilina_Point Dhulmulmiya_Community Binanangoi_Point Holly_Inlet Dhaniya_Community Wanyanmera_Point Buymarr_Community Millarong Mcnamara_Island Point_Alexander Garrthalala_Community Grays_Bay Middle_Point Caledon_Bay Caledon_Point Du_Pre_Bay Du_Pre_Point Cape_Grey Wonga_Bay Dirrangmurumanja_Bay Guyuwiri_Point Bald_Point Bagbiringula_Point Wardarlea_Bay Point_Arrowsmith Marajella_Bay Barraratjpi_Community Cape_Shield Djarrakpi_Community Gooninnah_Island Baniyala_Community Point_Blane Grindall_Bay Round_Hill_Island Cool_Yal_You_Ma_Island Nicol_Island Ayangmarnda_Island Isle_Woodah

Lat

Long

-12.062 -12.072 -12.143 -12.150 -12.122 -12.110 -12.080 -12.168 -12.186 -12.193 -12.239 -12.257 -12.269 -12.276 -12.300 -12.319 -12.337 -12.343 -12.332 -12.327 -12.345 -12.446 -12.525 -12.555 -12.560 -12.578 -12.594 -12.588 -12.694 -12.708 -12.780 -12.869 -12.844 -12.806 -12.811 -12.822 -12.852 -12.877 -12.928 -12.942 -12.996 -12.999 -13.004 -13.016 -13.069 -13.168 -13.189 -13.259 -13.245 -13.250 -13.285 -13.297 -13.308 -13.228 -13.286 -13.228 -13.317 -13.420 -13.452 -13.480 -13.483

136.836 136.799 136.789 136.801 136.833 136.840 136.841 136.806 136.811 136.823 136.905 136.911 136.904 136.916 136.932 136.938 136.943 136.954 136.961 136.980 136.985 136.863 136.785 136.783 136.765 136.769 136.744 136.732 136.702 136.646 136.635 136.630 136.613 136.572 136.554 136.547 136.545 136.562 136.626 136.650 136.665 136.616 136.598 136.591 136.575 136.533 136.488 136.447 136.424 136.405 136.384 136.378 136.371 136.228 136.194 136.118 136.112 136.241 136.270 136.238 136.188

50 1.8 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.9 1.7 1.7 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.7 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.6 1.7 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.6 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 2.0 2.0 2.2 2.0 1.8 1.7 1.8 1.8

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100 1.8 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.6 1.7 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.6 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.8 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 1.9 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 2.4 2.3 2.7 2.4 2.0 1.9 2.0 2.1

200 1.8 1.9 1.9 1.9 2.0 1.8 1.8 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.6 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.9 2.0 1.8 2.1 2.0 2.0 2.1 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.3 2.2 1.9 1.9 1.8 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.0 2.0 2.1 2.1 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.8 2.7 3.2 2.9 2.3 2.2 2.3 2.4

500 1.9 2.0 1.9 1.9 2.0 1.9 1.9 2.0 2.0 2.0 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 2.0 2.2 2.1 2.2 2.1 2.3 2.3 2.2 2.5 2.3 2.3 2.5 2.9 3.0 2.9 2.8 2.6 2.3 2.2 2.1 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.3 2.5 2.5 2.6 2.6 2.5 2.5 2.5 3.4 3.3 3.9 3.5 2.8 2.7 2.7 2.9

1000 1.9 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.2 2.1 1.9 2.2 2.2 2.2 1.9 2.0 2.0 2.0 1.9 1.9 2.0 1.9 1.9 1.8 1.8 2.3 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.5 2.6 2.4 2.8 2.6 2.6 2.8 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.2 3.0 2.5 2.5 2.3 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.6 2.6 2.8 2.8 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.8 3.9 3.7 4.5 4.0 3.1 3.0 3.1 3.2

10000 y 2.3 2.4 2.5 2.5 2.6 2.5 2.3 2.6 2.7 2.6 2.4 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.5 2.3 2.3 2.8 3.3 3.2 3.3 3.2 3.4 3.6 3.2 3.8 3.5 3.3 3.6 4.6 4.6 4.6 4.5 4.1 3.3 3.1 2.9 4.0 4.0 3.8 3.7 3.6 4.1 3.8 4.0 4.1 3.9 3.9 3.9 5.1 4.8 5.8 5.4 4.3 4.0 4.0 4.2

Appendix K - 1

Note: In the vicinity of Mornington and Centre Islands higher resolution HD modelling has been undertaken in comparison to the wave modelling. As a result, a number of additional sites are presented here that are not within wave statistic appendices.

Appendix K 2010 Combined Broadscale and Tropical Cyclone Tabulated Results Name

Lat

Long

Morgan_Island Yee_To_Wappah_Island Blue_Mud_Bay Meringa_Island Haddon_Head Yilila_Community Bennet_Bay Malagayangu_District Miwul_Community Rantyirrity_Point Minintirri_Island Amamarrity_Island Numbulwar Nyinpinti_Point Sandy_Island Alagna_Shoal Woody_Island Adumeninburra_Point Adthumaninbura_Point Adamaji_Beach North_Bay Ngurrkwurrumanja_Beach Ninaguwa_Island Nangkumanja_Reef Mekubarrkumanja_Point Amagiladjura_Point Angamanja_Island Lyangbudumanja_Point East_Bay Arawura_Bay Marjirrumanja__Beach Hand_Islet Mamarmbawiya_Point Nulukwa_Bay Numbarrila_Beach Enumerrmanja_Point Manggarna_Island South_Bay Milyakburra_Community Mirabangwa_Cliffs Banda_Island Connexion_Island Burley_Shoal North_West_Bluff Yellow_Patch Alubuwa_Point Bartelumba_Community Ngadumiyerrka_Community Deception_Bay Bartalumba_Bay Mundarringumanja_Beach Mundarrungmundja_Community Winchelsea_Island Mugwana_Island Finch_Island Alyinga_Island Yarranya_Island North_West_Bay Ayarina_Bay Darrangmurmanja_Community Yirrumanja_Point

-13.489 -13.494 -13.439 -13.428 -13.429 -13.659 -13.720 -13.907 -14.070 -14.212 -14.217 -14.252 -14.303 -14.463 -14.432 -14.091 -13.823 -13.729 -13.706 -13.712 -13.701 -13.678 -13.655 -13.640 -13.678 -13.698 -13.716 -13.735 -13.751 -13.744 -13.769 -13.781 -13.799 -13.804 -13.815 -13.834 -13.845 -13.805 -13.799 -13.810 -13.840 -13.834 -13.850 -13.829 -13.818 -13.813 -13.808 -13.814 -13.809 -13.816 -13.811 -13.800 -13.768 -13.687 -13.719 -13.730 -13.748 -13.755 -13.750 -13.732 -13.714

136.090 136.071 136.056 136.063 135.983 135.926 135.952 135.984 135.918 135.897 135.879 135.858 135.812 135.684 135.877 136.065 136.081 136.106 136.119 136.131 136.138 136.152 136.166 136.222 136.262 136.298 136.303 136.308 136.283 136.271 136.288 136.281 136.286 136.267 136.260 136.265 136.259 136.187 136.175 136.168 136.167 136.376 136.350 136.395 136.402 136.420 136.439 136.451 136.470 136.482 136.500 136.507 136.478 136.526 136.555 136.548 136.553 136.565 136.584 136.579 136.574

50 1.9 1.9 2.0 2.0 2.2 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.4 2.5 2.5 2.6 2.8 2.3 2.1 2.1 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 2.1 2.2 2.1 2.1 1.6 1.7 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.6 1.6 1.6

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

100 2.2 2.2 2.3 2.3 2.5 2.7 2.8 2.7 2.8 2.8 2.9 3.0 3.1 3.4 2.7 2.5 2.5 2.2 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.0 2.0 1.9 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.9 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.4 1.8 2.0 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.7

200 2.5 2.6 2.7 2.7 3.0 3.1 3.2 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.4 3.5 3.6 3.9 3.1 2.8 2.9 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.3 2.2 2.1 2.2 2.1 2.0 2.0 2.1 2.2 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.2 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.8 2.0 2.3 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.8 1.9 1.9 2.0 2.0 1.9 1.9 1.8

500 3.0 3.0 3.2 3.1 3.5 3.8 3.8 3.6 3.9 3.9 4.0 4.1 4.3 4.6 3.6 3.2 3.4 3.0 2.8 2.9 2.8 2.7 2.6 2.5 2.6 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.5 2.6 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.5 3.4 3.5 3.4 3.3 2.3 2.6 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.3 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.2 2.2 2.1

1000 3.3 3.4 3.5 3.5 3.9 4.1 4.2 4.0 4.3 4.3 4.5 4.6 4.9 5.1 4.1 3.6 3.8 3.3 3.1 3.2 3.1 3.0 2.9 2.7 2.9 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.8 2.9 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.8 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.6 2.6 2.9 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.3 2.4 2.5 2.6 2.6 2.5 2.4 2.3

10000 y 4.4 4.5 4.8 4.8 5.1 5.2 5.5 5.4 5.8 5.7 5.9 6.1 6.0 6.6 5.1 4.8 5.0 4.2 4.1 4.1 4.0 4.0 3.9 3.6 3.8 3.5 3.5 3.4 3.5 3.7 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.7 5.5 5.5 5.3 5.1 3.5 4.2 3.2 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.3 3.3 3.4 3.3 3.2 3.0 3.1 3.1 3.3 3.5 3.6 3.4 3.1 3.0

Appendix K - 2

Note: In the vicinity of Mornington and Centre Islands higher resolution HD modelling has been undertaken in comparison to the wave modelling. As a result, a number of additional sites are presented here that are not within wave statistic appendices.

Appendix K 2010 Combined Broadscale and Tropical Cyclone Tabulated Results Name Milyema_Island Lewrrumbumanja_Cliff Chasm_Island Yingilirrba_Island Menimberrkwe_Cliff Angarmbulumardja_Island Ilyaugwamaja_Island Angarumurada_Island North_Point_Island Makmuntja_Community Milyangkwudakba_Point Mungwarndumanja_Island Jagged_Head Hempel_Bay Port_Langdon Mccomb_Point Thompson_Bay Mawulyumanja_Community Baird_Cliff Akwalirrumanja_Community Umbakumba Spit_End Little_Lagoon Alyingberrma_Community Scott_Point_Community Scott_Point Dingala_Point Amuriyerra_Point Amrranga_Beach Eight_Mile_Beach Amirraba_Community Picnic_Beach Mamalingmandja_Point Ayungkwiyungkwa_Beach Malkayubirra_Beach Ilyungmadja_Point Lugadamanja_Point Amanburnunga_Community Dalumbu_Bay Adilyagba_Point Ungwariba_Point Eberrumilya_Island Amungkarma_Islands Cape_Beatrice Arnarrma_Point Marangala_Point Mirrburrumanja_Point Marangala_Bay Murrukwulya_Island Mamungwajingumanja_Beach Inamalamandja_Point Merruwumanja_Point Arida_Island Low_Island Eninyena_Beach Amungkwalya_Beach Yanbakwa_Community South_Point Tasman_Point Rutland_Shoal Eningkirra_Beach

Lat

Long

-13.696 -13.684 -13.672 -13.656 -13.674 -13.676 -13.653 -13.648 -13.643 -13.649 -13.645 -13.681 -13.688 -13.752 -13.777 -13.788 -13.800 -13.818 -13.825 -13.838 -13.833 -13.828 -13.823 -13.812 -13.741 -13.736 -13.756 -13.805 -13.822 -13.868 -13.880 -13.921 -13.926 -13.917 -13.952 -14.038 -14.094 -14.170 -14.177 -14.139 -14.139 -14.303 -14.308 -14.301 -14.291 -14.283 -14.299 -14.273 -14.283 -14.288 -14.299 -14.304 -14.298 -14.302 -14.278 -14.246 -14.226 -14.244 -14.212 -13.984 -13.966

136.569 136.576 136.582 136.608 136.613 136.644 136.657 136.676 136.695 136.707 136.725 136.736 136.748 136.725 136.742 136.735 136.729 136.734 136.746 136.769 136.788 136.807 136.826 136.833 136.843 136.862 136.897 136.931 136.906 136.878 136.872 136.863 136.844 136.802 136.781 136.825 136.761 136.732 136.743 136.813 136.924 136.970 136.952 136.940 136.866 136.824 136.798 136.750 136.713 136.694 136.687 136.668 136.656 136.637 136.620 136.481 136.445 136.339 136.310 136.398 136.393

50 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.8 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.8 1.8

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

100 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.6 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.8 1.9 1.9 2.0 2.0 2.0 1.9 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.1 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.1 2.0

200 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.8 1.8 2.0 1.9 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.9 2.1 2.0 1.8 2.0 2.2 2.1 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.8 1.8 2.1 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.3 2.3 2.4 2.5 2.6 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.3

500 2.1 2.1 2.0 2.1 2.1 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 1.9 1.9 2.1 2.1 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.3 2.3 2.2 2.1 2.1 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 2.1 2.1 2.2 2.1 2.2 2.5 2.4 2.1 2.4 2.7 2.6 2.2 1.9 2.0 2.0 2.1 2.5 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.7 2.6 2.8 2.9 3.0 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.7

1000 2.3 2.3 2.2 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.2 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.3 2.3 2.5 2.5 2.6 2.7 2.8 2.7 2.7 2.6 2.5 2.4 2.3 2.1 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.4 2.7 2.7 2.4 2.7 3.0 2.9 2.4 2.1 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.7 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 3.1 3.2 3.4 3.1 3.2 3.1 3.0

10000 y 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.1 3.1 3.0 3.0 2.9 3.0 2.9 2.9 3.1 3.0 3.5 3.4 3.5 3.6 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.7 3.6 3.5 3.3 2.9 2.8 2.9 2.5 3.2 3.1 3.2 3.1 3.1 3.7 3.6 3.2 3.5 3.9 3.9 3.3 2.9 2.9 3.0 3.1 3.6 3.8 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.8 3.8 3.8 4.2 4.5 4.7 4.5 4.4 4.4 4.4

Appendix K - 3

Note: In the vicinity of Mornington and Centre Islands higher resolution HD modelling has been undertaken in comparison to the wave modelling. As a result, a number of additional sites are presented here that are not within wave statistic appendices.

Appendix K 2010 Combined Broadscale and Tropical Cyclone Tabulated Results Name Abarungkwa_Beach Endungwa_Beach Malkala_Community Alyangula Arruwa_Island Bustard_Isles Bustard_Island Hawknest_Island Wedge_Island Burney_Island Amagbirra_Island Fowler_Island Kapui_Point Jalma_Bay Grindall_Point Myaoola_Bay Gurkawuy_Community Dudley_Island Three_Hummocks Port_Bradshaw Strath_Island Gove_Harbour Yanungbi Yanungbi_Community Yudu_Yudu_Community Granite_Islands Parfitt_Point Shepherd_Bluff Half_Tide_Point Dundas_Point De_Belle_Point Galupa_Community Birritjimi_Beach Gurrukpuy_Beach Harbour_Islet East_Woody_Island Galaru_Community Nhulunbuy Cape_Wirawawoi Mcintyre_Point Gunyangara_Community Butjumurru North_East_Islet North_East_Isles Hawk_Island Cody_Bank Lane_Island Yabangwamanja_Beach Yadagba_District Arnengwurra_Island Wiyakipa_Beach Wuyagiba_Community Warrakunta_Point Beatrice_Island Eagle_Bay Bing_Bong South_West_Island West_Neck East_Neck Buchanan_Bay Gould_Point

Lat

Long

-13.955 -13.932 -13.890 -13.847 -13.708 -13.697 -13.710 -13.621 -13.602 -13.569 -13.600 -13.349 -13.280 -13.269 -13.294 -13.085 -12.994 -12.872 -12.742 -12.470 -12.264 -12.257 -12.262 -12.255 -12.237 -12.219 -12.212 -12.192 -12.184 -12.203 -12.209 -12.198 -12.179 -12.174 -12.163 -12.158 -12.153 -12.160 -12.148 -12.236 -12.222 -12.227 -13.645 -13.650 -13.660 -13.683 -13.668 -13.810 -14.109 -14.342 -14.572 -14.620 -14.650 -15.083 -14.834 -15.617 -15.683 -15.693 -15.696 -15.663 -15.645

136.399 136.413 136.422 136.400 136.371 136.378 136.402 136.407 136.292 136.232 136.261 135.951 135.992 135.999 136.016 136.329 136.524 136.691 136.705 136.770 136.702 136.690 136.672 136.660 136.655 136.650 136.638 136.603 136.670 136.675 136.687 136.694 136.689 136.708 136.714 136.733 136.752 136.763 136.770 136.735 136.711 136.692 136.947 136.928 136.891 136.877 136.933 136.802 136.704 136.820 135.555 135.558 135.556 135.771 135.715 136.392 136.689 136.718 136.734 136.736 136.735

50 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.6 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.4 1.8 1.6 1.6 0.5 2.0 1.9 2.0 2.0 1.9 1.9 1.9 2.0 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.8 2.0 2.0 1.9 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.7 1.7 3.1 3.0 3.0 2.5 2.6 2.3 2.1 2.0 2.0 1.9 1.9

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

100 2.0 2.0 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.9 1.9 1.9 3.0 2.9 3.0 2.8 2.8 2.1 1.7 1.7 1.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 1.9 2.0 2.0 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.8 2.0 2.0 2.0 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.7 2.0 1.8 3.7 3.6 3.5 3.0 3.0 2.7 2.4 2.3 2.3 2.1 2.1

200 2.3 2.3 2.2 2.1 2.0 2.0 1.9 1.9 2.1 2.2 2.2 3.5 3.4 3.4 3.3 3.4 2.4 1.9 1.9 93.7 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 1.9 2.1 2.1 2.1 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.8 2.3 2.0 4.3 4.1 4.1 3.5 3.4 3.2 2.8 2.7 2.7 2.5 2.5

500 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.4 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.5 2.6 2.6 4.1 3.9 3.9 3.8 4.0 2.9 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.3 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.2 2.2 2.2 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.9 2.1 2.8 2.4 5.1 4.8 4.8 4.1 4.1 3.7 3.4 3.2 3.1 2.9 2.9

1000 3.0 2.9 2.9 2.6 2.6 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.9 2.9 3.0 4.6 4.5 4.5 4.3 4.4 3.4 2.4 2.5 1.8 2.5 2.5 2.6 2.6 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.5 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.1 2.3 2.3 2.4 2.1 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.1 2.4 3.2 2.7 5.7 5.5 5.4 4.5 4.5 4.1 3.8 3.6 3.5 3.2 3.2

10000 y 4.3 4.2 4.1 3.8 3.3 3.3 3.2 3.3 3.7 3.7 3.9 5.8 5.8 5.8 5.6 6.7 4.9 3.1 3.2 2.8 3.4 3.3 3.4 3.4 3.2 3.1 3.1 3.3 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.9 2.9 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.7 2.6 3.2 3.1 3.1 2.8 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.8 3.5 4.2 3.5 7.4 7.2 7.1 6.0 5.9 5.9 5.2 4.9 4.7 4.5 4.5

Appendix K - 4

Note: In the vicinity of Mornington and Centre Islands higher resolution HD modelling has been undertaken in comparison to the wave modelling. As a result, a number of additional sites are presented here that are not within wave statistic appendices.

Appendix K 2010 Combined Broadscale and Tropical Cyclone Tabulated Results Name Camp_Beach Gulch_Reef Long_Reef Rocky_Point Rocky_Island Barclay_Point Jean_Point Centre_Island Survey_Bay Stuart_Point Little_Island Tucker_Bay Investigator_Point Ataluma_Point Clarke_Bay Fletcher_Island Payne_Island Jensen_Point Lindsay_Bay Harney_Island Amos_Point Hobler_Island Port_Mcarthur Korara_Point Cora_Point Sharker_Point Pelican_Spit Myoorlka_Island Murrenginya_Island Little_Vanderlin_Island Clarkson_Point Stokes_Bay Beavan_Point Anderson_Point Victoria_Bay Train_Point Willy_Islet Charles_Point Geranium_Bay Denten_Point David_Islet Symonds_Bluff Kedge_Point Base_Bay Wheatley_Islet Outer_Bank Cape_Vandelin Maxwell_Point Mesley_Point Investigator_Bay Vanderlin_Island Three_Hummock_Point Quince_Islet Webinger_Point Sharp_Stones_Point Goat_Point Whittet_Point Jolly_Islet Small_Islet Barbara_Cove Law_Island

Lat

Long

-15.644 -15.639 -15.644 -15.664 -15.666 -15.693 -15.698 -15.690 -15.701 -15.700 -15.724 -15.733 -15.741 -15.746 -15.747 -15.740 -15.748 -15.762 -15.715 -15.714 -15.781 -15.755 -15.787 -15.796 -15.810 -15.905 -15.876 -16.032 -16.038 -15.862 -15.829 -15.822 -15.806 -15.761 -15.718 -15.732 -15.689 -15.682 -15.680 -15.665 -15.643 -15.639 -15.629 -15.627 -15.600 -15.582 -15.583 -15.586 -15.618 -15.634 -15.637 -15.634 -15.652 -15.786 -15.812 -15.847 -15.757 -15.764 -15.778 -15.663 -15.644

136.754 136.798 136.807 136.831 136.836 136.832 136.799 136.786 136.785 136.792 136.826 136.820 136.815 136.813 136.806 136.792 136.775 136.737 136.736 136.724 136.678 136.621 136.668 136.675 136.679 136.778 136.999 137.271 137.273 137.067 137.038 137.036 137.016 136.977 136.961 136.935 136.918 136.917 136.935 136.938 136.951 136.954 136.978 136.985 136.989 136.987 136.999 137.015 137.032 137.040 137.045 137.070 137.083 137.106 137.102 137.082 136.949 136.951 136.955 136.987 136.975

50 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 2.0 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.1 2.1 2.2 2.1 2.2 2.6 2.4 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.5 2.0 2.2 2.2 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 2.0 2.1 2.1 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.8 1.8

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

100 2.1 2.0 2.0 2.1 2.1 2.2 2.4 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.2 2.2 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.4 2.4 2.6 2.4 2.5 3.0 2.8 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.9 2.3 2.6 2.6 2.2 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 1.9 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.4 2.5 2.5 2.0 2.0 2.0 1.9 1.9

200 2.5 2.3 2.3 2.4 2.3 2.4 2.7 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.5 2.5 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.7 2.7 2.9 2.8 2.8 3.4 3.1 3.5 3.4 3.5 3.3 2.7 2.9 3.0 2.5 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.2 2.1 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.1 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.8 2.8 2.9 2.2 2.2 2.3 2.3 2.2

500 3.0 2.7 2.6 2.7 2.7 2.8 3.1 3.2 3.2 3.2 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 3.0 3.0 3.1 3.3 3.2 3.2 3.8 3.5 3.9 3.9 4.0 3.8 3.1 3.5 3.5 2.9 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.4 2.4 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.4 2.6 2.7 2.7 2.6 2.7 3.2 3.3 3.3 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.6 2.5

1000 3.3 2.9 2.9 3.0 2.9 3.0 3.3 3.5 3.5 3.4 3.1 3.1 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.3 3.4 3.7 3.5 3.6 4.3 4.0 4.3 4.3 4.4 4.2 3.4 4.0 4.1 3.2 3.0 3.0 2.9 2.7 2.5 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.6 2.9 3.0 3.0 2.9 3.0 3.5 3.6 3.7 2.7 2.7 2.8 2.9 2.7

10000 y 4.5 4.1 4.0 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.3 4.4 4.5 4.4 4.2 4.2 4.1 4.2 4.2 4.3 4.3 4.5 4.5 4.5 5.1 5.1 5.1 5.1 5.4 4.9 4.3 5.6 5.6 4.2 3.9 3.9 3.8 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.8 3.8 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.6 3.5 3.6 3.6 3.6 4.0 4.0 3.9 4.1 4.0 4.6 4.7 4.8 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.8 3.7

Appendix K - 5

Note: In the vicinity of Mornington and Centre Islands higher resolution HD modelling has been undertaken in comparison to the wave modelling. As a result, a number of additional sites are presented here that are not within wave statistic appendices.

Appendix K 2010 Combined Broadscale and Tropical Cyclone Tabulated Results Name Turtle_Islet Observation_Island Craufurd_Islet Cape_Pellew North_Island_Community Ross_Point Paradice_Bay Webe_Point Watson_Island Toby_Point Skull_Island Watson_Inlet Water_Beach Stony_Point Skull_Point Macassar_Bay Gunyana_Bay Phil_Point Walker_Point Cabbage_Tree_Cove Brown_Islet Inner_Bank Red_Islet White_Islet Sir_Edward_Pellew_Group Black_Islet Craggy_Islands Gilbert_Island West_Island Casuarina_Bay Crocodile_Point West_Island_Community Jimmy_Islet Daisy_Islet Urquhart_Islet Heriot_Reef Pearce_Islet Calvert_River QLDNT_Border Cliffdale_Creek Eight_Mile_Creek Bayley_Point Syrell_Creek James_Creek Kirke_Point Oaktree_Point Mckenzie_Creek Wilson_Bay Albinia_Island Little_Allen_Island Greenaway_Point Allen_Island Bayley_Island Pains_Island Whale_Point Beche_De_Mer_Point Forsyth_Island Forsyth_Islands Government_Point Ivis_Island Andrew_Island

Lat

Long

-15.597 -15.612 -15.530 -15.503 -15.514 -15.513 -15.535 -15.554 -15.558 -15.571 -15.590 -15.609 -15.613 -15.610 -15.612 -15.606 -15.639 -15.647 -15.635 -15.613 -15.711 -15.713 -15.651 -15.615 -15.617 -15.598 -15.600 -15.582 -15.577 -15.613 -15.639 -15.644 -15.747 -15.722 -15.496 -15.498 -15.504 -16.195 -16.527 -16.813 -16.753 -16.909 -16.995 -17.210 -17.120 -16.982 -17.100 -17.102 -17.069 -17.006 -17.002 -17.026 -16.897 -16.868 -16.834 -16.828 -16.836 -16.837 -16.849 -16.850 -16.765

136.973 136.904 136.881 136.885 136.873 136.861 136.848 136.842 136.817 136.779 136.803 136.816 136.802 136.786 136.779 136.842 136.840 136.853 136.884 136.886 136.887 136.880 136.725 136.723 136.716 136.649 136.684 136.652 136.518 136.509 136.493 136.502 137.099 137.096 136.955 136.948 136.950 137.742 138.008 138.779 138.558 139.036 139.087 139.174 139.409 139.504 139.457 139.450 139.380 139.201 139.215 139.237 139.055 139.055 139.087 139.150 139.122 139.115 139.114 139.107 139.140

50 1.7 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 2.0 2.0 2.1 2.2 2.0 2.0 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.9 2.2 2.4 2.3 2.8 3.2 3.7 3.2 2.9 3.2 3.2 3.1 3.2 3.2 3.2 2.9 2.7 2.4 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.9 2.8 2.4

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

100 1.9 1.9 2.0 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 1.9 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.3 2.4 2.5 2.6 2.3 2.3 1.8 1.8 1.9 2.1 2.6 2.8 2.6 3.0 3.7 4.2 3.5 3.1 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.6 3.6 3.7 3.2 2.9 2.6 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.2 3.0 2.5

200 2.0 2.2 2.4 1.9 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.2 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.6 2.8 3.0 3.0 2.7 2.6 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.4 3.1 3.3 3.1 3.4 4.1 4.7 3.9 3.5 3.8 3.9 3.8 4.0 4.0 4.0 3.5 3.1 3.0 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.6 3.3 2.7

500 2.3 2.5 2.7 2.2 2.3 2.2 2.4 2.4 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.5 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.4 2.5 2.6 2.5 2.6 2.7 2.7 2.9 2.8 2.8 3.0 3.0 2.9 3.0 3.3 3.5 3.5 3.1 3.1 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.8 3.7 3.8 3.6 3.9 4.7 5.3 4.3 3.9 4.4 4.4 4.3 4.6 4.5 4.6 4.0 3.6 3.4 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.1 3.7 3.1

1000 2.5 2.7 3.0 2.4 2.5 2.5 2.6 2.7 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.7 2.8 2.8 2.9 2.6 2.7 2.8 2.7 2.8 2.8 2.9 3.2 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.4 3.7 3.8 3.8 3.4 3.4 2.5 2.5 2.5 3.1 4.2 4.3 4.1 4.2 5.1 5.8 4.6 4.2 4.7 4.7 4.5 4.9 4.9 5.0 4.3 3.9 3.8 4.7 4.7 4.7 4.5 4.0 3.4

10000 y 3.7 3.8 4.2 3.5 3.6 3.6 3.8 3.8 4.0 4.1 4.0 3.9 4.0 4.1 4.2 3.8 3.8 3.9 3.8 3.9 3.9 3.9 4.6 4.5 4.5 4.7 4.6 4.6 5.0 5.5 5.6 5.3 4.4 4.3 3.6 3.6 3.6 4.3 5.6 5.9 6.2 5.4 6.3 7.3 5.7 5.0 5.8 5.9 5.6 5.9 5.9 6.0 5.3 5.1 5.1 5.8 5.8 5.8 5.5 4.9 4.5

Appendix K - 6

Note: In the vicinity of Mornington and Centre Islands higher resolution HD modelling has been undertaken in comparison to the wave modelling. As a result, a number of additional sites are presented here that are not within wave statistic appendices.

Appendix K 2010 Combined Broadscale and Tropical Cyclone Tabulated Results Name Snapper_Point Beche_De_Mer_Bay Wonongung_Waterhole Gununa Dubbar_Point Jidan_Marun Gee_Wee_Point Gee_Wee_Creek Lingele_Point Bidgagum_Bay Waddagun_Waterhole Boyorrunga_Inlet Timber_Point Wunungun_Point Tulburrerr_Island Gerrigroo_Point Kungunmeah_River Woolgunjin_Point Toongoowahgun_Inlet Jirke_Island Beahgoo_Island Yuwah_Point Dungnoreah_Point Sydney_Island Porpoise_Point Dougherty_Bay Midbagar_Point Tarrant_Point Channon_Creek Pasco_Inlet Nicholson_River Pandanus_Creek Williams_Inlet Offshore_Burketown Gore_Point Disaster_Inlet Brannigan_Creek Accident_Inlet Fitzmaurice_Point Smithburne_River Bold_Point Van_Diemen_Inlet Karumba Alligator_Point Flinders_River Macdonald_Point Sweers_Is_Resort Inscription_Point Bentinck_Is_Airport Carnarvon Red_Cliffs Fowler_Island Mckenzie_Creek Wilson_Bay White_Cliff Sydney_Island Ngawalgeah_Point Lingeleah_Island Weediah_Bay Walbor_Inlet Jubuneah_Point

Lat

Long

-16.758 -16.751 -16.716 -16.671 -16.670 -16.658 -16.631 -16.627 -16.614 -16.572 -16.563 -16.711 -16.732 -16.735 -16.735 -16.730 -16.691 -16.679 -16.662 -16.657 -16.687 -16.692 -16.710 -16.702 -16.718 -16.736 -16.747 -17.363 -17.407 -17.472 -17.496 -17.503 -17.509 -17.519 -17.612 -17.619 -17.201 -17.189 -17.160 -17.035 -16.995 -16.977 -17.442 -17.454 -17.577 -17.129 -17.118 -17.106 -17.100 -17.094 -17.083 -17.116 -17.136 -17.130 -17.038 -16.695 -16.647 -16.635 -16.612 -16.594 -16.582

139.138 139.167 139.188 139.190 139.167 139.156 139.148 139.151 139.159 139.208 139.213 139.209 139.238 139.285 139.296 139.318 139.353 139.372 139.383 139.385 139.440 139.437 139.450 139.467 139.139 139.140 139.139 139.479 139.533 139.623 139.641 139.653 139.665 139.740 139.941 139.953 140.887 140.894 140.896 140.920 140.959 140.954 140.795 140.788 140.619 139.585 139.592 139.599 139.587 139.606 139.613 139.561 139.485 139.473 139.559 139.491 139.487 139.494 139.507 139.502 139.509

50 2.4 3.0 3.1 3.1 2.4 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.1 2.1 3.1 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.9 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.9 2.9 2.8 3.0 2.2 2.3 2.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.8 2.8 2.8 3.1 3.1 3.2 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.1 3.2 3.2 3.0 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.7

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

100 2.5 3.4 3.5 3.5 2.5 2.2 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.2 2.2 3.5 3.4 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.4 3.3 3.3 3.4 3.2 3.2 3.1 3.2 2.4 2.5 2.5 3.7 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.7 3.7 3.8 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.4 3.4 3.5 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.2 3.2 3.3 3.5 3.5 3.2 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0

200 2.7 3.9 4.0 4.1 2.6 2.4 2.3 2.3 2.2 2.3 2.3 4.0 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.7 3.7 3.5 3.5 2.5 2.6 2.6 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.2 4.2 4.3 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.2 3.3 3.2 3.8 3.8 4.0 3.7 3.7 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.5 3.7 3.9 3.9 3.6 3.4 3.5 3.4 3.4 3.5 3.4

500 3.1 4.5 4.7 4.8 2.8 2.7 2.6 2.7 2.6 2.6 2.6 4.6 4.4 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.5 4.2 4.2 4.0 3.8 2.9 3.0 3.1 4.8 4.8 4.8 4.8 4.8 4.8 4.8 4.9 4.9 4.0 4.0 3.9 3.7 3.8 3.8 4.5 4.5 4.7 4.2 4.2 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.0 4.3 4.4 4.4 4.2 3.9 4.0 3.9 3.9 4.0 4.0

1000 3.4 4.9 5.1 5.3 3.1 3.0 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.8 2.8 5.1 4.9 4.8 4.7 4.7 4.8 4.8 4.8 4.8 4.6 4.6 4.3 4.1 3.2 3.3 3.4 5.1 5.2 5.3 5.4 5.4 5.3 5.2 5.5 5.5 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.8 4.9 5.2 4.5 4.5 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.3 4.6 4.7 4.8 4.5 4.2 4.3 4.2 4.2 4.3 4.3

10000 y 4.6 5.9 6.2 6.6 4.2 4.1 4.0 4.0 3.9 3.8 3.8 6.3 6.0 6.0 5.9 5.9 6.1 6.0 6.2 6.3 5.8 5.9 5.5 5.0 4.3 4.9 4.7 6.4 6.5 6.7 6.7 6.6 6.6 6.6 7.2 7.3 6.0 5.9 5.8 5.5 5.7 5.6 6.4 6.5 6.6 5.8 5.8 5.7 5.8 5.7 5.6 5.9 6.1 6.1 5.7 5.5 5.5 5.5 5.6 5.7 5.7

Appendix K - 7

Note: In the vicinity of Mornington and Centre Islands higher resolution HD modelling has been undertaken in comparison to the wave modelling. As a result, a number of additional sites are presented here that are not within wave statistic appendices.

Appendix K 2010 Combined Broadscale and Tropical Cyclone Tabulated Results Name Lelkajindi_Creek Ngulwonmeah_River Gilitja_Point Charlie_Bush_Bay Billmahgun_Point Dalmumeah_Creek Gatgatgerah_Creek Lingnoonganee_Island Meahyawogan_Point Moondalbee_Island Mudgun_Point Towbulbulan_River Watson_Patch Thabugan_Point Wardoo_Creek Lowareah_Point Sandalwood_Place_River Eengan_Bay Hall_Point Gumbannge_Point Goojamun_Creek Ballast_Creek Dwenty_Point Bilmagun_Point Brookes_Reef Bountiful_Islands Pisonia_Island Van_Diemen_Inlet Salt_Arm_Creek Rocky_Creek Station_Creek Station_Creek Topsy_Creek South_Mitchell_River Chapman_River Pormpuraaw Moonkan_Creek Edward_River Christmas_Creek Hersey_Creek King_Creek Kulinchin Holroyd_River Knox_Creek Mitchell_River Staaten_River Gilbert_River Snake_Creek Duck_Creek Koontun_Creek Shell_Creek Colin_Creek Love_River Aurukun_(Archer_River) Worbody_Point Ward_River Possum_Creek Ina_Creek False_Pera_Head Norman_Creek Thud_Point

Lat

Long

-16.541 -16.529 -16.524 -16.531 -16.557 -16.535 -16.530 -16.497 -16.504 -16.451 -16.438 -16.443 -16.398 -16.390 -16.404 -16.437 -16.450 -16.460 -16.464 -16.497 -16.508 -16.520 -16.532 -16.543 -16.555 -16.683 -16.507 -16.953 -16.138 -15.897 -15.847 -15.674 -15.495 -15.340 -14.933 -14.918 -14.847 -14.735 -14.459 -14.356 -14.330 -14.212 -14.152 -14.087 -15.190 -16.409 -16.564 -16.680 -16.807 -13.576 -13.537 -13.526 -13.500 -13.349 -13.302 -13.306 -13.269 -13.194 -13.106 -13.051 -13.007

139.518 139.524 139.543 139.555 139.604 139.649 139.668 139.719 139.731 139.747 139.722 139.703 139.650 139.607 139.519 139.467 139.379 139.341 139.291 139.240 139.233 139.226 139.219 139.212 139.205 139.865 139.793 140.982 141.363 141.380 141.403 141.421 141.483 141.526 141.601 141.590 141.575 141.554 141.521 141.554 141.559 141.581 141.550 141.562 141.596 141.283 141.240 141.204 141.081 141.510 141.517 141.533 141.538 141.607 141.644 141.671 141.692 141.650 141.610 141.606 141.587

50 2.8 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.2 2.1 2.2 2.2 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.1 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.1 2.1 2.6 2.5 2.8 2.6 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.3 2.3 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.0 2.1 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.4 2.6 2.7 2.8 2.8 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 2.0 2.0 2.1 2.1 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.8

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100 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 2.9 2.8 2.8 2.6 2.6 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.3 2.2 2.3 2.3 2.2 2.2 2.1 2.2 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.2 2.2 2.7 2.6 3.0 3.0 2.7 2.7 2.6 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.2 2.2 2.7 2.9 3.0 3.2 3.0 2.0 2.0 2.1 2.1 2.3 2.4 2.6 2.5 2.2 1.9 1.9 1.9

200 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.2 3.2 3.1 2.8 2.8 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.3 2.4 2.4 2.3 2.4 2.2 2.3 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.3 2.3 2.8 2.7 3.3 3.5 3.1 3.1 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.6 2.7 2.6 2.7 2.5 2.5 3.1 3.3 3.5 3.7 3.4 2.4 2.4 2.5 2.5 2.7 2.8 3.0 3.0 2.6 2.2 2.2 2.0

500 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.1 3.8 3.7 3.6 3.3 3.2 2.7 2.7 2.8 2.7 2.7 2.6 2.7 2.7 2.8 2.4 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.5 2.5 2.5 3.2 3.0 3.8 4.0 3.6 3.7 3.4 3.5 3.5 3.4 3.3 3.3 3.1 3.0 3.1 3.1 3.3 3.0 3.1 3.7 3.9 4.1 4.3 3.9 2.8 2.8 2.9 3.0 3.2 3.5 3.7 3.7 3.1 2.7 2.6 2.4

1000 4.4 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.1 4.0 4.0 3.6 3.5 3.0 3.0 3.1 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.1 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.8 2.8 3.5 3.3 4.2 4.5 4.0 4.1 3.8 3.8 3.9 3.8 3.7 3.6 3.4 3.5 3.6 3.5 3.7 3.5 3.5 4.2 4.3 4.5 4.7 4.3 3.2 3.2 3.3 3.3 3.7 3.9 4.2 4.2 3.6 3.0 2.8 2.6

10000 y 5.8 5.9 5.9 5.8 5.2 5.3 5.2 4.4 4.2 3.8 3.8 4.1 3.9 3.8 3.8 3.9 3.9 4.0 3.4 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.6 3.7 3.7 4.4 4.1 5.6 5.6 5.3 5.4 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.2 5.1 4.9 4.7 5.4 5.3 5.3 5.3 5.0 5.0 5.3 5.5 5.9 6.0 5.4 4.3 4.3 4.7 4.6 4.8 5.1 5.4 5.9 4.8 4.2 4.4 3.8

Appendix K - 8

Note: In the vicinity of Mornington and Centre Islands higher resolution HD modelling has been undertaken in comparison to the wave modelling. As a result, a number of additional sites are presented here that are not within wave statistic appendices.

Appendix K 2010 Combined Broadscale and Tropical Cyclone Tabulated Results Name Pera_Head Boyd_Point Winda_Winda_Creek Wooldrum_Point Botchet_Creek Landfall_Point Duyfken_Point Janie_Creek Tullanaringa_(cullen)_Point Cullen_(tullanaringa)_Point Jackson_River Doughboy_River Cotterell_River Vrilya_Point Skardon_River Mapoon Wenlock_River Nomenade_Creek Pine_River_Bay Wallaby_Island Evans_Landing Amboyninghy_Point

Lat

Long

-12.942 -12.907 -12.795 -12.663 -12.578 -12.583 -12.560 -12.030 -11.937 -11.939 -11.659 -11.467 -11.364 -11.244 -11.751 -11.967 -12.051 -12.465 -12.506 -12.605 -12.655 -12.601

141.599 141.633 141.765 141.788 141.762 141.637 141.585 141.807 141.893 141.906 142.012 142.075 142.107 142.115 141.996 141.915 141.928 141.658 141.665 141.841 141.818 141.897

50 1.8 1.8 1.9 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.9 2.0 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.3 1.8 1.8 1.9 1.9 1.9

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100 1.9 1.9 2.1 2.0 1.9 1.8 1.8 2.0 2.1 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.5 1.9 1.9 2.0 2.0 2.0

200 2.0 2.1 2.4 2.2 2.2 1.9 1.9 2.1 2.3 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.3 2.5 2.5 2.8 2.0 1.9 2.2 2.3 2.2

500 2.4 2.5 2.9 2.7 2.6 2.1 2.0 2.5 2.7 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.9 2.9 3.3 2.3 2.2 2.6 2.7 2.6

1000 2.7 2.8 3.3 3.1 3.1 2.4 2.4 2.8 3.0 3.1 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.1 3.2 3.2 3.7 2.7 2.5 3.0 3.1 3.0

10000 y 4.0 4.1 4.5 4.1 4.1 3.3 3.1 3.8 4.5 4.6 4.4 4.2 4.3 4.1 4.6 4.5 5.3 3.5 3.2 4.0 4.3 4.1

Appendix K - 9

Appendix L

2050 Tropical Cyclone/Broadscale Combined Tide Plus Surge Return Period Curves

41/23138/432535

Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stage 1 and 2 Combined Final Report

Figure L - 1 Mapoon, Weipa and Aurukun broadscale, TC and combine d return period curves for climate 2050.

41/23138/432535

Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stage 1 and 2 Combined Final Report

Figure L - 2 Pormpuraaw, Kowanyama and Karumba broadscale, TC and combine d return period curves for climate 2050.

41/23138/432535

Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stage 1 and 2 Combined Final Report

Figure L - 3 Sweers Island, Bentinck Island and Burketown Offshore broadscale, TC and combined return period curves for climate 2050.

41/23138/432535

Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stage 1 and 2 Combined Final Report

Figure L - 4 Gununa, Dubbar Point and King Ash Bay broadscale, TC and combined return period curves for climate 2050.

41/23138/432535

Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stage 1 and 2 Combined Final Report

Figure L - 5 Bing Bong, Numbulwar, and Baniyala broadscale, TC and combined return period curves for climate 2050.

41/23138/432535

Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stage 1 and 2 Combined Final Report

Figure L - 6 Alyangula, Umbakumba and Yirrkala broadscale, TC and combined return period curves for climate 2050.

41/23138/432535

Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stage 1 and 2 Combined Final Report

Appendix M

2050 Tropical Cyclone/Broadscale Combined Tide Plus Surge Tabulated Results

41/23138/432535

Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stage 1 and 2 Combined Final Report

Note: In the vicinity of Mornington and Centre Islands higher resolution HD modelling has been undertaken in comparison to the wave modelling. As a result, a number of additional sites are presented here that are not within wave statistic appendices.

Appendix M 2050 Combined Broadscale and Tropical Cyclone Tabulated Results Name Bremer_Islets Gutjangan_Community East_Woody_Beach Gangaru_Lagoon Ruwakpuy_Community Bremer_Island East_Bremer_Islet Town_Beach Gove Rainbow_Cliff Yirrkala Miles_Island Garrirri_Beach Rocky_Bay Baringura_Inlet Garanhan_Beach Needle_Point Dalywoi_Bay Ngumuy_Beach Arnhem_Shoal Cape_Arnhem Lurrupukurru_Beach Bawaka_Community Gwapilina_Point Dhulmulmiya_Community Binanangoi_Point Holly_Inlet Dhaniya_Community Wanyanmera_Point Buymarr_Community Millarong Mcnamara_Island Point_Alexander Garrthalala_Community Grays_Bay Middle_Point Caledon_Bay Caledon_Point Du_Pre_Bay Du_Pre_Point Cape_Grey Wonga_Bay Dirrangmurumanja_Bay Guyuwiri_Point Bald_Point Bagbiringula_Point Wardarlea_Bay Point_Arrowsmith Marajella_Bay Barraratjpi_Community Cape_Shield Djarrakpi_Community Gooninnah_Island Baniyala_Community Point_Blane Grindall_Bay Round_Hill_Island Cool_Yal_You_Ma_Island Nicol_Island Ayangmarnda_Island Isle_Woodah

Lat

Long

-12.062 -12.072 -12.143 -12.150 -12.122 -12.110 -12.080 -12.168 -12.186 -12.193 -12.239 -12.257 -12.269 -12.276 -12.300 -12.319 -12.337 -12.343 -12.332 -12.327 -12.345 -12.446 -12.525 -12.555 -12.560 -12.578 -12.594 -12.588 -12.694 -12.708 -12.780 -12.869 -12.844 -12.806 -12.811 -12.822 -12.852 -12.877 -12.928 -12.942 -12.996 -12.999 -13.004 -13.016 -13.069 -13.168 -13.189 -13.259 -13.245 -13.250 -13.285 -13.297 -13.308 -13.228 -13.286 -13.228 -13.317 -13.420 -13.452 -13.480 -13.483

136.836 136.799 136.789 136.801 136.833 136.840 136.841 136.806 136.811 136.823 136.905 136.911 136.904 136.916 136.932 136.938 136.943 136.954 136.961 136.980 136.985 136.863 136.785 136.783 136.765 136.769 136.744 136.732 136.702 136.646 136.635 136.630 136.613 136.572 136.554 136.547 136.545 136.562 136.626 136.650 136.665 136.616 136.598 136.591 136.575 136.533 136.488 136.447 136.424 136.405 136.384 136.378 136.371 136.228 136.194 136.118 136.112 136.241 136.270 136.238 136.188

50 2.1 2.2 2.1 2.1 2.2 2.0 2.0 2.1 2.1 2.1 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 2.0 1.9 2.0 1.9 2.0 2.0 1.9 2.0 1.9 1.9 2.0 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.0 2.0 1.9 1.9 1.9 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.5 2.4 2.7 2.5 2.2 2.1 2.1 2.2

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

100 2.1 2.2 2.1 2.1 2.2 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 1.9 1.9 2.0 1.9 1.9 2.0 2.1 2.0 2.1 2.0 2.1 2.1 2.0 2.2 2.1 2.1 2.2 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.3 2.1 2.0 2.0 2.3 2.3 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.9 2.8 3.2 2.9 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.5

200 2.2 2.3 2.2 2.2 2.3 2.2 2.1 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 1.9 2.2 2.3 2.2 2.3 2.2 2.3 2.4 2.3 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.5 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.8 2.7 2.4 2.3 2.2 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.5 2.5 2.6 2.6 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.6 3.4 3.2 3.7 3.4 2.8 2.7 2.8 2.9

500 2.2 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.2 2.4 2.5 2.4 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.1 2.1 2.0 2.1 2.5 2.6 2.6 2.7 2.6 2.8 2.9 2.7 3.0 2.8 2.8 3.0 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.4 3.2 2.7 2.6 2.5 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.9 2.8 3.0 3.0 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 4.1 3.8 4.5 4.1 3.3 3.2 3.2 3.4

1000 2.3 2.4 2.5 2.5 2.6 2.6 2.3 2.6 2.7 2.6 2.4 2.4 2.5 2.4 2.3 2.4 2.4 2.3 2.3 2.2 2.2 2.8 3.0 2.9 2.9 2.8 3.0 3.1 2.9 3.4 3.1 3.2 3.4 4.0 4.0 4.0 3.8 3.6 3.0 3.0 2.8 3.3 3.4 3.3 3.1 3.2 3.4 3.3 3.5 3.5 3.4 3.4 3.4 4.6 4.3 5.2 4.7 3.7 3.5 3.6 3.8

10000 y 2.8 2.9 3.0 2.9 3.1 3.0 2.7 3.1 3.1 3.1 2.9 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.9 2.9 2.8 2.7 3.4 3.9 3.8 4.0 3.8 4.0 4.2 3.8 4.4 4.2 4.1 4.3 5.3 5.4 5.4 5.3 4.8 3.9 3.7 3.5 4.8 4.7 4.6 4.4 4.3 4.7 4.5 4.7 4.8 4.6 4.6 4.6 5.9 5.6 6.7 6.2 4.9 4.6 4.6 4.8

Appendix M - 1

Note: In the vicinity of Mornington and Centre Islands higher resolution HD modelling has been undertaken in comparison to the wave modelling. As a result, a number of additional sites are presented here that are not within wave statistic appendices.

Appendix M 2050 Combined Broadscale and Tropical Cyclone Tabulated Results Name

Lat

Long

Morgan_Island Yee_To_Wappah_Island Blue_Mud_Bay Meringa_Island Haddon_Head Yilila_Community Bennet_Bay Malagayangu_District Miwul_Community Rantyirrity_Point Minintirri_Island Amamarrity_Island Numbulwar Nyinpinti_Point Sandy_Island Alagna_Shoal Woody_Island Adumeninburra_Point Adthumaninbura_Point Adamaji_Beach North_Bay Ngurrkwurrumanja_Beach Ninaguwa_Island Nangkumanja_Reef Mekubarrkumanja_Point Amagiladjura_Point Angamanja_Island Lyangbudumanja_Point East_Bay Arawura_Bay Marjirrumanja__Beach Hand_Islet Mamarmbawiya_Point Nulukwa_Bay Numbarrila_Beach Enumerrmanja_Point Manggarna_Island South_Bay Milyakburra_Community Mirabangwa_Cliffs Banda_Island Connexion_Island Burley_Shoal North_West_Bluff Yellow_Patch Alubuwa_Point Bartelumba_Community Ngadumiyerrka_Community Deception_Bay Bartalumba_Bay Mundarringumanja_Beach Mundarrungmundja_Community Winchelsea_Island Mugwana_Island Finch_Island Alyinga_Island Yarranya_Island North_West_Bay Ayarina_Bay Darrangmurmanja_Community Yirrumanja_Point

-13.489 -13.494 -13.439 -13.428 -13.429 -13.659 -13.720 -13.907 -14.070 -14.212 -14.217 -14.252 -14.303 -14.463 -14.432 -14.091 -13.823 -13.729 -13.706 -13.712 -13.701 -13.678 -13.655 -13.640 -13.678 -13.698 -13.716 -13.735 -13.751 -13.744 -13.769 -13.781 -13.799 -13.804 -13.815 -13.834 -13.845 -13.805 -13.799 -13.810 -13.840 -13.834 -13.850 -13.829 -13.818 -13.813 -13.808 -13.814 -13.809 -13.816 -13.811 -13.800 -13.768 -13.687 -13.719 -13.730 -13.748 -13.755 -13.750 -13.732 -13.714

136.090 136.071 136.056 136.063 135.983 135.926 135.952 135.984 135.918 135.897 135.879 135.858 135.812 135.684 135.877 136.065 136.081 136.106 136.119 136.131 136.138 136.152 136.166 136.222 136.262 136.298 136.303 136.308 136.283 136.271 136.288 136.281 136.286 136.267 136.260 136.265 136.259 136.187 136.175 136.168 136.167 136.376 136.350 136.395 136.402 136.420 136.439 136.451 136.470 136.482 136.500 136.507 136.478 136.526 136.555 136.548 136.553 136.565 136.584 136.579 136.574

50 2.3 2.3 2.5 2.5 2.6 2.7 2.8 2.7 2.8 2.9 2.9 3.0 3.1 3.3 2.8 2.5 2.6 2.3 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.1 2.1 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.1 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.1 2.1 2.0 2.1 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.5 2.0 2.1 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

100 2.7 2.7 2.8 2.8 3.0 3.2 3.3 3.2 3.3 3.3 3.4 3.5 3.6 3.9 3.2 2.9 3.0 2.7 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.3 2.3 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.4 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.9 2.2 2.4 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1

200 3.0 3.1 3.3 3.2 3.5 3.7 3.8 3.6 3.8 3.8 4.0 4.0 4.2 4.5 3.7 3.3 3.4 3.0 2.9 2.9 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.6 2.6 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.6 2.6 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.6 2.6 2.5 2.6 3.4 3.5 3.4 3.4 2.4 2.8 2.4 2.3 2.3 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.3 2.3 2.2

500 3.5 3.6 3.7 3.7 4.1 4.4 4.4 4.3 4.5 4.5 4.7 4.8 4.9 5.2 4.2 3.8 4.0 3.5 3.4 3.4 3.3 3.2 3.2 3.0 3.1 2.9 2.9 2.8 3.0 3.1 2.9 2.9 2.9 3.0 3.0 2.9 3.0 4.1 4.1 4.0 3.8 2.8 3.2 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.7 2.7 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.6 2.6

1000 3.9 4.0 4.2 4.2 4.6 4.7 4.9 4.7 4.9 5.0 5.2 5.3 5.6 5.9 4.7 4.1 4.4 3.9 3.7 3.7 3.6 3.6 3.5 3.2 3.4 3.3 3.2 3.2 3.3 3.4 3.3 3.2 3.2 3.3 3.3 3.2 3.3 4.4 4.5 4.4 4.3 3.1 3.4 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.9 2.9 2.8 2.8 2.9 3.0 3.1 3.0 3.0 2.9 2.8

10000 y 5.2 5.3 5.5 5.5 5.8 5.9 6.2 6.2 6.7 6.4 6.6 6.9 6.7 7.4 5.9 5.5 5.8 4.9 4.8 4.8 4.7 4.6 4.6 4.3 4.4 4.1 4.0 3.9 4.1 4.2 4.0 4.0 4.1 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.5 6.3 6.3 6.2 5.9 4.2 4.9 3.9 3.7 3.8 3.8 3.9 3.9 4.1 3.9 3.8 3.5 3.7 3.8 3.9 4.2 4.2 4.1 3.7 3.6

Appendix M - 2

Note: In the vicinity of Mornington and Centre Islands higher resolution HD modelling has been undertaken in comparison to the wave modelling. As a result, a number of additional sites are presented here that are not within wave statistic appendices.

Appendix M 2050 Combined Broadscale and Tropical Cyclone Tabulated Results Name Milyema_Island Lewrrumbumanja_Cliff Chasm_Island Yingilirrba_Island Menimberrkwe_Cliff Angarmbulumardja_Island Ilyaugwamaja_Island Angarumurada_Island North_Point_Island Makmuntja_Community Milyangkwudakba_Point Mungwarndumanja_Island Jagged_Head Hempel_Bay Port_Langdon Mccomb_Point Thompson_Bay Mawulyumanja_Community Baird_Cliff Akwalirrumanja_Community Umbakumba Spit_End Little_Lagoon Alyingberrma_Community Scott_Point_Community Scott_Point Dingala_Point Amuriyerra_Point Amrranga_Beach Eight_Mile_Beach Amirraba_Community Picnic_Beach Mamalingmandja_Point Ayungkwiyungkwa_Beach Malkayubirra_Beach Ilyungmadja_Point Lugadamanja_Point Amanburnunga_Community Dalumbu_Bay Adilyagba_Point Ungwariba_Point Eberrumilya_Island Amungkarma_Islands Cape_Beatrice Arnarrma_Point Marangala_Point Mirrburrumanja_Point Marangala_Bay Murrukwulya_Island Mamungwajingumanja_Beach Inamalamandja_Point Merruwumanja_Point Arida_Island Low_Island Eninyena_Beach Amungkwalya_Beach Yanbakwa_Community South_Point Tasman_Point Rutland_Shoal Eningkirra_Beach

Lat

Long

-13.696 -13.684 -13.672 -13.656 -13.674 -13.676 -13.653 -13.648 -13.643 -13.649 -13.645 -13.681 -13.688 -13.752 -13.777 -13.788 -13.800 -13.818 -13.825 -13.838 -13.833 -13.828 -13.823 -13.812 -13.741 -13.736 -13.756 -13.805 -13.822 -13.868 -13.880 -13.921 -13.926 -13.917 -13.952 -14.038 -14.094 -14.170 -14.177 -14.139 -14.139 -14.303 -14.308 -14.301 -14.291 -14.283 -14.299 -14.273 -14.283 -14.288 -14.299 -14.304 -14.298 -14.302 -14.278 -14.246 -14.226 -14.244 -14.212 -13.984 -13.966

136.569 136.576 136.582 136.608 136.613 136.644 136.657 136.676 136.695 136.707 136.725 136.736 136.748 136.725 136.742 136.735 136.729 136.734 136.746 136.769 136.788 136.807 136.826 136.833 136.843 136.862 136.897 136.931 136.906 136.878 136.872 136.863 136.844 136.802 136.781 136.825 136.761 136.732 136.743 136.813 136.924 136.970 136.952 136.940 136.866 136.824 136.798 136.750 136.713 136.694 136.687 136.668 136.656 136.637 136.620 136.481 136.445 136.339 136.310 136.398 136.393

50 2.0 1.9 1.9 1.9 2.0 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 2.0 2.0 1.9 2.0 2.0 2.0 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 2.0 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.4 2.3 2.3 2.2 2.2

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

100 2.1 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.1 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 1.9 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.2 2.2 2.0 2.2 2.3 2.3 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.3 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.6 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.6 2.5 2.5

200 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.2 2.2 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.3 2.2 2.2 2.1 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.5 2.5 2.3 2.5 2.7 2.6 2.3 2.1 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.6 2.7 2.7 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.7 2.8 2.8 3.0 3.0 3.1 3.0 2.9 2.9 2.8

500 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.5 2.5 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.9 3.0 2.9 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.6 2.5 2.4 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.7 3.0 3.0 2.6 2.9 3.2 3.1 2.7 2.4 2.4 2.5 2.6 3.0 3.1 3.1 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.1 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.4 3.5 3.6 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.3

1000 2.8 2.7 2.7 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.8 2.8 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.3 3.2 3.1 3.0 2.9 2.8 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.9 2.8 2.8 2.8 3.0 3.3 3.3 2.9 3.3 3.7 3.5 3.0 2.6 2.6 2.7 2.8 3.3 3.4 3.4 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.4 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.7 3.8 4.0 3.7 3.8 3.8 3.6

10000 y 3.6 3.5 3.5 3.7 3.7 3.6 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.8 3.6 4.1 4.1 4.2 4.3 4.5 4.5 4.4 4.3 4.2 4.1 4.0 3.4 3.3 3.4 3.1 3.7 3.8 3.8 3.7 3.8 4.4 4.3 3.7 4.2 4.6 4.6 3.9 3.4 3.5 3.5 3.7 4.3 4.4 4.3 4.5 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.5 4.5 4.9 5.3 5.5 5.1 5.1 5.3 5.1

Appendix M - 3

Note: In the vicinity of Mornington and Centre Islands higher resolution HD modelling has been undertaken in comparison to the wave modelling. As a result, a number of additional sites are presented here that are not within wave statistic appendices.

Appendix M 2050 Combined Broadscale and Tropical Cyclone Tabulated Results Name Abarungkwa_Beach Endungwa_Beach Malkala_Community Alyangula Arruwa_Island Bustard_Isles Bustard_Island Hawknest_Island Wedge_Island Burney_Island Amagbirra_Island Fowler_Island Kapui_Point Jalma_Bay Grindall_Point Myaoola_Bay Gurkawuy_Community Dudley_Island Three_Hummocks Port_Bradshaw Strath_Island Gove_Harbour Yanungbi Yanungbi_Community Yudu_Yudu_Community Granite_Islands Parfitt_Point Shepherd_Bluff Half_Tide_Point Dundas_Point De_Belle_Point Galupa_Community Birritjimi_Beach Gurrukpuy_Beach Harbour_Islet East_Woody_Island Galaru_Community Nhulunbuy Cape_Wirawawoi Mcintyre_Point Gunyangara_Community Butjumurru North_East_Islet North_East_Isles Hawk_Island Cody_Bank Lane_Island Yabangwamanja_Beach Yadagba_District Arnengwurra_Island Wiyakipa_Beach Wuyagiba_Community Warrakunta_Point Beatrice_Island Eagle_Bay Bing_Bong South_West_Island West_Neck East_Neck Buchanan_Bay Gould_Point

Lat

Long

-13.955 -13.932 -13.890 -13.847 -13.708 -13.697 -13.710 -13.621 -13.602 -13.569 -13.600 -13.349 -13.280 -13.269 -13.294 -13.085 -12.994 -12.872 -12.742 -12.470 -12.264 -12.257 -12.262 -12.255 -12.237 -12.219 -12.212 -12.192 -12.184 -12.203 -12.209 -12.198 -12.179 -12.174 -12.163 -12.158 -12.153 -12.160 -12.148 -12.236 -12.222 -12.227 -13.645 -13.650 -13.660 -13.683 -13.668 -13.810 -14.109 -14.342 -14.572 -14.620 -14.650 -15.083 -14.834 -15.617 -15.683 -15.693 -15.696 -15.663 -15.645

136.399 136.413 136.422 136.400 136.371 136.378 136.402 136.407 136.292 136.232 136.261 135.951 135.992 135.999 136.016 136.329 136.524 136.691 136.705 136.770 136.702 136.690 136.672 136.660 136.655 136.650 136.638 136.603 136.670 136.675 136.687 136.694 136.689 136.708 136.714 136.733 136.752 136.763 136.770 136.735 136.711 136.692 136.947 136.928 136.891 136.877 136.933 136.802 136.704 136.820 135.555 135.558 135.556 135.771 135.715 136.392 136.689 136.718 136.734 136.736 136.735

50 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.1 2.1 2.1 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.9 2.9 2.2 1.9 1.9 2.0 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.1 2.3 2.3 2.2 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 2.0 2.0 3.6 3.5 3.5 3.0 3.0 2.7 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.3 2.3

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

100 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.1 2.1 2.3 2.3 2.4 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.4 3.4 2.5 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.4 2.2 2.3 2.3 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.1 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.0 1.9 1.9 1.9 2.0 2.0 2.4 2.3 4.3 4.2 4.1 3.5 3.5 3.2 2.9 2.8 2.7 2.5 2.5

200 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.6 2.6 2.7 4.0 3.9 4.0 3.8 4.0 2.9 2.3 2.3 2.1 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.5 2.3 2.4 2.4 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.2 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.1 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.1 2.3 2.8 2.5 4.9 4.7 4.7 4.0 4.0 3.7 3.3 3.2 3.1 2.9 2.9

500 3.2 3.2 3.1 2.9 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.7 3.0 3.1 3.2 4.8 4.6 4.6 4.4 4.6 3.5 2.7 2.7 2.3 2.7 2.7 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.6 2.6 2.7 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.3 2.6 2.5 2.6 2.4 2.3 2.2 2.2 2.4 2.7 3.3 2.9 5.8 5.5 5.4 4.6 4.6 4.2 3.9 3.7 3.6 3.4 3.3

1000 3.6 3.6 3.4 3.1 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.4 3.4 3.6 5.3 5.2 5.2 5.0 5.2 4.0 2.9 3.0 2.7 3.0 2.9 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.9 2.9 3.0 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.7 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.5 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.6 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.5 3.0 3.8 3.2 6.4 6.2 6.1 5.1 5.1 4.6 4.2 4.0 3.9 3.7 3.7

10000 y 5.1 4.9 4.8 4.4 3.9 3.9 3.8 3.9 4.3 4.3 4.4 6.7 6.6 6.7 6.4 7.6 5.5 3.8 3.8 4.3 4.2 4.0 4.1 4.0 3.8 3.7 3.7 3.8 3.5 3.6 3.6 3.5 3.5 3.4 3.3 3.3 3.2 3.2 3.1 3.8 3.7 3.7 3.4 3.1 3.1 3.2 3.3 4.1 4.8 4.2 8.3 8.0 7.8 6.7 6.7 6.8 5.7 5.5 5.4 5.1 5.1

Appendix M - 4

Note: In the vicinity of Mornington and Centre Islands higher resolution HD modelling has been undertaken in comparison to the wave modelling. As a result, a number of additional sites are presented here that are not within wave statistic appendices.

Appendix M 2050 Combined Broadscale and Tropical Cyclone Tabulated Results Name Camp_Beach Gulch_Reef Long_Reef Rocky_Point Rocky_Island Barclay_Point Jean_Point Centre_Island Survey_Bay Stuart_Point Little_Island Tucker_Bay Investigator_Point Ataluma_Point Clarke_Bay Fletcher_Island Payne_Island Jensen_Point Lindsay_Bay Harney_Island Amos_Point Hobler_Island Port_Mcarthur Korara_Point Cora_Point Sharker_Point Pelican_Spit Myoorlka_Island Murrenginya_Island Little_Vanderlin_Island Clarkson_Point Stokes_Bay Beavan_Point Anderson_Point Victoria_Bay Train_Point Willy_Islet Charles_Point Geranium_Bay Denten_Point David_Islet Symonds_Bluff Kedge_Point Base_Bay Wheatley_Islet Outer_Bank Cape_Vandelin Maxwell_Point Mesley_Point Investigator_Bay Vanderlin_Island Three_Hummock_Point Quince_Islet Webinger_Point Sharp_Stones_Point Goat_Point Whittet_Point Jolly_Islet Small_Islet Barbara_Cove Law_Island

Lat

Long

-15.644 -15.639 -15.644 -15.664 -15.666 -15.693 -15.698 -15.690 -15.701 -15.700 -15.724 -15.733 -15.741 -15.746 -15.747 -15.740 -15.748 -15.762 -15.715 -15.714 -15.781 -15.755 -15.787 -15.796 -15.810 -15.905 -15.876 -16.032 -16.038 -15.862 -15.829 -15.822 -15.806 -15.761 -15.718 -15.732 -15.689 -15.682 -15.680 -15.665 -15.643 -15.639 -15.629 -15.627 -15.600 -15.582 -15.583 -15.586 -15.618 -15.634 -15.637 -15.634 -15.652 -15.786 -15.812 -15.847 -15.757 -15.764 -15.778 -15.663 -15.644

136.754 136.798 136.807 136.831 136.836 136.832 136.799 136.786 136.785 136.792 136.826 136.820 136.815 136.813 136.806 136.792 136.775 136.737 136.736 136.724 136.678 136.621 136.668 136.675 136.679 136.778 136.999 137.271 137.273 137.067 137.038 137.036 137.016 136.977 136.961 136.935 136.918 136.917 136.935 136.938 136.951 136.954 136.978 136.985 136.989 136.987 136.999 137.015 137.032 137.040 137.045 137.070 137.083 137.106 137.102 137.082 136.949 136.951 136.955 136.987 136.975

50 2.3 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.3 2.4 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.3 2.3 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.5 2.5 2.6 2.5 2.5 3.0 2.7 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.9 2.4 2.6 2.6 2.3 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.1

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

100 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.5 2.5 2.6 2.8 2.9 2.9 2.8 2.6 2.6 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.8 2.8 3.0 2.8 2.9 3.4 3.1 3.4 3.4 3.5 3.3 2.8 3.1 3.1 2.6 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.4 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.8 2.9 3.0 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.3 2.3

200 2.9 2.7 2.7 2.8 2.8 2.9 3.1 3.2 3.2 3.2 2.9 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.2 3.3 3.8 3.5 3.8 3.9 3.9 3.7 3.1 3.5 3.5 3.0 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.6 2.5 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.5 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.8 3.3 3.3 3.3 2.6 2.6 2.7 2.7 2.6

500 3.4 3.1 3.1 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.5 3.7 3.7 3.6 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.4 3.4 3.5 3.5 3.8 3.6 3.7 4.2 4.0 4.3 4.3 4.4 4.2 3.5 4.1 4.1 3.4 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.9 2.8 2.9 2.9 2.9 3.0 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.8 2.8 2.8 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.2 3.7 3.8 3.8 2.9 2.9 3.0 3.1 2.9

1000 3.7 3.4 3.3 3.4 3.4 3.5 3.8 4.0 4.0 3.9 3.6 3.5 3.5 3.6 3.6 3.7 3.8 4.1 4.0 4.0 4.5 4.4 4.6 4.7 4.8 4.6 3.8 4.7 4.7 3.7 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.1 3.0 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.2 3.1 3.1 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.9 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.4 3.5 3.4 3.4 3.5 4.1 4.2 4.2 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.3 3.2

10000 y 5.3 4.7 4.6 4.6 4.6 4.6 4.9 5.0 5.0 4.9 4.7 4.7 4.7 4.7 4.7 4.8 4.8 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.6 5.9 5.7 5.8 5.8 5.6 4.7 6.2 6.3 4.7 4.4 4.4 4.3 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.6 4.6 4.6 4.5 4.5 5.1 5.1 5.3 4.2 4.2 4.3 4.4 4.3

Appendix M - 5

Note: In the vicinity of Mornington and Centre Islands higher resolution HD modelling has been undertaken in comparison to the wave modelling. As a result, a number of additional sites are presented here that are not within wave statistic appendices.

Appendix M 2050 Combined Broadscale and Tropical Cyclone Tabulated Results Name Turtle_Islet Observation_Island Craufurd_Islet Cape_Pellew North_Island_Community Ross_Point Paradice_Bay Webe_Point Watson_Island Toby_Point Skull_Island Watson_Inlet Water_Beach Stony_Point Skull_Point Macassar_Bay Gunyana_Bay Phil_Point Walker_Point Cabbage_Tree_Cove Brown_Islet Inner_Bank Red_Islet White_Islet Sir_Edward_Pellew_Group Black_Islet Craggy_Islands Gilbert_Island West_Island Casuarina_Bay Crocodile_Point West_Island_Community Jimmy_Islet Daisy_Islet Urquhart_Islet Heriot_Reef Pearce_Islet Calvert_River QLDNT_Border Cliffdale_Creek Eight_Mile_Creek Bayley_Point Syrell_Creek James_Creek Kirke_Point Oaktree_Point Mckenzie_Creek Wilson_Bay Albinia_Island Little_Allen_Island Greenaway_Point Allen_Island Bayley_Island Pains_Island Whale_Point Beche_De_Mer_Point Forsyth_Island Forsyth_Islands Government_Point Ivis_Island Andrew_Island

Lat

Long

-15.597 -15.612 -15.530 -15.503 -15.514 -15.513 -15.535 -15.554 -15.558 -15.571 -15.590 -15.609 -15.613 -15.610 -15.612 -15.606 -15.639 -15.647 -15.635 -15.613 -15.711 -15.713 -15.651 -15.615 -15.617 -15.598 -15.600 -15.582 -15.577 -15.613 -15.639 -15.644 -15.747 -15.722 -15.496 -15.498 -15.504 -16.195 -16.527 -16.813 -16.753 -16.909 -16.995 -17.210 -17.120 -16.982 -17.100 -17.102 -17.069 -17.006 -17.002 -17.026 -16.897 -16.868 -16.834 -16.828 -16.836 -16.837 -16.849 -16.850 -16.765

136.973 136.904 136.881 136.885 136.873 136.861 136.848 136.842 136.817 136.779 136.803 136.816 136.802 136.786 136.779 136.842 136.840 136.853 136.884 136.886 136.887 136.880 136.725 136.723 136.716 136.649 136.684 136.652 136.518 136.509 136.493 136.502 137.099 137.096 136.955 136.948 136.950 137.742 138.008 138.779 138.558 139.036 139.087 139.174 139.409 139.504 139.457 139.450 139.380 139.201 139.215 139.237 139.055 139.055 139.087 139.150 139.122 139.115 139.114 139.107 139.140

50 2.1 2.2 2.2 2.0 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.1 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.3 2.2 2.2 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.5 2.6 2.6 2.4 2.4 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.3 2.7 2.8 2.7 3.2 3.6 4.1 3.5 3.3 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.6 3.6 3.7 3.2 3.0 2.7 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.3 3.1 2.7

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

100 2.2 2.3 2.5 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.3 2.3 2.4 2.3 2.4 2.5 2.5 2.6 2.5 2.5 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.7 2.8 3.0 3.0 2.8 2.8 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.5 3.2 3.3 3.2 3.5 4.1 4.7 3.9 3.5 3.9 4.0 3.9 4.1 4.0 4.1 3.6 3.2 3.0 3.9 3.8 3.8 3.6 3.3 2.9

200 2.5 2.6 2.8 2.3 2.4 2.4 2.5 2.5 2.6 2.6 2.5 2.6 2.7 2.6 2.7 2.5 2.6 2.7 2.6 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.9 2.8 2.9 3.0 2.9 2.9 3.1 3.3 3.5 3.5 3.2 3.1 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.9 3.7 3.8 3.6 3.9 4.6 5.2 4.3 3.9 4.3 4.4 4.3 4.5 4.4 4.5 4.0 3.6 3.5 4.3 4.2 4.3 4.0 3.7 3.2

500 2.8 2.9 3.2 2.6 2.7 2.7 2.8 2.9 3.0 3.0 2.9 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.1 2.8 2.9 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.1 3.1 3.4 3.3 3.3 3.5 3.4 3.4 3.5 3.8 4.0 4.0 3.6 3.6 2.7 2.8 2.8 3.3 4.4 4.4 4.2 4.4 5.1 5.9 4.8 4.4 4.9 4.9 4.8 5.0 5.0 5.1 4.4 4.1 4.0 4.9 4.9 4.9 4.7 4.2 3.6

1000 3.0 3.2 3.5 2.9 2.9 2.9 3.0 3.1 3.2 3.2 3.1 3.2 3.2 3.3 3.3 3.0 3.2 3.3 3.2 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.7 3.6 3.6 3.8 3.7 3.8 3.9 4.2 4.4 4.4 4.0 3.9 2.9 3.0 3.0 3.7 4.8 4.9 4.7 4.7 5.6 6.4 5.2 4.8 5.3 5.3 5.1 5.4 5.4 5.5 4.8 4.4 4.3 5.3 5.2 5.2 5.0 4.5 3.9

10000 y 4.2 4.3 4.9 4.1 4.2 4.3 4.4 4.4 4.6 4.7 4.6 4.5 4.6 4.7 4.8 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.3 4.5 4.4 4.4 5.1 5.1 5.1 5.3 5.2 5.2 5.9 6.7 6.4 6.2 5.0 4.9 4.1 4.1 4.1 5.0 6.4 6.6 6.9 6.3 7.2 8.0 6.0 5.6 6.4 6.4 6.1 6.6 6.5 6.6 6.1 5.9 5.7 6.3 6.3 6.3 6.1 5.6 4.9

Appendix M - 6

Note: In the vicinity of Mornington and Centre Islands higher resolution HD modelling has been undertaken in comparison to the wave modelling. As a result, a number of additional sites are presented here that are not within wave statistic appendices.

Appendix M 2050 Combined Broadscale and Tropical Cyclone Tabulated Results Name Snapper_Point Beche_De_Mer_Bay Wonongung_Waterhole Gununa Dubbar_Point Jidan_Marun Gee_Wee_Point Gee_Wee_Creek Lingele_Point Bidgagum_Bay Waddagun_Waterhole Boyorrunga_Inlet Timber_Point Wunungun_Point Tulburrerr_Island Gerrigroo_Point Kungunmeah_River Woolgunjin_Point Toongoowahgun_Inlet Jirke_Island Beahgoo_Island Yuwah_Point Dungnoreah_Point Sydney_Island Porpoise_Point Dougherty_Bay Midbagar_Point Tarrant_Point Channon_Creek Pasco_Inlet Nicholson_River Pandanus_Creek Williams_Inlet Offshore_Burketown Gore_Point Disaster_Inlet Brannigan_Creek Accident_Inlet Fitzmaurice_Point Smithburne_River Bold_Point Van_Diemen_Inlet Karumba Alligator_Point Flinders_River Macdonald_Point Sweers_Is_Resort Inscription_Point Bentinck_Is_Airport Carnarvon Red_Cliffs Fowler_Island Mckenzie_Creek Wilson_Bay White_Cliff Sydney_Island Ngawalgeah_Point Lingeleah_Island Weediah_Bay Walbor_Inlet Jubuneah_Point

Lat

Long

-16.758 -16.751 -16.716 -16.671 -16.670 -16.658 -16.631 -16.627 -16.614 -16.572 -16.563 -16.711 -16.732 -16.735 -16.735 -16.730 -16.691 -16.679 -16.662 -16.657 -16.687 -16.692 -16.710 -16.702 -16.718 -16.736 -16.747 -17.363 -17.407 -17.472 -17.496 -17.503 -17.509 -17.519 -17.612 -17.619 -17.201 -17.189 -17.160 -17.035 -16.995 -16.977 -17.442 -17.454 -17.577 -17.129 -17.118 -17.106 -17.100 -17.094 -17.083 -17.116 -17.136 -17.130 -17.038 -16.695 -16.647 -16.635 -16.612 -16.594 -16.582

139.138 139.167 139.188 139.190 139.167 139.156 139.148 139.151 139.159 139.208 139.213 139.209 139.238 139.285 139.296 139.318 139.353 139.372 139.383 139.385 139.440 139.437 139.450 139.467 139.139 139.140 139.139 139.479 139.533 139.623 139.641 139.653 139.665 139.740 139.941 139.953 140.887 140.894 140.896 140.920 140.959 140.954 140.795 140.788 140.619 139.585 139.592 139.599 139.587 139.606 139.613 139.561 139.485 139.473 139.559 139.491 139.487 139.494 139.507 139.502 139.509

50 2.7 3.4 3.5 3.5 2.7 2.4 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.4 2.4 3.5 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.3 3.3 3.2 3.3 2.5 2.7 2.7 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.8 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.3 3.2 3.2 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.4 3.5 3.5 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.3 3.4 3.5 3.5 3.4 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.1 3.1

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

100 2.9 3.9 4.0 4.0 2.8 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 4.0 3.9 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.7 3.7 3.6 3.6 2.7 2.8 2.8 4.2 4.2 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.2 4.3 4.3 3.5 3.5 3.4 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.8 3.9 4.0 3.8 3.8 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.8 4.0 4.0 3.7 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.6 3.6

200 3.1 4.4 4.5 4.6 3.0 2.8 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 4.5 4.4 4.3 4.3 4.2 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.4 4.2 4.2 4.0 3.9 2.9 3.0 3.1 4.7 4.8 4.8 4.8 4.8 4.8 4.7 4.8 4.8 3.9 3.9 3.8 3.7 3.7 3.7 4.3 4.4 4.5 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.1 4.1 4.3 4.4 4.4 4.2 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0

500 3.6 4.9 5.2 5.3 3.3 3.2 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 5.2 5.0 4.9 4.8 4.8 4.9 4.9 5.0 5.0 4.7 4.8 4.5 4.3 3.4 3.5 3.6 5.4 5.4 5.4 5.5 5.4 5.4 5.3 5.5 5.6 4.5 4.5 4.4 4.2 4.3 4.3 5.0 5.1 5.3 4.8 4.7 4.7 4.7 4.6 4.6 4.8 5.0 5.1 4.8 4.5 4.6 4.6 4.5 4.6 4.6

1000 4.0 5.4 5.7 5.8 3.6 3.6 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.3 5.6 5.3 5.2 5.2 5.1 5.3 5.3 5.4 5.4 5.2 5.2 4.8 4.6 3.7 3.9 3.9 5.8 5.8 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 5.9 6.2 6.2 4.9 4.9 4.8 4.6 4.7 4.7 5.4 5.4 5.7 5.1 5.1 5.0 5.0 5.0 4.9 5.2 5.4 5.4 5.1 4.9 4.9 4.9 4.9 5.0 5.0

10000 y 5.4 6.5 6.8 7.2 4.8 4.7 4.5 4.6 4.5 4.5 4.4 6.8 6.7 6.5 6.5 6.5 6.7 6.6 6.7 6.8 6.3 6.4 5.8 5.6 4.8 5.1 5.4 7.1 7.3 7.5 7.4 7.4 7.3 7.2 8.0 8.1 6.6 6.6 6.5 6.2 6.5 6.4 7.2 7.2 7.4 6.5 6.5 6.5 6.6 6.4 6.3 6.6 6.9 6.9 6.4 6.3 6.3 6.3 6.4 6.6 6.6

Appendix M - 7

Note: In the vicinity of Mornington and Centre Islands higher resolution HD modelling has been undertaken in comparison to the wave modelling. As a result, a number of additional sites are presented here that are not within wave statistic appendices.

Appendix M 2050 Combined Broadscale and Tropical Cyclone Tabulated Results Name Lelkajindi_Creek Ngulwonmeah_River Gilitja_Point Charlie_Bush_Bay Billmahgun_Point Dalmumeah_Creek Gatgatgerah_Creek Lingnoonganee_Island Meahyawogan_Point Moondalbee_Island Mudgun_Point Towbulbulan_River Watson_Patch Thabugan_Point Wardoo_Creek Lowareah_Point Sandalwood_Place_River Eengan_Bay Hall_Point Gumbannge_Point Goojamun_Creek Ballast_Creek Dwenty_Point Bilmagun_Point Brookes_Reef Bountiful_Islands Pisonia_Island Van_Diemen_Inlet Salt_Arm_Creek Rocky_Creek Station_Creek Station_Creek Topsy_Creek South_Mitchell_River Chapman_River Pormpuraaw Moonkan_Creek Edward_River Christmas_Creek Hersey_Creek King_Creek Kulinchin Holroyd_River Knox_Creek Mitchell_River Staaten_River Gilbert_River Snake_Creek Duck_Creek Koontun_Creek Shell_Creek Colin_Creek Love_River Aurukun_(Archer_River) Worbody_Point Ward_River Possum_Creek Ina_Creek False_Pera_Head Norman_Creek Thud_Point

Lat

Long

-16.541 -16.529 -16.524 -16.531 -16.557 -16.535 -16.530 -16.497 -16.504 -16.451 -16.438 -16.443 -16.398 -16.390 -16.404 -16.437 -16.450 -16.460 -16.464 -16.497 -16.508 -16.520 -16.532 -16.543 -16.555 -16.683 -16.507 -16.953 -16.138 -15.897 -15.847 -15.674 -15.495 -15.340 -14.933 -14.918 -14.847 -14.735 -14.459 -14.356 -14.330 -14.212 -14.152 -14.087 -15.190 -16.409 -16.564 -16.680 -16.807 -13.576 -13.537 -13.526 -13.500 -13.349 -13.302 -13.306 -13.269 -13.194 -13.106 -13.051 -13.007

139.518 139.524 139.543 139.555 139.604 139.649 139.668 139.719 139.731 139.747 139.722 139.703 139.650 139.607 139.519 139.467 139.379 139.341 139.291 139.240 139.233 139.226 139.219 139.212 139.205 139.865 139.793 140.982 141.363 141.380 141.403 141.421 141.483 141.526 141.601 141.590 141.575 141.554 141.521 141.554 141.559 141.581 141.550 141.562 141.596 141.283 141.240 141.204 141.081 141.510 141.517 141.533 141.538 141.607 141.644 141.671 141.692 141.650 141.610 141.606 141.587

50 3.2 3.2 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.0 2.9 2.8 2.8 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.5 2.4 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.3 2.4 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.4 2.4 2.9 2.8 3.1 3.0 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.3 2.3 2.7 3.0 3.1 3.2 3.1 2.2 2.2 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.4 2.6 2.5 2.3 2.2 2.2 2.1

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

100 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.3 3.3 3.2 3.0 3.0 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.5 2.5 3.1 2.9 3.4 3.4 3.2 3.2 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.8 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.8 2.6 2.6 3.2 3.4 3.5 3.6 3.4 2.4 2.5 2.6 2.6 2.8 2.9 3.0 3.0 2.6 2.3 2.3 2.2

200 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.1 3.8 3.7 3.7 3.3 3.3 2.8 2.8 2.9 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.8 2.8 2.9 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.7 2.7 3.3 3.2 3.8 4.0 3.6 3.6 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.3 3.3 3.2 3.0 3.2 3.1 3.2 3.0 3.0 3.6 3.8 4.0 4.2 3.9 2.8 2.9 3.0 3.0 3.2 3.3 3.6 3.5 3.0 2.7 2.6 2.4

500 4.7 4.8 4.8 4.8 4.4 4.3 4.2 3.8 3.7 3.2 3.2 3.3 3.2 3.2 3.1 3.3 3.2 3.3 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.7 3.5 4.3 4.5 4.2 4.2 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 3.9 3.8 3.6 3.6 3.7 3.7 3.8 3.6 3.6 4.3 4.4 4.7 4.8 4.4 3.3 3.3 3.5 3.5 3.8 4.0 4.3 4.3 3.6 3.1 3.1 2.8

1000 5.1 5.1 5.2 5.2 4.7 4.6 4.6 4.2 4.1 3.5 3.5 3.6 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.6 3.5 3.7 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.3 3.3 4.1 3.9 4.7 5.1 4.6 4.6 4.4 4.4 4.6 4.4 4.3 4.2 4.0 4.0 4.2 4.2 4.3 4.1 4.1 4.8 5.0 5.1 5.3 4.8 3.8 3.8 3.9 3.9 4.3 4.5 4.8 4.8 4.2 3.5 3.4 3.1

10000 y 6.7 6.7 6.8 6.7 6.1 6.1 6.1 5.1 4.9 4.4 4.4 4.7 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.6 4.5 4.7 4.0 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.2 4.3 4.3 5.0 4.7 6.2 6.2 6.0 6.1 5.7 5.7 5.8 5.9 5.7 5.5 5.4 6.1 6.1 6.0 6.0 5.6 5.7 6.0 6.1 6.5 6.7 5.9 5.0 5.0 5.4 5.3 5.5 5.8 6.3 6.7 5.5 4.8 5.0 4.4

Appendix M - 8

Note: In the vicinity of Mornington and Centre Islands higher resolution HD modelling has been undertaken in comparison to the wave modelling. As a result, a number of additional sites are presented here that are not within wave statistic appendices.

Appendix M 2050 Combined Broadscale and Tropical Cyclone Tabulated Results Name Pera_Head Boyd_Point Winda_Winda_Creek Wooldrum_Point Botchet_Creek Landfall_Point Duyfken_Point Janie_Creek Tullanaringa_(cullen)_Point Cullen_(tullanaringa)_Point Jackson_River Doughboy_River Cotterell_River Vrilya_Point Skardon_River Mapoon Wenlock_River Nomenade_Creek Pine_River_Bay Wallaby_Island Evans_Landing Amboyninghy_Point

Lat

Long

-12.942 -12.907 -12.795 -12.663 -12.578 -12.583 -12.560 -12.030 -11.937 -11.939 -11.659 -11.467 -11.364 -11.244 -11.751 -11.967 -12.051 -12.465 -12.506 -12.605 -12.655 -12.601

141.599 141.633 141.765 141.788 141.762 141.637 141.585 141.807 141.893 141.906 142.012 142.075 142.107 142.115 141.996 141.915 141.928 141.658 141.665 141.841 141.818 141.897

50 2.1 2.1 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.1 2.0 2.3 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.5 2.6 2.1 2.1 2.2 2.2 2.2

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

100 2.2 2.2 2.5 2.4 2.3 2.1 2.1 2.4 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.6 2.5 2.6 2.6 2.9 2.2 2.2 2.3 2.4 2.4

200 2.5 2.5 2.8 2.7 2.7 2.2 2.2 2.5 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.9 2.9 3.3 2.4 2.2 2.6 2.7 2.7

500 2.8 2.9 3.4 3.1 3.1 2.5 2.5 3.0 3.2 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.2 3.4 3.4 3.9 2.8 2.6 3.1 3.2 3.1

1000 3.1 3.3 3.8 3.6 3.6 2.9 2.8 3.3 3.6 3.6 3.7 3.6 3.7 3.6 3.7 3.7 4.3 3.2 3.0 3.5 3.7 3.5

10000 y 4.6 4.8 5.2 4.7 4.7 3.8 3.6 4.4 5.2 5.2 5.1 4.8 4.9 4.7 5.3 5.3 6.1 4.2 3.7 4.6 4.8 4.8

Appendix M - 9

Appendix N

2100 Tropical Cyclone/Broadscale Combined Tide Plus Surge Return Period Curves

41/23138/432535

Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stage 1 and 2 Combined Final Report

Figure N - 1 Mapoon, Weipa and Aurukun broadscale, TC and combine d return period curves for climate 2100.

41/23138/432535

Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stage 1 and 2 Combined Final Report

Figure N - 2 Pormpuraaw, Kowanyama and Karumba broadscale, TC and combine d return period curves for climate 2100.

41/23138/432535

Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stage 1 and 2 Combined Final Report

Figure N - 3 Sweers Island, Bentinck Island and Burketown Offshore broadscale, TC and combined return period curves for climate 2100.

41/23138/432535

Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stage 1 and 2 Combined Final Report

Figure N - 4 Gununa, Dubbar Point and King Ash Bay broadscale, TC and combined return period curves for climate 2100.

41/23138/432535

Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stage 1 and 2 Combined Final Report

Figure N - 5 Bing Bong, Numbulwar, and Baniyala broadscale, TC and combined return period curves for climate 2100.

41/23138/432535

Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stage 1 and 2 Combined Final Report

Figure N - 6 Alyangula, Umbakumba and Yirrkala broadscale, TC and combined return period curves for climate 2100.

41/23138/432535

Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stage 1 and 2 Combined Final Report

Appendix O

2100 Tropical Cyclone/Broadscale Combined Tide Plus Surge Tabulated Results

41/23138/432535

Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stage 1 and 2 Combined Final Report

Note: In the vicinity of Mornington and Centre Islands higher resolution HD modelling has been undertaken in comparison to the wave modelling. As a result, a number of additional sites are presented here that are not within wave statistic appendices.

Appendix O 2100 Combined Broadscale and Tropical Cyclone Tabulated Results Name Bremer_Islets Gutjangan_Community East_Woody_Beach Gangaru_Lagoon Ruwakpuy_Community Bremer_Island East_Bremer_Islet Town_Beach Gove Rainbow_Cliff Yirrkala Miles_Island Garrirri_Beach Rocky_Bay Baringura_Inlet Garanhan_Beach Needle_Point Dalywoi_Bay Ngumuy_Beach Arnhem_Shoal Cape_Arnhem Lurrupukurru_Beach Bawaka_Community Gwapilina_Point Dhulmulmiya_Community Binanangoi_Point Holly_Inlet Dhaniya_Community Wanyanmera_Point Buymarr_Community Millarong Mcnamara_Island Point_Alexander Garrthalala_Community Grays_Bay Middle_Point Caledon_Bay Caledon_Point Du_Pre_Bay Du_Pre_Point Cape_Grey Wonga_Bay Dirrangmurumanja_Bay Guyuwiri_Point Bald_Point Bagbiringula_Point Wardarlea_Bay Point_Arrowsmith Marajella_Bay Barraratjpi_Community Cape_Shield Djarrakpi_Community Gooninnah_Island Baniyala_Community Point_Blane Grindall_Bay Round_Hill_Island Cool_Yal_You_Ma_Island Nicol_Island Ayangmarnda_Island Isle_Woodah

Lat

Long

-12.062 -12.072 -12.143 -12.150 -12.122 -12.110 -12.080 -12.168 -12.186 -12.193 -12.239 -12.257 -12.269 -12.276 -12.300 -12.319 -12.337 -12.343 -12.332 -12.327 -12.345 -12.446 -12.525 -12.555 -12.560 -12.578 -12.594 -12.588 -12.694 -12.708 -12.780 -12.869 -12.844 -12.806 -12.811 -12.822 -12.852 -12.877 -12.928 -12.942 -12.996 -12.999 -13.004 -13.016 -13.069 -13.168 -13.189 -13.259 -13.245 -13.250 -13.285 -13.297 -13.308 -13.228 -13.286 -13.228 -13.317 -13.420 -13.452 -13.480 -13.483

136.836 136.799 136.789 136.801 136.833 136.840 136.841 136.806 136.811 136.823 136.905 136.911 136.904 136.916 136.932 136.938 136.943 136.954 136.961 136.980 136.985 136.863 136.785 136.783 136.765 136.769 136.744 136.732 136.702 136.646 136.635 136.630 136.613 136.572 136.554 136.547 136.545 136.562 136.626 136.650 136.665 136.616 136.598 136.591 136.575 136.533 136.488 136.447 136.424 136.405 136.384 136.378 136.371 136.228 136.194 136.118 136.112 136.241 136.270 136.238 136.188

50 2.6 2.7 2.6 2.6 2.7 2.5 2.5 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.5 2.4 2.5 2.4 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.6 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.5 2.5 2.6 2.6 2.7 2.7 2.6 2.6 2.6 3.1 3.0 3.4 3.1 2.8 2.7 2.7 2.8

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

100 2.6 2.7 2.6 2.6 2.7 2.6 2.6 2.7 2.7 2.6 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.5 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.5 2.7 2.7 2.6 2.8 2.7 2.8 2.8 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 2.9 2.7 2.7 2.6 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.8 2.8 2.9 2.9 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.6 3.5 3.9 3.6 3.1 3.0 3.1 3.2

200 2.7 2.8 2.7 2.7 2.8 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.8 2.9 2.8 2.9 2.8 3.0 3.1 2.9 3.2 3.1 3.1 3.2 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.5 3.3 3.0 2.9 2.8 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.1 3.1 3.3 3.3 3.4 3.4 3.3 3.3 3.3 4.1 4.0 4.5 4.1 3.5 3.4 3.5 3.6

500 2.8 2.8 2.9 2.8 3.0 3.0 2.8 3.0 3.1 3.0 2.8 2.8 2.9 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 3.2 3.3 3.2 3.3 3.2 3.5 3.6 3.3 3.8 3.5 3.5 3.7 4.2 4.3 4.3 4.1 3.9 3.4 3.3 3.2 3.7 3.8 3.7 3.6 3.5 3.7 3.7 3.8 3.9 3.8 3.8 3.8 4.9 4.6 5.4 4.9 4.0 3.9 4.0 4.2

1000 2.9 3.0 3.1 3.1 3.3 3.2 3.0 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.0 3.0 3.1 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.9 2.8 2.8 3.5 3.7 3.6 3.7 3.6 3.7 3.9 3.6 4.2 3.9 3.9 4.1 4.7 4.8 4.8 4.7 4.3 3.8 3.6 3.5 4.1 4.1 4.1 3.9 3.9 4.1 4.1 4.2 4.3 4.2 4.2 4.2 5.4 5.2 6.0 5.5 4.5 4.3 4.4 4.6

10000 y 3.4 3.6 3.7 3.6 3.8 3.7 3.4 3.8 3.9 3.8 3.6 3.7 3.8 3.7 3.6 3.6 3.7 3.6 3.6 3.4 3.4 4.2 4.7 4.7 4.8 4.6 4.8 5.0 4.5 5.3 5.1 5.0 5.2 6.3 6.4 6.3 6.2 5.6 4.6 4.5 4.3 5.7 5.6 5.4 5.2 5.2 5.5 5.4 5.6 5.7 5.5 5.4 5.4 6.9 6.5 7.6 7.1 5.7 5.3 5.5 5.7

Appendix O - 1

Note: In the vicinity of Mornington and Centre Islands higher resolution HD modelling has been undertaken in comparison to the wave modelling. As a result, a number of additional sites are presented here that are not within wave statistic appendices.

Appendix O 2100 Combined Broadscale and Tropical Cyclone Tabulated Results Name

Lat

Long

Morgan_Island Yee_To_Wappah_Island Blue_Mud_Bay Meringa_Island Haddon_Head Yilila_Community Bennet_Bay Malagayangu_District Miwul_Community Rantyirrity_Point Minintirri_Island Amamarrity_Island Numbulwar Nyinpinti_Point Sandy_Island Alagna_Shoal Woody_Island Adumeninburra_Point Adthumaninbura_Point Adamaji_Beach North_Bay Ngurrkwurrumanja_Beach Ninaguwa_Island Nangkumanja_Reef Mekubarrkumanja_Point Amagiladjura_Point Angamanja_Island Lyangbudumanja_Point East_Bay Arawura_Bay Marjirrumanja__Beach Hand_Islet Mamarmbawiya_Point Nulukwa_Bay Numbarrila_Beach Enumerrmanja_Point Manggarna_Island South_Bay Milyakburra_Community Mirabangwa_Cliffs Banda_Island Connexion_Island Burley_Shoal North_West_Bluff Yellow_Patch Alubuwa_Point Bartelumba_Community Ngadumiyerrka_Community Deception_Bay Bartalumba_Bay Mundarringumanja_Beach Mundarrungmundja_Community Winchelsea_Island Mugwana_Island Finch_Island Alyinga_Island Yarranya_Island North_West_Bay Ayarina_Bay Darrangmurmanja_Community Yirrumanja_Point

-13.489 -13.494 -13.439 -13.428 -13.429 -13.659 -13.720 -13.907 -14.070 -14.212 -14.217 -14.252 -14.303 -14.463 -14.432 -14.091 -13.823 -13.729 -13.706 -13.712 -13.701 -13.678 -13.655 -13.640 -13.678 -13.698 -13.716 -13.735 -13.751 -13.744 -13.769 -13.781 -13.799 -13.804 -13.815 -13.834 -13.845 -13.805 -13.799 -13.810 -13.840 -13.834 -13.850 -13.829 -13.818 -13.813 -13.808 -13.814 -13.809 -13.816 -13.811 -13.800 -13.768 -13.687 -13.719 -13.730 -13.748 -13.755 -13.750 -13.732 -13.714

136.090 136.071 136.056 136.063 135.983 135.926 135.952 135.984 135.918 135.897 135.879 135.858 135.812 135.684 135.877 136.065 136.081 136.106 136.119 136.131 136.138 136.152 136.166 136.222 136.262 136.298 136.303 136.308 136.283 136.271 136.288 136.281 136.286 136.267 136.260 136.265 136.259 136.187 136.175 136.168 136.167 136.376 136.350 136.395 136.402 136.420 136.439 136.451 136.470 136.482 136.500 136.507 136.478 136.526 136.555 136.548 136.553 136.565 136.584 136.579 136.574

50 3.0 3.0 3.1 3.1 3.3 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.5 3.5 3.6 3.7 3.8 4.0 3.5 3.2 3.2 3.0 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.5 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.7 3.2 3.3 3.3 3.2 2.5 2.8 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

100 3.3 3.4 3.5 3.5 3.8 3.9 3.9 3.9 4.0 4.1 4.1 4.2 4.3 4.7 3.9 3.6 3.7 3.3 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.1 3.0 2.9 3.0 2.9 2.8 2.8 2.9 3.0 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 3.0 3.7 3.8 3.7 3.7 2.8 3.1 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.6 2.7 2.7 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.7 2.6

200 3.7 3.8 4.0 4.0 4.2 4.4 4.5 4.4 4.6 4.6 4.7 4.8 5.0 5.3 4.4 4.0 4.2 3.7 3.6 3.6 3.5 3.5 3.4 3.2 3.3 3.2 3.2 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.3 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.1 3.1 3.4 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.9 2.9 2.9 3.0 3.1 3.1 3.0 2.9 2.9

500 4.3 4.3 4.5 4.5 4.9 5.2 5.2 5.0 5.3 5.3 5.5 5.5 5.7 6.1 5.0 4.6 4.8 4.3 4.1 4.1 4.0 3.9 3.9 3.7 3.8 3.6 3.6 3.5 3.7 3.8 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.7 3.7 3.6 3.7 4.8 4.9 4.8 4.6 3.5 3.9 3.4 3.3 3.3 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.3 3.3 3.2 3.3 3.4 3.5 3.5 3.4 3.3 3.2

1000 4.7 4.8 5.0 5.0 5.4 5.6 5.8 5.5 5.8 5.9 6.1 6.2 6.4 6.8 5.5 5.0 5.2 4.6 4.5 4.5 4.4 4.3 4.2 3.9 4.1 3.9 3.9 3.9 4.0 4.1 3.9 3.9 3.9 4.0 4.0 3.9 4.0 5.3 5.4 5.3 5.1 3.8 4.2 3.7 3.6 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.6 3.6 3.5 3.5 3.6 3.7 3.8 3.8 3.7 3.6 3.5

10000 y 6.1 6.2 6.5 6.5 6.9 6.9 7.2 7.2 7.5 7.4 7.6 7.9 7.7 8.4 6.8 6.5 6.8 5.7 5.6 5.6 5.6 5.5 5.4 5.1 5.2 5.0 4.8 4.8 4.8 5.0 4.8 4.8 4.9 5.0 5.1 5.0 5.4 7.3 7.3 7.2 6.9 5.0 5.8 4.8 4.6 4.6 4.6 4.8 4.8 4.9 4.9 4.7 4.2 4.4 4.5 4.7 5.0 5.0 4.8 4.5 4.3

Appendix O - 2

Note: In the vicinity of Mornington and Centre Islands higher resolution HD modelling has been undertaken in comparison to the wave modelling. As a result, a number of additional sites are presented here that are not within wave statistic appendices.

Appendix O 2100 Combined Broadscale and Tropical Cyclone Tabulated Results Name Milyema_Island Lewrrumbumanja_Cliff Chasm_Island Yingilirrba_Island Menimberrkwe_Cliff Angarmbulumardja_Island Ilyaugwamaja_Island Angarumurada_Island North_Point_Island Makmuntja_Community Milyangkwudakba_Point Mungwarndumanja_Island Jagged_Head Hempel_Bay Port_Langdon Mccomb_Point Thompson_Bay Mawulyumanja_Community Baird_Cliff Akwalirrumanja_Community Umbakumba Spit_End Little_Lagoon Alyingberrma_Community Scott_Point_Community Scott_Point Dingala_Point Amuriyerra_Point Amrranga_Beach Eight_Mile_Beach Amirraba_Community Picnic_Beach Mamalingmandja_Point Ayungkwiyungkwa_Beach Malkayubirra_Beach Ilyungmadja_Point Lugadamanja_Point Amanburnunga_Community Dalumbu_Bay Adilyagba_Point Ungwariba_Point Eberrumilya_Island Amungkarma_Islands Cape_Beatrice Arnarrma_Point Marangala_Point Mirrburrumanja_Point Marangala_Bay Murrukwulya_Island Mamungwajingumanja_Beach Inamalamandja_Point Merruwumanja_Point Arida_Island Low_Island Eninyena_Beach Amungkwalya_Beach Yanbakwa_Community South_Point Tasman_Point Rutland_Shoal Eningkirra_Beach

Lat

Long

-13.696 -13.684 -13.672 -13.656 -13.674 -13.676 -13.653 -13.648 -13.643 -13.649 -13.645 -13.681 -13.688 -13.752 -13.777 -13.788 -13.800 -13.818 -13.825 -13.838 -13.833 -13.828 -13.823 -13.812 -13.741 -13.736 -13.756 -13.805 -13.822 -13.868 -13.880 -13.921 -13.926 -13.917 -13.952 -14.038 -14.094 -14.170 -14.177 -14.139 -14.139 -14.303 -14.308 -14.301 -14.291 -14.283 -14.299 -14.273 -14.283 -14.288 -14.299 -14.304 -14.298 -14.302 -14.278 -14.246 -14.226 -14.244 -14.212 -13.984 -13.966

136.569 136.576 136.582 136.608 136.613 136.644 136.657 136.676 136.695 136.707 136.725 136.736 136.748 136.725 136.742 136.735 136.729 136.734 136.746 136.769 136.788 136.807 136.826 136.833 136.843 136.862 136.897 136.931 136.906 136.878 136.872 136.863 136.844 136.802 136.781 136.825 136.761 136.732 136.743 136.813 136.924 136.970 136.952 136.940 136.866 136.824 136.798 136.750 136.713 136.694 136.687 136.668 136.656 136.637 136.620 136.481 136.445 136.339 136.310 136.398 136.393

50 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.5 2.4 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.5 2.6 2.6 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.5 2.6 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.8 2.9 2.9 3.0 3.0 2.9 2.9 2.8

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

100 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.6 2.6 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.7 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.6 2.7 2.6 2.6 2.7 2.9 2.8 2.6 2.8 3.0 2.9 2.7 2.5 2.5 2.6 2.6 2.9 3.0 3.0 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.0 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.3 3.3 3.4 3.3 3.3 3.2 3.2

200 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.8 2.8 3.1 3.0 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.0 3.0 2.9 2.8 2.7 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.9 3.0 3.0 2.9 3.0 3.2 3.2 2.9 3.2 3.4 3.3 2.9 2.7 2.8 2.8 2.9 3.3 3.4 3.4 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.4 3.4 3.5 3.5 3.7 3.7 3.9 3.7 3.7 3.6 3.5

500 3.2 3.2 3.1 3.2 3.2 3.1 3.1 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.2 3.2 3.5 3.5 3.6 3.7 3.7 3.6 3.5 3.5 3.4 3.3 3.2 3.0 2.9 3.0 2.9 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.4 3.7 3.7 3.3 3.7 4.0 3.9 3.4 3.0 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.7 3.9 3.8 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.8 3.9 3.9 3.9 4.2 4.3 4.4 4.2 4.1 4.2 4.0

1000 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.5 3.4 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.2 3.2 3.5 3.5 3.8 3.8 3.9 4.0 4.1 4.0 4.0 3.9 3.8 3.7 3.5 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.1 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.7 4.1 4.1 3.7 4.0 4.4 4.3 3.7 3.3 3.3 3.4 3.5 4.0 4.2 4.2 4.3 4.2 4.3 4.2 4.2 4.3 4.3 4.6 4.6 4.8 4.5 4.6 4.6 4.4

10000 y 4.3 4.3 4.2 4.4 4.5 4.4 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.6 4.4 5.0 4.9 5.0 5.2 5.4 5.4 5.3 5.1 4.9 4.9 4.7 4.2 4.0 4.1 3.9 4.5 4.6 4.6 4.5 4.6 5.2 5.2 4.5 5.0 5.5 5.4 4.7 4.1 4.3 4.3 4.4 5.2 5.3 5.2 5.5 5.3 5.3 5.2 5.3 5.4 5.4 5.9 6.3 6.5 6.1 6.1 6.3 6.0

Appendix O - 3

Note: In the vicinity of Mornington and Centre Islands higher resolution HD modelling has been undertaken in comparison to the wave modelling. As a result, a number of additional sites are presented here that are not within wave statistic appendices.

Appendix O 2100 Combined Broadscale and Tropical Cyclone Tabulated Results Name Abarungkwa_Beach Endungwa_Beach Malkala_Community Alyangula Arruwa_Island Bustard_Isles Bustard_Island Hawknest_Island Wedge_Island Burney_Island Amagbirra_Island Fowler_Island Kapui_Point Jalma_Bay Grindall_Point Myaoola_Bay Gurkawuy_Community Dudley_Island Three_Hummocks Port_Bradshaw Strath_Island Gove_Harbour Yanungbi Yanungbi_Community Yudu_Yudu_Community Granite_Islands Parfitt_Point Shepherd_Bluff Half_Tide_Point Dundas_Point De_Belle_Point Galupa_Community Birritjimi_Beach Gurrukpuy_Beach Harbour_Islet East_Woody_Island Galaru_Community Nhulunbuy Cape_Wirawawoi Mcintyre_Point Gunyangara_Community Butjumurru North_East_Islet North_East_Isles Hawk_Island Cody_Bank Lane_Island Yabangwamanja_Beach Yadagba_District Arnengwurra_Island Wiyakipa_Beach Wuyagiba_Community Warrakunta_Point Beatrice_Island Eagle_Bay Bing_Bong South_West_Island West_Neck East_Neck Buchanan_Bay Gould_Point

Lat

Long

-13.955 -13.932 -13.890 -13.847 -13.708 -13.697 -13.710 -13.621 -13.602 -13.569 -13.600 -13.349 -13.280 -13.269 -13.294 -13.085 -12.994 -12.872 -12.742 -12.470 -12.264 -12.257 -12.262 -12.255 -12.237 -12.219 -12.212 -12.192 -12.184 -12.203 -12.209 -12.198 -12.179 -12.174 -12.163 -12.158 -12.153 -12.160 -12.148 -12.236 -12.222 -12.227 -13.645 -13.650 -13.660 -13.683 -13.668 -13.810 -14.109 -14.342 -14.572 -14.620 -14.650 -15.083 -14.834 -15.617 -15.683 -15.693 -15.696 -15.663 -15.645

136.399 136.413 136.422 136.400 136.371 136.378 136.402 136.407 136.292 136.232 136.261 135.951 135.992 135.999 136.016 136.329 136.524 136.691 136.705 136.770 136.702 136.690 136.672 136.660 136.655 136.650 136.638 136.603 136.670 136.675 136.687 136.694 136.689 136.708 136.714 136.733 136.752 136.763 136.770 136.735 136.711 136.692 136.947 136.928 136.891 136.877 136.933 136.802 136.704 136.820 135.555 135.558 135.556 135.771 135.715 136.392 136.689 136.718 136.734 136.736 136.735

50 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.6 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.6 2.7 2.7 3.7 3.6 3.6 3.5 3.5 2.8 2.4 2.4 2.5 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.6 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.5 2.7 2.6 4.3 4.2 4.2 3.7 3.7 3.3 3.1 3.0 3.0 2.8 2.8

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

100 3.1 3.1 3.1 2.9 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.7 2.9 3.0 3.0 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.1 4.1 3.2 2.6 2.7 2.6 2.9 2.8 2.9 2.9 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.9 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.6 3.1 2.9 5.1 4.8 4.8 4.2 4.2 3.8 3.5 3.4 3.3 3.2 3.1

200 3.5 3.5 3.4 3.2 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.3 3.3 3.4 4.8 4.7 4.7 4.6 4.8 3.7 2.9 3.0 2.9 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.9 2.9 3.0 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.7 2.6 2.5 2.6 2.7 2.9 3.5 3.2 5.7 5.5 5.5 4.7 4.7 4.4 3.9 3.7 3.7 3.5 3.5

500 4.0 4.0 3.9 3.6 3.5 3.5 3.4 3.4 3.8 3.8 3.9 5.6 5.5 5.5 5.3 5.5 4.3 3.3 3.4 3.5 3.3 3.3 3.4 3.4 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.1 3.2 3.2 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.0 2.9 2.8 2.8 3.0 3.3 4.1 3.6 6.6 6.3 6.3 5.4 5.4 4.9 4.5 4.3 4.2 4.0 4.0

1000 4.4 4.4 4.2 3.8 3.8 3.7 3.7 3.7 4.2 4.1 4.3 6.2 6.1 6.1 5.9 6.1 4.8 3.6 3.7 4.1 3.6 3.6 3.7 3.7 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.7 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.3 3.3 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.4 3.4 3.5 3.3 3.1 3.0 3.1 3.2 3.7 4.6 4.0 7.3 7.1 6.9 5.9 5.9 5.3 4.8 4.6 4.5 4.3 4.3

10000 y 5.9 5.8 5.8 5.3 4.6 4.6 4.5 4.7 5.1 5.2 5.3 7.7 7.8 7.8 7.5 8.6 6.4 4.6 4.6 5.6 5.0 4.9 5.0 4.9 4.6 4.5 4.5 4.6 4.3 4.3 4.4 4.3 4.2 4.1 4.1 4.0 3.9 4.0 3.8 4.7 4.4 4.5 4.2 3.8 3.8 3.9 4.1 4.8 5.8 5.1 9.3 9.0 8.8 7.5 7.5 7.4 6.2 6.0 5.9 5.8 5.8

Appendix O - 4

Note: In the vicinity of Mornington and Centre Islands higher resolution HD modelling has been undertaken in comparison to the wave modelling. As a result, a number of additional sites are presented here that are not within wave statistic appendices.

Appendix O 2100 Combined Broadscale and Tropical Cyclone Tabulated Results Name Camp_Beach Gulch_Reef Long_Reef Rocky_Point Rocky_Island Barclay_Point Jean_Point Centre_Island Survey_Bay Stuart_Point Little_Island Tucker_Bay Investigator_Point Ataluma_Point Clarke_Bay Fletcher_Island Payne_Island Jensen_Point Lindsay_Bay Harney_Island Amos_Point Hobler_Island Port_Mcarthur Korara_Point Cora_Point Sharker_Point Pelican_Spit Myoorlka_Island Murrenginya_Island Little_Vanderlin_Island Clarkson_Point Stokes_Bay Beavan_Point Anderson_Point Victoria_Bay Train_Point Willy_Islet Charles_Point Geranium_Bay Denten_Point David_Islet Symonds_Bluff Kedge_Point Base_Bay Wheatley_Islet Outer_Bank Cape_Vandelin Maxwell_Point Mesley_Point Investigator_Bay Vanderlin_Island Three_Hummock_Point Quince_Islet Webinger_Point Sharp_Stones_Point Goat_Point Whittet_Point Jolly_Islet Small_Islet Barbara_Cove Law_Island

Lat

Long

-15.644 -15.639 -15.644 -15.664 -15.666 -15.693 -15.698 -15.690 -15.701 -15.700 -15.724 -15.733 -15.741 -15.746 -15.747 -15.740 -15.748 -15.762 -15.715 -15.714 -15.781 -15.755 -15.787 -15.796 -15.810 -15.905 -15.876 -16.032 -16.038 -15.862 -15.829 -15.822 -15.806 -15.761 -15.718 -15.732 -15.689 -15.682 -15.680 -15.665 -15.643 -15.639 -15.629 -15.627 -15.600 -15.582 -15.583 -15.586 -15.618 -15.634 -15.637 -15.634 -15.652 -15.786 -15.812 -15.847 -15.757 -15.764 -15.778 -15.663 -15.644

136.754 136.798 136.807 136.831 136.836 136.832 136.799 136.786 136.785 136.792 136.826 136.820 136.815 136.813 136.806 136.792 136.775 136.737 136.736 136.724 136.678 136.621 136.668 136.675 136.679 136.778 136.999 137.271 137.273 137.067 137.038 137.036 137.016 136.977 136.961 136.935 136.918 136.917 136.935 136.938 136.951 136.954 136.978 136.985 136.989 136.987 136.999 137.015 137.032 137.040 137.045 137.070 137.083 137.106 137.102 137.082 136.949 136.951 136.955 136.987 136.975

50 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.8 2.8 2.8 3.0 3.1 3.1 3.0 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.2 3.1 3.1 3.5 3.2 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.4 3.0 3.2 3.3 2.8 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 3.0 3.1 3.1 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

100 3.2 3.0 3.0 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.3 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.3 3.3 3.4 3.5 3.4 3.4 3.9 3.6 3.9 3.9 4.0 3.8 3.3 3.7 3.7 3.2 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.9 2.8 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.5 3.5 3.6 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9

200 3.5 3.3 3.3 3.4 3.3 3.4 3.7 3.8 3.8 3.7 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.6 3.6 3.7 3.9 3.8 3.8 4.3 4.1 4.3 4.3 4.4 4.2 3.7 4.1 4.2 3.6 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.1 3.1 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.1 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.4 3.9 4.0 4.0 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.3 3.2

500 4.1 3.7 3.7 3.8 3.8 3.8 4.1 4.2 4.3 4.2 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.9 4.0 4.0 4.1 4.3 4.2 4.2 4.7 4.7 4.8 4.8 4.9 4.7 4.1 4.7 4.8 4.0 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.5 3.4 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.3 3.4 3.4 3.5 3.7 3.8 3.7 3.7 3.8 4.4 4.5 4.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.6 3.5

1000 4.4 4.0 3.9 4.0 4.0 4.1 4.4 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.2 4.2 4.3 4.3 4.6 4.4 4.5 5.1 5.1 5.2 5.2 5.3 5.0 4.3 5.3 5.4 4.3 3.9 3.9 3.8 3.7 3.6 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.8 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.7 4.0 4.1 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.8 4.8 4.8 3.7 3.7 3.8 3.9 3.8

10000 y 5.8 5.4 5.3 5.3 5.3 5.3 5.5 5.7 5.7 5.6 5.4 5.5 5.5 5.5 5.5 5.6 5.7 5.8 5.8 5.9 6.6 6.7 6.6 6.6 6.7 6.4 5.2 7.0 7.0 5.2 4.9 4.8 4.9 5.0 4.9 4.9 4.9 5.0 5.0 4.9 5.0 5.0 4.9 4.9 4.8 4.8 4.8 4.8 5.4 5.4 5.4 5.3 5.3 5.6 5.8 5.7 4.8 4.8 4.8 4.9 5.0

Appendix O - 5

Note: In the vicinity of Mornington and Centre Islands higher resolution HD modelling has been undertaken in comparison to the wave modelling. As a result, a number of additional sites are presented here that are not within wave statistic appendices.

Appendix O 2100 Combined Broadscale and Tropical Cyclone Tabulated Results Name Turtle_Islet Observation_Island Craufurd_Islet Cape_Pellew North_Island_Community Ross_Point Paradice_Bay Webe_Point Watson_Island Toby_Point Skull_Island Watson_Inlet Water_Beach Stony_Point Skull_Point Macassar_Bay Gunyana_Bay Phil_Point Walker_Point Cabbage_Tree_Cove Brown_Islet Inner_Bank Red_Islet White_Islet Sir_Edward_Pellew_Group Black_Islet Craggy_Islands Gilbert_Island West_Island Casuarina_Bay Crocodile_Point West_Island_Community Jimmy_Islet Daisy_Islet Urquhart_Islet Heriot_Reef Pearce_Islet Calvert_River QLDNT_Border Cliffdale_Creek Eight_Mile_Creek Bayley_Point Syrell_Creek James_Creek Kirke_Point Oaktree_Point Mckenzie_Creek Wilson_Bay Albinia_Island Little_Allen_Island Greenaway_Point Allen_Island Bayley_Island Pains_Island Whale_Point Beche_De_Mer_Point Forsyth_Island Forsyth_Islands Government_Point Ivis_Island Andrew_Island

Lat

Long

-15.597 -15.612 -15.530 -15.503 -15.514 -15.513 -15.535 -15.554 -15.558 -15.571 -15.590 -15.609 -15.613 -15.610 -15.612 -15.606 -15.639 -15.647 -15.635 -15.613 -15.711 -15.713 -15.651 -15.615 -15.617 -15.598 -15.600 -15.582 -15.577 -15.613 -15.639 -15.644 -15.747 -15.722 -15.496 -15.498 -15.504 -16.195 -16.527 -16.813 -16.753 -16.909 -16.995 -17.210 -17.120 -16.982 -17.100 -17.102 -17.069 -17.006 -17.002 -17.026 -16.897 -16.868 -16.834 -16.828 -16.836 -16.837 -16.849 -16.850 -16.765

136.973 136.904 136.881 136.885 136.873 136.861 136.848 136.842 136.817 136.779 136.803 136.816 136.802 136.786 136.779 136.842 136.840 136.853 136.884 136.886 136.887 136.880 136.725 136.723 136.716 136.649 136.684 136.652 136.518 136.509 136.493 136.502 137.099 137.096 136.955 136.948 136.950 137.742 138.008 138.779 138.558 139.036 139.087 139.174 139.409 139.504 139.457 139.450 139.380 139.201 139.215 139.237 139.055 139.055 139.087 139.150 139.122 139.115 139.114 139.107 139.140

50 2.6 2.7 2.8 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.9 2.9 2.9 3.0 3.1 3.2 3.2 3.0 3.0 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.9 3.3 3.4 3.3 3.7 4.2 4.7 4.1 3.8 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.2 4.2 4.3 3.8 3.6 3.3 4.0 4.0 4.0 3.8 3.7 3.2

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

100 2.8 2.9 3.1 2.7 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.8 2.9 3.0 2.9 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.2 3.1 3.1 3.3 3.2 3.2 3.3 3.5 3.6 3.6 3.4 3.4 2.8 2.8 2.8 3.2 3.9 4.0 3.8 4.1 4.7 5.3 4.6 4.2 4.6 4.6 4.5 4.7 4.6 4.7 4.2 3.8 3.7 4.5 4.4 4.4 4.2 4.0 3.5

200 3.1 3.2 3.4 2.9 3.0 3.0 3.1 3.1 3.2 3.2 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.2 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.7 3.9 4.1 4.1 3.8 3.8 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.5 4.5 4.5 4.3 4.6 5.2 5.9 5.0 4.6 5.0 5.0 4.9 5.1 5.1 5.2 4.7 4.2 4.1 4.9 4.8 4.9 4.7 4.3 3.8

500 3.4 3.5 3.9 3.2 3.3 3.3 3.4 3.5 3.6 3.6 3.5 3.6 3.6 3.7 3.7 3.4 3.5 3.6 3.5 3.7 3.6 3.7 4.0 3.9 4.0 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.2 4.4 4.6 4.7 4.3 4.3 3.4 3.4 3.4 4.0 5.2 5.1 4.9 5.1 5.8 6.5 5.5 5.1 5.7 5.7 5.5 5.7 5.7 5.8 5.2 4.8 4.6 5.6 5.5 5.5 5.3 4.9 4.2

1000 3.6 3.8 4.2 3.5 3.6 3.5 3.7 3.7 3.9 3.9 3.8 3.8 3.9 3.9 4.0 3.6 3.8 3.9 3.8 4.0 3.9 3.9 4.3 4.2 4.3 4.5 4.4 4.4 4.6 4.8 5.0 5.0 4.6 4.6 3.6 3.6 3.6 4.4 5.7 5.6 5.4 5.4 6.2 7.2 5.9 5.4 6.0 6.1 5.8 6.2 6.1 6.2 5.5 5.1 5.0 6.0 5.8 5.9 5.7 5.2 4.6

10000 y 4.9 5.0 5.6 4.9 5.0 5.1 5.2 5.2 5.4 5.5 5.3 5.3 5.4 5.4 5.5 5.1 5.2 5.1 5.0 5.2 5.1 5.1 5.8 5.8 5.8 6.1 5.9 6.0 6.4 6.8 6.7 6.7 5.6 5.6 4.8 4.9 4.9 5.8 7.4 7.3 7.6 7.0 7.6 8.4 6.9 6.3 7.3 7.2 7.0 7.3 7.2 7.3 6.8 6.6 6.8 7.1 6.8 6.8 6.8 6.4 5.7

Appendix O - 6

Note: In the vicinity of Mornington and Centre Islands higher resolution HD modelling has been undertaken in comparison to the wave modelling. As a result, a number of additional sites are presented here that are not within wave statistic appendices.

Appendix O 2100 Combined Broadscale and Tropical Cyclone Tabulated Results Name Snapper_Point Beche_De_Mer_Bay Wonongung_Waterhole Gununa Dubbar_Point Jidan_Marun Gee_Wee_Point Gee_Wee_Creek Lingele_Point Bidgagum_Bay Waddagun_Waterhole Boyorrunga_Inlet Timber_Point Wunungun_Point Tulburrerr_Island Gerrigroo_Point Kungunmeah_River Woolgunjin_Point Toongoowahgun_Inlet Jirke_Island Beahgoo_Island Yuwah_Point Dungnoreah_Point Sydney_Island Porpoise_Point Dougherty_Bay Midbagar_Point Tarrant_Point Channon_Creek Pasco_Inlet Nicholson_River Pandanus_Creek Williams_Inlet Offshore_Burketown Gore_Point Disaster_Inlet Brannigan_Creek Accident_Inlet Fitzmaurice_Point Smithburne_River Bold_Point Van_Diemen_Inlet Karumba Alligator_Point Flinders_River Macdonald_Point Sweers_Is_Resort Inscription_Point Bentinck_Is_Airport Carnarvon Red_Cliffs Fowler_Island Mckenzie_Creek Wilson_Bay White_Cliff Sydney_Island Ngawalgeah_Point Lingeleah_Island Weediah_Bay Walbor_Inlet Jubuneah_Point

Lat

Long

-16.758 -16.751 -16.716 -16.671 -16.670 -16.658 -16.631 -16.627 -16.614 -16.572 -16.563 -16.711 -16.732 -16.735 -16.735 -16.730 -16.691 -16.679 -16.662 -16.657 -16.687 -16.692 -16.710 -16.702 -16.718 -16.736 -16.747 -17.363 -17.407 -17.472 -17.496 -17.503 -17.509 -17.519 -17.612 -17.619 -17.201 -17.189 -17.160 -17.035 -16.995 -16.977 -17.442 -17.454 -17.577 -17.129 -17.118 -17.106 -17.100 -17.094 -17.083 -17.116 -17.136 -17.130 -17.038 -16.695 -16.647 -16.635 -16.612 -16.594 -16.582

139.138 139.167 139.188 139.190 139.167 139.156 139.148 139.151 139.159 139.208 139.213 139.209 139.238 139.285 139.296 139.318 139.353 139.372 139.383 139.385 139.440 139.437 139.450 139.467 139.139 139.140 139.139 139.479 139.533 139.623 139.641 139.653 139.665 139.740 139.941 139.953 140.887 140.894 140.896 140.920 140.959 140.954 140.795 140.788 140.619 139.585 139.592 139.599 139.587 139.606 139.613 139.561 139.485 139.473 139.559 139.491 139.487 139.494 139.507 139.502 139.509

50 3.2 4.0 4.1 4.1 3.2 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 4.1 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.9 3.1 3.2 3.2 4.4 4.4 4.3 4.4 4.4 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.4 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.7 3.7 3.7 4.0 4.0 4.1 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 3.9 3.9 4.0 4.2 4.2 3.9 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.7 3.8 3.8

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

100 3.4 4.5 4.7 4.7 3.4 3.1 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.1 3.1 4.6 4.5 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.3 4.3 4.2 4.2 3.3 3.4 3.4 4.9 4.9 4.9 4.9 4.9 4.9 4.8 4.9 4.9 4.1 4.1 4.1 3.9 4.0 4.0 4.5 4.5 4.6 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.3 4.5 4.6 4.6 4.4 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.2

200 3.8 5.0 5.2 5.2 3.5 3.5 3.3 3.4 3.3 3.4 3.3 5.1 5.0 4.9 4.9 4.9 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 4.8 4.8 4.6 4.5 3.6 3.7 3.8 5.5 5.5 5.5 5.5 5.5 5.5 5.4 5.5 5.5 4.6 4.5 4.5 4.3 4.4 4.4 5.0 5.1 5.2 4.9 4.9 4.9 4.9 4.8 4.8 5.0 5.1 5.2 4.9 4.7 4.8 4.7 4.7 4.8 4.8

500 4.2 5.6 5.9 6.0 3.9 3.8 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.7 5.9 5.7 5.6 5.6 5.5 5.7 5.6 5.7 5.7 5.4 5.5 5.2 5.0 4.0 4.1 4.2 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.3 6.3 6.2 6.1 6.3 6.4 5.2 5.2 5.1 4.9 5.0 5.0 5.7 5.8 5.9 5.5 5.5 5.4 5.5 5.4 5.3 5.6 5.8 5.8 5.6 5.3 5.4 5.3 5.3 5.4 5.4

1000 4.7 6.1 6.4 6.6 4.3 4.2 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.0 4.0 6.3 6.1 5.9 5.9 5.9 6.1 6.1 6.2 6.3 5.9 5.9 5.6 5.4 4.4 4.6 4.6 6.6 6.6 6.8 6.8 6.8 6.8 6.7 7.0 7.1 5.6 5.6 5.6 5.4 5.4 5.4 6.1 6.2 6.4 5.9 5.9 5.8 5.8 5.8 5.8 6.0 6.2 6.2 5.9 5.7 5.8 5.7 5.8 5.8 5.8

10000 y 6.1 7.1 7.6 7.9 5.7 5.4 5.2 5.3 5.1 5.1 5.0 7.7 7.5 7.3 7.2 7.1 7.4 7.4 7.6 7.7 7.2 7.3 6.6 6.3 5.6 5.8 6.0 8.2 8.3 8.4 8.4 8.4 8.3 8.1 9.0 9.1 7.4 7.4 7.3 7.1 7.4 7.4 8.0 8.1 8.3 7.4 7.4 7.5 7.5 7.4 7.3 7.5 7.8 7.9 7.4 7.3 7.3 7.3 7.4 7.5 7.6

Appendix O - 7

Note: In the vicinity of Mornington and Centre Islands higher resolution HD modelling has been undertaken in comparison to the wave modelling. As a result, a number of additional sites are presented here that are not within wave statistic appendices.

Appendix O 2100 Combined Broadscale and Tropical Cyclone Tabulated Results Name Lelkajindi_Creek Ngulwonmeah_River Gilitja_Point Charlie_Bush_Bay Billmahgun_Point Dalmumeah_Creek Gatgatgerah_Creek Lingnoonganee_Island Meahyawogan_Point Moondalbee_Island Mudgun_Point Towbulbulan_River Watson_Patch Thabugan_Point Wardoo_Creek Lowareah_Point Sandalwood_Place_River Eengan_Bay Hall_Point Gumbannge_Point Goojamun_Creek Ballast_Creek Dwenty_Point Bilmagun_Point Brookes_Reef Bountiful_Islands Pisonia_Island Van_Diemen_Inlet Salt_Arm_Creek Rocky_Creek Station_Creek Station_Creek Topsy_Creek South_Mitchell_River Chapman_River Pormpuraaw Moonkan_Creek Edward_River Christmas_Creek Hersey_Creek King_Creek Kulinchin Holroyd_River Knox_Creek Mitchell_River Staaten_River Gilbert_River Snake_Creek Duck_Creek Koontun_Creek Shell_Creek Colin_Creek Love_River Aurukun_(Archer_River) Worbody_Point Ward_River Possum_Creek Ina_Creek False_Pera_Head Norman_Creek Thud_Point

Lat

Long

-16.541 -16.529 -16.524 -16.531 -16.557 -16.535 -16.530 -16.497 -16.504 -16.451 -16.438 -16.443 -16.398 -16.390 -16.404 -16.437 -16.450 -16.460 -16.464 -16.497 -16.508 -16.520 -16.532 -16.543 -16.555 -16.683 -16.507 -16.953 -16.138 -15.897 -15.847 -15.674 -15.495 -15.340 -14.933 -14.918 -14.847 -14.735 -14.459 -14.356 -14.330 -14.212 -14.152 -14.087 -15.190 -16.409 -16.564 -16.680 -16.807 -13.576 -13.537 -13.526 -13.500 -13.349 -13.302 -13.306 -13.269 -13.194 -13.106 -13.051 -13.007

139.518 139.524 139.543 139.555 139.604 139.649 139.668 139.719 139.731 139.747 139.722 139.703 139.650 139.607 139.519 139.467 139.379 139.341 139.291 139.240 139.233 139.226 139.219 139.212 139.205 139.865 139.793 140.982 141.363 141.380 141.403 141.421 141.483 141.526 141.601 141.590 141.575 141.554 141.521 141.554 141.559 141.581 141.550 141.562 141.596 141.283 141.240 141.204 141.081 141.510 141.517 141.533 141.538 141.607 141.644 141.671 141.692 141.650 141.610 141.606 141.587

50 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.7 3.6 3.5 3.4 3.3 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.9 2.9 2.8 2.9 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.9 2.9 3.5 3.3 3.7 3.5 3.4 3.4 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.2 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.9 2.9 3.3 3.6 3.6 3.8 3.7 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.9 3.0 3.2 3.1 2.8 2.7 2.7 2.7

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

100 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.0 3.9 3.9 3.6 3.6 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.2 3.1 3.2 3.2 3.1 3.2 3.0 3.1 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.1 3.1 3.6 3.5 4.0 4.0 3.8 3.8 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.5 3.5 3.4 3.3 3.4 3.3 3.4 3.2 3.3 3.8 4.0 4.2 4.3 4.0 3.0 3.1 3.2 3.2 3.4 3.5 3.7 3.6 3.3 3.0 2.9 2.8

200 4.9 4.9 4.9 4.8 4.5 4.4 4.4 4.0 4.0 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.4 3.3 3.4 3.4 3.5 3.2 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 4.0 3.8 4.4 4.6 4.3 4.3 4.0 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.0 3.9 3.8 3.7 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.7 3.7 4.3 4.5 4.7 4.9 4.6 3.5 3.5 3.7 3.7 3.9 4.0 4.3 4.2 3.7 3.3 3.3 3.0

500 5.6 5.7 5.7 5.6 5.2 5.0 5.0 4.5 4.4 3.9 3.9 4.0 3.9 3.9 3.8 4.0 3.9 4.0 3.5 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.7 3.7 4.4 4.2 5.0 5.2 4.9 5.0 4.7 4.8 4.8 4.7 4.6 4.5 4.3 4.3 4.4 4.4 4.6 4.3 4.3 5.0 5.1 5.3 5.5 5.1 4.0 4.0 4.2 4.2 4.5 4.7 5.0 5.0 4.3 3.8 3.7 3.5

1000 6.0 6.0 6.1 6.0 5.5 5.4 5.4 4.9 4.8 4.2 4.2 4.3 4.2 4.2 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.4 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.9 4.0 4.9 4.6 5.4 5.8 5.3 5.4 5.2 5.2 5.3 5.1 4.9 4.9 4.7 4.8 5.0 5.0 5.1 4.8 4.8 5.6 5.7 5.8 6.0 5.5 4.5 4.5 4.6 4.6 5.0 5.2 5.6 5.6 4.9 4.2 4.1 3.8

10000 y 7.8 7.8 7.8 7.7 7.1 7.1 7.1 6.0 5.8 5.1 5.3 5.5 5.3 5.2 5.1 5.3 5.3 5.5 4.7 4.8 4.9 4.9 4.9 5.0 5.1 5.7 5.5 7.1 7.0 6.8 6.9 6.6 6.6 6.6 6.6 6.5 6.3 6.2 6.6 6.9 6.9 6.8 6.4 6.5 6.8 6.8 7.2 7.6 6.8 5.8 5.9 6.2 6.0 6.4 6.6 7.2 7.7 6.4 5.7 5.8 5.1

Appendix O - 8

Note: In the vicinity of Mornington and Centre Islands higher resolution HD modelling has been undertaken in comparison to the wave modelling. As a result, a number of additional sites are presented here that are not within wave statistic appendices.

Appendix O 2100 Combined Broadscale and Tropical Cyclone Tabulated Results Name Pera_Head Boyd_Point Winda_Winda_Creek Wooldrum_Point Botchet_Creek Landfall_Point Duyfken_Point Janie_Creek Tullanaringa_(cullen)_Point Cullen_(tullanaringa)_Point Jackson_River Doughboy_River Cotterell_River Vrilya_Point Skardon_River Mapoon Wenlock_River Nomenade_Creek Pine_River_Bay Wallaby_Island Evans_Landing Amboyninghy_Point

Lat

Long

-12.942 -12.907 -12.795 -12.663 -12.578 -12.583 -12.560 -12.030 -11.937 -11.939 -11.659 -11.467 -11.364 -11.244 -11.751 -11.967 -12.051 -12.465 -12.506 -12.605 -12.655 -12.601

141.599 141.633 141.765 141.788 141.762 141.637 141.585 141.807 141.893 141.906 142.012 142.075 142.107 142.115 141.996 141.915 141.928 141.658 141.665 141.841 141.818 141.897

50 2.7 2.7 2.8 2.7 2.7 2.6 2.6 2.8 2.9 3.0 2.9 2.9 3.0 3.0 2.9 3.0 3.2 2.6 2.6 2.7 2.7 2.8

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100 2.8 2.8 3.1 3.0 2.9 2.7 2.7 2.9 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.2 3.2 3.5 2.7 2.7 2.9 3.0 3.1

200 3.1 3.1 3.5 3.3 3.3 2.8 2.7 3.2 3.4 3.5 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.3 3.6 3.6 4.0 3.0 2.9 3.3 3.4 3.4

500 3.5 3.6 4.1 3.8 3.8 3.1 3.1 3.7 3.9 4.0 4.0 4.0 3.9 3.8 4.0 4.1 4.6 3.4 3.3 3.8 3.9 3.9

1000 3.9 4.0 4.5 4.3 4.3 3.6 3.5 4.0 4.2 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.4 4.3 4.4 4.5 5.1 3.8 3.7 4.3 4.4 4.3

10000 y 5.5 5.6 6.0 5.5 5.4 4.6 4.4 5.2 6.0 6.0 5.9 5.5 5.8 5.5 6.2 6.4 7.1 5.0 4.5 5.5 5.6 5.8

Appendix O - 9

Appendix P

2010 Tropical Cyclone Wave Return Period Maps

41/23138/432535

Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stage 1 and 2 Combined Final Report

Figure P - 1 50 and 100 y significant wave height (m) spatial plot for the 2010 climate.

41/23138/432535

Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stage 1 and 2 Combined Final Report

Figure P - 2 200 and 500 y significant wave height (m) spatial plot for the 2010 climate.

41/23138/432535

Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stage 1 and 2 Combined Final Report

Figure P - 3 1,000 and 10,000 y significant wave height (m) spatial plot for the 2010 climate.

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Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stage 1 and 2 Combined Final Report

Appendix Q

2010 Tropical Cyclone Significant Wave Height and Period Tabulated Results

41/23138/432535

Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stage 1 and 2 Combined Final Report

Appendix Q 2010 Tropical Cyclone Significant Wave Height and Period Tabulated Statistics Name Bremer_Islets Gutjangan_Community East_Woody_Beach Gangaru_Lagoon Ruwakpuy_Community Bremer_Island East_Bremer_Islet Town_Beach Gove Rainbow_Cliff Yirrkala Miles_Island Garrirri_Beach Rocky_Bay Baringura_Inlet Garanhan_Beach Needle_Point Dalywoi_Bay Ngumuy_Beach Arnhem_Shoal Cape_Arnhem Lurrupukurru_Beach Bawaka_Community Gwapilina_Point Dhulmulmiya_Community Binanangoi_Point Holly_Inlet Dhaniya_Community Wanyanmera_Point Buymarr_Community Millarong Mcnamara_Island Point_Alexander Garrthalala_Community Grays_Bay Middle_Point Caledon_Bay Caledon_Point

Lat

Long

Depth (m)

-12.062 -12.072 -12.143 -12.150 -12.122 -12.110 -12.080 -12.168 -12.186 -12.193 -12.239 -12.257 -12.269 -12.276 -12.300 -12.319 -12.337 -12.343 -12.332 -12.327 -12.345 -12.446 -12.525 -12.555 -12.560 -12.578 -12.594 -12.588 -12.694 -12.708 -12.780 -12.869 -12.844 -12.806 -12.811 -12.822 -12.852 -12.877

136.836 136.799 136.789 136.801 136.833 136.840 136.841 136.806 136.811 136.823 136.905 136.911 136.904 136.916 136.932 136.938 136.943 136.954 136.961 136.980 136.985 136.863 136.785 136.783 136.765 136.769 136.744 136.732 136.702 136.646 136.635 136.630 136.613 136.572 136.554 136.547 136.545 136.562

18.9 13.6 12.6 12.6 7.0 14.4 12.0 6.6 3.2 2.6 16.8 5.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 14.1 14.7 20.7 12.6 6.5 4.7 12.2 8.1 2.4 7.9 1.2 6.0 1.8 6.6 1.8 8.2 8.5 7.7 6.9

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50 4.3 2.9 3.1 3.4 3.5 3.9 3.6 3.5 1.5 1.5 4.5 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 5.3 5.4 5.0 4.9 3.5 2.5 5.2 4.0 1.0 4.0 0.5 3.0 1.0 2.1 0.3 1.4 1.5 2.4 3.2

100 5.8 3.9 4.2 4.6 3.5 5.2 4.8 3.5 1.5 1.5 6.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 6.9 7.0 6.4 6.2 3.5 2.5 6.0 4.0 1.0 4.0 0.5 3.0 1.0 2.5 0.5 1.6 1.7 3.0 3.5

Significant Wave Height (m) 200 500 1000 6.8 7.4 7.8 4.5 5.1 5.4 4.9 5.1 5.3 5.4 5.6 5.7 3.5 3.5 3.5 6.2 7.0 7.0 5.6 6.0 6.0 3.5 3.5 3.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 7.3 8.5 8.5 3.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 1.5 1.5 7.0 7.0 7.0 7.5 7.5 7.5 7.7 9.3 10.3 6.5 6.5 6.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 6.0 6.0 6.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 3.0 3.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 2.7 2.9 3.0 0.7 1.0 1.0 1.8 2.0 2.2 1.9 2.2 2.3 3.4 3.7 3.8 3.5 3.5 3.5

10000 y 8.4 6.0 5.6 6.0 3.5 7.0 6.0 3.5 1.5 1.5 8.5 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 7.0 7.5 10.5 6.5 3.5 2.5 6.0 4.0 1.0 4.0 0.5 3.0 1.0 3.3 1.0 2.4 2.6 4.0 3.5

50 10.9 6.9 10.1 10.8 10.8 10.7 10.3 10.7 9.5 9.2 11.0 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.6 10.9 10.9 10.7 10.9 9.9 8.9 10.8 10.4 5.8 10.5 4.7 10.4 6.7 10.3 9.1 10.5 10.0 11.0 11.0

100 10.9 7.6 10.4 10.6 10.8 10.7 10.3 10.7 9.5 9.2 10.6 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.6 11.3 10.9 10.8 10.7 9.9 8.9 11.1 10.4 5.8 10.5 4.7 10.4 6.7 10.3 9.7 10.3 9.9 10.6 10.9

Wave Period (s) 200 500 11.0 11.5 7.7 8.3 11.0 11.7 11.1 11.6 10.8 10.8 11.2 11.8 10.5 11.1 10.7 10.7 9.5 9.5 9.2 9.2 11.1 12.2 10.6 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.6 8.6 11.4 11.4 11.5 11.5 11.1 11.7 11.3 11.3 9.9 9.9 8.9 8.9 11.1 11.1 10.4 10.4 5.8 5.8 10.5 10.5 4.7 4.7 10.4 10.4 6.7 6.7 10.5 10.8 10.1 10.6 10.5 10.9 9.8 10.6 11.1 11.7 10.9 10.9

1000 11.9 8.8 12.3 12.0 10.8 11.8 11.1 10.7 9.5 9.2 12.2 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.6 11.4 11.5 12.2 11.3 9.9 8.9 11.1 10.4 5.8 10.5 4.7 10.4 6.7 10.4 11.0 11.2 10.9 11.5 10.9

10000 y 12.9 11.6 13.4 12.7 10.8 11.8 11.1 10.7 9.5 9.2 12.2 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.6 11.4 11.5 12.4 11.3 9.9 8.9 11.1 10.4 5.8 10.5 4.7 10.4 6.7 12.3 11.0 12.5 12.2 12.4 10.9

Appendix Q -1

Appendix Q 2010 Tropical Cyclone Significant Wave Height and Period Tabulated Statistics Name Du_Pre_Bay Du_Pre_Point Cape_Grey Wonga_Bay Dirrangmurumanja_Bay Guyuwiri_Point Bald_Point Bagbiringula_Point Wardarlea_Bay Point_Arrowsmith Marajella_Bay Barraratjpi_Community Cape_Shield Djarrakpi_Community Gooninnah_Island Baniyala_Community Point_Blane Grindall_Bay Round_Hill_Island Cool_Yal_You_Ma_Island Nicol_Island Ayangmarnda_Island Isle_Woodah Morgan_Island Yee_To_Wappah_Island Blue_Mud_Bay Meringa_Island Haddon_Head Yilila_Community Bennet_Bay Malagayangu_District Miwul_Community Rantyirrity_Point Minintirri_Island Amamarrity_Island Numbulwar Nyinpinti_Point Sandy_Island

Lat

Long

Depth (m)

-12.928 -12.942 -12.996 -12.999 -13.004 -13.016 -13.069 -13.168 -13.189 -13.259 -13.245 -13.250 -13.285 -13.297 -13.308 -13.228 -13.286 -13.228 -13.317 -13.420 -13.452 -13.480 -13.483 -13.489 -13.494 -13.439 -13.428 -13.429 -13.659 -13.720 -13.907 -14.070 -14.212 -14.217 -14.252 -14.303 -14.463 -14.432

136.626 136.650 136.665 136.616 136.598 136.591 136.575 136.533 136.488 136.447 136.424 136.405 136.384 136.378 136.371 136.228 136.194 136.118 136.112 136.241 136.270 136.238 136.188 136.090 136.071 136.056 136.063 135.983 135.926 135.952 135.984 135.918 135.897 135.879 135.858 135.812 135.684 135.877

12.8 14.5 8.3 7.6 8.7 5.3 11.5 11.0 0.0 19.1 8.2 10.0 8.6 4.4 6.6 6.0 7.1 7.1 11.6 6.7 1.4 13.1 7.0 5.3 7.4 5.9 5.8 5.3 5.4 5.1 13.5 5.4 8.3 4.7 5.3 5.8 4.5 1.5

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50 4.4 4.9 4.0 2.3 3.6 2.5 5.2 5.5 0.0 4.8 4.0 4.4 4.5 2.0 3.5 2.3 3.5 1.2 2.9 3.3 0.5 4.2 3.4 1.0 1.1 0.9 0.8 1.3 1.4 0.9 3.5 2.5 4.0 2.5 2.5 3.0 2.5 1.0

100 5.5 6.1 4.0 2.8 4.3 2.5 6.0 5.5 0.0 5.9 4.0 5.0 4.5 2.0 3.5 2.8 3.5 1.3 3.8 3.5 0.5 5.2 3.5 1.1 1.3 1.0 0.9 1.6 1.8 1.2 4.2 2.5 4.0 2.5 2.5 3.0 2.5 1.0

Significant Wave Height (m) 200 500 1000 6.5 6.5 6.5 7.2 7.5 7.5 4.0 4.0 4.0 3.1 3.4 3.6 4.5 4.5 4.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 6.0 6.0 6.0 5.5 5.5 5.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.7 7.5 8.2 4.0 4.0 4.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 4.5 4.5 4.5 2.0 2.0 2.0 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.5 3.5 3.5 1.5 1.6 1.8 4.5 5.1 5.6 3.5 3.5 3.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 5.9 6.5 6.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 1.3 1.5 1.6 1.4 1.6 1.7 1.2 1.4 1.5 1.1 1.3 1.5 1.8 2.1 2.2 2.1 2.5 2.5 1.4 1.8 1.9 4.8 5.3 5.6 2.5 2.5 2.5 4.0 4.0 4.0 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.5 2.5 2.5 1.0 1.0 1.0

10000 y 6.5 7.5 4.0 4.0 4.5 2.5 6.0 5.5 0.0 9.5 4.0 5.0 4.5 2.0 3.5 3.0 3.5 2.2 6.0 3.5 0.5 6.5 3.5 2.0 2.1 2.1 2.0 2.5 2.5 2.3 6.2 2.5 4.0 2.5 2.5 3.0 2.5 1.0

50 11.3 11.2 10.4 8.2 10.6 9.1 10.9 10.9 0.0 10.5 10.7 10.8 10.7 7.5 10.4 6.6 10.1 4.8 10.6 10.6 4.5 10.3 10.7 4.9 4.8 4.6 4.4 4.6 4.4 3.9 6.9 7.0 7.7 6.9 7.0 7.7 6.9 5.4

100 11.0 11.0 10.4 8.4 10.4 9.1 10.9 10.9 0.0 10.6 10.7 10.8 10.7 7.5 10.4 6.8 10.1 5.0 10.3 10.7 4.5 10.9 10.9 4.9 4.9 4.7 4.7 4.7 5.2 3.7 7.2 7.0 7.7 6.9 7.0 7.7 6.9 5.4

Wave Period (s) 200 500 11.7 11.7 11.4 12.0 10.4 10.4 8.9 9.5 10.8 10.8 9.1 9.1 10.9 10.9 10.9 10.9 0.0 0.0 11.1 11.4 10.7 10.7 10.8 10.8 10.7 10.7 7.5 7.5 10.4 10.4 7.2 7.2 10.1 10.1 5.0 5.0 10.3 10.0 10.7 10.7 4.5 4.5 11.0 11.7 10.9 10.9 5.2 5.0 5.1 4.8 4.9 4.7 5.0 4.7 5.0 4.9 5.1 6.7 3.5 3.7 7.4 7.1 7.0 7.0 7.7 7.7 6.9 6.9 7.0 7.0 7.7 7.7 6.9 6.9 5.4 5.4

1000 11.7 12.0 10.4 10.0 10.8 9.1 10.9 10.9 0.0 11.9 10.7 10.8 10.7 7.5 10.4 7.2 10.1 5.8 10.0 10.7 4.5 11.7 10.9 5.3 5.3 4.9 5.0 5.3 6.6 4.0 7.8 7.0 7.7 6.9 7.0 7.7 6.9 5.4

10000 y 11.7 12.0 10.4 11.4 10.8 9.1 10.9 10.9 0.0 12.9 10.7 10.8 10.7 7.5 10.4 7.2 10.1 5.0 11.3 10.7 4.5 11.7 10.9 5.0 5.1 5.0 4.9 5.7 6.6 5.9 7.6 7.0 7.7 6.9 7.0 7.7 6.9 5.4

Appendix Q -2

Appendix Q 2010 Tropical Cyclone Significant Wave Height and Period Tabulated Statistics Name

Lat

Long

Depth (m)

Alagna_Shoal Woody_Island Adumeninburra_Point Adthumaninbura_Point Adamaji_Beach North_Bay Ngurrkwurrumanja_Beach Ninaguwa_Island Nangkumanja_Reef Mekubarrkumanja_Point Amagiladjura_Point Angamanja_Island Lyangbudumanja_Point East_Bay Arawura_Bay Marjirrumanja__Beach Hand_Islet Mamarmbawiya_Point Nulukwa_Bay Numbarrila_Beach Enumerrmanja_Point Manggarna_Island South_Bay Milyakburra_Community Mirabangwa_Cliffs Banda_Island Connexion_Island Burley_Shoal North_West_Bluff Yellow_Patch Alubuwa_Point Bartelumba_Community Ngadumiyerrka_Community Deception_Bay Bartalumba_Bay Mundarringumanja_Beach Mundarrungmundja_Community Winchelsea_Island

-14.091 -13.823 -13.729 -13.706 -13.712 -13.701 -13.678 -13.655 -13.640 -13.678 -13.698 -13.716 -13.735 -13.751 -13.744 -13.769 -13.781 -13.799 -13.804 -13.815 -13.834 -13.845 -13.805 -13.799 -13.810 -13.840 -13.834 -13.850 -13.829 -13.818 -13.813 -13.808 -13.814 -13.809 -13.816 -13.811 -13.800 -13.768

136.065 136.081 136.106 136.119 136.131 136.138 136.152 136.166 136.222 136.262 136.298 136.303 136.308 136.283 136.271 136.288 136.281 136.286 136.267 136.260 136.265 136.259 136.187 136.175 136.168 136.167 136.376 136.350 136.395 136.402 136.420 136.439 136.451 136.470 136.482 136.500 136.507 136.478

5.5 6.3 5.1 8.1 2.7 7.1 5.4 6.2 5.1 12.0 13.4 12.4 14.7 0.0 0.0 13.1 4.4 23.7 1.2 0.9 8.9 11.0 6.6 5.0 5.9 11.6 16.5 8.2 22.0 21.7 8.1 12.2 7.7 9.0 6.9 7.4 6.3 7.9

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50 3.0 3.0 1.4 1.5 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.6 2.4 3.7 3.6 3.2 3.1 0.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 3.2 0.5 0.5 3.3 3.4 0.8 1.4 1.7 3.2 2.5 3.1 2.9 2.7 2.2 1.8 1.5 1.5 1.4 1.3 1.3 1.7

100 3.0 3.0 1.6 1.7 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.9 2.5 4.6 4.4 4.0 3.8 0.0 0.0 3.5 2.0 3.6 0.5 0.5 3.9 4.0 0.9 1.6 2.0 3.9 2.9 3.7 3.3 3.1 2.6 2.1 1.9 1.8 1.7 1.5 1.6 2.0

Significant Wave Height (m) 200 500 1000 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 1.8 2.0 2.2 1.9 2.2 2.3 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.8 2.1 2.3 2.0 2.3 2.5 2.2 2.5 2.7 2.5 2.5 2.5 5.3 5.8 6.0 5.1 5.9 6.4 4.7 5.4 5.8 4.4 5.0 5.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.9 4.5 4.8 2.0 2.0 2.0 4.0 4.3 4.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 4.3 4.5 4.5 4.5 5.1 5.5 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.8 2.1 2.3 2.3 2.7 3.0 4.5 5.2 5.6 3.2 3.6 3.8 4.0 4.0 4.0 3.6 3.9 4.1 3.4 3.7 3.9 2.9 3.3 3.6 2.4 2.7 2.9 2.2 2.5 2.7 2.1 2.3 2.6 2.0 2.3 2.5 1.8 2.1 2.3 1.8 2.2 2.3 2.3 2.6 2.8

10000 y 3.0 3.0 2.5 2.6 1.5 2.7 2.5 3.0 2.5 6.0 6.5 6.0 6.7 0.0 0.0 6.2 2.0 5.1 0.5 0.5 4.5 5.5 1.5 2.5 3.0 6.0 4.3 4.0 4.6 4.8 4.0 3.5 3.5 3.3 3.1 3.0 3.0 3.5

50 7.0 6.7 7.7 8.1 8.6 8.5 8.7 9.1 10.4 10.6 9.6 8.9 8.4 0.0 0.0 8.6 8.1 7.8 4.1 4.0 7.7 7.7 5.7 6.0 6.4 6.5 7.0 7.3 7.1 7.2 7.7 7.3 7.3 7.0 6.8 6.3 6.5 7.1

100 7.0 6.7 7.8 8.1 9.4 8.9 9.3 9.6 10.8 10.8 10.4 9.6 8.8 0.0 0.0 8.4 8.1 8.0 4.1 4.0 7.7 7.8 5.8 6.3 6.8 6.9 7.4 7.4 7.4 7.6 8.2 7.7 7.8 7.5 7.3 6.8 6.9 7.3

Wave Period (s) 200 500 7.0 7.0 6.7 6.7 7.8 7.9 8.5 8.8 9.4 9.4 9.6 10.0 9.6 10.5 10.0 10.7 10.8 10.8 10.9 11.3 10.4 11.3 9.8 11.0 9.4 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.8 9.3 8.1 8.1 7.8 8.3 4.1 4.1 4.0 4.0 7.8 8.7 7.7 8.2 6.2 5.8 6.6 6.3 7.1 6.5 7.1 6.9 7.3 7.7 8.1 8.1 7.4 7.9 7.4 8.0 8.1 9.1 7.8 8.9 7.7 8.9 7.5 7.9 7.5 8.0 7.0 7.7 6.9 7.7 7.1 7.4

1000 7.0 6.7 7.5 8.6 9.4 9.6 10.4 9.8 10.8 11.6 11.6 11.1 10.5 0.0 0.0 10.7 8.1 8.3 4.1 4.0 8.7 8.9 6.3 7.0 7.2 7.6 7.8 8.1 8.1 7.9 8.7 8.5 8.7 8.3 8.5 7.6 7.8 7.7

10000 y 7.0 6.7 9.4 9.6 9.4 10.3 10.4 11.2 10.8 11.6 11.6 11.6 12.6 0.0 0.0 11.8 8.1 10.1 4.1 4.0 8.7 8.9 7.0 6.5 7.2 7.2 9.1 8.1 8.7 9.1 10.1 11.1 11.2 10.7 9.9 10.4 9.6 9.1

Appendix Q -3

Appendix Q 2010 Tropical Cyclone Significant Wave Height and Period Tabulated Statistics Name Mugwana_Island Finch_Island Alyinga_Island Yarranya_Island North_West_Bay Ayarina_Bay Darrangmurmanja_Community Yirrumanja_Point Milyema_Island Lewrrumbumanja_Cliff Chasm_Island Yingilirrba_Island Menimberrkwe_Cliff Angarmbulumardja_Island Ilyaugwamaja_Island Angarumurada_Island North_Point_Island Makmuntja_Community Milyangkwudakba_Point Mungwarndumanja_Island Jagged_Head Hempel_Bay Port_Langdon Mccomb_Point Thompson_Bay Mawulyumanja_Community Baird_Cliff Akwalirrumanja_Community Umbakumba Spit_End Little_Lagoon Alyingberrma_Community Scott_Point_Community Scott_Point Dingala_Point Amuriyerra_Point Amrranga_Beach Eight_Mile_Beach

Lat

Long

Depth (m)

-13.687 -13.719 -13.730 -13.748 -13.755 -13.750 -13.732 -13.714 -13.696 -13.684 -13.672 -13.656 -13.674 -13.676 -13.653 -13.648 -13.643 -13.649 -13.645 -13.681 -13.688 -13.752 -13.777 -13.788 -13.800 -13.818 -13.825 -13.838 -13.833 -13.828 -13.823 -13.812 -13.741 -13.736 -13.756 -13.805 -13.822 -13.868

136.526 136.555 136.548 136.553 136.565 136.584 136.579 136.574 136.569 136.576 136.582 136.608 136.613 136.644 136.657 136.676 136.695 136.707 136.725 136.736 136.748 136.725 136.742 136.735 136.729 136.734 136.746 136.769 136.788 136.807 136.826 136.833 136.843 136.862 136.897 136.931 136.906 136.878

12.4 9.0 4.1 5.7 7.0 5.8 6.7 8.4 8.0 8.6 10.9 8.6 10.7 9.8 5.1 6.3 10.9 5.4 10.2 3.8 0.0 5.9 13.4 12.4 9.0 8.7 6.7 5.6 9.1 5.4 7.8 5.8 7.5 12.2 7.5 6.8 0.0 12.2

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

50 3.4 2.0 1.5 0.6 1.0 1.1 1.4 1.8 2.1 2.2 2.2 3.6 2.4 1.3 2.5 3.0 3.8 2.5 4.9 2.0 0.0 3.0 2.6 2.5 2.4 2.1 2.3 2.1 2.0 1.7 0.1 0.1 3.2 3.8 4.0 3.5 0.0 6.0

100 4.2 2.3 1.9 0.8 1.2 1.3 1.6 2.1 2.5 2.6 2.6 4.5 2.9 1.4 2.5 3.0 4.4 2.5 5.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 3.0 2.9 2.8 2.4 2.8 2.5 2.5 2.1 0.1 0.1 3.5 4.1 4.0 3.5 0.0 6.0

Significant Wave Height (m) 200 500 1000 4.9 5.7 6.0 2.7 3.2 3.5 2.0 2.0 2.0 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.4 1.6 1.7 1.5 1.6 1.8 1.8 2.1 2.3 2.4 2.7 2.9 3.0 3.6 4.0 3.1 3.7 4.0 3.1 3.6 4.0 4.5 4.5 4.5 3.2 3.3 3.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 2.5 2.5 2.5 3.0 3.0 3.0 4.8 5.3 5.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 5.0 5.0 5.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.2 3.5 3.7 3.2 3.5 3.6 3.1 3.4 3.6 2.6 2.8 2.9 3.1 3.4 3.5 2.7 2.9 3.0 2.7 3.0 3.2 2.4 2.5 2.5 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 3.8 4.0 4.0 4.3 4.6 4.7 4.0 4.0 4.0 3.5 3.5 3.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 6.0 6.0

10000 y 6.0 4.4 2.0 1.4 2.0 2.1 2.8 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0 4.5 3.5 1.5 2.5 3.0 5.5 2.5 5.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 4.4 4.4 4.5 3.3 3.5 3.0 3.5 2.5 0.3 0.2 4.0 4.9 4.0 3.5 0.0 6.0

50 8.8 7.3 6.9 5.9 5.6 5.8 6.5 6.6 6.8 6.6 7.8 9.6 8.9 7.9 10.0 10.2 10.6 10.3 10.8 10.8 0.0 11.1 10.6 10.6 10.6 10.4 10.2 9.2 8.3 7.3 2.9 2.9 9.7 10.6 10.6 9.9 0.0 10.7

100 9.7 7.8 8.3 6.2 6.1 6.3 7.0 7.0 7.5 7.3 8.2 10.6 9.2 8.1 10.0 10.2 10.6 10.3 11.0 10.8 0.0 11.1 10.6 10.6 10.7 10.6 10.2 9.7 9.4 8.6 2.9 2.9 9.8 10.5 10.6 9.9 0.0 10.7

Wave Period (s) 200 500 9.7 10.7 7.6 9.0 8.9 8.9 6.7 7.7 6.5 6.8 6.3 6.8 7.3 7.7 7.7 8.4 7.8 8.0 7.6 7.8 8.3 8.7 10.6 10.6 9.3 10.1 8.4 8.6 10.0 10.0 10.2 10.2 10.5 11.3 10.3 10.3 11.0 11.0 10.8 10.8 0.0 0.0 11.1 11.1 10.5 11.3 10.5 11.2 10.5 11.2 10.4 11.1 10.3 10.8 9.6 10.2 9.3 10.1 8.8 9.6 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 10.0 10.7 10.7 11.3 10.6 10.6 9.9 9.9 0.0 0.0 10.7 10.7

1000 11.5 8.5 8.9 8.1 7.3 7.7 7.9 8.3 9.3 8.6 9.4 10.6 10.2 9.0 10.0 10.2 11.8 10.3 11.0 10.8 0.0 11.1 11.1 11.3 11.2 10.9 11.2 10.4 9.6 9.6 3.0 2.8 10.7 11.2 10.6 9.9 0.0 10.7

10000 y 11.5 10.7 8.9 10.5 6.9 7.6 6.3 10.2 9.4 10.0 10.9 10.6 10.7 9.2 10.0 10.2 11.8 10.3 11.0 10.8 0.0 11.1 11.0 10.3 12.1 12.2 11.2 10.4 8.8 9.6 2.4 2.4 10.7 11.7 10.6 9.9 0.0 10.7

Appendix Q -4

Appendix Q 2010 Tropical Cyclone Significant Wave Height and Period Tabulated Statistics Name Amirraba_Community Picnic_Beach Mamalingmandja_Point Ayungkwiyungkwa_Beach Malkayubirra_Beach Ilyungmadja_Point Lugadamanja_Point Amanburnunga_Community Dalumbu_Bay Adilyagba_Point Ungwariba_Point Eberrumilya_Island Amungkarma_Islands Cape_Beatrice Arnarrma_Point Marangala_Point Mirrburrumanja_Point Marangala_Bay Murrukwulya_Island Mamungwajingumanja_Beach Inamalamandja_Point Merruwumanja_Point Arida_Island Low_Island Eninyena_Beach Amungkwalya_Beach Yanbakwa_Community South_Point Tasman_Point Rutland_Shoal Eningkirra_Beach Abarungkwa_Beach Endungwa_Beach Malkala_Community Alyangula Arruwa_Island Bustard_Isles Bustard_Island

Lat

Long

Depth (m)

-13.880 -13.921 -13.926 -13.917 -13.952 -14.038 -14.094 -14.170 -14.177 -14.139 -14.139 -14.303 -14.308 -14.301 -14.291 -14.283 -14.299 -14.273 -14.283 -14.288 -14.299 -14.304 -14.298 -14.302 -14.278 -14.246 -14.226 -14.244 -14.212 -13.984 -13.966 -13.955 -13.932 -13.890 -13.847 -13.708 -13.697 -13.710

136.872 136.863 136.844 136.802 136.781 136.825 136.761 136.732 136.743 136.813 136.924 136.970 136.952 136.940 136.866 136.824 136.798 136.750 136.713 136.694 136.687 136.668 136.656 136.637 136.620 136.481 136.445 136.339 136.310 136.398 136.393 136.399 136.413 136.422 136.400 136.371 136.378 136.402

12.8 20.8 7.7 3.7 7.7 17.8 11.3 6.5 6.4 11.0 7.3 26.5 8.1 8.1 5.4 0.0 15.1 4.3 6.5 9.3 10.5 15.4 8.6 8.2 2.0 2.3 0.0 11.7 12.8 6.0 6.7 5.6 0.9 7.2 24.1 20.6 11.6 13.4

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

50 6.5 6.4 4.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 4.1 2.1 1.4 4.6 3.5 7.1 4.0 4.0 2.5 0.0 4.5 2.0 3.5 4.5 5.5 5.9 4.5 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 5.3 3.3 3.0 3.1 3.0 0.5 2.9 3.0 3.1 2.1 3.4

100 6.5 7.7 4.0 2.0 4.0 7.3 4.9 2.5 1.6 5.5 3.5 8.5 4.0 4.0 2.5 0.0 5.1 2.0 3.5 4.5 5.5 7.1 4.5 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 6.0 3.9 3.0 3.5 3.0 0.5 3.5 3.5 3.7 2.4 4.2

Significant Wave Height (m) 200 500 1000 6.5 6.5 6.5 8.6 9.9 10.5 4.0 4.0 4.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 8.3 9.0 9.0 5.5 5.5 5.5 2.7 3.0 3.2 1.8 2.0 2.1 5.5 5.5 5.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 9.7 10.9 11.9 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 2.5 2.5 2.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.6 6.0 6.3 2.0 2.0 2.0 3.5 3.5 3.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 5.5 5.5 5.5 7.5 7.5 7.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.0 4.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 4.3 4.8 5.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.0 3.0 3.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.8 4.2 4.4 4.1 4.6 4.8 2.7 3.0 3.1 4.8 5.5 6.0

10000 y 6.5 10.5 4.0 2.0 4.0 9.0 5.5 3.5 2.6 5.5 3.5 13.5 4.0 4.0 2.5 0.0 6.7 2.0 3.5 4.5 5.5 7.5 4.5 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 6.0 5.6 3.0 3.5 3.0 0.5 3.5 4.9 5.4 3.8 6.5

50 10.8 10.8 10.3 8.6 10.3 10.6 10.6 10.6 10.2 10.9 10.9 10.3 9.9 9.8 7.0 0.0 8.2 6.2 7.6 7.9 8.3 8.2 8.0 7.8 5.2 4.8 0.0 7.6 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.4 4.1 6.3 6.7 8.6 7.4 9.0

100 10.8 11.0 10.3 8.6 10.3 10.9 10.9 10.6 10.5 11.1 10.9 10.6 9.9 9.8 7.0 0.0 8.4 6.2 7.6 7.9 8.3 8.6 8.0 7.8 5.2 4.8 0.0 8.1 6.5 6.2 6.6 6.4 4.1 6.7 6.9 8.8 7.6 9.5

Wave Period (s) 200 500 10.8 10.8 11.2 11.5 10.3 10.3 8.6 8.6 10.3 10.3 10.9 11.6 11.2 11.2 10.6 11.1 10.4 11.2 11.1 11.1 10.9 10.9 10.8 10.9 9.9 9.9 9.8 9.8 7.0 7.0 0.0 0.0 8.7 8.6 6.2 6.2 7.6 7.6 7.9 7.9 8.3 8.3 8.6 8.6 8.0 8.0 7.8 7.8 5.2 5.2 4.8 4.8 0.0 0.0 8.1 8.1 6.8 6.7 6.2 6.2 6.6 6.6 6.4 6.4 4.1 4.1 6.7 6.7 7.1 7.6 8.9 9.4 7.8 8.4 9.6 11.1

1000 10.8 11.9 10.3 8.6 10.3 11.6 11.2 10.7 10.7 11.1 10.9 10.9 9.9 9.8 7.0 0.0 9.4 6.2 7.6 7.9 8.3 8.6 8.0 7.8 5.2 4.8 0.0 8.1 7.0 6.2 6.6 6.4 4.1 6.7 7.8 10.3 8.0 10.8

10000 y 10.8 11.9 10.3 8.6 10.3 11.6 11.2 11.7 10.6 11.1 10.9 11.9 9.9 9.8 7.0 0.0 8.8 6.2 7.6 7.9 8.3 8.6 8.0 7.8 5.2 4.8 0.0 8.1 6.8 6.2 6.6 6.4 4.1 6.7 7.7 11.4 8.9 11.9

Appendix Q -5

Appendix Q 2010 Tropical Cyclone Significant Wave Height and Period Tabulated Statistics Name Hawknest_Island Wedge_Island Burney_Island Amagbirra_Island Fowler_Island Kapui_Point Jalma_Bay Grindall_Point Myaoola_Bay Gurkawuy_Community Dudley_Island Three_Hummocks Port_Bradshaw Strath_Island Gove_Harbour Yanungbi Yanungbi_Community Yudu_Yudu_Community Granite_Islands Parfitt_Point Shepherd_Bluff Half_Tide_Point Dundas_Point De_Belle_Point Galupa_Community Birritjimi_Beach Gurrukpuy_Beach Harbour_Islet East_Woody_Island Galaru_Community Nhulunbuy Cape_Wirawawoi Mcintyre_Point Gunyangara_Community Butjumurru North_East_Islet North_East_Isles Hawk_Island

Lat

Long

Depth (m)

-13.621 -13.602 -13.569 -13.600 -13.349 -13.280 -13.269 -13.294 -13.085 -12.994 -12.872 -12.742 -12.470 -12.264 -12.257 -12.262 -12.255 -12.237 -12.219 -12.212 -12.192 -12.184 -12.203 -12.209 -12.198 -12.179 -12.174 -12.163 -12.158 -12.153 -12.160 -12.148 -12.236 -12.222 -12.227 -13.645 -13.650 -13.660

136.407 136.292 136.232 136.261 135.951 135.992 135.999 136.016 136.329 136.524 136.691 136.705 136.770 136.702 136.690 136.672 136.660 136.655 136.650 136.638 136.603 136.670 136.675 136.687 136.694 136.689 136.708 136.714 136.733 136.752 136.763 136.770 136.735 136.711 136.692 136.947 136.928 136.891

3.4 13.5 7.9 4.8 5.9 7.0 7.2 4.7 6.6 0.0 11.8 16.1 0.0 8.8 9.6 6.7 6.7 8.4 14.0 12.8 0.0 9.5 8.4 11.0 0.0 10.9 9.9 10.9 15.8 14.4 10.4 13.8 6.2 0.0 7.5 3.2 2.9 10.5

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

50 1.5 4.0 3.5 2.5 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.1 0.8 0.0 4.1 5.4 0.0 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.7 2.1 2.3 0.0 2.4 1.8 1.1 0.0 2.4 2.3 2.5 2.6 2.4 2.0 2.8 0.3 0.0 1.1 1.5 1.5 3.5

100 1.5 4.8 4.0 2.5 1.4 1.4 1.3 1.3 0.9 0.0 4.8 5.9 0.0 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.3 0.9 2.8 3.0 0.0 3.2 2.3 1.5 0.0 3.3 3.0 3.3 3.3 3.1 2.6 3.4 0.3 0.0 1.4 1.5 1.5 4.3

Significant Wave Height (m) 200 500 1000 1.5 1.5 1.5 5.6 6.3 6.7 4.0 4.0 4.0 2.5 2.5 2.5 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.5 1.7 1.9 1.5 1.7 1.8 1.5 1.7 1.8 1.0 1.1 1.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.3 5.7 5.9 6.2 6.4 6.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.3 1.5 1.7 1.5 1.7 1.9 1.5 1.8 2.0 1.5 1.8 2.0 1.0 1.3 1.4 3.4 4.1 4.4 3.7 4.4 4.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 4.8 5.0 2.9 3.5 3.8 1.9 2.4 2.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.1 4.9 5.3 3.7 4.4 4.8 4.1 4.8 5.3 4.1 4.8 5.1 3.7 4.3 4.7 3.2 3.8 4.1 3.8 4.2 4.4 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.6 2.0 2.3 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 5.0 5.5 5.5

10000 y 1.5 7.0 4.0 2.5 1.7 2.1 2.1 2.1 1.4 0.0 6.0 7.0 0.0 2.3 2.5 2.5 2.4 1.7 5.5 6.1 0.0 5.0 4.0 3.2 0.0 5.5 5.0 5.5 6.3 5.7 5.0 5.3 0.7 0.0 3.0 1.5 1.5 5.5

50 9.2 10.2 10.5 11.0 4.3 4.5 4.5 4.6 4.7 0.0 10.8 10.8 0.0 4.5 4.5 4.6 6.6 6.6 6.2 6.7 0.0 7.0 6.0 5.0 0.0 7.1 6.3 6.9 6.5 6.7 5.8 9.6 3.5 0.0 4.8 6.8 6.5 8.3

100 9.2 10.8 11.1 11.0 4.6 4.8 4.7 4.7 4.9 0.0 10.8 10.7 0.0 5.0 5.0 5.2 6.9 7.5 7.2 7.3 0.0 7.3 6.7 5.7 0.0 7.7 7.6 7.7 7.8 7.8 6.2 10.0 3.6 0.0 5.2 6.8 6.5 8.9

Wave Period (s) 200 500 9.2 9.2 10.9 11.5 11.1 11.1 11.0 11.0 4.7 4.8 4.8 4.9 4.8 4.8 4.9 4.8 5.0 5.1 0.0 0.0 11.1 11.7 11.1 11.5 0.0 0.0 5.2 4.9 5.3 5.6 5.5 6.4 6.7 8.4 7.0 9.0 7.1 9.0 7.9 9.6 0.0 0.0 7.1 8.9 7.6 8.4 6.1 7.7 0.0 0.0 7.3 8.8 7.1 8.7 7.6 8.4 7.4 8.4 7.4 8.5 6.6 7.9 10.3 10.8 4.0 3.9 0.0 0.0 5.7 6.4 6.8 6.8 6.5 6.5 9.5 10.6

1000 9.2 11.4 11.1 11.0 5.2 5.3 5.1 5.2 5.3 0.0 12.1 11.8 0.0 6.2 5.8 6.7 7.5 9.3 8.6 8.9 0.0 9.1 7.9 6.6 0.0 9.4 8.8 9.3 8.6 8.4 7.1 11.2 5.8 0.0 5.7 6.8 6.5 10.6

10000 y 9.2 12.4 11.1 11.0 4.8 5.4 5.6 5.4 5.2 0.0 12.1 12.9 0.0 6.6 6.6 6.5 10.2 10.4 10.9 11.2 0.0 9.1 9.1 7.9 0.0 9.4 9.0 9.5 9.4 9.4 11.3 14.0 5.0 0.0 4.5 6.8 6.5 10.6

Appendix Q -6

Appendix Q 2010 Tropical Cyclone Significant Wave Height and Period Tabulated Statistics Name Cody_Bank Lane_Island Yabangwamanja_Beach Yadagba_District Arnengwurra_Island Wiyakipa_Beach Wuyagiba_Community Warrakunta_Point Beatrice_Island Bing_Bong Casuarina_Bay Gilbert_Island Black_Islet South_West_Island_Community West_Neck Buchanan_Bay Red_Islet Sir_Edward_Pellew_Group Craggy_Islands White_Islet Gould_Point Camp_Beach Skull_Point Stony_Point Water_Beach Gulch_Reef Skull_Island Long_Reef Watson_Inlet Gunyana_Bay Rocky_Point Rocky_Island Little_Island Jean_Point Barclay_Point Investigator_Point Combes_Point Clarke_Bay

Lat

Long

Depth (m)

-13.683 -13.668 -13.810 -14.109 -14.342 -14.572 -14.620 -14.650 -15.083 -15.598 -15.597 -15.577 -15.607 -15.667 -15.659 -15.648 -15.636 -15.618 -15.599 -15.613 -15.631 -15.627 -15.615 -15.622 -15.628 -15.635 -15.624 -15.642 -15.649 -15.637 -15.655 -15.674 -15.692 -15.703 -15.697 -15.722 -15.733 -15.745

136.877 136.933 136.802 136.704 136.820 135.555 135.558 135.556 135.771 136.403 136.484 136.641 136.638 136.634 136.703 136.710 136.717 136.712 136.707 136.731 136.736 136.755 136.762 136.774 136.786 136.798 136.805 136.810 136.822 136.829 136.834 136.839 136.844 136.837 136.825 136.842 136.835 136.828

7.6 3.9 10.8 1.9 17.2 5.1 4.9 4.9 5.7 6.6 5.6 5.9 4.3 6.9 5.5 6.5 7.9 8.7 8.9 7.6 6.6 7.4 7.4 7.9 7.1 8.8 5.8 7.2 8.9 7.6 7.6 6.3 8.5 6.9 2.0 12.9 11.7 14.6

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

50 4.0 2.0 2.1 1.0 6.2 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.9 3.1 1.7 3.0 0.8 1.3 2.6 2.7 2.9 3.7 4.3 3.3 2.7 2.1 1.9 1.4 1.2 1.1 0.8 1.1 1.1 0.9 1.1 1.6 2.0 2.0 1.0 2.3 2.2 2.1

100 4.0 2.0 2.5 1.0 7.4 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.9 3.5 2.3 3.0 1.0 1.5 3.0 3.1 3.2 4.1 4.4 3.5 3.0 2.5 2.3 1.8 1.6 1.4 0.9 1.3 1.3 1.0 1.3 1.9 2.3 2.3 1.0 2.6 2.6 2.5

Significant Wave Height (m) 200 500 1000 4.0 4.0 4.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.8 3.1 3.2 1.0 1.0 1.0 8.3 8.5 8.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.5 3.5 3.5 2.6 2.7 2.8 3.0 3.0 3.0 1.2 1.4 1.5 1.8 2.0 2.1 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.4 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.7 3.8 4.3 4.4 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 3.6 3.8 3.9 3.2 3.4 3.5 2.8 2.9 3.0 2.6 2.7 2.7 2.0 2.2 2.2 1.8 2.0 2.0 1.6 1.8 1.8 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.5 1.7 1.7 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.6 1.8 2.1 2.5 2.7 2.5 2.9 3.1 2.6 3.0 3.2 1.0 1.0 1.0 2.8 3.1 3.3 2.8 3.1 3.3 2.7 2.9 3.1

10000 y 4.0 2.0 3.5 1.0 8.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 3.0 3.5 2.9 3.0 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 4.5 4.0 3.5 3.2 2.9 2.3 2.1 1.8 1.7 2.1 2.0 1.6 2.2 3.0 3.7 3.5 1.0 3.8 3.9 3.6

50 10.8 8.0 8.7 9.0 8.6 7.1 7.2 7.2 8.1 8.9 7.4 8.8 5.7 7.3 8.1 7.8 8.0 8.3 8.7 8.4 8.0 7.5 7.8 7.9 7.2 6.5 4.1 7.1 6.6 3.8 6.7 8.2 8.3 8.7 4.2 8.4 8.2 7.9

100 10.8 8.0 9.3 9.0 9.3 7.1 7.2 7.2 7.9 8.7 7.4 8.8 5.7 7.3 8.4 8.8 8.8 8.8 8.7 8.7 8.8 8.1 7.9 7.0 7.2 6.4 4.2 6.9 6.5 4.0 7.5 8.8 9.1 9.0 4.2 9.0 8.8 8.7

Wave Period (s) 200 500 10.8 10.8 8.0 8.0 9.1 10.2 9.0 9.0 9.3 9.5 7.1 7.1 7.2 7.2 7.2 7.2 7.8 7.8 8.7 8.7 6.9 7.1 8.8 8.8 6.5 5.7 7.2 7.8 8.4 8.4 8.1 8.0 8.0 8.5 8.1 8.4 8.5 8.5 8.0 8.6 7.9 8.6 7.8 7.8 7.5 7.4 6.9 7.0 6.6 7.3 6.4 6.7 4.3 4.1 6.4 7.5 6.6 7.3 3.9 4.1 6.6 7.6 8.2 8.2 8.2 8.5 8.5 8.8 4.2 4.2 8.1 9.0 7.9 8.9 8.2 8.8

1000 10.8 8.0 9.7 9.0 9.5 7.1 7.2 7.2 7.8 8.7 7.0 8.8 4.8 5.6 8.4 8.0 8.0 8.5 8.5 8.3 8.2 7.8 7.4 7.1 6.9 6.8 3.5 7.3 7.5 3.5 6.4 7.0 8.5 7.4 4.2 8.0 7.6 7.4

10000 y 10.8 8.0 10.5 9.0 9.5 7.1 7.2 7.2 7.8 8.7 7.1 8.8 7.7 11.2 8.4 8.0 7.7 8.4 8.5 8.6 8.2 9.2 9.3 7.1 7.3 6.7 6.4 9.1 8.5 4.3 8.8 7.9 9.6 8.6 4.2 8.9 8.9 8.0

Appendix Q -7

Appendix Q 2010 Tropical Cyclone Significant Wave Height and Period Tabulated Statistics Name Ataluma_Point Centre_Is_Tide_Gauge Payne_Island Jensen_Point Port_McArthur Sharker_Point Pelican_Spit Little_Vanderlin_Island Clarkson_Point Stokes_Bay Beavan_Point Ulbara_Point Small_Islet Whittet_Point Anderson_Point Jolly_Islet Train_Point Red_Point Brown_Islet Charles_Point Geranium_Bay Denten_Point Law_Island David_Islet Barbara_Cove Kedge_Point Base_Bay Turtle_Islet Cape_Vandelin Maxwell_Point Wheatley_Islet Mesley_Point Investigator_Bay Three_Hummock_Point Quince_Islet Daisy_Islet Jimmy_Islet Webinger_Point

Lat

Long

Depth (m)

-15.749 -15.754 -15.759 -15.775 -15.787 -15.883 -15.864 -15.861 -15.841 -15.823 -15.816 -15.802 -15.796 -15.777 -15.759 -15.752 -15.746 -15.721 -15.703 -15.684 -15.673 -15.661 -15.650 -15.638 -15.634 -15.622 -15.617 -15.587 -15.583 -15.578 -15.596 -15.603 -15.621 -15.616 -15.648 -15.721 -15.751 -15.769

136.809 136.790 136.771 136.745 136.738 136.744 137.012 137.062 137.026 137.021 137.009 136.985 136.973 136.968 136.963 136.951 136.939 136.922 136.917 136.912 136.919 136.926 136.933 136.940 136.959 136.966 136.985 136.987 137.006 137.025 137.030 137.042 137.047 137.066 137.095 137.115 137.113 137.118

5.1 7.7 6.6 5.6 4.8 5.0 6.9 3.2 8.6 5.7 5.9 6.7 6.8 5.3 6.5 7.3 6.9 8.1 13.8 14.0 12.3 12.2 12.5 13.7 7.8 5.8 0.0 11.2 5.9 13.6 9.8 8.9 6.4 7.9 5.9 6.1 4.8 6.1

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

50 1.0 1.2 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.6 1.7 1.5 0.9 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 2.7 2.7 2.9 3.2 3.5 2.7 2.8 0.0 5.0 3.0 6.2 5.0 4.5 3.0 4.0 3.0 3.0 2.5 3.0

100 1.3 1.4 1.3 1.4 1.5 2.2 1.9 1.5 0.9 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.8 0.8 1.0 0.9 3.0 3.0 3.2 3.5 3.8 2.9 3.0 0.0 5.5 3.0 7.0 5.0 4.5 3.0 4.0 3.0 3.0 2.5 3.0

Significant Wave Height (m) 200 500 1000 1.4 1.7 1.8 1.5 1.8 2.0 1.4 1.7 1.8 1.7 2.0 2.2 1.8 2.2 2.4 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.2 2.4 2.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 0.9 1.0 1.0 0.8 0.9 1.0 0.8 0.9 1.0 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.2 0.9 1.0 1.2 0.8 0.9 1.0 0.8 0.9 1.1 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.3 1.4 1.0 1.1 1.2 3.2 3.3 3.4 3.2 3.4 3.5 3.4 3.6 3.7 3.7 3.8 3.9 4.0 4.1 4.1 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.5 5.5 5.5 3.0 3.0 3.0 7.0 7.0 7.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 4.5 4.5 4.5 3.0 3.0 3.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.5 2.5 2.5 3.0 3.0 3.0

10000 y 2.5 2.5 2.2 2.9 2.5 2.5 2.9 1.5 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.7 1.6 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.5 3.7 3.8 4.0 4.1 4.3 3.5 3.0 0.0 5.5 3.0 7.0 5.0 4.5 3.0 4.0 3.0 3.0 2.5 3.0

50 4.0 3.8 3.8 3.7 3.7 7.7 7.1 7.0 4.8 4.9 4.3 4.0 4.0 3.6 3.6 3.5 3.6 3.8 3.7 8.3 8.7 8.7 8.6 8.7 8.7 8.9 0.0 9.2 8.9 9.1 9.1 9.1 8.9 9.0 8.6 8.8 8.5 8.8

100 4.4 4.1 4.0 4.0 4.0 8.0 7.5 7.0 4.7 4.7 4.2 4.1 4.1 3.9 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.8 3.8 9.1 9.0 9.1 9.0 8.9 9.1 8.9 0.0 9.1 8.9 9.2 9.1 9.1 8.9 9.0 8.6 8.8 8.5 8.8

Wave Period (s) 200 500 4.1 4.1 4.0 4.2 3.7 3.8 3.8 4.0 3.9 3.9 7.4 7.5 6.5 7.5 7.0 7.0 4.7 5.1 4.9 5.3 4.2 4.2 4.1 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.1 3.8 3.7 4.0 3.8 3.6 3.7 3.6 3.9 3.9 3.7 3.8 8.4 9.0 8.3 9.1 8.4 9.1 8.7 8.9 8.6 8.7 8.6 8.9 8.9 8.9 0.0 0.0 9.1 9.1 8.9 8.9 9.2 9.2 9.1 9.1 9.1 9.1 8.9 8.9 9.0 9.0 8.6 8.6 8.8 8.8 8.5 8.5 8.8 8.8

1000 3.3 3.3 3.1 3.2 3.2 7.5 6.4 7.0 4.5 3.9 3.4 3.3 3.3 3.4 3.3 3.2 3.3 3.4 3.4 8.2 8.5 8.5 8.9 8.9 8.5 8.9 0.0 9.1 8.9 9.2 9.1 9.1 8.9 9.0 8.6 8.8 8.5 8.8

10000 y 4.0 5.6 4.3 4.7 3.9 7.5 7.5 7.0 8.2 6.3 4.3 6.1 3.8 3.9 3.6 3.8 3.6 4.3 3.8 8.9 9.0 8.5 9.0 8.6 9.0 8.9 0.0 9.1 8.9 9.2 9.1 9.1 8.9 9.0 8.6 8.8 8.5 8.8

Appendix Q -8

Appendix Q 2010 Tropical Cyclone Significant Wave Height and Period Tabulated Statistics Name Sharp_Stones_Point Goat_Point Myoorlka_Island Murrenginya_Island Calvert_River QLDNT_Border Walker_Point Cabbage_Tree_Cove Observation_Island North_Island Craufurd_Islet Heriot_Reef Cape_Pellew Ross_Point North_Island_Community Paradice_Bay Webe_Point Johnston_Islet Watson_Island Toby_Point Macassar_Bay Phil_Point Inner_Bank West_Island_Community Crocodile_Point Eagle_Bay Cliffdale_Creek Pains_Island Bayley_Island Bayley_Point Syrell_Creek James_Creek Moonlight_Creek Tarrant_Point Channon_Creek Pasco_Inlet Nicholson_River Pandanus_Creek

Lat

Long

Depth (m)

-15.828 -15.856 -16.012 -16.037 -16.195 -16.527 -15.641 -15.623 -15.611 -15.582 -15.534 -15.515 -15.497 -15.490 -15.513 -15.525 -15.530 -15.541 -15.546 -15.574 -15.619 -15.651 -15.646 -15.652 -15.638 -14.834 -16.813 -16.863 -16.899 -16.911 -16.960 -17.193 -17.254 -17.363 -17.407 -17.472 -17.496 -17.503

137.114 137.081 137.275 137.292 137.742 138.008 136.891 136.886 136.893 136.895 136.892 136.887 136.882 136.870 136.856 136.849 136.830 136.823 136.804 136.771 136.824 136.853 136.872 136.499 136.475 135.715 138.779 139.038 139.049 139.042 139.077 139.195 139.222 139.479 139.533 139.623 139.641 139.653

6.6 4.7 8.5 5.6 8.1 6.8 13.3 6.4 7.1 0.1 6.7 3.1 9.8 15.4 4.5 9.4 10.3 6.9 6.2 6.5 4.8 10.2 12.7 4.8 4.9 5.7 6.5 6.1 12.5 8.3 6.3 6.1 6.3 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.4 7.5

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

50 3.5 2.5 4.5 3.0 4.0 3.5 2.5 1.8 1.9 0.5 3.5 1.5 5.0 5.6 2.5 2.8 4.7 3.5 3.0 3.1 0.8 1.0 1.5 0.5 1.5 3.0 3.5 3.0 1.5 1.9 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.5

100 3.5 2.5 4.5 3.0 4.0 3.5 2.7 1.9 2.0 0.5 3.5 1.5 5.0 6.8 2.5 3.2 5.0 3.5 3.0 3.3 0.9 1.1 1.6 0.6 2.0 3.0 3.5 3.0 1.7 2.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.8

Significant Wave Height (m) 200 500 1000 3.5 3.5 3.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 3.0 3.0 3.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 3.5 3.5 3.5 2.9 3.0 3.2 2.0 2.2 2.3 2.1 2.2 2.3 0.5 0.5 0.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 5.0 5.0 5.0 7.5 7.5 7.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 3.5 3.9 4.1 5.0 5.0 5.0 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.5 3.5 3.5 1.0 1.2 1.3 1.2 1.4 1.5 1.7 1.9 2.0 0.6 0.7 0.9 2.2 2.3 2.3 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.0 3.0 3.0 1.8 1.9 1.9 2.1 2.2 2.3 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 4.0 4.0 4.0

10000 y 3.5 2.5 4.5 3.0 4.0 3.5 3.5 2.7 2.6 0.5 3.5 1.5 5.0 7.5 2.5 4.4 5.0 3.5 3.0 3.5 1.7 1.9 2.3 1.4 2.4 3.0 3.5 3.0 2.1 2.4 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 4.0

50 8.9 8.4 9.1 9.0 9.1 8.9 9.0 9.0 8.9 0.0 9.1 7.8 9.2 9.2 8.9 9.0 9.1 9.0 9.0 8.5 3.7 3.8 8.6 4.3 7.9 8.1 10.9 10.8 7.4 7.0 6.5 6.0 5.9 6.4 6.5 6.5 6.6 6.5

100 8.9 8.4 9.1 9.0 9.1 8.9 9.2 9.2 9.1 0.0 9.1 7.8 9.2 9.6 8.9 9.2 9.0 9.0 9.0 9.2 3.9 4.1 8.8 4.1 8.1 8.1 10.9 10.8 7.4 7.1 6.5 6.0 5.9 6.4 6.5 6.5 6.6 6.5

Wave Period (s) 200 500 8.9 8.9 8.4 8.4 9.1 9.1 9.0 9.0 9.1 9.1 8.9 8.9 8.7 9.3 8.4 9.3 8.6 9.1 0.0 0.0 9.1 9.1 7.8 7.8 9.2 9.2 9.0 9.0 8.9 8.9 8.9 9.4 9.0 9.0 9.0 9.0 9.0 9.0 8.4 8.4 3.7 3.8 3.9 3.8 8.3 8.7 4.3 4.4 7.1 7.2 8.1 8.1 10.9 10.9 10.8 10.8 8.2 7.9 7.7 7.7 6.5 6.5 6.0 6.0 5.9 5.9 6.4 6.4 6.5 6.5 6.5 6.5 6.6 6.6 6.9 6.9

1000 8.9 8.4 9.1 9.0 9.1 8.9 7.8 8.5 8.1 0.0 9.1 7.8 9.2 9.0 8.9 8.6 9.0 9.0 9.0 8.4 3.5 3.5 8.3 2.8 7.3 8.1 10.9 10.8 8.4 8.3 6.5 6.0 5.9 6.4 6.5 6.5 6.6 6.9

10000 y 8.9 8.4 9.1 9.0 9.1 8.9 9.7 9.5 10.1 0.0 9.1 7.8 9.2 9.0 8.9 9.0 9.0 9.0 9.0 8.4 4.8 3.7 9.9 12.3 7.8 8.1 10.9 10.8 10.1 10.8 6.5 6.0 5.9 6.4 6.5 6.5 6.6 6.9

Appendix Q -9

Appendix Q 2010 Tropical Cyclone Significant Wave Height and Period Tabulated Statistics Name Williams_Inlet Offshore_Burketown Gore_Point Disaster_Inlet Brannigan_Creek Accident_Inlet Fitzmaurice_Point Smithburne_River Bold_Point Van_Diemen_Inlet Karumba Alligator_Point Flinders_River Macdonald_Point Sweers_Is_Resort Inscription_Point Bentinck_Is_Airport Carnarvon Red_Cliffs Fowler_Island Mckenzie_Creek Wilson_Bay Kirke_Point Bessie_Island Margaret_Island Albinia_Island Oaktree_Point White_Cliff Horseshoe_Island Creffild_Point Allen_Island Greenaway_Point Little_Allen_Island Beche_De_Mer_Point Beche_De_Mer_Bay Warahbah_Point Boyorrunga_Inlet Timber_Point

Lat

Long

Depth (m)

-17.509 -17.519 -17.612 -17.619 -17.201 -17.189 -17.160 -17.035 -16.995 -16.977 -17.442 -17.454 -17.577 -17.129 -17.118 -17.106 -17.100 -17.094 -17.083 -17.116 -17.136 -17.130 -17.108 -16.999 -17.031 -17.042 -16.982 -17.038 -17.006 -17.066 -17.053 -16.996 -16.990 -16.810 -16.763 -16.752 -16.740 -16.742

139.665 139.740 139.941 139.953 140.887 140.894 140.896 140.920 140.959 140.954 140.795 140.788 140.619 139.585 139.592 139.599 139.587 139.606 139.613 139.561 139.485 139.473 139.405 139.374 139.403 139.397 139.512 139.559 139.274 139.270 139.246 139.199 139.187 139.166 139.194 139.201 139.208 139.239

7.2 6.1 6.4 6.4 6.8 6.3 7.1 7.2 0.0 7.0 5.8 7.3 1.0 11.7 8.9 7.4 8.4 8.3 7.6 3.7 9.1 8.7 0.0 7.3 6.6 6.1 6.6 0.2 8.8 8.1 4.8 5.9 6.2 5.9 6.0 7.0 6.4 6.1

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

50 3.5 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.5 3.0 3.5 3.5 0.0 2.5 2.5 2.6 0.5 2.3 2.1 2.0 3.2 2.0 1.8 1.2 2.6 2.5 0.0 3.5 2.9 2.8 3.5 0.5 3.6 3.2 2.5 2.5 2.8 3.0 3.0 3.1 2.8 3.0

100 3.5 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.5 3.0 3.5 3.5 0.0 3.5 2.7 2.7 0.5 2.7 2.3 2.2 3.3 2.1 2.0 1.4 3.0 2.9 0.0 3.5 3.3 3.0 3.5 0.5 3.9 3.6 2.5 2.5 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.5 3.0 3.0

Significant Wave Height (m) 200 500 1000 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.5 3.5 3.5 2.8 3.0 3.0 2.9 3.2 3.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 3.0 3.3 3.4 2.4 2.6 2.7 2.3 2.4 2.5 3.3 3.4 3.5 2.2 2.3 2.4 2.1 2.2 2.2 1.6 1.9 2.0 3.3 3.6 3.8 3.2 3.5 3.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.4 3.5 3.5 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.5 3.5 3.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 4.0 4.1 4.2 3.9 4.0 4.0 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.6 2.7 2.8 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0

10000 y 3.5 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.5 3.0 3.5 3.5 0.0 3.5 3.0 3.5 0.5 3.7 2.9 2.8 3.8 2.7 2.5 2.0 4.1 4.0 0.0 3.5 3.5 3.0 3.5 0.5 4.4 4.0 2.5 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.5 3.0 3.0

50 6.7 6.7 6.7 6.7 10.5 10.5 10.5 10.4 0.0 5.9 9.7 9.6 0.0 6.7 6.9 7.3 7.5 7.2 7.1 6.5 5.2 5.0 0.0 7.2 7.1 7.3 7.0 4.2 6.9 6.3 6.2 6.6 6.8 7.2 6.3 6.2 6.0 6.4

100 6.7 6.7 6.7 6.7 10.5 10.5 10.5 10.4 0.0 6.0 9.8 9.7 0.0 6.9 7.3 7.5 7.6 7.4 7.2 6.2 5.1 4.9 0.0 7.2 7.2 7.4 7.0 4.2 7.1 6.4 6.2 6.7 7.0 7.2 6.3 6.5 6.2 6.4

Wave Period (s) 200 500 6.7 6.7 6.7 6.7 6.7 6.7 6.7 6.7 10.5 10.5 10.5 10.5 10.5 10.5 10.4 10.4 0.0 0.0 6.0 6.0 9.9 10.9 9.9 11.1 0.0 0.0 7.2 7.0 7.2 7.3 7.6 7.4 7.7 7.6 7.5 7.4 7.3 7.3 6.5 6.6 5.4 5.4 5.2 5.2 0.0 0.0 7.2 7.2 7.4 7.4 7.4 7.4 7.0 7.0 4.2 4.2 7.3 7.1 6.8 6.9 6.2 6.2 6.8 6.8 7.0 7.0 7.2 7.2 6.3 6.3 6.5 6.5 6.2 6.2 6.4 6.4

1000 6.7 6.7 6.7 6.7 10.5 10.5 10.5 10.4 0.0 6.0 10.9 11.1 0.0 7.6 7.3 7.7 7.8 7.5 7.8 7.0 5.3 4.8 0.0 7.2 7.4 7.4 7.0 4.2 7.3 6.9 6.2 6.8 7.0 7.2 6.3 6.5 6.2 6.4

10000 y 6.7 6.7 6.7 6.7 10.5 10.5 10.5 10.4 0.0 6.0 10.9 11.1 0.0 7.6 8.2 7.6 7.4 7.7 7.7 7.1 5.2 4.9 0.0 7.2 7.4 7.4 7.0 4.2 7.4 6.9 6.2 6.9 7.0 7.2 6.3 6.5 6.2 6.4

Appendix Q -10

Appendix Q 2010 Tropical Cyclone Significant Wave Height and Period Tabulated Statistics Name Beeberr_Creek Wunungun_Point Tulburrerr_Island Gerrigroo_Point Kungunmeah_River Woolgunjin_Point Jirke_Island Yuwah_Point Beahgoo_Island Dungnoreah_Point Sydney_Island Ngawalgeah_Point Lingeleah_Island Weediah_Bay Walbor_Inlet Jubuneah_Point Lelkajindi_Creek Ngulwonmeah_River Gilitja_Point Charlie_Bush_Bay Billmahgun_Point Dalmumeah_Creek Gatgatgerah_Creek Lingnoonganee_Island Meahyawogan_Point Moondalbee_Island Mudgun_Point Towbulbulan_River Watson_Patch Thabugan_Point Wardoo_Creek Lowareah_Point Sandalwood_Place_River Eengan_Bay Hall_Point Gumbannge_Point Goojamun_Creek Ballast_Creek

Lat

Long

Depth (m)

-16.737 -16.743 -16.757 -16.747 -16.713 -16.702 -16.678 -16.685 -16.692 -16.728 -16.695 -16.647 -16.635 -16.612 -16.594 -16.582 -16.541 -16.529 -16.524 -16.531 -16.557 -16.535 -16.530 -16.497 -16.504 -16.451 -16.438 -16.443 -16.398 -16.390 -16.404 -16.437 -16.450 -16.460 -16.464 -16.497 -16.508 -16.520

139.257 139.270 139.294 139.332 139.384 139.390 139.404 139.416 139.428 139.439 139.491 139.487 139.494 139.507 139.502 139.509 139.518 139.524 139.543 139.555 139.604 139.649 139.668 139.719 139.731 139.747 139.722 139.703 139.650 139.607 139.519 139.467 139.379 139.341 139.291 139.240 139.233 139.226

5.5 6.5 5.5 6.5 7.1 6.7 0.0 6.4 6.2 7.1 5.7 6.3 7.1 8.4 6.8 6.5 3.4 1.7 2.8 6.4 8.8 2.6 3.3 0.0 0.1 8.2 8.7 0.0 9.3 10.2 11.0 10.9 6.0 0.5 3.1 9.9 6.6 5.8

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

50 2.9 2.9 3.0 3.5 3.5 3.2 0.0 2.6 2.5 3.3 3.0 3.0 3.5 4.0 3.5 3.5 1.5 1.0 1.5 3.0 3.5 1.5 1.5 0.0 0.5 4.0 4.5 0.0 4.5 5.0 5.5 5.4 3.0 0.5 1.5 5.0 3.5 3.0

100 3.0 3.3 3.0 3.5 3.5 3.5 0.0 3.0 3.0 3.5 3.0 3.0 3.5 4.0 3.5 3.5 1.5 1.0 1.5 3.0 4.2 1.5 1.5 0.0 0.5 4.0 4.5 0.0 4.5 5.0 5.5 5.5 3.0 0.5 1.5 5.0 3.5 3.0

Significant Wave Height (m) 200 500 1000 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.5 3.5 3.5 4.0 4.0 4.0 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.5 1.5 1.5 3.0 3.0 3.0 4.5 4.5 4.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.5 4.5 4.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.5 4.5 4.5 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.5 5.5 5.5 5.5 5.5 5.5 3.0 3.0 3.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 5.0 5.0 5.0 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.0 3.0 3.0

10000 y 3.0 3.5 3.0 3.5 3.5 3.5 0.0 3.0 3.0 3.5 3.0 3.0 3.5 4.0 3.5 3.5 1.5 1.0 1.5 3.0 4.5 1.5 1.5 0.0 0.5 4.0 4.5 0.0 4.5 5.0 5.5 5.5 3.0 0.5 1.5 5.0 3.5 3.0

50 6.1 6.2 6.4 6.5 6.4 6.1 0.0 5.4 5.3 6.5 6.5 6.4 6.5 6.5 6.3 6.2 5.7 4.8 5.3 5.8 6.1 5.6 5.8 0.0 3.5 9.5 10.0 0.0 10.3 10.5 10.7 10.6 10.3 6.3 8.9 11.1 10.8 10.7

100 6.3 6.2 6.4 6.5 6.4 6.4 0.0 5.5 5.4 6.6 6.5 6.4 6.5 6.5 6.3 6.2 5.7 4.8 5.3 5.8 6.0 5.6 5.8 0.0 3.5 9.5 10.0 0.0 10.3 10.5 10.7 10.9 10.3 6.3 8.9 11.1 10.8 10.7

Wave Period (s) 200 500 6.3 6.3 6.5 6.5 6.4 6.4 6.5 6.5 6.4 6.4 6.4 6.4 0.0 0.0 5.5 5.5 5.4 5.4 6.6 6.6 6.5 6.5 6.4 6.4 6.5 6.5 6.5 6.5 6.3 6.3 6.2 6.2 5.7 5.7 4.8 4.8 5.3 5.3 5.8 5.8 6.3 6.3 5.6 5.6 5.8 5.8 0.0 0.0 3.5 3.5 9.5 9.5 10.0 10.0 0.0 0.0 10.3 10.3 10.5 10.5 10.7 10.7 10.9 10.9 10.3 10.3 6.3 6.3 8.9 8.9 11.1 11.1 10.8 10.8 10.7 10.7

1000 6.3 6.5 6.4 6.5 6.4 6.4 0.0 5.5 5.4 6.6 6.5 6.4 6.5 6.5 6.3 6.2 5.7 4.8 5.3 5.8 6.3 5.6 5.8 0.0 3.5 9.5 10.0 0.0 10.3 10.5 10.7 10.9 10.3 6.3 8.9 11.1 10.8 10.7

10000 y 6.3 6.5 6.4 6.5 6.4 6.4 0.0 5.5 5.4 6.6 6.5 6.4 6.5 6.5 6.3 6.2 5.7 4.8 5.3 5.8 6.3 5.6 5.8 0.0 3.5 9.5 10.0 0.0 10.3 10.5 10.7 10.9 10.3 6.3 8.9 11.1 10.8 10.7

Appendix Q -11

Appendix Q 2010 Tropical Cyclone Significant Wave Height and Period Tabulated Statistics Name Dwenty_Point Bilmagun_Point Brookes_Reef Bidgagum_Bay Waddagun_Waterhole Horse_Place_Creek Gee_Wee_Creek Lingele_Point Jidan_Marun Gee_Wee_Point Mornington_Island Dubbar_Point Porpoise_Point Denham_Island Dougherty_Bay Andrew_Island Midbagar_Point Snapper_Point Whale_Point Forsyth_Island Forsyth_Islands Government_Point Ivis_Island Eight_Mile_Creek Bountiful_Islands Pisonia_Island Van_Diemen_Inlet Salt_Arm_Creek Rocky_Creek Station_Creek Station_Creek Topsy_Creek South_Mitchell_River Chapman_River Pormpuraaw Moonkan_Creek Edward_River Christmas_Creek

Lat

Long

Depth (m)

-16.532 -16.543 -16.555 -16.566 -16.578 -16.595 -16.600 -16.611 -16.629 -16.641 -16.659 -16.671 -16.712 -16.730 -16.742 -16.753 -16.765 -16.777 -16.841 -16.854 -16.861 -16.868 -16.874 -16.753 -16.683 -16.507 -16.953 -16.138 -15.897 -15.847 -15.674 -15.495 -15.340 -14.933 -14.918 -14.847 -14.735 -14.459

139.219 139.212 139.205 139.199 139.192 139.166 139.147 139.140 139.145 139.138 139.143 139.137 139.128 139.133 139.126 139.119 139.113 139.106 139.083 139.107 139.120 139.132 139.144 138.558 139.865 139.793 140.982 141.363 141.380 141.403 141.421 141.483 141.526 141.601 141.590 141.575 141.554 141.521

0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.6 12.2 12.1 11.0 10.2 4.2 7.9 7.2 6.2 6.1 6.1 6.3 6.6 8.1 6.3 6.7 6.2 7.5 6.4 10.2 12.3 5.4 5.4 5.8 4.9 9.2 0.0 6.8 5.9 6.4 6.0 3.9 1.0

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

50 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.5 5.0 4.9 4.1 4.3 2.0 3.3 2.8 1.8 2.6 2.8 3.0 3.3 2.3 2.2 2.4 2.7 2.8 3.0 3.9 4.6 2.5 2.5 3.0 2.5 4.5 0.0 3.5 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.0 0.5

100 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.5 6.0 5.9 4.8 5.0 2.0 3.6 3.3 2.2 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.5 2.6 2.5 2.6 2.8 2.9 3.0 4.6 4.9 2.5 2.5 3.0 2.5 4.5 0.0 3.5 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.0 0.5

Significant Wave Height (m) 200 500 1000 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.5 2.5 2.5 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 5.2 5.4 5.5 5.0 5.0 5.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 3.9 4.0 4.0 3.5 3.5 3.5 2.4 2.7 2.8 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.5 3.5 3.5 2.8 3.1 3.1 2.7 2.9 3.0 2.8 3.0 3.1 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.1 3.2 3.0 3.0 3.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.2 5.5 5.7 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.5 2.5 2.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 0.5 0.5 0.5

10000 y 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.5 6.0 6.0 5.5 5.0 2.0 4.0 3.5 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.5 3.3 3.0 3.4 3.0 3.5 3.0 5.0 6.0 2.5 2.5 3.0 2.5 4.5 0.0 3.5 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.0 0.5

50 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.8 10.7 10.8 10.7 10.7 11.0 10.5 10.2 9.4 9.5 9.5 9.8 9.2 8.7 6.5 6.3 6.5 6.6 10.4 7.3 9.5 9.1 9.0 9.2 9.1 9.4 0.0 9.3 9.1 9.1 9.1 8.8 0.0

100 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.8 11.5 11.5 11.0 11.4 11.0 10.9 10.6 9.3 10.2 9.9 9.8 10.0 8.7 6.7 6.4 6.6 6.6 10.4 6.9 9.6 9.1 9.0 9.2 9.1 9.4 0.0 9.3 9.1 9.1 9.1 8.8 0.0

Wave Period (s) 200 500 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.8 10.8 11.5 11.5 11.5 11.5 11.4 11.9 11.4 11.4 11.0 11.0 11.1 11.5 11.3 11.3 9.8 10.4 10.2 10.2 9.9 9.9 9.8 9.8 10.0 10.0 9.3 9.5 7.3 6.7 6.7 6.4 6.7 6.7 6.7 6.7 10.4 10.4 7.5 7.5 9.7 10.0 9.1 9.1 9.0 9.0 9.2 9.2 9.1 9.1 9.4 9.4 0.0 0.0 9.3 9.3 9.1 9.1 9.1 9.1 9.1 9.1 8.8 8.8 0.0 0.0

1000 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.8 11.5 11.5 12.1 11.4 11.0 11.5 11.3 10.7 10.2 9.9 9.8 10.0 10.2 7.6 6.7 6.7 6.7 10.4 7.5 10.6 9.1 9.0 9.2 9.1 9.4 0.0 9.3 9.1 9.1 9.1 8.8 0.0

10000 y 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.8 11.5 11.5 12.1 11.4 11.0 11.5 11.3 12.8 10.2 9.9 9.8 10.0 11.3 7.6 6.8 6.7 7.0 10.4 7.5 11.1 9.1 9.0 9.2 9.1 9.4 0.0 9.3 9.1 9.1 9.1 8.8 0.0

Appendix Q -12

Appendix Q 2010 Tropical Cyclone Significant Wave Height and Period Tabulated Statistics Name Hersey_Creek King_Creek Kulinchin Holroyd_River Knox_Creek Mitchell_River Staaten_River Gilbert_River Snake_Creek Duck_Creek Kirke_River Koontun_Creek Shell_Creek Colin_Creek Love_River Aurukun_(Archer_River) Ward_River Worbody_Point Possum_Creek Ina_Creek False_Pera_Head Norman_Creek Thud_Point Pera_Head Boyd_Point Beening_Creek Jessica_Point Wooldrum_Point Evans_Landing Wallaby_Island Amboyninghy_Point Landfall_Point Botchet_Creek Duyfken_Point Pine_River_Bay Nomenade_Creek Wenlock_River Janie_Creek

Lat

Long

Depth (m)

-14.356 -14.330 -14.212 -14.152 -14.087 -15.190 -16.409 -16.564 -16.680 -16.807 -13.894 -13.550 -13.513 -13.500 -13.476 -13.323 -13.291 -13.293 -13.241 -13.177 -13.078 -13.023 -12.979 -12.918 -12.885 -12.648 -12.619 -12.622 -12.608 -12.579 -12.563 -12.573 -12.534 -12.460 -12.384 -12.331 -11.939 -11.931

141.554 141.559 141.581 141.550 141.562 141.596 141.283 141.240 141.204 141.081 141.465 141.515 141.535 141.538 141.556 141.612 141.660 141.673 141.683 141.625 141.602 141.598 141.578 141.617 141.665 141.777 141.769 141.782 141.785 141.693 141.682 141.583 141.590 141.631 141.659 141.669 141.906 141.936

0.0 5.9 5.5 5.7 5.4 0.4 0.0 4.3 1.5 2.2 1.2 9.1 5.8 5.7 4.6 6.8 6.3 2.3 0.0 12.1 5.3 0.0 15.1 15.3 10.4 5.4 6.2 5.9 6.6 5.6 2.0 5.1 0.5 0.4 10.8 9.2 7.7 6.7

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50 0.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.5 0.5 0.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.5 4.5 3.0 3.0 2.5 3.5 3.0 1.0 0.0 4.8 2.5 0.0 5.6 5.4 5.0 2.5 3.0 2.8 2.7 2.3 0.9 2.5 0.5 0.5 5.2 4.5 3.6 3.2

100 0.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.5 0.5 0.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.5 4.5 3.0 3.0 2.5 3.5 3.0 1.0 0.0 5.9 2.5 0.0 7.3 6.9 5.0 2.5 3.0 2.9 2.8 2.9 1.0 2.5 0.5 0.5 5.5 4.5 3.8 3.5

Significant Wave Height (m) 200 500 1000 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.5 2.5 2.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.5 2.5 2.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.0 3.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 2.5 2.5 2.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.5 7.5 7.5 7.5 7.5 7.5 5.0 5.0 5.0 2.5 2.5 2.5 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.1 3.1 3.0 3.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 2.5 2.5 2.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 5.5 5.5 5.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.0 4.0 4.0 3.5 3.5 3.5

10000 y 0.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.5 0.5 0.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.5 4.5 3.0 3.0 2.5 3.5 3.0 1.0 0.0 6.0 2.5 0.0 7.5 7.5 5.0 2.5 3.0 3.0 3.5 3.0 1.0 2.5 0.5 0.5 5.5 4.5 4.0 3.5

50 0.0 9.0 9.1 8.9 8.9 0.0 0.0 9.0 7.8 7.5 5.3 10.9 9.9 9.7 9.3 10.4 10.2 7.4 0.0 10.5 9.5 0.0 10.2 10.2 10.1 10.3 10.4 10.1 10.1 10.6 10.0 9.1 4.1 4.0 9.9 10.0 8.6 8.5

100 0.0 9.0 9.1 8.9 8.9 0.0 0.0 9.0 7.8 7.5 5.3 10.9 9.9 9.7 9.3 10.4 10.2 7.4 0.0 11.0 9.5 0.0 10.4 10.3 10.1 10.3 10.4 10.3 10.3 10.6 9.4 9.1 4.1 4.0 10.1 10.0 8.6 9.1

Wave Period (s) 200 500 0.0 0.0 9.0 9.0 9.1 9.1 8.9 8.9 8.9 8.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 9.0 7.8 7.8 7.5 7.5 5.3 5.3 10.9 10.9 9.9 9.9 9.7 9.7 9.3 9.3 10.4 10.4 10.2 10.2 7.4 7.4 0.0 0.0 11.0 11.0 9.5 9.5 0.0 0.0 10.8 10.8 10.8 10.8 10.1 10.1 10.3 10.3 10.4 10.4 10.9 10.9 10.7 10.9 10.8 10.8 9.4 9.4 9.1 9.1 4.1 4.1 4.0 4.0 10.1 10.1 10.0 10.0 9.4 9.4 9.2 9.2

1000 0.0 9.0 9.1 8.9 8.9 0.0 0.0 9.0 7.8 7.5 5.3 10.9 9.9 9.7 9.3 10.4 10.2 7.4 0.0 11.0 9.5 0.0 10.8 10.8 10.1 10.3 10.4 10.9 11.2 10.8 9.4 9.1 4.1 4.0 10.1 10.0 9.4 9.2

10000 y 0.0 9.0 9.1 8.9 8.9 0.0 0.0 9.0 7.8 7.5 5.3 10.9 9.9 9.7 9.3 10.4 10.2 7.4 0.0 11.0 9.5 0.0 10.8 10.8 10.1 10.3 10.4 10.9 12.9 10.8 9.4 9.1 4.1 4.0 10.1 10.0 9.4 9.2

Appendix Q -13

Appendix Q 2010 Tropical Cyclone Significant Wave Height and Period Tabulated Statistics Name Mapoon Cullen_(tullanaringa)_Point Tullanaringa_(cullen)_Point Skardon_River Jackson_River Macdonald_(collet)_River Doughboy_River Cotterell_River Vrilya_Point

Lat

Long

Depth (m)

-11.849 -11.797 -11.784 -11.596 -11.493 -11.377 -11.283 -11.178 -11.056

141.936 141.946 141.948 142.038 142.070 142.105 142.108 142.126 142.121

6.0 7.2 7.5 0.0 7.8 10.0 9.2 9.9 6.2

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

50 2.9 3.5 4.0 0.0 3.7 3.3 3.2 2.9 2.3

100 3.0 3.5 4.0 0.0 4.0 4.5 4.4 4.0 2.7

Significant Wave Height (m) 200 500 1000 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.5 3.5 3.5 4.0 4.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.8 5.0 5.0 3.0 3.0 3.0

10000 y 3.0 3.5 4.0 0.0 4.0 5.0 4.5 5.0 3.0

50 9.1 9.2 9.4 0.0 8.7 8.7 9.2 9.2 8.8

100 9.5 9.2 9.4 0.0 8.9 8.9 9.3 9.1 8.9

Wave Period (s) 200 500 9.5 9.5 9.2 9.2 9.4 9.4 0.0 0.0 8.9 8.9 9.3 9.3 9.7 9.7 9.5 9.8 9.7 9.7

1000 9.5 9.2 9.4 0.0 8.9 9.3 9.7 9.9 9.7

10000 y 9.5 9.2 9.4 0.0 8.9 9.3 9.7 9.9 9.7

Appendix Q -14

Appendix R

2010 Tropical Cyclone Wave Setup and Runup Potential Tabulated Statistics

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Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stage 1 and 2 Combined Final Report

Appendix R 2010 Tropical Cyclone Wave Setup and Runup Potential Tabulated Statistics Name Bremer_Islets Gutjangan_Community East_Woody_Beach Gangaru_Lagoon Ruwakpuy_Community Bremer_Island East_Bremer_Islet Town_Beach Gove Rainbow_Cliff Yirrkala Miles_Island Garrirri_Beach Rocky_Bay Baringura_Inlet Garanhan_Beach Needle_Point Dalywoi_Bay Ngumuy_Beach Arnhem_Shoal Cape_Arnhem Lurrupukurru_Beach Bawaka_Community Gwapilina_Point Dhulmulmiya_Community Binanangoi_Point Holly_Inlet Dhaniya_Community Wanyanmera_Point Buymarr_Community Millarong Mcnamara_Island Point_Alexander Garrthalala_Community Grays_Bay Middle_Point Caledon_Bay Caledon_Point

Lat

Long

Slope (y/x)

-12.062 -12.072 -12.143 -12.150 -12.122 -12.110 -12.080 -12.168 -12.186 -12.193 -12.239 -12.257 -12.269 -12.276 -12.300 -12.319 -12.337 -12.343 -12.332 -12.327 -12.345 -12.446 -12.525 -12.555 -12.560 -12.578 -12.594 -12.588 -12.694 -12.708 -12.780 -12.869 -12.844 -12.806 -12.811 -12.822 -12.852 -12.877

136.836 136.799 136.789 136.801 136.833 136.840 136.841 136.806 136.811 136.823 136.905 136.911 136.904 136.916 136.932 136.938 136.943 136.954 136.961 136.980 136.985 136.863 136.785 136.783 136.765 136.769 136.744 136.732 136.702 136.646 136.635 136.630 136.613 136.572 136.554 136.547 136.545 136.562

0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

50 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

100 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

Wave Setup (m) 200 500 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

1000 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

10000 y 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

50 1.2 0.6 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.0 0.6 0.5 1.3 0.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.4 1.4 1.3 1.3 1.0 0.7 1.3 1.1 0.3 1.1 0.2 0.9 0.3 0.8 0.3 0.7 0.6 0.9 1.0

100 1.4 0.8 1.1 1.2 1.1 1.3 1.2 1.0 0.6 0.5 1.4 0.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.6 1.5 1.5 1.4 1.0 0.7 1.5 1.1 0.3 1.1 0.2 0.9 0.3 0.8 0.3 0.7 0.7 1.0 1.1

Wave Runup Potential (m) 200 500 1.5 1.7 0.9 1.0 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.5 1.1 1.1 1.5 1.7 1.3 1.5 1.0 1.0 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 1.6 1.9 0.9 0.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 1.6 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.9 1.5 1.5 1.0 1.0 0.7 0.7 1.5 1.5 1.1 1.1 0.3 0.3 1.1 1.1 0.2 0.2 0.9 0.9 0.3 0.3 0.9 1.0 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.8 1.1 1.2 1.1 1.1

1000 1.8 1.1 1.5 1.5 1.1 1.7 1.5 1.0 0.6 0.5 1.9 0.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.6 1.7 2.1 1.5 1.0 0.7 1.5 1.1 0.3 1.1 0.2 0.9 0.3 1.0 0.5 0.9 0.9 1.2 1.1

10000 y 2.0 1.5 1.7 1.7 1.1 1.7 1.5 1.0 0.6 0.5 1.9 0.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.6 1.7 2.2 1.5 1.0 0.7 1.5 1.1 0.3 1.1 0.2 0.9 0.3 1.1 0.5 1.0 1.0 1.3 1.1

Appendix R -1

Appendix R 2010 Tropical Cyclone Wave Setup and Runup Potential Tabulated Statistics Name Du_Pre_Bay Du_Pre_Point Cape_Grey Wonga_Bay Dirrangmurumanja_Bay Guyuwiri_Point Bald_Point Bagbiringula_Point Wardarlea_Bay Point_Arrowsmith Marajella_Bay Barraratjpi_Community Cape_Shield Djarrakpi_Community Gooninnah_Island Baniyala_Community Point_Blane Grindall_Bay Round_Hill_Island Cool_Yal_You_Ma_Island Nicol_Island Ayangmarnda_Island Isle_Woodah Morgan_Island Yee_To_Wappah_Island Blue_Mud_Bay Meringa_Island Haddon_Head Yilila_Community Bennet_Bay Malagayangu_District Miwul_Community Rantyirrity_Point Minintirri_Island Amamarrity_Island Numbulwar Nyinpinti_Point Sandy_Island

Lat

Long

Slope (y/x)

-12.928 -12.942 -12.996 -12.999 -13.004 -13.016 -13.069 -13.168 -13.189 -13.259 -13.245 -13.250 -13.285 -13.297 -13.308 -13.228 -13.286 -13.228 -13.317 -13.420 -13.452 -13.480 -13.483 -13.489 -13.494 -13.439 -13.428 -13.429 -13.659 -13.720 -13.907 -14.070 -14.212 -14.217 -14.252 -14.303 -14.463 -14.432

136.626 136.650 136.665 136.616 136.598 136.591 136.575 136.533 136.488 136.447 136.424 136.405 136.384 136.378 136.371 136.228 136.194 136.118 136.112 136.241 136.270 136.238 136.188 136.090 136.071 136.056 136.063 135.983 135.926 135.952 135.984 135.918 135.897 135.879 135.858 135.812 135.684 135.877

0.01 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

50 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0

100 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0

Wave Setup (m) 200 500 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

1000 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0

10000 y 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0

50 1.3 1.3 1.1 0.7 1.1 0.8 1.3 1.4 0.0 1.2 1.1 1.2 1.2 0.6 1.0 0.5 1.0 0.3 1.0 1.0 0.2 1.1 1.0 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.3

100 1.4 1.5 1.1 0.8 1.1 0.8 1.4 1.4 0.0 1.4 1.1 1.3 1.2 0.6 1.0 0.6 1.0 0.3 1.1 1.0 0.2 1.3 1.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.8 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.3

Wave Runup Potential (m) 200 500 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.8 1.1 1.1 0.9 0.9 1.2 1.2 0.8 0.8 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 0.0 0.0 1.5 1.7 1.1 1.1 1.3 1.3 1.2 1.2 0.6 0.6 1.0 1.0 0.7 0.7 1.0 1.0 0.3 0.3 1.2 1.2 1.0 1.0 0.2 0.2 1.4 1.6 1.1 1.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.3 0.9 0.9 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.3

1000 1.6 1.8 1.1 1.0 1.2 0.8 1.4 1.4 0.0 1.8 1.1 1.3 1.2 0.6 1.0 0.7 1.0 0.4 1.3 1.0 0.2 1.6 1.1 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.3 1.0 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.3

10000 y 1.6 1.8 1.1 1.2 1.2 0.8 1.4 1.4 0.0 2.1 1.1 1.3 1.2 0.6 1.0 0.7 1.0 0.4 1.5 1.0 0.2 1.6 1.1 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.5 1.0 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.3

Appendix R -2

Appendix R 2010 Tropical Cyclone Wave Setup and Runup Potential Tabulated Statistics Name

Lat

Long

Slope (y/x)

Alagna_Shoal Woody_Island Adumeninburra_Point Adthumaninbura_Point Adamaji_Beach North_Bay Ngurrkwurrumanja_Beach Ninaguwa_Island Nangkumanja_Reef Mekubarrkumanja_Point Amagiladjura_Point Angamanja_Island Lyangbudumanja_Point East_Bay Arawura_Bay Marjirrumanja__Beach Hand_Islet Mamarmbawiya_Point Nulukwa_Bay Numbarrila_Beach Enumerrmanja_Point Manggarna_Island South_Bay Milyakburra_Community Mirabangwa_Cliffs Banda_Island Connexion_Island Burley_Shoal North_West_Bluff Yellow_Patch Alubuwa_Point Bartelumba_Community Ngadumiyerrka_Community Deception_Bay Bartalumba_Bay Mundarringumanja_Beach Mundarrungmundja_Community Winchelsea_Island

-14.091 -13.823 -13.729 -13.706 -13.712 -13.701 -13.678 -13.655 -13.640 -13.678 -13.698 -13.716 -13.735 -13.751 -13.744 -13.769 -13.781 -13.799 -13.804 -13.815 -13.834 -13.845 -13.805 -13.799 -13.810 -13.840 -13.834 -13.850 -13.829 -13.818 -13.813 -13.808 -13.814 -13.809 -13.816 -13.811 -13.800 -13.768

136.065 136.081 136.106 136.119 136.131 136.138 136.152 136.166 136.222 136.262 136.298 136.303 136.308 136.283 136.271 136.288 136.281 136.286 136.267 136.260 136.265 136.259 136.187 136.175 136.168 136.167 136.376 136.350 136.395 136.402 136.420 136.439 136.451 136.470 136.482 136.500 136.507 136.478

0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

50 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1

100 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1

Wave Setup (m) 200 500 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1

1000 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

10000 y 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

50 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.8 1.1 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.6 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.7 0.8 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5

100 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.9 1.2 1.2 1.0 0.9 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.6 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.8 0.8 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6

Wave Runup Potential (m) 200 500 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.3 1.5 1.3 1.5 1.1 1.4 1.1 1.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9 1.1 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.9 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.9 1.0 0.9 1.0 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.9 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6

1000 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.9 1.5 1.6 1.4 1.3 0.0 0.0 1.3 0.6 0.9 0.2 0.1 1.0 1.1 0.4 0.6 0.7 1.0 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.7

10000 y 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.9 0.8 1.0 0.9 1.5 1.6 1.5 1.7 0.0 0.0 1.6 0.6 1.2 0.2 0.1 1.0 1.1 0.5 0.6 0.7 1.0 1.0 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.0 0.9 1.0 0.9 0.9

Appendix R -3

Appendix R 2010 Tropical Cyclone Wave Setup and Runup Potential Tabulated Statistics Name Mugwana_Island Finch_Island Alyinga_Island Yarranya_Island North_West_Bay Ayarina_Bay Darrangmurmanja_Community Yirrumanja_Point Milyema_Island Lewrrumbumanja_Cliff Chasm_Island Yingilirrba_Island Menimberrkwe_Cliff Angarmbulumardja_Island Ilyaugwamaja_Island Angarumurada_Island North_Point_Island Makmuntja_Community Milyangkwudakba_Point Mungwarndumanja_Island Jagged_Head Hempel_Bay Port_Langdon Mccomb_Point Thompson_Bay Mawulyumanja_Community Baird_Cliff Akwalirrumanja_Community Umbakumba Spit_End Little_Lagoon Alyingberrma_Community Scott_Point_Community Scott_Point Dingala_Point Amuriyerra_Point Amrranga_Beach Eight_Mile_Beach

Lat

Long

Slope (y/x)

-13.687 -13.719 -13.730 -13.748 -13.755 -13.750 -13.732 -13.714 -13.696 -13.684 -13.672 -13.656 -13.674 -13.676 -13.653 -13.648 -13.643 -13.649 -13.645 -13.681 -13.688 -13.752 -13.777 -13.788 -13.800 -13.818 -13.825 -13.838 -13.833 -13.828 -13.823 -13.812 -13.741 -13.736 -13.756 -13.805 -13.822 -13.868

136.526 136.555 136.548 136.553 136.565 136.584 136.579 136.574 136.569 136.576 136.582 136.608 136.613 136.644 136.657 136.676 136.695 136.707 136.725 136.736 136.748 136.725 136.742 136.735 136.729 136.734 136.746 136.769 136.788 136.807 136.826 136.833 136.843 136.862 136.897 136.931 136.906 136.878

0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

50 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.1

100 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.1

Wave Setup (m) 200 500 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1

1000 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.1

10000 y 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.1

50 0.9 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 1.0 0.7 0.5 0.8 0.9 1.1 0.8 1.3 0.7 0.0 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.9 1.1 1.1 1.0 0.0 1.4

100 1.1 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.7 1.2 0.8 0.5 0.8 0.9 1.2 0.8 1.3 0.7 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.1 0.0 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.0 0.0 1.4

Wave Runup Potential (m) 200 500 1.2 1.4 0.7 0.9 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.9 1.2 1.2 0.9 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.2 1.4 0.8 0.8 1.3 1.3 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.0 1.1 1.0 1.1 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.8 0.9 0.8 0.9 0.7 0.8 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.4 1.4

1000 1.5 0.9 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.8 1.0 0.9 1.0 1.2 1.0 0.6 0.8 0.9 1.5 0.8 1.3 0.7 0.0 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.1 1.0 1.1 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.1 0.1 1.1 1.3 1.1 1.0 0.0 1.4

10000 y 1.5 1.2 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.6 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.3 1.2 1.1 0.6 0.8 0.9 1.5 0.8 1.3 0.7 0.0 1.0 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.2 1.1 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.1 0.1 1.1 1.4 1.1 1.0 0.0 1.4

Appendix R -4

Appendix R 2010 Tropical Cyclone Wave Setup and Runup Potential Tabulated Statistics Name Amirraba_Community Picnic_Beach Mamalingmandja_Point Ayungkwiyungkwa_Beach Malkayubirra_Beach Ilyungmadja_Point Lugadamanja_Point Amanburnunga_Community Dalumbu_Bay Adilyagba_Point Ungwariba_Point Eberrumilya_Island Amungkarma_Islands Cape_Beatrice Arnarrma_Point Marangala_Point Mirrburrumanja_Point Marangala_Bay Murrukwulya_Island Mamungwajingumanja_Beach Inamalamandja_Point Merruwumanja_Point Arida_Island Low_Island Eninyena_Beach Amungkwalya_Beach Yanbakwa_Community South_Point Tasman_Point Rutland_Shoal Eningkirra_Beach Abarungkwa_Beach Endungwa_Beach Malkala_Community Alyangula Arruwa_Island Bustard_Isles Bustard_Island

Lat

Long

Slope (y/x)

-13.880 -13.921 -13.926 -13.917 -13.952 -14.038 -14.094 -14.170 -14.177 -14.139 -14.139 -14.303 -14.308 -14.301 -14.291 -14.283 -14.299 -14.273 -14.283 -14.288 -14.299 -14.304 -14.298 -14.302 -14.278 -14.246 -14.226 -14.244 -14.212 -13.984 -13.966 -13.955 -13.932 -13.890 -13.847 -13.708 -13.697 -13.710

136.872 136.863 136.844 136.802 136.781 136.825 136.761 136.732 136.743 136.813 136.924 136.970 136.952 136.940 136.866 136.824 136.798 136.750 136.713 136.694 136.687 136.668 136.656 136.637 136.620 136.481 136.445 136.339 136.310 136.398 136.393 136.399 136.413 136.422 136.400 136.371 136.378 136.402

0.01 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

50 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

100 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2

Wave Setup (m) 200 500 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2

1000 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2

10000 y 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3

50 1.5 1.5 1.1 0.6 1.1 1.4 1.1 0.8 0.6 1.3 1.1 1.5 1.1 1.1 0.6 0.0 0.9 0.5 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1 0.9 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.9 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.9

100 1.5 1.6 1.1 0.6 1.1 1.6 1.3 0.9 0.7 1.4 1.1 1.7 1.1 1.1 0.6 0.0 1.0 0.5 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.2 0.9 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.0 1.1 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.7 0.7 0.9 0.6 1.0

Wave Runup Potential (m) 200 500 1.5 1.5 1.8 2.0 1.1 1.1 0.6 0.6 1.1 1.1 1.7 1.9 1.4 1.4 0.9 1.0 0.7 0.8 1.4 1.4 1.1 1.1 1.8 1.9 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.0 1.1 1.1 0.5 0.5 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.3 1.3 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.1 1.1 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 1.0 1.1 0.7 0.8 1.1 1.4

1000 1.5 2.1 1.1 0.6 1.1 1.9 1.4 1.0 0.8 1.4 1.1 2.0 1.1 1.1 0.6 0.0 1.3 0.5 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.3 0.9 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.0 1.1 0.8 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.7 0.9 1.2 0.8 1.4

10000 y 1.5 2.1 1.1 0.6 1.1 1.9 1.4 1.1 0.9 1.4 1.1 2.4 1.1 1.1 0.6 0.0 1.2 0.5 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.3 0.9 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.0 1.1 0.9 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.7 0.9 1.4 0.9 1.6

Appendix R -5

Appendix R 2010 Tropical Cyclone Wave Setup and Runup Potential Tabulated Statistics Name Hawknest_Island Wedge_Island Burney_Island Amagbirra_Island Fowler_Island Kapui_Point Jalma_Bay Grindall_Point Myaoola_Bay Gurkawuy_Community Dudley_Island Three_Hummocks Port_Bradshaw Strath_Island Gove_Harbour Yanungbi Yanungbi_Community Yudu_Yudu_Community Granite_Islands Parfitt_Point Shepherd_Bluff Half_Tide_Point Dundas_Point De_Belle_Point Galupa_Community Birritjimi_Beach Gurrukpuy_Beach Harbour_Islet East_Woody_Island Galaru_Community Nhulunbuy Cape_Wirawawoi Mcintyre_Point Gunyangara_Community Butjumurru North_East_Islet North_East_Isles Hawk_Island

Lat

Long

Slope (y/x)

-13.621 -13.602 -13.569 -13.600 -13.349 -13.280 -13.269 -13.294 -13.085 -12.994 -12.872 -12.742 -12.470 -12.264 -12.257 -12.262 -12.255 -12.237 -12.219 -12.212 -12.192 -12.184 -12.203 -12.209 -12.198 -12.179 -12.174 -12.163 -12.158 -12.153 -12.160 -12.148 -12.236 -12.222 -12.227 -13.645 -13.650 -13.660

136.407 136.292 136.232 136.261 135.951 135.992 135.999 136.016 136.329 136.524 136.691 136.705 136.770 136.702 136.690 136.672 136.660 136.655 136.650 136.638 136.603 136.670 136.675 136.687 136.694 136.689 136.708 136.714 136.733 136.752 136.763 136.770 136.735 136.711 136.692 136.947 136.928 136.891

0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

50 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1

100 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2

Wave Setup (m) 200 500 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2

1000 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2

10000 y 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2

50 0.6 1.1 1.0 0.9 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 1.2 1.3 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.9 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.8

100 0.6 1.3 1.2 0.9 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 1.3 1.4 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.0 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.5 1.0 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.4 1.0

Wave Runup Potential (m) 200 500 0.6 0.6 1.4 1.5 1.2 1.2 0.9 0.9 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.6 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.5 0.7 1.0 0.8 1.1 0.0 0.0 0.8 1.0 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.8 1.0 0.7 1.0 0.8 1.0 0.8 1.0 0.8 0.9 0.6 0.8 1.1 1.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 1.1 1.3

1000 0.6 1.6 1.2 0.9 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.0 1.6 1.6 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.6 1.0 1.1 0.0 1.1 0.8 0.6 0.0 1.2 1.0 1.1 1.0 1.0 0.8 1.3 0.2 0.0 0.5 0.4 0.4 1.3

10000 y 0.6 1.8 1.2 0.9 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.0 1.6 1.8 0.0 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.7 1.4 1.5 0.0 1.1 1.0 0.8 0.0 1.2 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.2 1.4 1.7 0.2 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.4 1.3

Appendix R -6

Appendix R 2010 Tropical Cyclone Wave Setup and Runup Potential Tabulated Statistics Name Cody_Bank Lane_Island Yabangwamanja_Beach Yadagba_District Arnengwurra_Island Wiyakipa_Beach Wuyagiba_Community Warrakunta_Point Beatrice_Island Bing_Bong Casuarina_Bay Gilbert_Island Black_Islet South_West_Island_Community West_Neck Buchanan_Bay Red_Islet Sir_Edward_Pellew_Group Craggy_Islands White_Islet Gould_Point Camp_Beach Skull_Point Stony_Point Water_Beach Gulch_Reef Skull_Island Long_Reef Watson_Inlet Gunyana_Bay Rocky_Point Rocky_Island Little_Island Jean_Point Barclay_Point Investigator_Point Combes_Point Clarke_Bay

Lat

Long

Slope (y/x)

-13.683 -13.668 -13.810 -14.109 -14.342 -14.572 -14.620 -14.650 -15.083 -15.598 -15.597 -15.577 -15.607 -15.667 -15.659 -15.648 -15.636 -15.618 -15.599 -15.613 -15.631 -15.627 -15.615 -15.622 -15.628 -15.635 -15.624 -15.642 -15.649 -15.637 -15.655 -15.674 -15.692 -15.703 -15.697 -15.722 -15.733 -15.745

136.877 136.933 136.802 136.704 136.820 135.555 135.558 135.556 135.771 136.403 136.484 136.641 136.638 136.634 136.703 136.710 136.717 136.712 136.707 136.731 136.736 136.755 136.762 136.774 136.786 136.798 136.805 136.810 136.822 136.829 136.834 136.839 136.844 136.837 136.825 136.842 136.835 136.828

0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

50 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1

100 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1

Wave Setup (m) 200 500 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

1000 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1

10000 y 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1

50 1.1 0.6 0.7 0.4 1.2 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.8 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.9 1.0 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.6

100 1.1 0.6 0.8 0.4 1.4 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.9 0.6 0.8 0.3 0.5 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.9 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.8 0.8 0.7

Wave Runup Potential (m) 200 500 1.1 1.1 0.6 0.6 0.8 1.0 0.4 0.4 1.4 1.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.9 0.9 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.8 0.9 0.8 0.9 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.7 0.9 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.8

1000 1.1 0.6 0.9 0.4 1.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.9 0.6 0.8 0.3 0.4 0.8 0.8 0.8 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.7 0.2 0.8 0.7 0.7

10000 y 1.1 0.6 1.1 0.4 1.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.9 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.9 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.7 0.7 1.0 0.9 0.2 0.9 0.9 0.8

Appendix R -7

Appendix R 2010 Tropical Cyclone Wave Setup and Runup Potential Tabulated Statistics Name Ataluma_Point Centre_Is_Tide_Gauge Payne_Island Jensen_Point Port_McArthur Sharker_Point Pelican_Spit Little_Vanderlin_Island Clarkson_Point Stokes_Bay Beavan_Point Ulbara_Point Small_Islet Whittet_Point Anderson_Point Jolly_Islet Train_Point Red_Point Brown_Islet Charles_Point Geranium_Bay Denten_Point Law_Island David_Islet Barbara_Cove Kedge_Point Base_Bay Turtle_Islet Cape_Vandelin Maxwell_Point Wheatley_Islet Mesley_Point Investigator_Bay Three_Hummock_Point Quince_Islet Daisy_Islet Jimmy_Islet Webinger_Point

Lat

Long

Slope (y/x)

-15.749 -15.754 -15.759 -15.775 -15.787 -15.883 -15.864 -15.861 -15.841 -15.823 -15.816 -15.802 -15.796 -15.777 -15.759 -15.752 -15.746 -15.721 -15.703 -15.684 -15.673 -15.661 -15.650 -15.638 -15.634 -15.622 -15.617 -15.587 -15.583 -15.578 -15.596 -15.603 -15.621 -15.616 -15.648 -15.721 -15.751 -15.769

136.809 136.790 136.771 136.745 136.738 136.744 137.012 137.062 137.026 137.021 137.009 136.985 136.973 136.968 136.963 136.951 136.939 136.922 136.917 136.912 136.919 136.926 136.933 136.940 136.959 136.966 136.985 136.987 137.006 137.025 137.030 137.042 137.047 137.066 137.095 137.115 137.113 137.118

0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

50 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

100 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

Wave Setup (m) 200 500 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

1000 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

10000 y 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

50 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.0 1.1 0.8 1.2 1.1 1.0 0.8 1.0 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.8

100 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.0 1.1 0.8 1.3 1.1 1.0 0.8 1.0 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.8

Wave Runup Potential (m) 200 500 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.8 0.9 0.8 0.9 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.0 0.0 1.1 1.1 0.8 0.8 1.3 1.3 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.0 0.8 0.8 1.0 1.0 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8

1000 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.0 0.8 0.8 0.0 1.1 0.8 1.3 1.1 1.0 0.8 1.0 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.8

10000 y 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.0 1.1 0.8 1.3 1.1 1.0 0.8 1.0 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.8

Appendix R -8

Appendix R 2010 Tropical Cyclone Wave Setup and Runup Potential Tabulated Statistics Name Sharp_Stones_Point Goat_Point Myoorlka_Island Murrenginya_Island Calvert_River QLDNT_Border Walker_Point Cabbage_Tree_Cove Observation_Island North_Island Craufurd_Islet Heriot_Reef Cape_Pellew Ross_Point North_Island_Community Paradice_Bay Webe_Point Johnston_Islet Watson_Island Toby_Point Macassar_Bay Phil_Point Inner_Bank West_Island_Community Crocodile_Point Eagle_Bay Cliffdale_Creek Pains_Island Bayley_Island Bayley_Point Syrell_Creek James_Creek Moonlight_Creek Tarrant_Point Channon_Creek Pasco_Inlet Nicholson_River Pandanus_Creek

Lat

Long

Slope (y/x)

-15.828 -15.856 -16.012 -16.037 -16.195 -16.527 -15.641 -15.623 -15.611 -15.582 -15.534 -15.515 -15.497 -15.490 -15.513 -15.525 -15.530 -15.541 -15.546 -15.574 -15.619 -15.651 -15.646 -15.652 -15.638 -14.834 -16.813 -16.863 -16.899 -16.911 -16.960 -17.193 -17.254 -17.363 -17.407 -17.472 -17.496 -17.503

137.114 137.081 137.275 137.292 137.742 138.008 136.891 136.886 136.893 136.895 136.892 136.887 136.882 136.870 136.856 136.849 136.830 136.823 136.804 136.771 136.824 136.853 136.872 136.499 136.475 135.715 138.779 139.038 139.049 139.042 139.077 139.195 139.222 139.479 139.533 139.623 139.641 139.653

0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

50 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

100 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

Wave Setup (m) 200 500 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

1000 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

10000 y 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

50 0.9 0.7 1.0 0.8 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.9 0.5 1.1 1.2 0.7 0.8 1.1 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.1 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6

100 0.9 0.7 1.0 0.8 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.9 0.5 1.1 1.3 0.7 0.9 1.1 0.9 0.8 0.9 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.2 0.6 0.8 1.1 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7

Wave Runup Potential (m) 200 500 0.9 0.9 0.7 0.7 1.0 1.0 0.8 0.8 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.9 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.9 0.9 0.5 0.5 1.1 1.1 1.3 1.3 0.7 0.7 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.1 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.8 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.0 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7

1000 0.9 0.7 1.0 0.8 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.9 0.5 1.1 1.3 0.7 0.9 1.1 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.1 0.6 0.8 1.1 1.0 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7

10000 y 0.9 0.7 1.0 0.8 1.0 0.9 1.0 0.8 0.9 0.0 0.9 0.5 1.1 1.3 0.7 1.0 1.1 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.8 1.1 1.0 0.8 0.9 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7

Appendix R -9

Appendix R 2010 Tropical Cyclone Wave Setup and Runup Potential Tabulated Statistics Name Williams_Inlet Offshore_Burketown Gore_Point Disaster_Inlet Brannigan_Creek Accident_Inlet Fitzmaurice_Point Smithburne_River Bold_Point Van_Diemen_Inlet Karumba Alligator_Point Flinders_River Macdonald_Point Sweers_Is_Resort Inscription_Point Bentinck_Is_Airport Carnarvon Red_Cliffs Fowler_Island Mckenzie_Creek Wilson_Bay Kirke_Point Bessie_Island Margaret_Island Albinia_Island Oaktree_Point White_Cliff Horseshoe_Island Creffild_Point Allen_Island Greenaway_Point Little_Allen_Island Beche_De_Mer_Point Beche_De_Mer_Bay Warahbah_Point Boyorrunga_Inlet Timber_Point

Lat

Long

Slope (y/x)

-17.509 -17.519 -17.612 -17.619 -17.201 -17.189 -17.160 -17.035 -16.995 -16.977 -17.442 -17.454 -17.577 -17.129 -17.118 -17.106 -17.100 -17.094 -17.083 -17.116 -17.136 -17.130 -17.108 -16.999 -17.031 -17.042 -16.982 -17.038 -17.006 -17.066 -17.053 -16.996 -16.990 -16.810 -16.763 -16.752 -16.740 -16.742

139.665 139.740 139.941 139.953 140.887 140.894 140.896 140.920 140.959 140.954 140.795 140.788 140.619 139.585 139.592 139.599 139.587 139.606 139.613 139.561 139.485 139.473 139.405 139.374 139.403 139.397 139.512 139.559 139.274 139.270 139.246 139.199 139.187 139.166 139.194 139.201 139.208 139.239

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

50 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

100 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0

Wave Setup (m) 200 500 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

1000 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0

10000 y 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0

50 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 1.0 0.9 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.5 0.8 0.8 0.0 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.1 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.6

100 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 1.0 0.9 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.6 0.8 0.9 0.0 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.0 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.1 0.8 0.7 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6

Wave Runup Potential (m) 200 500 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.6 0.9 1.0 0.9 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.1 0.1 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6

1000 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 1.0 0.9 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.6 1.0 1.1 0.0 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.1 0.8 0.7 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6

10000 y 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 1.0 0.9 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.6 1.0 1.1 0.0 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.1 0.8 0.7 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6

Appendix R -10

Appendix R 2010 Tropical Cyclone Wave Setup and Runup Potential Tabulated Statistics Name Beeberr_Creek Wunungun_Point Tulburrerr_Island Gerrigroo_Point Kungunmeah_River Woolgunjin_Point Jirke_Island Yuwah_Point Beahgoo_Island Dungnoreah_Point Sydney_Island Ngawalgeah_Point Lingeleah_Island Weediah_Bay Walbor_Inlet Jubuneah_Point Lelkajindi_Creek Ngulwonmeah_River Gilitja_Point Charlie_Bush_Bay Billmahgun_Point Dalmumeah_Creek Gatgatgerah_Creek Lingnoonganee_Island Meahyawogan_Point Moondalbee_Island Mudgun_Point Towbulbulan_River Watson_Patch Thabugan_Point Wardoo_Creek Lowareah_Point Sandalwood_Place_River Eengan_Bay Hall_Point Gumbannge_Point Goojamun_Creek Ballast_Creek

Lat

Long

Slope (y/x)

-16.737 -16.743 -16.757 -16.747 -16.713 -16.702 -16.678 -16.685 -16.692 -16.728 -16.695 -16.647 -16.635 -16.612 -16.594 -16.582 -16.541 -16.529 -16.524 -16.531 -16.557 -16.535 -16.530 -16.497 -16.504 -16.451 -16.438 -16.443 -16.398 -16.390 -16.404 -16.437 -16.450 -16.460 -16.464 -16.497 -16.508 -16.520

139.257 139.270 139.294 139.332 139.384 139.390 139.404 139.416 139.428 139.439 139.491 139.487 139.494 139.507 139.502 139.509 139.518 139.524 139.543 139.555 139.604 139.649 139.668 139.719 139.731 139.747 139.722 139.703 139.650 139.607 139.519 139.467 139.379 139.341 139.291 139.240 139.233 139.226

0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

50 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1

100 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1

Wave Setup (m) 200 500 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

1000 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1

10000 y 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1

50 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.1 1.0 1.1 0.0 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.3 0.9 0.2 0.5 1.3 1.0 1.0

100 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.1 1.0 1.1 0.0 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.4 0.9 0.2 0.5 1.3 1.0 1.0

Wave Runup Potential (m) 200 500 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.1 0.0 0.0 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 0.9 0.9 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.5 1.3 1.3 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0

1000 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.1 1.0 1.1 0.0 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.4 0.9 0.2 0.5 1.3 1.1 1.0

10000 y 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.1 1.0 1.1 0.0 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.4 0.9 0.2 0.5 1.3 1.1 1.0

Appendix R -11

Appendix R 2010 Tropical Cyclone Wave Setup and Runup Potential Tabulated Statistics Name Dwenty_Point Bilmagun_Point Brookes_Reef Bidgagum_Bay Waddagun_Waterhole Horse_Place_Creek Gee_Wee_Creek Lingele_Point Jidan_Marun Gee_Wee_Point Mornington_Island Dubbar_Point Porpoise_Point Denham_Island Dougherty_Bay Andrew_Island Midbagar_Point Snapper_Point Whale_Point Forsyth_Island Forsyth_Islands Government_Point Ivis_Island Eight_Mile_Creek Bountiful_Islands Pisonia_Island Van_Diemen_Inlet Salt_Arm_Creek Rocky_Creek Station_Creek Station_Creek Topsy_Creek South_Mitchell_River Chapman_River Pormpuraaw Moonkan_Creek Edward_River Christmas_Creek

Lat

Long

Slope (y/x)

-16.532 -16.543 -16.555 -16.566 -16.578 -16.595 -16.600 -16.611 -16.629 -16.641 -16.659 -16.671 -16.712 -16.730 -16.742 -16.753 -16.765 -16.777 -16.841 -16.854 -16.861 -16.868 -16.874 -16.753 -16.683 -16.507 -16.953 -16.138 -15.897 -15.847 -15.674 -15.495 -15.340 -14.933 -14.918 -14.847 -14.735 -14.459

139.219 139.212 139.205 139.199 139.192 139.166 139.147 139.140 139.145 139.138 139.143 139.137 139.128 139.133 139.126 139.119 139.113 139.106 139.083 139.107 139.120 139.132 139.144 138.558 139.865 139.793 140.982 141.363 141.380 141.403 141.421 141.483 141.526 141.601 141.590 141.575 141.554 141.521

0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01

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50 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0

100 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0

Wave Setup (m) 200 500 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0

1000 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0

10000 y 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0

50 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9 1.3 1.3 1.2 1.2 0.8 1.0 0.9 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.9 0.8 1.1 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 1.1 0.0 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.0

100 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9 1.5 1.5 1.3 1.4 0.8 1.1 1.0 0.7 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.9 0.8 1.1 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 1.1 0.0 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.0

Wave Runup Potential (m) 200 500 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9 0.9 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.4 1.5 1.4 1.4 0.8 0.8 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.1 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 0.8 0.9 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.2 1.3 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 1.1 1.1 0.0 0.0 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.0

1000 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.4 0.8 1.2 1.1 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.9 0.9 1.4 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 1.1 0.0 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.0

10000 y 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.4 0.8 1.2 1.1 1.1 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.1 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.9 0.9 1.5 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 1.1 0.0 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.0

Appendix R -12

Appendix R 2010 Tropical Cyclone Wave Setup and Runup Potential Tabulated Statistics Name Hersey_Creek King_Creek Kulinchin Holroyd_River Knox_Creek Mitchell_River Staaten_River Gilbert_River Snake_Creek Duck_Creek Kirke_River Koontun_Creek Shell_Creek Colin_Creek Love_River Aurukun_(Archer_River) Ward_River Worbody_Point Possum_Creek Ina_Creek False_Pera_Head Norman_Creek Thud_Point Pera_Head Boyd_Point Beening_Creek Jessica_Point Wooldrum_Point Evans_Landing Wallaby_Island Amboyninghy_Point Landfall_Point Botchet_Creek Duyfken_Point Pine_River_Bay Nomenade_Creek Wenlock_River Janie_Creek

Lat

Long

Slope (y/x)

-14.356 -14.330 -14.212 -14.152 -14.087 -15.190 -16.409 -16.564 -16.680 -16.807 -13.894 -13.550 -13.513 -13.500 -13.476 -13.323 -13.291 -13.293 -13.241 -13.177 -13.078 -13.023 -12.979 -12.918 -12.885 -12.648 -12.619 -12.622 -12.608 -12.579 -12.563 -12.573 -12.534 -12.460 -12.384 -12.331 -11.939 -11.931

141.554 141.559 141.581 141.550 141.562 141.596 141.283 141.240 141.204 141.081 141.465 141.515 141.535 141.538 141.556 141.612 141.660 141.673 141.683 141.625 141.602 141.598 141.578 141.617 141.665 141.777 141.769 141.782 141.785 141.693 141.682 141.583 141.590 141.631 141.659 141.669 141.906 141.936

0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.05 0.01 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.01 0.01

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

50 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.1

100 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.1

Wave Setup (m) 200 500 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

1000 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.1

10000 y 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.1

50 0.0 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.2 1.2 0.9 0.9 0.8 1.0 0.9 0.4 0.0 1.2 0.8 0.0 1.3 1.3 1.2 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.8 0.1 0.1 1.2 1.1 0.9 0.8

100 0.0 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.2 1.2 0.9 0.9 0.8 1.0 0.9 0.4 0.0 1.4 0.8 0.0 1.5 1.5 1.2 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.4 0.8 0.1 0.1 1.3 1.1 0.9 0.9

Wave Runup Potential (m) 200 500 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.2 1.2 1.2 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.0 1.4 1.4 0.8 0.8 0.0 0.0 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.2 1.2 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.4 0.4 0.8 0.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.3 1.3 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.9

1000 0.0 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.2 1.2 0.9 0.9 0.8 1.0 0.9 0.4 0.0 1.4 0.8 0.0 1.6 1.6 1.2 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.4 0.8 0.1 0.1 1.3 1.1 1.0 0.9

10000 y 0.0 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.2 1.2 0.9 0.9 0.8 1.0 0.9 0.4 0.0 1.4 0.8 0.0 1.6 1.6 1.2 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.2 1.0 0.4 0.8 0.1 0.1 1.3 1.1 1.0 0.9

Appendix R -13

Appendix R 2010 Tropical Cyclone Wave Setup and Runup Potential Tabulated Statistics Name Mapoon Cullen_(tullanaringa)_Point Tullanaringa_(cullen)_Point Skardon_River Jackson_River Macdonald_(collet)_River Doughboy_River Cotterell_River Vrilya_Point

Lat

Long

Slope (y/x)

-11.849 -11.797 -11.784 -11.596 -11.493 -11.377 -11.283 -11.178 -11.056

141.936 141.946 141.948 142.038 142.070 142.105 142.108 142.126 142.121

0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

50 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

100 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

Wave Setup (m) 200 500 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

1000 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

10000 y 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

50 0.8 0.9 1.0 0.0 0.9 0.8 0.9 0.8 0.7

100 0.9 0.9 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.8

Wave Runup Potential (m) 200 500 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.2 0.9 0.9

1000 0.9 0.9 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.2 0.9

10000 y 0.9 0.9 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.2 0.9

Appendix R -14

Appendix S

2050 Tropical Cyclone Significant Wave Height and Period Tabulated Results

41/23138/432535

Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stage 1 and 2 Combined Final Report

Appendix S 2050 Tropical Cyclone Significant Wave Height and Period Tabulated Statistics Name Bremer_Islets Gutjangan_Community East_Woody_Beach Gangaru_Lagoon Ruwakpuy_Community Bremer_Island East_Bremer_Islet Town_Beach Gove Rainbow_Cliff Yirrkala Miles_Island Garrirri_Beach Rocky_Bay Baringura_Inlet Garanhan_Beach Needle_Point Dalywoi_Bay Ngumuy_Beach Arnhem_Shoal Cape_Arnhem Lurrupukurru_Beach Bawaka_Community Gwapilina_Point Dhulmulmiya_Community Binanangoi_Point Holly_Inlet Dhaniya_Community Wanyanmera_Point Buymarr_Community Millarong Mcnamara_Island Point_Alexander Garrthalala_Community Grays_Bay Middle_Point Caledon_Bay Caledon_Point

Lat

Long

Depth (m)

-12.062 -12.072 -12.143 -12.150 -12.122 -12.110 -12.080 -12.168 -12.186 -12.193 -12.239 -12.257 -12.269 -12.276 -12.300 -12.319 -12.337 -12.343 -12.332 -12.327 -12.345 -12.446 -12.525 -12.555 -12.560 -12.578 -12.594 -12.588 -12.694 -12.708 -12.780 -12.869 -12.844 -12.806 -12.811 -12.822 -12.852 -12.877

136.836 136.799 136.789 136.801 136.833 136.840 136.841 136.806 136.811 136.823 136.905 136.911 136.904 136.916 136.932 136.938 136.943 136.954 136.961 136.980 136.985 136.863 136.785 136.783 136.765 136.769 136.744 136.732 136.702 136.646 136.635 136.630 136.613 136.572 136.554 136.547 136.545 136.562

19.2 13.9 12.9 12.9 7.3 14.7 12.3 6.9 3.5 2.9 17.1 5.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.3 14.4 15.0 21.0 12.9 6.8 5.0 12.5 8.4 2.7 8.2 1.5 6.3 2.1 6.9 2.1 8.5 8.8 8.0 7.2

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

50 4.3 2.9 3.1 3.4 3.5 3.9 3.6 3.5 1.5 1.5 4.5 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 5.3 5.4 5.0 4.9 3.5 2.5 5.2 4.0 1.0 4.0 0.5 3.0 1.0 2.1 0.3 1.4 1.5 2.4 3.2

100 5.8 3.9 4.2 4.6 3.5 5.2 4.8 3.5 1.5 1.5 6.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 6.9 7.0 6.4 6.2 3.5 2.5 6.0 4.0 1.0 4.0 0.5 3.0 1.0 2.5 0.5 1.6 1.7 3.0 3.5

Significant Wave Height (m) 200 500 1000 6.8 7.4 7.8 4.5 5.1 5.4 4.9 5.1 5.3 5.4 5.6 5.7 3.5 3.5 3.5 6.2 7.0 7.0 5.6 6.0 6.0 3.5 3.5 3.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 7.3 8.5 8.5 3.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 1.5 1.5 7.0 7.0 7.0 7.5 7.5 7.5 7.7 9.3 10.3 6.5 6.5 6.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 6.0 6.0 6.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 3.0 3.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 2.7 2.9 3.0 0.7 1.0 1.0 1.8 2.0 2.2 1.9 2.2 2.3 3.4 3.7 3.8 3.5 3.5 3.5

10000 y 8.4 6.0 5.6 6.0 3.5 7.0 6.0 3.5 1.5 1.5 8.5 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 7.0 7.5 10.5 6.5 3.5 2.5 6.0 4.0 1.0 4.0 0.5 3.0 1.0 3.3 1.0 2.4 2.6 4.0 3.5

50 10.9 6.9 10.1 10.8 10.8 10.7 10.3 10.7 9.5 9.2 11.0 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.6 10.9 10.9 10.7 10.9 9.9 8.9 10.8 10.4 5.8 10.5 4.7 10.4 6.7 10.3 9.1 10.5 10.0 11.0 11.0

100 10.9 7.6 10.4 10.6 10.8 10.7 10.3 10.7 9.5 9.2 10.6 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.6 11.3 10.9 10.8 10.7 9.9 8.9 11.1 10.4 5.8 10.5 4.7 10.4 6.7 10.3 9.7 10.3 9.9 10.6 10.9

Wave Period (s) 200 500 11.0 11.5 7.7 8.3 11.0 11.7 11.1 11.6 10.8 10.8 11.2 11.8 10.5 11.1 10.7 10.7 9.5 9.5 9.2 9.2 11.1 12.2 10.6 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.6 8.6 11.4 11.4 11.5 11.5 11.1 11.7 11.3 11.3 9.9 9.9 8.9 8.9 11.1 11.1 10.4 10.4 5.8 5.8 10.5 10.5 4.7 4.7 10.4 10.4 6.7 6.7 10.5 10.8 10.1 10.6 10.5 10.9 9.8 10.6 11.1 11.7 10.9 10.9

1000 11.9 8.8 12.3 12.0 10.8 11.8 11.1 10.7 9.5 9.2 12.2 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.6 11.4 11.5 12.2 11.3 9.9 8.9 11.1 10.4 5.8 10.5 4.7 10.4 6.7 10.4 11.0 11.2 10.9 11.5 10.9

10000 y 12.9 11.6 13.4 12.7 10.8 11.8 11.1 10.7 9.5 9.2 12.2 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.6 11.4 11.5 12.4 11.3 9.9 8.9 11.1 10.4 5.8 10.5 4.7 10.4 6.7 12.3 11.0 12.5 12.2 12.4 10.9

Appendix S -1

Appendix S 2050 Tropical Cyclone Significant Wave Height and Period Tabulated Statistics Name Du_Pre_Bay Du_Pre_Point Cape_Grey Wonga_Bay Dirrangmurumanja_Bay Guyuwiri_Point Bald_Point Bagbiringula_Point Wardarlea_Bay Point_Arrowsmith Marajella_Bay Barraratjpi_Community Cape_Shield Djarrakpi_Community Gooninnah_Island Baniyala_Community Point_Blane Grindall_Bay Round_Hill_Island Cool_Yal_You_Ma_Island Nicol_Island Ayangmarnda_Island Isle_Woodah Morgan_Island Yee_To_Wappah_Island Blue_Mud_Bay Meringa_Island Haddon_Head Yilila_Community Bennet_Bay Malagayangu_District Miwul_Community Rantyirrity_Point Minintirri_Island Amamarrity_Island Numbulwar Nyinpinti_Point Sandy_Island

Lat

Long

Depth (m)

-12.928 -12.942 -12.996 -12.999 -13.004 -13.016 -13.069 -13.168 -13.189 -13.259 -13.245 -13.250 -13.285 -13.297 -13.308 -13.228 -13.286 -13.228 -13.317 -13.420 -13.452 -13.480 -13.483 -13.489 -13.494 -13.439 -13.428 -13.429 -13.659 -13.720 -13.907 -14.070 -14.212 -14.217 -14.252 -14.303 -14.463 -14.432

136.626 136.650 136.665 136.616 136.598 136.591 136.575 136.533 136.488 136.447 136.424 136.405 136.384 136.378 136.371 136.228 136.194 136.118 136.112 136.241 136.270 136.238 136.188 136.090 136.071 136.056 136.063 135.983 135.926 135.952 135.984 135.918 135.897 135.879 135.858 135.812 135.684 135.877

13.1 14.8 8.6 7.9 9.0 5.6 11.8 11.3 0.0 19.4 8.5 10.3 8.9 4.7 6.9 6.3 7.4 7.4 11.9 7.0 1.7 13.4 7.3 5.6 7.7 6.2 6.1 5.6 5.7 5.4 13.8 5.7 8.6 5.0 5.6 6.1 4.8 1.8

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

50 4.4 4.9 4.0 2.3 3.6 2.5 5.2 5.5 0.0 4.8 4.0 4.4 4.5 2.0 3.5 2.3 3.5 1.2 2.9 3.3 0.5 4.2 3.4 1.0 1.1 0.9 0.8 1.3 1.4 0.9 3.5 2.5 4.0 2.5 2.5 3.0 2.5 1.0

100 5.5 6.1 4.0 2.8 4.3 2.5 6.0 5.5 0.0 5.9 4.0 5.0 4.5 2.0 3.5 2.8 3.5 1.3 3.8 3.5 0.5 5.2 3.5 1.1 1.3 1.0 0.9 1.6 1.8 1.2 4.2 2.5 4.0 2.5 2.5 3.0 2.5 1.0

Significant Wave Height (m) 200 500 1000 6.5 6.5 6.5 7.2 7.5 7.5 4.0 4.0 4.0 3.1 3.4 3.6 4.5 4.5 4.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 6.0 6.0 6.0 5.5 5.5 5.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.7 7.5 8.2 4.0 4.0 4.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 4.5 4.5 4.5 2.0 2.0 2.0 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.5 3.5 3.5 1.5 1.6 1.8 4.5 5.1 5.6 3.5 3.5 3.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 5.9 6.5 6.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 1.3 1.5 1.6 1.4 1.6 1.7 1.2 1.4 1.5 1.1 1.3 1.5 1.8 2.1 2.2 2.1 2.5 2.5 1.4 1.8 1.9 4.8 5.3 5.6 2.5 2.5 2.5 4.0 4.0 4.0 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.5 2.5 2.5 1.0 1.0 1.0

10000 y 6.5 7.5 4.0 4.0 4.5 2.5 6.0 5.5 0.0 9.5 4.0 5.0 4.5 2.0 3.5 3.0 3.5 2.2 6.0 3.5 0.5 6.5 3.5 2.0 2.1 2.1 2.0 2.5 2.5 2.3 6.2 2.5 4.0 2.5 2.5 3.0 2.5 1.0

50 11.3 11.2 10.4 8.2 10.6 9.1 10.9 10.9 0.0 10.5 10.7 10.8 10.7 7.5 10.4 6.6 10.1 4.8 10.6 10.6 4.5 10.3 10.7 4.9 4.8 4.6 4.4 4.6 4.4 3.9 6.9 7.0 7.7 6.9 7.0 7.7 6.9 5.4

100 11.0 11.0 10.4 8.4 10.4 9.1 10.9 10.9 0.0 10.6 10.7 10.8 10.7 7.5 10.4 6.8 10.1 5.0 10.3 10.7 4.5 10.9 10.9 4.9 4.9 4.7 4.7 4.7 5.2 3.7 7.2 7.0 7.7 6.9 7.0 7.7 6.9 5.4

Wave Period (s) 200 500 11.7 11.7 11.4 12.0 10.4 10.4 8.9 9.5 10.8 10.8 9.1 9.1 10.9 10.9 10.9 10.9 0.0 0.0 11.1 11.4 10.7 10.7 10.8 10.8 10.7 10.7 7.5 7.5 10.4 10.4 7.2 7.2 10.1 10.1 5.0 5.0 10.3 10.0 10.7 10.7 4.5 4.5 11.0 11.7 10.9 10.9 5.2 5.0 5.1 4.8 4.9 4.7 5.0 4.7 5.0 4.9 5.1 6.7 3.5 3.7 7.4 7.1 7.0 7.0 7.7 7.7 6.9 6.9 7.0 7.0 7.7 7.7 6.9 6.9 5.4 5.4

1000 11.7 12.0 10.4 10.0 10.8 9.1 10.9 10.9 0.0 11.9 10.7 10.8 10.7 7.5 10.4 7.2 10.1 5.8 10.0 10.7 4.5 11.7 10.9 5.3 5.3 4.9 5.0 5.3 6.6 4.0 7.8 7.0 7.7 6.9 7.0 7.7 6.9 5.4

10000 y 11.7 12.0 10.4 11.4 10.8 9.1 10.9 10.9 0.0 12.9 10.7 10.8 10.7 7.5 10.4 7.2 10.1 5.0 11.3 10.7 4.5 11.7 10.9 5.0 5.1 5.0 4.9 5.7 6.6 5.9 7.6 7.0 7.7 6.9 7.0 7.7 6.9 5.4

Appendix S -2

Appendix S 2050 Tropical Cyclone Significant Wave Height and Period Tabulated Statistics Name

Lat

Long

Depth (m)

Alagna_Shoal Woody_Island Adumeninburra_Point Adthumaninbura_Point Adamaji_Beach North_Bay Ngurrkwurrumanja_Beach Ninaguwa_Island Nangkumanja_Reef Mekubarrkumanja_Point Amagiladjura_Point Angamanja_Island Lyangbudumanja_Point East_Bay Arawura_Bay Marjirrumanja__Beach Hand_Islet Mamarmbawiya_Point Nulukwa_Bay Numbarrila_Beach Enumerrmanja_Point Manggarna_Island South_Bay Milyakburra_Community Mirabangwa_Cliffs Banda_Island Connexion_Island Burley_Shoal North_West_Bluff Yellow_Patch Alubuwa_Point Bartelumba_Community Ngadumiyerrka_Community Deception_Bay Bartalumba_Bay Mundarringumanja_Beach Mundarrungmundja_Community Winchelsea_Island

-14.091 -13.823 -13.729 -13.706 -13.712 -13.701 -13.678 -13.655 -13.640 -13.678 -13.698 -13.716 -13.735 -13.751 -13.744 -13.769 -13.781 -13.799 -13.804 -13.815 -13.834 -13.845 -13.805 -13.799 -13.810 -13.840 -13.834 -13.850 -13.829 -13.818 -13.813 -13.808 -13.814 -13.809 -13.816 -13.811 -13.800 -13.768

136.065 136.081 136.106 136.119 136.131 136.138 136.152 136.166 136.222 136.262 136.298 136.303 136.308 136.283 136.271 136.288 136.281 136.286 136.267 136.260 136.265 136.259 136.187 136.175 136.168 136.167 136.376 136.350 136.395 136.402 136.420 136.439 136.451 136.470 136.482 136.500 136.507 136.478

5.8 6.6 5.4 8.4 3.0 7.4 5.7 6.5 5.4 12.3 13.7 12.7 15.0 0.0 0.0 13.4 4.7 24.0 1.5 1.2 9.2 11.3 6.9 5.3 6.2 11.9 16.8 8.5 22.3 22.0 8.4 12.5 8.0 9.3 7.2 7.7 6.6 8.2

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

50 3.0 3.0 1.4 1.5 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.6 2.4 3.7 3.6 3.2 3.1 0.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 3.2 0.5 0.5 3.3 3.4 0.8 1.4 1.7 3.2 2.5 3.1 2.9 2.7 2.2 1.8 1.5 1.5 1.4 1.3 1.3 1.7

100 3.0 3.0 1.6 1.7 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.9 2.5 4.6 4.4 4.0 3.8 0.0 0.0 3.5 2.0 3.6 0.5 0.5 3.9 4.0 0.9 1.6 2.0 3.9 2.9 3.7 3.3 3.1 2.6 2.1 1.9 1.8 1.7 1.5 1.6 2.0

Significant Wave Height (m) 200 500 1000 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 1.8 2.0 2.2 1.9 2.2 2.3 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.8 2.1 2.3 2.0 2.3 2.5 2.2 2.5 2.7 2.5 2.5 2.5 5.3 5.8 6.0 5.1 5.9 6.4 4.7 5.4 5.8 4.4 5.0 5.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.9 4.5 4.8 2.0 2.0 2.0 4.0 4.3 4.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 4.3 4.5 4.5 4.5 5.1 5.5 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.8 2.1 2.3 2.3 2.7 3.0 4.5 5.2 5.6 3.2 3.6 3.8 4.0 4.0 4.0 3.6 3.9 4.1 3.4 3.7 3.9 2.9 3.3 3.6 2.4 2.7 2.9 2.2 2.5 2.7 2.1 2.3 2.6 2.0 2.3 2.5 1.8 2.1 2.3 1.8 2.2 2.3 2.3 2.6 2.8

10000 y 3.0 3.0 2.5 2.6 1.5 2.7 2.5 3.0 2.5 6.0 6.5 6.0 6.7 0.0 0.0 6.2 2.0 5.1 0.5 0.5 4.5 5.5 1.5 2.5 3.0 6.0 4.3 4.0 4.6 4.8 4.0 3.5 3.5 3.3 3.1 3.0 3.0 3.5

50 7.0 6.7 7.7 8.1 8.6 8.5 8.7 9.1 10.4 10.6 9.6 8.9 8.4 0.0 0.0 8.6 8.1 7.8 4.1 4.0 7.7 7.7 5.7 6.0 6.4 6.5 7.0 7.3 7.1 7.2 7.7 7.3 7.3 7.0 6.8 6.3 6.5 7.1

100 7.0 6.7 7.8 8.1 9.4 8.9 9.3 9.6 10.8 10.8 10.4 9.6 8.8 0.0 0.0 8.4 8.1 8.0 4.1 4.0 7.7 7.8 5.8 6.3 6.8 6.9 7.4 7.4 7.4 7.6 8.2 7.7 7.8 7.5 7.3 6.8 6.9 7.3

Wave Period (s) 200 500 7.0 7.0 6.7 6.7 7.8 7.9 8.5 8.8 9.4 9.4 9.6 10.0 9.6 10.5 10.0 10.7 10.8 10.8 10.9 11.3 10.4 11.3 9.8 11.0 9.4 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.8 9.3 8.1 8.1 7.8 8.3 4.1 4.1 4.0 4.0 7.8 8.7 7.7 8.2 6.2 5.8 6.6 6.3 7.1 6.5 7.1 6.9 7.3 7.7 8.1 8.1 7.4 7.9 7.4 8.0 8.1 9.1 7.8 8.9 7.7 8.9 7.5 7.9 7.5 8.0 7.0 7.7 6.9 7.7 7.1 7.4

1000 7.0 6.7 7.5 8.6 9.4 9.6 10.4 9.8 10.8 11.6 11.6 11.1 10.5 0.0 0.0 10.7 8.1 8.3 4.1 4.0 8.7 8.9 6.3 7.0 7.2 7.6 7.8 8.1 8.1 7.9 8.7 8.5 8.7 8.3 8.5 7.6 7.8 7.7

10000 y 7.0 6.7 9.4 9.6 9.4 10.3 10.4 11.2 10.8 11.6 11.6 11.6 12.6 0.0 0.0 11.8 8.1 10.1 4.1 4.0 8.7 8.9 7.0 6.5 7.2 7.2 9.1 8.1 8.7 9.1 10.1 11.1 11.2 10.7 9.9 10.4 9.6 9.1

Appendix S -3

Appendix S 2050 Tropical Cyclone Significant Wave Height and Period Tabulated Statistics Name Mugwana_Island Finch_Island Alyinga_Island Yarranya_Island North_West_Bay Ayarina_Bay Darrangmurmanja_Community Yirrumanja_Point Milyema_Island Lewrrumbumanja_Cliff Chasm_Island Yingilirrba_Island Menimberrkwe_Cliff Angarmbulumardja_Island Ilyaugwamaja_Island Angarumurada_Island North_Point_Island Makmuntja_Community Milyangkwudakba_Point Mungwarndumanja_Island Jagged_Head Hempel_Bay Port_Langdon Mccomb_Point Thompson_Bay Mawulyumanja_Community Baird_Cliff Akwalirrumanja_Community Umbakumba Spit_End Little_Lagoon Alyingberrma_Community Scott_Point_Community Scott_Point Dingala_Point Amuriyerra_Point Amrranga_Beach Eight_Mile_Beach

Lat

Long

Depth (m)

-13.687 -13.719 -13.730 -13.748 -13.755 -13.750 -13.732 -13.714 -13.696 -13.684 -13.672 -13.656 -13.674 -13.676 -13.653 -13.648 -13.643 -13.649 -13.645 -13.681 -13.688 -13.752 -13.777 -13.788 -13.800 -13.818 -13.825 -13.838 -13.833 -13.828 -13.823 -13.812 -13.741 -13.736 -13.756 -13.805 -13.822 -13.868

136.526 136.555 136.548 136.553 136.565 136.584 136.579 136.574 136.569 136.576 136.582 136.608 136.613 136.644 136.657 136.676 136.695 136.707 136.725 136.736 136.748 136.725 136.742 136.735 136.729 136.734 136.746 136.769 136.788 136.807 136.826 136.833 136.843 136.862 136.897 136.931 136.906 136.878

12.7 9.3 4.4 6.0 7.3 6.1 7.0 8.7 8.3 8.9 11.2 8.9 11.0 10.1 5.4 6.6 11.2 5.7 10.5 4.1 0.0 6.2 13.7 12.7 9.3 9.0 7.0 5.9 9.4 5.7 8.1 6.1 7.8 12.5 7.8 7.1 0.0 12.5

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

50 3.4 2.0 1.5 0.6 1.0 1.1 1.4 1.8 2.1 2.2 2.2 3.6 2.4 1.3 2.5 3.0 3.8 2.5 4.9 2.0 0.0 3.0 2.6 2.5 2.4 2.1 2.3 2.1 2.0 1.7 0.1 0.1 3.2 3.8 4.0 3.5 0.0 6.0

100 4.2 2.3 1.9 0.8 1.2 1.3 1.6 2.1 2.5 2.6 2.6 4.5 2.9 1.4 2.5 3.0 4.4 2.5 5.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 3.0 2.9 2.8 2.4 2.8 2.5 2.5 2.1 0.1 0.1 3.5 4.1 4.0 3.5 0.0 6.0

Significant Wave Height (m) 200 500 1000 4.9 5.7 6.0 2.7 3.2 3.5 2.0 2.0 2.0 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.4 1.6 1.7 1.5 1.6 1.8 1.8 2.1 2.3 2.4 2.7 2.9 3.0 3.6 4.0 3.1 3.7 4.0 3.1 3.6 4.0 4.5 4.5 4.5 3.2 3.3 3.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 2.5 2.5 2.5 3.0 3.0 3.0 4.8 5.3 5.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 5.0 5.0 5.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.2 3.5 3.7 3.2 3.5 3.6 3.1 3.4 3.6 2.6 2.8 2.9 3.1 3.4 3.5 2.7 2.9 3.0 2.7 3.0 3.2 2.4 2.5 2.5 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 3.8 4.0 4.0 4.3 4.6 4.7 4.0 4.0 4.0 3.5 3.5 3.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 6.0 6.0

10000 y 6.0 4.4 2.0 1.4 2.0 2.1 2.8 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0 4.5 3.5 1.5 2.5 3.0 5.5 2.5 5.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 4.4 4.4 4.5 3.3 3.5 3.0 3.5 2.5 0.3 0.2 4.0 4.9 4.0 3.5 0.0 6.0

50 8.8 7.3 6.9 5.9 5.6 5.8 6.5 6.6 6.8 6.6 7.8 9.6 8.9 7.9 10.0 10.2 10.6 10.3 10.8 10.8 0.0 11.1 10.6 10.6 10.6 10.4 10.2 9.2 8.3 7.3 2.9 2.9 9.7 10.6 10.6 9.9 0.0 10.7

100 9.7 7.8 8.3 6.2 6.1 6.3 7.0 7.0 7.5 7.3 8.2 10.6 9.2 8.1 10.0 10.2 10.6 10.3 11.0 10.8 0.0 11.1 10.6 10.6 10.7 10.6 10.2 9.7 9.4 8.6 2.9 2.9 9.8 10.5 10.6 9.9 0.0 10.7

Wave Period (s) 200 500 9.7 10.7 7.6 9.0 8.9 8.9 6.7 7.7 6.5 6.8 6.3 6.8 7.3 7.7 7.7 8.4 7.8 8.0 7.6 7.8 8.3 8.7 10.6 10.6 9.3 10.1 8.4 8.6 10.0 10.0 10.2 10.2 10.5 11.3 10.3 10.3 11.0 11.0 10.8 10.8 0.0 0.0 11.1 11.1 10.5 11.3 10.5 11.2 10.5 11.2 10.4 11.1 10.3 10.8 9.6 10.2 9.3 10.1 8.8 9.6 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 10.0 10.7 10.7 11.3 10.6 10.6 9.9 9.9 0.0 0.0 10.7 10.7

1000 11.5 8.5 8.9 8.1 7.3 7.7 7.9 8.3 9.3 8.6 9.4 10.6 10.2 9.0 10.0 10.2 11.8 10.3 11.0 10.8 0.0 11.1 11.1 11.3 11.2 10.9 11.2 10.4 9.6 9.6 3.0 2.8 10.7 11.2 10.6 9.9 0.0 10.7

10000 y 11.5 10.7 8.9 10.5 6.9 7.6 6.3 10.2 9.4 10.0 10.9 10.6 10.7 9.2 10.0 10.2 11.8 10.3 11.0 10.8 0.0 11.1 11.0 10.3 12.1 12.2 11.2 10.4 8.8 9.6 2.4 2.4 10.7 11.7 10.6 9.9 0.0 10.7

Appendix S -4

Appendix S 2050 Tropical Cyclone Significant Wave Height and Period Tabulated Statistics Name Amirraba_Community Picnic_Beach Mamalingmandja_Point Ayungkwiyungkwa_Beach Malkayubirra_Beach Ilyungmadja_Point Lugadamanja_Point Amanburnunga_Community Dalumbu_Bay Adilyagba_Point Ungwariba_Point Eberrumilya_Island Amungkarma_Islands Cape_Beatrice Arnarrma_Point Marangala_Point Mirrburrumanja_Point Marangala_Bay Murrukwulya_Island Mamungwajingumanja_Beach Inamalamandja_Point Merruwumanja_Point Arida_Island Low_Island Eninyena_Beach Amungkwalya_Beach Yanbakwa_Community South_Point Tasman_Point Rutland_Shoal Eningkirra_Beach Abarungkwa_Beach Endungwa_Beach Malkala_Community Alyangula Arruwa_Island Bustard_Isles Bustard_Island

Lat

Long

Depth (m)

-13.880 -13.921 -13.926 -13.917 -13.952 -14.038 -14.094 -14.170 -14.177 -14.139 -14.139 -14.303 -14.308 -14.301 -14.291 -14.283 -14.299 -14.273 -14.283 -14.288 -14.299 -14.304 -14.298 -14.302 -14.278 -14.246 -14.226 -14.244 -14.212 -13.984 -13.966 -13.955 -13.932 -13.890 -13.847 -13.708 -13.697 -13.710

136.872 136.863 136.844 136.802 136.781 136.825 136.761 136.732 136.743 136.813 136.924 136.970 136.952 136.940 136.866 136.824 136.798 136.750 136.713 136.694 136.687 136.668 136.656 136.637 136.620 136.481 136.445 136.339 136.310 136.398 136.393 136.399 136.413 136.422 136.400 136.371 136.378 136.402

13.1 21.1 8.0 4.0 8.0 18.1 11.6 6.8 6.7 11.3 7.6 26.8 8.4 8.4 5.7 0.0 15.4 4.6 6.8 9.6 10.8 15.7 8.9 8.5 2.3 2.6 0.0 12.0 13.1 6.3 7.0 5.9 1.2 7.5 24.4 20.9 11.9 13.7

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

50 6.5 6.4 4.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 4.1 2.1 1.4 4.6 3.5 7.1 4.0 4.0 2.5 0.0 4.5 2.0 3.5 4.5 5.5 5.9 4.5 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 5.3 3.3 3.0 3.1 3.0 0.5 2.9 3.0 3.1 2.1 3.4

100 6.5 7.7 4.0 2.0 4.0 7.3 4.9 2.5 1.6 5.5 3.5 8.5 4.0 4.0 2.5 0.0 5.1 2.0 3.5 4.5 5.5 7.1 4.5 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 6.0 3.9 3.0 3.5 3.0 0.5 3.5 3.5 3.7 2.4 4.2

Significant Wave Height (m) 200 500 1000 6.5 6.5 6.5 8.6 9.9 10.5 4.0 4.0 4.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 8.3 9.0 9.0 5.5 5.5 5.5 2.7 3.0 3.2 1.8 2.0 2.1 5.5 5.5 5.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 9.7 10.9 11.9 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 2.5 2.5 2.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.6 6.0 6.3 2.0 2.0 2.0 3.5 3.5 3.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 5.5 5.5 5.5 7.5 7.5 7.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.0 4.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 4.3 4.8 5.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.0 3.0 3.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.8 4.2 4.4 4.1 4.6 4.8 2.7 3.0 3.1 4.8 5.5 6.0

10000 y 6.5 10.5 4.0 2.0 4.0 9.0 5.5 3.5 2.6 5.5 3.5 13.5 4.0 4.0 2.5 0.0 6.7 2.0 3.5 4.5 5.5 7.5 4.5 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 6.0 5.6 3.0 3.5 3.0 0.5 3.5 4.9 5.4 3.8 6.5

50 10.8 10.8 10.3 8.6 10.3 10.6 10.6 10.6 10.2 10.9 10.9 10.3 9.9 9.8 7.0 0.0 8.2 6.2 7.6 7.9 8.3 8.2 8.0 7.8 5.2 4.8 0.0 7.6 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.4 4.1 6.3 6.7 8.6 7.4 9.0

100 10.8 11.0 10.3 8.6 10.3 10.9 10.9 10.6 10.5 11.1 10.9 10.6 9.9 9.8 7.0 0.0 8.4 6.2 7.6 7.9 8.3 8.6 8.0 7.8 5.2 4.8 0.0 8.1 6.5 6.2 6.6 6.4 4.1 6.7 6.9 8.8 7.6 9.5

Wave Period (s) 200 500 10.8 10.8 11.2 11.5 10.3 10.3 8.6 8.6 10.3 10.3 10.9 11.6 11.2 11.2 10.6 11.1 10.4 11.2 11.1 11.1 10.9 10.9 10.8 10.9 9.9 9.9 9.8 9.8 7.0 7.0 0.0 0.0 8.7 8.6 6.2 6.2 7.6 7.6 7.9 7.9 8.3 8.3 8.6 8.6 8.0 8.0 7.8 7.8 5.2 5.2 4.8 4.8 0.0 0.0 8.1 8.1 6.8 6.7 6.2 6.2 6.6 6.6 6.4 6.4 4.1 4.1 6.7 6.7 7.1 7.6 8.9 9.4 7.8 8.4 9.6 11.1

1000 10.8 11.9 10.3 8.6 10.3 11.6 11.2 10.7 10.7 11.1 10.9 10.9 9.9 9.8 7.0 0.0 9.4 6.2 7.6 7.9 8.3 8.6 8.0 7.8 5.2 4.8 0.0 8.1 7.0 6.2 6.6 6.4 4.1 6.7 7.8 10.3 8.0 10.8

10000 y 10.8 11.9 10.3 8.6 10.3 11.6 11.2 11.7 10.6 11.1 10.9 11.9 9.9 9.8 7.0 0.0 8.8 6.2 7.6 7.9 8.3 8.6 8.0 7.8 5.2 4.8 0.0 8.1 6.8 6.2 6.6 6.4 4.1 6.7 7.7 11.4 8.9 11.9

Appendix S -5

Appendix S 2050 Tropical Cyclone Significant Wave Height and Period Tabulated Statistics Name Hawknest_Island Wedge_Island Burney_Island Amagbirra_Island Fowler_Island Kapui_Point Jalma_Bay Grindall_Point Myaoola_Bay Gurkawuy_Community Dudley_Island Three_Hummocks Port_Bradshaw Strath_Island Gove_Harbour Yanungbi Yanungbi_Community Yudu_Yudu_Community Granite_Islands Parfitt_Point Shepherd_Bluff Half_Tide_Point Dundas_Point De_Belle_Point Galupa_Community Birritjimi_Beach Gurrukpuy_Beach Harbour_Islet East_Woody_Island Galaru_Community Nhulunbuy Cape_Wirawawoi Mcintyre_Point Gunyangara_Community Butjumurru North_East_Islet North_East_Isles Hawk_Island

Lat

Long

Depth (m)

-13.621 -13.602 -13.569 -13.600 -13.349 -13.280 -13.269 -13.294 -13.085 -12.994 -12.872 -12.742 -12.470 -12.264 -12.257 -12.262 -12.255 -12.237 -12.219 -12.212 -12.192 -12.184 -12.203 -12.209 -12.198 -12.179 -12.174 -12.163 -12.158 -12.153 -12.160 -12.148 -12.236 -12.222 -12.227 -13.645 -13.650 -13.660

136.407 136.292 136.232 136.261 135.951 135.992 135.999 136.016 136.329 136.524 136.691 136.705 136.770 136.702 136.690 136.672 136.660 136.655 136.650 136.638 136.603 136.670 136.675 136.687 136.694 136.689 136.708 136.714 136.733 136.752 136.763 136.770 136.735 136.711 136.692 136.947 136.928 136.891

3.7 13.8 8.2 5.1 6.2 7.3 7.5 5.0 6.9 0.0 12.1 16.4 0.0 9.1 9.9 7.0 7.0 8.7 14.3 13.1 0.0 9.8 8.7 11.3 0.0 11.2 10.2 11.2 16.1 14.7 10.7 14.1 6.5 0.0 7.8 3.5 3.2 10.8

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50 1.5 4.0 3.5 2.5 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.1 0.8 0.0 4.1 5.4 0.0 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.7 2.1 2.3 0.0 2.4 1.8 1.1 0.0 2.4 2.3 2.5 2.6 2.4 2.0 2.8 0.3 0.0 1.1 1.5 1.5 3.5

100 1.5 4.8 4.0 2.5 1.4 1.4 1.3 1.3 0.9 0.0 4.8 5.9 0.0 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.3 0.9 2.8 3.0 0.0 3.2 2.3 1.5 0.0 3.3 3.0 3.3 3.3 3.1 2.6 3.4 0.3 0.0 1.4 1.5 1.5 4.3

Significant Wave Height (m) 200 500 1000 1.5 1.5 1.5 5.6 6.3 6.7 4.0 4.0 4.0 2.5 2.5 2.5 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.5 1.7 1.9 1.5 1.7 1.8 1.5 1.7 1.8 1.0 1.1 1.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.3 5.7 5.9 6.2 6.4 6.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.3 1.5 1.7 1.5 1.7 1.9 1.5 1.8 2.0 1.5 1.8 2.0 1.0 1.3 1.4 3.4 4.1 4.4 3.7 4.4 4.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 4.8 5.0 2.9 3.5 3.8 1.9 2.4 2.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.1 4.9 5.3 3.7 4.4 4.8 4.1 4.8 5.3 4.1 4.8 5.1 3.7 4.3 4.7 3.2 3.8 4.1 3.8 4.2 4.4 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.6 2.0 2.3 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 5.0 5.5 5.5

10000 y 1.5 7.0 4.0 2.5 1.7 2.1 2.1 2.1 1.4 0.0 6.0 7.0 0.0 2.3 2.5 2.5 2.4 1.7 5.5 6.1 0.0 5.0 4.0 3.2 0.0 5.5 5.0 5.5 6.3 5.7 5.0 5.3 0.7 0.0 3.0 1.5 1.5 5.5

50 9.2 10.2 10.5 11.0 4.3 4.5 4.5 4.6 4.7 0.0 10.8 10.8 0.0 4.5 4.5 4.6 6.6 6.6 6.2 6.7 0.0 7.0 6.0 5.0 0.0 7.1 6.3 6.9 6.5 6.7 5.8 9.6 3.5 0.0 4.8 6.8 6.5 8.3

100 9.2 10.8 11.1 11.0 4.6 4.8 4.7 4.7 4.9 0.0 10.8 10.7 0.0 5.0 5.0 5.2 6.9 7.5 7.2 7.3 0.0 7.3 6.7 5.7 0.0 7.7 7.6 7.7 7.8 7.8 6.2 10.0 3.6 0.0 5.2 6.8 6.5 8.9

Wave Period (s) 200 500 9.2 9.2 10.9 11.5 11.1 11.1 11.0 11.0 4.7 4.8 4.8 4.9 4.8 4.8 4.9 4.8 5.0 5.1 0.0 0.0 11.1 11.7 11.1 11.5 0.0 0.0 5.2 4.9 5.3 5.6 5.5 6.4 6.7 8.4 7.0 9.0 7.1 9.0 7.9 9.6 0.0 0.0 7.1 8.9 7.6 8.4 6.1 7.7 0.0 0.0 7.3 8.8 7.1 8.7 7.6 8.4 7.4 8.4 7.4 8.5 6.6 7.9 10.3 10.8 4.0 3.9 0.0 0.0 5.7 6.4 6.8 6.8 6.5 6.5 9.5 10.6

1000 9.2 11.4 11.1 11.0 5.2 5.3 5.1 5.2 5.3 0.0 12.1 11.8 0.0 6.2 5.8 6.7 7.5 9.3 8.6 8.9 0.0 9.1 7.9 6.6 0.0 9.4 8.8 9.3 8.6 8.4 7.1 11.2 5.8 0.0 5.7 6.8 6.5 10.6

10000 y 9.2 12.4 11.1 11.0 4.8 5.4 5.6 5.4 5.2 0.0 12.1 12.9 0.0 6.6 6.6 6.5 10.2 10.4 10.9 11.2 0.0 9.1 9.1 7.9 0.0 9.4 9.0 9.5 9.4 9.4 11.3 14.0 5.0 0.0 4.5 6.8 6.5 10.6

Appendix S -6

Appendix S 2050 Tropical Cyclone Significant Wave Height and Period Tabulated Statistics Name Cody_Bank Lane_Island Yabangwamanja_Beach Yadagba_District Arnengwurra_Island Wiyakipa_Beach Wuyagiba_Community Warrakunta_Point Beatrice_Island Bing_Bong Casuarina_Bay Gilbert_Island Black_Islet South_West_Island_Community West_Neck Buchanan_Bay Red_Islet Sir_Edward_Pellew_Group Craggy_Islands White_Islet Gould_Point Camp_Beach Skull_Point Stony_Point Water_Beach Gulch_Reef Skull_Island Long_Reef Watson_Inlet Gunyana_Bay Rocky_Point Rocky_Island Little_Island Jean_Point Barclay_Point Investigator_Point Combes_Point Clarke_Bay

Lat

Long

Depth (m)

-13.683 -13.668 -13.810 -14.109 -14.342 -14.572 -14.620 -14.650 -15.083 -15.598 -15.597 -15.577 -15.607 -15.667 -15.659 -15.648 -15.636 -15.618 -15.599 -15.613 -15.631 -15.627 -15.615 -15.622 -15.628 -15.635 -15.624 -15.642 -15.649 -15.637 -15.655 -15.674 -15.692 -15.703 -15.697 -15.722 -15.733 -15.745

136.877 136.933 136.802 136.704 136.820 135.555 135.558 135.556 135.771 136.403 136.484 136.641 136.638 136.634 136.703 136.710 136.717 136.712 136.707 136.731 136.736 136.755 136.762 136.774 136.786 136.798 136.805 136.810 136.822 136.829 136.834 136.839 136.844 136.837 136.825 136.842 136.835 136.828

7.9 4.2 11.1 2.2 17.5 5.4 5.2 5.2 6.0 6.9 5.9 6.2 4.6 7.2 5.8 6.8 8.2 9.0 9.2 7.9 6.9 7.7 7.7 8.2 7.4 9.1 6.1 7.5 9.2 7.9 7.9 6.6 8.8 7.2 2.3 13.2 12.0 14.9

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

50 4.0 2.0 2.1 1.0 6.2 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.9 3.1 1.7 3.0 0.8 1.3 2.6 2.7 2.9 3.7 4.3 3.3 2.7 2.1 1.9 1.4 1.2 1.1 0.8 1.1 1.1 0.9 1.1 1.6 2.0 2.0 1.0 2.3 2.2 2.1

100 4.0 2.0 2.5 1.0 7.4 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.9 3.5 2.3 3.0 1.0 1.5 3.0 3.1 3.2 4.1 4.4 3.5 3.0 2.5 2.3 1.8 1.6 1.4 0.9 1.3 1.3 1.0 1.3 1.9 2.3 2.3 1.0 2.6 2.6 2.5

Significant Wave Height (m) 200 500 1000 4.0 4.0 4.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.8 3.1 3.2 1.0 1.0 1.0 8.3 8.5 8.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.5 3.5 3.5 2.6 2.7 2.8 3.0 3.0 3.0 1.2 1.4 1.5 1.8 2.0 2.1 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.4 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.7 3.8 4.3 4.4 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 3.6 3.8 3.9 3.2 3.4 3.5 2.8 2.9 3.0 2.6 2.7 2.7 2.0 2.2 2.2 1.8 2.0 2.0 1.6 1.8 1.8 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.5 1.7 1.7 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.6 1.8 2.1 2.5 2.7 2.5 2.9 3.1 2.6 3.0 3.2 1.0 1.0 1.0 2.8 3.1 3.3 2.8 3.1 3.3 2.7 2.9 3.1

10000 y 4.0 2.0 3.5 1.0 8.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 3.0 3.5 2.9 3.0 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 4.5 4.0 3.5 3.2 2.9 2.3 2.1 1.8 1.7 2.1 2.0 1.6 2.2 3.0 3.7 3.5 1.0 3.8 3.9 3.6

50 10.8 8.0 8.7 9.0 8.6 7.1 7.2 7.2 8.1 8.9 7.4 8.8 5.7 7.3 8.1 7.8 8.0 8.3 8.7 8.4 8.0 7.5 7.8 7.9 7.2 6.5 4.1 7.1 6.6 3.8 6.7 8.2 8.3 8.7 4.2 8.4 8.2 7.9

100 10.8 8.0 9.3 9.0 9.3 7.1 7.2 7.2 7.9 8.7 7.4 8.8 5.7 7.3 8.4 8.8 8.8 8.8 8.7 8.7 8.8 8.1 7.9 7.0 7.2 6.4 4.2 6.9 6.5 4.0 7.5 8.8 9.1 9.0 4.2 9.0 8.8 8.7

Wave Period (s) 200 500 10.8 10.8 8.0 8.0 9.1 10.2 9.0 9.0 9.3 9.5 7.1 7.1 7.2 7.2 7.2 7.2 7.8 7.8 8.7 8.7 6.9 7.1 8.8 8.8 6.5 5.7 7.2 7.8 8.4 8.4 8.1 8.0 8.0 8.5 8.1 8.4 8.5 8.5 8.0 8.6 7.9 8.6 7.8 7.8 7.5 7.4 6.9 7.0 6.6 7.3 6.4 6.7 4.3 4.1 6.4 7.5 6.6 7.3 3.9 4.1 6.6 7.6 8.2 8.2 8.2 8.5 8.5 8.8 4.2 4.2 8.1 9.0 7.9 8.9 8.2 8.8

1000 10.8 8.0 9.7 9.0 9.5 7.1 7.2 7.2 7.8 8.7 7.0 8.8 4.8 5.6 8.4 8.0 8.0 8.5 8.5 8.3 8.2 7.8 7.4 7.1 6.9 6.8 3.5 7.3 7.5 3.5 6.4 7.0 8.5 7.4 4.2 8.0 7.6 7.4

10000 y 10.8 8.0 10.5 9.0 9.5 7.1 7.2 7.2 7.8 8.7 7.1 8.8 7.7 11.2 8.4 8.0 7.7 8.4 8.5 8.6 8.2 9.2 9.3 7.1 7.3 6.7 6.4 9.1 8.5 4.3 8.8 7.9 9.6 8.6 4.2 8.9 8.9 8.0

Appendix S -7

Appendix S 2050 Tropical Cyclone Significant Wave Height and Period Tabulated Statistics Name Ataluma_Point Centre_Is_Tide_Gauge Payne_Island Jensen_Point Port_McArthur Sharker_Point Pelican_Spit Little_Vanderlin_Island Clarkson_Point Stokes_Bay Beavan_Point Ulbara_Point Small_Islet Whittet_Point Anderson_Point Jolly_Islet Train_Point Red_Point Brown_Islet Charles_Point Geranium_Bay Denten_Point Law_Island David_Islet Barbara_Cove Kedge_Point Base_Bay Turtle_Islet Cape_Vandelin Maxwell_Point Wheatley_Islet Mesley_Point Investigator_Bay Three_Hummock_Point Quince_Islet Daisy_Islet Jimmy_Islet Webinger_Point

Lat

Long

Depth (m)

-15.749 -15.754 -15.759 -15.775 -15.787 -15.883 -15.864 -15.861 -15.841 -15.823 -15.816 -15.802 -15.796 -15.777 -15.759 -15.752 -15.746 -15.721 -15.703 -15.684 -15.673 -15.661 -15.650 -15.638 -15.634 -15.622 -15.617 -15.587 -15.583 -15.578 -15.596 -15.603 -15.621 -15.616 -15.648 -15.721 -15.751 -15.769

136.809 136.790 136.771 136.745 136.738 136.744 137.012 137.062 137.026 137.021 137.009 136.985 136.973 136.968 136.963 136.951 136.939 136.922 136.917 136.912 136.919 136.926 136.933 136.940 136.959 136.966 136.985 136.987 137.006 137.025 137.030 137.042 137.047 137.066 137.095 137.115 137.113 137.118

5.4 8.0 6.9 5.9 5.1 5.3 7.2 3.5 8.9 6.0 6.2 7.0 7.1 5.6 6.8 7.6 7.2 8.4 14.1 14.3 12.6 12.5 12.8 14.0 8.1 6.1 0.0 11.5 6.2 13.9 10.1 9.2 6.7 8.2 6.2 6.4 5.1 6.4

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

50 1.0 1.2 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.6 1.7 1.5 0.9 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 2.7 2.7 2.9 3.2 3.5 2.7 2.8 0.0 5.0 3.0 6.2 5.0 4.5 3.0 4.0 3.0 3.0 2.5 3.0

100 1.3 1.4 1.3 1.4 1.5 2.2 1.9 1.5 0.9 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.8 0.8 1.0 0.9 3.0 3.0 3.2 3.5 3.8 2.9 3.0 0.0 5.5 3.0 7.0 5.0 4.5 3.0 4.0 3.0 3.0 2.5 3.0

Significant Wave Height (m) 200 500 1000 1.4 1.7 1.8 1.5 1.8 2.0 1.4 1.7 1.8 1.7 2.0 2.2 1.8 2.2 2.4 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.2 2.4 2.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 0.9 1.0 1.0 0.8 0.9 1.0 0.8 0.9 1.0 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.2 0.9 1.0 1.2 0.8 0.9 1.0 0.8 0.9 1.1 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.3 1.4 1.0 1.1 1.2 3.2 3.3 3.4 3.2 3.4 3.5 3.4 3.6 3.7 3.7 3.8 3.9 4.0 4.1 4.1 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.5 5.5 5.5 3.0 3.0 3.0 7.0 7.0 7.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 4.5 4.5 4.5 3.0 3.0 3.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.5 2.5 2.5 3.0 3.0 3.0

10000 y 2.5 2.5 2.2 2.9 2.5 2.5 2.9 1.5 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.7 1.6 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.5 3.7 3.8 4.0 4.1 4.3 3.5 3.0 0.0 5.5 3.0 7.0 5.0 4.5 3.0 4.0 3.0 3.0 2.5 3.0

50 4.0 3.8 3.8 3.7 3.7 7.7 7.1 7.0 4.8 4.9 4.3 4.0 4.0 3.6 3.6 3.5 3.6 3.8 3.7 8.3 8.7 8.7 8.6 8.7 8.7 8.9 0.0 9.2 8.9 9.1 9.1 9.1 8.9 9.0 8.6 8.8 8.5 8.8

100 4.4 4.1 4.0 4.0 4.0 8.0 7.5 7.0 4.7 4.7 4.2 4.1 4.1 3.9 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.8 3.8 9.1 9.0 9.1 9.0 8.9 9.1 8.9 0.0 9.1 8.9 9.2 9.1 9.1 8.9 9.0 8.6 8.8 8.5 8.8

Wave Period (s) 200 500 4.1 4.1 4.0 4.2 3.7 3.8 3.8 4.0 3.9 3.9 7.4 7.5 6.5 7.5 7.0 7.0 4.7 5.1 4.9 5.3 4.2 4.2 4.1 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.1 3.8 3.7 4.0 3.8 3.6 3.7 3.6 3.9 3.9 3.7 3.8 8.4 9.0 8.3 9.1 8.4 9.1 8.7 8.9 8.6 8.7 8.6 8.9 8.9 8.9 0.0 0.0 9.1 9.1 8.9 8.9 9.2 9.2 9.1 9.1 9.1 9.1 8.9 8.9 9.0 9.0 8.6 8.6 8.8 8.8 8.5 8.5 8.8 8.8

1000 3.3 3.3 3.1 3.2 3.2 7.5 6.4 7.0 4.5 3.9 3.4 3.3 3.3 3.4 3.3 3.2 3.3 3.4 3.4 8.2 8.5 8.5 8.9 8.9 8.5 8.9 0.0 9.1 8.9 9.2 9.1 9.1 8.9 9.0 8.6 8.8 8.5 8.8

10000 y 4.0 5.6 4.3 4.7 3.9 7.5 7.5 7.0 8.2 6.3 4.3 6.1 3.8 3.9 3.6 3.8 3.6 4.3 3.8 8.9 9.0 8.5 9.0 8.6 9.0 8.9 0.0 9.1 8.9 9.2 9.1 9.1 8.9 9.0 8.6 8.8 8.5 8.8

Appendix S -8

Appendix S 2050 Tropical Cyclone Significant Wave Height and Period Tabulated Statistics Name Sharp_Stones_Point Goat_Point Myoorlka_Island Murrenginya_Island Calvert_River QLDNT_Border Walker_Point Cabbage_Tree_Cove Observation_Island North_Island Craufurd_Islet Heriot_Reef Cape_Pellew Ross_Point North_Island_Community Paradice_Bay Webe_Point Johnston_Islet Watson_Island Toby_Point Macassar_Bay Phil_Point Inner_Bank West_Island_Community Crocodile_Point Eagle_Bay Cliffdale_Creek Pains_Island Bayley_Island Bayley_Point Syrell_Creek James_Creek Moonlight_Creek Tarrant_Point Channon_Creek Pasco_Inlet Nicholson_River Pandanus_Creek

Lat

Long

Depth (m)

-15.828 -15.856 -16.012 -16.037 -16.195 -16.527 -15.641 -15.623 -15.611 -15.582 -15.534 -15.515 -15.497 -15.490 -15.513 -15.525 -15.530 -15.541 -15.546 -15.574 -15.619 -15.651 -15.646 -15.652 -15.638 -14.834 -16.813 -16.863 -16.899 -16.911 -16.960 -17.193 -17.254 -17.363 -17.407 -17.472 -17.496 -17.503

137.114 137.081 137.275 137.292 137.742 138.008 136.891 136.886 136.893 136.895 136.892 136.887 136.882 136.870 136.856 136.849 136.830 136.823 136.804 136.771 136.824 136.853 136.872 136.499 136.475 135.715 138.779 139.038 139.049 139.042 139.077 139.195 139.222 139.479 139.533 139.623 139.641 139.653

6.9 5.0 8.8 5.9 8.4 7.1 13.6 6.7 7.4 0.4 7.0 3.4 10.1 15.7 4.8 9.7 10.6 7.2 6.5 6.8 5.1 10.5 13.0 5.1 5.2 6.0 6.8 6.4 12.8 8.6 6.6 6.4 6.6 6.5 6.5 6.5 6.7 7.8

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

50 3.5 2.5 4.5 3.0 4.0 3.5 2.5 1.8 1.9 0.5 3.5 1.5 5.0 5.6 2.5 2.8 4.7 3.5 3.0 3.1 0.8 1.0 1.5 0.5 1.5 3.0 3.5 3.0 1.5 1.9 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.5

100 3.5 2.5 4.5 3.0 4.0 3.5 2.7 1.9 2.0 0.5 3.5 1.5 5.0 6.8 2.5 3.2 5.0 3.5 3.0 3.3 0.9 1.1 1.6 0.6 2.0 3.0 3.5 3.0 1.7 2.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.8

Significant Wave Height (m) 200 500 1000 3.5 3.5 3.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 3.0 3.0 3.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 3.5 3.5 3.5 2.9 3.0 3.2 2.0 2.2 2.3 2.1 2.2 2.3 0.5 0.5 0.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 5.0 5.0 5.0 7.5 7.5 7.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 3.5 3.9 4.1 5.0 5.0 5.0 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.5 3.5 3.5 1.0 1.2 1.3 1.2 1.4 1.5 1.7 1.9 2.0 0.6 0.7 0.9 2.2 2.3 2.3 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.0 3.0 3.0 1.8 1.9 1.9 2.1 2.2 2.3 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 4.0 4.0 4.0

10000 y 3.5 2.5 4.5 3.0 4.0 3.5 3.5 2.7 2.6 0.5 3.5 1.5 5.0 7.5 2.5 4.4 5.0 3.5 3.0 3.5 1.7 1.9 2.3 1.4 2.4 3.0 3.5 3.0 2.1 2.4 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 4.0

50 8.9 8.4 9.1 9.0 9.1 8.9 9.0 9.0 8.9 0.0 9.1 7.8 9.2 9.2 8.9 9.0 9.1 9.0 9.0 8.5 3.7 3.8 8.6 4.3 7.9 8.1 10.9 10.8 7.4 7.0 6.5 6.0 5.9 6.4 6.5 6.5 6.6 6.5

100 8.9 8.4 9.1 9.0 9.1 8.9 9.2 9.2 9.1 0.0 9.1 7.8 9.2 9.6 8.9 9.2 9.0 9.0 9.0 9.2 3.9 4.1 8.8 4.1 8.1 8.1 10.9 10.8 7.4 7.1 6.5 6.0 5.9 6.4 6.5 6.5 6.6 6.5

Wave Period (s) 200 500 8.9 8.9 8.4 8.4 9.1 9.1 9.0 9.0 9.1 9.1 8.9 8.9 8.7 9.3 8.4 9.3 8.6 9.1 0.0 0.0 9.1 9.1 7.8 7.8 9.2 9.2 9.0 9.0 8.9 8.9 8.9 9.4 9.0 9.0 9.0 9.0 9.0 9.0 8.4 8.4 3.7 3.8 3.9 3.8 8.3 8.7 4.3 4.4 7.1 7.2 8.1 8.1 10.9 10.9 10.8 10.8 8.2 7.9 7.7 7.7 6.5 6.5 6.0 6.0 5.9 5.9 6.4 6.4 6.5 6.5 6.5 6.5 6.6 6.6 6.9 6.9

1000 8.9 8.4 9.1 9.0 9.1 8.9 7.8 8.5 8.1 0.0 9.1 7.8 9.2 9.0 8.9 8.6 9.0 9.0 9.0 8.4 3.5 3.5 8.3 2.8 7.3 8.1 10.9 10.8 8.4 8.3 6.5 6.0 5.9 6.4 6.5 6.5 6.6 6.9

10000 y 8.9 8.4 9.1 9.0 9.1 8.9 9.7 9.5 10.1 0.0 9.1 7.8 9.2 9.0 8.9 9.0 9.0 9.0 9.0 8.4 4.8 3.7 9.9 12.3 7.8 8.1 10.9 10.8 10.1 10.8 6.5 6.0 5.9 6.4 6.5 6.5 6.6 6.9

Appendix S -9

Appendix S 2050 Tropical Cyclone Significant Wave Height and Period Tabulated Statistics Name Williams_Inlet Offshore_Burketown Gore_Point Disaster_Inlet Brannigan_Creek Accident_Inlet Fitzmaurice_Point Smithburne_River Bold_Point Van_Diemen_Inlet Karumba Alligator_Point Flinders_River Macdonald_Point Sweers_Is_Resort Inscription_Point Bentinck_Is_Airport Carnarvon Red_Cliffs Fowler_Island Mckenzie_Creek Wilson_Bay Kirke_Point Bessie_Island Margaret_Island Albinia_Island Oaktree_Point White_Cliff Horseshoe_Island Creffild_Point Allen_Island Greenaway_Point Little_Allen_Island Beche_De_Mer_Point Beche_De_Mer_Bay Warahbah_Point Boyorrunga_Inlet Timber_Point

Lat

Long

Depth (m)

-17.509 -17.519 -17.612 -17.619 -17.201 -17.189 -17.160 -17.035 -16.995 -16.977 -17.442 -17.454 -17.577 -17.129 -17.118 -17.106 -17.100 -17.094 -17.083 -17.116 -17.136 -17.130 -17.108 -16.999 -17.031 -17.042 -16.982 -17.038 -17.006 -17.066 -17.053 -16.996 -16.990 -16.810 -16.763 -16.752 -16.740 -16.742

139.665 139.740 139.941 139.953 140.887 140.894 140.896 140.920 140.959 140.954 140.795 140.788 140.619 139.585 139.592 139.599 139.587 139.606 139.613 139.561 139.485 139.473 139.405 139.374 139.403 139.397 139.512 139.559 139.274 139.270 139.246 139.199 139.187 139.166 139.194 139.201 139.208 139.239

7.5 6.4 6.7 6.7 7.1 6.6 7.4 7.5 0.0 7.3 6.1 7.6 1.3 12.0 9.2 7.7 8.7 8.6 7.9 4.0 9.4 9.0 0.0 7.6 6.9 6.4 6.9 0.5 9.1 8.4 5.1 6.2 6.5 6.2 6.3 7.3 6.7 6.4

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

50 3.5 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.5 3.0 3.5 3.5 0.0 2.5 2.5 2.6 0.5 2.3 2.1 2.0 3.2 2.0 1.8 1.2 2.6 2.5 0.0 3.5 2.9 2.8 3.5 0.5 3.6 3.2 2.5 2.5 2.8 3.0 3.0 3.1 2.8 3.0

100 3.5 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.5 3.0 3.5 3.5 0.0 3.5 2.7 2.7 0.5 2.7 2.3 2.2 3.3 2.1 2.0 1.4 3.0 2.9 0.0 3.5 3.3 3.0 3.5 0.5 3.9 3.6 2.5 2.5 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.5 3.0 3.0

Significant Wave Height (m) 200 500 1000 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.5 3.5 3.5 2.8 3.0 3.0 2.9 3.2 3.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 3.0 3.3 3.4 2.4 2.6 2.7 2.3 2.4 2.5 3.3 3.4 3.5 2.2 2.3 2.4 2.1 2.2 2.2 1.6 1.9 2.0 3.3 3.6 3.8 3.2 3.5 3.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.4 3.5 3.5 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.5 3.5 3.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 4.0 4.1 4.2 3.9 4.0 4.0 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.6 2.7 2.8 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0

10000 y 3.5 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.5 3.0 3.5 3.5 0.0 3.5 3.0 3.5 0.5 3.7 2.9 2.8 3.8 2.7 2.5 2.0 4.1 4.0 0.0 3.5 3.5 3.0 3.5 0.5 4.4 4.0 2.5 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.5 3.0 3.0

50 6.7 6.7 6.7 6.7 10.5 10.5 10.5 10.4 0.0 5.9 9.7 9.6 0.0 6.7 6.9 7.3 7.5 7.2 7.1 6.5 5.2 5.0 0.0 7.2 7.1 7.3 7.0 4.2 6.9 6.3 6.2 6.6 6.8 7.2 6.3 6.2 6.0 6.4

100 6.7 6.7 6.7 6.7 10.5 10.5 10.5 10.4 0.0 6.0 9.8 9.7 0.0 6.9 7.3 7.5 7.6 7.4 7.2 6.2 5.1 4.9 0.0 7.2 7.2 7.4 7.0 4.2 7.1 6.4 6.2 6.7 7.0 7.2 6.3 6.5 6.2 6.4

Wave Period (s) 200 500 6.7 6.7 6.7 6.7 6.7 6.7 6.7 6.7 10.5 10.5 10.5 10.5 10.5 10.5 10.4 10.4 0.0 0.0 6.0 6.0 9.9 10.9 9.9 11.1 0.0 0.0 7.2 7.0 7.2 7.3 7.6 7.4 7.7 7.6 7.5 7.4 7.3 7.3 6.5 6.6 5.4 5.4 5.2 5.2 0.0 0.0 7.2 7.2 7.4 7.4 7.4 7.4 7.0 7.0 4.2 4.2 7.3 7.1 6.8 6.9 6.2 6.2 6.8 6.8 7.0 7.0 7.2 7.2 6.3 6.3 6.5 6.5 6.2 6.2 6.4 6.4

1000 6.7 6.7 6.7 6.7 10.5 10.5 10.5 10.4 0.0 6.0 10.9 11.1 0.0 7.6 7.3 7.7 7.8 7.5 7.8 7.0 5.3 4.8 0.0 7.2 7.4 7.4 7.0 4.2 7.3 6.9 6.2 6.8 7.0 7.2 6.3 6.5 6.2 6.4

10000 y 6.7 6.7 6.7 6.7 10.5 10.5 10.5 10.4 0.0 6.0 10.9 11.1 0.0 7.6 8.2 7.6 7.4 7.7 7.7 7.1 5.2 4.9 0.0 7.2 7.4 7.4 7.0 4.2 7.4 6.9 6.2 6.9 7.0 7.2 6.3 6.5 6.2 6.4

Appendix S -10

Appendix S 2050 Tropical Cyclone Significant Wave Height and Period Tabulated Statistics Name Beeberr_Creek Wunungun_Point Tulburrerr_Island Gerrigroo_Point Kungunmeah_River Woolgunjin_Point Jirke_Island Yuwah_Point Beahgoo_Island Dungnoreah_Point Sydney_Island Ngawalgeah_Point Lingeleah_Island Weediah_Bay Walbor_Inlet Jubuneah_Point Lelkajindi_Creek Ngulwonmeah_River Gilitja_Point Charlie_Bush_Bay Billmahgun_Point Dalmumeah_Creek Gatgatgerah_Creek Lingnoonganee_Island Meahyawogan_Point Moondalbee_Island Mudgun_Point Towbulbulan_River Watson_Patch Thabugan_Point Wardoo_Creek Lowareah_Point Sandalwood_Place_River Eengan_Bay Hall_Point Gumbannge_Point Goojamun_Creek Ballast_Creek

Lat

Long

Depth (m)

-16.737 -16.743 -16.757 -16.747 -16.713 -16.702 -16.678 -16.685 -16.692 -16.728 -16.695 -16.647 -16.635 -16.612 -16.594 -16.582 -16.541 -16.529 -16.524 -16.531 -16.557 -16.535 -16.530 -16.497 -16.504 -16.451 -16.438 -16.443 -16.398 -16.390 -16.404 -16.437 -16.450 -16.460 -16.464 -16.497 -16.508 -16.520

139.257 139.270 139.294 139.332 139.384 139.390 139.404 139.416 139.428 139.439 139.491 139.487 139.494 139.507 139.502 139.509 139.518 139.524 139.543 139.555 139.604 139.649 139.668 139.719 139.731 139.747 139.722 139.703 139.650 139.607 139.519 139.467 139.379 139.341 139.291 139.240 139.233 139.226

5.8 6.8 5.8 6.8 7.4 7.0 0.0 6.7 6.5 7.4 6.0 6.6 7.4 8.7 7.1 6.8 3.7 2.0 3.1 6.7 9.1 2.9 3.6 0.0 0.4 8.5 9.0 0.0 9.6 10.5 11.3 11.2 6.3 0.8 3.4 10.2 6.9 6.1

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

50 2.9 2.9 3.0 3.5 3.5 3.2 0.0 2.6 2.5 3.3 3.0 3.0 3.5 4.0 3.5 3.5 1.5 1.0 1.5 3.0 3.5 1.5 1.5 0.0 0.5 4.0 4.5 0.0 4.5 5.0 5.5 5.4 3.0 0.5 1.5 5.0 3.5 3.0

100 3.0 3.3 3.0 3.5 3.5 3.5 0.0 3.0 3.0 3.5 3.0 3.0 3.5 4.0 3.5 3.5 1.5 1.0 1.5 3.0 4.2 1.5 1.5 0.0 0.5 4.0 4.5 0.0 4.5 5.0 5.5 5.5 3.0 0.5 1.5 5.0 3.5 3.0

Significant Wave Height (m) 200 500 1000 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.5 3.5 3.5 4.0 4.0 4.0 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.5 1.5 1.5 3.0 3.0 3.0 4.5 4.5 4.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.5 4.5 4.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.5 4.5 4.5 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.5 5.5 5.5 5.5 5.5 5.5 3.0 3.0 3.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 5.0 5.0 5.0 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.0 3.0 3.0

10000 y 3.0 3.5 3.0 3.5 3.5 3.5 0.0 3.0 3.0 3.5 3.0 3.0 3.5 4.0 3.5 3.5 1.5 1.0 1.5 3.0 4.5 1.5 1.5 0.0 0.5 4.0 4.5 0.0 4.5 5.0 5.5 5.5 3.0 0.5 1.5 5.0 3.5 3.0

50 6.1 6.2 6.4 6.5 6.4 6.1 0.0 5.4 5.3 6.5 6.5 6.4 6.5 6.5 6.3 6.2 5.7 4.8 5.3 5.8 6.1 5.6 5.8 0.0 3.5 9.5 10.0 0.0 10.3 10.5 10.7 10.6 10.3 6.3 8.9 11.1 10.8 10.7

100 6.3 6.2 6.4 6.5 6.4 6.4 0.0 5.5 5.4 6.6 6.5 6.4 6.5 6.5 6.3 6.2 5.7 4.8 5.3 5.8 6.0 5.6 5.8 0.0 3.5 9.5 10.0 0.0 10.3 10.5 10.7 10.9 10.3 6.3 8.9 11.1 10.8 10.7

Wave Period (s) 200 500 6.3 6.3 6.5 6.5 6.4 6.4 6.5 6.5 6.4 6.4 6.4 6.4 0.0 0.0 5.5 5.5 5.4 5.4 6.6 6.6 6.5 6.5 6.4 6.4 6.5 6.5 6.5 6.5 6.3 6.3 6.2 6.2 5.7 5.7 4.8 4.8 5.3 5.3 5.8 5.8 6.3 6.3 5.6 5.6 5.8 5.8 0.0 0.0 3.5 3.5 9.5 9.5 10.0 10.0 0.0 0.0 10.3 10.3 10.5 10.5 10.7 10.7 10.9 10.9 10.3 10.3 6.3 6.3 8.9 8.9 11.1 11.1 10.8 10.8 10.7 10.7

1000 6.3 6.5 6.4 6.5 6.4 6.4 0.0 5.5 5.4 6.6 6.5 6.4 6.5 6.5 6.3 6.2 5.7 4.8 5.3 5.8 6.3 5.6 5.8 0.0 3.5 9.5 10.0 0.0 10.3 10.5 10.7 10.9 10.3 6.3 8.9 11.1 10.8 10.7

10000 y 6.3 6.5 6.4 6.5 6.4 6.4 0.0 5.5 5.4 6.6 6.5 6.4 6.5 6.5 6.3 6.2 5.7 4.8 5.3 5.8 6.3 5.6 5.8 0.0 3.5 9.5 10.0 0.0 10.3 10.5 10.7 10.9 10.3 6.3 8.9 11.1 10.8 10.7

Appendix S -11

Appendix S 2050 Tropical Cyclone Significant Wave Height and Period Tabulated Statistics Name Dwenty_Point Bilmagun_Point Brookes_Reef Bidgagum_Bay Waddagun_Waterhole Horse_Place_Creek Gee_Wee_Creek Lingele_Point Jidan_Marun Gee_Wee_Point Mornington_Island Dubbar_Point Porpoise_Point Denham_Island Dougherty_Bay Andrew_Island Midbagar_Point Snapper_Point Whale_Point Forsyth_Island Forsyth_Islands Government_Point Ivis_Island Eight_Mile_Creek Bountiful_Islands Pisonia_Island Van_Diemen_Inlet Salt_Arm_Creek Rocky_Creek Station_Creek Station_Creek Topsy_Creek South_Mitchell_River Chapman_River Pormpuraaw Moonkan_Creek Edward_River Christmas_Creek

Lat

Long

Depth (m)

-16.532 -16.543 -16.555 -16.566 -16.578 -16.595 -16.600 -16.611 -16.629 -16.641 -16.659 -16.671 -16.712 -16.730 -16.742 -16.753 -16.765 -16.777 -16.841 -16.854 -16.861 -16.868 -16.874 -16.753 -16.683 -16.507 -16.953 -16.138 -15.897 -15.847 -15.674 -15.495 -15.340 -14.933 -14.918 -14.847 -14.735 -14.459

139.219 139.212 139.205 139.199 139.192 139.166 139.147 139.140 139.145 139.138 139.143 139.137 139.128 139.133 139.126 139.119 139.113 139.106 139.083 139.107 139.120 139.132 139.144 138.558 139.865 139.793 140.982 141.363 141.380 141.403 141.421 141.483 141.526 141.601 141.590 141.575 141.554 141.521

0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.9 12.5 12.4 11.3 10.5 4.5 8.2 7.5 6.5 6.4 6.4 6.6 6.9 8.4 6.6 7.0 6.5 7.8 6.7 10.5 12.6 5.7 5.7 6.1 5.2 9.5 0.0 7.1 6.2 6.7 6.3 4.2 1.3

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

50 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.5 5.0 4.9 4.1 4.3 2.0 3.3 2.8 1.8 2.6 2.8 3.0 3.3 2.3 2.2 2.4 2.7 2.8 3.0 3.9 4.6 2.5 2.5 3.0 2.5 4.5 0.0 3.5 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.0 0.5

100 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.5 6.0 5.9 4.8 5.0 2.0 3.6 3.3 2.2 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.5 2.6 2.5 2.6 2.8 2.9 3.0 4.6 4.9 2.5 2.5 3.0 2.5 4.5 0.0 3.5 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.0 0.5

Significant Wave Height (m) 200 500 1000 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.5 2.5 2.5 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 5.2 5.4 5.5 5.0 5.0 5.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 3.9 4.0 4.0 3.5 3.5 3.5 2.4 2.7 2.8 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.5 3.5 3.5 2.8 3.1 3.1 2.7 2.9 3.0 2.8 3.0 3.1 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.1 3.2 3.0 3.0 3.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.2 5.5 5.7 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.5 2.5 2.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 0.5 0.5 0.5

10000 y 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.5 6.0 6.0 5.5 5.0 2.0 4.0 3.5 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.5 3.3 3.0 3.4 3.0 3.5 3.0 5.0 6.0 2.5 2.5 3.0 2.5 4.5 0.0 3.5 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.0 0.5

50 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.8 10.7 10.8 10.7 10.7 11.0 10.5 10.2 9.4 9.5 9.5 9.8 9.2 8.7 6.5 6.3 6.5 6.6 10.4 7.3 9.5 9.1 9.0 9.2 9.1 9.4 0.0 9.3 9.1 9.1 9.1 8.8 0.0

100 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.8 11.5 11.5 11.0 11.4 11.0 10.9 10.6 9.3 10.2 9.9 9.8 10.0 8.7 6.7 6.4 6.6 6.6 10.4 6.9 9.6 9.1 9.0 9.2 9.1 9.4 0.0 9.3 9.1 9.1 9.1 8.8 0.0

Wave Period (s) 200 500 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.8 10.8 11.5 11.5 11.5 11.5 11.4 11.9 11.4 11.4 11.0 11.0 11.1 11.5 11.3 11.3 9.8 10.4 10.2 10.2 9.9 9.9 9.8 9.8 10.0 10.0 9.3 9.5 7.3 6.7 6.7 6.4 6.7 6.7 6.7 6.7 10.4 10.4 7.5 7.5 9.7 10.0 9.1 9.1 9.0 9.0 9.2 9.2 9.1 9.1 9.4 9.4 0.0 0.0 9.3 9.3 9.1 9.1 9.1 9.1 9.1 9.1 8.8 8.8 0.0 0.0

1000 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.8 11.5 11.5 12.1 11.4 11.0 11.5 11.3 10.7 10.2 9.9 9.8 10.0 10.2 7.6 6.7 6.7 6.7 10.4 7.5 10.6 9.1 9.0 9.2 9.1 9.4 0.0 9.3 9.1 9.1 9.1 8.8 0.0

10000 y 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.8 11.5 11.5 12.1 11.4 11.0 11.5 11.3 12.8 10.2 9.9 9.8 10.0 11.3 7.6 6.8 6.7 7.0 10.4 7.5 11.1 9.1 9.0 9.2 9.1 9.4 0.0 9.3 9.1 9.1 9.1 8.8 0.0

Appendix S -12

Appendix S 2050 Tropical Cyclone Significant Wave Height and Period Tabulated Statistics Name Hersey_Creek King_Creek Kulinchin Holroyd_River Knox_Creek Mitchell_River Staaten_River Gilbert_River Snake_Creek Duck_Creek Kirke_River Koontun_Creek Shell_Creek Colin_Creek Love_River Aurukun_(Archer_River) Ward_River Worbody_Point Possum_Creek Ina_Creek False_Pera_Head Norman_Creek Thud_Point Pera_Head Boyd_Point Beening_Creek Jessica_Point Wooldrum_Point Evans_Landing Wallaby_Island Amboyninghy_Point Landfall_Point Botchet_Creek Duyfken_Point Pine_River_Bay Nomenade_Creek Wenlock_River Janie_Creek

Lat

Long

Depth (m)

-14.356 -14.330 -14.212 -14.152 -14.087 -15.190 -16.409 -16.564 -16.680 -16.807 -13.894 -13.550 -13.513 -13.500 -13.476 -13.323 -13.291 -13.293 -13.241 -13.177 -13.078 -13.023 -12.979 -12.918 -12.885 -12.648 -12.619 -12.622 -12.608 -12.579 -12.563 -12.573 -12.534 -12.460 -12.384 -12.331 -11.939 -11.931

141.554 141.559 141.581 141.550 141.562 141.596 141.283 141.240 141.204 141.081 141.465 141.515 141.535 141.538 141.556 141.612 141.660 141.673 141.683 141.625 141.602 141.598 141.578 141.617 141.665 141.777 141.769 141.782 141.785 141.693 141.682 141.583 141.590 141.631 141.659 141.669 141.906 141.936

0.0 6.2 5.8 6.0 5.7 0.7 0.0 4.6 1.8 2.5 1.5 9.4 6.1 6.0 4.9 7.1 6.6 2.6 0.0 12.4 5.6 0.0 15.4 15.6 10.7 5.7 6.5 6.2 6.9 5.9 2.3 5.4 0.8 0.7 11.1 9.5 8.0 7.0

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

50 0.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.5 0.5 0.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.6 4.7 3.2 3.2 2.7 3.7 3.2 1.1 0.0 5.0 2.7 0.0 5.8 5.6 5.2 2.7 3.2 2.9 2.8 2.5 1.0 2.7 0.6 0.6 5.3 4.7 3.8 3.3

100 0.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.5 0.5 0.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.6 4.7 3.2 3.2 2.7 3.7 3.2 1.1 0.0 6.1 2.7 0.0 7.4 7.1 5.2 2.7 3.2 3.0 3.0 3.1 1.1 2.7 0.6 0.6 5.7 4.7 4.0 3.6

Significant Wave Height (m) 200 500 1000 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.5 2.5 2.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.6 0.6 0.6 4.7 4.7 4.7 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.2 2.7 2.7 2.7 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.2 3.2 3.2 1.1 1.1 1.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.2 6.2 6.2 2.7 2.7 2.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.7 7.7 7.7 7.7 7.7 7.7 5.2 5.2 5.2 2.7 2.7 2.7 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.2 3.2 3.2 1.1 1.1 1.1 2.7 2.7 2.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 5.7 5.7 5.7 4.7 4.7 4.7 4.1 4.2 4.2 3.7 3.7 3.7

10000 y 0.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.5 0.5 0.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.6 4.7 3.2 3.2 2.7 3.7 3.2 1.1 0.0 6.2 2.7 0.0 7.7 7.7 5.2 2.7 3.2 3.2 3.7 3.2 1.1 2.7 0.6 0.6 5.7 4.7 4.2 3.7

50 0.0 9.0 9.1 8.9 8.9 0.0 0.0 9.0 7.8 7.5 5.3 10.9 9.9 9.7 9.3 10.4 10.2 7.4 0.0 10.5 9.5 0.0 10.2 10.2 10.1 10.3 10.4 10.1 10.1 10.6 10.0 9.1 4.1 4.0 9.9 10.0 8.6 8.5

100 0.0 9.0 9.1 8.9 8.9 0.0 0.0 9.0 7.8 7.5 5.3 10.9 9.9 9.7 9.3 10.4 10.2 7.4 0.0 11.0 9.5 0.0 10.4 10.3 10.1 10.3 10.4 10.3 10.3 10.6 9.4 9.1 4.1 4.0 10.1 10.0 8.6 9.1

Wave Period (s) 200 500 0.0 0.0 9.0 9.0 9.1 9.1 8.9 8.9 8.9 8.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 9.0 7.8 7.8 7.5 7.5 5.3 5.3 10.9 10.9 9.9 9.9 9.7 9.7 9.3 9.3 10.4 10.4 10.2 10.2 7.4 7.4 0.0 0.0 11.0 11.0 9.5 9.5 0.0 0.0 10.8 10.8 10.8 10.8 10.1 10.1 10.3 10.3 10.4 10.4 10.9 10.9 10.7 10.9 10.8 10.8 9.4 9.4 9.1 9.1 4.1 4.1 4.0 4.0 10.1 10.1 10.0 10.0 9.4 9.4 9.2 9.2

1000 0.0 9.0 9.1 8.9 8.9 0.0 0.0 9.0 7.8 7.5 5.3 10.9 9.9 9.7 9.3 10.4 10.2 7.4 0.0 11.0 9.5 0.0 10.8 10.8 10.1 10.3 10.4 10.9 11.2 10.8 9.4 9.1 4.1 4.0 10.1 10.0 9.4 9.2

10000 y 0.0 9.0 9.1 8.9 8.9 0.0 0.0 9.0 7.8 7.5 5.3 10.9 9.9 9.7 9.3 10.4 10.2 7.4 0.0 11.0 9.5 0.0 10.8 10.8 10.1 10.3 10.4 10.9 12.9 10.8 9.4 9.1 4.1 4.0 10.1 10.0 9.4 9.2

Appendix S -13

Appendix S 2050 Tropical Cyclone Significant Wave Height and Period Tabulated Statistics Name Mapoon Cullen_(tullanaringa)_Point Tullanaringa_(cullen)_Point Skardon_River Jackson_River Macdonald_(collet)_River Doughboy_River Cotterell_River Vrilya_Point

Lat

Long

Depth (m)

-11.849 -11.797 -11.784 -11.596 -11.493 -11.377 -11.283 -11.178 -11.056

141.936 141.946 141.948 142.038 142.070 142.105 142.108 142.126 142.121

6.3 7.5 7.8 0.0 8.1 10.3 9.5 10.2 6.5

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

50 3.1 3.7 4.2 0.0 3.8 3.5 3.4 3.1 2.4

100 3.2 3.7 4.2 0.0 4.2 4.6 4.6 4.1 2.8

Significant Wave Height (m) 200 500 1000 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.7 3.7 3.7 4.2 4.2 4.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.2 4.2 4.2 5.2 5.2 5.2 4.7 4.7 4.7 5.0 5.1 5.2 3.2 3.2 3.2

10000 y 3.2 3.7 4.2 0.0 4.2 5.2 4.7 5.2 3.2

50 9.1 9.2 9.4 0.0 8.7 8.7 9.2 9.2 8.8

100 9.5 9.2 9.4 0.0 8.9 8.9 9.3 9.1 8.9

Wave Period (s) 200 500 9.5 9.5 9.2 9.2 9.4 9.4 0.0 0.0 8.9 8.9 9.3 9.3 9.7 9.7 9.5 9.8 9.7 9.7

1000 9.5 9.2 9.4 0.0 8.9 9.3 9.7 9.9 9.7

10000 y 9.5 9.2 9.4 0.0 8.9 9.3 9.7 9.9 9.7

Appendix S -14

Appendix T

2050 Tropical Cyclone Wave Setup and Runup Potential Tabulated Statistics

41/23138/432535

Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stage 1 and 2 Combined Final Report

Appendix T 2050 Tropical Cyclone Wave Setup and Runup Potential Tabulated Statistics Name Bremer_Islets Gutjangan_Community East_Woody_Beach Gangaru_Lagoon Ruwakpuy_Community Bremer_Island East_Bremer_Islet Town_Beach Gove Rainbow_Cliff Yirrkala Miles_Island Garrirri_Beach Rocky_Bay Baringura_Inlet Garanhan_Beach Needle_Point Dalywoi_Bay Ngumuy_Beach Arnhem_Shoal Cape_Arnhem Lurrupukurru_Beach Bawaka_Community Gwapilina_Point Dhulmulmiya_Community Binanangoi_Point Holly_Inlet Dhaniya_Community Wanyanmera_Point Buymarr_Community Millarong Mcnamara_Island Point_Alexander Garrthalala_Community Grays_Bay Middle_Point Caledon_Bay Caledon_Point

Lat

Long

Slope (y/x)

-12.062 -12.072 -12.143 -12.150 -12.122 -12.110 -12.080 -12.168 -12.186 -12.193 -12.239 -12.257 -12.269 -12.276 -12.300 -12.319 -12.337 -12.343 -12.332 -12.327 -12.345 -12.446 -12.525 -12.555 -12.560 -12.578 -12.594 -12.588 -12.694 -12.708 -12.780 -12.869 -12.844 -12.806 -12.811 -12.822 -12.852 -12.877

136.836 136.799 136.789 136.801 136.833 136.840 136.841 136.806 136.811 136.823 136.905 136.911 136.904 136.916 136.932 136.938 136.943 136.954 136.961 136.980 136.985 136.863 136.785 136.783 136.765 136.769 136.744 136.732 136.702 136.646 136.635 136.630 136.613 136.572 136.554 136.547 136.545 136.562

0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

50 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

100 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

Wave Setup (m) 200 500 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

1000 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

10000 y 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

50 1.2 0.7 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.1 1.1 0.6 0.6 1.3 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 1.4 1.4 1.3 1.3 1.0 0.8 1.3 1.1 0.3 1.2 0.2 1.0 0.4 0.8 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.9 1.1

100 1.4 0.8 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.3 1.2 1.1 0.6 0.6 1.4 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 1.6 1.6 1.5 1.5 1.0 0.8 1.5 1.1 0.3 1.2 0.2 1.0 0.4 0.9 0.4 0.7 0.7 1.0 1.1

Wave Runup Potential (m) 200 500 1.6 1.7 0.9 1.0 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.5 1.1 1.1 1.5 1.7 1.3 1.5 1.1 1.1 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 1.6 1.9 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.6 1.6 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.9 1.6 1.6 1.0 1.0 0.8 0.8 1.5 1.5 1.1 1.1 0.3 0.3 1.2 1.2 0.2 0.2 1.0 1.0 0.4 0.4 0.9 1.0 0.4 0.5 0.8 0.9 0.8 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.1 1.1

1000 1.8 1.1 1.5 1.6 1.1 1.7 1.5 1.1 0.6 0.6 1.9 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 1.6 1.7 2.1 1.6 1.0 0.8 1.5 1.1 0.3 1.2 0.2 1.0 0.4 1.0 0.5 0.9 0.9 1.2 1.1

10000 y 2.0 1.5 1.7 1.7 1.1 1.7 1.5 1.1 0.6 0.6 1.9 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 1.6 1.7 2.2 1.6 1.0 0.8 1.5 1.1 0.3 1.2 0.2 1.0 0.4 1.2 0.5 1.0 1.1 1.3 1.1

Appendix T -1

Appendix T 2050 Tropical Cyclone Wave Setup and Runup Potential Tabulated Statistics Name Du_Pre_Bay Du_Pre_Point Cape_Grey Wonga_Bay Dirrangmurumanja_Bay Guyuwiri_Point Bald_Point Bagbiringula_Point Wardarlea_Bay Point_Arrowsmith Marajella_Bay Barraratjpi_Community Cape_Shield Djarrakpi_Community Gooninnah_Island Baniyala_Community Point_Blane Grindall_Bay Round_Hill_Island Cool_Yal_You_Ma_Island Nicol_Island Ayangmarnda_Island Isle_Woodah Morgan_Island Yee_To_Wappah_Island Blue_Mud_Bay Meringa_Island Haddon_Head Yilila_Community Bennet_Bay Malagayangu_District Miwul_Community Rantyirrity_Point Minintirri_Island Amamarrity_Island Numbulwar Nyinpinti_Point Sandy_Island

Lat

Long

Slope (y/x)

-12.928 -12.942 -12.996 -12.999 -13.004 -13.016 -13.069 -13.168 -13.189 -13.259 -13.245 -13.250 -13.285 -13.297 -13.308 -13.228 -13.286 -13.228 -13.317 -13.420 -13.452 -13.480 -13.483 -13.489 -13.494 -13.439 -13.428 -13.429 -13.659 -13.720 -13.907 -14.070 -14.212 -14.217 -14.252 -14.303 -14.463 -14.432

136.626 136.650 136.665 136.616 136.598 136.591 136.575 136.533 136.488 136.447 136.424 136.405 136.384 136.378 136.371 136.228 136.194 136.118 136.112 136.241 136.270 136.238 136.188 136.090 136.071 136.056 136.063 135.983 135.926 135.952 135.984 135.918 135.897 135.879 135.858 135.812 135.684 135.877

0.01 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

50 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

100 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

Wave Setup (m) 200 500 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

1000 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

10000 y 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

50 1.3 1.4 1.1 0.7 1.1 0.8 1.4 1.4 0.0 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 0.6 1.1 0.5 1.0 0.3 1.0 1.0 0.2 1.1 1.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.3

100 1.4 1.5 1.1 0.8 1.2 0.8 1.5 1.4 0.0 1.4 1.2 1.3 1.2 0.6 1.1 0.6 1.0 0.3 1.1 1.1 0.2 1.3 1.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.8 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.3

Wave Runup Potential (m) 200 500 1.6 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.1 1.1 0.9 1.0 1.3 1.3 0.8 0.8 1.5 1.5 1.4 1.4 0.0 0.0 1.6 1.7 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.2 1.2 0.6 0.6 1.1 1.1 0.7 0.7 1.0 1.0 0.3 0.4 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.1 0.2 0.2 1.4 1.6 1.1 1.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.3 0.9 0.9 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.3

1000 1.6 1.8 1.1 1.0 1.3 0.8 1.5 1.4 0.0 1.9 1.2 1.3 1.2 0.6 1.1 0.7 1.0 0.4 1.3 1.1 0.2 1.6 1.1 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.3 1.0 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.3

10000 y 1.6 1.8 1.1 1.2 1.3 0.8 1.5 1.4 0.0 2.1 1.2 1.3 1.2 0.6 1.1 0.7 1.0 0.4 1.5 1.1 0.2 1.6 1.1 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.5 1.0 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.3

Appendix T -2

Appendix T 2050 Tropical Cyclone Wave Setup and Runup Potential Tabulated Statistics Name

Lat

Long

Slope (y/x)

Alagna_Shoal Woody_Island Adumeninburra_Point Adthumaninbura_Point Adamaji_Beach North_Bay Ngurrkwurrumanja_Beach Ninaguwa_Island Nangkumanja_Reef Mekubarrkumanja_Point Amagiladjura_Point Angamanja_Island Lyangbudumanja_Point East_Bay Arawura_Bay Marjirrumanja__Beach Hand_Islet Mamarmbawiya_Point Nulukwa_Bay Numbarrila_Beach Enumerrmanja_Point Manggarna_Island South_Bay Milyakburra_Community Mirabangwa_Cliffs Banda_Island Connexion_Island Burley_Shoal North_West_Bluff Yellow_Patch Alubuwa_Point Bartelumba_Community Ngadumiyerrka_Community Deception_Bay Bartalumba_Bay Mundarringumanja_Beach Mundarrungmundja_Community Winchelsea_Island

-14.091 -13.823 -13.729 -13.706 -13.712 -13.701 -13.678 -13.655 -13.640 -13.678 -13.698 -13.716 -13.735 -13.751 -13.744 -13.769 -13.781 -13.799 -13.804 -13.815 -13.834 -13.845 -13.805 -13.799 -13.810 -13.840 -13.834 -13.850 -13.829 -13.818 -13.813 -13.808 -13.814 -13.809 -13.816 -13.811 -13.800 -13.768

136.065 136.081 136.106 136.119 136.131 136.138 136.152 136.166 136.222 136.262 136.298 136.303 136.308 136.283 136.271 136.288 136.281 136.286 136.267 136.260 136.265 136.259 136.187 136.175 136.168 136.167 136.376 136.350 136.395 136.402 136.420 136.439 136.451 136.470 136.482 136.500 136.507 136.478

0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

50 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1

100 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1

Wave Setup (m) 200 500 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1

1000 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

10000 y 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2

50 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.9 1.1 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.6 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.8 0.8 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5

100 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.9 1.3 1.2 1.1 0.9 0.0 0.0 0.9 0.6 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.8 0.8 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.8 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6

Wave Runup Potential (m) 200 500 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.9 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.4 1.5 1.3 1.5 1.2 1.4 1.1 1.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.1 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.9 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.9 1.0 0.9 1.0 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.9 0.7 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.9 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.7 0.8 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.7

1000 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.5 1.6 1.5 1.3 0.0 0.0 1.3 0.6 1.0 0.2 0.2 1.0 1.1 0.4 0.6 0.7 1.0 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.8 0.6 0.7 0.7

10000 y 0.7 0.6 0.8 0.9 0.6 0.9 0.9 1.0 0.9 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.8 0.0 0.0 1.6 0.6 1.2 0.2 0.2 1.0 1.1 0.5 0.6 0.7 1.0 1.0 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.9

Appendix T -3

Appendix T 2050 Tropical Cyclone Wave Setup and Runup Potential Tabulated Statistics Name Mugwana_Island Finch_Island Alyinga_Island Yarranya_Island North_West_Bay Ayarina_Bay Darrangmurmanja_Community Yirrumanja_Point Milyema_Island Lewrrumbumanja_Cliff Chasm_Island Yingilirrba_Island Menimberrkwe_Cliff Angarmbulumardja_Island Ilyaugwamaja_Island Angarumurada_Island North_Point_Island Makmuntja_Community Milyangkwudakba_Point Mungwarndumanja_Island Jagged_Head Hempel_Bay Port_Langdon Mccomb_Point Thompson_Bay Mawulyumanja_Community Baird_Cliff Akwalirrumanja_Community Umbakumba Spit_End Little_Lagoon Alyingberrma_Community Scott_Point_Community Scott_Point Dingala_Point Amuriyerra_Point Amrranga_Beach Eight_Mile_Beach

Lat

Long

Slope (y/x)

-13.687 -13.719 -13.730 -13.748 -13.755 -13.750 -13.732 -13.714 -13.696 -13.684 -13.672 -13.656 -13.674 -13.676 -13.653 -13.648 -13.643 -13.649 -13.645 -13.681 -13.688 -13.752 -13.777 -13.788 -13.800 -13.818 -13.825 -13.838 -13.833 -13.828 -13.823 -13.812 -13.741 -13.736 -13.756 -13.805 -13.822 -13.868

136.526 136.555 136.548 136.553 136.565 136.584 136.579 136.574 136.569 136.576 136.582 136.608 136.613 136.644 136.657 136.676 136.695 136.707 136.725 136.736 136.748 136.725 136.742 136.735 136.729 136.734 136.746 136.769 136.788 136.807 136.826 136.833 136.843 136.862 136.897 136.931 136.906 136.878

0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

50 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2

100 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2

Wave Setup (m) 200 500 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2

1000 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2

10000 y 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2

50 0.9 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.7 1.0 0.8 0.5 0.9 1.0 1.1 0.9 1.3 0.8 0.0 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.9 0.7 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.0 0.0 1.4

100 1.1 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.7 1.2 0.9 0.5 0.9 1.0 1.2 0.9 1.3 0.8 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.1 0.1 1.0 1.2 1.2 1.0 0.0 1.4

Wave Runup Potential (m) 200 500 1.2 1.4 0.7 0.9 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.9 1.2 1.2 0.9 1.0 0.6 0.6 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.3 1.4 0.9 0.9 1.3 1.3 0.8 0.8 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.2 1.0 1.1 1.0 1.1 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.1 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.0 0.8 0.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.4 1.4

1000 1.5 0.9 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.2 1.0 0.6 0.9 1.0 1.5 0.9 1.3 0.8 0.0 1.0 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.0 1.1 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.1 0.1 1.2 1.3 1.2 1.0 0.0 1.4

10000 y 1.5 1.2 0.7 0.7 0.5 0.6 0.6 1.0 1.0 1.2 1.3 1.2 1.1 0.6 0.9 1.0 1.5 0.9 1.3 0.8 0.0 1.0 1.3 1.2 1.4 1.2 1.1 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.1 0.1 1.2 1.4 1.2 1.0 0.0 1.4

Appendix T -4

Appendix T 2050 Tropical Cyclone Wave Setup and Runup Potential Tabulated Statistics Name Amirraba_Community Picnic_Beach Mamalingmandja_Point Ayungkwiyungkwa_Beach Malkayubirra_Beach Ilyungmadja_Point Lugadamanja_Point Amanburnunga_Community Dalumbu_Bay Adilyagba_Point Ungwariba_Point Eberrumilya_Island Amungkarma_Islands Cape_Beatrice Arnarrma_Point Marangala_Point Mirrburrumanja_Point Marangala_Bay Murrukwulya_Island Mamungwajingumanja_Beach Inamalamandja_Point Merruwumanja_Point Arida_Island Low_Island Eninyena_Beach Amungkwalya_Beach Yanbakwa_Community South_Point Tasman_Point Rutland_Shoal Eningkirra_Beach Abarungkwa_Beach Endungwa_Beach Malkala_Community Alyangula Arruwa_Island Bustard_Isles Bustard_Island

Lat

Long

Slope (y/x)

-13.880 -13.921 -13.926 -13.917 -13.952 -14.038 -14.094 -14.170 -14.177 -14.139 -14.139 -14.303 -14.308 -14.301 -14.291 -14.283 -14.299 -14.273 -14.283 -14.288 -14.299 -14.304 -14.298 -14.302 -14.278 -14.246 -14.226 -14.244 -14.212 -13.984 -13.966 -13.955 -13.932 -13.890 -13.847 -13.708 -13.697 -13.710

136.872 136.863 136.844 136.802 136.781 136.825 136.761 136.732 136.743 136.813 136.924 136.970 136.952 136.940 136.866 136.824 136.798 136.750 136.713 136.694 136.687 136.668 136.656 136.637 136.620 136.481 136.445 136.339 136.310 136.398 136.393 136.399 136.413 136.422 136.400 136.371 136.378 136.402

0.01 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

50 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

100 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2

Wave Setup (m) 200 500 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2

1000 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2

10000 y 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3

50 1.5 1.5 1.1 0.7 1.1 1.4 1.2 0.8 0.7 1.3 1.1 1.5 1.1 1.1 0.6 0.0 1.0 0.5 0.8 0.9 1.1 1.1 0.9 0.9 0.3 0.3 0.0 1.0 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.9

100 1.5 1.7 1.1 0.7 1.1 1.6 1.3 0.9 0.7 1.4 1.1 1.7 1.1 1.1 0.6 0.0 1.0 0.5 0.8 0.9 1.1 1.2 0.9 0.9 0.3 0.3 0.0 1.1 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.9 0.6 1.1

Wave Runup Potential (m) 200 500 1.5 1.5 1.8 2.0 1.1 1.1 0.7 0.7 1.1 1.1 1.7 1.9 1.4 1.4 1.0 1.0 0.8 0.8 1.4 1.4 1.1 1.1 1.8 1.9 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.0 1.1 1.2 0.5 0.5 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.1 1.1 1.3 1.3 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.1 1.1 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1 0.7 0.8 1.2 1.4

1000 1.5 2.1 1.1 0.7 1.1 1.9 1.4 1.0 0.8 1.4 1.1 2.0 1.1 1.1 0.6 0.0 1.3 0.5 0.8 0.9 1.1 1.3 0.9 0.9 0.3 0.3 0.0 1.1 0.8 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.7 0.9 1.2 0.8 1.4

10000 y 1.5 2.1 1.1 0.7 1.1 1.9 1.4 1.1 0.9 1.4 1.1 2.4 1.1 1.1 0.6 0.0 1.2 0.5 0.8 0.9 1.1 1.3 0.9 0.9 0.3 0.3 0.0 1.1 0.9 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.7 0.9 1.4 0.9 1.7

Appendix T -5

Appendix T 2050 Tropical Cyclone Wave Setup and Runup Potential Tabulated Statistics Name Hawknest_Island Wedge_Island Burney_Island Amagbirra_Island Fowler_Island Kapui_Point Jalma_Bay Grindall_Point Myaoola_Bay Gurkawuy_Community Dudley_Island Three_Hummocks Port_Bradshaw Strath_Island Gove_Harbour Yanungbi Yanungbi_Community Yudu_Yudu_Community Granite_Islands Parfitt_Point Shepherd_Bluff Half_Tide_Point Dundas_Point De_Belle_Point Galupa_Community Birritjimi_Beach Gurrukpuy_Beach Harbour_Islet East_Woody_Island Galaru_Community Nhulunbuy Cape_Wirawawoi Mcintyre_Point Gunyangara_Community Butjumurru North_East_Islet North_East_Isles Hawk_Island

Lat

Long

Slope (y/x)

-13.621 -13.602 -13.569 -13.600 -13.349 -13.280 -13.269 -13.294 -13.085 -12.994 -12.872 -12.742 -12.470 -12.264 -12.257 -12.262 -12.255 -12.237 -12.219 -12.212 -12.192 -12.184 -12.203 -12.209 -12.198 -12.179 -12.174 -12.163 -12.158 -12.153 -12.160 -12.148 -12.236 -12.222 -12.227 -13.645 -13.650 -13.660

136.407 136.292 136.232 136.261 135.951 135.992 135.999 136.016 136.329 136.524 136.691 136.705 136.770 136.702 136.690 136.672 136.660 136.655 136.650 136.638 136.603 136.670 136.675 136.687 136.694 136.689 136.708 136.714 136.733 136.752 136.763 136.770 136.735 136.711 136.692 136.947 136.928 136.891

0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

50 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1

100 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2

Wave Setup (m) 200 500 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2

1000 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2

10000 y 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2

50 0.6 1.1 1.1 0.9 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 1.2 1.4 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.9 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.8

100 0.6 1.3 1.2 0.9 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.0 1.3 1.4 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.0 0.8 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.5 1.0 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.5 1.0

Wave Runup Potential (m) 200 500 0.6 0.6 1.4 1.6 1.2 1.2 0.9 0.9 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.6 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.6 0.7 1.0 0.8 1.1 0.0 0.0 0.8 1.1 0.7 0.9 0.5 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.8 1.1 0.8 1.0 0.8 1.0 0.8 1.0 0.8 1.0 0.6 0.8 1.1 1.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 1.2 1.4

1000 0.6 1.6 1.2 0.9 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.0 1.6 1.6 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 1.0 1.1 0.0 1.1 0.8 0.6 0.0 1.2 1.1 1.2 1.1 1.0 0.8 1.3 0.2 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 1.4

10000 y 0.6 1.8 1.2 0.9 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.0 1.6 1.9 0.0 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.9 0.8 1.4 1.5 0.0 1.1 1.0 0.8 0.0 1.2 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.2 1.4 1.8 0.3 0.0 0.4 0.5 0.5 1.4

Appendix T -6

Appendix T 2050 Tropical Cyclone Wave Setup and Runup Potential Tabulated Statistics Name Cody_Bank Lane_Island Yabangwamanja_Beach Yadagba_District Arnengwurra_Island Wiyakipa_Beach Wuyagiba_Community Warrakunta_Point Beatrice_Island Bing_Bong Casuarina_Bay Gilbert_Island Black_Islet South_West_Island_Community West_Neck Buchanan_Bay Red_Islet Sir_Edward_Pellew_Group Craggy_Islands White_Islet Gould_Point Camp_Beach Skull_Point Stony_Point Water_Beach Gulch_Reef Skull_Island Long_Reef Watson_Inlet Gunyana_Bay Rocky_Point Rocky_Island Little_Island Jean_Point Barclay_Point Investigator_Point Combes_Point Clarke_Bay

Lat

Long

Slope (y/x)

-13.683 -13.668 -13.810 -14.109 -14.342 -14.572 -14.620 -14.650 -15.083 -15.598 -15.597 -15.577 -15.607 -15.667 -15.659 -15.648 -15.636 -15.618 -15.599 -15.613 -15.631 -15.627 -15.615 -15.622 -15.628 -15.635 -15.624 -15.642 -15.649 -15.637 -15.655 -15.674 -15.692 -15.703 -15.697 -15.722 -15.733 -15.745

136.877 136.933 136.802 136.704 136.820 135.555 135.558 135.556 135.771 136.403 136.484 136.641 136.638 136.634 136.703 136.710 136.717 136.712 136.707 136.731 136.736 136.755 136.762 136.774 136.786 136.798 136.805 136.810 136.822 136.829 136.834 136.839 136.844 136.837 136.825 136.842 136.835 136.828

0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

50 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1

100 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1

Wave Setup (m) 200 500 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

1000 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1

10000 y 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1

50 1.2 0.6 0.7 0.5 1.2 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.8 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.9 1.0 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.6

100 1.2 0.6 0.8 0.5 1.4 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.9 0.6 0.8 0.3 0.5 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.9 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.8 0.8 0.7

Wave Runup Potential (m) 200 500 1.2 1.2 0.6 0.6 0.8 1.0 0.5 0.5 1.5 1.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.9 0.9 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.8 0.9 0.8 0.9 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.7 0.9 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.8

1000 1.2 0.6 1.0 0.5 1.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.9 0.6 0.8 0.3 0.4 0.8 0.8 0.8 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.7 0.2 0.8 0.7 0.7

10000 y 1.2 0.6 1.1 0.5 1.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.9 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.9 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.7 0.7 1.0 0.9 0.2 0.9 0.9 0.8

Appendix T -7

Appendix T 2050 Tropical Cyclone Wave Setup and Runup Potential Tabulated Statistics Name Ataluma_Point Centre_Is_Tide_Gauge Payne_Island Jensen_Point Port_McArthur Sharker_Point Pelican_Spit Little_Vanderlin_Island Clarkson_Point Stokes_Bay Beavan_Point Ulbara_Point Small_Islet Whittet_Point Anderson_Point Jolly_Islet Train_Point Red_Point Brown_Islet Charles_Point Geranium_Bay Denten_Point Law_Island David_Islet Barbara_Cove Kedge_Point Base_Bay Turtle_Islet Cape_Vandelin Maxwell_Point Wheatley_Islet Mesley_Point Investigator_Bay Three_Hummock_Point Quince_Islet Daisy_Islet Jimmy_Islet Webinger_Point

Lat

Long

Slope (y/x)

-15.749 -15.754 -15.759 -15.775 -15.787 -15.883 -15.864 -15.861 -15.841 -15.823 -15.816 -15.802 -15.796 -15.777 -15.759 -15.752 -15.746 -15.721 -15.703 -15.684 -15.673 -15.661 -15.650 -15.638 -15.634 -15.622 -15.617 -15.587 -15.583 -15.578 -15.596 -15.603 -15.621 -15.616 -15.648 -15.721 -15.751 -15.769

136.809 136.790 136.771 136.745 136.738 136.744 137.012 137.062 137.026 137.021 137.009 136.985 136.973 136.968 136.963 136.951 136.939 136.922 136.917 136.912 136.919 136.926 136.933 136.940 136.959 136.966 136.985 136.987 137.006 137.025 137.030 137.042 137.047 137.066 137.095 137.115 137.113 137.118

0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

50 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

100 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

Wave Setup (m) 200 500 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

1000 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

10000 y 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

50 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.0 1.1 0.8 1.2 1.1 1.0 0.8 1.0 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.8

100 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.0 1.1 0.8 1.3 1.1 1.0 0.8 1.0 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.8

Wave Runup Potential (m) 200 500 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.8 0.9 0.8 0.9 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.0 0.0 1.1 1.1 0.8 0.8 1.3 1.3 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.0 0.8 0.8 1.0 1.0 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8

1000 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.0 0.8 0.8 0.0 1.1 0.8 1.3 1.1 1.0 0.8 1.0 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.8

10000 y 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.0 1.1 0.8 1.3 1.1 1.0 0.8 1.0 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.8

Appendix T -8

Appendix T 2050 Tropical Cyclone Wave Setup and Runup Potential Tabulated Statistics Name Sharp_Stones_Point Goat_Point Myoorlka_Island Murrenginya_Island Calvert_River QLDNT_Border Walker_Point Cabbage_Tree_Cove Observation_Island North_Island Craufurd_Islet Heriot_Reef Cape_Pellew Ross_Point North_Island_Community Paradice_Bay Webe_Point Johnston_Islet Watson_Island Toby_Point Macassar_Bay Phil_Point Inner_Bank West_Island_Community Crocodile_Point Eagle_Bay Cliffdale_Creek Pains_Island Bayley_Island Bayley_Point Syrell_Creek James_Creek Moonlight_Creek Tarrant_Point Channon_Creek Pasco_Inlet Nicholson_River Pandanus_Creek

Lat

Long

Slope (y/x)

-15.828 -15.856 -16.012 -16.037 -16.195 -16.527 -15.641 -15.623 -15.611 -15.582 -15.534 -15.515 -15.497 -15.490 -15.513 -15.525 -15.530 -15.541 -15.546 -15.574 -15.619 -15.651 -15.646 -15.652 -15.638 -14.834 -16.813 -16.863 -16.899 -16.911 -16.960 -17.193 -17.254 -17.363 -17.407 -17.472 -17.496 -17.503

137.114 137.081 137.275 137.292 137.742 138.008 136.891 136.886 136.893 136.895 136.892 136.887 136.882 136.870 136.856 136.849 136.830 136.823 136.804 136.771 136.824 136.853 136.872 136.499 136.475 135.715 138.779 139.038 139.049 139.042 139.077 139.195 139.222 139.479 139.533 139.623 139.641 139.653

0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

50 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

100 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

Wave Setup (m) 200 500 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

1000 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

10000 y 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

50 0.9 0.7 1.0 0.8 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.9 0.5 1.1 1.2 0.7 0.8 1.1 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.1 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7

100 0.9 0.7 1.0 0.8 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.9 0.5 1.1 1.3 0.7 0.9 1.1 0.9 0.8 0.9 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.2 0.6 0.8 1.1 1.0 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7

Wave Runup Potential (m) 200 500 0.9 0.9 0.7 0.7 1.0 1.0 0.8 0.8 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.9 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.9 0.9 0.5 0.5 1.1 1.1 1.3 1.3 0.7 0.7 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.1 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.8 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.0 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.8

1000 0.9 0.7 1.0 0.8 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.9 0.5 1.1 1.3 0.7 0.9 1.1 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.1 0.6 0.8 1.1 1.0 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.8

10000 y 0.9 0.7 1.0 0.8 1.0 0.9 1.0 0.8 0.9 0.0 0.9 0.5 1.1 1.3 0.7 1.0 1.1 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.8 1.1 1.0 0.8 0.9 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.8

Appendix T -9

Appendix T 2050 Tropical Cyclone Wave Setup and Runup Potential Tabulated Statistics Name Williams_Inlet Offshore_Burketown Gore_Point Disaster_Inlet Brannigan_Creek Accident_Inlet Fitzmaurice_Point Smithburne_River Bold_Point Van_Diemen_Inlet Karumba Alligator_Point Flinders_River Macdonald_Point Sweers_Is_Resort Inscription_Point Bentinck_Is_Airport Carnarvon Red_Cliffs Fowler_Island Mckenzie_Creek Wilson_Bay Kirke_Point Bessie_Island Margaret_Island Albinia_Island Oaktree_Point White_Cliff Horseshoe_Island Creffild_Point Allen_Island Greenaway_Point Little_Allen_Island Beche_De_Mer_Point Beche_De_Mer_Bay Warahbah_Point Boyorrunga_Inlet Timber_Point

Lat

Long

Slope (y/x)

-17.509 -17.519 -17.612 -17.619 -17.201 -17.189 -17.160 -17.035 -16.995 -16.977 -17.442 -17.454 -17.577 -17.129 -17.118 -17.106 -17.100 -17.094 -17.083 -17.116 -17.136 -17.130 -17.108 -16.999 -17.031 -17.042 -16.982 -17.038 -17.006 -17.066 -17.053 -16.996 -16.990 -16.810 -16.763 -16.752 -16.740 -16.742

139.665 139.740 139.941 139.953 140.887 140.894 140.896 140.920 140.959 140.954 140.795 140.788 140.619 139.585 139.592 139.599 139.587 139.606 139.613 139.561 139.485 139.473 139.405 139.374 139.403 139.397 139.512 139.559 139.274 139.270 139.246 139.199 139.187 139.166 139.194 139.201 139.208 139.239

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

50 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1

100 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1

Wave Setup (m) 200 500 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1

1000 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1

10000 y 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1

50 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 1.1 1.0 1.1 1.1 0.0 0.5 0.8 0.9 0.0 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.0 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.6

100 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 1.1 1.0 1.1 1.1 0.0 0.6 0.9 0.9 0.0 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.8 0.7 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.6

Wave Runup Potential (m) 200 500 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.6 0.9 1.0 0.9 1.1 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.2 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6

1000 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 1.1 1.0 1.1 1.1 0.0 0.6 1.0 1.1 0.0 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.8 0.8 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.6

10000 y 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 1.1 1.0 1.1 1.1 0.0 0.6 1.0 1.1 0.0 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.8 0.8 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.6

Appendix T -10

Appendix T 2050 Tropical Cyclone Wave Setup and Runup Potential Tabulated Statistics Name Beeberr_Creek Wunungun_Point Tulburrerr_Island Gerrigroo_Point Kungunmeah_River Woolgunjin_Point Jirke_Island Yuwah_Point Beahgoo_Island Dungnoreah_Point Sydney_Island Ngawalgeah_Point Lingeleah_Island Weediah_Bay Walbor_Inlet Jubuneah_Point Lelkajindi_Creek Ngulwonmeah_River Gilitja_Point Charlie_Bush_Bay Billmahgun_Point Dalmumeah_Creek Gatgatgerah_Creek Lingnoonganee_Island Meahyawogan_Point Moondalbee_Island Mudgun_Point Towbulbulan_River Watson_Patch Thabugan_Point Wardoo_Creek Lowareah_Point Sandalwood_Place_River Eengan_Bay Hall_Point Gumbannge_Point Goojamun_Creek Ballast_Creek

Lat

Long

Slope (y/x)

-16.737 -16.743 -16.757 -16.747 -16.713 -16.702 -16.678 -16.685 -16.692 -16.728 -16.695 -16.647 -16.635 -16.612 -16.594 -16.582 -16.541 -16.529 -16.524 -16.531 -16.557 -16.535 -16.530 -16.497 -16.504 -16.451 -16.438 -16.443 -16.398 -16.390 -16.404 -16.437 -16.450 -16.460 -16.464 -16.497 -16.508 -16.520

139.257 139.270 139.294 139.332 139.384 139.390 139.404 139.416 139.428 139.439 139.491 139.487 139.494 139.507 139.502 139.509 139.518 139.524 139.543 139.555 139.604 139.649 139.668 139.719 139.731 139.747 139.722 139.703 139.650 139.607 139.519 139.467 139.379 139.341 139.291 139.240 139.233 139.226

0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

50 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1

100 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1

Wave Setup (m) 200 500 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

1000 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1

10000 y 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1

50 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.1 1.0 1.2 0.0 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.3 1.0 0.2 0.6 1.3 1.1 1.0

100 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.1 1.0 1.2 0.0 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.0 0.2 0.6 1.4 1.1 1.0

Wave Runup Potential (m) 200 500 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.0 1.0 1.2 1.2 0.0 0.0 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.0 1.0 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.6 1.4 1.4 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.0

1000 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.1 1.0 1.2 0.0 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.0 0.2 0.6 1.4 1.1 1.0

10000 y 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.1 1.0 1.2 0.0 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.0 0.2 0.6 1.4 1.1 1.0

Appendix T -11

Appendix T 2050 Tropical Cyclone Wave Setup and Runup Potential Tabulated Statistics Name Dwenty_Point Bilmagun_Point Brookes_Reef Bidgagum_Bay Waddagun_Waterhole Horse_Place_Creek Gee_Wee_Creek Lingele_Point Jidan_Marun Gee_Wee_Point Mornington_Island Dubbar_Point Porpoise_Point Denham_Island Dougherty_Bay Andrew_Island Midbagar_Point Snapper_Point Whale_Point Forsyth_Island Forsyth_Islands Government_Point Ivis_Island Eight_Mile_Creek Bountiful_Islands Pisonia_Island Van_Diemen_Inlet Salt_Arm_Creek Rocky_Creek Station_Creek Station_Creek Topsy_Creek South_Mitchell_River Chapman_River Pormpuraaw Moonkan_Creek Edward_River Christmas_Creek

Lat

Long

Slope (y/x)

-16.532 -16.543 -16.555 -16.566 -16.578 -16.595 -16.600 -16.611 -16.629 -16.641 -16.659 -16.671 -16.712 -16.730 -16.742 -16.753 -16.765 -16.777 -16.841 -16.854 -16.861 -16.868 -16.874 -16.753 -16.683 -16.507 -16.953 -16.138 -15.897 -15.847 -15.674 -15.495 -15.340 -14.933 -14.918 -14.847 -14.735 -14.459

139.219 139.212 139.205 139.199 139.192 139.166 139.147 139.140 139.145 139.138 139.143 139.137 139.128 139.133 139.126 139.119 139.113 139.106 139.083 139.107 139.120 139.132 139.144 138.558 139.865 139.793 140.982 141.363 141.380 141.403 141.421 141.483 141.526 141.601 141.590 141.575 141.554 141.521

0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

50 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0

100 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0

Wave Setup (m) 200 500 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0

1000 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0

10000 y 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0

50 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9 1.3 1.3 1.2 1.2 0.8 1.0 0.9 0.7 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 1.0 0.8 1.1 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.8 1.1 0.0 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.7 0.0

100 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9 1.5 1.5 1.3 1.4 0.8 1.1 1.0 0.8 1.0 0.9 0.9 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 1.0 0.8 1.2 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.8 1.1 0.0 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.7 0.0

Wave Runup Potential (m) 200 500 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9 0.9 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.4 1.5 1.4 1.4 0.8 0.8 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.1 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.9 1.2 1.3 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 1.1 1.1 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.0

1000 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.4 0.8 1.2 1.1 0.9 1.0 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.7 1.0 0.9 1.4 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.8 1.1 0.0 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.7 0.0

10000 y 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.4 0.8 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.0 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.1 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.7 1.0 0.9 1.5 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.8 1.1 0.0 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.7 0.0

Appendix T -12

Appendix T 2050 Tropical Cyclone Wave Setup and Runup Potential Tabulated Statistics Name Hersey_Creek King_Creek Kulinchin Holroyd_River Knox_Creek Mitchell_River Staaten_River Gilbert_River Snake_Creek Duck_Creek Kirke_River Koontun_Creek Shell_Creek Colin_Creek Love_River Aurukun_(Archer_River) Ward_River Worbody_Point Possum_Creek Ina_Creek False_Pera_Head Norman_Creek Thud_Point Pera_Head Boyd_Point Beening_Creek Jessica_Point Wooldrum_Point Evans_Landing Wallaby_Island Amboyninghy_Point Landfall_Point Botchet_Creek Duyfken_Point Pine_River_Bay Nomenade_Creek Wenlock_River Janie_Creek

Lat

Long

Slope (y/x)

-14.356 -14.330 -14.212 -14.152 -14.087 -15.190 -16.409 -16.564 -16.680 -16.807 -13.894 -13.550 -13.513 -13.500 -13.476 -13.323 -13.291 -13.293 -13.241 -13.177 -13.078 -13.023 -12.979 -12.918 -12.885 -12.648 -12.619 -12.622 -12.608 -12.579 -12.563 -12.573 -12.534 -12.460 -12.384 -12.331 -11.939 -11.931

141.554 141.559 141.581 141.550 141.562 141.596 141.283 141.240 141.204 141.081 141.465 141.515 141.535 141.538 141.556 141.612 141.660 141.673 141.683 141.625 141.602 141.598 141.578 141.617 141.665 141.777 141.769 141.782 141.785 141.693 141.682 141.583 141.590 141.631 141.659 141.669 141.906 141.936

0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.05 0.01 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.01 0.01

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50 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.1

100 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.1

Wave Setup (m) 200 500 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

1000 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.1

10000 y 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.1

50 0.0 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.2 1.3 0.9 0.9 0.8 1.1 1.0 0.4 0.0 1.3 0.8 0.0 1.3 1.3 1.2 0.9 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.5 0.8 0.2 0.2 1.2 1.2 0.9 0.8

100 0.0 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.2 1.3 0.9 0.9 0.8 1.1 1.0 0.4 0.0 1.5 0.8 0.0 1.5 1.5 1.2 0.9 1.0 0.9 0.9 1.0 0.5 0.8 0.2 0.2 1.3 1.2 0.9 0.9

Wave Runup Potential (m) 200 500 0.0 0.0 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.2 1.3 1.3 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.0 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.0 1.5 1.5 0.8 0.8 0.0 0.0 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.2 1.2 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.8 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 1.3 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0

1000 0.0 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.2 1.3 0.9 0.9 0.8 1.1 1.0 0.4 0.0 1.5 0.8 0.0 1.6 1.6 1.2 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.0 0.5 0.8 0.2 0.2 1.3 1.2 1.0 1.0

10000 y 0.0 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.2 1.3 0.9 0.9 0.8 1.1 1.0 0.4 0.0 1.5 0.8 0.0 1.6 1.6 1.2 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.2 1.0 0.5 0.8 0.2 0.2 1.3 1.2 1.0 1.0

Appendix T -13

Appendix T 2050 Tropical Cyclone Wave Setup and Runup Potential Tabulated Statistics Name Mapoon Cullen_(tullanaringa)_Point Tullanaringa_(cullen)_Point Skardon_River Jackson_River Macdonald_(collet)_River Doughboy_River Cotterell_River Vrilya_Point

Lat

Long

Slope (y/x)

-11.849 -11.797 -11.784 -11.596 -11.493 -11.377 -11.283 -11.178 -11.056

141.936 141.946 141.948 142.038 142.070 142.105 142.108 142.126 142.121

0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

50 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

100 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

Wave Setup (m) 200 500 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

1000 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

10000 y 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

50 0.9 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.7

100 0.9 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.0 0.8

Wave Runup Potential (m) 200 500 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.2 0.9 0.9

1000 0.9 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.2 0.9

10000 y 0.9 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.2 0.9

Appendix T -14

Appendix U

2100 Tropical Cyclone Significant Wave Height and Period Tabulated Results

41/23138/432535

Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stage 1 and 2 Combined Final Report

Appendix U 2100 Tropical Cyclone Significant Wave Height and Period Tabulated Statistics Name Bremer_Islets Gutjangan_Community East_Woody_Beach Gangaru_Lagoon Ruwakpuy_Community Bremer_Island East_Bremer_Islet Town_Beach Gove Rainbow_Cliff Yirrkala Miles_Island Garrirri_Beach Rocky_Bay Baringura_Inlet Garanhan_Beach Needle_Point Dalywoi_Bay Ngumuy_Beach Arnhem_Shoal Cape_Arnhem Lurrupukurru_Beach Bawaka_Community Gwapilina_Point Dhulmulmiya_Community Binanangoi_Point Holly_Inlet Dhaniya_Community Wanyanmera_Point Buymarr_Community Millarong Mcnamara_Island Point_Alexander Garrthalala_Community Grays_Bay Middle_Point Caledon_Bay Caledon_Point

Lat

Long

Depth (m)

-12.062 -12.072 -12.143 -12.150 -12.122 -12.110 -12.080 -12.168 -12.186 -12.193 -12.239 -12.257 -12.269 -12.276 -12.300 -12.319 -12.337 -12.343 -12.332 -12.327 -12.345 -12.446 -12.525 -12.555 -12.560 -12.578 -12.594 -12.588 -12.694 -12.708 -12.780 -12.869 -12.844 -12.806 -12.811 -12.822 -12.852 -12.877

136.836 136.799 136.789 136.801 136.833 136.840 136.841 136.806 136.811 136.823 136.905 136.911 136.904 136.916 136.932 136.938 136.943 136.954 136.961 136.980 136.985 136.863 136.785 136.783 136.765 136.769 136.744 136.732 136.702 136.646 136.635 136.630 136.613 136.572 136.554 136.547 136.545 136.562

19.7 14.4 13.4 13.4 7.8 15.2 12.8 7.4 4.0 3.4 17.6 6.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.8 14.9 15.5 21.5 13.4 7.3 5.5 13.0 8.9 3.2 8.7 2.0 6.8 2.6 7.4 2.6 9.0 9.3 8.5 7.7

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

50 4.7 3.3 3.5 3.8 3.9 4.3 4.0 3.9 1.9 1.9 4.9 3.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.9 5.8 5.8 5.4 5.3 3.9 2.9 5.6 4.4 1.4 4.4 0.9 3.4 1.4 2.5 0.8 1.8 1.9 2.8 3.6

100 6.2 4.3 4.6 5.0 3.9 5.6 5.2 3.9 1.9 1.9 6.4 3.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.9 7.3 7.4 6.8 6.6 3.9 2.9 6.4 4.4 1.4 4.4 0.9 3.4 1.4 2.9 0.9 2.0 2.1 3.4 3.9

Significant Wave Height (m) 200 500 1000 7.2 7.8 8.2 4.9 5.5 5.8 5.3 5.5 5.7 5.8 6.0 6.1 3.9 3.9 3.9 6.6 7.4 7.4 6.0 6.4 6.4 3.9 3.9 3.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 7.7 8.9 8.9 3.4 3.4 3.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.9 1.9 1.9 7.4 7.4 7.4 7.9 7.9 7.9 8.1 9.7 10.7 6.9 6.9 6.9 3.9 3.9 3.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 6.4 6.4 6.4 4.4 4.4 4.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 4.4 4.4 4.4 0.9 0.9 0.9 3.4 3.4 3.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 3.1 3.3 3.5 1.1 1.4 1.4 2.2 2.4 2.6 2.3 2.6 2.7 3.8 4.1 4.2 3.9 3.9 3.9

10000 y 8.8 6.4 6.0 6.4 3.9 7.4 6.4 3.9 1.9 1.9 8.9 3.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.9 7.4 7.9 10.9 6.9 3.9 2.9 6.4 4.4 1.4 4.4 0.9 3.4 1.4 3.7 1.4 2.8 3.0 4.4 3.9

50 10.9 6.9 10.1 10.8 10.8 10.7 10.3 10.7 9.5 9.2 11.0 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.6 10.9 10.9 10.7 10.9 9.9 8.9 10.8 10.4 5.8 10.5 4.7 10.4 6.7 10.3 9.1 10.5 10.0 11.0 11.0

100 10.9 7.6 10.4 10.6 10.8 10.7 10.3 10.7 9.5 9.2 10.6 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.6 11.3 10.9 10.8 10.7 9.9 8.9 11.1 10.4 5.8 10.5 4.7 10.4 6.7 10.3 9.7 10.3 9.9 10.6 10.9

Wave Period (s) 200 500 11.0 11.5 7.7 8.3 11.0 11.7 11.1 11.6 10.8 10.8 11.2 11.8 10.5 11.1 10.7 10.7 9.5 9.5 9.2 9.2 11.1 12.2 10.6 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.6 8.6 11.4 11.4 11.5 11.5 11.1 11.7 11.3 11.3 9.9 9.9 8.9 8.9 11.1 11.1 10.4 10.4 5.8 5.8 10.5 10.5 4.7 4.7 10.4 10.4 6.7 6.7 10.5 10.8 10.1 10.6 10.5 10.9 9.8 10.6 11.1 11.7 10.9 10.9

1000 11.9 8.8 12.3 12.0 10.8 11.8 11.1 10.7 9.5 9.2 12.2 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.6 11.4 11.5 12.2 11.3 9.9 8.9 11.1 10.4 5.8 10.5 4.7 10.4 6.7 10.4 11.0 11.2 10.9 11.5 10.9

10000 y 12.9 11.6 13.4 12.7 10.8 11.8 11.1 10.7 9.5 9.2 12.2 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.6 11.4 11.5 12.4 11.3 9.9 8.9 11.1 10.4 5.8 10.5 4.7 10.4 6.7 12.3 11.0 12.5 12.2 12.4 10.9

Appendix U -1

Appendix U 2100 Tropical Cyclone Significant Wave Height and Period Tabulated Statistics Name Du_Pre_Bay Du_Pre_Point Cape_Grey Wonga_Bay Dirrangmurumanja_Bay Guyuwiri_Point Bald_Point Bagbiringula_Point Wardarlea_Bay Point_Arrowsmith Marajella_Bay Barraratjpi_Community Cape_Shield Djarrakpi_Community Gooninnah_Island Baniyala_Community Point_Blane Grindall_Bay Round_Hill_Island Cool_Yal_You_Ma_Island Nicol_Island Ayangmarnda_Island Isle_Woodah Morgan_Island Yee_To_Wappah_Island Blue_Mud_Bay Meringa_Island Haddon_Head Yilila_Community Bennet_Bay Malagayangu_District Miwul_Community Rantyirrity_Point Minintirri_Island Amamarrity_Island Numbulwar Nyinpinti_Point Sandy_Island

Lat

Long

Depth (m)

-12.928 -12.942 -12.996 -12.999 -13.004 -13.016 -13.069 -13.168 -13.189 -13.259 -13.245 -13.250 -13.285 -13.297 -13.308 -13.228 -13.286 -13.228 -13.317 -13.420 -13.452 -13.480 -13.483 -13.489 -13.494 -13.439 -13.428 -13.429 -13.659 -13.720 -13.907 -14.070 -14.212 -14.217 -14.252 -14.303 -14.463 -14.432

136.626 136.650 136.665 136.616 136.598 136.591 136.575 136.533 136.488 136.447 136.424 136.405 136.384 136.378 136.371 136.228 136.194 136.118 136.112 136.241 136.270 136.238 136.188 136.090 136.071 136.056 136.063 135.983 135.926 135.952 135.984 135.918 135.897 135.879 135.858 135.812 135.684 135.877

13.6 15.3 9.1 8.4 9.5 6.1 12.3 11.8 0.0 19.9 9.0 10.8 9.4 5.2 7.4 6.8 7.9 7.9 12.4 7.5 2.2 13.9 7.8 6.1 8.2 6.7 6.6 6.1 6.2 5.9 14.3 6.2 9.1 5.5 6.1 6.6 5.3 2.3

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

50 4.8 5.3 4.4 2.7 4.0 2.9 5.6 5.9 0.0 5.2 4.4 4.8 4.9 2.4 3.9 2.7 3.9 1.6 3.3 3.7 0.9 4.6 3.8 1.4 1.5 1.3 1.2 1.7 1.8 1.3 3.9 2.9 4.4 2.9 2.9 3.4 2.9 1.4

100 5.9 6.5 4.4 3.2 4.7 2.9 6.4 5.9 0.0 6.3 4.4 5.4 4.9 2.4 3.9 3.2 3.9 1.7 4.2 3.9 0.9 5.6 3.9 1.5 1.6 1.4 1.3 2.0 2.2 1.6 4.6 2.9 4.4 2.9 2.9 3.4 2.9 1.4

Significant Wave Height (m) 200 500 1000 6.9 6.9 6.9 7.6 7.9 7.9 4.4 4.4 4.4 3.5 3.8 4.0 4.9 4.9 4.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 6.4 6.4 6.4 5.9 5.9 5.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.1 7.9 8.6 4.4 4.4 4.4 5.4 5.4 5.4 4.9 4.9 4.9 2.4 2.4 2.4 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.9 3.9 3.9 1.9 2.0 2.2 4.9 5.5 5.9 3.9 3.9 3.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 6.3 6.9 6.9 3.9 3.9 3.9 1.7 1.9 2.0 1.8 2.0 2.1 1.6 1.8 2.0 1.5 1.7 1.9 2.2 2.5 2.6 2.5 2.9 2.9 1.8 2.2 2.3 5.2 5.7 6.0 2.9 2.9 2.9 4.4 4.4 4.4 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 3.4 3.4 3.4 2.9 2.9 2.9 1.4 1.4 1.4

10000 y 6.9 7.9 4.4 4.3 4.9 2.9 6.4 5.9 0.0 9.9 4.4 5.4 4.9 2.4 3.9 3.4 3.9 2.6 6.4 3.9 0.9 6.9 3.9 2.4 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.9 2.9 2.8 6.6 2.9 4.4 2.9 2.9 3.4 2.9 1.4

50 11.3 11.2 10.4 8.2 10.6 9.1 10.9 10.9 0.0 10.5 10.7 10.8 10.7 7.5 10.4 6.6 10.1 4.8 10.6 10.6 4.5 10.3 10.7 4.9 4.8 4.6 4.4 4.6 4.4 3.9 6.9 7.0 7.7 6.9 7.0 7.7 6.9 5.4

100 11.0 11.0 10.4 8.4 10.4 9.1 10.9 10.9 0.0 10.6 10.7 10.8 10.7 7.5 10.4 6.8 10.1 5.0 10.3 10.7 4.5 10.9 10.9 4.9 4.9 4.7 4.7 4.7 5.2 3.7 7.2 7.0 7.7 6.9 7.0 7.7 6.9 5.4

Wave Period (s) 200 500 11.7 11.7 11.4 12.0 10.4 10.4 8.9 9.5 10.8 10.8 9.1 9.1 10.9 10.9 10.9 10.9 0.0 0.0 11.1 11.4 10.7 10.7 10.8 10.8 10.7 10.7 7.5 7.5 10.4 10.4 7.2 7.2 10.1 10.1 5.0 5.0 10.3 10.0 10.7 10.7 4.5 4.5 11.0 11.7 10.9 10.9 5.2 5.0 5.1 4.8 4.9 4.7 5.0 4.7 5.0 4.9 5.1 6.7 3.5 3.7 7.4 7.1 7.0 7.0 7.7 7.7 6.9 6.9 7.0 7.0 7.7 7.7 6.9 6.9 5.4 5.4

1000 11.7 12.0 10.4 10.0 10.8 9.1 10.9 10.9 0.0 11.9 10.7 10.8 10.7 7.5 10.4 7.2 10.1 5.8 10.0 10.7 4.5 11.7 10.9 5.3 5.3 4.9 5.0 5.3 6.6 4.0 7.8 7.0 7.7 6.9 7.0 7.7 6.9 5.4

10000 y 11.7 12.0 10.4 11.4 10.8 9.1 10.9 10.9 0.0 12.9 10.7 10.8 10.7 7.5 10.4 7.2 10.1 5.0 11.3 10.7 4.5 11.7 10.9 5.0 5.1 5.0 4.9 5.7 6.6 5.9 7.6 7.0 7.7 6.9 7.0 7.7 6.9 5.4

Appendix U -2

Appendix U 2100 Tropical Cyclone Significant Wave Height and Period Tabulated Statistics Name

Lat

Long

Depth (m)

Alagna_Shoal Woody_Island Adumeninburra_Point Adthumaninbura_Point Adamaji_Beach North_Bay Ngurrkwurrumanja_Beach Ninaguwa_Island Nangkumanja_Reef Mekubarrkumanja_Point Amagiladjura_Point Angamanja_Island Lyangbudumanja_Point East_Bay Arawura_Bay Marjirrumanja__Beach Hand_Islet Mamarmbawiya_Point Nulukwa_Bay Numbarrila_Beach Enumerrmanja_Point Manggarna_Island South_Bay Milyakburra_Community Mirabangwa_Cliffs Banda_Island Connexion_Island Burley_Shoal North_West_Bluff Yellow_Patch Alubuwa_Point Bartelumba_Community Ngadumiyerrka_Community Deception_Bay Bartalumba_Bay Mundarringumanja_Beach Mundarrungmundja_Community Winchelsea_Island

-14.091 -13.823 -13.729 -13.706 -13.712 -13.701 -13.678 -13.655 -13.640 -13.678 -13.698 -13.716 -13.735 -13.751 -13.744 -13.769 -13.781 -13.799 -13.804 -13.815 -13.834 -13.845 -13.805 -13.799 -13.810 -13.840 -13.834 -13.850 -13.829 -13.818 -13.813 -13.808 -13.814 -13.809 -13.816 -13.811 -13.800 -13.768

136.065 136.081 136.106 136.119 136.131 136.138 136.152 136.166 136.222 136.262 136.298 136.303 136.308 136.283 136.271 136.288 136.281 136.286 136.267 136.260 136.265 136.259 136.187 136.175 136.168 136.167 136.376 136.350 136.395 136.402 136.420 136.439 136.451 136.470 136.482 136.500 136.507 136.478

6.3 7.1 5.9 8.9 3.5 7.9 6.2 7.0 5.9 12.8 14.2 13.2 15.5 0.0 0.0 13.9 5.2 24.5 2.0 1.7 9.7 11.8 7.4 5.8 6.7 12.4 17.3 9.0 22.8 22.5 8.9 13.0 8.5 9.8 7.7 8.2 7.1 8.7

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

50 3.4 3.4 1.8 1.9 1.6 1.7 1.8 2.0 2.8 4.1 4.0 3.6 3.5 0.0 0.0 3.4 2.4 3.6 0.9 0.9 3.7 3.8 1.2 1.8 2.1 3.6 2.9 3.5 3.3 3.1 2.6 2.2 1.9 1.9 1.8 1.7 1.7 2.1

100 3.4 3.4 2.0 2.1 1.9 2.0 2.1 2.3 2.9 5.0 4.8 4.4 4.2 0.0 0.0 3.9 2.4 4.0 0.9 0.9 4.3 4.4 1.3 2.0 2.4 4.3 3.3 4.1 3.7 3.5 3.0 2.5 2.3 2.2 2.1 1.9 2.0 2.4

Significant Wave Height (m) 200 500 1000 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 2.2 2.4 2.6 2.3 2.5 2.7 1.9 1.9 1.9 2.2 2.5 2.7 2.3 2.7 2.9 2.5 2.9 3.1 2.9 2.9 2.9 5.7 6.2 6.4 5.5 6.3 6.8 5.1 5.8 6.2 4.8 5.4 5.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.3 4.9 5.2 2.4 2.4 2.4 4.4 4.7 4.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 4.8 4.9 4.9 4.9 5.5 5.9 1.4 1.5 1.6 2.2 2.5 2.7 2.7 3.1 3.3 4.9 5.6 6.0 3.6 4.0 4.2 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.0 4.3 4.5 3.8 4.1 4.3 3.3 3.7 4.0 2.8 3.1 3.3 2.5 2.9 3.1 2.5 2.8 3.0 2.4 2.7 2.9 2.2 2.5 2.7 2.2 2.5 2.7 2.7 3.0 3.2

10000 y 3.4 3.4 2.9 3.0 1.9 3.0 2.9 3.4 2.9 6.4 6.9 6.4 7.1 0.0 0.0 6.6 2.4 5.5 0.9 0.9 4.9 5.9 1.9 2.9 3.4 6.4 4.7 4.4 5.0 5.2 4.4 4.0 3.9 3.7 3.5 3.4 3.4 3.9

50 7.0 6.7 7.7 8.1 8.6 8.5 8.7 9.1 10.4 10.6 9.6 8.9 8.4 0.0 0.0 8.6 8.1 7.8 4.1 4.0 7.7 7.7 5.7 6.0 6.4 6.5 7.0 7.3 7.1 7.2 7.7 7.3 7.3 7.0 6.8 6.3 6.5 7.1

100 7.0 6.7 7.8 8.1 9.4 8.9 9.3 9.6 10.8 10.8 10.4 9.6 8.8 0.0 0.0 8.4 8.1 8.0 4.1 4.0 7.7 7.8 5.8 6.3 6.8 6.9 7.4 7.4 7.4 7.6 8.2 7.7 7.8 7.5 7.3 6.8 6.9 7.3

Wave Period (s) 200 500 7.0 7.0 6.7 6.7 7.8 7.9 8.5 8.8 9.4 9.4 9.6 10.0 9.6 10.5 10.0 10.7 10.8 10.8 10.9 11.3 10.4 11.3 9.8 11.0 9.4 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.8 9.3 8.1 8.1 7.8 8.3 4.1 4.1 4.0 4.0 7.8 8.7 7.7 8.2 6.2 5.8 6.6 6.3 7.1 6.5 7.1 6.9 7.3 7.7 8.1 8.1 7.4 7.9 7.4 8.0 8.1 9.1 7.8 8.9 7.7 8.9 7.5 7.9 7.5 8.0 7.0 7.7 6.9 7.7 7.1 7.4

1000 7.0 6.7 7.5 8.6 9.4 9.6 10.4 9.8 10.8 11.6 11.6 11.1 10.5 0.0 0.0 10.7 8.1 8.3 4.1 4.0 8.7 8.9 6.3 7.0 7.2 7.6 7.8 8.1 8.1 7.9 8.7 8.5 8.7 8.3 8.5 7.6 7.8 7.7

10000 y 7.0 6.7 9.4 9.6 9.4 10.3 10.4 11.2 10.8 11.6 11.6 11.6 12.6 0.0 0.0 11.8 8.1 10.1 4.1 4.0 8.7 8.9 7.0 6.5 7.2 7.2 9.1 8.1 8.7 9.1 10.1 11.1 11.2 10.7 9.9 10.4 9.6 9.1

Appendix U -3

Appendix U 2100 Tropical Cyclone Significant Wave Height and Period Tabulated Statistics Name Mugwana_Island Finch_Island Alyinga_Island Yarranya_Island North_West_Bay Ayarina_Bay Darrangmurmanja_Community Yirrumanja_Point Milyema_Island Lewrrumbumanja_Cliff Chasm_Island Yingilirrba_Island Menimberrkwe_Cliff Angarmbulumardja_Island Ilyaugwamaja_Island Angarumurada_Island North_Point_Island Makmuntja_Community Milyangkwudakba_Point Mungwarndumanja_Island Jagged_Head Hempel_Bay Port_Langdon Mccomb_Point Thompson_Bay Mawulyumanja_Community Baird_Cliff Akwalirrumanja_Community Umbakumba Spit_End Little_Lagoon Alyingberrma_Community Scott_Point_Community Scott_Point Dingala_Point Amuriyerra_Point Amrranga_Beach Eight_Mile_Beach

Lat

Long

Depth (m)

-13.687 -13.719 -13.730 -13.748 -13.755 -13.750 -13.732 -13.714 -13.696 -13.684 -13.672 -13.656 -13.674 -13.676 -13.653 -13.648 -13.643 -13.649 -13.645 -13.681 -13.688 -13.752 -13.777 -13.788 -13.800 -13.818 -13.825 -13.838 -13.833 -13.828 -13.823 -13.812 -13.741 -13.736 -13.756 -13.805 -13.822 -13.868

136.526 136.555 136.548 136.553 136.565 136.584 136.579 136.574 136.569 136.576 136.582 136.608 136.613 136.644 136.657 136.676 136.695 136.707 136.725 136.736 136.748 136.725 136.742 136.735 136.729 136.734 136.746 136.769 136.788 136.807 136.826 136.833 136.843 136.862 136.897 136.931 136.906 136.878

13.2 9.8 4.9 6.5 7.8 6.6 7.5 9.2 8.8 9.4 11.7 9.4 11.5 10.6 5.9 7.1 11.7 6.2 11.0 4.6 0.0 6.7 14.2 13.2 9.8 9.5 7.5 6.4 9.9 6.2 8.6 6.6 8.3 13.0 8.3 7.6 0.0 13.0

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

50 3.8 2.3 1.9 1.0 1.4 1.5 1.8 2.2 2.5 2.5 2.6 4.0 2.8 1.7 2.9 3.4 4.2 2.9 5.3 2.4 0.0 3.4 3.0 2.9 2.8 2.5 2.7 2.5 2.4 2.1 0.5 0.5 3.5 4.2 4.4 3.9 0.0 6.4

100 4.6 2.7 2.3 1.2 1.6 1.7 2.0 2.5 2.9 3.0 3.0 4.9 3.3 1.8 2.9 3.4 4.8 2.9 5.4 2.4 0.0 3.4 3.4 3.3 3.2 2.8 3.2 2.9 2.9 2.5 0.5 0.5 3.9 4.5 4.4 3.9 0.0 6.4

Significant Wave Height (m) 200 500 1000 5.3 6.1 6.4 3.1 3.6 3.9 2.4 2.4 2.4 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.8 2.0 2.1 1.9 2.0 2.2 2.2 2.5 2.7 2.8 3.1 3.3 3.4 4.0 4.4 3.5 4.1 4.4 3.5 4.0 4.4 4.9 4.9 4.9 3.6 3.7 3.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 2.9 2.9 2.9 3.4 3.4 3.4 5.2 5.7 5.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 5.4 5.4 5.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.6 3.9 4.1 3.6 3.9 4.0 3.5 3.8 4.0 3.0 3.2 3.3 3.5 3.8 3.9 3.1 3.3 3.4 3.1 3.4 3.6 2.8 2.9 2.9 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 4.2 4.4 4.4 4.7 5.0 5.1 4.4 4.4 4.4 3.9 3.9 3.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.4 6.4 6.4

10000 y 6.4 4.8 2.4 1.8 2.4 2.5 3.2 3.8 4.4 4.9 5.4 4.9 3.9 1.9 2.9 3.4 5.9 2.9 5.4 2.4 0.0 3.4 4.8 4.8 4.9 3.7 3.9 3.4 3.8 2.9 0.7 0.6 4.4 5.3 4.4 3.9 0.0 6.4

50 8.8 7.3 6.9 5.9 5.6 5.8 6.5 6.6 6.8 6.6 7.8 9.6 8.9 7.9 10.0 10.2 10.6 10.3 10.8 10.8 0.0 11.1 10.6 10.6 10.6 10.4 10.2 9.2 8.3 7.3 2.9 2.9 9.7 10.6 10.6 9.9 0.0 10.7

100 9.7 7.8 8.3 6.2 6.1 6.3 7.0 7.0 7.5 7.3 8.2 10.6 9.2 8.1 10.0 10.2 10.6 10.3 11.0 10.8 0.0 11.1 10.6 10.6 10.7 10.6 10.2 9.7 9.4 8.6 2.9 2.9 9.8 10.5 10.6 9.9 0.0 10.7

Wave Period (s) 200 500 9.7 10.7 7.6 9.0 8.9 8.9 6.7 7.7 6.5 6.8 6.3 6.8 7.3 7.7 7.7 8.4 7.8 8.0 7.6 7.8 8.3 8.7 10.6 10.6 9.3 10.1 8.4 8.6 10.0 10.0 10.2 10.2 10.5 11.3 10.3 10.3 11.0 11.0 10.8 10.8 0.0 0.0 11.1 11.1 10.5 11.3 10.5 11.2 10.5 11.2 10.4 11.1 10.3 10.8 9.6 10.2 9.3 10.1 8.8 9.6 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 10.0 10.7 10.7 11.3 10.6 10.6 9.9 9.9 0.0 0.0 10.7 10.7

1000 11.5 8.5 8.9 8.1 7.3 7.7 7.9 8.3 9.3 8.6 9.4 10.6 10.2 9.0 10.0 10.2 11.8 10.3 11.0 10.8 0.0 11.1 11.1 11.3 11.2 10.9 11.2 10.4 9.6 9.6 3.0 2.8 10.7 11.2 10.6 9.9 0.0 10.7

10000 y 11.5 10.7 8.9 10.5 6.9 7.6 6.3 10.2 9.4 10.0 10.9 10.6 10.7 9.2 10.0 10.2 11.8 10.3 11.0 10.8 0.0 11.1 11.0 10.3 12.1 12.2 11.2 10.4 8.8 9.6 2.4 2.4 10.7 11.7 10.6 9.9 0.0 10.7

Appendix U -4

Appendix U 2100 Tropical Cyclone Significant Wave Height and Period Tabulated Statistics Name Amirraba_Community Picnic_Beach Mamalingmandja_Point Ayungkwiyungkwa_Beach Malkayubirra_Beach Ilyungmadja_Point Lugadamanja_Point Amanburnunga_Community Dalumbu_Bay Adilyagba_Point Ungwariba_Point Eberrumilya_Island Amungkarma_Islands Cape_Beatrice Arnarrma_Point Marangala_Point Mirrburrumanja_Point Marangala_Bay Murrukwulya_Island Mamungwajingumanja_Beach Inamalamandja_Point Merruwumanja_Point Arida_Island Low_Island Eninyena_Beach Amungkwalya_Beach Yanbakwa_Community South_Point Tasman_Point Rutland_Shoal Eningkirra_Beach Abarungkwa_Beach Endungwa_Beach Malkala_Community Alyangula Arruwa_Island Bustard_Isles Bustard_Island

Lat

Long

Depth (m)

-13.880 -13.921 -13.926 -13.917 -13.952 -14.038 -14.094 -14.170 -14.177 -14.139 -14.139 -14.303 -14.308 -14.301 -14.291 -14.283 -14.299 -14.273 -14.283 -14.288 -14.299 -14.304 -14.298 -14.302 -14.278 -14.246 -14.226 -14.244 -14.212 -13.984 -13.966 -13.955 -13.932 -13.890 -13.847 -13.708 -13.697 -13.710

136.872 136.863 136.844 136.802 136.781 136.825 136.761 136.732 136.743 136.813 136.924 136.970 136.952 136.940 136.866 136.824 136.798 136.750 136.713 136.694 136.687 136.668 136.656 136.637 136.620 136.481 136.445 136.339 136.310 136.398 136.393 136.399 136.413 136.422 136.400 136.371 136.378 136.402

13.6 21.6 8.5 4.5 8.5 18.6 12.1 7.3 7.2 11.8 8.1 27.3 8.9 8.9 6.2 0.0 15.9 5.1 7.3 10.1 11.3 16.2 9.4 9.0 2.8 3.1 0.0 12.5 13.6 6.8 7.5 6.4 1.7 8.0 24.9 21.4 12.4 14.2

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

50 6.9 6.8 4.4 2.4 4.4 6.4 4.5 2.5 1.8 5.0 3.9 7.4 4.4 4.4 2.9 0.0 4.9 2.4 3.9 4.9 5.9 6.3 4.9 4.4 1.4 1.4 0.0 5.7 3.7 3.4 3.5 3.4 0.9 3.3 3.4 3.5 2.5 3.8

100 6.9 8.1 4.4 2.4 4.4 7.7 5.3 2.9 2.0 5.9 3.9 8.9 4.4 4.4 2.9 0.0 5.5 2.4 3.9 4.9 5.9 7.5 4.9 4.4 1.4 1.4 0.0 6.4 4.3 3.4 3.9 3.4 0.9 3.9 3.9 4.1 2.8 4.6

Significant Wave Height (m) 200 500 1000 6.9 6.9 6.9 9.1 10.3 10.9 4.4 4.4 4.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 4.4 4.4 4.4 8.7 9.4 9.4 5.9 5.9 5.9 3.1 3.5 3.6 2.2 2.3 2.5 5.9 5.9 5.9 3.9 3.9 3.9 10.1 11.3 12.3 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.4 2.9 2.9 2.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 6.4 6.7 2.4 2.4 2.4 3.9 3.9 3.9 4.9 4.9 4.9 5.9 5.9 5.9 7.9 7.9 7.9 4.9 4.9 4.9 4.4 4.4 4.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.4 6.4 6.4 4.7 5.2 5.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.4 3.4 3.4 0.9 0.9 0.9 3.9 3.9 3.9 4.3 4.6 4.8 4.4 4.9 5.2 3.1 3.4 3.5 5.2 5.9 6.4

10000 y 6.9 10.9 4.4 2.4 4.4 9.4 5.9 3.9 3.0 5.9 3.9 13.9 4.4 4.4 2.9 0.0 7.1 2.4 3.9 4.9 5.9 7.9 4.9 4.4 1.4 1.4 0.0 6.4 6.0 3.4 3.9 3.4 0.9 3.9 5.3 5.8 4.2 6.9

50 10.8 10.8 10.3 8.6 10.3 10.6 10.6 10.6 10.2 10.9 10.9 10.3 9.9 9.8 7.0 0.0 8.2 6.2 7.6 7.9 8.3 8.2 8.0 7.8 5.2 4.8 0.0 7.6 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.4 4.1 6.3 6.7 8.6 7.4 9.0

100 10.8 11.0 10.3 8.6 10.3 10.9 10.9 10.6 10.5 11.1 10.9 10.6 9.9 9.8 7.0 0.0 8.4 6.2 7.6 7.9 8.3 8.6 8.0 7.8 5.2 4.8 0.0 8.1 6.5 6.2 6.6 6.4 4.1 6.7 6.9 8.8 7.6 9.5

Wave Period (s) 200 500 10.8 10.8 11.2 11.5 10.3 10.3 8.6 8.6 10.3 10.3 10.9 11.6 11.2 11.2 10.6 11.1 10.4 11.2 11.1 11.1 10.9 10.9 10.8 10.9 9.9 9.9 9.8 9.8 7.0 7.0 0.0 0.0 8.7 8.6 6.2 6.2 7.6 7.6 7.9 7.9 8.3 8.3 8.6 8.6 8.0 8.0 7.8 7.8 5.2 5.2 4.8 4.8 0.0 0.0 8.1 8.1 6.8 6.7 6.2 6.2 6.6 6.6 6.4 6.4 4.1 4.1 6.7 6.7 7.1 7.6 8.9 9.4 7.8 8.4 9.6 11.1

1000 10.8 11.9 10.3 8.6 10.3 11.6 11.2 10.7 10.7 11.1 10.9 10.9 9.9 9.8 7.0 0.0 9.4 6.2 7.6 7.9 8.3 8.6 8.0 7.8 5.2 4.8 0.0 8.1 7.0 6.2 6.6 6.4 4.1 6.7 7.8 10.3 8.0 10.8

10000 y 10.8 11.9 10.3 8.6 10.3 11.6 11.2 11.7 10.6 11.1 10.9 11.9 9.9 9.8 7.0 0.0 8.8 6.2 7.6 7.9 8.3 8.6 8.0 7.8 5.2 4.8 0.0 8.1 6.8 6.2 6.6 6.4 4.1 6.7 7.7 11.4 8.9 11.9

Appendix U -5

Appendix U 2100 Tropical Cyclone Significant Wave Height and Period Tabulated Statistics Name Hawknest_Island Wedge_Island Burney_Island Amagbirra_Island Fowler_Island Kapui_Point Jalma_Bay Grindall_Point Myaoola_Bay Gurkawuy_Community Dudley_Island Three_Hummocks Port_Bradshaw Strath_Island Gove_Harbour Yanungbi Yanungbi_Community Yudu_Yudu_Community Granite_Islands Parfitt_Point Shepherd_Bluff Half_Tide_Point Dundas_Point De_Belle_Point Galupa_Community Birritjimi_Beach Gurrukpuy_Beach Harbour_Islet East_Woody_Island Galaru_Community Nhulunbuy Cape_Wirawawoi Mcintyre_Point Gunyangara_Community Butjumurru North_East_Islet North_East_Isles Hawk_Island

Lat

Long

Depth (m)

-13.621 -13.602 -13.569 -13.600 -13.349 -13.280 -13.269 -13.294 -13.085 -12.994 -12.872 -12.742 -12.470 -12.264 -12.257 -12.262 -12.255 -12.237 -12.219 -12.212 -12.192 -12.184 -12.203 -12.209 -12.198 -12.179 -12.174 -12.163 -12.158 -12.153 -12.160 -12.148 -12.236 -12.222 -12.227 -13.645 -13.650 -13.660

136.407 136.292 136.232 136.261 135.951 135.992 135.999 136.016 136.329 136.524 136.691 136.705 136.770 136.702 136.690 136.672 136.660 136.655 136.650 136.638 136.603 136.670 136.675 136.687 136.694 136.689 136.708 136.714 136.733 136.752 136.763 136.770 136.735 136.711 136.692 136.947 136.928 136.891

4.2 14.3 8.7 5.6 6.7 7.8 8.0 5.5 7.4 0.0 12.6 16.9 0.0 9.6 10.4 7.5 7.5 9.2 14.8 13.6 0.0 10.3 9.2 11.8 0.0 11.7 10.7 11.7 16.6 15.2 11.2 14.6 7.0 0.0 8.3 4.0 3.7 11.3

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

50 1.9 4.4 3.9 2.9 1.6 1.6 1.5 1.5 1.1 0.0 4.5 5.8 0.0 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.1 2.5 2.7 0.0 2.8 2.2 1.5 0.0 2.8 2.7 2.9 3.0 2.8 2.4 3.2 0.7 0.0 1.5 1.9 1.9 3.9

100 1.9 5.2 4.4 2.9 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.3 0.0 5.2 6.3 0.0 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.6 1.3 3.2 3.4 0.0 3.6 2.7 1.9 0.0 3.7 3.4 3.7 3.7 3.5 3.0 3.8 0.7 0.0 1.8 1.9 1.9 4.7

Significant Wave Height (m) 200 500 1000 1.9 1.9 1.9 5.9 6.7 7.1 4.4 4.4 4.4 2.9 2.9 2.9 1.9 2.0 2.0 1.9 2.1 2.3 1.9 2.1 2.2 1.9 2.1 2.2 1.4 1.5 1.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.7 6.1 6.3 6.6 6.8 6.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.7 1.9 2.1 1.9 2.1 2.3 1.9 2.2 2.4 1.9 2.2 2.4 1.4 1.7 1.8 3.8 4.5 4.8 4.1 4.8 5.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.4 5.2 5.4 3.3 3.9 4.2 2.3 2.8 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.4 5.3 5.7 4.1 4.8 5.2 4.5 5.3 5.7 4.4 5.2 5.5 4.1 4.7 5.1 3.6 4.2 4.5 4.2 4.6 4.8 0.7 0.8 0.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.4 2.7 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 5.4 5.9 5.9

10000 y 1.9 7.4 4.4 2.9 2.1 2.5 2.5 2.5 1.8 0.0 6.4 7.4 0.0 2.7 2.9 2.9 2.8 2.1 5.9 6.5 0.0 5.4 4.4 3.6 0.0 5.9 5.4 5.9 6.7 6.1 5.4 5.7 1.1 0.0 3.4 1.9 1.9 5.9

50 9.2 10.2 10.5 11.0 4.3 4.5 4.5 4.6 4.7 0.0 10.8 10.8 0.0 4.5 4.5 4.6 6.6 6.6 6.2 6.7 0.0 7.0 6.0 5.0 0.0 7.1 6.3 6.9 6.5 6.7 5.8 9.6 3.5 0.0 4.8 6.8 6.5 8.3

100 9.2 10.8 11.1 11.0 4.6 4.8 4.7 4.7 4.9 0.0 10.8 10.7 0.0 5.0 5.0 5.2 6.9 7.5 7.2 7.3 0.0 7.3 6.7 5.7 0.0 7.7 7.6 7.7 7.8 7.8 6.2 10.0 3.6 0.0 5.2 6.8 6.5 8.9

Wave Period (s) 200 500 9.2 9.2 10.9 11.5 11.1 11.1 11.0 11.0 4.7 4.8 4.8 4.9 4.8 4.8 4.9 4.8 5.0 5.1 0.0 0.0 11.1 11.7 11.1 11.5 0.0 0.0 5.2 4.9 5.3 5.6 5.5 6.4 6.7 8.4 7.0 9.0 7.1 9.0 7.9 9.6 0.0 0.0 7.1 8.9 7.6 8.4 6.1 7.7 0.0 0.0 7.3 8.8 7.1 8.7 7.6 8.4 7.4 8.4 7.4 8.5 6.6 7.9 10.3 10.8 4.0 3.9 0.0 0.0 5.7 6.4 6.8 6.8 6.5 6.5 9.5 10.6

1000 9.2 11.4 11.1 11.0 5.2 5.3 5.1 5.2 5.3 0.0 12.1 11.8 0.0 6.2 5.8 6.7 7.5 9.3 8.6 8.9 0.0 9.1 7.9 6.6 0.0 9.4 8.8 9.3 8.6 8.4 7.1 11.2 5.8 0.0 5.7 6.8 6.5 10.6

10000 y 9.2 12.4 11.1 11.0 4.8 5.4 5.6 5.4 5.2 0.0 12.1 12.9 0.0 6.6 6.6 6.5 10.2 10.4 10.9 11.2 0.0 9.1 9.1 7.9 0.0 9.4 9.0 9.5 9.4 9.4 11.3 14.0 5.0 0.0 4.5 6.8 6.5 10.6

Appendix U -6

Appendix U 2100 Tropical Cyclone Significant Wave Height and Period Tabulated Statistics Name Cody_Bank Lane_Island Yabangwamanja_Beach Yadagba_District Arnengwurra_Island Wiyakipa_Beach Wuyagiba_Community Warrakunta_Point Beatrice_Island Bing_Bong Casuarina_Bay Gilbert_Island Black_Islet South_West_Island_Community West_Neck Buchanan_Bay Red_Islet Sir_Edward_Pellew_Group Craggy_Islands White_Islet Gould_Point Camp_Beach Skull_Point Stony_Point Water_Beach Gulch_Reef Skull_Island Long_Reef Watson_Inlet Gunyana_Bay Rocky_Point Rocky_Island Little_Island Jean_Point Barclay_Point Investigator_Point Combes_Point Clarke_Bay

Lat

Long

Depth (m)

-13.683 -13.668 -13.810 -14.109 -14.342 -14.572 -14.620 -14.650 -15.083 -15.598 -15.597 -15.577 -15.607 -15.667 -15.659 -15.648 -15.636 -15.618 -15.599 -15.613 -15.631 -15.627 -15.615 -15.622 -15.628 -15.635 -15.624 -15.642 -15.649 -15.637 -15.655 -15.674 -15.692 -15.703 -15.697 -15.722 -15.733 -15.745

136.877 136.933 136.802 136.704 136.820 135.555 135.558 135.556 135.771 136.403 136.484 136.641 136.638 136.634 136.703 136.710 136.717 136.712 136.707 136.731 136.736 136.755 136.762 136.774 136.786 136.798 136.805 136.810 136.822 136.829 136.834 136.839 136.844 136.837 136.825 136.842 136.835 136.828

8.4 4.7 11.6 2.7 18.0 5.9 5.7 5.7 6.5 7.4 6.4 6.7 5.1 7.7 6.3 7.3 8.7 9.5 9.7 8.4 7.4 8.2 8.2 8.7 7.9 9.6 6.6 8.0 9.7 8.4 8.4 7.1 9.3 7.7 2.8 13.7 12.5 15.4

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

50 4.4 2.4 2.5 1.4 6.6 2.9 2.9 2.9 3.3 3.5 2.1 3.4 1.2 1.6 3.0 3.1 3.3 4.1 4.7 3.7 3.1 2.5 2.3 1.8 1.6 1.5 1.2 1.5 1.5 1.3 1.5 2.0 2.4 2.4 1.4 2.7 2.6 2.5

100 4.4 2.4 3.0 1.4 7.8 2.9 2.9 2.9 3.3 3.9 2.7 3.4 1.4 1.9 3.4 3.5 3.6 4.5 4.8 3.8 3.4 2.9 2.7 2.2 2.0 1.8 1.3 1.7 1.6 1.4 1.7 2.3 2.7 2.7 1.4 3.0 3.0 2.9

Significant Wave Height (m) 200 500 1000 4.4 4.4 4.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 3.2 3.5 3.6 1.4 1.4 1.4 8.7 8.9 8.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.0 3.1 3.2 3.4 3.4 3.4 1.6 1.8 1.9 2.2 2.4 2.5 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.8 3.9 3.9 3.9 4.1 4.2 4.7 4.8 4.9 4.9 4.9 4.9 4.0 4.2 4.3 3.6 3.8 3.9 3.2 3.3 3.4 3.0 3.1 3.1 2.4 2.6 2.6 2.2 2.4 2.4 2.0 2.2 2.2 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.9 2.1 2.1 1.8 2.0 2.0 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.8 2.0 2.2 2.5 2.8 3.1 3.0 3.3 3.5 3.0 3.3 3.6 1.4 1.4 1.4 3.2 3.5 3.7 3.2 3.5 3.7 3.1 3.3 3.5

10000 y 4.4 2.4 3.9 1.4 8.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 3.4 3.9 3.3 3.4 2.4 3.0 3.4 3.9 4.4 4.9 4.9 4.4 3.9 3.6 3.3 2.7 2.5 2.2 2.1 2.5 2.4 2.0 2.6 3.4 4.1 3.9 1.4 4.2 4.3 4.0

50 10.8 8.0 8.7 9.0 8.6 7.1 7.2 7.2 8.1 8.9 7.4 8.8 5.7 7.3 8.1 7.8 8.0 8.3 8.7 8.4 8.0 7.5 7.8 7.9 7.2 6.5 4.1 7.1 6.6 3.8 6.7 8.2 8.3 8.7 4.2 8.4 8.2 7.9

100 10.8 8.0 9.3 9.0 9.3 7.1 7.2 7.2 7.9 8.7 7.4 8.8 5.7 7.3 8.4 8.8 8.8 8.8 8.7 8.7 8.8 8.1 7.9 7.0 7.2 6.4 4.2 6.9 6.5 4.0 7.5 8.8 9.1 9.0 4.2 9.0 8.8 8.7

Wave Period (s) 200 500 10.8 10.8 8.0 8.0 9.1 10.2 9.0 9.0 9.3 9.5 7.1 7.1 7.2 7.2 7.2 7.2 7.8 7.8 8.7 8.7 6.9 7.1 8.8 8.8 6.5 5.7 7.2 7.8 8.4 8.4 8.1 8.0 8.0 8.5 8.1 8.4 8.5 8.5 8.0 8.6 7.9 8.6 7.8 7.8 7.5 7.4 6.9 7.0 6.6 7.3 6.4 6.7 4.3 4.1 6.4 7.5 6.6 7.3 3.9 4.1 6.6 7.6 8.2 8.2 8.2 8.5 8.5 8.8 4.2 4.2 8.1 9.0 7.9 8.9 8.2 8.8

1000 10.8 8.0 9.7 9.0 9.5 7.1 7.2 7.2 7.8 8.7 7.0 8.8 4.8 5.6 8.4 8.0 8.0 8.5 8.5 8.3 8.2 7.8 7.4 7.1 6.9 6.8 3.5 7.3 7.5 3.5 6.4 7.0 8.5 7.4 4.2 8.0 7.6 7.4

10000 y 10.8 8.0 10.5 9.0 9.5 7.1 7.2 7.2 7.8 8.7 7.1 8.8 7.7 11.2 8.4 8.0 7.7 8.4 8.5 8.6 8.2 9.2 9.3 7.1 7.3 6.7 6.4 9.1 8.5 4.3 8.8 7.9 9.6 8.6 4.2 8.9 8.9 8.0

Appendix U -7

Appendix U 2100 Tropical Cyclone Significant Wave Height and Period Tabulated Statistics Name Ataluma_Point Centre_Is_Tide_Gauge Payne_Island Jensen_Point Port_McArthur Sharker_Point Pelican_Spit Little_Vanderlin_Island Clarkson_Point Stokes_Bay Beavan_Point Ulbara_Point Small_Islet Whittet_Point Anderson_Point Jolly_Islet Train_Point Red_Point Brown_Islet Charles_Point Geranium_Bay Denten_Point Law_Island David_Islet Barbara_Cove Kedge_Point Base_Bay Turtle_Islet Cape_Vandelin Maxwell_Point Wheatley_Islet Mesley_Point Investigator_Bay Three_Hummock_Point Quince_Islet Daisy_Islet Jimmy_Islet Webinger_Point

Lat

Long

Depth (m)

-15.749 -15.754 -15.759 -15.775 -15.787 -15.883 -15.864 -15.861 -15.841 -15.823 -15.816 -15.802 -15.796 -15.777 -15.759 -15.752 -15.746 -15.721 -15.703 -15.684 -15.673 -15.661 -15.650 -15.638 -15.634 -15.622 -15.617 -15.587 -15.583 -15.578 -15.596 -15.603 -15.621 -15.616 -15.648 -15.721 -15.751 -15.769

136.809 136.790 136.771 136.745 136.738 136.744 137.012 137.062 137.026 137.021 137.009 136.985 136.973 136.968 136.963 136.951 136.939 136.922 136.917 136.912 136.919 136.926 136.933 136.940 136.959 136.966 136.985 136.987 137.006 137.025 137.030 137.042 137.047 137.066 137.095 137.115 137.113 137.118

5.9 8.5 7.4 6.4 5.6 5.8 7.7 4.0 9.4 6.5 6.7 7.5 7.6 6.1 7.3 8.1 7.7 8.9 14.6 14.8 13.1 13.0 13.3 14.5 8.6 6.6 0.0 12.0 6.7 14.4 10.6 9.7 7.2 8.7 6.7 6.9 5.6 6.9

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

50 1.5 1.6 1.5 1.6 1.7 2.0 2.1 1.9 1.3 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.1 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.2 3.0 3.1 3.3 3.6 3.9 3.1 3.2 0.0 5.4 3.4 6.6 5.4 4.9 3.4 4.4 3.4 3.4 2.9 3.4

100 1.6 1.8 1.7 1.8 2.0 2.5 2.3 1.9 1.3 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.4 1.3 3.4 3.4 3.6 3.9 4.2 3.3 3.4 0.0 5.9 3.4 7.4 5.4 4.9 3.4 4.4 3.4 3.4 2.9 3.4

Significant Wave Height (m) 200 500 1000 1.8 2.1 2.2 2.0 2.2 2.3 1.8 2.1 2.2 2.1 2.3 2.6 2.2 2.6 2.8 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.6 2.8 2.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.3 1.5 1.6 1.2 1.3 1.5 1.2 1.4 1.5 1.3 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.8 1.4 1.5 1.6 3.6 3.7 3.8 3.6 3.8 3.9 3.8 4.0 4.1 4.1 4.3 4.3 4.4 4.5 4.5 3.5 3.6 3.7 3.4 3.4 3.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.9 5.9 5.9 3.4 3.4 3.4 7.4 7.4 7.4 5.4 5.4 5.4 4.9 4.9 4.9 3.4 3.4 3.4 4.4 4.4 4.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 2.9 2.9 2.9 3.4 3.4 3.4

10000 y 2.9 2.9 2.6 3.3 2.9 2.9 3.3 1.9 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.7 2.1 2.0 1.9 1.9 2.0 2.1 1.9 4.1 4.2 4.4 4.5 4.7 4.0 3.4 0.0 5.9 3.4 7.4 5.4 4.9 3.4 4.4 3.4 3.4 2.9 3.4

50 4.0 3.8 3.8 3.7 3.7 7.7 7.1 7.0 4.8 4.9 4.3 4.0 4.0 3.6 3.6 3.5 3.6 3.8 3.7 8.3 8.7 8.7 8.6 8.7 8.7 8.9 0.0 9.2 8.9 9.1 9.1 9.1 8.9 9.0 8.6 8.8 8.5 8.8

100 4.4 4.1 4.0 4.0 4.0 8.0 7.5 7.0 4.7 4.7 4.2 4.1 4.1 3.9 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.8 3.8 9.1 9.0 9.1 9.0 8.9 9.1 8.9 0.0 9.1 8.9 9.2 9.1 9.1 8.9 9.0 8.6 8.8 8.5 8.8

Wave Period (s) 200 500 4.1 4.1 4.0 4.2 3.7 3.8 3.8 4.0 3.9 3.9 7.4 7.5 6.5 7.5 7.0 7.0 4.7 5.1 4.9 5.3 4.2 4.2 4.1 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.1 3.8 3.7 4.0 3.8 3.6 3.7 3.6 3.9 3.9 3.7 3.8 8.4 9.0 8.3 9.1 8.4 9.1 8.7 8.9 8.6 8.7 8.6 8.9 8.9 8.9 0.0 0.0 9.1 9.1 8.9 8.9 9.2 9.2 9.1 9.1 9.1 9.1 8.9 8.9 9.0 9.0 8.6 8.6 8.8 8.8 8.5 8.5 8.8 8.8

1000 3.3 3.3 3.1 3.2 3.2 7.5 6.4 7.0 4.5 3.9 3.4 3.3 3.3 3.4 3.3 3.2 3.3 3.4 3.4 8.2 8.5 8.5 8.9 8.9 8.5 8.9 0.0 9.1 8.9 9.2 9.1 9.1 8.9 9.0 8.6 8.8 8.5 8.8

10000 y 4.0 5.6 4.3 4.7 3.9 7.5 7.5 7.0 8.2 6.3 4.3 6.1 3.8 3.9 3.6 3.8 3.6 4.3 3.8 8.9 9.0 8.5 9.0 8.6 9.0 8.9 0.0 9.1 8.9 9.2 9.1 9.1 8.9 9.0 8.6 8.8 8.5 8.8

Appendix U -8

Appendix U 2100 Tropical Cyclone Significant Wave Height and Period Tabulated Statistics Name Sharp_Stones_Point Goat_Point Myoorlka_Island Murrenginya_Island Calvert_River QLDNT_Border Walker_Point Cabbage_Tree_Cove Observation_Island North_Island Craufurd_Islet Heriot_Reef Cape_Pellew Ross_Point North_Island_Community Paradice_Bay Webe_Point Johnston_Islet Watson_Island Toby_Point Macassar_Bay Phil_Point Inner_Bank West_Island_Community Crocodile_Point Eagle_Bay Cliffdale_Creek Pains_Island Bayley_Island Bayley_Point Syrell_Creek James_Creek Moonlight_Creek Tarrant_Point Channon_Creek Pasco_Inlet Nicholson_River Pandanus_Creek

Lat

Long

Depth (m)

-15.828 -15.856 -16.012 -16.037 -16.195 -16.527 -15.641 -15.623 -15.611 -15.582 -15.534 -15.515 -15.497 -15.490 -15.513 -15.525 -15.530 -15.541 -15.546 -15.574 -15.619 -15.651 -15.646 -15.652 -15.638 -14.834 -16.813 -16.863 -16.899 -16.911 -16.960 -17.193 -17.254 -17.363 -17.407 -17.472 -17.496 -17.503

137.114 137.081 137.275 137.292 137.742 138.008 136.891 136.886 136.893 136.895 136.892 136.887 136.882 136.870 136.856 136.849 136.830 136.823 136.804 136.771 136.824 136.853 136.872 136.499 136.475 135.715 138.779 139.038 139.049 139.042 139.077 139.195 139.222 139.479 139.533 139.623 139.641 139.653

7.4 5.5 9.3 6.4 8.9 7.6 14.1 7.2 7.9 0.9 7.5 3.9 10.6 16.2 5.3 10.2 11.1 7.7 7.0 7.3 5.6 11.0 13.5 5.6 5.7 6.5 7.3 6.9 13.3 9.1 7.1 6.9 7.1 7.0 7.0 7.0 7.2 8.3

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

50 3.9 2.9 4.9 3.4 4.4 3.9 2.9 2.2 2.3 0.9 3.9 1.9 5.4 6.0 2.9 3.2 5.1 3.9 3.4 3.5 1.2 1.4 1.9 0.9 1.9 3.4 3.9 3.4 1.9 2.3 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.9

100 3.9 2.9 4.9 3.4 4.4 3.9 3.1 2.3 2.4 0.9 3.9 1.9 5.4 7.2 2.9 3.6 5.4 3.9 3.4 3.7 1.3 1.5 2.0 1.0 2.4 3.4 3.9 3.4 2.1 2.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 4.2

Significant Wave Height (m) 200 500 1000 3.9 3.9 3.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 4.9 4.9 4.9 3.4 3.4 3.4 4.4 4.4 4.4 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.3 3.5 3.6 2.4 2.6 2.7 2.5 2.6 2.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 3.9 3.9 3.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 5.4 5.4 5.4 7.9 7.9 7.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 3.9 4.3 4.5 5.4 5.4 5.4 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.9 3.9 3.9 1.4 1.6 1.7 1.6 1.8 1.9 2.1 2.3 2.4 1.0 1.1 1.3 2.6 2.7 2.7 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.4 3.4 3.4 2.2 2.3 2.3 2.5 2.6 2.7 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 4.4 4.4 4.4

10000 y 3.9 2.9 4.9 3.4 4.4 3.9 4.0 3.1 3.0 0.9 3.9 1.9 5.4 7.9 2.9 4.8 5.4 3.9 3.4 3.9 2.1 2.3 2.7 1.8 2.8 3.4 3.9 3.4 2.5 2.8 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 4.4

50 8.9 8.4 9.1 9.0 9.1 8.9 9.0 9.0 8.9 0.0 9.1 7.8 9.2 9.2 8.9 9.0 9.1 9.0 9.0 8.5 3.7 3.8 8.6 4.3 7.9 8.1 10.9 10.8 7.4 7.0 6.5 6.0 5.9 6.4 6.5 6.5 6.6 6.5

100 8.9 8.4 9.1 9.0 9.1 8.9 9.2 9.2 9.1 0.0 9.1 7.8 9.2 9.6 8.9 9.2 9.0 9.0 9.0 9.2 3.9 4.1 8.8 4.1 8.1 8.1 10.9 10.8 7.4 7.1 6.5 6.0 5.9 6.4 6.5 6.5 6.6 6.5

Wave Period (s) 200 500 8.9 8.9 8.4 8.4 9.1 9.1 9.0 9.0 9.1 9.1 8.9 8.9 8.7 9.3 8.4 9.3 8.6 9.1 0.0 0.0 9.1 9.1 7.8 7.8 9.2 9.2 9.0 9.0 8.9 8.9 8.9 9.4 9.0 9.0 9.0 9.0 9.0 9.0 8.4 8.4 3.7 3.8 3.9 3.8 8.3 8.7 4.3 4.4 7.1 7.2 8.1 8.1 10.9 10.9 10.8 10.8 8.2 7.9 7.7 7.7 6.5 6.5 6.0 6.0 5.9 5.9 6.4 6.4 6.5 6.5 6.5 6.5 6.6 6.6 6.9 6.9

1000 8.9 8.4 9.1 9.0 9.1 8.9 7.8 8.5 8.1 0.0 9.1 7.8 9.2 9.0 8.9 8.6 9.0 9.0 9.0 8.4 3.5 3.5 8.3 2.8 7.3 8.1 10.9 10.8 8.4 8.3 6.5 6.0 5.9 6.4 6.5 6.5 6.6 6.9

10000 y 8.9 8.4 9.1 9.0 9.1 8.9 9.7 9.5 10.1 0.0 9.1 7.8 9.2 9.0 8.9 9.0 9.0 9.0 9.0 8.4 4.8 3.7 9.9 12.3 7.8 8.1 10.9 10.8 10.1 10.8 6.5 6.0 5.9 6.4 6.5 6.5 6.6 6.9

Appendix U -9

Appendix U 2100 Tropical Cyclone Significant Wave Height and Period Tabulated Statistics Name Williams_Inlet Offshore_Burketown Gore_Point Disaster_Inlet Brannigan_Creek Accident_Inlet Fitzmaurice_Point Smithburne_River Bold_Point Van_Diemen_Inlet Karumba Alligator_Point Flinders_River Macdonald_Point Sweers_Is_Resort Inscription_Point Bentinck_Is_Airport Carnarvon Red_Cliffs Fowler_Island Mckenzie_Creek Wilson_Bay Kirke_Point Bessie_Island Margaret_Island Albinia_Island Oaktree_Point White_Cliff Horseshoe_Island Creffild_Point Allen_Island Greenaway_Point Little_Allen_Island Beche_De_Mer_Point Beche_De_Mer_Bay Warahbah_Point Boyorrunga_Inlet Timber_Point

Lat

Long

Depth (m)

-17.509 -17.519 -17.612 -17.619 -17.201 -17.189 -17.160 -17.035 -16.995 -16.977 -17.442 -17.454 -17.577 -17.129 -17.118 -17.106 -17.100 -17.094 -17.083 -17.116 -17.136 -17.130 -17.108 -16.999 -17.031 -17.042 -16.982 -17.038 -17.006 -17.066 -17.053 -16.996 -16.990 -16.810 -16.763 -16.752 -16.740 -16.742

139.665 139.740 139.941 139.953 140.887 140.894 140.896 140.920 140.959 140.954 140.795 140.788 140.619 139.585 139.592 139.599 139.587 139.606 139.613 139.561 139.485 139.473 139.405 139.374 139.403 139.397 139.512 139.559 139.274 139.270 139.246 139.199 139.187 139.166 139.194 139.201 139.208 139.239

8.0 6.9 7.2 7.2 7.6 7.1 7.9 8.0 0.0 7.8 6.6 8.1 1.8 12.5 9.7 8.2 9.2 9.1 8.4 4.5 9.9 9.5 0.0 8.1 7.4 6.9 7.4 1.0 9.6 8.9 5.6 6.7 7.0 6.7 6.8 7.8 7.2 6.9

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

50 3.9 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.9 3.4 3.9 3.9 0.0 2.9 2.9 3.0 0.9 2.7 2.5 2.4 3.6 2.4 2.2 1.6 3.0 2.9 0.0 3.9 3.3 3.2 3.9 0.9 4.0 3.6 2.9 2.9 3.3 3.4 3.4 3.5 3.2 3.4

100 3.9 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.9 3.4 3.9 3.9 0.0 3.9 3.1 3.1 0.9 3.1 2.7 2.6 3.7 2.5 2.4 1.8 3.4 3.3 0.0 3.9 3.7 3.4 3.9 0.9 4.3 4.0 2.9 3.0 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.9 3.4 3.4

Significant Wave Height (m) 200 500 1000 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.2 3.4 3.4 3.3 3.5 3.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 3.4 3.7 3.8 2.8 3.0 3.0 2.7 2.8 2.9 3.8 3.8 3.9 2.6 2.7 2.8 2.5 2.6 2.6 2.0 2.3 2.4 3.7 4.0 4.2 3.6 3.8 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.8 3.9 3.9 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.9 3.9 3.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 4.4 4.5 4.6 4.3 4.4 4.4 2.9 2.9 2.9 3.0 3.1 3.2 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4

10000 y 3.9 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.9 3.4 3.9 3.9 0.0 3.9 3.4 3.9 0.9 4.1 3.3 3.2 4.3 3.0 2.9 2.4 4.5 4.3 0.0 3.9 3.9 3.4 3.9 0.9 4.8 4.4 2.9 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.9 3.4 3.4

50 6.7 6.7 6.7 6.7 10.5 10.5 10.5 10.4 0.0 5.9 9.7 9.6 0.0 6.7 6.9 7.3 7.5 7.2 7.1 6.5 5.2 5.0 0.0 7.2 7.1 7.3 7.0 4.2 6.9 6.3 6.2 6.6 6.8 7.2 6.3 6.2 6.0 6.4

100 6.7 6.7 6.7 6.7 10.5 10.5 10.5 10.4 0.0 6.0 9.8 9.7 0.0 6.9 7.3 7.5 7.6 7.4 7.2 6.2 5.1 4.9 0.0 7.2 7.2 7.4 7.0 4.2 7.1 6.4 6.2 6.7 7.0 7.2 6.3 6.5 6.2 6.4

Wave Period (s) 200 500 6.7 6.7 6.7 6.7 6.7 6.7 6.7 6.7 10.5 10.5 10.5 10.5 10.5 10.5 10.4 10.4 0.0 0.0 6.0 6.0 9.9 10.9 9.9 11.1 0.0 0.0 7.2 7.0 7.2 7.3 7.6 7.4 7.7 7.6 7.5 7.4 7.3 7.3 6.5 6.6 5.4 5.4 5.2 5.2 0.0 0.0 7.2 7.2 7.4 7.4 7.4 7.4 7.0 7.0 4.2 4.2 7.3 7.1 6.8 6.9 6.2 6.2 6.8 6.8 7.0 7.0 7.2 7.2 6.3 6.3 6.5 6.5 6.2 6.2 6.4 6.4

1000 6.7 6.7 6.7 6.7 10.5 10.5 10.5 10.4 0.0 6.0 10.9 11.1 0.0 7.6 7.3 7.7 7.8 7.5 7.8 7.0 5.3 4.8 0.0 7.2 7.4 7.4 7.0 4.2 7.3 6.9 6.2 6.8 7.0 7.2 6.3 6.5 6.2 6.4

10000 y 6.7 6.7 6.7 6.7 10.5 10.5 10.5 10.4 0.0 6.0 10.9 11.1 0.0 7.6 8.2 7.6 7.4 7.7 7.7 7.1 5.2 4.9 0.0 7.2 7.4 7.4 7.0 4.2 7.4 6.9 6.2 6.9 7.0 7.2 6.3 6.5 6.2 6.4

Appendix U -10

Appendix U 2100 Tropical Cyclone Significant Wave Height and Period Tabulated Statistics Name Beeberr_Creek Wunungun_Point Tulburrerr_Island Gerrigroo_Point Kungunmeah_River Woolgunjin_Point Jirke_Island Yuwah_Point Beahgoo_Island Dungnoreah_Point Sydney_Island Ngawalgeah_Point Lingeleah_Island Weediah_Bay Walbor_Inlet Jubuneah_Point Lelkajindi_Creek Ngulwonmeah_River Gilitja_Point Charlie_Bush_Bay Billmahgun_Point Dalmumeah_Creek Gatgatgerah_Creek Lingnoonganee_Island Meahyawogan_Point Moondalbee_Island Mudgun_Point Towbulbulan_River Watson_Patch Thabugan_Point Wardoo_Creek Lowareah_Point Sandalwood_Place_River Eengan_Bay Hall_Point Gumbannge_Point Goojamun_Creek Ballast_Creek

Lat

Long

Depth (m)

-16.737 -16.743 -16.757 -16.747 -16.713 -16.702 -16.678 -16.685 -16.692 -16.728 -16.695 -16.647 -16.635 -16.612 -16.594 -16.582 -16.541 -16.529 -16.524 -16.531 -16.557 -16.535 -16.530 -16.497 -16.504 -16.451 -16.438 -16.443 -16.398 -16.390 -16.404 -16.437 -16.450 -16.460 -16.464 -16.497 -16.508 -16.520

139.257 139.270 139.294 139.332 139.384 139.390 139.404 139.416 139.428 139.439 139.491 139.487 139.494 139.507 139.502 139.509 139.518 139.524 139.543 139.555 139.604 139.649 139.668 139.719 139.731 139.747 139.722 139.703 139.650 139.607 139.519 139.467 139.379 139.341 139.291 139.240 139.233 139.226

6.3 7.3 6.3 7.3 7.9 7.5 0.0 7.2 7.0 7.9 6.5 7.1 7.9 9.2 7.6 7.3 4.2 2.5 3.6 7.2 9.6 3.4 4.1 0.0 0.9 9.0 9.5 0.0 10.1 11.0 11.8 11.7 6.8 1.3 3.9 10.7 7.4 6.6

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

50 3.3 3.3 3.4 3.9 3.9 3.6 0.0 3.0 2.9 3.7 3.4 3.4 3.9 4.4 3.9 3.9 1.9 1.4 1.9 3.4 3.9 1.9 1.9 0.0 0.9 4.4 4.9 0.0 4.9 5.4 5.9 5.8 3.4 0.9 1.9 5.4 3.9 3.4

100 3.4 3.7 3.4 3.9 3.9 3.9 0.0 3.4 3.4 3.9 3.4 3.4 3.9 4.4 3.9 3.9 1.9 1.4 1.9 3.4 4.6 1.9 1.9 0.0 0.9 4.4 4.9 0.0 4.9 5.4 5.9 5.9 3.4 0.9 1.9 5.4 3.9 3.4

Significant Wave Height (m) 200 500 1000 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.9 3.9 3.9 4.4 4.4 4.4 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.9 1.9 1.9 3.4 3.4 3.4 4.9 4.9 4.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9 0.9 0.9 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.9 4.9 4.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.9 4.9 4.9 5.4 5.4 5.4 5.9 5.9 5.9 5.9 5.9 5.9 3.4 3.4 3.4 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 5.4 5.4 5.4 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.4 3.4 3.4

10000 y 3.4 3.9 3.4 3.9 3.9 3.9 0.0 3.4 3.4 3.9 3.4 3.4 3.9 4.4 3.9 3.9 1.9 1.4 1.9 3.4 4.9 1.9 1.9 0.0 0.9 4.4 4.9 0.0 4.9 5.4 5.9 5.9 3.4 0.9 1.9 5.4 3.9 3.4

50 6.1 6.2 6.4 6.5 6.4 6.1 0.0 5.4 5.3 6.5 6.5 6.4 6.5 6.5 6.3 6.2 5.7 4.8 5.3 5.8 6.1 5.6 5.8 0.0 3.5 9.5 10.0 0.0 10.3 10.5 10.7 10.6 10.3 6.3 8.9 11.1 10.8 10.7

100 6.3 6.2 6.4 6.5 6.4 6.4 0.0 5.5 5.4 6.6 6.5 6.4 6.5 6.5 6.3 6.2 5.7 4.8 5.3 5.8 6.0 5.6 5.8 0.0 3.5 9.5 10.0 0.0 10.3 10.5 10.7 10.9 10.3 6.3 8.9 11.1 10.8 10.7

Wave Period (s) 200 500 6.3 6.3 6.5 6.5 6.4 6.4 6.5 6.5 6.4 6.4 6.4 6.4 0.0 0.0 5.5 5.5 5.4 5.4 6.6 6.6 6.5 6.5 6.4 6.4 6.5 6.5 6.5 6.5 6.3 6.3 6.2 6.2 5.7 5.7 4.8 4.8 5.3 5.3 5.8 5.8 6.3 6.3 5.6 5.6 5.8 5.8 0.0 0.0 3.5 3.5 9.5 9.5 10.0 10.0 0.0 0.0 10.3 10.3 10.5 10.5 10.7 10.7 10.9 10.9 10.3 10.3 6.3 6.3 8.9 8.9 11.1 11.1 10.8 10.8 10.7 10.7

1000 6.3 6.5 6.4 6.5 6.4 6.4 0.0 5.5 5.4 6.6 6.5 6.4 6.5 6.5 6.3 6.2 5.7 4.8 5.3 5.8 6.3 5.6 5.8 0.0 3.5 9.5 10.0 0.0 10.3 10.5 10.7 10.9 10.3 6.3 8.9 11.1 10.8 10.7

10000 y 6.3 6.5 6.4 6.5 6.4 6.4 0.0 5.5 5.4 6.6 6.5 6.4 6.5 6.5 6.3 6.2 5.7 4.8 5.3 5.8 6.3 5.6 5.8 0.0 3.5 9.5 10.0 0.0 10.3 10.5 10.7 10.9 10.3 6.3 8.9 11.1 10.8 10.7

Appendix U -11

Appendix U 2100 Tropical Cyclone Significant Wave Height and Period Tabulated Statistics Name Dwenty_Point Bilmagun_Point Brookes_Reef Bidgagum_Bay Waddagun_Waterhole Horse_Place_Creek Gee_Wee_Creek Lingele_Point Jidan_Marun Gee_Wee_Point Mornington_Island Dubbar_Point Porpoise_Point Denham_Island Dougherty_Bay Andrew_Island Midbagar_Point Snapper_Point Whale_Point Forsyth_Island Forsyth_Islands Government_Point Ivis_Island Eight_Mile_Creek Bountiful_Islands Pisonia_Island Van_Diemen_Inlet Salt_Arm_Creek Rocky_Creek Station_Creek Station_Creek Topsy_Creek South_Mitchell_River Chapman_River Pormpuraaw Moonkan_Creek Edward_River Christmas_Creek

Lat

Long

Depth (m)

-16.532 -16.543 -16.555 -16.566 -16.578 -16.595 -16.600 -16.611 -16.629 -16.641 -16.659 -16.671 -16.712 -16.730 -16.742 -16.753 -16.765 -16.777 -16.841 -16.854 -16.861 -16.868 -16.874 -16.753 -16.683 -16.507 -16.953 -16.138 -15.897 -15.847 -15.674 -15.495 -15.340 -14.933 -14.918 -14.847 -14.735 -14.459

139.219 139.212 139.205 139.199 139.192 139.166 139.147 139.140 139.145 139.138 139.143 139.137 139.128 139.133 139.126 139.119 139.113 139.106 139.083 139.107 139.120 139.132 139.144 138.558 139.865 139.793 140.982 141.363 141.380 141.403 141.421 141.483 141.526 141.601 141.590 141.575 141.554 141.521

0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.4 13.0 12.9 11.8 11.0 5.0 8.7 8.0 7.0 6.9 6.9 7.1 7.4 8.9 7.1 7.5 7.0 8.3 7.2 11.0 13.1 6.2 6.2 6.6 5.7 10.0 0.0 7.6 6.7 7.2 6.8 4.7 1.8

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

50 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.9 5.4 5.3 4.5 4.7 2.4 3.7 3.2 2.2 3.0 3.2 3.4 3.7 2.7 2.6 2.8 3.1 3.2 3.4 4.3 5.0 2.9 2.9 3.4 2.9 4.9 0.0 3.9 3.4 3.4 3.4 2.4 0.9

100 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.9 6.4 6.3 5.2 5.4 2.4 4.0 3.7 2.5 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.9 3.0 2.9 3.0 3.2 3.3 3.4 5.0 5.3 2.9 2.9 3.4 2.9 4.9 0.0 3.9 3.4 3.4 3.4 2.4 0.9

Significant Wave Height (m) 200 500 1000 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.9 2.9 2.9 6.4 6.4 6.4 6.4 6.4 6.4 5.6 5.8 5.9 5.4 5.4 5.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 4.3 4.4 4.4 3.9 3.9 3.9 2.8 3.1 3.2 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.2 3.5 3.5 3.1 3.3 3.4 3.2 3.3 3.5 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.5 3.6 3.4 3.4 3.4 5.4 5.4 5.4 5.6 5.9 6.1 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 3.4 3.4 3.4 2.9 2.9 2.9 4.9 4.9 4.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 0.9 0.9 0.9

10000 y 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.9 6.4 6.4 5.9 5.4 2.4 4.4 3.9 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.9 3.7 3.4 3.8 3.4 3.8 3.4 5.4 6.4 2.9 2.9 3.4 2.9 4.9 0.0 3.9 3.4 3.4 3.4 2.4 0.9

50 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.8 10.7 10.8 10.7 10.7 11.0 10.5 10.2 9.4 9.5 9.5 9.8 9.2 8.7 6.5 6.3 6.5 6.6 10.4 7.3 9.5 9.1 9.0 9.2 9.1 9.4 0.0 9.3 9.1 9.1 9.1 8.8 0.0

100 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.8 11.5 11.5 11.0 11.4 11.0 10.9 10.6 9.3 10.2 9.9 9.8 10.0 8.7 6.7 6.4 6.6 6.6 10.4 6.9 9.6 9.1 9.0 9.2 9.1 9.4 0.0 9.3 9.1 9.1 9.1 8.8 0.0

Wave Period (s) 200 500 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.8 10.8 11.5 11.5 11.5 11.5 11.4 11.9 11.4 11.4 11.0 11.0 11.1 11.5 11.3 11.3 9.8 10.4 10.2 10.2 9.9 9.9 9.8 9.8 10.0 10.0 9.3 9.5 7.3 6.7 6.7 6.4 6.7 6.7 6.7 6.7 10.4 10.4 7.5 7.5 9.7 10.0 9.1 9.1 9.0 9.0 9.2 9.2 9.1 9.1 9.4 9.4 0.0 0.0 9.3 9.3 9.1 9.1 9.1 9.1 9.1 9.1 8.8 8.8 0.0 0.0

1000 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.8 11.5 11.5 12.1 11.4 11.0 11.5 11.3 10.7 10.2 9.9 9.8 10.0 10.2 7.6 6.7 6.7 6.7 10.4 7.5 10.6 9.1 9.0 9.2 9.1 9.4 0.0 9.3 9.1 9.1 9.1 8.8 0.0

10000 y 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.8 11.5 11.5 12.1 11.4 11.0 11.5 11.3 12.8 10.2 9.9 9.8 10.0 11.3 7.6 6.8 6.7 7.0 10.4 7.5 11.1 9.1 9.0 9.2 9.1 9.4 0.0 9.3 9.1 9.1 9.1 8.8 0.0

Appendix U -12

Appendix U 2100 Tropical Cyclone Significant Wave Height and Period Tabulated Statistics Name Hersey_Creek King_Creek Kulinchin Holroyd_River Knox_Creek Mitchell_River Staaten_River Gilbert_River Snake_Creek Duck_Creek Kirke_River Koontun_Creek Shell_Creek Colin_Creek Love_River Aurukun_(Archer_River) Ward_River Worbody_Point Possum_Creek Ina_Creek False_Pera_Head Norman_Creek Thud_Point Pera_Head Boyd_Point Beening_Creek Jessica_Point Wooldrum_Point Evans_Landing Wallaby_Island Amboyninghy_Point Landfall_Point Botchet_Creek Duyfken_Point Pine_River_Bay Nomenade_Creek Wenlock_River Janie_Creek

Lat

Long

Depth (m)

-14.356 -14.330 -14.212 -14.152 -14.087 -15.190 -16.409 -16.564 -16.680 -16.807 -13.894 -13.550 -13.513 -13.500 -13.476 -13.323 -13.291 -13.293 -13.241 -13.177 -13.078 -13.023 -12.979 -12.918 -12.885 -12.648 -12.619 -12.622 -12.608 -12.579 -12.563 -12.573 -12.534 -12.460 -12.384 -12.331 -11.939 -11.931

141.554 141.559 141.581 141.550 141.562 141.596 141.283 141.240 141.204 141.081 141.465 141.515 141.535 141.538 141.556 141.612 141.660 141.673 141.683 141.625 141.602 141.598 141.578 141.617 141.665 141.777 141.769 141.782 141.785 141.693 141.682 141.583 141.590 141.631 141.659 141.669 141.906 141.936

0.0 6.7 6.3 6.5 6.2 1.2 0.0 5.1 2.3 3.0 2.0 9.9 6.6 6.5 5.4 7.6 7.1 3.1 0.0 12.9 6.1 0.0 15.9 16.1 11.2 6.2 7.0 6.7 7.4 6.4 2.8 5.9 1.3 1.2 11.6 10.0 8.5 7.5

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

50 0.0 3.4 3.4 3.4 2.9 0.9 0.0 2.4 1.4 1.4 0.9 4.9 3.4 3.4 2.9 3.9 3.4 1.4 0.0 5.2 2.9 0.0 6.0 5.8 5.4 2.9 3.4 3.2 3.0 2.7 1.3 2.9 0.9 0.9 5.6 4.9 4.0 3.6

100 0.0 3.4 3.4 3.4 2.9 0.9 0.0 2.4 1.4 1.4 0.9 4.9 3.4 3.4 2.9 3.9 3.4 1.4 0.0 6.3 2.9 0.0 7.7 7.3 5.4 2.9 3.4 3.3 3.2 3.3 1.4 2.9 0.9 0.9 5.9 4.9 4.2 3.8

Significant Wave Height (m) 200 500 1000 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 2.9 2.9 2.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.4 2.4 2.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 0.9 0.9 0.9 4.9 4.9 4.9 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 2.9 2.9 2.9 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.4 3.4 3.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.4 6.4 6.4 2.9 2.9 2.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.9 7.9 7.9 7.9 7.9 7.9 5.4 5.4 5.4 2.9 2.9 2.9 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.3 3.5 3.5 3.4 3.4 3.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 2.9 2.9 2.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 5.9 5.9 5.9 4.9 4.9 4.9 4.4 4.4 4.4 3.9 3.9 3.9

10000 y 0.0 3.4 3.4 3.4 2.9 0.9 0.0 2.4 1.4 1.4 0.9 4.9 3.4 3.4 2.9 3.9 3.4 1.4 0.0 6.4 2.9 0.0 7.9 7.9 5.4 2.9 3.4 3.4 3.9 3.4 1.4 2.9 0.9 0.9 5.9 4.9 4.4 3.9

50 0.0 9.0 9.1 8.9 8.9 0.0 0.0 9.0 7.8 7.5 5.3 10.9 9.9 9.7 9.3 10.4 10.2 7.4 0.0 10.5 9.5 0.0 10.2 10.2 10.1 10.3 10.4 10.1 10.1 10.6 10.0 9.1 4.1 4.0 9.9 10.0 8.6 8.5

100 0.0 9.0 9.1 8.9 8.9 0.0 0.0 9.0 7.8 7.5 5.3 10.9 9.9 9.7 9.3 10.4 10.2 7.4 0.0 11.0 9.5 0.0 10.4 10.3 10.1 10.3 10.4 10.3 10.3 10.6 9.4 9.1 4.1 4.0 10.1 10.0 8.6 9.1

Wave Period (s) 200 500 0.0 0.0 9.0 9.0 9.1 9.1 8.9 8.9 8.9 8.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 9.0 7.8 7.8 7.5 7.5 5.3 5.3 10.9 10.9 9.9 9.9 9.7 9.7 9.3 9.3 10.4 10.4 10.2 10.2 7.4 7.4 0.0 0.0 11.0 11.0 9.5 9.5 0.0 0.0 10.8 10.8 10.8 10.8 10.1 10.1 10.3 10.3 10.4 10.4 10.9 10.9 10.7 10.9 10.8 10.8 9.4 9.4 9.1 9.1 4.1 4.1 4.0 4.0 10.1 10.1 10.0 10.0 9.4 9.4 9.2 9.2

1000 0.0 9.0 9.1 8.9 8.9 0.0 0.0 9.0 7.8 7.5 5.3 10.9 9.9 9.7 9.3 10.4 10.2 7.4 0.0 11.0 9.5 0.0 10.8 10.8 10.1 10.3 10.4 10.9 11.2 10.8 9.4 9.1 4.1 4.0 10.1 10.0 9.4 9.2

10000 y 0.0 9.0 9.1 8.9 8.9 0.0 0.0 9.0 7.8 7.5 5.3 10.9 9.9 9.7 9.3 10.4 10.2 7.4 0.0 11.0 9.5 0.0 10.8 10.8 10.1 10.3 10.4 10.9 12.9 10.8 9.4 9.1 4.1 4.0 10.1 10.0 9.4 9.2

Appendix U -13

Appendix U 2100 Tropical Cyclone Significant Wave Height and Period Tabulated Statistics Name Mapoon Cullen_(tullanaringa)_Point Tullanaringa_(cullen)_Point Skardon_River Jackson_River Macdonald_(collet)_River Doughboy_River Cotterell_River Vrilya_Point

Lat

Long

Depth (m)

-11.849 -11.797 -11.784 -11.596 -11.493 -11.377 -11.283 -11.178 -11.056

141.936 141.946 141.948 142.038 142.070 142.105 142.108 142.126 142.121

6.8 8.0 8.3 0.0 8.6 10.8 10.0 10.7 7.0

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

50 3.3 3.9 4.4 0.0 4.1 3.7 3.6 3.3 2.7

100 3.4 3.9 4.4 0.0 4.4 4.9 4.8 4.4 3.1

Significant Wave Height (m) 200 500 1000 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.9 3.9 3.9 4.4 4.4 4.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.4 4.4 4.4 5.4 5.4 5.4 4.9 4.9 4.9 5.2 5.4 5.4 3.4 3.4 3.4

10000 y 3.4 3.9 4.4 0.0 4.4 5.4 4.9 5.4 3.4

50 9.1 9.2 9.4 0.0 8.7 8.7 9.2 9.2 8.8

100 9.5 9.2 9.4 0.0 8.9 8.9 9.3 9.1 8.9

Wave Period (s) 200 500 9.5 9.5 9.2 9.2 9.4 9.4 0.0 0.0 8.9 8.9 9.3 9.3 9.7 9.7 9.5 9.8 9.7 9.7

1000 9.5 9.2 9.4 0.0 8.9 9.3 9.7 9.9 9.7

10000 y 9.5 9.2 9.4 0.0 8.9 9.3 9.7 9.9 9.7

Appendix U -14

Appendix V

2100 Tropical Cyclone Wave Setup and Runup Potential Tabulated Statistics

41/23138/432535

Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stage 1 and 2 Combined Final Report

Appendix V 2100 Tropical Cyclone Wave Setup and Runup Potential Tabulated Statistics Name Bremer_Islets Gutjangan_Community East_Woody_Beach Gangaru_Lagoon Ruwakpuy_Community Bremer_Island East_Bremer_Islet Town_Beach Gove Rainbow_Cliff Yirrkala Miles_Island Garrirri_Beach Rocky_Bay Baringura_Inlet Garanhan_Beach Needle_Point Dalywoi_Bay Ngumuy_Beach Arnhem_Shoal Cape_Arnhem Lurrupukurru_Beach Bawaka_Community Gwapilina_Point Dhulmulmiya_Community Binanangoi_Point Holly_Inlet Dhaniya_Community Wanyanmera_Point Buymarr_Community Millarong Mcnamara_Island Point_Alexander Garrthalala_Community Grays_Bay Middle_Point Caledon_Bay Caledon_Point

Lat

Long

Slope (y/x)

-12.062 -12.072 -12.143 -12.150 -12.122 -12.110 -12.080 -12.168 -12.186 -12.193 -12.239 -12.257 -12.269 -12.276 -12.300 -12.319 -12.337 -12.343 -12.332 -12.327 -12.345 -12.446 -12.525 -12.555 -12.560 -12.578 -12.594 -12.588 -12.694 -12.708 -12.780 -12.869 -12.844 -12.806 -12.811 -12.822 -12.852 -12.877

136.836 136.799 136.789 136.801 136.833 136.840 136.841 136.806 136.811 136.823 136.905 136.911 136.904 136.916 136.932 136.938 136.943 136.954 136.961 136.980 136.985 136.863 136.785 136.783 136.765 136.769 136.744 136.732 136.702 136.646 136.635 136.630 136.613 136.572 136.554 136.547 136.545 136.562

0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

50 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

100 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

Wave Setup (m) 200 500 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

1000 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

10000 y 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

50 1.3 0.7 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.1 1.1 0.7 0.6 1.3 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 1.4 1.4 1.3 1.3 1.0 0.8 1.4 1.2 0.4 1.2 0.2 1.0 0.4 0.9 0.4 0.8 0.7 1.0 1.1

100 1.5 0.8 1.2 1.3 1.1 1.4 1.3 1.1 0.7 0.6 1.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 1.6 1.6 1.5 1.5 1.0 0.8 1.5 1.2 0.4 1.2 0.2 1.0 0.4 0.9 0.4 0.8 0.8 1.1 1.1

Wave Runup Potential (m) 200 500 1.6 1.7 0.9 1.0 1.4 1.5 1.4 1.5 1.1 1.1 1.5 1.7 1.4 1.5 1.1 1.1 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 1.7 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.6 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 2.0 1.6 1.6 1.0 1.0 0.8 0.8 1.5 1.5 1.2 1.2 0.4 0.4 1.2 1.2 0.2 0.2 1.0 1.0 0.4 0.4 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.9 0.8 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.1 1.1

1000 1.8 1.1 1.6 1.6 1.1 1.7 1.5 1.1 0.7 0.6 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 1.7 1.7 2.1 1.6 1.0 0.8 1.5 1.2 0.4 1.2 0.2 1.0 0.4 1.0 0.6 1.0 1.0 1.2 1.1

10000 y 2.1 1.6 1.8 1.7 1.1 1.7 1.5 1.1 0.7 0.6 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 1.7 1.7 2.2 1.6 1.0 0.8 1.5 1.2 0.4 1.2 0.2 1.0 0.4 1.2 0.6 1.1 1.1 1.4 1.1

Appendix V -1

Appendix V 2100 Tropical Cyclone Wave Setup and Runup Potential Tabulated Statistics Name Du_Pre_Bay Du_Pre_Point Cape_Grey Wonga_Bay Dirrangmurumanja_Bay Guyuwiri_Point Bald_Point Bagbiringula_Point Wardarlea_Bay Point_Arrowsmith Marajella_Bay Barraratjpi_Community Cape_Shield Djarrakpi_Community Gooninnah_Island Baniyala_Community Point_Blane Grindall_Bay Round_Hill_Island Cool_Yal_You_Ma_Island Nicol_Island Ayangmarnda_Island Isle_Woodah Morgan_Island Yee_To_Wappah_Island Blue_Mud_Bay Meringa_Island Haddon_Head Yilila_Community Bennet_Bay Malagayangu_District Miwul_Community Rantyirrity_Point Minintirri_Island Amamarrity_Island Numbulwar Nyinpinti_Point Sandy_Island

Lat

Long

Slope (y/x)

-12.928 -12.942 -12.996 -12.999 -13.004 -13.016 -13.069 -13.168 -13.189 -13.259 -13.245 -13.250 -13.285 -13.297 -13.308 -13.228 -13.286 -13.228 -13.317 -13.420 -13.452 -13.480 -13.483 -13.489 -13.494 -13.439 -13.428 -13.429 -13.659 -13.720 -13.907 -14.070 -14.212 -14.217 -14.252 -14.303 -14.463 -14.432

136.626 136.650 136.665 136.616 136.598 136.591 136.575 136.533 136.488 136.447 136.424 136.405 136.384 136.378 136.371 136.228 136.194 136.118 136.112 136.241 136.270 136.238 136.188 136.090 136.071 136.056 136.063 135.983 135.926 135.952 135.984 135.918 135.897 135.879 135.858 135.812 135.684 135.877

0.01 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

50 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

100 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

Wave Setup (m) 200 500 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

1000 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

10000 y 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

50 1.3 1.4 1.2 0.7 1.1 0.8 1.4 1.4 0.0 1.3 1.2 1.3 1.3 0.6 1.1 0.6 1.1 0.3 1.0 1.1 0.2 1.2 1.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.9 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.3

100 1.4 1.5 1.2 0.8 1.2 0.8 1.5 1.4 0.0 1.4 1.2 1.3 1.3 0.6 1.1 0.7 1.1 0.3 1.1 1.1 0.2 1.4 1.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.8 0.6 0.9 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.3

Wave Runup Potential (m) 200 500 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.8 1.2 1.2 0.9 1.0 1.3 1.3 0.8 0.8 1.5 1.5 1.4 1.4 0.0 0.0 1.6 1.7 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 0.6 0.6 1.1 1.1 0.7 0.7 1.1 1.1 0.4 0.4 1.2 1.3 1.1 1.1 0.2 0.2 1.5 1.7 1.1 1.1 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.9 0.9 0.6 0.6 0.9 0.9 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.3

1000 1.7 1.8 1.2 1.1 1.3 0.8 1.5 1.4 0.0 1.9 1.2 1.3 1.3 0.6 1.1 0.7 1.1 0.5 1.3 1.1 0.2 1.7 1.1 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.3 1.0 0.6 0.9 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.3

10000 y 1.7 1.8 1.2 1.3 1.3 0.8 1.5 1.4 0.0 2.2 1.2 1.3 1.3 0.6 1.1 0.7 1.1 0.4 1.5 1.1 0.2 1.7 1.1 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.5 1.0 0.6 0.9 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.3

Appendix V -2

Appendix V 2100 Tropical Cyclone Wave Setup and Runup Potential Tabulated Statistics Name

Lat

Long

Slope (y/x)

Alagna_Shoal Woody_Island Adumeninburra_Point Adthumaninbura_Point Adamaji_Beach North_Bay Ngurrkwurrumanja_Beach Ninaguwa_Island Nangkumanja_Reef Mekubarrkumanja_Point Amagiladjura_Point Angamanja_Island Lyangbudumanja_Point East_Bay Arawura_Bay Marjirrumanja__Beach Hand_Islet Mamarmbawiya_Point Nulukwa_Bay Numbarrila_Beach Enumerrmanja_Point Manggarna_Island South_Bay Milyakburra_Community Mirabangwa_Cliffs Banda_Island Connexion_Island Burley_Shoal North_West_Bluff Yellow_Patch Alubuwa_Point Bartelumba_Community Ngadumiyerrka_Community Deception_Bay Bartalumba_Bay Mundarringumanja_Beach Mundarrungmundja_Community Winchelsea_Island

-14.091 -13.823 -13.729 -13.706 -13.712 -13.701 -13.678 -13.655 -13.640 -13.678 -13.698 -13.716 -13.735 -13.751 -13.744 -13.769 -13.781 -13.799 -13.804 -13.815 -13.834 -13.845 -13.805 -13.799 -13.810 -13.840 -13.834 -13.850 -13.829 -13.818 -13.813 -13.808 -13.814 -13.809 -13.816 -13.811 -13.800 -13.768

136.065 136.081 136.106 136.119 136.131 136.138 136.152 136.166 136.222 136.262 136.298 136.303 136.308 136.283 136.271 136.288 136.281 136.286 136.267 136.260 136.265 136.259 136.187 136.175 136.168 136.167 136.376 136.350 136.395 136.402 136.420 136.439 136.451 136.470 136.482 136.500 136.507 136.478

0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

50 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1

100 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1

Wave Setup (m) 200 500 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1

1000 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

10000 y 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2

50 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.9 1.2 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.9 0.7 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.8 0.8 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.6

100 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.3 1.2 1.1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.9 0.7 0.9 0.2 0.2 0.9 0.9 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.6

Wave Runup Potential (m) 200 500 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.9 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.0 0.9 0.9 1.4 1.5 1.3 1.5 1.2 1.4 1.1 1.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.1 0.7 0.7 0.9 1.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.9 1.0 0.9 1.0 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.9 0.7 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.9 0.8 0.9 0.8 0.9 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.8 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.7

1000 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.6 1.6 1.5 1.4 0.0 0.0 1.3 0.7 1.0 0.2 0.2 1.0 1.2 0.4 0.6 0.7 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7

10000 y 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.9 0.6 1.0 0.9 1.1 0.9 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.8 0.0 0.0 1.6 0.7 1.3 0.2 0.2 1.0 1.2 0.5 0.6 0.7 1.0 1.1 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.0 1.0 0.9 1.0

Appendix V -3

Appendix V 2100 Tropical Cyclone Wave Setup and Runup Potential Tabulated Statistics Name Mugwana_Island Finch_Island Alyinga_Island Yarranya_Island North_West_Bay Ayarina_Bay Darrangmurmanja_Community Yirrumanja_Point Milyema_Island Lewrrumbumanja_Cliff Chasm_Island Yingilirrba_Island Menimberrkwe_Cliff Angarmbulumardja_Island Ilyaugwamaja_Island Angarumurada_Island North_Point_Island Makmuntja_Community Milyangkwudakba_Point Mungwarndumanja_Island Jagged_Head Hempel_Bay Port_Langdon Mccomb_Point Thompson_Bay Mawulyumanja_Community Baird_Cliff Akwalirrumanja_Community Umbakumba Spit_End Little_Lagoon Alyingberrma_Community Scott_Point_Community Scott_Point Dingala_Point Amuriyerra_Point Amrranga_Beach Eight_Mile_Beach

Lat

Long

Slope (y/x)

-13.687 -13.719 -13.730 -13.748 -13.755 -13.750 -13.732 -13.714 -13.696 -13.684 -13.672 -13.656 -13.674 -13.676 -13.653 -13.648 -13.643 -13.649 -13.645 -13.681 -13.688 -13.752 -13.777 -13.788 -13.800 -13.818 -13.825 -13.838 -13.833 -13.828 -13.823 -13.812 -13.741 -13.736 -13.756 -13.805 -13.822 -13.868

136.526 136.555 136.548 136.553 136.565 136.584 136.579 136.574 136.569 136.576 136.582 136.608 136.613 136.644 136.657 136.676 136.695 136.707 136.725 136.736 136.748 136.725 136.742 136.735 136.729 136.734 136.746 136.769 136.788 136.807 136.826 136.833 136.843 136.862 136.897 136.931 136.906 136.878

0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

50 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2

100 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2

Wave Setup (m) 200 500 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2

1000 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2

10000 y 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2

50 0.9 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.7 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.9 1.0 1.2 0.9 1.3 0.8 0.0 1.1 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.1 1.0 1.2 1.2 1.1 0.0 1.5

100 1.1 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.8 1.3 0.9 0.6 0.9 1.0 1.2 0.9 1.4 0.8 0.0 1.1 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.7 0.1 0.1 1.0 1.2 1.2 1.1 0.0 1.5

Wave Runup Potential (m) 200 500 1.2 1.4 0.7 0.9 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.9 1.3 1.3 0.9 1.0 0.6 0.6 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.3 1.5 0.9 0.9 1.4 1.4 0.8 0.8 0.0 0.0 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.1 1.2 1.1 1.2 1.0 1.1 1.0 1.1 0.9 1.0 0.9 1.0 0.8 0.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.4 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.1 0.0 0.0 1.5 1.5

1000 1.6 0.9 0.7 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.8 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.3 1.1 0.6 0.9 1.0 1.5 0.9 1.4 0.8 0.0 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.2 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.1 0.1 1.2 1.4 1.2 1.1 0.0 1.5

10000 y 1.6 1.3 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.4 1.3 1.1 0.7 0.9 1.0 1.5 0.9 1.4 0.8 0.0 1.1 1.3 1.2 1.4 1.2 1.2 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.1 0.1 1.2 1.4 1.2 1.1 0.0 1.5

Appendix V -4

Appendix V 2100 Tropical Cyclone Wave Setup and Runup Potential Tabulated Statistics Name Amirraba_Community Picnic_Beach Mamalingmandja_Point Ayungkwiyungkwa_Beach Malkayubirra_Beach Ilyungmadja_Point Lugadamanja_Point Amanburnunga_Community Dalumbu_Bay Adilyagba_Point Ungwariba_Point Eberrumilya_Island Amungkarma_Islands Cape_Beatrice Arnarrma_Point Marangala_Point Mirrburrumanja_Point Marangala_Bay Murrukwulya_Island Mamungwajingumanja_Beach Inamalamandja_Point Merruwumanja_Point Arida_Island Low_Island Eninyena_Beach Amungkwalya_Beach Yanbakwa_Community South_Point Tasman_Point Rutland_Shoal Eningkirra_Beach Abarungkwa_Beach Endungwa_Beach Malkala_Community Alyangula Arruwa_Island Bustard_Isles Bustard_Island

Lat

Long

Slope (y/x)

-13.880 -13.921 -13.926 -13.917 -13.952 -14.038 -14.094 -14.170 -14.177 -14.139 -14.139 -14.303 -14.308 -14.301 -14.291 -14.283 -14.299 -14.273 -14.283 -14.288 -14.299 -14.304 -14.298 -14.302 -14.278 -14.246 -14.226 -14.244 -14.212 -13.984 -13.966 -13.955 -13.932 -13.890 -13.847 -13.708 -13.697 -13.710

136.872 136.863 136.844 136.802 136.781 136.825 136.761 136.732 136.743 136.813 136.924 136.970 136.952 136.940 136.866 136.824 136.798 136.750 136.713 136.694 136.687 136.668 136.656 136.637 136.620 136.481 136.445 136.339 136.310 136.398 136.393 136.399 136.413 136.422 136.400 136.371 136.378 136.402

0.01 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

50 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2

100 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2

Wave Setup (m) 200 500 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2

1000 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2

10000 y 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3

50 1.5 1.5 1.2 0.7 1.2 1.4 1.2 0.9 0.7 1.3 1.1 1.5 1.1 1.1 0.6 0.0 1.0 0.5 0.8 0.9 1.1 1.1 1.0 0.9 0.3 0.3 0.0 1.0 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.9 0.6 0.9

100 1.5 1.7 1.2 0.7 1.2 1.6 1.3 1.0 0.8 1.5 1.1 1.7 1.1 1.1 0.6 0.0 1.1 0.5 0.8 0.9 1.1 1.3 1.0 0.9 0.3 0.3 0.0 1.1 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.7 0.7 1.0 0.7 1.1

Wave Runup Potential (m) 200 500 1.5 1.5 1.8 2.0 1.2 1.2 0.7 0.7 1.2 1.2 1.7 1.9 1.5 1.5 1.0 1.1 0.8 0.9 1.5 1.5 1.1 1.1 1.8 2.0 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.0 1.1 1.2 0.5 0.5 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.1 1.1 1.3 1.3 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.1 1.1 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1 0.7 0.8 1.2 1.5

1000 1.5 2.1 1.2 0.7 1.2 1.9 1.5 1.1 0.9 1.5 1.1 2.1 1.1 1.1 0.6 0.0 1.3 0.5 0.8 0.9 1.1 1.3 1.0 0.9 0.3 0.3 0.0 1.1 0.9 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.7 0.9 1.3 0.8 1.5

10000 y 1.5 2.1 1.2 0.7 1.2 1.9 1.5 1.2 1.0 1.5 1.1 2.4 1.1 1.1 0.6 0.0 1.3 0.5 0.8 0.9 1.1 1.3 1.0 0.9 0.3 0.3 0.0 1.1 0.9 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.7 1.0 1.5 1.0 1.7

Appendix V -5

Appendix V 2100 Tropical Cyclone Wave Setup and Runup Potential Tabulated Statistics Name Hawknest_Island Wedge_Island Burney_Island Amagbirra_Island Fowler_Island Kapui_Point Jalma_Bay Grindall_Point Myaoola_Bay Gurkawuy_Community Dudley_Island Three_Hummocks Port_Bradshaw Strath_Island Gove_Harbour Yanungbi Yanungbi_Community Yudu_Yudu_Community Granite_Islands Parfitt_Point Shepherd_Bluff Half_Tide_Point Dundas_Point De_Belle_Point Galupa_Community Birritjimi_Beach Gurrukpuy_Beach Harbour_Islet East_Woody_Island Galaru_Community Nhulunbuy Cape_Wirawawoi Mcintyre_Point Gunyangara_Community Butjumurru North_East_Islet North_East_Isles Hawk_Island

Lat

Long

Slope (y/x)

-13.621 -13.602 -13.569 -13.600 -13.349 -13.280 -13.269 -13.294 -13.085 -12.994 -12.872 -12.742 -12.470 -12.264 -12.257 -12.262 -12.255 -12.237 -12.219 -12.212 -12.192 -12.184 -12.203 -12.209 -12.198 -12.179 -12.174 -12.163 -12.158 -12.153 -12.160 -12.148 -12.236 -12.222 -12.227 -13.645 -13.650 -13.660

136.407 136.292 136.232 136.261 135.951 135.992 135.999 136.016 136.329 136.524 136.691 136.705 136.770 136.702 136.690 136.672 136.660 136.655 136.650 136.638 136.603 136.670 136.675 136.687 136.694 136.689 136.708 136.714 136.733 136.752 136.763 136.770 136.735 136.711 136.692 136.947 136.928 136.891

0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

50 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

100 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2

Wave Setup (m) 200 500 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2

1000 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2

10000 y 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2

50 0.7 1.1 1.1 1.0 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.0 1.2 1.4 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.9

100 0.7 1.3 1.2 1.0 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.0 1.3 1.4 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.0 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.6 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.4 0.5 0.5 1.0

Wave Runup Potential (m) 200 500 0.7 0.7 1.4 1.6 1.2 1.2 1.0 1.0 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.4 1.6 1.5 1.6 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.6 0.7 1.0 0.9 1.1 0.0 0.0 0.8 1.1 0.7 0.9 0.5 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.8 1.1 0.8 1.0 0.9 1.0 0.8 1.0 0.8 1.0 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 1.2 1.4

1000 0.7 1.6 1.2 1.0 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.0 1.6 1.7 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.7 1.0 1.1 0.0 1.1 0.9 0.6 0.0 1.2 1.1 1.2 1.1 1.0 0.8 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 1.4

10000 y 0.7 1.8 1.2 1.0 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.0 1.6 1.9 0.0 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.9 0.8 1.4 1.5 0.0 1.1 1.0 0.8 0.0 1.2 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.2 1.4 1.8 0.3 0.0 0.4 0.5 0.5 1.4

Appendix V -6

Appendix V 2100 Tropical Cyclone Wave Setup and Runup Potential Tabulated Statistics Name Cody_Bank Lane_Island Yabangwamanja_Beach Yadagba_District Arnengwurra_Island Wiyakipa_Beach Wuyagiba_Community Warrakunta_Point Beatrice_Island Bing_Bong Casuarina_Bay Gilbert_Island Black_Islet South_West_Island_Community West_Neck Buchanan_Bay Red_Islet Sir_Edward_Pellew_Group Craggy_Islands White_Islet Gould_Point Camp_Beach Skull_Point Stony_Point Water_Beach Gulch_Reef Skull_Island Long_Reef Watson_Inlet Gunyana_Bay Rocky_Point Rocky_Island Little_Island Jean_Point Barclay_Point Investigator_Point Combes_Point Clarke_Bay

Lat

Long

Slope (y/x)

-13.683 -13.668 -13.810 -14.109 -14.342 -14.572 -14.620 -14.650 -15.083 -15.598 -15.597 -15.577 -15.607 -15.667 -15.659 -15.648 -15.636 -15.618 -15.599 -15.613 -15.631 -15.627 -15.615 -15.622 -15.628 -15.635 -15.624 -15.642 -15.649 -15.637 -15.655 -15.674 -15.692 -15.703 -15.697 -15.722 -15.733 -15.745

136.877 136.933 136.802 136.704 136.820 135.555 135.558 135.556 135.771 136.403 136.484 136.641 136.638 136.634 136.703 136.710 136.717 136.712 136.707 136.731 136.736 136.755 136.762 136.774 136.786 136.798 136.805 136.810 136.822 136.829 136.834 136.839 136.844 136.837 136.825 136.842 136.835 136.828

0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

50 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1

100 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1

Wave Setup (m) 200 500 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

1000 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1

10000 y 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1

50 1.2 0.7 0.7 0.5 1.2 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.9 0.6 0.9 0.3 0.5 0.8 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.7

100 1.2 0.7 0.9 0.5 1.4 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.9 0.7 0.9 0.4 0.5 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.3 0.8 0.8 0.8

Wave Runup Potential (m) 200 500 1.2 1.2 0.7 0.7 0.9 1.0 0.5 0.5 1.5 1.5 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.7 0.7 0.9 0.9 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.3 0.3 0.8 0.9 0.8 0.9 0.8 0.9

1000 1.2 0.7 1.0 0.5 1.5 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.9 0.7 0.9 0.4 0.5 0.8 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.9 0.8 0.3 0.8 0.8 0.8

10000 y 1.2 0.7 1.1 0.5 1.5 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.9 0.7 0.9 0.6 1.0 0.8 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.8 0.8 1.0 0.9 0.3 1.0 1.0 0.9

Appendix V -7

Appendix V 2100 Tropical Cyclone Wave Setup and Runup Potential Tabulated Statistics Name Ataluma_Point Centre_Is_Tide_Gauge Payne_Island Jensen_Point Port_McArthur Sharker_Point Pelican_Spit Little_Vanderlin_Island Clarkson_Point Stokes_Bay Beavan_Point Ulbara_Point Small_Islet Whittet_Point Anderson_Point Jolly_Islet Train_Point Red_Point Brown_Islet Charles_Point Geranium_Bay Denten_Point Law_Island David_Islet Barbara_Cove Kedge_Point Base_Bay Turtle_Islet Cape_Vandelin Maxwell_Point Wheatley_Islet Mesley_Point Investigator_Bay Three_Hummock_Point Quince_Islet Daisy_Islet Jimmy_Islet Webinger_Point

Lat

Long

Slope (y/x)

-15.749 -15.754 -15.759 -15.775 -15.787 -15.883 -15.864 -15.861 -15.841 -15.823 -15.816 -15.802 -15.796 -15.777 -15.759 -15.752 -15.746 -15.721 -15.703 -15.684 -15.673 -15.661 -15.650 -15.638 -15.634 -15.622 -15.617 -15.587 -15.583 -15.578 -15.596 -15.603 -15.621 -15.616 -15.648 -15.721 -15.751 -15.769

136.809 136.790 136.771 136.745 136.738 136.744 137.012 137.062 137.026 137.021 137.009 136.985 136.973 136.968 136.963 136.951 136.939 136.922 136.917 136.912 136.919 136.926 136.933 136.940 136.959 136.966 136.985 136.987 137.006 137.025 137.030 137.042 137.047 137.066 137.095 137.115 137.113 137.118

0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

50 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

100 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

Wave Setup (m) 200 500 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

1000 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

10000 y 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

50 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.9 0.0 1.1 0.9 1.3 1.1 1.1 0.9 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.9

100 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.0 1.2 0.9 1.3 1.1 1.1 0.9 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.9

Wave Runup Potential (m) 200 500 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.9 0.9 0.8 1.0 0.9 1.0 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.0 0.0 1.2 1.2 0.9 0.9 1.3 1.3 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9

1000 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.0 1.2 0.9 1.3 1.1 1.1 0.9 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.9

10000 y 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.0 1.2 0.9 1.3 1.1 1.1 0.9 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.9

Appendix V -8

Appendix V 2100 Tropical Cyclone Wave Setup and Runup Potential Tabulated Statistics Name Sharp_Stones_Point Goat_Point Myoorlka_Island Murrenginya_Island Calvert_River QLDNT_Border Walker_Point Cabbage_Tree_Cove Observation_Island North_Island Craufurd_Islet Heriot_Reef Cape_Pellew Ross_Point North_Island_Community Paradice_Bay Webe_Point Johnston_Islet Watson_Island Toby_Point Macassar_Bay Phil_Point Inner_Bank West_Island_Community Crocodile_Point Eagle_Bay Cliffdale_Creek Pains_Island Bayley_Island Bayley_Point Syrell_Creek James_Creek Moonlight_Creek Tarrant_Point Channon_Creek Pasco_Inlet Nicholson_River Pandanus_Creek

Lat

Long

Slope (y/x)

-15.828 -15.856 -16.012 -16.037 -16.195 -16.527 -15.641 -15.623 -15.611 -15.582 -15.534 -15.515 -15.497 -15.490 -15.513 -15.525 -15.530 -15.541 -15.546 -15.574 -15.619 -15.651 -15.646 -15.652 -15.638 -14.834 -16.813 -16.863 -16.899 -16.911 -16.960 -17.193 -17.254 -17.363 -17.407 -17.472 -17.496 -17.503

137.114 137.081 137.275 137.292 137.742 138.008 136.891 136.886 136.893 136.895 136.892 136.887 136.882 136.870 136.856 136.849 136.830 136.823 136.804 136.771 136.824 136.853 136.872 136.499 136.475 135.715 138.779 139.038 139.049 139.042 139.077 139.195 139.222 139.479 139.533 139.623 139.641 139.653

0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

50 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

100 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

Wave Setup (m) 200 500 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

1000 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

10000 y 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

50 0.9 0.8 1.1 0.9 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.0 1.0 0.6 1.1 1.2 0.8 0.9 1.1 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.2 0.6 0.8 1.1 1.0 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7

100 0.9 0.8 1.1 0.9 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.0 1.0 0.6 1.1 1.4 0.8 0.9 1.1 1.0 0.9 1.0 0.2 0.3 0.7 0.2 0.7 0.8 1.1 1.0 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7

Wave Runup Potential (m) 200 500 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 1.1 1.1 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.9 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.8 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.6 0.6 1.1 1.1 1.4 1.4 0.8 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.8 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.0 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8

1000 0.9 0.8 1.1 0.9 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.0 1.0 0.6 1.1 1.4 0.8 1.0 1.1 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.2 0.3 0.7 0.2 0.6 0.8 1.1 1.0 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.8

10000 y 0.9 0.8 1.1 0.9 1.0 0.9 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.0 1.0 0.6 1.1 1.4 0.8 1.1 1.1 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.4 0.3 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.8 1.1 1.0 0.9 1.0 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.8

Appendix V -9

Appendix V 2100 Tropical Cyclone Wave Setup and Runup Potential Tabulated Statistics Name Williams_Inlet Offshore_Burketown Gore_Point Disaster_Inlet Brannigan_Creek Accident_Inlet Fitzmaurice_Point Smithburne_River Bold_Point Van_Diemen_Inlet Karumba Alligator_Point Flinders_River Macdonald_Point Sweers_Is_Resort Inscription_Point Bentinck_Is_Airport Carnarvon Red_Cliffs Fowler_Island Mckenzie_Creek Wilson_Bay Kirke_Point Bessie_Island Margaret_Island Albinia_Island Oaktree_Point White_Cliff Horseshoe_Island Creffild_Point Allen_Island Greenaway_Point Little_Allen_Island Beche_De_Mer_Point Beche_De_Mer_Bay Warahbah_Point Boyorrunga_Inlet Timber_Point

Lat

Long

Slope (y/x)

-17.509 -17.519 -17.612 -17.619 -17.201 -17.189 -17.160 -17.035 -16.995 -16.977 -17.442 -17.454 -17.577 -17.129 -17.118 -17.106 -17.100 -17.094 -17.083 -17.116 -17.136 -17.130 -17.108 -16.999 -17.031 -17.042 -16.982 -17.038 -17.006 -17.066 -17.053 -16.996 -16.990 -16.810 -16.763 -16.752 -16.740 -16.742

139.665 139.740 139.941 139.953 140.887 140.894 140.896 140.920 140.959 140.954 140.795 140.788 140.619 139.585 139.592 139.599 139.587 139.606 139.613 139.561 139.485 139.473 139.405 139.374 139.403 139.397 139.512 139.559 139.274 139.270 139.246 139.199 139.187 139.166 139.194 139.201 139.208 139.239

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

50 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1

100 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

Wave Setup (m) 200 500 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

1000 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

10000 y 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

50 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 1.1 1.0 1.1 1.1 0.0 0.5 0.9 0.9 0.0 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6

100 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 1.1 1.0 1.1 1.1 0.0 0.6 0.9 0.9 0.0 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.6

Wave Runup Potential (m) 200 500 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.6 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.1 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.2 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6

1000 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 1.1 1.0 1.1 1.1 0.0 0.6 1.0 1.2 0.0 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.6

10000 y 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 1.1 1.0 1.1 1.1 0.0 0.6 1.0 1.2 0.0 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.9 0.8 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.6

Appendix V -10

Appendix V 2100 Tropical Cyclone Wave Setup and Runup Potential Tabulated Statistics Name Beeberr_Creek Wunungun_Point Tulburrerr_Island Gerrigroo_Point Kungunmeah_River Woolgunjin_Point Jirke_Island Yuwah_Point Beahgoo_Island Dungnoreah_Point Sydney_Island Ngawalgeah_Point Lingeleah_Island Weediah_Bay Walbor_Inlet Jubuneah_Point Lelkajindi_Creek Ngulwonmeah_River Gilitja_Point Charlie_Bush_Bay Billmahgun_Point Dalmumeah_Creek Gatgatgerah_Creek Lingnoonganee_Island Meahyawogan_Point Moondalbee_Island Mudgun_Point Towbulbulan_River Watson_Patch Thabugan_Point Wardoo_Creek Lowareah_Point Sandalwood_Place_River Eengan_Bay Hall_Point Gumbannge_Point Goojamun_Creek Ballast_Creek

Lat

Long

Slope (y/x)

-16.737 -16.743 -16.757 -16.747 -16.713 -16.702 -16.678 -16.685 -16.692 -16.728 -16.695 -16.647 -16.635 -16.612 -16.594 -16.582 -16.541 -16.529 -16.524 -16.531 -16.557 -16.535 -16.530 -16.497 -16.504 -16.451 -16.438 -16.443 -16.398 -16.390 -16.404 -16.437 -16.450 -16.460 -16.464 -16.497 -16.508 -16.520

139.257 139.270 139.294 139.332 139.384 139.390 139.404 139.416 139.428 139.439 139.491 139.487 139.494 139.507 139.502 139.509 139.518 139.524 139.543 139.555 139.604 139.649 139.668 139.719 139.731 139.747 139.722 139.703 139.650 139.607 139.519 139.467 139.379 139.341 139.291 139.240 139.233 139.226

0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

50 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

100 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

Wave Setup (m) 200 500 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

1000 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

10000 y 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

50 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.2 0.0 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.0 0.3 0.6 1.4 1.1 1.0

100 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.2 0.0 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.0 0.3 0.6 1.4 1.1 1.0

Wave Runup Potential (m) 200 500 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.2 0.0 0.0 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.0 1.0 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.6 1.4 1.4 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.0

1000 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.2 0.0 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.0 0.3 0.6 1.4 1.1 1.0

10000 y 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.2 0.0 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.0 0.3 0.6 1.4 1.1 1.0

Appendix V -11

Appendix V 2100 Tropical Cyclone Wave Setup and Runup Potential Tabulated Statistics Name Dwenty_Point Bilmagun_Point Brookes_Reef Bidgagum_Bay Waddagun_Waterhole Horse_Place_Creek Gee_Wee_Creek Lingele_Point Jidan_Marun Gee_Wee_Point Mornington_Island Dubbar_Point Porpoise_Point Denham_Island Dougherty_Bay Andrew_Island Midbagar_Point Snapper_Point Whale_Point Forsyth_Island Forsyth_Islands Government_Point Ivis_Island Eight_Mile_Creek Bountiful_Islands Pisonia_Island Van_Diemen_Inlet Salt_Arm_Creek Rocky_Creek Station_Creek Station_Creek Topsy_Creek South_Mitchell_River Chapman_River Pormpuraaw Moonkan_Creek Edward_River Christmas_Creek

Lat

Long

Slope (y/x)

-16.532 -16.543 -16.555 -16.566 -16.578 -16.595 -16.600 -16.611 -16.629 -16.641 -16.659 -16.671 -16.712 -16.730 -16.742 -16.753 -16.765 -16.777 -16.841 -16.854 -16.861 -16.868 -16.874 -16.753 -16.683 -16.507 -16.953 -16.138 -15.897 -15.847 -15.674 -15.495 -15.340 -14.933 -14.918 -14.847 -14.735 -14.459

139.219 139.212 139.205 139.199 139.192 139.166 139.147 139.140 139.145 139.138 139.143 139.137 139.128 139.133 139.126 139.119 139.113 139.106 139.083 139.107 139.120 139.132 139.144 138.558 139.865 139.793 140.982 141.363 141.380 141.403 141.421 141.483 141.526 141.601 141.590 141.575 141.554 141.521

0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01

41/23138/432535 Gulf of Carpentaria Storm Tide and Innundation Study Stages 1 and 2 Final Report

50 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0

100 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0

Wave Setup (m) 200 500 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0

1000 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0

10000 y 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0

50 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9 1.3 1.3 1.2 1.2 0.9 1.1 1.0 0.7 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 1.0 0.8 1.1 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.8 1.1 0.0 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.7 0.0

100 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9 1.6 1.6 1.3 1.4 0.9 1.2 1.1 0.8 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.1 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 1.0 0.8 1.2 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.8 1.1 0.0 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.7 0.0

Wave Runup Potential (m) 200 500 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9 0.9 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.4 1.5 1.4 1.4 0.9 0.9 1.2 1.3 1.2 1.2 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.1 0.9 1.0 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.9 1.2 1.3 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 1.1 1.1 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.0

1000 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.4 0.9 1.3 1.2 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.0 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 1.0 0.9 1.4 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.8 1.1 0.0 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.7 0.0

10000 y 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.4 0.9 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.2 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 1.0 0.9 1.5 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.8 1.1 0.0 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.7 0.0

Appendix V -12

Appendix V 2100 Tropical Cyclone Wave Setup and Runup Potential Tabulated Statistics Name Hersey_Creek King_Creek Kulinchin Holroyd_River Knox_Creek Mitchell_River Staaten_River Gilbert_River Snake_Creek Duck_Creek Kirke_River Koontun_Creek Shell_Creek Colin_Creek Love_River Aurukun_(Archer_River) Ward_River Worbody_Point Possum_Creek Ina_Creek False_Pera_Head Norman_Creek Thud_Point Pera_Head Boyd_Point Beening_Creek Jessica_Point Wooldrum_Point Evans_Landing Wallaby_Island Amboyninghy_Point Landfall_Point Botchet_Creek Duyfken_Point Pine_River_Bay Nomenade_Creek Wenlock_River Janie_Creek

Lat

Long

Slope (y/x)

-14.356 -14.330 -14.212 -14.152 -14.087 -15.190 -16.409 -16.564 -16.680 -16.807 -13.894 -13.550 -13.513 -13.500 -13.476 -13.323 -13.291 -13.293 -13.241 -13.177 -13.078 -13.023 -12.979 -12.918 -12.885 -12.648 -12.619 -12.622 -12.608 -12.579 -12.563 -12.573 -12.534 -12.460 -12.384 -12.331 -11.939 -11.931

141.554 141.559 141.581 141.550 141.562 141.596 141.283 141.240 141.204 141.081 141.465 141.515 141.535 141.538 141.556 141.612 141.660 141.673 141.683 141.625 141.602 141.598 141.578 141.617 141.665 141.777 141.769 141.782 141.785 141.693 141.682 141.583 141.590 141.631 141.659 141.669 141.906 141.936

0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.05 0.01 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.01 0.01

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50 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.1

100 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.1

Wave Setup (m) 200 500 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

1000 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.1

10000 y 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.1

50 0.0 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.3 1.3 1.0 0.9 0.8 1.1 1.0 0.5 0.0 1.3 0.9 0.0 1.3 1.3 1.3 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.5 0.8 0.2 0.2 1.3 1.2 0.9 0.9

100 0.0 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.3 1.3 1.0 0.9 0.8 1.1 1.0 0.5 0.0 1.5 0.9 0.0 1.6 1.5 1.3 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.8 0.2 0.2 1.3 1.2 0.9 1.0

Wave Runup Potential (m) 200 500 0.0 0.0 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.3 1.3 1.3 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 1.5 1.5 0.9 0.9 0.0 0.0 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.3 1.3 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.8 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 1.3 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.0

1000 0.0 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.3 1.3 1.0 0.9 0.8 1.1 1.0 0.5 0.0 1.5 0.9 0.0 1.6 1.6 1.3 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.0 0.5 0.8 0.2 0.2 1.3 1.2 1.1 1.0

10000 y 0.0 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.3 1.3 1.0 0.9 0.8 1.1 1.0 0.5 0.0 1.5 0.9 0.0 1.6 1.6 1.3 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.3 1.0 0.5 0.8 0.2 0.2 1.3 1.2 1.1 1.0

Appendix V -13

Appendix V 2100 Tropical Cyclone Wave Setup and Runup Potential Tabulated Statistics Name Mapoon Cullen_(tullanaringa)_Point Tullanaringa_(cullen)_Point Skardon_River Jackson_River Macdonald_(collet)_River Doughboy_River Cotterell_River Vrilya_Point

Lat

Long

Slope (y/x)

-11.849 -11.797 -11.784 -11.596 -11.493 -11.377 -11.283 -11.178 -11.056

141.936 141.946 141.948 142.038 142.070 142.105 142.108 142.126 142.121

0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01

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50 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

100 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

Wave Setup (m) 200 500 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

1000 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

10000 y 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

50 0.9 1.0 1.1 0.0 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8

100 0.9 1.0 1.1 0.0 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.0 0.9

Wave Runup Potential (m) 200 500 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.1 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.0 1.0

1000 0.9 1.0 1.1 0.0 1.0 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.0

10000 y 0.9 1.0 1.1 0.0 1.0 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.0

Appendix V -14

Appendix W

Tropical Cyclone Maximum Potential Intensity Analysis

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The analysis of Maximum Potential Intensity (MPI) of tropical cyclones in the Gulf of Carpentaria region was undertaken by Dr Kendal McGuffie at the University of Technology Sydney (UTS) and the results were incorporated into the synthetic storm dataset as a limit on intensification. The analysis here follows the methods of Holland (1997) and Emanuel (1987), these being the currently accepted competing techniques. The following are extracted from the UTS report. The study consists of two parts. a) an analysis of estimates of the maximum potential intensity of tropical storms over ocean areas within the limits specified using the algorithms of Holland (1997) and Emanuel (1987). b) b) An analysis of likely changes in MPI under an enhanced CO2 scenario. The MPI values provided are expressed in terms of a mean sea level pressure deficit (hPa). The algorithms of Holland and Emanuel consider only the thermodynamic aspects of tropical cyclone formation. Their usefulness stems from the typical abundance of disturbances in the tropical atmosphere that, given suitable conditions, could develop further into tropical storms and cyclones. It is typically argued that changes in the suitability of the environment for tropical cyclone development generally result in the development of more storms, and these storms can intensify further. There is a good qualitative relationship between maximum potential intensity and storm frequency. The algorithms do not consider dynamical constraints on cyclone formation (proximity to the equator or vertical wind shear). (a) Present Climate (Figures 1 to 12) The data set used is the NCEP reanalysis available at: http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/data/gridded/data.ncep.reanalysis The NCEP reanalysis is a state of the art assimilation of all available historical meteorological observations that provides a best possible estimate of the historical state of the atmosphere over the period 1948 to present. The re-analysis is a ‘data-constrained modeling product’ that provides a best guess of atmospheric state over time, constrained by observational data (provided by historical data input to the system) and by the fundamental physics of the atmosphere (provided by the model). The time period covered in part 1 is from 1948 to 2009, a period of 61 years. (b) Future Climate (Figures 13 and 14) Enhanced CO2 results are based on the simulations for the IPCC SRESB1 of the CSIRO Mk3.0 model scenario for stabilisation at 550ppmv equivalent. Details of SRESB1 are summarised at http://sedac.ciesin.columbia.edu/ddc/sres/ SRESB1 is a simulation which assumes some action on reduction of CO2 emissions occurs, resulting in a stabilisation of greenhouse gas concentrations equivalent to a CO2 concentration of 550 ppmv. It is reasonable to expect that changes deduced using this method would be greater for the greater forcing used in Scenario A1 simulations (such as those analysed by Knutson et al., 2010). Knutson et al. (2010) consolidated all southern hemisphere cyclone activity into a ‘southern hemisphere’ category, but McGuffie (2010) found considerable differences between southern hemisphere basins in their response to climate change. The figures in Appendix F show considerable regional variability in changes, even with the relatively small study area. Such results would indicate the need for caution in applying results consolidated at the hemispheric level and this makes it difficult to make a comparison between the detailed results presented here and the hemispheric results presented in Knutson et al. (2010). The values of MPI and PMIN (maximum intensities for the Holland and Emanuel models respectively) were computed for all ocean grid points for all months in three simulations (Pre-Industrial Control [PICTRL], Climate of the 20th century c20c and SRESB1).

(a)

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(b)

Figure W1: Mean (a) and standard deviation (b) of MPI in hPa for the study region for November. Based on means for the period Jan 1948 – August 2009. Maximum potential intensity computed using the method of Holland (1997).

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(a)

(b)

Figure W2: Mean (a) and standard deviation (b) of MPI in hPa for the study region for December. Based on means for the period Jan 1948 – August 2009. Maximum potential intensity computed using the method of Holland (1997).

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(a)

(b)

Figure W3: Mean (a) and standard deviation (b) of MPI in hPa for the study region for January. Based on means for the period Jan 1948 – August 2009. Maximum potential intensity computed using the method of Holland (1997).

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(a)

(b)

Figure W4: Mean (a) and standard deviation (b) of MPI in hPa for the study region for February. Based on means for the period Jan 1948 – August 2009. Maximum potential intensity computed using the method of Holland (1997).

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(a)

(b)

Figure W5: Mean (a) and standard deviation (b) of MPI in hPa for the study region for March. Based on means for the period Jan 1948 – August 2009. Maximum potential intensity computed using the method of Holland (1997).

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(a)

(b)

Figure W6: Mean (a) and standard deviation (b) of MPI in hPa for the study region for April. Based on means for the period Jan 1948 – August 2009. Maximum potential intensity computed using the method of Holland (1997).

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(a)

(b)

Figure W7: Mean (a) and standard deviation (b) of Pmin in hPa for the study region for November. Based on means for the period Jan 1948 – August 2009. Maximum potential intensity computed using the method of Emanuel (1986).

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(a)

(b)

Figure W8: Mean (a) and standard deviation (b) of Pmin in hPa for the study region for December. Based on means for the period Jan 1948 – August 2009. Maximum potential intensity computed using the method of Emanuel (1986).

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(a)

(b)

Figure W9: Mean (a) and standard deviation (b) of Pmin in hPa for the study region for January. Based on means for the period Jan 1948 – August 2009. Maximum potential intensity computed using the method of Emanuel (1986).

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(a)

(b)

Figure W10: Mean (a) and standard deviation (b) of Pmin in hPa for the study region for February. Based on means for the period Jan 1948 – August 2009. Maximum potential intensity computed using the method of Emanuel (1986).

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(a)

(b)

Figure W11: Mean (a) and standard deviation (b) of Pmin in hPa for the study region for March. Based on means for the period Jan 1948 – August 2009. Maximum potential intensity computed using the method of Emanuel (1986).

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(a)

(b)

Figure W12: Mean (a) and standard deviation (b) of Pmin in hPa for the study region for April. Based on means for the period Jan 1948 – August 2009. Maximum potential intensity computed using the method of Emanuel (1986).

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(a)

(b)

th

Figure W13: Sample differences from 20 century values for (a) 2050-2059 (b) 2100-2110. The 20th century is represented here by the period 1960-1989. MPI values computed using the method of Holland for IPCC SRESB1.

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(a)

(b)

th

Figure W14: Sample differences from 20 century values for (a) 2050-2059 (b) 2100-2110. The 20th century is represented here by the period 1960-1989. PMIN values computed using the method of Emanuel for IPCC SRESB1.

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