Earnings Management, Firm Performance, and the ...

5 downloads 2433 Views 178KB Size Report
The purpose of this study was to test whether the practice of earnings management that affects and perhaps benefits management of Indian companies has an ...
International Research Journal of Finance and Economics ISSN 1450-2887 Issue 116 November, 2013 http://www.internationalresearchjournaloffinanceandeconomics.com

Earnings Management, Firm Performance, and the Value of Indian Manufacturing Firms Amarjit Gill The University of SaskatchewanEdwards School of Business 25 Campus DriveSaskatoon, SK, S7N-5A7, Canada E-mail: [email protected] Phone: 306-966-4785; Fax: 306-966-5408 Nahum Biger School of Business Carmel Academic Center Haifa, Israel 33031 E-mail: [email protected] Harvinder S. Mand University College Ghudda (Bathinda) District Bathinda Pin Code: 151401 East Punjab, India E-mail: [email protected] Telephone: 98554-92501 Neil Mathur College of Management & Technology Walden University 100 Washington Avenue South, Suite 900 Minneapolis, MN, USA 55401 E-mail: [email protected] Tel: 781.626.3240 Abstract The purpose of this study was to test whether the practice of earnings management that affects and perhaps benefits management of Indian companies has an effect on a firms’ performance, and whether earnings management has an effect on other stakeholders. This study applied a co-relational research design. A sample of 250 firms was selected from Top 500 Companies listed on the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) for a period of 4 years (from 2009-2012). The findings of this study indicate that the more intense the practice of earnings management, the greater it’s adverse effect on corporate rate of return on assets in the following year. The study also found that to some extent, the market realizes that management acts with selfish motives and responds by lowering share prices and corporate market value. This study contributes to the literature on the association between several features of earnings management and firm performance, and the value of the firm. It is confined to Indian firms where companies perform intense earnings management. The findings may be useful for financial managers, investors, financial management consultants, and other stakeholders.

Keywords: Earnings management, Firm performance, Market value of the firm, Shareholders’ wealth.

International Research Journal of Finance and Economics, Issue 116 (2013)

121

1. Introduction Earnings management is the practice of managerial actions that are reflected in a company's financial reports either to give the impression of smooth periodic or annual earnings, to show high profits in a given year at the 'expense' of lowering reported earnings in the future or to show low profit in a given year so that in future years reported profits will be higher. In some cases, management uses various accounting methods in order to convey private information to financial report readers. Management of earnings may mislead stakeholders about the true financial performance of the company. If management gains anything from managing earnings, one must ask whether such gains are at the expense of anybody. The study explores the relationship between the practice of earnings management, firm performance, and firm's value for a sample of publicly traded Indian companies. We chose to study the relationships for Indian companies because Indian companies have been notorious for practicing earnings management in order to achieve several objectives. Varma, for example, states that Indian companies regularly manipulate earnings and lists several motivations for such manipulation in India including but not limited to personal gain of management, performance based incentives, and pressure to achieve specified earnings targets. The prevalence of earnings management in India can be explained by some local factors: Flexibilities provided by Indian regulatory bodies; unclear lines that can differentiate fraud and aggressive accounting (earning manipulation); weak market competition; information asymmetry; investors’ lack of awareness about the accounting concepts; and the high emphasis of both managers and accountants on reported earnings (Verma, 2012, p. 539-540). In developing countries, rules of law are weak and there are claims that corruption is high. According to Transparency International (2012), corruption has increased in India over the last five years. Dyreng, Hanlon, and Maydew (2011) found that firms’ earnings management is more common in weak rule-of-law countries than in companies operating in locations where the rule of law is strong. They also found some evidence that profitable firms with an extensive tax haven manage earnings more than other firms and most earnings management takes place in domestic rather than foreign income. This study then concentrates on Indian companies where rules of law are weak. Due to the intense practice of earnings management (EM) in India, the relationship between the intensity of the practice and firm performance and value is studies using several methods of measurement of the intensity of EM. We apply standard regression analysis in order to examine the extent to which there is a significant relationship between the intensity of earning management practices and company's rate of return on total assets, and whether there is a significant relationship between the intensity of EM and the market value of firms. We hypothesize that both relationships should be negative. Since the practice of earnings management is prevalent in many Indian companies, the paper is interested in two research questions: Does intensive use of earnings management by Indian companies adversely affect companies’ rate of return on assets? Does intensive use of earnings management by Indian companies adversely affect corporate market values? This study provides insights for policy-makers as to the importance of earnings management (FP) and firm performance in influencing shareholder wealth in Indian Top 500 Firms. The results may be generalized to similar companies listed in Indian Top 500 Firms.

2. Literature Review Section 2 provides a literature review to formulate hypotheses. The study of earnings management dates back to Healy’s (1985) study titled “the effect of bonus schemes on accounting decisions.” Since that time, different authors conducted studies on earnings management. While some authors (Sloan, 1996; Fairfield et al., 2003; Fama and French,

122

International Research Journal of Finance and Economics, Issue 116 (2013)

2006; Cooper et al., 2008; and Chu, 2012) have tested the relationship between EM and FP, other authors (Teoh, Welch, and Wong, 1998; Othman and Zeghal, 2006; Huddart and Louis, 2009; Li, 2010; Cohen et al., 2011; Mashadi et al., 2012; and Gholami, Nickjoo, and Nemati, 2012) have tested the relationship between EM and firm value. Although empirical studies in developed economies have found that EM and FP affect the market price of shares, there has not been much research conducted on developing countries (Ogundipe, Idowu, and Ogundipe, 2012). 2.1. Earnings Management and Firm Performance It is important to understand the methods of earnings manipulation because firm performance (e.g., return on assets) relies on net income and managers can manipulate net income through current assets. For example, managers can overstate ending inventory to manipulate cost of goods sold. Earnings management (manipulation) is done by affecting total accruals and discretionary accruals. Richardson et al. (2006) also found that accruals are associated with earnings manipulation. Healy and Walden (1999) define EM as the alteration of a firm's reported economic performance by insiders in order to either mislead some stakeholders or to influence contractual outcomes. The alteration can be done by altering transactions (e.g., ending inventory, employee wages accruals in month-ends, etc.). Fairfield et al. (2003), by sampling US firms for a period of 1963-1992 found that working capital accruals have a negative relation with future profitability. Working capital accruals include current assets and current liabilities. Verma (2012, p. 540) described that some of the earning management techniques available and duly allowed by regulatory bodies (including Indian regulatory bodies) are: i) inventory valuation methods (e.g., first in-first out, last in-first out, and weighted average method), ii) more expenses accrued for a future period, iii) revenue and expense recognition techniques, iv) using more of derivatives, v) transferring goods to an inflated market to increase the profits or buying goods from a deflated market to produce desired results, and vi) showing unexpected gains or losses from long term assets which were shown at cost. Earnings management such as depositing current period A/R checks in the next period can cause abnormal cash flows from operations which can impact the reported future profit of the firm. The findings related to the relationship between EM and FP differs between authors. Sloan (1996), used 40,679 observations from US firms and found that the accrual component of operating income is less persistent than the cash components for explaining one-year-ahead performance measured by the rate of return on assets (ROA). Cooper et al. (2008), sampling US firms for a period of 1963-2003, found a negative correlation between total asset growth and subsequent firm abnormal returns. Fama and French (2006) analyzed data of US firms and found that accruals negatively predict one-year-ahead reported profitability. Chu (2012), analyzing a sample of 4,438 US firms for a period of 1978-2007 found that high growth firms with low accruals experience high future profitability and returns. In summary, the literature review indicates that EM impacts firm performance. Hence, the following hypotheses are formulated: H1: Earnings management by Indian companies adversely impacts firm performance. 2.2. Earnings Management and the Value of the Firm One of the motivations behind earnings management is to provide good news to corporate boards by showing good results in a certain period. This is a problem of potential endogeneity; that is, managers are reluctant to announce earnings below analysts’ forecasts (Cohen et al., 2011) because it may have a negative impact on market price per share. Because market price per share impacts the value of the firm, managers tend to manipulate the components of the income statement and balance sheet through accruals to maintain and/or to maximize share price for the current and subsequent year. However, earnings manipulation tends to start backfiring after some time. For example, Teoh, Welch, and Wong (1998), sampling 1,649 US initial public offering (IPO) firms from 1985-1992 found that issuers with unusually high accruals in the IPO year experience poor stock return performance in the three years thereafter.

International Research Journal of Finance and Economics, Issue 116 (2013)

123

Managers also tend to manipulate earnings to surprise investors, improve share price, and lower debt costs. DuCharme and Malatesta (2004), sampling US companies for the period of 200-2001 found that abnormal stock returns are positively related to the earnings surprise. Othman and Zeghal (2006), using 1,674 Canadian and 1,470 French firm-year observations for a period of 1996-2000 found that contractual debt costs cause earnings management in French firms and issuing new equity leads to earnings management in Canadian firms. Huddart and Louis (2009), used data from US COMPUSTAT for a period of 1984-1999 and found that earnings management positively impact market price per share and led to the 1990s stock market bubble. Li (2010) took a sample of 7,861 US firms for the period 1988-2008 and found that real earnings management practices of managers are related to subsequent higher stock returns. Cohen et al. (2011), using a sample of 71,848 firm-quarter observations of US firms for a period of 1998-2008 found that the information environment is a crucial determinant of the market’s response to share price. Gholami, Nickjoo, and Nemati (2012) sampled 1,200 US IPO firms for the period of 2000-2010. The authors found that IPO firms engaged in earnings management with high investor beliefs have an influence on the long-run abnormal stock return performance. In contrast to some of these studies, we believe that the practice of earnings management is in a sense a zero sum game; if management is to gain from earnings management and if creditors are not deceived by earnings manipulation and are not offering cheaper credit to companies that manage earnings, then shareholders must be on the losing end. Hence, the following hypothesis is formulated: H2: Earnings management by Indian companies adversely impacts the firm value. We also examined the extent to which some control variables have any effect on the postulated hypotheses.

3. Methods This study applied a co-relational research design. 3.1. Measurement The variables used in the analysis were: i. Tobin’s Q represents the firm value. ii. Rate of return on assets. iii. Firm size. iv. Financial leverage. v. Current ratio. vi. Four alternative measures of earnings management (EM) were adopted from modified DeAngelo (1986), Jones’s (1991), and Abed, Al-Attar, and Suwaidan (2012), and Revenues as a means of earnings management (managed revenues) was adopted from Stubben (2010).1 Table 1 provides definitions of the dependent, independent, and control variables used in the analysis. Table 1: Proxy Variables and their Measurements Dependent Variables Return on assets (ROAi,t) Market value (Qi,t)

1

Measurement Net income after tax / Total assets Tobin’s Q = (Market value of equity + Book value of debt) / Book value of total assets Market value of equity = (Highest market value per share + Lowest market value per shares) / 2

Details of the four alternative method of estimating earnings management are provided in the Appendix to the paper.

124

International Research Journal of Finance and Economics, Issue 116 (2013)

Table 1: Proxy Variables and their Measurements – (continued) Independent Variables Earnings Management Indicators (a) Managed revenues (Ri,t) (b) Total accruals [balance-sheet approach] (TACC-B i,t) (c) Total accruals [cash flow approach] (TACC-Oi,t) (d) Discretionary accruals [cash flow approach] (DACCOi,t) Control Variable Firm size (FSi,t) Financial leverage (FLi,t) Current ratio - liquidity (CRi,t) µi,t = the error term εјt = Error term for Firm j in Year t

Measurement ΔAR i,t = C x ΔR i,t + (1 - C) x ΔDR i,t TACC-Bi,t = ∆CAi,t - ∆Cashi,t - ∆CLi,t + ∆DCi,t - DEPi,t TACC-Oi,t = EARN ,t - CFO ,t DACC-Oi,t = (TACCi,t - TACCi,t-1) / TAi,t Logarithm of total assets Total debt / Total assets Current assets / Current liabilities

The accruals measurement provided by Healy (1985) and Jones (1991) and other authors were used because we examined four alternative measures or proxies of the intensity of earnings management. We examined whether they all provided the same explanation or at lease brought about the same sign or directional effect. Discussion of the various measures related to earnings management is provided in Appendix A. The basic regression equation defined the dependent variable (ROA or Q) and used either one of the fours independent (explanatory) variables (R; TACC-B; TACC-O or DACC-O) in order to find whether the slope coefficient was negative and statistically significant. We also added several control variables to the regressions in order to find whether any of these variables had any significant relationship with the dependent variables. 3.2. Data Collection A database was built from a selection of approximately 500 financial reports from publicly traded companies between January 1, 2007 and December 31, 2011. The selection was drawn from the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSC) Top 500 companies (www.prowess.cmie.com) to collect a random sample of manufacturing firms. Out of approximately 500 financial reports announced by public companies between January 1, 2009 and December 31, 2012, only 250 financial reports were usable. The cross sectional yearly data was used in this study. Thus, 250 financial reports resulted to 750 total observations. Since the random sampling method was used to select companies, the sample is considered a representative sample. All companies from the service industry were omitted because in general these companies do not provide all the necessary information. Some other firms for which data was unavailable were also excluded. 3.3. Descriptive Statistics Table 2: R10 TACC-B10 TACC-O10 DACC-O10 FS10 FL10 CR10 ROA10 Q10 R11 TACC-B11

provides descriptive statistics of the sample.and.Descriptive Statistics Minimum -0.99 0.01 1.02 -0.39 1.31 0.02 0.42 -0.70 -6.08 -0.69 -13.76

Maximum 1.95 4.90 5.31 0.56 6.40 8.70 8.59 0.51 17.65 1.94 14.88

Mean 0.22 3.01 3.14 0.01 4.47 0.54 2.57 0.09 3.45 0.28 1.41

SD 0.45 0.91 0.72 0.12 0.62 0.54 1.72 0.09 2.87 0.33 3.14

125

International Research Journal of Finance and Economics, Issue 116 (2013) Table 2:

provides descriptive statistics of the sample.and.Descriptive Statistics – (continued)

TACC-O11 DACC-O11 FS11 FL11

0.76 -0.27 3.34 0.06

4.80 0.33 6.45 0.96

3.21 0.02 4.57 0.51

0.67 0.09 0.55 0.17

CR11 ROA11 Q11 R12 TACC-B12 TACC-O12 DACC-O12 FS12 FL12 CR12 ROA12 Q12

0.27 -0.15 -14.52 -0.99 -16.38 -13.28 -0.35 2.40 0.05 0.36 -0.13 -4.71

9.46 0.70 17.86 0.91 17.85 8.88 0.47 6.47 0.89 8.68 0.76 18.63

2.64 0.08 3.46 0.17 0.79 1.36 -0.01 4.64 0.51 2.45 0.09 3.23

1.84 0.08 3.51 0.28 3.78 3.18 0.09 0.57 0.18 1.65 0.08 3.42

SD = Standard deviation R = Change in managed revenues TACC-B = Change in total accruals (balance-sheet approach) TACC-O = Total accruals (cash flow approach) DACC-O = Change in discretionary accruals (cash flow approach) FS = Firm size FL = Financial leverage CR = Current ratio (liquidity management) ROA = Return on assets Q = Market value of the firm

Appendix B provides the estimates of the Pearson pair-wise correlations between the alternative proxies of the intensity of earnings management in the two years 2010 and 2011. Note that there is a high correlation between the TACC-B proxies in 2010 and 2011, and between the TACC-O proxies in 2010 and 2011, indicating consistency in management practice in the two years. The two proxies were highly correlated in 2010 but only weakly correlated in 2011.

4. Regression Analysis, Findings, Discussion, Conclusion, Limitations, and Future Research Pooled data and cross sections were used to conduct this study. This practice may lead to a problem of heteroskedasticity [changing variation after a short period of time] (Raheman and Nasr, 2007, P. 292). To counter this problem, the weighted least square regression model with a cross section weight of three industries (consumer products manufacturing, industrials products manufacturing, and energy production) was used. In this regression, the common intercept was calculated for all variables and assigned a weight. There was also the possibility of endogeneity issues because we used multiple regression analysis. The issue of endogeneity also takes place if certain variables are omitted and there are measurement errors (Gill and Biger, 2013). To minimize endogeneity issues, the most important variables that impact firm performance and firm value were used and the measurements were borrowed from the previous empirical studies. As the sample of companies only included companies that 'survived' during the study period, there might have been a survival bias in the study. We consider this to be a minor issue as the purpose of the study was to focus on the impact of earnings management and firm performance on the value of the firms. Table 3 provides the regression results for firm performance (return on assets) in 2011. We used the Change in Managed Revenue proxy of earnings management intensity and two control variables: firm size and financial leverage to test whether any of these control variables was related to the following year's rate of return on assets – a proxy of firm performance.

126 Table 3:

(Constant) R10 FS10 FL10

International Research Journal of Finance and Economics, Issue 116 (2013) Earning Management and Future Firm Performance (Year 2011) Un-standardized Coefficients B Std. Error 0.259 0.036 -0.020 0.010 -0.033 0.008 -0.035 0.009

Standardized Coefficients c Beta -0.120 -0.270 -0.250

T

Sig.

7.235 -1.997 -4.377 -4.043

0.000 0.047 0.000 0.000

Collinearity Statistics Tolerance VIF 0.996 0.943 0.940

1.004 1.060 1.064

R10, FS10, FL10, and ROA11 R2 = 0.122; Adjusted R2 = 0.111

For performance in 2011, change in managed revenues (a measure of the intensity of EM in the previous year), as well as firm size and financial leverage all had statistically significant negative coefficients, supporting our first hypothesis. We also examined an alternative measure of the intensity of EM, and the results are presented below: Table 4:

(Constant) TACC-B10 FL10

Earning Management and Future Firm Performance (Year 2011) Un-standardized Coefficients B Std. Error 0.194 0.018 -0.035 0.005 -0.028 0.006

Standardized Coefficients c Beta -0.566 -0.421

t

Sig.

10.823 -6.593 -4.904

0.000 0.000 0.000

Collinearity Statistics Tolerance VIF 0.938 0.938

1.066 1.066

TACC-B10, FL10, and ROA11 R2 = 0.379; Adjusted R2 = 0.365

The relationship between the intensity of EM in 2010 and performance in the following year was again negative and highly significant. We also found that high financial leverage used by firms was also negatively related to the following year's performance. We also examined the relationship between another proxy of EM intensity, change in total accruals, cash flow approach (TACC-O) and firm performance in the following year. The results are displayed in Table 5: Table 5:

(Constant) DACC-O10 FS10 FL10

Earning Management and Future Firm Performance (Year 2011) Un-standardized Coefficients B Std. Error 0.260 0.036 -0.074 0.040 -0.034 0.008 -0.039 0.009

Standardized Coefficients c Beta -0.111 -0.275 -0.276

t

Sig.

7.249 -1.834 -4.461 -4.421

0.000 0.068 0.000 0.000

Collinearity Statistics Tolerance VIF 0.974 0.944 0.920

1.027 1.059 1.087

DACC-O10, FS10, FL10, and ROA11 R2 = 0.120; Adjusted R2 = 0.109

This time, the relationship between the EM proxy and firm performance in the following year is negative albeit only significant at p=0.068. In contrast to the relationships between the EM proxies and firm performance in 2011, the results for 2012 were in the opposite direction. We found that both the Change in total accruals – cash flow approach proxy of EM (TACC-O) in 2011 and the Change in discretionary accruals – cash flow approach (DACC-O) proxy had positive and significant relationships with the firm's performance in 2012. The results of the regressions are displayed in Tables 6 and 7. Table 6:

(Constant) TACC-O11

Earning Management and Future Firm Performance (Year 2012) Un-standardized Coefficients B Std. Error 0.312 0.047 0.045 0.011

Standardized Coefficients c Beta 0.360

t

Sig.

6.580 4.327

0.000 0.000

Collinearity Statistics Tolerance VIF 0.604

1.657

127

International Research Journal of Finance and Economics, Issue 116 (2013) Table 6: FS11 FL11 CR11

Earning Management and Future Firm Performance (Year 2012) – (continued) -0.048 -0.208 -0.011

0.013 0.033 0.003

-0.323 -0.429 -0.261

-3.813 -6.306 -3.857

0.000 0.000 0.000

0.582 0.901 0.910

1.718 1.110 1.098

TACC-O11, FS11, FL10, CR11, and ROA12 R2 = 0.303; Adjusted R2 = 0.286

Table 7:

(Constant) DACC-O11 FL11 CR11

Earning Management and Future Firm Performance (Year 2012) Un-standardized Coefficients B Std. Error 0.181 0.017 0.297 0.049 -0.175 0.026 -0.004 0.002

Standardized Coefficients c Beta 0.331 -0.385 -0.104

t

Sig.

10.803 6.041 -6.787 -1.878

0.000 0.000 0.000 0.062

Collinearity Statistics Tolerance VIF 0.944 0.880 0.930

1.059 1.136 1.075

DACC-O11, FL11, CR11, and Q12 R2 = 0.304; Adjusted R2 = 0.296

The other two proxies of EM had no significant relationship with firm performance. Note that a test for multicollinearity was performed. All the variance inflation factor (VIF) coefficients were less than 2 and tolerance coefficients were greater than 0.50. The practice of earnings management might have an effect on reported profitability in the year that follows the activities that 'manage' profits. If management wishes to show high profit in a given year, this may be done at the expense of next year (reported) profit. In order to examine this conjecture, we ran regressions where the explanatory variables, one by one, were the alternative proxies of the intensity of earning management, and the dependent variables were the following year rate of return on assets. The results of these regressions were as follows: For ROA11: a. ROA11 = 0.091 – 0.024 R10, with t-value of -2.18 and p=0.03 b. ROA11 = 0.157 – 0.029 TACC-B10, with t-value of -4.957 and p=0.00 c. ROA11 = 1.537 – 0.49 TACC-O10, with t-value of -2.454 and p=0.015 d. ROA11 = 0.086 – 0.049 DACC-O10, but this explanatory variable was not statistically different from zero. The results confirm the hypothesis for 2011: in 2010 earnings management by Indian publicly traded companies, adversely affected the rate of return on assets in the following year2. Conversely, the following year, 2012, we found that two proxies of EM in 2011 had a positive relationship with form performance. This result is at lease puzzling and we humbly provide no explanation to this finding. 4.1. The Relationship between Earnings Management and the Value of Firm The hypothesis regarding market perception of the practice of management of earnings by corporate executives was examined for both 2011 and 2012. Regression of each one of the measures of earnings management in 2010 on corporate value, measures by the Tobin's Q was run. As stated above, several studies conjectured a positive relationship between the practice of earnings management and corporate value. We hypothesize that since the practice of earnings management is usually undertaken in order to advance top management interests, such practice is done at the expense of other stakeholders and must therefore adversely affect the market value of the firm. We conducted several single variable regressions. As stated, we examined each one of the measures of earnings management as an explanatory variable of the variation of the Tobin-Q value in 2

The four alternative proxies for the intensity of earnings management in our study were not highly correlated. The only two proxies that were found to be highly correlated in 2010 were the TACC-O10 and TACC-B10 with a correlation coefficient of 0.48. For 2011, none of the four proxies were significantly correlated with each other.

128

International Research Journal of Finance and Economics, Issue 116 (2013)

the following year. For the year 2011 two of the earnings management proxies were found to be significant with the following regression results: a. Q11 = 5.324 – 0.771 (TACC-B10), with t-value of the slope coefficient 1.98, and p = 0.05 b. Q11 = 6.67 – 0.891 (TACC-O10), with t-value of the slope coefficient 2.215 and p = 0.028 The other two proxies of earning management in 2010, R10 and DACC-O10 also showed a negative slope coefficient, but the results were not statistically significant. Our hypothesis regarding the effect of practicing earnings management was then confirmed for 2011. Top management practice of management of reported earnings adversely affected share prices and the value of corporations, and the more prevalent the practice, the more adverse the effects. We then performed the same test for earnings management in 2011. This time, for all four proxies of earnings management in 2011, the slope coefficients were negative, but none of the regression coefficients was found to be statistically significant. We also attempted to determine whether practicing earnings management in the two consecutive years affects the market value of companies in the following year. We found no significant relationship of the corporate value for the proxy DACC10 and DACC11. Similarly, no significant relationship was found when the EM proxies were R10 and R11. For the proxies TACC-B10 and TACC-B11, we obtained the following regression results: Q12 = 5.33 – 8.74 (TACC-B10), with t-value of the slope coefficient 2.415, and p = 0.018 Q12 = 3.38 – 1.09 (TACC-B11), with t-value of the slope coefficient 1.582, and p = 0.115 4.2. Discussion The main purpose of this study was to test whether the practice of earnings management has an effect on firm performance, and whether earnings management has an effect on firm value. The study focused on Indian firms where the practice of earnings management is reported to be very common. We found that for Indian companies, earnings management in 2010 adversely affected the performance of the firm in the following year. Thus, the findings of this study lend some support to the findings of Fama and French (2006). At variance, we found that EM in 2011 had a positive relationship with firm performance in the following year, and we cannot provide a reasonable explanation to this finding. The term "performance" was presented by the ratio of reported annual earnings as reported by the firms divided by the firms' total assets. This rather tentative definition of performance might have been improper measure of true economic performance of the firms since earnings that were measured in 2012 might have been 'managed' and it is conceivable that in 2012, firms had reasons to show higher than true accounting profits so the positive relationship between 2011 EM and the return on assets in 2012 might be spurious. With regard to the relationship between EM and market values, we found that, at least in the context of our sample of Indian companies traded on the Mumbai stock exchange, there are rather clear signs that, to some extent, the market realizes that management acts for selfish motives and responds by lowering share prices and corporate market value. In some cases, and depending on the proxy one uses to reflect and measure the extent of earnings management, the negative impact on the value is statistically significant. For other measures that were proposed in several academic papers, the relationships were negative; albeit not statistically significant. In any case, for the sample of Indian companies, we did not find a single case where earnings management practices had a positive effect on corporate market value. In the Indian context, investors tend to penalize companies whose management performs intensive earnings management. These findings should be taken into account by managers and should serve as a warning. If indeed part of the reasons for practicing management of earnings is related to market-based bonus to management in the form of stock options or other price related bonuses, the fact that the market price is adversely affected by such practices might partially deter management from managing earnings. It will be noted that the findings of this study lend some support to the findings of Teoh, Welch, and Wong (1998) and Gholami, Nickjoo, and Nemati (2012) but contradict the findings of Huddart and Louis (2009) and Li (2010).

International Research Journal of Finance and Economics, Issue 116 (2013)

129

4.3. Conclusion The present study found that the more intense the practice of earnings management, the greater its adverse effect on firms’ rate of return on assets in the following year. Management seems to transfer gains from the future to the present period in order to gain from reporting relatively good results in the present period at the expense of the future. The market however, seems to detest this practice. We found that the more intensive the activity of earnings management, the greater the negative effect of such actions on corporate values. If managers are at all concerned with shareholders wealth instead of their own, they should avoid the temptation of manage reported corporate earnings. Furthermore, if managers manage earnings in an effort to gain from current year performance, but their gain takes the form of stock options or other future price related compensations, they should realize that their management of earnings in a given year has an adverse effect on market prices in subsequent years and thus they might actually be on the losing end of the scale. 4.4. Limitations This is a co-relational study that investigated the association between i) earnings management and firm performance and ii) earnings management and firm value. There is not necessarily a causal relationship between the two although some conjectures were provided to the findings. This study is limited to the sample of Indian manufacturing firms. The findings of this study could only be generalized to firms similar to those that were included in this research. In addition, sample size is small. 4.5. Future Research Future research should investigate generalizations of the findings beyond the Indian firms. Important control variables such as industry sectors from different countries should also be used.

References [1] [2]

[3]

[4] [5] [6] [7]

[8]

Abed, S., A. Al-Attar, and M. Suwaidan, 2012. “Corporate governance and earnings management: Jordanian evidence,” International Business Research, 5(1), pp. 216-225. Chu, J., 2012. “Accruals, Growth, and Future Firm Performance,” Working Paper, pp. 1-51, available at http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1999685 (accessed 18 July 2013). Cohen, L., A.J. Marcus, Z. Rezaee, and H. Tehranian, 2011. “Earnings guidance, earnings management, and share prices,” pp. 1-43, available at https://www2.bc.edu/~cohenlj/Guidance%2008_25_2011.pdf (accessed 18 July 2013). Cooper, M, H. Gulen, and M. Schill, 2008. “Asset growth and the cross-section of stock returns,” Journal of Finance, 63(4), pp. 1609-1651. Dechow, P.M., R.G. Sloan, and A. Sweeney, 1995. “Detecting earnings management,” The Accounting Review, 70(2), pp. 193-225. DeAngelo, L.E. (1986). “Accounting numbers as market valuation substitutes: A study of management buyouts of public stockholders,” The Accounting Review, 61(3), pp. 400-420. DuCharme, L.L. and P.H. Malatesta, 2004. “Earnings Management and Earnings Surprises: Stock Price Reactions to Earnings Components,” pp. 1-35, available at http://www.bschool.nus.edu/Departments/FinanceNAccounting/seminars/Papers/paulmalatesta. pdf (accessed 13 July 2013). Dyreng, S., M. Hanlon, and E.L. Maydew, 2011. “Where Do Firms Manage Earnings?,” Working Paper, pp. 1-56, available at http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1849244 (accessed 22 July 2013).

130 [9] [10]

[11]

[12]

[13]

[14] [15] [16]

[17] [18]

[19]

[20]

[21]

[22]

[23] [24]

[25]

International Research Journal of Finance and Economics, Issue 116 (2013) Fama, E.F. and K.R. French, 2006. “Profitability, investment and average returns,” Journal of Financial Economics, 82(3), pp. 491-518. Fairfield, P.M., J.S. Whisenant, and T.L. Yohn, 2003. “Accrued earnings and growth: implications for future profitability and market mispricing,” Accounting Review, 78(1), pp. 353-371. Gholami, S., M. Nickjoo, and S. Nemati, 2012. “The study of the relation between Earnings Management and Long Run Stock Performance,” Journal of Basic and Applied Scientific Research, 2(8), pp. 8002-8010. Gill, A. and J. Obradovich, 2012. “The impact of corporate governance and financial leverage on the value of American firms,” International Research Journal of Finance and Economics, 91, pp. 46-51. Gill, A. and N. Biger, 2013. “The impact of corporate governance on working capital management efficiency of American manufacturing firms,” Managerial Finance, 39(2), pp. 116-132. Healy, P., 1985. “The effect of bonus schemes on accounting decisions,” Journal of Accounting and Economics, 7, pp. 85-107. Healy, P. and J.M. Wahlen, 1999. “A review of the earnings management literature and its implications for standard setting,” Accounting Horizons, 13, pp. 143−147. Huddart, S. and H. Louis, 2009. “Insider selling, earnings management, and the 1990s stock market bubble,” pp. 1-53, available at http://lcb.uoregon.edu/app_themes/content/docs/actg/Huddart_paper.pdf (accessed 22 July 2013). Jones, J.J., 1991. “Earnings management during import relief investigations,” Journal of Accounting Research, 29(2), pp. 193–228. Kyereboah-Coleman, A., 2007. “Corporate governance and firm performance in Africa: A dynamic panel data analysis”, International Conference on Corporate Governance in Emerging Markets, Sabanci University, Istanbul, Turkey, available at http://www.gcgf.org/wps/wcm/connect/2768a80048a7e7cbad47ef6060ad5911/KyereboahColeman%2B-%2BCorporate%2BGovernance.pdf?MOD=AJPERES&ContentCache=NONE (accessed 13 July 2013). Li, X., 2010. “Real Earnings Management and Subsequent Stock Returns,” pp. 1-48, available at http://www.asb.unsw.edu.au/schools/bankingandfinance/Documents/X.Li%20%20Real%20Earnings%20Management%20and%20Subsequent%20Stock%20Returns.pdf (accessed 13 July 2013). [19] Mashadi, M.M., A. Abdollahi, S.M. Talebiyan, S.J. Baygi, and M.V. Chaharmahali, 2012. “The impact of earnings management on the value-relevance of earnings and book Value in Tehran stock exchange,” American Journal of Scientific Research, 59, pp. 79-90. Ogundipe, S.E., A. Idowu, and L.O. Ogundipe, 2012. “Working capital management, firms’ performance and market valuation in Nigeria,” International Journal of Social and Human Sciences, 6, pp. 143-147. Othman, H.B. and D. Zeghal, 2006. “A study of earnings-management motives in the AngloAmerican and Euro-Continental accounting models: The Canadian and French cases,” The International Journal of Accounting, 41, pp. 406–435. Raheman, A. and M. Nasr, 2007. “Working capital management and profitability - case of Pakistani firms. International Review of Business Research Papers, 3, pp. 279-300. Richardson, S.A., R.G. Sloan, M.T. Soliman, and I. Tuna, 2006. “The implications of accounting distortions and growth for accruals and profitability,” The Accounting Review, 81(3), pp. 713-743. Sloan, R., 1996. “Do stock prices fully reflect information in accruals and cash flows about future earnings,” The Accounting Review, 71(3), pp. 289-315.

International Research Journal of Finance and Economics, Issue 116 (2013) [26] [27] [28] [29]

131

Stubben, S.R., 2010. “Discretionary revenues as a measure of earnings management,” The Accounting Review, 85(2), pp. 695-717. Teoh, S.H., I. Welch, and T.J. Wong, 1998. “Earnings management and the long-run market performance of initial public offerings,” The Journal of Finance, 53(6), pp. 1935-1974. Transparency International, 2012. “Corruption Perceptions Index 2011,” available at http://www.transparency.org/cpi2011/results/ (accessed 13 July 2013). Verma, S., 2012. “Earnings management – opportunity or a challenge,” International Journal of Research in Management, Economics and Commerce, 2(11), pp. 534-547.

Appendix A: Details on Earnings Management Models Healy (1985) model Healy (1985) model assumed that non-discretionary accruals follow the regression of white noise, whose average is zero. It follows that the value of expected non-discretionary accruals is zero. If the value of total accruals (TACC), which is the sum of discretionary accruals (DACC), and nondiscretionary accruals (NDACC) is non-zero, it is the result of earnings management. For a given firm, i, DACCi,t = TACCi,t / TAi,t-1 where TAi,t-1 = Total assets of firm i in period t DACC = Discretionary accruals DeAngelo (1986) Model DeAngelo (1986) model assumed that non-discretionary accruals follow a random walk. For a company in a stationary condition, the non-discretionary accrual in period t is equal to the nondiscretionary accrual in period t-1. As a result, the difference between the non-discretionary accruals in period t and t-1 is the discretionary accrual which is related to earnings management. DACCi,t = (TACCi,t - TACCi,t-1) / TAi,t where DACC = Discretionary accruals TACC = Total accruals TA = Total assets DACC-Oi,t = (TACCi,t - TACCi,t-1) / TAi,t DACC-O = Discretionary accruals under operating cash flow approach of Jones (1991) Modified Jones (1991) Model The cross-sectional modified version of Jones’ model (Jones, 1991; Dechow et al., 1995) was also applied to obtain proxies total accruals. The details on Jones’s model are as follows: Jones’s (1991) model uses the balance-sheet approach, the cash-flow approach, and the difference between earnings before extraordinary items and cash flow from operations. The explanation of each measurement component that was used in this study is described as follows: Total accruals computed under the balance-sheet approach are represented by the following equation: TACC-Bi,t = ∆CAi,t - ∆Cashi,t - ∆CLi,t + ∆DCi,t - DEPi,t where TACC-Bi,t = Total accruals under the balance-sheet approach for firm i in year t ∆CAi,t = Change in current assets for firm i in year t ∆Cashi,t = Change in cash and cash equivalents for firm i in year t ∆CLi,t = Change in current liabilities for firm i in year t

132

International Research Journal of Finance and Economics, Issue 116 (2013) ∆DCi,t = Change in debt included in current liabilities for firm i in year t DEPi,t = Depreciation and amortization expense for firm i in year t Total accruals calculated as the difference between earnings before extraordinary items and cash flow from operations is reflected by the following equation: TACC-Oi,t = EARNј,t - CFOј,t TACC-Oј,t = Total accruals under operating cash-flow approach for firm i in year t EARNј,t = Earnings before extraordinary items for firm i in year t CFOј,t = Cash flows from operations for firm i in year t

Revenues as a Means of Earnings Management The model of discretionary revenues can be described as follows: Managed revenues (R) - the sum of nondiscretionary revenues (NDR) and discretionary revenues (DR). R = NDRi,t + DRi,t A fraction (C) of nondiscretionary revenues remains uncollected at year-end, and it is assumed that there are no cash collections of discretionary revenues. Thus, accounts receivable (AR) equals the sum of uncollected nondiscretionary revenues (NDR) and discretionary revenues (DR) AR i,t = C x (NDRi,t + DRi,t) Discretionary revenues increase accounts receivable and revenues by the same amount; discretionary receivables equals discretionary revenues. Nondiscretionary revenues are not observable; therefore, terms have been rearranged to express ending receivables in terms of reported revenues and then, took first differences to arrive at the following expression for the receivables accrual: ∆ARi,t = C x ∆Ri,t + (1 - C) x ∆DRi,t

Appendix B: Pearson Correlations Coefficients Pearson Correlation coefficients 2

1 2 3 4 5 6 7

3

4

5

6

7

DACCO11

.010 .172 .266 -.013 .017

.013

-.155

TACC-B10

.480 -.031 -.053 .099

.469

-.461

TACC-O10

.295 -.061 -.105

.673

-.382

DACC-O10

-.035 -.065

.025

-.320

.114

.106

.193

.150

.170

R10

R11 TACC-B11 TACC-O11

Bold numbers are significant at p