NBC News / Wall Street Journal

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Jul 1, 2015 ... NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey. Interviews: 1,000 Adults, including 350 respondents with a cell phone only and. Date: July 26-30, 2015.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES July 2015

Study #15313 -- page 1 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Interviews: 1,000 Adults, including 350 respondents with a cell phone only and 33 respondents reached on a cell phone but who also have a landline.

Date: July 26-30, 2015

48 Male 52 Female Study #15313 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Please note: all results are shown as percentages unless otherwise stated.

The margin of error for 1,000 interviews among Adults is ±3.10% The margin of error for 252 interviews among Republican Primary Voters is ±6.17% The margin of error for 253 interviews among Democratic Primary Voters is ±6.16%

Unless otherwise noted by a “+”, all previous data shown reflects responses among all adults.

Q2a

For statistical purposes only, would you please tell me how old you are? (IF “REFUSED,” ASK:) Well, would you tell me which age group you belong to? (READ LIST) 18-24 ...................................................... 25-29 ...................................................... 30-34 ...................................................... 35-39 ...................................................... 40-44 ...................................................... 45-49 ...................................................... 50-54 ...................................................... 55-59 ...................................................... 60-64 ...................................................... 65-69 ...................................................... 70-74 ...................................................... 75 and over ............................................ Not sure/refused ...................................

Q2b

To ensure that we have a representative sample, would you please tell me whether you are from a Hispanic or Spanish-speaking background? Yes, Hispanic ........................................... No, not Hispanic ....................................... Not sure/refused .....................................

Q2c

9 9 13 8 8 6 10 10 10 6 5 5 1

11 88 1

And again, for statistical purposes only, what is your race--white, black, Asian, or something else? White .......................................................... Black .......................................................... Asian .......................................................... Other .......................................................... Hispanic (VOL) ......................................... Not sure/refused .......................................

74 12 3 3 6 2

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES July 2015 Q3

Study #15313 -- page 2 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Are you currently registered to vote [LANDLINE: at this address; CELL: in (state from Q1x)]? Registered ................................... Not registered .............................. Not sure .....................................

Q4

85 14 1

All in all, do you think that things in the nation are generally headed in the right direction, or do you feel that things are off on the wrong track? 1 High

Headed in the right direction ... Off on the wrong track ............. Mixed (VOL) .......................... Not sure ................................

10/812/14+ 25 65 6 4

9/01 72 11 11 6

Low 10/1720/08+ 12 78 7 3

7/15 28 65 4 3

6/15 31 61 4 4

4/15 28 62 6 4

3/15 32 60 5 3

1/15 31 59 5 5

12/14 27 64 6 3

11/14 25 65 6 4

10/3011/1/14+ 27 63 6 4

9/14+ 23 67 6 4

8/14 22 71 5 2

6/14 25 63 7 5

4/14 27 63 6 4

3/14 26 65 5 4

1/14 28 63 5 4

12/13 29 64 5 2

10/2528/13 22 70 4 4

10/79/13 14 78 4 4

9/13 30 62 5 3

7/13 29 61 6 4

6/13 32 59 6 3

4/13 31 61 5 3

2/13 32 59 6 3

1/13 35 57 4 4

12/12 41 53 3 3

10/12+ 41 53 4 2

9/2630/12+ 40 53 5 2

9/1216/12+ 39 55 4 2

8/12+ 32 61 4 3

7/12+ 32 60 5 3

6/12 31 61 5 3

5/12 33 58 5 4

4/12 33 59 6 2

3/12 33 58 5 4

1/12 30 61 5 4

12/11 22 69 6 3

11/11 19 73 5 3

10/11 17 74 5 4

8/11 19 73 5 3

7/11 25 67 5 3

6/11 29 62 6 3

5/11 36 50 10 4

4/11 28 63 6 3

1/11 35 56 5 4

12/10 28 63 6 3

11/10 32 58 6 4

10/2830/10+ 31 60 5 4

10/1418/10+ 32 59 6 3

9/10 32 59 5 4

8/2630/10 30 61 6 3

8/59/10 32 58 6 4

6/10 29 62 5 4

5/611/10 34 56 6 4

3/10 33 59 5 3

1/23 25/10 32 58 7 3

1/1014/10 34 54 10 2

12/09 33 55 10 2

10/09 36 52 9 3

9/09 39 48 10 3

7/09 39 49 9 3

6/09 42 46 9 3

4/09 43 43 10 4

2/09 41 44 9 6

1/09 26 59 9 6

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. 1 The historical trend data for this item does not include every survey in which this item has been asked.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES July 2015 Q5

Approve ....... Disapprove .. Not sure .....

Study #15313 -- page 3 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

In general, do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?

7/15 45 50 5

High

Low

10/812/14+ 42 52 6

4/09 61 30 9

9/14+ 40 54 6

4/15 48 47 5

3/15 46 50 4

1/15 46 48 6

12/14 45 50 5

11/14 44 50 6

10/3011/1/14+ 42 52 6

9/14+ 40 54 6

8/14 40 54 6

6/14 41 53 6

4/14 44 50 6

3/14 41 54 5

1/14 43 51 6

12/13 43 54 3

10/2528/13 42 51 7

10/79/13 47 48 5

9/13 45 50 5

8/13 44 48 8

7/13 45 50 5

6/13 48 47 5

4/13 47 48 5

2/13 50 45 5

1/13 52 44 4

12/12 53 43 4

10/12+ 49 48 3

9/2630/12+ 49 48 3

9/1216/12+ 50 48 2

8/12+ 48 49 3

7/12+ 49 48 3

6/12 47 48 5

5/12 48 46 6

4/12 49 46 5

3/12 50 45 5

1/12 48 46 6

12/11 46 48 6

11/11 44 51 5

10/11 44 51 5

8/11 44 51 5

7/11 47 48 5

6/11 49 46 5

5/11 52 41 7

4/11 49 45 6

2/11 48 46 6

1/11 53 41 6

12/10 45 48 7

11/10 47 47 6

10/2830/10+ 45 50 5

10/1418/10+ 47 49 4

9/10 46 49 5

8/2630/10 45 49 6

8/59/10 47 48 5

6/10 45 48 7

5/2023/10 48 45 7

5/611/10 50 44 6

3/10 48 47 5

1/2325/10 50 44 6

1/1014/10 48 43 9

12/09 47 46 7

10/09 51 42 7

9/09 51 41 8

8/09 51 40 9

7/09 53 40 7

6/09 56 34 10

4/09 61 30 9

2/09 60 26 14

6/15 48 48 4

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES July 2015 Q6

Approve ............ Disapprove ....... Not sure ..........

Study #15313 -- page 4 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Do you generally approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing in handling the economy? High

Low

6/14 41 54 5

2/09 56 31 13

8/11 37 59 4

7/15* 45 49 6

4/15 49 47 4

3/15 47 48 5

1/15 49 47 4

12/14 46 49 5

11/14 43 53 4

10/812/14+ 43 53 4

4/14 42 54 4

3/14 41 56 3

12/13 39 58 3

9/13 45 52 3

7/13 45 51 4

6/13 46 49 5

4/13 47 50 3

2/13 44 51 5

1/13 49 48 3

12/12 49 47 4

10/12+ 46 52 2

9/2630/12+ 46 51 3

9/1216/12+ 47 51 2

8/12+ 44 54 2

7/12+ 44 53 3

6/12 42 53 5

5/12 43 52 5

4/12 45 52 3

3/12 45 51 4

1/12 45 50 5

12/11 39 57 4

11/11 40 57 3

10/11 39 57 4

8/11 37 59 4

7/11 43 54 3

6/11 41 54 5

5/11 37 58 5

4/11 45 52 3

2/11 46 49 5

1/11 45 50 5

12/10 42 54 4

11/10 42 54 4

10/1418/10+ 43 53 4

9/10 42 54 4

8/2630/10 39 56 5

8/59/10 44 52 4

6/10 46 50 4

5/611/10 48 46 6

3/10 47 50 3

1/2325/10 47 49 4

1/1014/10 43 49 8

12/09 42 51 7

10/09 47 46 7

9/09 50 42 8

7/09 49 44 7

6/09 51 38 11

4/09 55 37 8

2/09 56 31 13

* Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM A). + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

9/14+ 43 53 4

8/14 42 53 5

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES July 2015 Q7

Study #15313 -- page 5 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Do you generally approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing in handling foreign policy? High

Approve ............ Disapprove ....... Not sure ..........

7/15** 41 52 7

4/15 40 53 7

5/11 57 35 8

9/14+ 32 62 6

8/14 36 60 4

5/11 57 35 8

Low 10/812/14+ 31 61 6

3/15 36 58 6

1/15 37 56 7

12/14 37 55 8

11/14 38 56 6

10/812/14+ 31 61 8

6/14 37 57 6

4/14 38 53 9

3/14 41 53 6

12/13 44 48 8

8/13 41 49 10

7/13 46 46 8

4/13 46 43 11

12/12 52 40 8

10/12+ 49 46 5

9/2630/12+ 49 46 5

9/1216/12+ 49 46 5

8/12+ 54 40 6

7/12+ 53 41 6

5/12 51 42 7

1/12 51 41 8

11/11 52 41 7

8/11 50 45 5

6/11 50 44 6

4/11 49 46 5

11/10 48 44 8

1/10 50 37 13

12/09 49 42 9

10/09 51 39 10

9/09 50 36 14

7/09 57 33 10

6/09 54 36 10

4/09 56 31 13

** Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM B). + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES July 2015 Q8

Study #15313 -- page 6 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Now I'm going to read you the names of several public figures, groups and organizations, and I'd like you to rate your feelings toward each one as very positive, somewhat positive, neutral, somewhat negative, or very negative. If you don't know the name, please just say so. (AFTER THE FIRST TEN ITEMS, READ:) And, just a few more. (RANDOMIZE EXCEPT BARACK OBAMA)

Barack Obama1 July 2015 ...................................... June 2015 .................................... April 2015 ..................................... March 2015 .................................. January 2015 ............................... December 2014............................ November 2014............................ Oct. 30 – Nov. 1, 2014+ ............... October 8-12, 2014+ .................... September 2014+ ........................ August 2014 ................................. June 2014 .................................... April 2014 ..................................... March 2014 .................................. January 2014 ............................... December 2013............................ October 25-28, 2013 .................... October 7-9, 2013 ........................ September 2013........................... May 30-June 2, 2013 ................... April 2013 ..................................... January 2013 ............................... December 2012............................ October 2012+ ............................. September 26-30, 2012+ ............. August 2012+ ............................... July 2012+.................................... June 2012 .................................... January 2012 ............................... November 2011............................ August 2011 ................................. April 2011 ..................................... January 2011 ............................... December 2010............................ November 2010............................ October 28-30, 2010+ .................. June 2010 .................................... May 20-23, 2010 .......................... March 2010 .................................. January 23-25, 2010 .................... December 2009............................ October 2009 ............................... February 2009 .............................. January 2009 ............................... Barack Obama High February 2009 ..................................... Presidential Term Low August 2014 ........................................ All-time Obama Low October 28-30, 2006+ .........................

Neutral

Somewhat Negative

Very Negative

Don't Know Name/ Not Sure

20 20 21 20 21 21 21 20 22 20 18 21 20 20 19 20 17 21 20 19 17 21 16 15 15 17 16 19 22 19 20 22 23 23 21 18 20 19 19 23 21 20 21 23

13 13 13 12 13 10 11 12 11 11 13 13 15 15 13 11 13 11 12 13 10 11 9 8 6 8 8 14 10 15 12 14 15 14 12 12 13 15 11 14 13 11 12 17

14 14 13 14 12 13 11 13 12 13 14 14 13 14 14 13 13 11 16 12 15 11 14 12 11 13 11 11 14 13 14 13 14 14 13 15 15 14 14 14 15 12 9 8

29 27 27 29 29 31 32 32 34 33 33 31 28 30 30 33 32 30 26 28 27 26 24 31 31 30 32 27 25 27 30 23 18 24 26 27 25 24 24 20 22 21 10 6

1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 3

47

21

12

9

10

1

22

18

13

14

33

-

14

17

18

5

6

40

Very Positive

Somewhat Positive

24 25 26 24 24 24 24 23 21 22 22 20 24 21 23 22 24 26 25 28 30 31 37 34 37 31 33 29 28 26 24 28 29 25 28 29 27 28 31 29 29 36 47 43

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. 1 The historical trend data for this item does not include every survey in which this item has been asked.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES July 2015

Study #15313 -- page 7 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Q8 (cont'd) 1

The Republican Party July 2015...................................... April 2015 ..................................... January 2015 ............................... December 2014 ........................... November 2014 ........................... Oct. 30 – Nov. 1, 2014+ ............... October 8-12, 2014+ .................... September 2014+ ........................ June 2014 .................................... April 2014 ..................................... March 2014 .................................. January 2014 ............................... December 2013 ........................... October 25-28, 2013 .................... October 7-9, 2013 ........................ September 2013 .......................... May 30-June 2, 2013 ................... February 2013 .............................. January 2013 ............................... December 2012 ........................... October 2012+ ............................. September 26-30, 2012+ ............. August 2012+ ............................... July 2012+ ................................... June 2012 .................................... May 2012 ..................................... April 2012 ..................................... March 2012 .................................. January 2012 ............................... December 2011 ........................... November 2011 ........................... October 2011 ............................... August 2011 ................................. June 2011 .................................... May 2011 ..................................... April 2011 ..................................... January 2011 ............................... December 2010 .......................... November 2010 .......................... October 28-30, 2010+ .................. October 14-18, 2010+ .................. September 2010 .......................... August 26-30, 2010 ...................... August 5-9, 2010 .......................... June 2010 .................................... May 20-23, 2010 .......................... May 6-11, 2010 ............................ March 2010 .................................. January 23-25, 2010 .................... January 10-14, 2010 .................... December 2009 ........................... June 2009 .................................... April 2009 ..................................... February 2009 .............................. High December 2001 ........................... Low October 25-28, 2013 ....................

Neutral

Somewhat Negative

Very Negative

Don't Know Name/ Not Sure

21 22 19 23 23 22 21 22 23 19 20 19 20 16 17 21 24 21 20 21 21 24 24 23 21 23 22 24 23 21 21 22 24 22 24 24 27 27 23 22 23 23 23 18 24 23 22 25 25 23 23 19 22 19

26 26 27 24 23 23 21 26 24 29 27 28 22 24 21 27 26 24 24 23 20 18 18 22 23 23 23 23 24 23 23 21 21 24 22 24 24 23 24 24 25 25 25 28 26 26 26 24 27 27 27 29 25 24

22 20 23 22 18 23 25 20 22 22 21 22 26 23 24 23 18 20 24 18 18 18 16 18 18 19 19 19 19 23 18 18 23 23 21 22 21 17 20 18 19 21 22 24 23 21 22 20 18 24 24 23 22 25

22 23 23 23 25 24 25 21 23 22 24 25 25 30 29 21 23 26 25 27 25 25 29 25 26 24 24 24 25 25 26 26 23 21 23 22 19 20 19 23 23 22 21 22 19 19 20 23 20 18 19 21 22 22

2 1 2 1 2 1 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 2 2 1 2 1 2 3 2 1 2 2 1 2 2 3 1 2 1 2 2 2 1 2 2 3 1 2 2 2 3

21

36

18

13

9

3

6

16

24

23

30

1

Very Positive

Somewhat Positive

7 8 6 7 9 7 6 9 6 6 7 5 6 6 7 7 8 8 6 9 15 14 12 11 10 9 11 8 8 6 9 11 8 8 8 7 7 11 11 12 8 8 7 6 6 10 8 6 7 7 5 6 7 7

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. 1 The historical trend data for this item does not include every survey in which this item has been asked.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES July 2015

Study #15313 -- page 8 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Q8 (cont'd)

The Democratic Party1 July 2015 ..................................... April 2015 .................................... January 2015 ................................ December 2014 ............................ November 2014 ............................ Oct. 30 – Nov. 1, 2014+................ October 8-12, 2014+..................... September 2014+ ......................... June 2014 ..................................... April 2014 ..................................... March 2014................................... January 2014 ................................ December 2013 ............................ October 25-28, 2013..................... October 7-9, 2013......................... September 2013 ........................... May 30-June 2, 2013 .................... February 2013 .............................. January 2013 ................................ December 2012 ............................ October 2012+ .............................. September 26-30, 2012+ .............. August 2012+ ............................... July 2012+ .................................... June 2012 ..................................... May 2012 ...................................... April 2012 ..................................... March 2012................................... January 2012 ................................ December 2011 ............................ November 2011 ............................ October 2011 ................................ August 2011 ................................. June 2011 ..................................... May 2011 ...................................... April 2011 ..................................... January 2011 ................................ December 2010 ............................ November 2010 ............................ October 28-30, 2010+................... October 14-18, 2010+................... September 2010 ........................... August 26-30, 2010 ...................... August 5-9, 2010 .......................... June 2010 ..................................... May 20-23, 2010........................... May 6-11, 2010............................. March 2010................................... January 23-25, 2010..................... January 10-14, 2010..................... December 2009 ............................ High January 2000 ................................ Low July 2006 ......................................

Very Positive

Somewhat Positive

Neutral

Somewhat Negative

Very Negative

Don't Know Name/ Not Sure

13 12 9 12 12 12 12 11 13 13 14 10 10 15 14 13 14 18 17 21 21 21 19 17 14 17 15 15 15 9 15 12 11 13 15 12 15 9 14 16 14 15 11 11 11 15 11 9 14 11 10

25 26 26 25 26 24 25 25 25 23 21 27 26 22 25 27 25 23 27 23 21 21 23 23 23 22 24 23 23 23 25 25 22 25 26 26 24 28 26 23 24 22 25 22 24 26 26 28 25 27 25

22 24 24 22 20 19 20 22 21 24 25 22 19 21 18 22 22 22 17 19 17 17 16 20 25 19 21 24 23 25 22 19 21 21 22 22 25 20 18 17 16 20 19 22 21 18 19 19 22 20 19

18 17 18 17 20 20 20 20 18 19 18 20 20 18 20 20 19 17 19 16 17 17 17 17 18 21 19 18 21 23 18 20 19 19 18 18 19 18 18 19 19 20 19 18 20 18 18 19 17 18 19

20 19 20 22 21 23 23 22 22 18 20 20 24 22 20 18 18 19 19 19 23 22 23 23 19 19 19 18 18 19 19 22 25 20 17 21 16 23 23 23 26 22 24 26 24 22 24 24 21 23 26

2 2 3 2 1 2 1 1 3 2 1 1 2 3 2 1 1 2 1 2 2 1 1 1 2 1 1 2 2 2 2 1 1 2 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 1 1

20

30

23

15

10

2

7

25

27

22

17

2

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. 1 The historical trend data for this item does not include every survey in which this item has been asked.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES July 2015

Study #15313 -- page 9 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Q8 (cont'd)

Jeb Bush July 2015 ..................................... June 2015 ................................... April 2015 .................................... March 2015 ................................. January 2015 .............................. November 2014 ........................... September 2014+........................ April 2014 .................................... May 30-June 2, 2013...................

Neutral

Somewhat Negative

Very Negative

Don't Know Name/ Not Sure

23 21 18 19 14 20 17 17 17

26 29 32 34 36 27 32 32 33

22 16 19 20 16 18 18 18 11

18 20 17 14 16 15 12 14 12

8 8 9 9 13 14 16 15 18

15 21 19 21 20 24 21 23 23 23 26 29 32 34 34 33 26 29 26 25 26 32 27 27 23 17 18 20 17 22 24 18 16 21 19 24 16 16 27

22 23 23 23 25 19 22 21 25 21 25 20 24 22 24 22 29 27 28 27 27 27 29 26 24 25 28 22 20 23 23 24 23 22 19 21 21 19 22

14 15 14 19 17 16 16 18 19 20 17 18 14 19 14 22 23 21 18 22 15 18 14 20 15 16 14 14 15 11 11 15 17 17 19 14 20 15 13

15 11 10 13 14 15 15 14 11 12 12 13 14 12 16 12 12 11 11 13 15 11 15 14 17 18 17 19 21 14 11 16 15 12 13 11 13 18 12

33 29 32 23 23 25 26 23 21 22 19 18 15 13 12 10 9 11 16 12 16 11 14 12 20 23 22 25 27 29 30 26 28 26 28 29 27 31 24

1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 1 3 1 2

32

27

18

11

11

1

16

19

15

18

31

1

Very Positive

Somewhat Positive

3 6 5 4 5 6 5 4 9

1

Hillary Clinton July 2015 ...................................... June 2015 .................................... April 2015 ..................................... March 2015 .................................. January 2015 ............................... November 2014 ............................ September 2014+......................... June 2014 .................................... April 2014 ..................................... March 2014 .................................. September 2013 ........................... May 30-June 2, 2013.................... April 2013 ..................................... January 2013 ............................... December 2012 ............................ November 2011 ............................ May 2011 ..................................... April 2011 ..................................... December 2010 ............................ January 10-14, 2010 ................... July 2009 ...................................... February 2009 .............................. January 2009 ............................... December 2008 ............................ September 2008+......................... August 2008+ ............................... June 2008+ .................................. April 2008+ ................................... March 24-25, 2008+ ..................... March 7-10, 2008+ ....................... January 2008 ............................... June 2007 .................................... March 2007 .................................. December 2006 ............................ April 2006 ..................................... December 2004 ............................ July 2003 ...................................... March 2001 .................................. January 2001 ............................... High February 2009 .............................. Low March 2001 ..................................

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. 1 The historical trend data for this item does not include every survey in which this item has been asked.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES July 2015

Study #15313 -- page 10 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Q8 (cont'd) Neutral

Somewhat Negative

Very Negative

Don't Know Name/ Not Sure

16 17 17 12 11 11

16 40 38 28 25 28

13 18 14 24 23 25

43 11 15 25 32 24

2 5 7 7 6 9

8 6 7 5

11 9 8 7

20 17 17 14

7 5 4 4

13 11 10 8

41 52 54 62

Marco Rubio July 2015 ..................................... June 2015 .................................... April 2015 .................................... November 2014 ........................... September 2014+ ........................ July 2013 ..................................... April 2013 .................................... February 2013 .............................

5 7 8 7 6 7 12 10

19 16 14 14 15 16 16 14

24 24 24 21 21 20 18 20

14 12 12 10 11 11 8 9

9 12 11 9 10 9 8 8

29 29 31 39 37 37 38 39

Bernie Sanders July 2015 ..................................... June 2015 ....................................

10 8

14 8

20 22

10 6

9 7

37 49

Ted Cruz July 2015 ..................................... April 2015 .................................... November 2014 ........................... October 25-28, 2013 .................... October 7-9, 2013 ........................ May 30-June 2, 2013 ...................

7 5 5 9 7 4

12 12 11 10 7 6

24 24 18 16 13 13

12 13 8 8 8 4

19 19 18 22 20 8

26 27 40 35 44 65

Mike Huckabee July 2015 ..................................... November 2014 ........................... September 2010 .......................... January 2008 ............................... December 2007 ........................... November 2007 ........................... September 2007 ..........................

7 12 11 9 9 5 4

15 13 15 21 18 12 12

29 29 27 26 25 26 22

12 13 15 16 15 6 7

18 11 10 13 8 5 5

19 22 22 15 25 46 50

Rand Paul July 2015 ..................................... April 2015 .................................... November 2014 ........................... September 2014+ ........................ April 2014 .................................... September 2013 .......................... April 2013 ....................................

5 5 8 6 8 8 12

15 18 18 17 15 15 15

30 28 26 26 24 25 22

19 15 11 16 13 11 9

11 13 12 11 13 13 14

20 21 25 24 27 28 28

Very Positive

Somewhat Positive

Donald Trump July 2015 ..................................... February 2011 ............................. May 2004+ ................................... December 1999 ........................... October 1999 ............................... July 1990 .....................................

10 9 9 4 3 3

Scott Walker July 2015 ..................................... March 2015 .................................. November 2014 ........................... May 30-June 2, 2013 ...................

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES July 2015

Study #15313 -- page 11 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Q8 (cont'd) Very Positive

Somewhat Positive

Neutral

Somewhat Negative

Very Negative

Don't Know Name/ Not Sure

The National Rifle Association or NRA July 2015* .................................... December 2013 ........................... February 2013 ............................. January 2013 ............................... January 2011 ............................... April 2000+ .................................. June 1999 .................................... July 1995 ..................................... June 1995 ....................................

22 21 23 24 21 18 18 10 12

21 18 19 17 20 19 15 17 16

21 25 21 20 25 21 19 22 19

12 11 13 11 13 12 14 17 16

20 20 21 23 16 25 29 30 29

4 5 3 5 5 5 5 4 8

John Kasich July 2015* .................................... November 2014 ...........................

5 4

9 7

21 18

6 6

3 4

56 61

The Supreme Court July 2015* ..................................... June 2015 ..................................... July 2012+ .................................... April 2012 ..................................... July 1992 ...................................... May 1992 ......................................

10 9 12 13 8 10

29 30 28 29 28 32

27 34 31 34 26 27

20 17 17 14 23 16

12 8 11 7 11 10

2 2 1 3 4 5

Planned Parenthood July 2015** ...................................

26

19

20

8

22

5

Chris Christie July 2015** ................................... November 2014 ............................ January 2014 ................................ October 25-28, 2013 ..................... May 30-June 2, 2013 .................... February 2013 .............................. August 2012+ ............................... June 2011 .....................................

4 7 7 9 12 12 11 10

20 22 15 24 29 24 17 13

23 24 28 24 22 20 21 19

22 18 18 10 8 10 10 7

15 11 11 7 4 2 9 7

16 18 21 26 25 32 32 44

John Roberts July 2015** ................................... June 2015 ................................... July 2012+ .................................. January 2007 .............................. September 2005 .........................

1 2 4 9 17

7 8 13 10 15

25 24 29 26 23

9 6 10 7 9

4 2 6 3 5

54 58 38 45 31

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. * Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM A). ** Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM B).

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES July 2015

Study #15313 -- page 12 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

SUMMARY TABLE OF IMAGES – BY D/S (POSITIVE – NEGATIVE) TOTAL TOTAL D/S POSITIVE NEGATIVE Planned Parenthood .............................. 45 30 15 The National Rifle Association or NRA ... 43 32 11 The Supreme Court ................................ 39 32 7 Bernie Sanders ...................................... 24 19 5 John Kasich............................................ 14 9 5 Barack Obama ....................................... 44 43 1 Marco Rubio ........................................... 24 23 1 The Democratic Party ............................ 38 38 Scott Walker ........................................... 19 20 -1 John Roberts .......................................... 8 13 -5 Mike Huckabee ...................................... 22 30 -8 Rand Paul .............................................. 20 30 -10 Hillary Clinton ......................................... 37 48 -11 Ted Cruz ................................................ 19 31 -12 Chris Christie.......................................... 24 37 -13 Jeb Bush ................................................ 26 40 -14 The Republican Party............................. 28 44 -16 Donald Trump ........................................ 26 56 -30 Next… Q9 I'm going to read you two statements about the role of government, and I'd like to know which one comes closer to your point of view. (ROTATE STATEMENTS.) Statement A: Government should do more to solve problems and help meet the needs of people, Statement B: Government is doing too many things better left to businesses and individuals.

A/Government should do more ...................... B/Government is doing too many things ........ Some of both (VOL) ..................................... Not sure .......................................................

1

7/15 50 46 2 2

11/14 52 46 1 1

6/14 46 50 2 2

10/79/13 52 44 2 2

6/13 48 48 2 2

6/12 49 47 2 2

6/11 51 46 2 1

2/11 51 46 2 1

10/10+ 45 50 2 3

8/2630/10 47 47 3 3

6/10 47 49 2 2

1/1014/10 43 48 6 3

12/09 44 47 7 2

10/09 46 48 5 1

9/09 45 49 5 1

4/09 47 46 6 1

2/09 51 40 7 2

10/45/08+ 47 45 7 1

9/1922/08+ 48 42 8 2

7/08+ 53 42 NA 5

9/07 55 38 6 1

3/07 52 40 6 2

1/02 45 43 9 3

12/97 41 51 5 3

12/951 32 62 NA 6

In December 1995, the question was phrased, “Some people think the government is trying to do too many things that should be left to individuals and businesses. Others think that government should do more to solve our country's problems. Which comes closer to your own view?” + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES July 2015

Study #15313 -- page 13 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Now… Q10 Which of the following best describes how you feel about how Barack Obama will do during the rest of his second term (ROTATE TOP TO BOTTOM, BOTTOM TO TOP) -- optimistic and confident that he will do a good job, satisfied and hopeful that he will do a good job, uncertain and wondering whether he will do a good job, or pessimistic and worried that he will do a bad job?

Optimistic and confident ..... Satisfied and hopeful .......... Uncertain and wondering ... Pessimistic and worried ...... Not sure ..............................

7/15* 20 24 19 36 1

1/15 17 28 23 31 1

9/14+ 17 23 19 40 1

1/14 16 24 26 33 1

7/13 17 27 22 34 -

1/131 24 27 21 27 1

12/122 30 23 17 30 -

10/12+ 27 23 13 37 -

9/12+ 23 27 11 39 -

4/12+ 20 29 16 34 1

8/11+ 23 23 14 40 -

* Asked of 877 Adults July 26-30, 2015 1

In January 2013, the question was phrased, “Which of the following best describes how you feel about Barack Obama will do during his second term…“ 2

Prior December 2012, the question was phrased, “Which of the following best describes how you feel about Barack Obama being reelected as president…“ + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

  Q11a

Do you think that the next president should take an approach similar to that of Barack Obama, or should the next president take a different approach than Barack Obama has?

7/15+* Similar approach to Obama ......... 30 Different approach from Obama ... 67 Not sure ..................................... 3

12/14+ 23 71 6

George W. Bush 3/08+ 11/07+ 4/07 17 21 21 76 73 74 7 6 5

* Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM A). + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

Bill Clinton Trend Which do you prefer in a presidential candidate--someone who will take an approach similar to that of Bill Clinton or someone who will take an approach different from that of Bill Clinton?

Candidate with approach similar to Clinton's ........... Candidate with approach different from Clinton's .... Some of both/depends on issue (VOL) ................. Not sure.................................................................

Q11b

10/99 36 50 10 4

7/99 44 45 8 3

Do you think Barack Obama has mostly brought the right kind of change to the country, mostly brought the wrong kind of change, or has not really brought much change either way?

Has brought right kind of change .................. Has brought wrong kind of change ............... Has not brought much change either way .... Not sure ......................................................

7/15+** 39 36 22 3

** Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM B). + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

5/12 36 33 29 2

1/12 35 32 31 2

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES July 2015

Study #15313 -- page 14 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Moving on… Q12 Do you think it would be better for the country to have (ROTATE) a Democrat or a Republican as the next president?

Democrat ....................................................................... Republican ..................................................................... Makes No Difference (VOL) .......................................... Neither/Some other party (VOL) .................................... Not sure .........................................................................

7/15+ 37 39 9 7 8

6/15+ 39 36 7 7 10

4/15+ 40 39 7 5 9

12/14+ 38 40 9 6 7

2/88 36 39 14 n/a 11

5/87 37 31 20 n/a 12

3/87 41 36 9 n/a 14

1/87 35 32 21 n/a 12

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

Q13

Now, if there were a presidential primary election in your state, would you vote in the Democratic primary, the Republican primary, or would you wait to vote in the general election in November 2016?

Vote in Democratic Primary................................. Vote in Republican Primary ................................. Wait until the general election ............................. Do not plan to vote at all (VOL) ......................... Not sure .............................................................

7/15+ 30 30 39 1

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

6/15+ 30 28 38 1 3

4/15+ 32 29 35 1 3

3/15+ 30 25 40 2 3

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES July 2015 Q14

Study #15313 -- page 15 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

And, thinking about people who might seek the Democratic nomination for president in 2016. If the next Democratic primary for president were being held today, which one of the following candidates would you favor? (READ LIST. RANDOMIZE. IF "NOT SURE," ASK:) Well, which way do you lean? (ACCEPT ONLY ONE ANSWER.) (IF CHOICE, THEN ASK:) And, which candidate would be your second choice?

FIRST CHOICE THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY HIGHEST PERCENTAGE

Hillary Clinton ............................................ Bernie Sanders.......................................... Jim Webb .................................................. Martin O’Malley ......................................... Lincoln Chafee .......................................... Other (VOL) ............................................ None (VOL) ............................................ Not sure ..................................................

7/15^^ 59 25 3 3 1 1 4 4

6/15^^ 75 15 4 2 1 2 1

^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Democratic Primary

SECOND CHOICE THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY HIGHEST PERCENTAGE

Hillary Clinton ............................................ Bernie Sanders .......................................... Martin O’Malley ......................................... Jim Webb .................................................. Lincoln Chafee .......................................... Other (VOL) ............................................ None (VOL) ............................................ Not sure ..................................................

7/15^^ 19 28 10 9 2 1 8 16

6/15^^ 15 35 6 7 3 3 10 18

^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Democratic Primary

COMBINED CHOICE THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY HIGHEST PERCENTAGE

Hillary Clinton ............................................ Bernie Sanders .......................................... Martin O’Malley ......................................... Jim Webb .................................................. Lincoln Chafee .......................................... Other (VOL) ............................................ None (VOL) ............................................ Not sure ..................................................

7/15^^ 78 53 13 12 3 2 12 20

6/15^^ 90 50 8 11 3 3 12 19

^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Democratic Primary

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES July 2015 Q15a

Study #15313 -- page 16 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

In selecting a presidential nominee for the Democratic Party, which of the following is most important to you? (ROTATE)^^ A candidate with the best chance to defeat the Republican candidate ................... A candidate who comes closest to your views on issues ....................................... A candidate who has the right personal style and strong leadership qualities ........ None/other (VOL) ................................................................................................. Not sure ................................................................................................................

12 53 34 1 -

^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Democratic Primary

(ASKED ONLY IF Q15A:3 “RIGHT PERSONAL STYLE/STRONG LEADERSHIP”) Q15b Now, if you had to choose, which would be the next most important to you in selecting a presidential nominee for the Democratic Party? (ROTATE)^^ A candidate with the best chance to defeat the Republican candidate ................... A candidate who comes closest to your views on issues ....................................... Neither/other (VOL) .............................................................................................. Not sure ................................................................................................................ Best chance to defeat Republican/Closest to views/None/Not Sure (Q15a) .........

7 25 1 1 66

^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Democratic Primary

Q15A/B COMBINED^^ A candidate with the best chance to defeat the Republican candidate .................. A candidate who comes closest to your views on issues ....................................... None/other (VOL) ................................................................................................ Not sure ............................................................................................................... ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Democratic Primary

20 79 1 -

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES July 2015 Q16

Study #15313 -- page 17 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Next, I’m going to mention a number of people who might seek the Republican nomination for president in 2016. For each one, please tell me, yes or no, whether you could see yourself supporting that person for the Republican nomination president in 2016. If you don't know the name, please just say so. (AFTER THE FIRST TEN ITEMS, READ:) And, just a few more. (RANDOMIZE LIST) THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY YES

Marco Rubio July 2015^ .......................... June 2015^ ......................... April 2015^.......................... March 2015^ ....................... Jeb Bush July 2015^ .......................... June 2015^ ......................... April 2015^.......................... March 2015^ ....................... Scott Walker July 2015^ .......................... June 2015^ ......................... April 2015^ .......................... March 2015^ ....................... Ted Cruz July 2015^ .......................... June 2015^ ......................... April 2015^ .......................... March 2015^ ....................... Mike Huckabee July 2015^ .......................... June 2015^ ......................... April 2015^.......................... March 2015^ ....................... Ben Carson July 2015^ .......................... June 2015^ ......................... April 2015^ .......................... March 2015^ ....................... Donald Trump July 2015^ .......................... June 2015^ ......................... March 2015^ ....................... Rick Perry July 2015^ .......................... June 2015^ ......................... April 2015^ .......................... March 2015^ ....................... Rand Paul July 2015^ .......................... June 2015^ ......................... April 2015^.......................... March 2015^ ....................... Chris Christie July 2015^ .......................... June 2015^ ......................... April 2015^.......................... March 2015^ ....................... Bobby Jindal July 2015^ .......................... June 2015^ ......................... March 2015^ .......................

Yes, Could See Self Supporting

No, Could Not See Self Supporting

Don’t Know Name

Not Sure

62 74 74 56

29 15 15 26

7 8 9 14

2 3 2 4

57 75 70 49

40 22 27 42

1 2 1 4

2 1 2 5

54 57 61 53

24 19 16 17

18 21 21 27

4 3 2 3

52 51 57 40

38 31 28 38

7 14 12 18

3 4 3 4

52 65 52 52

43 32 39 40

3 1 5 3

2 2 4 5

49 50 39 41

27 21 22 18

21 27 36 38

3 2 3 3

47 32 23

49 66 74

1

4 2 2

44 53 45 45

44 31 34 40

8 12 18 9

4 4 3 5

44 49 59 49

48 45 32 40

5 5 6 8

3 1 3 3

37 36 38 32

55 55 50 57

5 6 9 7

3 3 3 4

34 36 36

38 28 25

26 34 36

2 2 3

^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Republican Primary

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES July 2015

Study #15313 -- page 18 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY YES

Q16 (cont’d) Carly Fiorina July 2015^ .......................... June 2015^ ......................... April 2015^ .......................... March 2015^ ....................... Rick Santorum July 2015^ .......................... June 2015^ ......................... March 2015^ ....................... John Kasich July 2015^ .......................... June 2015^ ......................... Lindsey Graham July 2015^ .......................... June 2015^ ......................... March 2015^ ....................... George Pataki July 2015^ .......................... June 2015^ ......................... Jim Gilmore July 2015^ ..........................

Yes, Could See Self Supporting

No, Could Not See Self Supporting

Don’t Know Name

Not Sure

33 31 17 18

31 29 25 25

34 38 52 54

2 2 6 3

37 49 40

46 40 40

11 10 16

6 1 4

30 25

31 30

36 42

3 3

14 27 20

67 49 51

16 19 24

3 5 5

10 13

55 44

31 37

4 6

2

33

62

3

^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Republican Primary

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES July 2015

Study #15313 -- page 19 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Q17/17a And, If a Republican primary for president were being held today, which one of the following candidates would you favor (RANDOMIZE) Jeb Bush, Scott Walker, Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, Chris Christie, Mike Huckabee, Ted Cruz, Rick Perry, Ben Carson or Donald Trump, or would you vote for one of the other candidates that were mentioned in the previous question? (IF "NOT SURE," ASK:) Well, which way do you lean? (ACCEPT ONLY ONE ANSWER.) (IF CHOICE, THEN ASK:) And, which of the following candidates would be your second choice (RANDOMIZE REMAINING LIST) or would your second choice be one of the other candidates that were mentioned in the previous question? (IF PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED CANDIDATE FOR FIRST OR SECOND CHOICE IN Q17, THEN ASK:) Which one of the following candidates would you favor -- (RANDOMIZE) Carly Fiorina, John Kasich, Lindsey Graham, Rick Santorum, George Pataki, Bobby Jindal, or Jim Gilmore? FIRST CHOICE THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY HIGHEST PERCENTAGE

Donald Trump .................................... Scott Walker....................................... Jeb Bush ............................................ Ben Carson ........................................ Ted Cruz ............................................ Mike Huckabee .................................. Rand Paul .......................................... Marco Rubio....................................... Chris Christie ..................................... Rick Perry .......................................... John Kasich ....................................... Bobby Jindal ...................................... Rick Santorum ................................... Carly Fiorina....................................... Lindsey Graham................................. George Pataki .................................... Jim Gilmore ........................................ Other (VOL) .................................... None (VOL) ..................................... Not sure ..........................................

7/15^ 19 15 14 10 9 6 6 5 3 3 3 1 1 1 4

6/15^ 1 17 22 11 4 9 7 14 4 5 1 2 1 NA 1 1

4/15^ NA 14 23 7 11 5 11 18 5 2 NA NA NA 1 NA NA NA 3

^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Republican Primary

SECOND CHOICE THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY HIGHEST PERCENTAGE

Jeb Bush ........................................... Ben Carson ....................................... Donald Trump ................................... Marco Rubio...................................... Scott Walker...................................... Ted Cruz ........................................... Chris Christie .................................... Rand Paul ......................................... Mike Huckabee ................................. Rick Perry ......................................... Bobby Jindal ..................................... Carly Fiorina...................................... John Kasich ...................................... Rick Santorum .................................. Lindsey Graham................................ George Pataki ................................... Jim Gilmore ....................................... Other (VOL) ................................... None (VOL) .................................... Not sure .........................................

7/15^ 16 11 11 11 9 8 6 5 5 4 3 2 1 1 1 1

6/15^ 18 8 3 20 7 7 6 9 9 5 1 NA 3

4/15^ 14 4 NA 23 13 7 9 9 10 5 NA 2 NA NA NA NA NA 1

^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Republican Primary

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES July 2015

Study #15313 -- page 20 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

COMBINED CHOICE THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY HIGHEST PERCENTAGE

Jeb Bush ........................................... Donald Trump ................................... Scott Walker...................................... Ben Carson ....................................... Ted Cruz ........................................... Marco Rubio...................................... Rand Paul ......................................... Mike Huckabee ................................. Chris Christie .................................... Rick Perry ......................................... John Kasich ...................................... Bobby Jindal ..................................... Carly Fiorina...................................... Rick Santorum .................................. Lindsey Graham................................ George Pataki ................................... Jim Gilmore ....................................... Other (VOL) ................................... None (VOL) .................................... Not sure .........................................

7/15^ 30 30 24 21 17 16 11 11 9 7 4 4 2 2 2 5

6/15^ 40 4 24 19 11 34 16 18 10 10 1 3 1 NA 1 4

4/15^ 37 NA 27 11 18 41 20 15 14 7 NA NA 3 NA NA NA NA 4

^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Republican Primary

Q18a

In selecting a presidential nominee for the Republican Party, which of the following is most important to you? (ROTATE)

A candidate with best chance to defeat the Democratic candidate ..................................... A candidate who comes closest to your views on issues .................................................... A candidate who has the right personal style and strong leadership qualities .................... None/other (VOL).............................................................................................................. Not sure ............................................................................................................................

7/15^ 12 54 31 2 1

^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Republican Primary

In selecting a presidential nominee for the Republican Party, which of the following is most important to you? 1/12^ 10/11^ A candidate with best chance to defeat Barack Obama ...................................... 32 20 A candidate who comes closest to your views on issues .................................... 39 46 A candidate who has the right personal style and strong leadership qualities..... 27 32 None/other (VOL) .............................................................................................. 1 Not sure............................................................................................................. 2 1 ^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote/have voted in the Republican Primary

3/15^ 19 46 33 2 -

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES July 2015

Study #15313 -- page 21 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

(ASKED ONLY IF “RIGHT PERSONAL STYLE/STRONG LEADERSHIP” ON Q18A) Q18b Now, if you had to choose, which would be the next most important to you in selecting a presidential nominee for the Republican Party? (ROTATE)^ A candidate with the best chance to defeat the Democratic candidate ........................................ A candidate who comes closest to your views on issues ............................................................. Neither/other (VOL).................................................................................................................... Not sure ..................................................................................................................................... Best chance to defeat the Democrat/Closest to views/None/Not Sure (Q18a) ...........................

9 22 69

^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Republican Primary

    Q18A/B COMBINED^ A candidate with the best chance to defeat the Democratic candidate ........................... A candidate who comes closest to your views on issues ................................................ Neither/other (VOL) ....................................................................................................... Not sure .........................................................................................................................

21 77 1 1

^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote/have voted in the Republican Primary

COMBINED COMPARATIVE DATA FROM 2011-2012^ A candidate with best chance to defeat Barack Obama.................................... A candidate who comes closest to your views on issues .................................. None/other (VOL)............................................................................................ Not sure ..........................................................................................................

1/12^ 43 54 1 2

10/11^ 31 67 1 1

^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote/have voted in the Republican Primary

Q19

As you know there are seventeen candidates who have announced they are running or are considering running for the Republican nomination for President of the United States. In thinking about who should be included in Republican primary debates between the candidates, which comes closer to your point of view (ROTATE)^ The debates should be open to all candidates to allow an equal chance to participate so the widest range of different points of view are presented .................................................... The debates should be limited to the ten candidates with the most public support so there is a more in-depth conversation on the issues ............................................................. Not sure .....................................................................................................................................

47 52 1

^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Republican Primary

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES July 2015

Study #15313 -- page 22 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Talking more about some of the candidates running for president… (Q20 & Q21 ROTATED) Q20 Overall, do you think [INSERT ITEM, ROTATE] is helping, hurting, or having no impact on the image of the Republican Party? THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY HELPING

Candidate Impact on the Image of the Republican Party Helping Hurting No Impact

Not Sure

Jeb Bush July 2015+ ..........................

29

17

45

9

Donald Trump July 2015+ ..........................

22

61

12

5

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

Q21

Overall, do you think [INSERT ITEM, ROTATE] is helping, hurting, or having no impact on the image of the Democratic Party? THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY HELPING

Candidate Impact on the Image of the Democratic Party Helping Hurting No Impact

Not Sure

Hillary Clinton July 2015+ ..........................

33

42

21

4

Bernie Sanders July 2015+ ..........................

32

9

33

26

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES July 2015

Study #15313 -- page 23 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Now… Q22 When it comes to (READ ITEM) which party do you think would do a better job--the Democratic Party, the Republican Party, or both about the same? If you think that neither would do a good job, please just say so. (RANDOMIZE) THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO GIVE THE ADVANTAGE TO THE DEMOCRATIC PARTY

Party Advantage

Democratic Party

Republican Party

Both About The Same

Neither

Not Sure

Looking out for the middle class July 2015 ..................................... September 2013 .......................... February 2013 ............................. June 2012.................................... December 2011 ........................... October 1996............................... December 1995 ........................... October 1994............................... October 1993............................... January 1992+ ............................ October 1991+ ............................ October 1990+ ............................ November 1989+ .........................

D-15 D-17 D-22 D-19 D-20 D-20 D-19 D-19 D-20 D-22 D-28 D-29 D-23

40 41 46 45 44 47 43 37 42 37 47 47 44

25 24 24 26 24 27 24 28 22 15 19 18 21

13 14 11 9 12 7 10 11 22 27 11 16 16

20 19 19 18 17 13 19 20 12 16 16 14 12

2 2 2 3 6 4 4 2 5 7 5 7

Changing how things work in Washington July 2015 ..................................... Oct. 30 – Nov. 1, 2014+ .............. December 2013 ........................... June 2012.................................... April 2011 .................................... October 14-18, 2010+ .................

D-1 R-2 D-1 D-5 D-4

21 23 20 22 23 27

20 25 20 21 18 23

21 18 18 15 19 16

36 30 39 38 39 31

2 4 3 4 1 3

Dealing with immigration July 2015 ..................................... September 2014+ ........................ December 2013 ........................... September 2013 .......................... February 2013 ............................. June 2012.................................... April 2011 .................................... October 14-18, 2010+ ................. August 5-9, 2010+ ....................... May 20-23, 2010 ......................... July 2008+ ................................... January 2008............................... July 2007 ..................................... October 13-16, 2006+ ................. September 8-11, 2006+............... November 2005 ...........................

R-2 R-7 D-5 D-4 D-6 D-3 R-7 R-10 R-5 D-4 D-10 D-3 D-2 D-6

30 28 31 30 33 33 25 26 27 23 27 29 29 28 24 25

32 35 26 26 27 30 32 36 32 23 27 25 19 25 22 19

14 15 16 18 15 14 18 15 15 27 15 26 19 21 21 21

21 19 21 21 20 17 23 17 22 23 21 14 26 19 22 26

3 3 6 5 5 6 2 6 4 4 10 6 7 7 11 9

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES July 2015

Study #15313 -- page 24 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO GIVE THE ADVANTAGE TO THE DEMOCRATIC PARTY

Dealing with the economy July 2015 ..................................... Oct. 30 – Nov. 1, 2014+ .............. September 2014+ ........................ December 2013 ........................... September 2013 .......................... February 2013 ............................. June 2012.................................... December 2011 ........................... April 2011 .................................... October 14-18, 2010+ ................. August 5-9, 2010+ ....................... March 2010 ................................. July 2009 ..................................... July 2008+ ................................... January 2008............................... July 2007 ..................................... October 13-16, 2006+ ................. September 2006+ ........................ March 2006 ................................. November 2005 ........................... December 2004 ........................... July 2004+ ................................... January 2004+ ............................ December 13, 2003 ..................... October 2002+ ............................ June 2002.................................... June 2001.................................... December 1999 ........................... March 1999 ................................. September 1998 .......................... September 1997 .......................... October 1996............................... May 1996+ .................................. December 1995 ........................... June 1995.................................... October 1994............................... July 1994 ..................................... June 1994.................................... October 1993............................... March 1993 ................................. July 1992+ ................................... May 1992..................................... January 1992+ ............................ October 1991+ ............................

Party Advantage

Democratic Party

Republican Party

Both About The Same

Neither

Not Sure

R-6 R-9 R-10 R-10 R-4 D-2 R-6 R-3 R-1 R-2 D-6 D-16 D-18 D-15 D-13 D-12 D-12 D-14 D-9 D-8 R-2 R-1 D-6 D-1 D-6 D-3 D-6 R-9 D-4 R-4 R-8 R-12 R-8 R-11 R-5 R-5 D-16 D-8 D-6 D-5 R-1

31 30 26 26 29 32 31 28 29 35 32 31 35 41 43 41 43 40 39 39 39 40 36 37 36 32 37 34 35 31 25 36 26 22 17 22 18 21 22 34 26 29 28 27

37 39 36 36 33 30 37 31 29 36 34 31 29 25 25 26 30 28 27 25 30 32 38 38 30 31 31 31 29 31 34 32 30 30 29 30 29 26 27 18 18 23 23 28

15 15 17 17 19 16 13 18 20 14 16 18 19 14 21 17 17 17 20 17 20 19 15 14 21 24 20 24 26 29 26 15 27 27 29 28 32 39 20 34 35 26 33 26

15 16 18 19 17 20 16 20 20 14 17 18 14 14 8 12 7 10 11 14 7 7 8 7 9 9 6 7 6 6 9 10 14 17 23 16 17 12 28 11 18 17 12 14

2 3 2 2 2 3 3 2 1 2 2 3 6 3 4 3 5 3 5 4 2 2 5 4 4 6 4 4 3 6 7 3 4 2 4 4 2 3 3 3 5 4 5

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES July 2015

Study #15313 -- page 25 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO GIVE THE ADVANTAGE TO THE DEMOCRATIC PARTY

Dealing with foreign policy July 2015 ..................................... September 2014+ ........................ September 2013 .......................... June 2006 ................................... November 2005 ........................... January 2004............................... December 13, 2003 ..................... June 2002.................................... December 1999 ........................... March 1999 ................................. September 1998 .......................... October 1994............................... October 1993............................... July 1992+ ...................................

Party Advantage

Democratic Party

Republican Party

Both About The Same

Neither

Not Sure

R-8 R-18 R-7 D-9 D-9 R-15 R-13 R-18 R-10 R-5 R-10 R-19 R-27 R-33

28 23 26 35 36 29 28 19 23 25 23 15 10 15

36 41 33 26 27 43 41 37 33 30 33 34 37 48

20 19 25 22 18 19 15 28 28 31 34 34 11 24

12 14 13 11 11 6 7 8 9 6 6 12 39 7

4 3 3 6 8 3 9 8 7 8 4 5 3 6

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES July 2015

Study #15313 -- page 26 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Now, turning to the economy… Q23 During the next twelve months, do you think that the nation's economy will get better, get worse, or stay about the same? High

Economy will get better .................... Economy will get worse .................... Economy will stay about the same ... Not sure ..........................................

9/14+ 27 20 51 2

6/14 27 24 48 1

4/14 26 26 47 1

3/14 26 25 48 1

9/09 47 20 30 3

Low 10/79/13 17 42 38 3

3/15 29 21 48 2

12/14 31 17 51 1

10/812/14+ 28 24 46 2

12/13 29 24 46 1

10/2528/13 23 34 42 1

10/79/13 17 42 38 3

9/13 27 24 48 1

7/13 31 21 47 1

6/13 32 18 49 1

12/12 38 28 33 1

10/12+ 45 9 34 12

9/2630/12+ 44 13 35 8

9/1216/12+ 42 18 32 8

8/12+ 36 18 38 8

7/12+ 27 25 45 3

6/12 35 20 41 4

5/12 33 19 46 2

4/12 38 19 42 1

3/12 40 23 35 2

1/12 37 17 44 2

12/11 30 22 47 1

11/11 25 28 47 -

10/11 21 32 45 2

8/11 22 30 47 1

7/11 26 31 41 2

6/11 29 30 39 2

4/11 33 21 46 -

2/11 29 29 41 1

1/11 40 17 42 1

12/10 32 24 42 2

11/10 37 15 46 2

10/1418/10+ 37 20 41 2

9/10 32 24 41 3

8/2630/10 26 26 45 3

8/59/10 34 25 39 2

6/10 33 23 43 1

5/610/10 40 20 38 2

3/10 41 22 36 1

1/1014/10 41 19 38 2

10/09 42 22 33 3

9/09 47 20 30 3

7/09 44 21 32 3

6/09 46 22 29 3

4/09 38 30 30 2

10/08+ 38 20 37 5

10/06+ 22 22 51 5

10/04+ 43 10 33 14

10/02+ 41 20 34 5

10/98+ 17 24 54 5

10/94 31 24 40 5

7/15* 25 24 51 -

* Asked of 880 Adults July 26-30, 2015 1 Prior to April 2001, the question was phrased, “Over the next year…” + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

Changing topics… Q24 In general, do you think the U.S. Supreme Court is too liberal or too conservative in its decisions?

Too liberal ............................. Too conservative .................. About right (vol.) ................ Depends (vol.) ................... Not sure ..............................

7/15* 46 32 9 3 10

6/15 39 38 6 3 14

* Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM A).

7/13 40 38 9 3 10

4/12 33 35 11 5 16

5/92 28 54 4 5 9

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES July 2015

Study #15313 -- page 27 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

And, switching topics and thinking about Iran… Q25 As you may know, an agreement has been reached between Iran and a group of six other nations, including the U.S. The agreement attempts to prevent Iran from developing a nuclear weapon by limiting Iran’s ability to produce nuclear material and allowing inspections into Iran’s nuclear sites in exchange for reducing certain economic sanctions that are currently in place. Do you support or oppose this agreement or do you not know enough to have an opinion?** Support ................................................. Oppose ................................................. Don’t know enough ............................... Not sure ..............................................

35 33 32 -

** Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM B).

As you may know, negotiations are underway between Iran and a group of six other nations, including the U.S. The objective of the negotiations is to try to prevent Iran from developing a nuclear weapon. The proposed agreement attempts to achieve this by allowing inspections into Iran’s nuclear sites in exchange for reducing certain economic sanctions that are currently in place. Do you support or oppose pursuing this agreement or do you not know enough to have an opinion? 6/15 36 17 46 1

Support ........................................... Oppose ........................................... Don’t know enough ......................... Not sure ........................................

4/15 36 23 40 1

Now, switching topics… Q26 Would you say that immigration helps the United States more than it hurts it, OR immigration hurts the United States more than it helps it?

Helps more than it hurts ........... Hurts more than it helps ........... A little of both (VOL) .............. Not sure..................................

7/15 47 43 3 7

12/14 48 42 5 5

6/14 47 42 5 6

All Adults 5/206/12 23/10 47 43 39 45 8 na 6 12

5/611/10 37 53 na 10

12/07 39 52 na 9

6/07 46 44 na 10

7/06 45 42 na 10

6/06 44 45 na 11

5/611/10 58 32 na 10

6/07 69 21 na 10

4/06 62 28 na 10

Hispanic/Latino Adults

Helps more than it hurts ............ Hurts more than it helps ............ A little of both (VOL) .............. Not sure ..................................

7/15 66 24 3 7

12/14 67 25 5 3

6/14 62 30 4 4

6/12 63 26 7 5

5/2023/10 60 30 na 10

4/06 45 45 na 10

12/05 37 53 na 10

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES July 2015

Q27

Study #15313 -- page 28 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

When it comes to foreigners staying illegally in the United States, which one statement comes closest to what you think…(ROTATE STATEMENTS 1 & 2) We should allow these people a pathway to citizenship to eventually become citizens of the United States ........................................................................... We should grant these people legal status so they can live and work here, but not become citizens ...................................................................................................... We should do neither one of these and work to find and deport people who have come to this country illegally ................................................................................ Mixed/Depends (VOL) ................................................................................................... Not sure.........................................................................................................................

47 17 32 3 1

Now, as you may have heard, Donald Trump has said Mexico is, quote, “sending people that have lots of problems...They are bringing drugs. They are bringing crime. They are rapists. And some, I assume, are good people.” Q28

When he says this, which one better describes what you think…(ROTATE 1 & 2) Trump is stating his own beliefs but they are not shared by most Republican voters .................. Trump is speaking for most Republican voters who share these views as well ........................... Or, do you not know enough about this issue to have an opinion at this time?............................ Not sure......................................................................................................................................

Q29

46 33 20 1

Talking some more about what Donald Trump said, which one best describes what you think…(ROTATE TOP TO BOTTOM/BOTTOM TO TOP) Trump’s comments are insulting and racist and have no place in a campaign for president .......... Trump should have been more careful with the language he used, but he is raising an important issue ............................................................................................................................... Trump had the guts to say exactly what was on his mind about an important problem we need to deal with ..................................................................................................................................... Not sure .....................................................................................................................................

37 35 26 2

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES July 2015

Study #15313 -- page 29 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Now I am going to ask you a few questions for statistical purposes only. QF1b/c A lot of people are unable to get out and vote for many reasons. Did you happen to vote in the November 2012 election for president? (IF “YES,” ASK:) For whom did you vote––Barack Obama, Mitt Romney, or someone else?+ Voted for Barack Obama ............................... Voted for Mitt Romney ................................... Voted for someone else ................................. Not sure ......................................................... No, Did Not Vote ............................................ Not sure .......................................................

43 33 8 2 12 2

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

QF1d

And, thinking still about 2012, who did you prefer in the 2012 Republican Presidential primary process (RANDOMIZE) Mitt Romney, Ron Paul, Rick Santorum – did you prefer some other candidate, or did you have no preference among the 2012 Republican presidential candidates?^ Mitt Romney................................................... Ron Paul ........................................................ Rick Santorum ............................................... Some other candidate .................................... No preference ................................................ Not sure .......................................................

44 10 13 12 20 1

^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Republican Primary

QF1e

And, thinking back to 2008, who did you prefer in the 2008 Democratic Presidential primary process (ROTATE) Hillary Clinton, Barack Obama – did you prefer some other candidate, or did you have no preference among the 2008 Democratic presidential candidates?^^ Hillary Clinton ................................................ Barack Obama .............................................. Some other candidate ................................... No preference................................................ Not sure .......................................................

24 57 6 11 2

^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Democratic Primary

QF2

Are you currently employed? (IF "CURRENTLY EMPLOYED," ASK:) What type of work do you do? (RECORD UNDER "6--OTHER.") (IF "NOT CURRENTLY EMPLOYED," ASK:) Are you a student, a stay-athome mom or dad, retired, or unemployed and looking for work? Currently Employed Professional, manager ............................ White-collar worker ................................. Blue-collar worker ................................... Farmer, rancher ...................................... Not Currently Employed Student .................................................... Stay at home mom/dad ........................... Retired .................................................... Unemployed, looking for work ................. Other ....................................................... Not sure ................................................

30 18 19 1 3 6 20 3 -

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES July 2015 QF3

Study #15313 -- page 30 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

What is the last grade that you completed in school? (DO NOT READ CHOICES.) Grade school ........................................................... Some high school .................................................... High school graduate ............................................... Some college, no degree ......................................... Vocational training/School ...................................... 2-year college degree .............................................. 4-year college/bachelor's degree ............................. Some postgraduate work, no degree ....................... 2-3 years postgraduate work/master's degree ......... Doctoral/law degree ................................................. Not sure/refused ....................................................

QF4

Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a Democrat, a Republican, an independent, or something else? (IF "DEMOCRAT" OR "REPUBLICAN," ASK:) Would you call yourself a strong (Democrat/Republican) or not a very strong (Democrat/Republican)? (IF "NOT SURE," CODE AS "NOT VERY STRONG DEMOCRAT/REPUBLICAN.") (IF "INDEPENDENT," ASK:) Do you think of yourself as closer to the Republican Party, closer to the Democratic Party, or do you think of yourself as strictly independent? (IF "NOT SURE," CODE AS "STRICTLY INDEPENDENT.") Strong Democrat ............................. Not very strong Democrat ............... Independent/lean Democrat ............ Strictly Independent......................... Independent/lean Republican .......... Not very strong Republican ............. Strong Republican ........................... Other (VOL) ................................... Not sure.........................................

QF5

3 23 17 2 12 24 2 12 4 1

19 10 13 15 15 9 12 5 2

Thinking about your general approach to issues, do you consider yourself to be liberal, moderate, or conservative? (IF "LIBERAL" OR "CONSERVATIVE," ASK:) Do you consider yourself to be very (liberal/conservative) or somewhat (liberal/conservative)? Very liberal ......................................................... Somewhat liberal ............................................... Moderate ............................................................ Somewhat conservative ..................................... Very conservative .............................................. Not sure ...........................................................

8 15 39 19 15 4

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES July 2015

Study #15313 -- page 31 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

And, On a scale from one to ten where ten represents a description that is perfect for you and one a description that is totally wrong for you, how well do each of the following describe you? You can, of course, use any number between one and ten. __ __ (RECORD EXACT NUMBER 1-10, USE 99 FOR DK/REF) To what extent do you regard yourself as...(RANDOMIZE) THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY %8-10 AMONG REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS 4-7 1-3 Refused Mean 8-10 A supporter of the traditional definition of marriage as being between one man and one woman July 2015^ .......................................... 70 17 12 1 8.0 June 2015^......................................... 73 15 12 8.1 April 2015^ ......................................... 71 17 12 8.1 March 2015^ ...................................... 62 20 18 7.4 A supporter of the Right-to-Life movement July 2015^ .......................................... 57 26 13 4 7.4 June 2015^......................................... 61 26 9 4 7.9 April 2015^ ......................................... 61 24 12 3 7.5 March 2015^ ...................................... 59 28 11 2 7.6 A supporter of the goals of the National Rifle Association and other gun rights groups July 2015^ .......................................... 57 33 10 7.4 June 2015^......................................... 67 25 7 1 8.0 April 2015^ ......................................... 65 23 11 1 7.8 March 2015^ ...................................... 67 21 11 1 7.8 A supporter of the Tea Party Movement July 2015^ .......................................... 32 43 23 2 5.7 June 2015^......................................... 34 45 18 3 6.1 April 2015^ ......................................... 29 45 23 3 5.6 March 2015^ ...................................... 31 47 19 3 5.9 Someone who enjoys listening to conservative talk radio July 2015^ .......................................... 28 40 32 5.2 June 2015^......................................... 35 36 27 2 5.8 April 2015^ ......................................... 41 36 21 2 6.2 A Libertarian July 2015^ .......................................... 12 40 44 4 4.1 June 2015^......................................... 11 41 39 9 4.1 4.3 April 2015^ ......................................... 16 37 39 8 March 2015^ ...................................... 14 44 38 4 4.4 ^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Republican Primary

QF6a/b Are you a current or retired labor union member? (ASK ONLY OF RESPONDENTS WHO SAY "NO" OR "NOT SURE" IN QF6a.) Is anyone else in your household a current or retired labor union member? Labor union member ........................................ Union household .............................................. Non-union household ....................................... Not sure ..........................................................

14 7 79 -

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES July 2015 QF7

Study #15313 -- page 32 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

If you added together the yearly income of all the members of your family who were living at home last year, would the total be less than ten thousand dollars, between ten thousand dollars and twenty thousand dollars, between twenty thousand dollars and thirty thousand dollars, between thirty thousand dollars and forty thousand dollars, between forty thousand dollars and fifty thousand dollars, between fifty thousand dollars and seventy-five thousand dollars, between seventy-five thousand dollars and one hundred thousand dollars, or would the total be more than that? Less than $10,000 ............................................... Between $10,000 and $20,000............................ Between $20,000 and $30,000............................ Between $30,000 and $40,000............................ Between $40,000 and $50,000............................ Between $50,000 and $75,000............................ Between $75,000 and $100,000.......................... More than $100,000 ............................................ Not sure/refused .................................................

4 7 7 8 10 18 14 23 9

(ASKED ONLY IF SAMPLTY:1 (LANDLINE)) QF9 Thinking about your telephone use, do you have a cell phone? (IF YES, THEN ASK:) Of all the personal telephone calls that you receive, do you get (ROTATE TOP TO BOTTOM/BOTTOM TO TOP) all calls on a cell phone, almost all calls on a cell phone, some calls on a cell phone and some on a regular home phone, almost all calls on a regular home phone, all calls on a regular home phone.

Have only a cell phone (CELL ONLY SAMPLE) ............................. Yes, all calls on a cell phone .......................................................... Yes, almost all calls on a cell phone ............................................... Yes, some on a cell phone and some on a regular home phone ..... Yes, almost all calls on a regular home phone ............................... Yes, all calls on a regular home phone............................................ No, do not have a cell phone ........................................................... Not sure/Refuse.............................................................................

7/15* 35 7 17 22 10 2 5 1

* Asked of 757 Adults July 26-30, 2015

ASKED ONLY OF RESPONDENTS WHO REPORT HAVING A CELL PHONE QF10 And, is your cell phone a smart phone or not?

Yes ....................................................... No ........................................................ Not sure ............................................. Do not have a cell phone (QF9) ........... * Asked of 757 Adults July 26-30, 2015

7/15* 73 20 1 6

5/15 70 22 2 6

4/15 71 21 1 7

5/15 35 6 16 23 10 4 6 -

4/15 35 6 15 23 9 5 7 -