Health System Complexity

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Mar 13, 2018 - Health System Complexity – from the macro to the micro scale. ® Where to from ... belonging, and the sense of dignity and security (Ingstad) ...
Health System Complexity A/Prof Joachim Sturmberg University of Newcastle - Australia University of Amsterdam - Institute for Advanced Study {IAS) 13-Mar-2018

Health – what is it?  Health Systems – not what we have today  Health System Complexity – from the macro to the micro scale  Where to from here – Health System Redesign 

Health - what is it?

• Old English “hal” meaning “whole” • Health thus means wholeness • A person being healed is one who has “become whole” again



Health as an application to human nature in all its parts, operations, levels, and dimensions – the physical, psychological, social, and spiritual. (Plato)



Ultimate health is obtained through self-realisation. Man must search for meaning on his own grounds and live in accordance with his own values, skills and free dispositions. (Maslow)



Health and happiness are the expressions of the manner in which the individual responds and adapts to the changes that he meets in everyday life. (Dubos)



Health depends on many interconnected aspects of life: belonging to one’s local environment/land, the sense of freedom, cultural and spiritual belonging, and the sense of dignity and security (Ingstad)

The Dynamics of the Somato-psycho-socio-semiotic Model genetics germs accidents toxins

friends work housing Infrastructure

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sense-making understanding justice spirituality

Attractors in Health and Illness

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Bircher. Med Health Care Philos. 2005;8(3):335-41.

Sturmberg. 2018

Macklem. J Appl Physiol. 2008;104(6):1844-6.

Dantzer R. Brain Behav Immun. 2004;18(1):1-6.

In health, variability measures show a high degree of variation and complexity, whereas illness is characterized by a variable losing its variability and complexity. The magnitude of loss of variability correlates with the severity of the illness. The current approach to understanding disease as resulting from perturbations of individual organ systems is enormously useful, but fails in the appreciation and study of the interconnected whole system, its complexity, adaptability and overall health of the human organism. Emerging evidence suggests that the organism’s network interconnectedness and complexity can be described by the degree and complexity of biologic rhythm variability. The interconnected relationships of the various systems described point to HRV reflecting a global measure of an individual’s current functional health state. Sturmberg JP, Bennett JM, Picard M, Seely AJE. The trajectory of life. Decreasing physiological network complexity through changing fractal patterns. Frontiers in Physiology. 2015;6:169.

Human social signal transduction. Social signal transduction is the process by which subjectively perceived social conditions and historically and developmentally derived anticipatory worries alter genomewide transcriptional dynamics. (a) Socialenvironmental threats are neurocognitively appraised and converted into changing patterns of activity in the sympathetic nervous system (SNS) and hypothalamicpituitary-adrenal (HPA) axis. Slavich GM, Cole SW. The Emerging Field of Human Social Genomics. Clinical Psychological Science. 2013;1(3):331-48.

This information cannot be derived in a bottomup way, because it implicitly embodies information about environmental niches. It would be different in a different environment. Hence, higher level conditions influence what happens at the lower levels, even if the lower levels do the work. … , while lower levels generally fulfil necessary conditions for what occurs on higher levels, they only sometimes (very rarely in complex systems) provide sufficient conditions. It is the combination of bottom-up and topdown causation that enables same-level behaviour to emerge at higher levels, because the entities at the higher level set the context for the lower level actions in such a way that consistent same-level behaviour emerges at the higher level. Ellis – Top-down and Bottom-up Causation. Interface Focus. 2012;2(1):126-40. Sturmberg. 2018

Health Systems - not what we have today

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The Relative Impact of :Medical Care

Pareto Distributions of Community Health

Barnett K et al. Lancet. 2012;380(9836):37-43

People Invariably Experience GOOD HEALTH Self-assessed Health Status, 2011-12

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Source(s): Australian Health Survey: Updated Results, 2011-12 hUp://www.abs.gov.au/[email protected]/4364.0.55.003Chapler2002011 · 2012

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Sturmberg JP, Bennett JM, Martin CM, Picard M. ‘Multimorbidity’ as the manifestation of network disturbances. J Eval Clin Pract. 2017;23(1):199-208.

Health System Spending

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Community & Public Health AIHW-Australia's health 2014

Sturmberg JP, O'Halloran DM, Martin CM. J Eval Clin Pract. 2012;18(1):202-8.

Inverse Care Law ... and Beyond

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Health System Complexity - from the macro to the micro scale

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