of recreation

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and durable goods spending profiles for dock owners apd marina users. ...... brete oesee. wSt. W uW. W•W1 hwtng .6" .ude,. FRW"i bum botSrovwxxbling. NON- ...
* *

ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF RECREATION

I

ON THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI RIVER SYSTEM AD-A265 154--

I

_

I

-

RECREATION EXPENDITURE REPORT

I IFINAL

I

FVI-,

I

•?,P•

,, AT, '

.•.Dish*

r

VERSION

93

,,,,W 1993 MARCH

Prepared by: REPORT ".... Michigan State University for U.S. Army Corps of Engineers

i~)•

-2 9

I;I IIH ! 11,11oil111311

UNCLASSIFIED SECURITY Cl ASSIFICATION OF THIS PAGE form Approved

REPORT DOCUMENTATION PAGE

oM

la REPORT SECURITY CLASSIFICATION

o 0704 0188 Jun30 Y986

_ _xp Date

_.........__

lb RESTRICTIVE MARKINGS

Unclassified 2a SECURITY CLASSIFICATION AUTHORITY

3

DISTRIBUTION /AVAILABILITY

OF REPORT

Approved for public release;

2b. OECLASSIFICATION/DOWNGRADING SCHEDULE

distribution

unlimited. 4 PERFORMING ORGANIZATION REPORT NUMBER(S)

6a NAME OF PERFORMING ORGANIZATION

S MONITORING ORGANIZATION REPORT NUMBER(S)

6b OFFICE SYMBOL

7a

NAME OF MONITORING ORGANIZATION

(If applicable)

Michigan State University

U.S.

6c. ADDRESS (City, State, and ZIPCode)

7b

Dept.

of Park and Recreation Resources East Lansing, MI 48824

Ba. NAME OF FUNDING/SPONSORING ORGANIZATION

U.S.

Engr.

Dist.,

8b. OFFICE SYMBOL (If applicable)

ST Paul

Experiment

Stat.

ADDRESS (Cry, State, and ZIP Code)

Environmental Laboratory 3909 Halls Ferry Rd. E Lragh8lra.Mq 39180-6199 9 PROCUREME"NT INSTRUMENT IDENTIFICATION NUMBER

PD-ES

8c. ADDRESS (City, State, and ZIP Code)

10. SOURCE OF FUNDING NUMBI:RS

180 E. Kellogg Blvd. Rm 1421 55101-1479 St Paul, MN 11

Army Engineer Waterways

PROGRAM

PROJECT

TASK

WORK UNIT

ELEMENT NO.

NO

NO

ACCESSION NO

TITLE (Include Security Classification)

ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF RECREATION ON THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI RIVER; RECREATION EXPENDITURE REPORT: Development of visitor spending profiles for the Upper MississiDni River System. 12- PERSONAL AUTHOR(S)

Dennis B.

Propst; Daniel J.

13a. TYPE OF REPORT

Stynes; Hui Jiao and 1Peri, Koesler.

13b. TIME COVERED

Final

FROM

14. DATE OF REPORT (Year, Month, Day)

-TO

9303

S PAGE COUNT

141

16. SUPPLEMENTARY NOTATION

See also: 17.

AD-A 263599; AD-A263796; COSATI CODES

FIELD

GROUP

AD-A263761

18. SUBJECT TERMS (Continue on reverse if necessary and identify by block number)

SUB-GROUP

(RECREATION MISSISSIPPI RIVER ECONOMIC IMPACTS

19- ABSTRACT (Continue on reverse if necessary and identify by block number)

The purpose of this report is to provide measurement of recreation-related spending in the Upper Mississippi River system. The report is divided into two parts. Part one presents both trip and durable goods spending profiles for visitors to developed recreation areas on the Upper Mississippi River system. Spending was measured through a series of on-site interviews used to measure recreation use and durable goods, and a mailback questionaire which measured trip spending was ten distributed to visitors responding to the on-site interview. The study design captured the most significant segments and categories of spending. For day users, residents outnjmber nonresidents by more than five to one. Among overnight visitors, nonresidents were more than twice as numerous as residents. The second part provides both trip and durable goods spending profiles for dock owners apd marina users. These spending profiles were derived from the household telephone and mailback questionnaire phase of the total study. Many tables included which provide data on user profiles and expenditures. 20

DISTRIBUTION /AVAILABILITY U UNCLASSIFIED/UNLIMITED

22a

OF ABSTRACT

21

C0 SAME AS RPT.

NAME OF RESPONSIBLE INDIVIDUAL

DO FORM 1473, 84 MAR

All ADD ed!tio

El DTIC USERS

ABSTRACT SECURITY CLASSIFICATION

Unclassifled 22b TELEPHONE (Include Area Code)

'ay be ,isd 0rZ- eAhaustCu Ac Ot)'er edit~ons are obsolete

22c

OFFICE SYMBOL

SE( uRITY CLASSIFICATION OF UNCI,ASS T F1 ED

.4S

-

PACE

I I DEVELOPMENT OF VISITOR SPENDING PROFILES

I I I

FOR THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI RIVER SYSTEM

by

Dr.

Dennis B. Propst, Dr. Daniel J. Hui Jiao, and Rena Koesler

Stvnes

Michigan State University Department of Park and Recreation Resources 48824 East Lansing, Michigan Accesion For NTIS CRA&I DTIC TAB Unannounced Justification

El ............

B y -----....................... ....... .... Disht ibution I

3

Availabilty Codes Dist

A-vail a;Ind 1 or Special

II I I

Monitored by Environmental Laboratory U.S. Army Engineer Waterways Experiment Station 3909 Halls Ferry Road, Vicksburg, MS 39180-6199

.. .

I

I

I U

In1986, Congress authorized a study to assess the economic importance of recreation in the Upper Mississippi River System. The study findings have been published in a series of reports by the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, St. Paul District. A listing of these reports follows: -Plan of Study for the Recreation Econo-ics Study on the Upper Mississippi River System (September 1986) -Recreation-Economics Data Review, Basin (February 1988)

Upper Mississippi River

-Economic Impacts of Recreation on the Upper Mississippi River System: Study Sampling Plan (May 1989)

3 3

-Economic Impacts of Recreation on the Upper Mississippi River System: Recreation Use and Activities Report (March 1993) -Economic Impacts of Recreation on the Upper Mississippi River System: Recreation Expenditure Report (March 1993) -Economic Impacts of Recreation on the Upper Mississippi River System: Economic Impacts Report (March 1993) -Economic Impacts of Recreation on the Upper Mississippi River System: Summary Report (June 1993) A related document summarizes the economic input-output applications prepared in conjunction with this study:

model

-MI-REC: Micro-jmplan Recreation Economic Impact Estimation System Users' Manual

1 I I I I

I 3

3

CONTENTS

INTRODUCTION PURPOSE

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DEVELOPED RECREATION AREA VISITORS; RECREATION SPENDING ON THE PART ONE: UPPER MISSISSIPPI RIVER SYSTEM . . . . . . . . . . . . . BACKGROUND

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5PROCEDURES

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National Study and Current Study Compared ...................... ........................ Survey Site Selection ..................... Subregions .............................................. 7urvey Procedures ......................................

10 1i .. .. 15

RESULTS ..................................................... Sample Sizes and Response Rates ............................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . Visitor Segments Nights Spent per Trip ............. Trip Expenditures ....................................... Durable Goods Spending ...............................

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LIMITATIONS ................................................. DISCU SSION

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APPLICATIONS OF RESULTS ............................................... SUGGESTIONS

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FOR FURTHER RESEARCH .............................

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64

LITERATURE CITED - PART ONE .......................................

65

APPENDIX A:

ON-SITE INTERVIEW INSTRUMENT AND DURABLE GOODS FORM ...

APPENDIX B:

MAILBACK QUESTIONNAIRE ...........................

77

APPENDIX C:

TRIP SPENDING STATISTICS ..................................

83

APPENDIX D:

DATA CLEANING AND EDITING TASKS ......

.....

...............

...

DOCK OWNERS AND MARINA USERS; RECREATION SPENDING ON THE UPPER ........... ................... MISSISSIPPI RIVER SYSTEM

PART TWO:

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DOCK OWNERS .........................................

Sample Sizes and Respons

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98 98 .. 99 101

Sample Selection .......................................... Methods .............................................. Trip Spending Analysis ................................. Durable Goods Analysis ................................ Residents versus Nonresidents .......................... RESULTS:

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91

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BACKGROUND ...................................................... PROCEDURES

...

102

..

103

....

............. Trip Expendicures Durable Goods Spending ........................................

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61

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104 110

I RESULTS:

MARINA SLIP RENTERS

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Sample Sizes and Response Rates Trip Expenditures . . . . . . . Durable Goods Spending DISCUSSION

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Visitor Segment Profiles .. Sampling Error ..... . Limitations . . Liiain..............................................13•6 Applications LITERATURE CITED

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PART TWO .....

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132 .

135 3 137 139

.......................

I I I ! I U I I I I I I I 2!

I

3

LIST CF TABLES

Tabl__e I

5 2

£ S4 3

5 6

Sstudy

7

S8

S9

Mailback questionnaire response rates by visitor tation variable. !MRS study (1989-90) .....................

.6

segmen.

.8

Corps of Engineers visitor segments judged to be h"mogeneous with respect to their spending patterns, UMRS study (1989-90) ................................................. On-site interview and mailback questionnaire sample sizes by 12 segments and 6 segments, ULRS study (1989-90) ....... Sample distribution by the four segmentation variables, UMRS study (1989-90) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Distribution of six visitor segments by five regions 1989-90): On-site surveys ........ ................. Nights spent per trip by location, Overnight parties only ............

. .

.

.

.

(UMRS ...

UMRS study (1989-90): .....................

..

Average trip spending for 33 detailed mailback expenditure items and 8 aggregate spending categories, UMRS study (1989-90) ................ .........................

25 27

28

Average trip spending by six visitor segments for 33 detailed mailback expenditure items and item subtotals, UMRS study (1989-90) ................... .............................

..

30

10

Average

..

34

ii

Distribution of trip study (1989-90)

SUMRS

12

13 14 15

Sregion 16

I

On-site intervilew and mailback questionnaire sample sizes and response rates by season and region. UMPS study (1989-90) ..... ... ......................

trip

spending by region UMRS study (1989-90)

........

spending by segment and region, ....................................

36

Selected statistics for trip spending by detailed expenditure items, major subcategories, and segment, UKRS study (1989-90) .............................................. Durable goods equipment items ard codes, (1989-90) .................................................... Percentage of UMRS visitors segment .................

..

UMRS Study 40

with durable goods equipment by ............................. ....

41

Durable goods spending per party per trip by segment and major category of durable goods .............. ................. Percent of durable goods expenditures by segment and type ..........

43

occurring within UMRS ...................

17

Distribution of durable goods spending by segment and region

18

Spending on durable goods by type,

19

Durable goods spending by segment and category ...............

20

Durable goods spending estimates by region trip) .................................................. 3

37

UMRS visitors

.....

.. .

........

44 45 47 48

($ per party ..

51

I Table 21

Sampling errors for durable goods spending estimates

Part T-wo

1 2

3

4

103

Average trip spending for 33 detailed mailback expenditure items and 8 aggregate spending categories, UMRS Dock Owners Study (1990-91) ...................... .........................

105

Average trip spending by dock owner residents and nonresidents for 33 detailed mailback expenditure items and 8 aggregate spending categories ............ ...................... ..

107

Selected error statistics for trip spending per week by detailed expenditure items and aggregate categories. UMRS Dock Owners Study (1990-91) ............... .................

109

5

Spending on durable goods by type,

6

Durable goods spending by place of purchase and place of residence, UMRS dock owners ............ ...................

7 8 9 10 11

12

13

I

Dock owner sample sizes and response rates (U24RS study , 1990-91) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

UMRS dock owners ....

I

....... ..

113 114

Sampling errors for durable goods spending estimates, UMRS dock owners ..................... .........................

115

UMRS

Marina user sample sizes and response rates (UMRS study, 1990-91) ................ .........................

..

116

..

118

Average trip spending for 33 detailed mailback expenditure items, and 8 aggregate spending categories, UMRS Marina Users Study (1990-91) ............ ......................

119

Average trip spending by marina user residents and nonresidents for 33 detailed mailback expenditure items and 8 aggregate spending categories .....................

121

Selected error statistics for trip spending per week by detailed expenditure items and aggregate categories, UMRS Marina Users Study (1990-91) ........ ................

..

123

14

Spending on durable goods by type,

..

125

15

Durable goods spending by place of purchase and place of residence, UMRS marina users ........... ...................

..

127

16 17

UMRS marina users .........

Durable goods spending on new versus used goods by type, UMRS marina users ................ ........................

129

Sampling errors for durable goods spending estimates, UMRS marina users .............. ........................

130

4

3

111.

Durable goods spending on new versus used goods by type, UMRS dock owners ............... .........................

Other annual or durable goods expenses by type, dock owners .................. ...........................

j

3 U

5 I

U

I 3

Table 18

I I I! I I I I I I I I I I I I

I5

Other annual or durable goods expenses b-: . . marina users . . . . . . . . . ..

'

-'pe MRS

. . . ....

.

I In

1936.

Congress authorized a stud',- to assess

of recreation in This study,

the Upper Mississippi

River Sy.'sterm

administered by the Corps of Engineers,

supervised by a multi-agency

the economic (UMRS! St-

importance

P'-b 1

a

-

Paul District,

and

5

Technical Review Team (TRT.) has two distinct

related components: 1. measurement of the amount and type of recreation use in the U>¶R5 through the use of on-site interviews at public access sites in the study area and telephone interviews of households that rent marina slips or have permitted boat docks, and 2. measurement of recreation-related spending by the respondents in component one. Durable recreation goods spending will be measured through the on-site interviews and initial phone calls, while variable trip spending will be measured with a self-administered mailback questionnaire.

PURPOSE

The purpose of this report ponent

two of the study:

UMRS.

The report is

Part One:

Part Two:

to document

measurement

divided

populations measured in

is

of recreation

related spending

in

the

into the following two parts reflecting different

the study: Developed Recreation Area Visitors: Recreation Spending on the Upper Mississippi River System

3

Dock Owners and Marina Users: Recreation Spending on the Upper Mississippi River System

Recreation Spending reported in economic

the work completed under com-

this document served as the basis

impact estimates of recreation use of the UMRS presented in

for

separate

3

reports on other aspects of this study.

I I I I

I I I I I 5DEVELOPED

PA-R T ONE

RECREATION AREA VISITORS"

REGREAfION SPENDING ON THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI RIVER SYSTEM

I I I U I I I I I I I I

I I

I I I° Ii I I I I U I I I I I I

I

This port ion of the repor- prese-nzs both 7",p ',p .:%r
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more

categories

%mong the 683 parties who ret'

than 90% reported no spending

(Table

8).

Categories

not make expenditures were: and oil

(56%),

restaurant

Eighteen percent

(18%)

in

in

many of the 33 detailed spending

which large percentages

auto/RV gas and oil

(64%),

TIrred ibaJZ

(38%),

fishing bait (71%),

of visitors

grocery (52%),

did boat gas

and film purchase

(86%).

of the full sample reported no spending at all

for the

entire trip. Estimates of average full

Sback

sample,

trip expenditures

in

all

tables are based on the

including parties who spent nothing on a given

expense questionnaire

(Appendix B)

the appropriate

statistic

trip

Thus,

spending.

left

a response blank.

are reported.

Table 8 also reports

spend money in

a given category,

spent money (i.e.

item and those who intentionThe mean including zeros

to multiply times total visitation spending means

for the full

sample,

to estimate

is total

including zeroes.

the percentages of visitors

who did not

along with the average expenses

omitting the zeros).

The mail-

was designed to distinguish between

those who actually spent nothing on a particular ally or unintentionally

item.

for those who

The means without zeros should not be

used to expand the data to population totals.

3

Trip Spending by Category. 33 specific

the subtotals,

the largest proportion of spending was for food and beverages

trip

expense categories

followed by auto and RV (21%),

laneous

items (film,

and activity

souvenirs,

the total

footwear,

lodging

clothing--ll%).

(12%),

(the

bulk of the interviews

Among

and miscel-

Fishing,

hunting goods and services accounted

hunting,

spending. for only 1% of

were conducted primarily in

nonhunting

seasons). Table 9A reports the detailed trip spending categories.

Spending is

Table 9B.

in

Variations

trip

is

based,

boaters

and nonresidents to spend more in

ing spend relatively high proportions beverages

in

spending profiles across segments confirm the

segments to spend more on lodging, items,

spending profiles by segment and 33

summarized within 8 aggregated categories

hypotheses on which our segmentation

I

boat (14%),

and eight subtotals.

fees accounted for the remaining 6% of total trip

Spending for trip-related

3

per trip

average across

(33%),

3

Table 8 shows the distribution of the $72

all

That is,

we expect overnight

to spend more on boating-related categories.

of their total

trip

(44% for residents and 53% for nonresidents).

Day users not boatexpenses on food and Day users who boat

U Table 98. Average trip spending for item subtotals

(S per party per tr'p),

RIO/8 0=~259)

Item

Lodging

In 30

Out 30

Total

r~5

RDN % Item in

X item

Pct.

Total

Error

In 30

Out 30

Total

in

Total

Pct, Ecrr-

0.00

0.00

0.00

0%

0%

0.00

0.00

0.00

0%

Food and beverage

12.15

2.12

14.27

26%

11%

7.73

2.11

9.84

44A

1%

Auto and RV

10.16

1.98

12.14

22%

22%

3.86

1.36

5.22

24%

16%

Boat

15.49

1.10

16.59

30%

21%

0.00

0.00

0.00

0%

0%

Fishing

2.63

0.39

3.02

5%

27%

1.07

0.05

1.12

5%

21%

c%

Hunting

0.76

0.23

0.99

2%

27%

0.29

0.00

0.29

1%

ICC%

Activity Fees

0.29

0.00

0.29

1%

48%

0.00

0.51

0.51

2%

57%

Miscellaneous

6.94

0.53

7.47

14%

36%

2.36

0.85

3.21

14%

36%

48.80

6.33

55.13

100%

13%

16.59

5.56

22.15

Total

NR/O/B Cn=30)

Out 30

14%

NR!0/NS (n.39) % Item

In 30

100%

Total

Pct.

in Total

Error

In 30

Out 30

Total

% Item

Pct.

in Total

Error

0.00

0.00

0.00

0%

0%

0.00

0.00

0.00

0%

0%

11.63

4.84

16.47

34%

30%

9.92

7.54

17.46

53%

25%

Auto and RV

8.90

7.27

16.17

33%

20%

2.77

5.46

8.23

25%

21%

Boat

9.07

2.70

11.77

24%

19%

0.00

0.00

0.00

0%

0%

Fishing

1.63

0.34

1.97

4%

31%

0.79

0.29

1.08

3%

54%

Hunting

0.40

0.00

0.40

1%

100%

0.00

0.92

0.92

3%

130%

Activity Fees

0.00

0.00

0.00

OX

0%

0.05

2.03

2.08

6%

89%

Miscellaneous

0.23

0.57

0.80

2%

52%

3.03

0.00

3.03

9%

57%/

31.87

16.43

48.30

100%

20%

16.56

16.23

32.79

100%

23%

Lodging Food and beverage

Total

R/OVN (n=58)

NR/OVd % Item

in 30

Out 30

Total

% Item

Error

In 30

Out 30

Total

in

Total

Pct.

22.45

16.45

38.90

18%

25%

29.05

15.93

44.98

23%

15%

Food and beverage

37.93

25.36

63.29

30%

20%

43.99

23.96

67.95

34%

10%

Auto and RV

21.24

23.88

45.12

21%

30%

14.92

17.97

32.89

17%

12%

Boat

16.72

7.81

24.53

12%

37%

12.75

6.55

19.30

10%

24%

Fishing

2.81

0.19

3.00

1%

25%

3.09

0.37

3.46

2%

27%

Hunting

0.31

0.26

0.57

0%

70%

0.42

0.57

0.99

1%

56%

Activity Fees

2.12

5.52

7.64

4%

46%

1.93

2.83

4.76

2%

44%

Miscellaneous

7.09

17.25

24.34

12%

39%

14.15

4.66

18.81

10%

25%

113.02

97.84

210.86

100%

24%

121.88

75.26

197.14

100%

9%

R/NR: Resident /Nonresident

of UMRS

U

3 I

B/NB: Boater /Nonboater D/OVN: Day users /Overnight

3

Error

Lodging

Total

I

(n=110)

Pct.

in Total

5

users

Pct.Error: Standard error of the mean as a percentage of the mean.

32

Two standard errors yield a 95% confidence

interval.

I I

divide their expenses more evenly among

food and beverages.

aitoR',

and boa:-

related costs.

S

Variation Across Regions.

Table

10 compares

trip spending according to desti-

nation region (where party was interviewed). tain sites

The four geographic

regions con-

on both banks of the river and thus do not correspond to state

boundaries.

Given that the river itself

or the other,

may confine expenditures

further analyses with different

to one side

regional boundaries

(e.g.,

bv

state) are recommended. The most striking feature of Table 10 is

3

tency in

spending profiles across regions.

per trip

inthe Rock Island District to $109 per trip

trict.

The Rock Island and St.

to 85% in

little

consis-

spending ranges from $60 in

the St.

Paul Dis-

proportion spent on miscellaneous St.

Paul District

(39%).

River Waterway.

spent on lodging and food and a higher

items in

the St.

Louis District.

The

and sightseer subgroup also display similar profiles except

lodging and boating expenses, Waterway reported,

the Illinois

Louis District profiles are the most similar,

with the exception of lower proportions

Sin

Average

is

The proportion of spending within 30 miles of the interview site

varies from 51% among sightseers

1

that there

by far,

Parties interviewed

in

the Illinois

River

the largest percentage of costs related to boating

These groups also incurred the lowest proportion of lodging expenses

(2%). Comparisons by region alone do not necessarily account for the variations ences.

in

spending profiles. For example,

Other factors may interact with regional

differences

in

the percentages

of visitors

the six segments account for some of the regional variation. St.

Louis,

and Illinois

Day users have fewer trip-related

3

(see Table

The Rock Island,

5 and Appendix Table C-I).

expenses than overnight visitors.

and sightseers contained a

nonresidents who were staying overnight. sample

from each of

River regions contained a much higher percentage of

day users than the other two regions

St. Paul District

influ-

In

included the largest ratio of boaters

The

relatively high proportion of addition, (84%).

the St.

Due

Paul District

to the uncertainty

concerning the extent to which regions may be influencing these variations, the full

I

I

sample spending profiles

(Table 8)

may be more reliable than the

regional sample estimates for assessing regional impacts.

3 33

-4 z

0

a)

0

al

-

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lAr

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m

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ale -tA34 -~ .R

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(-1 -4

~-

0

ul

x

I* J.'

CN

-

00~-

4-I4

-41 C'

*N

-

o

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-

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(D0

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-

-L

3ZC'N34

a

-O~~ 4C

(3

ý-

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a4 ac'Ne-J

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.

C

eaNrN-N.1'

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w3-4

4rý

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L

-

(3.-

0

-4. C7

4) 0.

0r

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r4 0A41

C)L

,

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004L

aý -4 r4

wl

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00al

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I

5

Resident vs.

Nonresident

Spending.

spending by origin of visitor residents

bdblc

of the UMRS were divided

ib

oIrir

For this analsls.

into two subcategories: (defined

or

(1)

Local. visitors

operationally as in

the same

county),

and (2)

Visitors

from outside the UMRS region make up the third category based on

visitor a

origins.

third (33%)

UMRS residents living more than 30 miles from the site.

Forty percent of visitors

live within the UMRS,

live within 30 miles of the site,

but beyond 30 miles,

and 24%

reside out-

side the UMRS. The location where the spending occurred is (1)

within 30 miles of the site,

and (2)

About two thirds view site

(68%)

of trip

divided into two groups:

ou-side of 30 miles.

tion of spending outside of 30 miles will still

spending occurred within 30 miles of the inrer-

and one-third was spent outside 30 miles.

conservatively estimate

A small por-

be within the UMKRS region.

mate how much of the spending outside of 30 miles is

3 3

i

:h:

and location of spending.

living within 30 miles of the site

3

!i

that at least 85% of all

We cannot directly estiwithin the UMRS,

but

trip spending by visitors

to

the UMRS occurred within the UMRS region. To obtain the portions of total spending takes place, trip

trip

I in Table 11).

weighted according to the numbers of trips

dents).

The three

segments must then be

that each generates

33% by UMRS residents living beyond 30 miles,

This is

1000 party trips

done by generating total in

and where the

we begin with the distribution of spending on a typical

for each segment (Step

residents,

spending by residence

step 2.

(40% by local

and 26% bv nonresi-

spending for a representative

These figures are

set of

then converted to percentages

in step 3.

3spLocal 3

visitors

residents account for about a

UMRS).

(43%)

of all

trip

costs are spent locally by visitors UMRS residents

About one fourth (24%)

of local spending is

spending estimates.

Table 12B indicates,

in

of

by local residents.

The "percent error"

683 cases, 35

is

Presenting

interpretation of variance.

that for all

from outside of the

Table 12 reports sampling errors asso-

error divided by the mean and multiplied by 100. error as a percentage aids

Forty-three per-

from outside 30 miles and nonresidents

Errors inEstimates of Trip Spending. ciated with trip

I

spending (32%),

from outside the UMRS contribute 44% of the total and other residents

local area (includes

3

trip

of the UMRS from beyond 30 miles make up the remaining 23%. cent

I

third of all

the standard the standard

For example,

the error associated with the

U Table 11. Distribution of trip spendin.g b- :eret UMRS stud- (1989-90). Percent Spending of Within trirs UMRS STEP 1: Residents within 30 UMRS Resident UMRS Nonresident Total

40% 34% 26% 100%

Residents within 30 (400 tri UMRS Resident (240 trips) UMRS Nonresident (260 trips) Total (1000 trips)

Residents within 30 UMRS Resident UMRS Nonresident Total

i

Spending

Tota,

U:MRS

Spending

OuDtside

Trip

£

Dollars per part',; per trip --------

STEP 2:

STEP 3:

aLd regior

48.78 39.13 83.85 49.45*

16,08 17.31 52.54 23.02*

64.86 56.44 136.39 72.47*

I

--- Trip Spending per 1,000 Party-Trips---

19,720 13,024 22,046 54,789 --- Percent

6,500 5.761 13,814 26,075

26,220 18,785 35,859 80,864

of Total Trip Spending-

24% 16% 27% 68%

8% 7% 17% 32%

5

---

32% 23% 44% 100%

NOTES: I. (*) Averages have been corrected for nonresponse bias by weighing by the proportion of visitor segments found in the full (on-site) sample. 2. Entries in step 2 obtained by multiplying per trip figures in step 1 by 400 trips (residents within 30 miles of site), 240 trips ,other UMRS residents), and 260 trips (nonresidents of UMRS), respectively. 3. Percentages in step 3 obtained by dividing step 2 figures by the total ($80,864).

3 I

I

I

I I 36

I I

I Table

12A.

SeL

te ms,

3

5

U I I I

UMR S std

I' SQ

Item

Me:in

Hotel Campgrounds Grocery Restaurant Auto/RV gas & oil Auto/RV rental Auto/RV repairs Auco/RV tires Auco/RV parts Auto/RV parking & tolls Boat gas & oil

7.56

Err-or

E1rr0r

>'-..irr-

1,48 i1 51 12 29

1.2665 0.42 0.%6 1.11

12.23 0.-3 0.48 1.03 0.30 0.20 5.86

0.90 0 50 0.23 0.5i 0.21 0.05 0.60

49%

0.01

70% -Y. 10 L0 ý

0 09 -ý 66

0 0.31 7-C36

Boat rental Boat repairs

0.10 1.00

0.10 0.52

100% 52%

(0) (0)

0.30 2.0Q

Boat parts Boat launch fees Boat fares Fishing license Boat charter fee Fishing bait Hunting license Ammunition Equipment rental Guide fees Spectator sports fee Tourist attraction fee Other recreation fee Film purchase Film developing Souvenirs Footwear Men's clothing Women's clothing All other

z.17 1.16 0.06 0.48 0.01 1.75 0.15 0.55 0.30 0.11 0.11 0.64 0.40 1.39 0.84 1.92

0.86 0.52 0.04 0.23 0.01 0.22 0.08 0.13 0.13 0.09 0.07 0.27 0.16 0.25 0.18 0.56

39% 45% 61%

0.46 0.12 .0" 0,02 (0) 1.31 (0) 0.30 0.05 (0) (0) 0.09 0.07

3A88 2.20 0.13

1.07 1.11 1.92 1.58

0.33 0.34 0.44 0.44

31% 30% 23% 28%

0.41 0.44 1.05 0.71

72.47

5.99

8%

60.49

Total

I

r

""

Pct.

Error:

.

612 13 7.Y 64

47%

91% 12% 55% 23% 42% 83% 66% 43% 41% 18% 22% 29%

14

I

(0)

37

0.03 2.19 0.31 0.80 0.55 0.29 0.26 1,19 0.73 1.90 1-20 3.03

0.88 0.-8 0.81

Standard error of the mean as a percentage of the mean. standard errors yield a 95% confidence interval.

3

0,94

1.73 .178 2.79 2.45

84.45 Two

I Table 12B.

Selected statistics for trip

&eciL2;b*

::.ajo.

bca:egori~s :•

by segment. By Maior Category Lodging Food & beverage Auto and RV Boat Fishing Hunting Activity Fees Miscellaneous By Segment R/D/B R/D/NB R/OVN NR/D/B NR/D/NB NR/OVN Total

Weighted Mean

Std. Error

Pct, Error

CI Mean-

9.04 23.80 14.97 10.35 2.24 0.70 1.56 8.25

1.37 1,76 1.59 1.58 0.33 0.15 0.44 1.44

55.13 16.59 210.86 48.30 32.79 197.14

7.00 3.11 51.24 9.51 7.65 18.71

13% 14% 24% 20% 23% 9%

41.13 10.37 108.38 29.28 1- 49 159.72

72.47

5.99

8%

60.49

15% 7%y !1% 15% Z.18 15% 22% 28% 17%

6.29 20,29 11.79 1.58 0.39 0.69 5.37

Meana 11.79 27-31 18,16 137A2 2 90 1.01 2.31 ii L '3

69.13 22.81 313 . 6-.32 48,09 234 56

I i I I I I I I I I

3 hunting categor.' mean is food/beverage

mean:

3 times

22% vs.

The standard error

7%,

7:ihan

rea

mean.

for the estimate

interval for the mean is

Thus,

i

errc

thae

respectiivel,.

minus 8 percent of the mean of $72.47 confidence

e

of total

trip spendin.

per trip :Table

is

plus or

The -A. 95 percent

two standard errors on eit:her side of the

the 95 percent confidence

estimate

is

for trip

spending estimates by segment

interval

for the overall

between $60.49 and $84.45 per party per trip.

trip

spending

Ihe standard errors

range from 9 to 24 percent

of the means

(Table 12B). The standard error of the mean decreases example, 20%,

the highest percent errors for any of the 6 segments in

23%,

and 24%.

nonboaters;

day use boaters;

resident overnight visitors,

for the average

12B are

repeated samples.

nonresident,

day use

respectively).

The standard error also reflects about the mean in

Table

For

These percentages are associated with the segments with

the smallest sample sizes (nonresident,

I

as sample size increases.

the dispersion of sample estimates

In

Table

12B,

spending on activity fees results

for example,

the 28% error

from a high variance

in

activity fee expenses.

Durable Goods Spending During the 1-year study period, more durable goods

(53%)

(Table 13,

List 1) and 29% had brought one or more smaller durable

(Table

List 2).

13,

segments,

goods

item,

Ninety-four percent

(94%)

of day users who boated on

compared with 19% of day users who did

with those boating or camping most likely to bring durable equip-

ment.

UMRS residents were more likely than nonresidents

goods,

largely due

to bring durable

to a higher incidence of boating among residents

(Table 14).

tor spent the equivalent of $56

I

items

Sixty-two percent (62%) of overnight visitors brought a durable

Durable Goods Spending Per Trip.

5

items

The propensity to bring durable goods varied with user

as expected.

not boat.

*

for use on the UMRS.

brought one or more major durable goods

the UMRS brought a durable goods item,

3

parties brought one or

items with them on the sampled trip

Fifty-three percent

3

59% of visiting

used for recreation on the UMRS; durable goods and $7

Within the past year, per party per trip

on durable items

$49 dollars per trip

for smaller items. 39

Of the $56

the average UMRS visithat were

was spent for major in

durable spending. $28

U Table 13.

Durable goods equipment

Used on this trip Equipment List No. I

items and codes,

-,.RS Sztd ,

-

Used on this trip and purchased within the last 12 montths Equi ment ListzNo. 2 coe

Code

BOATING

g

BOATING

Motorized Boat Nonmotorized boat Other boating Jet Ski Sailboard Boat engines, outboard motors Boat trailer Combination boat, motor, trailer

W'ater skis and equipment Boat accessories

10 11 12 13 14 15 16 19

FISHING Rods, reels, poles Seines, traps, and nets Depth and fish finders Fishing vests and other clothing Rubber boots, waders Trolling motors Tackle, lures, flies

CAMPING Motor home Travel trailer Pop-up trailer Pickup camper Converted van or bus Other camping

40 41 42 43 44 45

20 21 22 23 24 25 26

HUNTING

OTHER MOTORIZED VEHICLES Snowmobiles Trail bikes, scooters 3 or 4-wheelers Other vehicles

17 IS

50 51 52 53

Rifles, shotguns, handguns, muzzleloaders

30

Bows, arrows and other archery equipment Decoys Carriers and cases Hunting boots Rubber boots and waders Hunting clothing

31 32 33 34 35 36

U

I

OTHER EQUIPMENT Other trailers Other major equipment

60 61

Tents, sleeping bags. backpacks Camping vehicle accessories

46 47

U

OTHER RECREATIONAL EQUIPMENT Bicycles Other minor equipment

Notes:

62 63

Equipment list no. I conteins items that were purchased in any previous year and used on the current trip. Equipment list no. 2 contains items purchased within the last 12 months and used on the current trip. The durable goods equipment card, on which this table is

based,

is

found in Appendix A.

40

0 I

I Table 14. Percenrz:ge oi segment LST SEGMENT

,

EITHER

PC

Pc:

PCT

R/D/B

480

9Qh

44%

95%

R/D/NB R/OVN

405 84

6% 67%

17% 29%

20Z 71%

UMRS Residents

969

55%

31%

61%

60

93%

34%

92%

95 192 347

6% 52% 39%

15% 20% 33%

I8% 58% 53%

1,316

53%

29%

50%

NR/D/B NR/D/NB NR/OVN Nonresidents TOTAL a.

List 1 includes all

major durable

goods brought on the trip

for

use on UMRS b.

List 2 includes smaller durable goods purchased within the past year and used on the UMRS.

I I I I I I I I £ 14

I was for boating equipment. gear,

$22

for

'r.....

and about $1 for everything else About half

place within the UMRS

Tdble

region.

Of $26

for fishing gear,

and less

spentJ

-oiiars

dollars per trip

about $4

The tendency' of visitors

items.

than $1 for other

took

spent within the UM.IS

$5 on camping vehicles,

$16 was spent on boating equipment,

region,

15ý.

goods spending

of all durable

46%)

tS r

I

to purchase durable goods within the UMRS varied across segments and durable spending on fishing gear

79% of all

By major category of equipment,

items.

and 58% of spending on boating equipment was within the UMRS,

while only 24%

of spending on camping equipment occurred within the region (Table residents were more likely than nonresidents region.

Sixty-eight percent

(68%)

16).

UMRS

to buy durable goods within the

of resident durable goods spending occurred

5 3

within the UMRS as compared to 16% for nonresidents.

Durable Goods Spending by Segment.

Durable goods spending,

ing, varied considerably by visitor

segment.

like trip

spend-

Nonresidents spent $89

dollars

per trip

on durable goods as compared to $44 for UMRS residents.

visitors

spent the largest amounts on durable

camping vehicle purchases. purchases and account

Boaters also

goods,

for the majority of all

Overnight

primarily due

reported significant

to large

durable goods

3

The distribution of durable goods spending by visitor the spending takes place is for 58% of all

summarized in

durable goods spending.

Table 17.

the crucial spending is

durable goods,

origin and where

UMRS residents accounted

Just under half (46%)

goods spending occurred within the UMRS region.

of all

durable

For regional economic

impact

that of nonresidents within the UMRS.

For

nonresident spending within the UMRS was only 7% of the total,

or the equivalent of $4 per party-trip.

i

Durable Goods Spending Estimates by Individual Items. visitor

parties reported 1,732

major durable gooas such as boats, (Table

13,

List i),

goods,

About 60% of the

engines,

while 40% were

accessories and other smaller

The sample of 1,316

durable items or groups of items that were

brought with them for use on the UMRS.

cles

3

durable goods spending

(Table 15).

analysis

I

items

trailers,

and recreational

fishing tackle,

(Table

13,

List 2).

items reported were

items (List i)

vehi-

boating and camping For smaller durable

only items purchased within the past year were recorded.

fourth of major durable

About one

were bought within the past year,

42

3

and

3

ccI ~0

S

C!O000

0

40 0

Lj U

000

0

N

M

0

C

'r

Cý ItOP In

U0.

L' ul

00 4A

cc

n

'0

0~~ Z-

~

'

-

0. "'

~0

0m0

00

r4~



. r

40

::0.

4J tNN

.--

-4-

Ln(

In

0.UN 0!'0

10

ý

;2

0*0. r

07,

U 00

to.S

arN

c

U'

ew

00 S.-t

U,

An

Z z

z

4A

co 0 o2 90 443

I Table 16.

Percent of durable

goods expendit'res

occurrin; wi th

'MRS-n

region by segment and type

SEGMENT UMRS Residents R/D/B R/D/NB R/OVN RESIDENT TOTAL

BOAT

Type of Durable Equipment HUNT FISH C.kMP

OTHER

TOTAL

74% 72% 69% 67%

NR NR 58% 62%

86% 86% 87% 86%

NR NR NR NR

NR NR .'R NR

76% 78% 61% 68%

NonResidents NR/D/B NR/D/NB NR/OVN NONRESIDENT TOTAL

22% 86% 41% 32%

NR

44%

NR

.NR

NR 7% 7%

39% 37% 39%

NR NR NR

NR NR NR

25% 42%

TOTAL

58%

24%

79%

59%

76%

15% 16% 46%

I

NR - Estimate unreliable due to small samples.

4

a I I I I I I I 44!

U Table

ISTEP

17

tu,:.c •oouj Diszritbizion or JurabL•

1:

UMRS Resident Nonresident Total STEP 2:

i i

spI

Percent of

stendinrz hithin

Tritps

VM-RS

-------

Spending 'tsjde !'MRS

Dollars per party per trip 30.10 14.34 25.95

74% 26% 100% -------

deon

2•o."

13.85 7483 29.93

:otal Durable Spending ---------43.95 89.17 55.87

Durable spending per 1,000 trips -----22,277 3,729 26,006

UMRS Resident (740 trips) NonResident (260 trips) Total (1000 trips)

10.247 19,455 29.702

32.524 23,185 55,708

STEP 3: UMRS Resident Nonresident Total

3

- -------Percent of total durable spending ----58% 18% 40% 35% 42% 7% 46% 54% 100%

a. Entries in step 2 obtained by multiplying per trip figures in step I by and 260 nonresident trips, respectively. 740 resident trips Percentages in step 3 obtained by dividing step 2 figures by the total b.

($55,708).

I I i I

I I I I

45

one half were purchased within the past 6 .ears. account for the preponderance stitutes

of major durable

Boats. goods.

engines and trailers

Fishing equipment

con-

the vast majority of smaller durable goods reported. Spending reported by UMRS visitors

rized in

Table 18.

used to generate and 19B.

The "Subgroup

on individual

Percentages"

in

durable

is

in

Tables 19A

durable goods purchased within the past 6 years,

items within that category.

ing gear is

58% of spending on fish-

allocated to "rods and reels" and 68% of camping expenses

cated to "motorhomes." the number

For example,

The subgroup percentages

of items purchased

in

column of Table 18 illustrates subgroup spending totals on boating equipment

allo-

are calculated by multiplying cost per item

category by the subgroup total.

The final

items.

For example,

the $28.37

3 £

spent

distributed to the 10 kinds of boating items using the

I

subgroup percentages. The percentages

I

how these percentages are used to allocate to individual

is

is

the last 6 years by the average

and then dividing each individual

I

we esti-

mated the percentage of spending on each major category to be allocated to individual

3

sun'ma-

column 8 of this table were

the detailed durable goods spending profiles

Using all

items

U 5

for the full

profiles for both totals

sample are used to develop the detailed

and individual segments.

This avoids

some of the

5

problems associated with small sample sizes for some segments and individual durable

items.

(boating,

The procedure allows

camping,

fishing,

etc.)

the totals

for subgroups of durable

to vary across segments,

while generating

estimates for individual categories without excessive distortions be caused by small samples for particular segments and a for individual

durable items.

that could

few large expenses

The resulting detailed spending profiles

the six segments are reported in

Table 19.

items

Table 19A reports all

for

durable goods

spending and Table 19B reports durable goods spending within the UMRS. Corresponding tables for the original 12 segments are included in dix C (Tables C-4,

C-5,

C-6 and C-7).

but caution is

for segments with less than 50 cases.

urged in

using results

These detailed durable goods

profiles can be bridged directly to IMPLAN sectors in

Appen-

spending

the same way as the trip

spending profiles.

Variations by Re2ion.

Direct estimates

from the sample of durable goods

spending at regional levels were deemed unreliable due to the usual small sample and high variance problems.

1 3 I

We therefore used two indirect methods to

estimate durable goods spending by region. 46

The first

approach estimates

I

I 5

Table 18. Spending

On nuraDte gocos ny type, .MRS ALL ITEMS N $S per

CATEGORY

.,'t:rs

ITEMS P.RCHASED 1N .AS' 6 YEARS N St per Total COs PCt Of Pct of S$ per !tem $otaý Snr-p ;arty-rtp

Iitem Motor boat Non-Motor Other boats Jet ski Sailboard Boat engines

175 24 4 5 1 139

277.53 190.38 5.61 1,000.99 0.00 63.44

69 10 4 5 0 79

465.37 83.75 5.61 1,000.99 0.00 75.97

32.1 0.8 0.0 5.0 0.0 6.0

7.3% 0.2% 0.0% 1.1% 0.0% 1.4%

14.0% 0..% 0.0% 2.2% 0.0% 2.6%

3.;8 0.10 0.00 0.62 0.00 0.74

Boat trailer Waterski Boat accessories Boat/engine/ trailer comb. BOAT TOTAL

146 72

49.23 15.89

88 72

36.14 15.89

3.2 6.9

0.7% 1.6%

1.4% 3.0%

0.39 0.85

97

11.75

96

11.86

6.8

1.6%

3.0%

3.85

431 1,094

599.55 306.09

202 625

830.68 365.84

167.8 228.6

38.2% 52.1%

73.4% 100%

20.82 28.37

Rods & reeLs Nets, traps Depth finders Fishing

280 33 61

12.67 11.13 13.41

277 33 60

12.75 11.13 13.63

21.2 2.2 4.9

4.8% 0.5% 1.1¶%

58.4% 6.1%

2.77 0.29

13.5%

0.64

clothing

61

3.72

61

3.72

1.4

0.3%

3.8%

0.18

52

3.25

52

3.25

1.0

0.2%

2.8%

0.13

49 536

18.97 11.30

49 532

18.97 68.16

5.6 36.3

1.3% 8.3%

15.4% 100%

0.73 4.74

8 2 1 4 2

51.49 1.03 0.20 1.03 0.59

8 2 1 4 2

51.49 1.03 0.20 1.03 0.59

2.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

86.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.9% 0.2%

0.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

8 25

6.99 19.02

8 25

6.99 114.10

0.3 2.9

0.1% 0.6%

11.8% 100%

0.04 0.37

13

10,851.72

10

11,457.23

114.6

68.0%

14.93

25

2,213.79

13

3,008.38

3

559.66

1

1,166.67

39.1 1.2

8.9% 9.3%

23.2% 0.7%

5.10 0.15

Boots & waders Trotting motors FISH TOTAL

Rifles Decoys Carriers Hunting boots Rubber boots Hunting clothing HUNT TOTAL

Motor home Travel trailer Pop-up trailer

26.1%

S~Pickup camper Van/buJs conversion

3

566.67

1

0.00

0.0

0.0%

0.0%

0.00

3

5,227.27

2

6,590.91

13.2

3.0%

7.8%

1.72

Ot. r camp Tents CAMP TOTAL

2 6

156.46 19.00

0 5

0.00 17.08

0.0 0.5

0.0.% 0.1%

0.0% 0.3%

0.00 0.07

55

3,925.54

32

5,266.95

168.5

38.4%

100%

21.96

Other trailer Other equip Bikes Other OTHER TOTAL

5 4 5 8 22

11.02 12.69 35.29 49.52 30.84

3 4 3 8 18

15.52 12.69 23.85 49.52 161.32

0.0 0.1

0.0% 0.0%

1.6% 1.7%

0.01 0.01

0.4 2.4 2.9

0.1% 0.5% 1.7"%

14.8% 81.9% 100%

0.06 0.35 0.43

1,732

322.16

1,232

318.53

439.2

100.0%

ALL ITEMS TOTAL

I I I

a.

All expense variables expressed on a per trip basis.

b.

List 2 items multiplied by six to obtain 6-year total.

47

55.87

U Table 19A.

Duraote goods spending by iegment and categcry ,$ per oarzy-tr~p)

-ALL

SEGMENTS CATEGORY

R/D/B

R/D/NB

RES/OVN

SPE40;NG UMRS

NR/D/B

NR/D/NS

Non-

NR/CVN Resident Residents

TOTAL

Motor boat

6.70

0.05

3.16

6.97

0.01

4.48

3.96

4.04

3.98

Nornmotorized boat

0.17

0.00

0.08

0.18

0.00

0.12

0D10

0.11

0.10

Other boats

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

Jet ski

1.05

0.01

0.49

1.09

0.00

0.70

0.62

0.63

0.62

SaiLboard

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

Boat engines

1.25

0.01

0.59

1.30

0.00

0.84

0.74

0.76

0.74

Boat trailer

0.66

0.00

0.31

0.69

0.?0

0.44

0.39

0.40

0.39

Waterski

1.43

0.01

0.68

1.49

0.

0.96

0.85

0.86

0.85

Boat accessories

1.43

0.01

0.67

1.48

0.00

0.95

0.84

0.86

0.85

Boat/engine/traiter c 35.04

0.24

16.52

36.41

0.03

23.42

20.71

21.12

20.82

Rods & reels

5.44

0.66

2.21

2.34

0.76

1.94

3.16

1.68

2.77

Nets,

0.57

0.07

0.23

0.24

0.08

0.20

0.33

0.18

0.29

Depth finders Fishing clothing

1.26 0.35

0.15 0.04

0.51 0.14

0.54 0.15

0.18 0.05

0.45 0.12

0.73 0.20

0.39 0.11

0.64 0.18

Boots & waders

0.26

0.03

0.11

0.11

0.04

0.09

0.15

0.08

0.13

Trotting motors

1.43

0.17

0.58

0.62

0.20

0.51

0.83

0.44

0.73

Rifles

0.71

0.14

0.01

0.01

0.00

Decoys

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.13 0.00

0.41 0.00

0.07 0.00

0.32 0.00

Carriers and cases

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

Hunting boots

0.01

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

Rubber boots

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

Hunting cLothing

0.10

0.02

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.02

0.06

0.01

0.04

Motor home

1.32

0.39

64.02

0.44

0.02

70.04

6.37

38.84

14.93

Travel trailer

0.45

0.13

21.85

0.15

0.01

23.91

2.17

13.26

5.10

Pop-up trailer

0.01

0.00

0.65

0.00

0.00

0.71

0.06

0.40

0.15

Pickup camper

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

Van/bus conversion

0.15

0.05

7.37

0.05

0.00

8.06

0.73

4.47

1.72

Other camp

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

Tents

0.01

0.00

0.29

0.00

0.00

0.31

0.03

0.17

0.07

Other trailer

0.01

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.01

0.01

0.00

0.01I

Other equip

0.01

0.00

0.00

0.01

0.00

0.01

0.01

0.01

0.01

Bikes

0.12

0.02

0.02

0.05

0.00

0.06

0.07

0.04

0.06

Other

0.69

0.10

0.13

0.25

0.01

0.35

0.39

0.24

0.35

BOAT

47.74

0.32

22.52

49.61

0.04

31.91

28.22

28.78

28.37

FISH

9.31

1.12

3.78

4.00

1.29

3.32

5.41

2.88

4.74

HUNT

0.82

0.16

0.01

0.01

0.00

0.15

0.47

0.09

0.37

CAMP

1.94

OTHER

0.84

0.58 0.12

94.17 0.16

0.65 0.31

0.04 0.02

103.03 0.43

9.37 0.48

57.13 0.29

21.96 0.43

TOTAL

60.65

2.30

120.65

54.58

1.39

138.83

43.95

89.17

55.87

traps

I

I

I

CATEGORY TOTALS

4 48

I I

i

3

Table 198.

Durable goods spending by segment and category (S per party-trp) within ,MRS SEGMENTS

CATEGORY

R/D/B

jMRS NR/OiNB

NRIOVN

Resident Resic

MGMits

TOTAL

4.98

0.03

2.18

1.56

0.01

32

2.67

1.28

2.30

0.13

0.00

0.06

0.04

0.00

0.05

0.07

0.03

0.06

Other boats

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

Jet ski

0.78

0.01

0.34

0.24

0.00

0.28

0.42

0.20

0.36

Sailboard

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

Boat engines

0.93

0.01

0.41

0.29

0.00

0.34

0.50

0.24

0.43

Boat trailer

0.49

0.00

0.22

0.15

0.00

0.18

0.26

0.13

0.23

Waterski

1.06

0.01

0.47

0.33

0.00

0.39

0.57

0.27

0.49

Boat accessories

1.06

0.01

0.46

0.33

0.00

0.39

0.57

0.27

0.49

0.17 0.56

11.40 1.92

8.14 1.04

0.03 0.30

9.51 0.73

13.94 2.72

6.68 0.66

12.00 2.14

traps

0.49

0.06

0.20

0.11

0.03

0.08

0.28

0.07

0.22

Depth finders

1.08

0.13

0.45

0.24

0.07

0,17

0.63

0.15

0.50

Fishing clothing

0.30

0.04

0.12

0.07

0.02

0.05

0.18

0.04

0.14

"Boots

0.22

0.03

0.09

0.05

0.01

0.03

0.13

0.03

0.10

Trolling motors

1.23

0.15

0.51

0.27

0.08

0.19

0.72

0.17

0.56

RifLes

0.46

0.01

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.13

0.23

0.07

0.19

Decoys

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

Carriers and cases Hunting boots Rubber boots

0.00 0.00 0.00

0.00 0.00 0.00

0.00 0.00 0.00

0.00 0.00 0.00

0.00 0.00 0.00

0.00 0.00 0.00

0.00 0.00 0.00

0.00 0.00 0.00

0.00 0.00 0.00

& waders

Hunting clothing

0.06

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.02

0.03

0.01

u.Oa

Motor home

1.12

0.34

37.28

0.35

0.02

4.71

3.93

2.67

3.48

Travel trailer

0.38

0.12

12.72

0.12

0.01

1.61

1.34

0.91

1.19

Pop-up trailer

0.01

0.00

0.38

0.00

0.00

0.05

0.04

0.03

0.04

Pickup camper

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

Van/bus conversion Other camp

0.13

0.04

4.29

C.04

0.00

0.54

0.45

0.31

0.40

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

Tents

0.00

0.00

0.17

0.00

0.00

0.02

0.0-

0.01

0.02

Other trailer Other equip

0.01 0.01

0.00 0.00

0.00 0.00

0.00 0.00

0.00 0.00

0.00 0.00

0.01

0.00

0.01

0.01

0.00

0.01

Bikes

0.11

0.01

0.02

0.04

0.00

0.01

0.06

0.01

0.05

Other

0.60

0.07

0.10

0.20

0.01

0.08

0.33

0.08

0.26

35.44 8.01 0.53

0.23 0.96 0.01

15.53 3.29 0.00

11.09 1.78 0.01

0.04 0.51 0.00

12.96 1.24 0.15

19.00 4.65 0.27

9.10 1.13 0.08

16.36 3.67 0.21

CATEGORY TOTALS BOAT FISH HUNT

I I

NRý'DI

Non-Motorized boat

Nets,

I

RES/OVN

Motor boat

Boat/engine/trailer c 26.01 Rods & reels 4.68

I

R/D/NB

Region

CAMP

1.64

0.50

54.84

0.52

0.03

6.93

5.78

3.93

5.11

OTHER

0.73

0.08

0.13

0.24

0.01

0.09

0.41

0.10

0.32

TOTAL

46.35

1.79

73.79

13.64

0.59

21.37

30.13

14.34

25.67

durable expenses by region using interview site locations,

U 5

while the second

uses county FIPS codes where durable purchases were made. Estimates based on interview site locations were derived by applying the durable goods spending profiles for the six visitor segments (Table 15) distributions of visitors for each of the five regions (Table 6).

to the

This proce-

dure assumes that spending profiles for particular segments do not vary by region and that the shares of visitors by segment for each region in

the sam-

pie are representative of the population of visitors In each region.

Results

are given in Table 20 for both total durable goods spending and spending within the UMRS.

The latter should be a reasonable approximation of durable

goods spending within the smaller regions. Reflecting the differences in segment shares across regions, the St.

visitors to

not significant,

spending within the UMRS (bottom of table) are

with the exception of sightseers who spend less on durable

goods within the region than other user groups.

Sightseers were more likely

to have purchased camping vehicles than boating equipment or fishing gear,

and

camping vehicles tended to be bought near their home. In the second approach,

we directly estimated durable goods spending

within each UMRS subregion based on where the durable items were purchased. The county of purchase for each item provided by the subjects in

the on-site

interview was used to identify where durable goods were bought.

Of all durable

goods expenses accruing to the UMRS region,

Paul region,

29% in Rock Island,

33% in the St.

19% were in the St.

I 5 5

Louis region and 19% in the Illinois River

Comparing these results with Table 20 (the "Within the UMRS Region"

estimates are the appropriate figures to compare with), is

3 5

Paul region have the highest durable goods spending per party per

trip. Regional differences in

region.

I

we conclude that there

no strong evidence of significant differences among these four regions in

patterns of durable goods spending.

We therefore recommend applying the UMRS-

5

wide estimates of durable goods spending per party-trip by segment (Table 15) to generate regional estimates,

Sampling Errors.

as we have done in Table 20. ,

Sampling errors for estimates of durable expenses are

slightly larger than for trip spending in sizes (the 1,316 on-site sample is

3

spite of somewhat larger sample

used to estimate durable goods spendi-g,

compared with the sample of 683 mailback responses to estimate

trip spending).

The larger errors in durable goods sFending are due to greater variance in the

3 50

I Table 20, party- trip)

REG iON

Durable

goods

33.58 19.80 29.61 29.13 19.32

-------------St. Paul Rock Island St. Louis Illinois River Sightseers

I U I I I I I I I I

aes

Durable Goods Spendi.rng liS BOAT F iSH 'P "T"E ------- SPENDING .'-T, [, OR LTSI

St. Paul Rock Island St. Louis River Illinois Sightseers

Note:

spenrding es:

19.47 12.75 20.99 20.46 11.05

5.35 3.94 5.90 5.81 3,42

0.37 0.32 0.51 0.50 0.25

K':'

,

gor' -*T, .. RS------------26.i 15i. 9.02 7,03 33.44

0.-.9 0.35 0.53 0.52 0.32

76 21 3,4 ý5 ,5.57 .2.97 ;6.76

SPENEING WITHIN THE UMRS REGION ------4.02 3.17 4.94 4.84 2.39

0.24 0.16 0.30 0.30 0,14

8.12 5.66 3.06 2.50 5.06

0.35 0.27 0.44 0.43 0.20

Regional estimates derived by applying regional segment shares (Table 6) to the durable goods spending profiles segment (Table 15).

5

51

32.20 22.02 29. 73 28.53 18.84

by

costs of durable items.

As a percentai

durable goods are about 13" 21).

Qt

for totals,

:nE uear..

...ca.i totals,

S-nda;rn errors

>,•

-rid boai:r:g i:ems

....

?

Errors are larger for individual segments and other subcategories of Only resident day user-boater segment and fishing items are

durable goods.

near the 13% level of sampling error, ries of equipment exceed 25%.

Errors for ocher segments and catego-

The estimates for camping equipment are

particularly troublesome as large campinlg vehicles account for about 40% of durable goods expenses,

but are subject to 32% sampling errors. The sampling scheme did not obtain a sufficient number of campers to accurately portray the amount spent on camping equipment. visitors, however,

Campers are a small proportion of UMRS

but spend large amounts on durable goods.

Camping equipment is,

often used at many sites and less directly associated with the UHRS

than boating equipment.

I

Three limitations deserve some discussion: (2)

(i)

limitations due to sample

questions about representativeness of the sample with respect

segment shares,

and (3)

3 3

The estimates for boating are much more accurate.

LIMITATIONS

sizes,

I

U

to

problems in attributing durable goods purchases to

opportunities along the UM-RS.

Sample Size.

While the overall sample size of 1,316 on-site interviews and

683 mailback questionnaires are adequate to estimate the spending of an average visitor to the UMRS,

there are constraints to generating accurate esti-

mates for some subgroups of visitors.

The original set of 18 segments were

aggregated into six segments for which reasonably reliable spending profiles can be reported.

In doing so, however,

segments had to be combined.

campers and other overnight visitor

This limits the estimation of the impacts of

actions that will primarily affect smaller subgroups of visitors,

such as

campers. Unlike the previous study of 12 reservoirs, at obtaining a representative sample of users, within predefined categories tions,

(segments).

sampling plans were aimed

versus quotas of visitors

3

3

Reflecting the population distribu-

the sample therefore contains large numbers of day users and local

visitors,

and correspondingly small numbers of less frequent visitors.

Esti-

mates are therefore most reliable for the most frequently encountered user groups.

5

Nonresident and overnight user segments are represented by 52

3 I

I 3

Table

I

21,

Sampling errors

T TOTALS

for durable

Mean

S d

Err

Thner'.'a

Error

?

3

$$ $$

$55.87 $25.95

8.08 3 ,3

$il

3.66 0.81 0.22 7.08 0.23

$21 $3 l$0) $8 ($0)

$36

13%

3

BY .MAJOR DURABLE ITEM CATEGORIES $28.37 Boat $4.74 Fish $0.37 Hunt $21.96 Camp $0.43 Other

$6 $1 $36 $1

32% 53%

9.05 0.63 47.87 22.28 1.02 42.00

$43 $1 $25 $10 ($1) $55

$79 $4 $216 $99 $3 $223

15% 27% 40% 41% 74% 30%

Per Party-Trip inLocal Area

BY SEGMENTS R/D/B R/D/NB R/OVN NR/D/B NR/D/NB NR/OVN a.

$60.65 $2.30 $120.65 $54.58 $1.39 $138.83

1

3%

Pct Error - Standard error of the mean as a percentage of the mean Two standard errors yields a 95% confidence interval

I I I I I I I U

$72 $33

53

U considerably estimating groups.

smaller samples.

impacts of actions

This

liaits

the

that ycild largely.ý affecz

Some of these groups may be small in

impacts on particular areas or economic samples of off-season visitors,

Segment Shares.

numbers,

sectors.

An advantage

UM!RS visitors.

low).

based more on site

the estimates

time,

characteristics

marinas,

campers at sites

shares are The

(high or

attracted to sites variable-. or

indicates broad site (as

For

3 3 3

coverage,

contrasted with

to which sample sizes at particular

in

to total

use.

this study will be used to estimate

reliable estimates of use or segment shares cannot be made at

or sub-regional

level.

Segment shares will be more prone

level than at the aggregate

tions to smaller geographic As some of the differences (reported in

the popu-

the sampling plan.

of the sample of visitors

and times are proportionate

the subregional

of segment

and a rough measure of use

near at least once

Although the sample generated

a site

in

I

that the sample

with boat launch facilities

sites) will also depend on the degree

use of the UMRS,

is

than these stratification

boaters will be found at sites

but the representativeness

sub-

but have significant

segments will be differentially

example,

types of sites

ýhese smaller

of the distribution of segments in

However,

by region,

Distinct visitor

s~udv for

The data also contain small

of the sampling scheme

subject to sampling errors and potential biases sample was stratified

f the

such as hunters and ice anglers.

segment shares provide estimates lation of all

app'i-.tions

regions, in

Tables 5 and 6)

level.

Therefore,

to errors at

i

for applica-

independent estimates will be required.

segment shares

across the four subregions

are hard to explain,

we urge that local and

regional sources of information be used to validate or modify estimates of segment shares,

whenever possible.

Durable Goods Spending Allocations.

Durable

reported as "associated with" the UMRS. procedures In

goods spending impacts are

1e have intentionally

for assigning some portion of durable goods spending to the UMRS.

assessing the regional economic impacts of the UMRS in

goods purchases,

the question is

given a specific change on the UMRS.

in

terms of durable

the quality or quantity of recreation opportunities

and exactly what alternative

to assume that visitors

3 3

whether the item would have been purchased

The answer to this question will vary across subjects,

types of equipment, unrealistic

avoided ad hoc

can determine 54

is

being evaluated.

regions, It

I

is

their durable goods spending

i

I

U 3

behavior nities

under the all-or-none

in

the entire UMRS

alternazit.-

(Appendix A.

spending effects of marginal changes generally be small,

of

Question

in

UMRS

TThe durable

recreation

goods

opportunities will

but will depend on the availability

of substitutes which

will vary from region to region. As the purpose of this study was to generate

spending profiles that

could be applied to a variety of decisions across a range of sites,

no single

question or set of questions could determine what share of durable purchases could be validly assigned to management decisions

Sallocation

on the UMRS.

of durable goods expenses based upon where

would require each durable

that visitors

Even a simple

the equipment was used

be capable of estimating the proportions of use of

item at different

sites.

In

light of the questions about

reliability

of such reports,

instrument,

we did not attempt any such allocations.

as well as concerns

Related considerations are

involved in

about complicating

estimating trip

the survey

spending

impacts.

What management actions will lead to the gain or loss of recreation trips *

3

associated spending in

an area?

Only thirty

they would not have taken the recreation trip recreation along the UMRS." trip

Thirty-seven

the UMRS,

and 15% would visit

about half of the trips

were available would have

for

taken a

18% would have taken a trip and outside areas.

UMRS recreation opportunities

Responses to hypothetical questions,

however,

Thus.

did not

provide at best a rough

estimate of how people would actually respond to changes

in

the quality or

quantity of recreation opportunities along the UMRS. Further research demand

for recreation

on how the supply of recreation opportunities

trips and durable goods

is

several

affects

needed to better assess the

impacts of recreation policy and management alternatives.

This is

one of

important linkages between demand and economic impact assessment.

DISCUSSION

In

addition to the findings discussed above,

required an assessment of several issues. order in which

I

sites

indicated

(and probably a slightly higher proportion of all

*

I

"no

both the UMRS

spending) would be lost to the region if exist.

if

percent (37%)

to the area and visited non-river sites,

outside

3 3 3

percent of visitors

and

they appear

in

the contract for this study

These issues are discussed in

the proposal and SOW for this study.

55

the

1. What is

the most precise unit of measure?

The contract for this study required the authors' the most precise unit of measure. per party per trip,

recommendation as to

The most common choices include:

I 3 3

dollars

dollars per person per trip, dollars per party per day,

and dollars per person per day. Precision refers to the relative ability to make fine distinctions between attributes of a variable (Babbie 1986).

For example,

describing some-

one as being "six feet three inches tall" is more precise that saying "around si'- feet."

The desirability and necessity of precision depends on the purpose

of the study.

Precision and accuracy should not be confused.

person is

"six feet three inches" is

person is

"six feet ten inches" tall.

precise but inaccurate

Saying that a

if,

in fact,

the

3 3 3

The decision to measure spending in dollars per party trip had less to do with precision and more to do with the measurement,

sampling,

and analyti-

cal considerations that affect the reliability and validity of our estimates. The UMRS sampling procedures use the party trip as the unit of analysis. Consistent with this sampling unit,

trip spending was also measured on a party

trip basis and durable goods spending was converted to this basis by dividing the costs of durable goods by the number of trips to the UMRS within the past year.

The desire to estimate all expenses associated with trips to the UMRS

I

5 3

argues for a trip-based estimate and the combination on-site, mail-back procedure that was employed in

this study.

This procedure measures all spending

U

from when the party leaves home until they return home. Estimating expenses on a per person basis can reduce variance associated with different party sizes for expenses on food and souvenirs that will more likely vary with party size.

However,

it

I

adds variation for expenses

like gasoline and durable goods that do not depend much on the size of the party. basis, party.

We do not recommend attempting to measure spending on a per person as too many expenses associated with trips are shared by the traveling Another complication in per person estimates is

children.

For all of these reasons,

3

how to account for

we feel the party is

preferred as the

i

unit for measuring and reporting spending. There are also some expenses that are better explained on a per day or per night basis.

For example,

cally with length of stay.

lodging and food expenses will vary systemati-

However,

other items like transportation costs and

durable purchases depend less on length of stay than on trip distance and 56

i

3 I

U activities.

There are a number

of problems

.n

have been gathered on a per night basis Ae.g.,

n

sp~ndi..ata

that

Peire and Renfro YAM5).

First.

surveys that request spending only in the past 24 hours encounter telescoping problems and errors of omission,

including those associated with credit card

purchases or expenses paid before or at the end of the trip.

Other errors can

be caused by complications associated with a possible need to weight the sample based on length of stay or to adjust for "days vs.

nights" (i.e.

visitors incur only 3 nights lodging for a 4 day stay). related to a combination of measurement, *

Again,

overnight

for reasons

sampling and analysis considerations,

we find the trip preferred to the day or night as the temporal unit for reporting and analyzing spending data in most situations. As spending applies best to the party-trip, units of use to party trips as needed, measured in person days,

individual segments,

2.

What is

rather than vice versa,

if

use is

this entails multiplying use by a party size estimate

and a length of trip estimate.

I I

we recommend converting

These conversions should be carried out for

when party size and length of stay data permit.

sufficient sample size for segments?

The minimum sample size required to estimate spending by segment depends on the amount of sampling error one can tolerate.

Taking into account the

likelihood of a variety of potential nonsampling errors (e.g., errors,

sensitivity of measures to outliers,

measurement

nonresponse) and the expected

accuracy of use estimates which will be multiplied by spending,

3 3 3

that sampling errors of below 20% are reasonable. trip and durable goods spending are 8% and 14%, By segment,

Sampling errors for total respectively.

three of the six segments are below the 20% error threshold

for trip spending and one out of six for durable goods spending. spending (Table 12B),

For trip

the three segments that equal or exceed the 20% error

guideline contain sample sizes of less than 100 parties.

Thus,

spending, a reasonable sampling goal in

100 to 120 parties

per segment.

480 parties.

future studies is

For durable goods spending (Table 21),

the 20% error level (resident,

3

we believe

It

the only segment below

day use boaters) has a sample size of

The next lowest percent error (27%)

containing 405 parties.

for trip

is

associated with a segment

appears that future studies interested in report-

ing durable goods spending by segment would need to consider a goal of 420 to 450 parties per segment or tolerate errors larger than 20%.

U

57

Note,

however,

that this contract called for durable on an aggregate basis, with the full

10 and 20),

and implies

in

in

these differences

The degree

ment distributions sampled in

spending can be observed

is

uncertain.

regions are

there is

in

the regional

a good chance that variations

mates are adjusted for nonresponse bias,

in

signifi-

spending estiassume the

the on-site portion of the study are accurate.

regions below the full

UMRS level.

available

segment

either trip

Although there is

I

We

of segment shares for

no strong evidence

for

or durable spending across broad subregions

there will be variations for smaller regions due to types of

sites

-

segment shares across

the adjustment procedures

make use of independent estimates

of the UMRS,

in

samples of the seg-

While trip

urge that applications

in

the sample

by variables related to

random or the result of sampling bias.

major differences

3

As only a small portion of sites could be

and these were not stratified

segment shares estimated in

in

generally are not statistically

of representativeness

each region,

our segments,

that future

spending and segments?

Much of the difference can be attributable to differences

shares.

4.

14% error associated

the

sampling goal of at least 1000 parties.

While some regional variations

cant.

Thus.

of durable goods spending are required will

How much regional variation exists

(Tables

to be reported primarily

well within the 210% guideline

studies where aggregate estimates

3.

spendinz

not segment by segment.

sample is

need to consider a

goods

I 3

and the levels of local economic development.

3

How well did the study capture the most significant segments and categories

of spending?

The study design has captured the most significant segments and categories of spending.

The low proportion of campers

in

the sample

is

more a

reflection of the true nature of the study area (relatively few campgrounds) rather than some integral design flaw.

3 3

The segments with the largest sample

sizes are consistent with the use of the UMRS and the overall study design. For day users, to one.

residents of the UMRS outnumber nonresidents by more than five

Among overnight visitors,

nonresidents

were more than twice as numer-

ous as residents. Some segments have higher variances than others and may require

(and hence higher standard errors)

further disaggregation in 58

future studies.

For

1

I

I

3 3

example, size

the resident,

da'; use boater segment his

than the nonresident,

but a somewhat goods,

overnight

larger percent error

segment

were obtained.

general and in expensive,

The sample

in

is

durable goods spending.

respectivelv;).

and is

saifpme

respectively?. For durable

durable goods spending estimates

As large camping vehicles can contribute

More so than boating,

usually not bought locally,

n-l1O,

very thin for overnight visitors

particular for campers.

a small number of campers

:'ce the

for the most significant boating segments

The greatest weakness

for camping equipment.

than

(n=239 vs

(13% vs 9%,

reasonably reliable estimates

nore

is

in

are very

a large amount of total

however,

camping equipment is

likely used on trips to a variety of sites

other than the UMRS.

5.

3

What is

the sum of trip

and durable goods estimates by IMPIAN sector and

region of expenditures?

One may combine overall trip spending spending ($56

5 3

per trip. However,

per trip)

Similarly,

to obtain a

per trip

and durable goods

spending of $128

that durable and trip

spending be handled

The two classes of goods must generally be treated differently,

as durable goods tend to be purchased near home and used at many sites, most of the trip

The pattern of errors

spending estimates are also different. error

is

in

durable and trip

When an estimate with considerable

combined with a more precise estimate,

precision is

cations would suggest a focus on either durable goods or trip rately,

while

expenses occur at the destination and can be more directly

associated with a particular site.

I

per party

one may combine the local portions of these expenses.

for most analysis we urge

separately.

total

($72 per trip)

lost. Most applispending sepa-

rather than combined.

APPLICATIONS OF RESULTS

There are many ways in Before discussing

which the results of this study may be applied.

those related to spending and economic impacts,

we note

that

there are numerous analyses of the survey data set that could be carried out to support a variety of management and planning impacts.

For example,

survey data include origin-destination

descriptions of UMRS visitors

and their trips

5

I

issues not related to economic

59

to UMRS sites.

information and These data can

I be used in

addressing many planning and marketing questions

that

So bey.'ond the

scope of this report. The visitor spending analyses have been directed at estimating economic impacts of recreational

use of the UM'RS.

These analyses have been further

focused by the objective of developing final demand vectors that can be used with MICRO-IMPLAN

software.

In

can be carried out using IMPLAN,

addition to a

range of impact analyses that

the spending profile data can also be used by the trip

To derive estimates of total spending,

themselves.

and durable

spending profiles can be multiplied by estimates of party trips: total

or by segment,

some adjustments)

or (2)

for the entire UMRS region,

to individual states,

to these spending totals effects.

5 subregions,

communities or sites.

tions can be readily carried out on spreadsheets spending by sector or segment.

(1) either

in

or (with

These calcula-

to estimate shares of

Regional or local multipliers can be applied

to derive rough estimates of indirect and induced

Impact estimates can also be converted to income and employment

effects using appropriate

sales to income and sales to employment

ratios.

These procedures would be appropriate

for users who may not have ready access

to IMPLAN or who may only want quick,

aggregate

estimates of impacts.

Each of

the IMPLAN applications discussed below has a corresponding application that relies

3 3

on published multipliers or ratios rather than direct use of an input-

output model.

3 3

General IMPLAN Procedures As to applications that would directly involve IMPLAN or a similar input-output model,

the general procedures are:

(1)

Select a suitable spending profile from the tables.

(2)

In

(3)

Obtain an estimate of visits

I

some cases make adjustments to the profile. to the area.

estimate to party-trips by applying appropriate

Convert

the visitation

party size and length of stay

3

estimates. (4) segments.

Estimate the proportion of party visits

within the six defined

Multiply these proportions by the total

visits

number of party visits (5)

to estimate the

by segment.

Multiply party visits

for each segment by the appropriate

spending profile and sum across segments to estimate (6)

I

total final demand.

Bridge final demand vector to the 528 IMPLAN sectors.

60

segment

3

(7)

3-

Estimate an input-output

MICRO-IMPLAN

and run the IMPLAŽ

demand vector.

If

interested

model

for 7he desigrated region using

"Impact Analysis"

in

on the resulting final

impacts by segment,

runs can be made

for

individual segments.

U, 3

Software has been developed segment shares 1992).

It

(steps 1-4)

should be noted,

segment shares for the UMRS estimate

segment shares

in

and to carry out steps 5 and 6 that while region in

data (Stynes

the results presented in

I

3 3

sites

local data will be needed or counties

A manual

including a specialized

and Propst 1992).

is

interface with IMPLAN

to explain for these

impact applications using

this report are also contained in

The UMRS study provides a rich database

for further

this manual.

analysis.

Addi-

tional opportunities are presented by combining the UMRS data with data from other studies.

The consistency in

in

format for measuring spending within desig-

the National Study,

UMRS study,

and other studies permits

the combining of these data to (1) increase sample sizes spending estimates) sented, (2)

in

to test

The latter

3 3

to

and to vai.idate seg-

under development

Specific economic

of

SUGGESTIONS FOR FURTHER RESEARCH

nated segments

I

(Stvnes and Propst

the survey data vields estimates total,

for particular

ment shares at the regional level. the entire process

Lotus 1-2-3 version 2.0 to help estimate

for segments and durable items

the UMRS sample,

e.g.

overnight visitors

(and thus accuracy of

that are not well repreand camping equipment;

and

the generalizability of spending profiles over space and time. is

particularly

important

for applying the results of this study at

a local level. Somewhat different kinds of analysis are required to focus on local impacts, level,

as contrasted with impacts for the entire UMRS region.

the primary concern should be trip

spending,

At the local

not durable goods.

Resident segments must be defined based upon within 30 miles rather than within the UMRS and more attention should be given to origin-destination patterns of visitors.

1.

We recommend four interrelated areas

Developing models to predict variations in

tor segment variables,

site

factors,

I

to facilitate

spending based upon visi-

and characteristics

We have begun the task of recording all survey data files

trip

for further study.

of the local economy.

locational designators

spatial modeling. 61

in

the UMRS

We have also assembled

I selected economic data for all data are matched with site able

to estimate

trip

relative

must be evaluated.

."TRS region.

Tnce

designators on the sur%;ey data files,

spending models.

tion of local economic survey sites

counties within the

we will be

Matching will entail a closer examina-

regions along the UMRS.

In

particular,

locations will dictate when

3 3

locations of

to population centers and bridges spanning

Bridge

trhese

these rivers

local regions may

extend to both sides of the river.

2.

Developing guidelines

for extending the local region beyond 30 miles.

proportion of trip

spending that occurred outside 30 miles of the site

within the UHRS is

not directly available

experience indicates

that visitors

within more than two regions.

in

the survey data.

can or will not be able

is

too complex.

to report spending regions for

Instead of attempting to

directly measure spending for local regions of differing sizes, developing adjustment factors the region of interest. ing outside

but

Previous

Simply defining the appropriate

subjects at many different sites

we recommend

that can be applied to our estimates

to expand

The task involves shifting some portion of the spend-

30 miles to the "local spending" category.

The portion will

depend on how much larger a radius than 30 miles

is

chosen for the local

region.

Further analysis of origins of visitors

is

useful here,

estimate

segment shares for modified definitions of "local resident" and to

estimate

the adjustment

3.

destination analysis

is

needed to estimate demand for sites

the shares of visitors

Origin-destination

'.:_h to

3 5

Origin-

i

along the UMRS and

by resident and nonresident segments.

studies would also help in

regions within the UMRS and interregional

identifying appropriate

sub-

flows of dollars between these

i

I

regions.

4.

I

factors to be applied to the spending profiles.

Identifying origin-destination patterns of UMRS visitors.

to estimate

The

Comparing I-0 models for various counties and subregions

in

the UI.MRS.

Applications of the spending profiles will involve estimation of input-output models for the UMRS and various subregions regional economic structures provide

further guidance

of counties

for generalizing

to another.

62

thereof.

Comparisons

of the

along the UMRS are recommended estimates of impacts

to

from one area

I

I

I

Further research on durable recommended.

Household surveys

specific.

particular

site.

sperding and )cs impacts are also

offer some advantages

gathering data on durable goods. or site

goods

Durable

Spending on durable For impact analysis,

or were altered

in

goods purchases

the appropriate

quantity or quality.

These purchases

torical

Schanged

or sites

direct evidence

studies or trend analyses

whether or were not

Camping vehicles

in

partic-

and are used at mar'," sJi.c,

as

Studies to

regions with boating opportunities

of the impacts of supply on demand. in

of

Boating equipment is more susceptible

although boats too can be used at many si.es.

correlate boat sales within designated could provide more

trip

can seldom be attributed to the presence

a particular site or even set of sites. to impact analyses,

question is

the given site

ular are purchased for a variety of purposes well as at home.

are often not

for

goods often cannot be attributed to a

not the item would have been purchased if available

over On-site surveys

His-

areas where boating opportunities have

over time may shed further light on this matter.

More complete pat-

terns of where boats of various size and type are used could also be helpful

"3

in attributing boat purchases

to particular management decisions.

I

U

I I I I U

63

I LITERATURE

Babbie,

E. (1986). Ed.). (4th

Dillman, D. A. New York: Peine,

CITED

fhe practice of social

(1978). Mail and telephone John Wiley.

-

3

PART ONE

research. surveys:

Belmont, The total

CA:

Wadsworth

I

design method.

J. D. and J. R. Renfro. (1985). Visitor Use Patterns at Creat Smoky Mountains National Park. National Park Service Research/Resources ManAtlanta, CA: National Park Service Southeast agement Report SER-90. Region.

Propst, D. B. and Stynes, D. J. (1989). Methods, questionnaires, and statistical analysis procedures: UM!LS study. (Addendum to interim report to U.S. Army Engineer Waterways Experiment Station, 28pp.). East Lansing, MI: Michigan State University, Department of Park and Recreation Resources.

I U

3

Propst, D. B., Stynes, D. J., Lee, J. H. and Jackson, R. S. (1992). Development of spending profiles for recreation visitors to Corps of Engineers projects. (Technical Report R-92-4, 112 pp.). Vicksburg, MS: U.S. Army Engineer, Waterways Experiment Station. Stynes, D. J. and Win-Jing Chung. (1986). Resistant measures of recreation and travel spending. Paper presented at the National Recreation and Parks Association Leisure Research Symposium. Anaheim, CA. Stynes, D. J. and Propst, D. B. (1992). Users' Manual for MI-REC: MicroEast Lansing, MI: Implan Recreation Economic Impact Estimation System. Michigan State University, Department of Park and Recreation Resources, Tyrrell, T. J. (1985). Data considerations in assessing economic impacts of AssessPages 40-46 in D. B. Propst, compiler. recreation and tourism. ing the economic impacts of recreation and tourism: Conference and workshop. Asheville, NC: US Forest Service, Southeastern Forest Exper-

I I I

iment Station. U.S.

Army Corps of Engineers. (1988). Recreation use estimation procedures. Vicksburg, MS: USAE Waterways, Experiment Station, Resource Analysis Group (Environmental

U.S.

Lab).

Army Corps of Engineers. (1989a). River Basin Recreation-Use Survey.

Statement of Work: Upper Mississippi St. Paul, MN: St. Paul District,

Corps of Engineers. U.S.

Army Corps of Engineers. (1989b). Sampling plan for the study of the economic impacts of recreation in the UMRS. (Final report). Vicksburg, MS: 'JSAE Waterways, Experiment Station, Resource Analysis Group (Environmental Lab) and East Lansing, MI: Michigan State University, Department of Park & Recreation Resources.

64

I

I I I

I I,

I I I I I 3

APPENDIX A

I I I I I I

i

65

I I I U

This page

intentionally

66I

left

blank.

I I I 3 I I I I I I I I I

D.E.

I

I

OMB# 0702- 0016

Site Name

IStratum: River

I

IPPER MISSISSIPPI RIVER STUDY RECREATION EXPENDITURE SURVEY On-site Portion

FILE

_

Date. / PM / ALL. DAY

__AM

BL lCX IKA1IL/IMS

WEEKDAY / WEEKEND MM DD YY

River mile:

ICode.

a

FALL / WINTER / SPRING I SUMMER now rwmber for .vety form, beginning wfth 001 for each 8ft, and date.

1D num•rber

Hello. My name is and I am workng for PECO Enterpxtss under government corsc. We wre interviewing visitors to MWnact about thei recreational use W~ong 1200 miles of the Upper

I

Mislisslppi River System and how their eenmdiltures Inthis wasa ffect the region's economy. 1.

What was your Primary p

for visiting this recreation site today? Record below.

(vehicle 1)

(vehicle 2)

(vehicle 3)

If NON-RECREATION, say: That Is all of the Information ta I need, thank you for stopping. End intervew;, record as a non-rec vehicle. If RECREATION, continue.

2. Will you be returning to t

123 ot2a

ite todW

[77

N IYES, say: That Is al ofthwe Vormaton tht I need, tak you for stopping. End kinterviw reo

as a ruur"kg vehicle.

123

It NO, cortinus. Sreaturning

U

total totan

May I talk with you about your trip? Your awers we very important as they will help us understand current recreation use of the river system and make decisions about Its future use. The questions that I hav, to ask will take adout 10 minute. of your tme. AM of your answers will be kept In confidence and you will not be Identified In the results. You may ask any questions at any time

during the Interview.

I

INYES, corftiue7 If NO, tally a

is

al and dthan

llpersonagreestothetiranulew,

Keep ti

3

person for their time

recor timle

-

am. / p.m. and cortius.

of the number of exling vehicle. pased during the Interview.

67

123

total

Hadthe respondert the response card aid say: This card wil htwo you answer a number of the questions owa I vm sasi The map shwse the area we we bkerssts in for this study. This aweo consistse CC &Nland wihin 3C miles of five rivers: the Mississippi River north of Calo, Illinois, an the lUnols, 9L Cek~Waecic and Kaskaskia Rivers. it ncludes parts of the stte of Minnesota. Wisconsin, lowe, Mgncie, and Missouri. 3. Please teog me 9 your permanent home Is located within the area marked on Ohe map. Circie 'Y or WNunder OW/in Areas inthe chart below.

4. What Is the MWCode of your home? Record the ZJPCode inthe column marked oPorrn. Homes in the chart below. it the person does not know thei ZIPCode, ask for the cont (or city) and saxe where their pemwuner lome is locaed. Record insead of ZIP~ode Inthe 'Perm Homne' colwnn. Then, inthse column marked 'CO - Ce. circle 'OW for a courty nawme or *C' for a city name. S. How ma"y of the people Inthis vehicle awe from this ZPCode? Record the mnuber dA people under "No.8 Inthe chart below. 6. Have you stayd at a vacation or second home since you left your permanent home? Circle 'Y' or -N' Inthe column marked 'Stayed at 2nd Horns'. IN'NO'. skip to Question 10.1 7. By the time you return: to your pernmanet home, will you have stayed at the vacation home for longer than 14 nights? Circle -Ysn or 'N' under 'More than 14'. Nf'O', skip to Question 10. S.What Is the ZICode df the vacation home? Record response under 'Second Homes and 'CO according to instructions InQuestion 4.

-

Ci'

9. From the time you Mef the vocation homes until you return there, will you have visitd a friend orI relativet's home, attendd a business meeting, or visited any recreation sites outside the area marked an the map? Circle "v'or 'N' under 'Other AcIMAes. If everyone is from the same ZiPCode (Question 5). coflnuei with the shaded boxc at the bottomn of the page. Otherwise, skip to Question 11. 10. From the time you left your permanent home untill you return thee, will you have visited a friend or relative's home, attended a busliness moeetn, or visite any recreation site* outaide the ware marked on the map? Circle Or or 1W' uider 'Other Actiites. If everyone is from the same ZlPCode (Question 5), continu with the shadled box at the bottom, o the page. Otherwise, skip to Question 11. 3

4 Win

¶Arm,

~

5 t OS

CoutyorCity & Sate I

6

7

Co

Stav~d more

-.

at bid

CI

No

jNow

oC1YN

Than

14 TNCO

a

Scn

91/10

mc

te

Z IPCod. OR

it

Acti-

Cont or Cf ty & tt C1

Y

N

The trip origin in ft respndetfs perrnwwt horns the respondent answered -YEW*to staying at his or her vacatio home fo bWg tha 14 nlgfts I the tri stated from the: -*-

* PERLWAENT HOWE say: For thw res of this literview, when I say TRIP I am Wrefrrin to your3 entire trip, from Ithe time You left vowimnerwanet residec until 1he tme you return there * VACATION HOME. say: For the resd of "Mte Interview, wten I esy TRIP I am reerring to the ftim from When you lef your vacation home unti the tim you return thee at to yawt permanent home If you we not returning to your vacation home.

Skip to Questio 20, 683

I 3

1 E I I E I

~11 whiat oiMe

Cod~e do people In thi vehtcle com, from? Rlecard answers in the Chant belowv

Ask Quesions 12 -18 of somneon rom tw2A

ZIPCocie.

~12. Please refe to tie map nd teN me I your permanent home isloat$ed wtthln the area marked on the map. Circle 'Y' or 'W under 'Win Area in the chart below. ~13. How nmany of the people InOthi vehicle are, fkm thie ZIPCdoe? Record the numiber of people in the chart below.

~14. Have you "taydat a vacation or second home sinc you left your permanert home? Cvcle Or' or WNin fte colurnn fmarked 'Stayed at 2nd Home'. If 'NO'. ski to Quesion 18. 1L By tie tOme you return to your permanent home,- wIN you have stayed at the vacAtIon home for longer t#%an 14 nlghts? Circle 'r or WNundler 'More than 14'. I 'NO', skip to Question 18. 16I.What Is the MPCode of the vacaton home? Record reponse uder 'Second Home' and 'C0 - CI' accodingto instructions in Question 4. 17. From the time you MR thYwl oe until you return #wer, will you have viitd a friend or relatives home, attende a business meeting, or vialed any recreation Msite outsid tie area marked on the map? Circle 'Y' or 'N' under 'Other Ac&Mee. C~ontinue with Question 12 Ifthere are other ZiP~odes, or Question 19 N&inwishd

I

~I&. From the time you leM your permanent hoeuntil you return thiere, will you have visited a friend or relative's home, attended a business wmeetng, or visited any recreation site* outside the area marked on the mnap? Circle or' or WN under 'Othe Actwities. Continue with Question 12 Vthee are other ZIPC~odea or Question 19 1 finished. 11

12

Pem 0~3. 1Arv

2

U19.

13

CO ZIP~dsU

Coun~ty or City, & State

Txca

-

C1

NO.

co C1

16

17 /18

NOW

C bberd TanZIPC~de G 14 Coun~ty or Cf ty, &State

Y U

Y 9

U

T I

StWaWe

C1 3

Is

14 at~

Y

CO

trip origin Isto iw

O

ff

~

t

vities

CO C1

T a

-CO

iiM

osots

sa

CI*

Y

Qeto a:

*PEF*AANENT HOME, .y For the roes of this knteview, when I say TRI P I -am referring to unti he time you return thee. h~~Is Gm kmet w!e you leit your ggrmhIngfflJ *VACATiON HOME, *ay: For tie rest of Othi ktervlew, when I say TRIP I am referring to a until tie time you return ther or to your the Ume trom when you lef Ithe ym permanent home 9 you we not returning to your vacation home.

*

69

9

I1!2/3 nearest ZIP

Inthat came fthei rghI f or her vacation ftme. ~Refe to One perao whoms hom, was selected as the trip origin and If the trip staited fro

~

Acti

C1

Ask ad viskta,% incaluddin fromi u ZIPCode #1: Who has Iraved the ahoftee distance to reac h Vthi reocrechon sit? Askc that person: What ZICode did you come from? Crcl fte mnmber masoclaWe with that ZIPde

U-The I 3

Other

-

20. Have you epest or do you plan to spend an nights away from your (pennanet / vacaton) homew vwtul on this trip? Cki rcl or ON"

YI/N

nights &way

NfYES, cortinue. If NO, goto Question 35,page 6.

OVERNIGHT VISITORS ONLY 21. How many night* have you spent away from homne so far on Othi tri? Wf 0 skip to Question 24.

[

nights

1

J

22. How many of these nights have you spent within 30 miles of Vhis

s*Ne? Nfequal to the number nig"w away from horns (Question 21), skipSpn to Questiont 24.

LIJ

23. Please refer to the map that I gave, you. Excluding the _ nights that you have spsot wthn 30 mies at Vhile oft, how many nights

spen

jJWtIn

have ywou pert within Vie ame marked on the map?

24. How many additional nights do you plan to spend away from home? INV0 skip to Question 21. 25. How many of thee nights will be within 30 m~les of Vhile site? IN equal to the numnber of additional nihts away from home, (Question 24), skip to Question 27. 26. Please refer to Vie map again. Excluding the _ nights OWa you plan to Spend within 30 miles, of ftle asi, how mnyM additional nights do you plan to spend within the wee marked on the map? 27. Folow-Wq:

3

ad~

~

~

ad

wn3 r~-

L

-

dl within

0

a. Sum rew$apas

Quatons 21 8id 24 - =0 rigWU Rew~d t0ta as Wo hav defined it. y w Wu have home?

an fsite*rl Urns spent -MWayfo

b. &uM seponewss' Oueens 22 OW 25 - rd"~w wlthu 30 miles ofI thissaft. PAcd otal. Vg Wm than4Wask: Of these, atotal of nights wg be opset witin 30 mNte of Thi site? ~J M. Sum loopcress to Quesations 23 and 28 - Wahs opert wEiti ares marked an m=W beyond 30 mdlss of thie ske. Rlecord to tal greater than V0 asic A tota of - inights wil be spent within the area

uwitid on the map &nW beyond 30 miles of this els?U

The surn of If ad ge hoijd r41 exceed Or'. 9 itdoes, cluckr rasponses to Questons 21 -29 with the visior. 70

fJor

w/

3n

touli

witi

o

4-

326.iftotal nig -Othewise

wh in30 m~ies;ofslMe (27b) is , skip to Question 29. say: Please refer to the Ilis of lodging categoriso on the othe sie of the card that I gave you. For the nights tha you said you have spe.V or will spend wlthin 30 miles of this *Its, which types of Woging have you used or wil you use?

La

Y

within 30 miles of the site (27b), to fill in nights.

Y

more than one Wodhia type wa sed vsk the following question for eac type of loidging.

VW Y

*It

HNow nde dynig ______(o

tsddyouWyator planto stay at_

_

marked on the map and beyond 30 miles of this site, which tesof "odInghave, you used or will you use?

free

~Ckrcl the -r' nod to a&I lodging type mentioned. V-OTHER-, circle fth Or, henaskfor arnd rectrd type of lodging. *0If

b

_

_

ging type)?

29. Nfthe total night within the shaided are on the map and beyond 30 mniles o this site (27c) is V0 skip to Question 30. Otheriwse ask: For nights;ta you sadyou have spent or il spend within the

5the I 3

tami?y I

Yso

xbrdý=he

oflognwausdustoa

~

'

oo

YCm Menas V Y

Al ewa

Y

ed ask the following question

p r

___frltt

typ of lodging was used, use total nurnber of DIgMl~ onl within the habaed are (27c). to fill in nights. ~More thin 2ne boalftYh N* for 20type of Woging:I

second home ba

"1r

How many nighte didyou stay ator plan to day at ___lodging type)?

I30.

-___ type

LU

How aman days have you spot~ at this s*No?

31. During your WV hove you visited or will you be vsitng any other recreation sime doing the river banks In the area marked on the map Pfr roared"on? Cicle Or' or WN.

132. 3W3. *

-

Y"9 YCm

Circle the or nect to all lodgn types mentioned. If O0THER, circle thefred -r, then ask for and record the type of Iodgng.

Ifol ootp

0 n~msN

I'NO', skip to Qeto

Not Including hs #

do"S

oEn't

00We sites

0

how mn

fU

eohrso

C o

ae$e

Visited on you tri? Hotw many days have yvou peW at these other recreationfstes soLJ

.U3.How many additional days do you Intend to spend at thes sites? Skip to Question 41. *

71

teo

cli ays

*

I I DAY USERS ONLY

LonII

35. How many hours have you spent at this ste today? 36. During your trip today have you visited or will you be vislting my other recreason ses along the river banks In he am marked on the map (fpor recreation)? Circle O'r or W.m If W",

YIN 0Wwas

I

continue.

It "NO, s.p to Question 4Q. 37. Not Including s osit, how many of these other ites will you have visted on your trip? 3-. How many hom have you spet M,

rt

thee other recreation

I-M

I

411es? 3.How many additional hours dlo You Intendl to spend at thes cothrw]

sMe today

u

Ski to Qestion 41.

ALL RESPONDENTS 40. Please refer to the M•t of actities on tw card tot I gave you and tell me how many of the people In this vehicle pariipated in each of Utee recreation actvltes while at this qfte. Recond the

number d

patctptng ineach aMty. When fnse

skip to Ouestmon 42.

41. Ple"e refer to the fla of activities on the card that I gave you and tell me how many of the people In this veh• e partIcipte or plan to participate in each of thes recreation activities while on this trio. Include all recreation sis Oth you have visd or plan to vislt and that wre located along the

banks of the river Inthe shaded area

Recor the mx~o

BOATING

fpeolepticipating in each sa~ity.3

FALL I *7NTER ACTM77ES Total PlMe W

Lusing boat boafing

Big game Irin *** Sel GA m lhwunfing * ..

uW



W•W1 hwtng

b•d w= umsd

brete oesee

.6"

wSt

ude,. .

FRW"i bum botSrovwxxbling NON-BO0QATIMQkeN&

Crouna-co

C,,ring

y sking

Fishing from shore-

ccsbeig,

Swimming

Record type of acviy:

socialuing, sm.

Picnickng Hiking / w9fllng / bicycling -

DI 72

An kIdvuI swpM be reýymrd

- soghwoi

~Ihe or she is rut pm~pftipng

-dwr &V

ac"t.I

3

U42.

The card VWe

myou has twol

MWofeoqulpmentonftIL Plesaslook at

YIN equip #1

Equipmen UMt Number I and tell me 9 anyone Inyour vehicle owns any of thee, Rtome and has used It or Witl use It on this trio within the area marked on the map. Circle *N'or 'N. It thee is no equnipet, go to Ouestion4.

I 1 I U U

43. For each piece of equipment tha has been used or will be used, please give ~me the number Neted beside IL. I also need to know the following: a. approximnate coat,

b. whetheir the Rem was Purchased no or Used and If used, from a ~dealer or riot,

-

d.te year# hequpnntwsprhsd

e. For boats, I need to know tihe type of boat power type, and length Infoeet Reord the ruponsas Indhe chart below, placn each kern on a sepware Hne. When finilhe condmiue with Quseeton 4. 4.Please look at Equipment Ulet Number 2. This Ume I am on" hiterled in equipmneiN that was pugcho some time fudna fth Rs 12 moe"' Please teo

Y N equip 9-2

me Itanyorn Inyour vehkf ows a"y of Viese Rome and has used Ror will use is no 9Wreupmet go to QueSton 46.

5

45. Please give me Vie leote Dete beside each category of equipment tha has been Used or wil be used. I aleo need to know the following for each cmgor: a. Vhie number of Rtems used hIn the area marked on the map, b. the approxmate coa for all Rem in thet cateory, c. whethe moat of the eMahIn the category were Purchased new or used and N used, from a dealer or not, and d. #we county and eate where mo" df the Rom In the categoiry were purchased. Record the responses inthe chart below, using a Wwsept lins for each equipment categoy. Vfequipent was puchsdW from a catalog, write the cattalog nami undler TCotyi. When finished contr iuewth Question 46&

I

Et~f

Line

rwt ss

or

0 totter

Of

Items

cost

NOMW / ed-esateI Used-No Seal. (41rcet onm)

*2

_

3

0 4N

5

_

_

CAor

City old ST

_

_

toifUn / If

C~WWYT

_

city

a

0t

/

co

CJ C1

C ICI

UN we

cc

N / If /MlBco

C1 /C1

73

r 0 Is

WATS ONLY

Power

$0at

Type

Type

_

c

USD

Yea

Onty

_

0 I/WD U10c N IfD /Lnco D

6

10

I_

COmxvt) ui ST

_O

Length (feet)

_

_

m 44. If the viskor did nU reportOa book camping vOile, or otawe mnortzed vehicle (Ouestion 42), sW to Question 52. Oterwas ask: Did you have or will you have any tor/ e costs for the (boat, camping vehicle. and/or motortzed vehicle) you used on this trip, Including dry storge and annual marina slip rental, for this calendar year? Cicle oYr or ON.

Y/ N storage

If ONO', skip to Question 49.

47. How much will you spend for storage within 30 miles ot this ste for your: (read from the chart al apropriate types of equpmert) for f calernar totals for that type ot equprmt in the chart below. year? Pc 48. How much will you spend for storage father than 30 miles from this site for your. (read from the chart d al ropriate types of eq*me) for ftj calendar yea? Record 100 for a type •" e.pmerit in th chst below. Madnn Slip Ren0wa

Storage Cots:

Amount Spent VLthLn 30 Miles of Site

rquip. Type

I

Amt Spent Farther Than 30 Miles From Site

I

oat

O0kV' s

'a-

ORV~I

In this calendar year DW you have or wil you have any Insurance co for the (boat, canping vehicle, and/or mnorized vehicle) that you used oan this trip. Circie 'or or 'O'. I 'NO, skip to Ouestion 52.

Y/ N

kur•ne

m

50. How much will you spend in Insurance with "gents ocated within In 30 miles

of this siMe for your. (read fronm the chat al appropae type om tha typeof aqiment t) for ti calendr year? Record totrl equpm in the chart below. Insurance with age is laca-ted farthe than 30I 51. How much wil you spend hIn miles from thie sise for yew. (rmad fro the chat a appropriate type df equipment) 11for P@1alendar year? Recor Ig for that type of equipment into chart below. Invurance Co8.~ Anount Spent Within 30 Miles of Site

Equip. Type

Amount Spent Farther Than 30 Miles From Site

m•

-

OV's

ORV 's

74I

In

I SIfthe

visitor reported no upendlures(Oueion 42. 51) skip to Question 53. OfewMas ask: For most of the expenditures you reported do you feel that the Information you Just gave Is: Cirde "V', 9W. ON' or V. a. b. c. d.

V R / N/D

accuracy of responses

Very accurate? (V) Reasonably accurate? (R) Not very accurate? (N) Or you don't know (D)

]

53. Not countina this trip how many tripe have you made since this tme last yew to recreation ektee located in the we@ marked on the map? the rdver&enka. Count only to ekes that we eltuated on

3

54. On this trp, no eMoenw 5 avallable forrecration A g the river, which of the following would you have done: (Circie the latter COtTMV.fli-Ig to reepone.) DO NOT R.D OPTION 3C OR 'a.

tr

Of

C/ DIE

A

Ot nK aaabie

a. Stil made a trip, but visited nonwrve recreation elte In the shaded area? b. SUN made a trip, but visited sitee outalde the shaded area? c. Not ude a trip? DO NOT READ: d. Both a + b. e. Dot krxw.

I

O

55. Including yourself, how many people are In your vehicle?

8. How many of these people are 17 or youger? Record runumb. How mare we r 1S to 61? Record numi, How many wre 2 or older? Rord number. •1

U

up tol?7 -61

7. Which ot the felolitn goupe beat deecribee the people In this

Ya

vehicle?

Y family

a. FPmily b. Friends

Y friends

Y rnttves

Yoh

c.. Relatives d. Other Circle te"Y' for AL.L appropriate categories. I the reMpWndet specilftes a cate"o not kted, write his response i the space provided and circle the "Y beside orhe,

I

75

o

cogg5ry

I I Thank you for prc~pVIn this part of the study. We would also like your opinion. on management of the river bes1n- end som kiormaton on expenditures made while on this trip for Items like food, lodging, and gaslcne. I would like to give you a questionnaire to fill out when you finish your trip. On everage, completing the form will take about 15 minutes. Your participation is Important because you will be representing many visitors who do not have the opportunity to share their views. * For a goup with ol *

ask the responden* WW you be willing to complete the

one ZIPCod,

qnstonnare? For a gop 9W ha moram*t#n one ZPCds, sayto " pe m who home isIthe tip orirm SinPe I have be rmef I* your h moas *Aetrip rtimgn, wM you be Miling to

YIN

mad~back

F!1pV If YES, ask: (TCremfe a.

Trip: Perm. /

wwers to the Address Sheet).

State

and

I

ZIPCode:

b. May I also have your telephone number?

i ____/

c. What date do you exqped to arrive home?

CUP:Y/N

3

FILL OUT A MAJILBACK QUESTIONNAIRE WITH THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION:

1. 10 number (from page 1). 2. River and site names (fom page 1). 3 Date of inervlew (from page 1). 4. Trip origin - circle either permarnt home or smsonal home (fom page 2 or 3). 5. Number Of people in the vehicle (from page 9). Show the mmilbac queslionna•ie to the respondent and explain bdeft how it Is to be completed. Point out that Column A of the expenditures (Wktn 30 miles) refe to the recreation site whee the rterview took

p-ae. Hand the quesdonnr to the r

Wponda

Explan: When you record trip qmpenng, please Include not only your spending, but the spending of everyone In thiO vehicle. If, for Instance, two people paid restaurant costs, enter the total

amouffl InVie space provided. Wheh

I

Vac.

May I have the address of your permanent home?

City,

I

the peown agrees to complete te mailback or not, say:

THANK YOU FOR YOUR TIME.

End te interview and record te following: &M. P.m

a Ending time b. Interviewer initials

_

_ns

c. Record th number of e•itin vehicles puesd during this Iwerew

On the first cape. fill in the number of Non-ree and Retuming vehicles and the number of Refusals.

76

I I I

a I

I I U

APPENDIX B

I I I I I I [

I

77

I I I

I I

I I

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91

I 1

DATA CLEANING AND EDITING TASKS

A numwber of data cleaning and editing important ones are briefly described below.

tasks

ý-ere -erformed.

The most

I. Length of Variable Names. On-site interview data were received from the other contractor as Dbase IV files. Twenty-six variable names in the Dbase files exceeded the character length limitation or SPSS-PC and had to be renamed. 2. Missings. Whenever means were computed using SPSS-PC, missings (e.g., 9's) were excluded from analysis.

all

I

user-defined

3. Identification Numbers. For a given date, interviewers numbered the onsite interview forms sequentially beginning with "001." Thus, the identification number consisted of the date plus the ID number. The interview date was coded b-' the other contractor as an alphanumeric variable. In order to sort the data nd perform other analyses, the date variable had to be recoded into three numeric variables consisting of month, day, and year of the interview, 4. Alphanumeric to Numeric. A ilanber of variables had to be recoded from their character codes into a numeric form. These variables included county and city names of place of residence, types of overnight lodging accommodations other than the ones Listed in the interview, recreation activities other than the ones listed, county and city names where durable goods were purchased, end types of groups other than family, friends, and so on.

I

I

U

5. Out-of-Range Codes. A nwnber of variables as received from the other contractor contained out-of-range codes and had to be corrected. For example, both the beginning time and ending time variables contained codes which exceeded the military time maximum of 2400 hours. 6. Joining On-site and Mailback Databases. When these two databases were merged using the "JOIN MATCH" procedure in SPSS-PC, two major problems arose. The first was the presence of mailback surveys with no corresponding on-s'te interviews. In most cases, the problem was the incorrect coding of date, identification number, or site number on the on-site interview. The second problem related to logical inconsistencies in segment specification. A number of parties identified az day users reported spending money on lodging. A number of groups defined as nonboaters reported boat-related expenses. Apparently, there was either confusion during the on-site interview or a change in trip plans after the interview. For instance, those who said they were spend. ing no nights away from home on :his trip (i.e., day users) may have later changed their minds and used overnight accomnodations. Those who said theyv did not engage in boating may have thought the question pertaining only to the site where they were interviewed. They may have incurred boating expenses later on the same trip at a different site and included these expenses on the mailback questionnaire. Those "day users" who reported lodging expenses were recoded into "overnight users." Likewise, "nonboaters" who reported boating expenses were recoded into "boaters."

I

I

7. Outliers. For trip spending, each instance of more than $500 in spending for any item on the mailback questionnaire was identified. The effect of these outliers was assessed by examining the proportional change in mean 92

I

I spending for a given item with and without the outliers. Fo, the ...D c :a services purchased by few parties and where the effect ef outliers on a%'erae spending was noticeable (i.e. varied by more than a few rc•ntaze points the outliers were excluded from analysis. This process resu 'ted in the exclusion of two outliers, both of which were autoR,'. repair costs e:ceedin• $iAC per trip.

3

There were 31 durable items with no cost figure reported and 37 with a cost of greater than one hundred thousand dollars. Tne latter 'ere

5trip

primarily boat/trailer combinations and motorhomes. Th•en converted to a per basis 7 durable items exceeded $30,000 per trip. These items were deleted from the durable goods analysis as outliers. Their exclusion reduces large variances for subcategories, segments and regions based upon which large cost items happen to be included, while not significantly altering the overall population mean. Exclusion of these outliers yields results that are less sensitive

to the particular sample chosen,

more conservative.

I

9

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S I

93

and makes the resulting estimates

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94

1

I

I I PART T'O DOCK OWNERS AND MARINA USERS:

RECREATION SPENDING ON THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI RIVER SYSTEM

I

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I ! U~95

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96i

I BACKCRGU',D B

This portion of the report provides both

trip and durable

profiles for dock owners and marina users utilizing River System (UMRS).

RESULTS,

phase of the

is

ries,

"trip

and DISCUSSION.

The PROCEDURES

preted in tions

section outlines

the

for both dock owners and marina

The RESULTS section divides the findings into two subcatego-

expenditures"

and "durable

goods spending."

goods expenditure profiles are prc-ented renters,

totdl UMRS study and are

divided into the following major sections:

general data collection and analysis methods slip renters.

the Upper Mississippi

that rent marina slips or have licensed boat docks.

The remainder of this part PROCEDURES,

spending

These spending profiles were derived from the household

telephone and mailback questionnaire based on households

goods

respectively.

In

Trip and durable

for dock owners and marina slip

the DISCUSSION section,

the findings are

inter-

relation to the results of the developed areas study and the limita-

inherent

in

this study.

rhe DISCUSSION section also describes

applications of the dock owner and marina user results.

Specifically,

economic impact applications through the use of IMPLAN and non-IMPLAmN proce-

ft

dures are recommended.

p

PROCEDURES To achieve stated objectives, total

U

UMRS study also take

spending data,

the methods employed in

into account the most common uses of recreational

including the specific requirements

of definition and measurement, distinct

categories:

variable

trip

costs

hotels,

meals).

dock owners and one for marina users) view,

mailback questionnaire

boats,

RV's,

bicycles)

Two separate contractors

(one

conducted the household telephone

Variable

trip

costs were measured

and for

inter-

through the use of a

distributed by the telephone interview contractors,

separating durable goods spending from variable trip

expenditures,

telephone interview and mailback questionnaire procedure

9 I

divided into two

The telephone interview obtained recreation use and durable

goods spending data.

step,

For purposes

a modification of the on-site interview developed for the UMRS developed

areas study.

5

of IMPLAN-PC.

recreational spending is

durable goods spending (e.g., (eg.,

this phase of the

97

the two-

minimizes

By

l confusion on :he part of respondent

:ie r:`-oe:de.:

This

A'•AL

rT>och

burden by reducing the length of the telephone

The principaL

investigator

results of the telephone

(PI)

interviews

interview.

of this phase of the study received the from the

two contractors

questionnaires directly from the households. such a manner s- as to produce

5

5s:r:.i>ia 3

the inc .usion of

simablv 1','-r priceS. goods evenly across

_

Thus,

seven

.'e,.

1 .ý d:.v..

itnems

p.rsha,-d

the ana!tss

,ears under

of the number of trips per year

to tire

on-site data base.

In

the developed site durable

time period was chosen:

1985 to 1990.

`e

RS

is

1

Zo ad

:os; - - sf

J`e thItn

A further advantage of the seven year period

....

,ia!'s .,:,

distributes the assrpion

.7 •

..

dura-le

-,as- ,ear

is

ffr each household

its =cnsistencv

goods

:re-

analvsLs

wih

was

conducted one year later than the developed

site study.

time period spans the years:

This means that the beginning

is

the same

in

1985 to 1991.

the two data sets and that the number of years

1

a six -;ear

The dock owner/marina user stud'-, Thus,

e

1

the seven year ,'ear

5

for which dura-

ble goods are analyzed are nearly identical. For both dock owners and marina users, owners

in

particular)

For example,

reported multiple

years of spending

one household reported buying a

between 1970 and present.

If

the seven year period of 1985 were dropped from analysis. within the seven year period, Durable not adjusted deflators

a number of households

However,

if

for various

the multiple year

then the

time

items

1

frame fell

included.

goods cost estimates will be somewhat conservative the seven Year period.

for relevant durable goods sectors,

from 1985 to 1991 were

1

time frame was clearly outside

the above example,

the items were

for price increases over

items,

Lutal of 5 fishing rods and reels

the multiple year to 1991 as in

(dock

changes

in

as they were

Based on IMPLA-kN

durable goods prices

1

less than 5 percent.

Residents versus Nonresidents For the purposes of this study and subsequent analyses, deLined as

-hose households who,

during the profile interviews

"residents" were (Appendix A)

reported their permanent address as being within one of the UMRS border counties.

Based on this definition,

nonresidents.

For marina users,

108 dock owners were UMRS there wece

residents:

-

42 were

104 UMRS residents arA 67 non-

residents. In

the following sections,

owners and marina slip renters. categories of results:

results are presented For each user

type,

sample sizes and response

durable goods spending.

102

separately for dock

3

there are three major

rates,

trip expenditures.

and

3

I

II 3 Sample Sizes and Response The

3

Rates

stuA: plan called tor me other contorac-towm

phone cal>

.o the 150 households

along the UMRS. 1500.

Thus,

As indicated in

the

The panel

total number of possible

361 telephone

reporting at least one recreation questionnaires were

that constituted

arm'pp

calls

:ontacts was

attempted.

26%6) resulted

trip the previous week:

received from this group,

of dock owners

telephone

Table 1. 1407 contacts were actuall,

these attempted contacts,

I

DOCK OWNERS

RESULTS

in

Of

dock ow.ners

243 maiibacK

yielding a response rate of

67 percent.

I

Table 1. Dock owner sample sizes and response rates (UMRS study, 1990-91).

# Households # Calls/Household

C. D.

Total Possible Contacts (A. X B.) Actual # Attempted Contacts

E. F.

# Recreation Trips the Previous Week % "Hits" (E./D.)

G. H.

3 S(1)

U

150 10

A. B.

I.

# Mailback Q'naires Received # Mailback Q'naires Reporting a Recreation Trip the Previous Week Mailback Response Rate (H./E.)

(1)

1 500 1407 361 26 % (2) 484

(3)

243 67 %

Notes: 3 calls each in spring, summer, fall; 1 call in winter (2) % of contacts for which there was a recreation trip the previous week Exceeds # reporting recreation trips the previous week (Part E.) because, (3) part way through the study, households were asked to return their mailback questionnaires even if they incurred no recreation trips the previous week

103

m -I . e

....

. I.

..

size upon wh2iclh subsequent

dock ownerr

trip

the previous week,

questionnaires with recreation included in

r_--'-

repor...-

A few of these 243 quesztonnaires recreation

tLrp -

but reported

"

o

1

expnod&>..s

T

trips but no reported exrperditures -ere

5 3

the analysis.

Trip Expenditures Dock owners averaged $86 (Table 2).

in variable

Eighty-one pcrcent

(81%)

trip costs per party per trip

of these expenditures

3

were made within

30 miles of the boat dock.

Proportion of Zero Spending.

In

most of the categories

10 percent of the sample of dock owners

(Table

2,

reported any spending.

less than

Categories

with relatively high percentages

of non-zero spending by dock owners were

grocery (35%),

auto!RV gas and oil (•1%).

(23%),

restaurant

fishing bait (50%),

(50%),

and film purchasing

TIrip Spendina by Category. specific

trip expense

distribution. (36%)

lodging (4%),

(Table

2B).

Resident vs.

per trip average

(31%),

for dock owners across

33

groupings displayed an uneven

followed by auto/RV (11%),

activity fees (3%),

Spending profiles

in

miscellaneous

and fishing and hunting (2%

33 detailed trip

each)

spending categories are

m

Table 2A.

Nonresident Spending.

tion of spending (i.e.,

Table 3 contains (i.e.,

the results pertaining to

resident vs.

nonresident)

within 30 miles of the dock location vs.

The spending by nonresidents within the UMRS

IMPL.AN-PC estimates the

(72%).

and 8 aggregate

spending by origin of visitor

30 miles).

zas and oil

The largest proportion of spending was for food and beverages

(11%),

trip

categories

and boat-related items

reported in

The $86

boat

I 5 5 3

of the economic

is

and loca-

3

outside

necessary for

impacts of dock owner spending.

Due

to

inability to merge profile and mailback data sets electronically as

described earlier, mailback cases

a resident or nonresident code was added manually to the in

m

the data set.

I 104

I U

U £ 3

Table 2A Average trip spending (S per party per trp) Wr 33 detailed mailback expenddture items, UMRS Dock Owners Study (1990-91). n 243. Mean per Week

Item

Mean Pct Zeroes

per Trip

Pct.ltem Within 30 Mt In Total Mean/rip Pct.

Outside 30 M4 MeanArip Pct

Lr")GING hotel

737

96%

3_15

4%

027

8%

308

92%

Campgrounds

0.75

8%

0 i4

*

0.16

47%

0 18

53%

Grocery

34.84

35%

15.84

18%

14.13

89%

1.70

11%

Re0aurant

33.42

SO%

15.19

189

13.13

8%

2,06

14%

14.23 1.40

41% 99%

6,47 0.64

4.43 0.45

68% 71%

204 0.19

32% 29%

0.65 3.25 0.87 0.22

93% 96% 08% 98%

0,30 1.48 0.40 O.10

0.26 1.40 0,40 0.05

8.11% 95% 100% 56%

004 0 08 0.00 0.05

12% 5% 0% 45%

Boat gas & oil Boat rental Boat repairs Boat parts Boat launch fees Boat fares

20.38 4.12 26.87 7.38 0.78 0.02

23% 100% 87% 93% 95% 100%

9.26 1.17 12.21 3.35 0.35 0.01

8.10 0.00 11.88 2.47 0.22 0.01

87% 0% 97% 74% 63% 100%

1.17 1 87 033 0 88 0.13 000

13% 100% 3% 26% 37% 0%

FISHING Fishing license Boat charter fee Fishing bait

0.19 0.00 4.42

9 100% 50%

0.09 0.00 2.01

0% 2%

0.09 0.00 1.73

100% 0% 86%

0.00 000 0.28

0% 0% 14%

Hunting license

0.15

990

0.07

°

0.07

100%

0.00

0%

Ammunition

3.06

91%

1.3

2

1.11

80%

0.28

20%

1.14 0.00

97% 9

0.52 0.00

1% 0%

0.42 0.00

81% 0%

0.10 0.00

19% 0%

Spectator sports fee

0.48

98%

0.21

0.05

24%

Tou1s atraction fee

0.16

9M

0.07

"

0,07

100%

0.00

0%

Other recreation fee

3.02

91%

1.37

2%

1,37

100%

0,00

0%

Film purchasing

2.68

72%

1.22

1%

1.02

84%

0.20

16%

Film developing

I 76

84ý

0-80

1%

0.56

70%

0.24

30%

1,62

06

0.74

1%

0.46

83%

0.27

37%

Footwear

2.96

1.35

2

1.25

93%

0.10

7%

Men's clothing

3.40

1.59

2%

1.40

94%

0.10

6%

Women's clothing 2.28 91 1.04 1% 08.9 86% 015 All Other 5.21 9 2.37 3 1.84 78% 1,53 Notes: 1, Means based on n-243, the number of mailback questionnaires for which recreation

14% 22%

FOOD AND BEVERAGE

AUTOIRV Auto/RV gas & oil AutoJRV rental AutoJRV repairs AutolRV tires AuoIoRV parts Auto/RV parking &tolls

6% 1% 2%

BOAT-RELATED 11% 2% 14% 4 "

HUNTING

ACTIVITY FEES Equipment rental Guide fees

3

0.16

76%

MISCELLANEOUS

SSouvenirs

94

expenditures the previous week were reported. 2. 'Mean per trip' a Memn per week* divided by 2.2 trips per week. the sample average. 3. 'Pct.Zeroes' -% of dock owners who spent nothing on a particular item on a particular trip. 4. (*)=Les than 0.5%.

a

105

U I Table 28 Average trip spending (S per party per trip) for 8 aggregate spending categories. UMAS Dock Owners Study (1000-91). n=243 .

Item

Mean per Week

LODGING FOOD AND BEVERAGE AUTO/RV BOAT-RELATED FISHING HUNTING ACTIVITY FEES MISCELLANEOUS

8612 6826 20.62 50.55 4.60 3.21 4.77 19.90

Pci Zeroes

Mean per Trip

Pct Item Within 30 Mi. Pct. In Total Mean/trip

95% 369 26% 31.03 937 40 27.07 21 50 2.09 91 1.44 871 2.17 6841 9.09

4% 36% 11 A 31% 2% 2% 3% 11%

Outside 30 Mi Pct Mean/trip

12% 8% 74% 84% 87% 61% 93% 62%

043 2726 6894 22,68 1.82 1.11 2.02 567

I

8814% 12% 26% 16% 13% 10% 7% 38%

326 376 239 430 027 028 0.15 3.42

Total 189.13 0% 85.97 100% 8099 81% 16.08 Notes: 1. Moans based on n-243. the number of mailback questionnaires for which recreation expenditures the previous week were reported. 2. 'Mean per trip' - 'Mean pqr week' divided by 2.2 tripe per week. the sample average. 3. "Pet.Zeroes' -% of dock owners who spent nothing on a particular item on a particular trip.

I

19%

I

4. (*)-Le" than 0.5%.

U Average trip

spending was $78

owners and $98 per party per trip for nonresidents

(Table 3B).

The average

for residents and nonresidents combined was $86 per party per trip (Table Resident and nonresident spending patterns differ. as compared to residents, on lodging (9% vs. respectively).

(11% each).

amounts per party trip ($64 vs. party trip

and food and beverage

percentages

$67 or 66% vs.

2B).

nonresidents.

total trip costs

(40% vs.

of total spending are higher

remaining categories except "auto/RV" Secondly,

First,

spend a higher proportion of their

respectively)

Residents'

residents for all tie

3%,

3

per party per trip for resident dock

35%, than non-

for which there is

nonresidents spend proportionately

a

lower average

within 30 miles of the dock location than residents 86% of total spending).

Residents

(nonresidents'

average is

& £

spend more per

than nonresidents within 30 miles for most items except for food

and beverage

a

higher than residents')

and fishing-

I

related items (a tie).

Errors in

Estimates of Trip Spending.

with trip

spending estimates

In

are provided.

Table 4,

sampling errors associated

The "percent e:ror"

dard error divided by the mean and multiplied by 100.

106

is

the stan-

Presenting the standard

3

1 I

I I Table 3A. Average trip spending ($ per party per trip) by dock owner residents and nonresidents for 33 detailed mailback expenditure items, n=229. Nonresidents (n=60) Residents (n=1 69)

m

I

In 30 0.29 0.23 12.25 12.30 4.12 0.65 0.30 1.60 0.55 0.08 7.78 0.00 10.58 2.75 0.31

Out 30 1.33 0.26 1.05 1.88 1.06 0.27 0.00 0.11 0.00 0.06 1.23 0.00 0.00 1.26 0.16

Total 1.62 0.49 13.30 14.17 5.18 0.91 0.30 1.70 0.55 0.14 9.00 0.00 10.58 4.01 0.48

In 30 0.30 0.00 17.10 15.72 4.39 0.00 0.00 1.18 0.06 0.00 8.30 0.00 6.00 1.25 0.00

Out 30 8.71 0.00 3.86 2.61 5.14 0.00 0.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.27 7.58 1.10 0.00 0.08

Total 9.01 0.00 20.97 18.33 9.52 0.00 0.16 1.18 0.06 0.00 9.57 7.58 7.10 1.25 0.08

Boat fares license fee charter Boat Fishing bait Hunting license

0.00 0.12 0.00 1.70 0.10

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.30 0.00

0.00 0.12 0.00 2.00 0.10

0.04 0.00 0.00 1.82 0.00

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.24 0.00

0.04 0.00 0.00 2.05 0.00

Ammunition Equipment rental

1.54 0.36

0.04 0.14

1.58 0.50

0.19 0.45

1.00 0.00

1.19 0.45

Guide fees Spectator sports fee

0.00 0.19

0.00 0.07

0.00 0.26

0.00 0.11

0.00 0.00

0.00 0.11

Tourist attraction fee

0.10

0.00

0.10

0.00

0.00

0.00

Other recreation fee Film purchasing Film developing

1.30 1.01 0.58

1.30 1.20 0.76

0.68 1.00 0.46

0.00 0.26 041

0.68 1.26 0.88

0.34 0.54 0.75 0.27 0.48 Souvenirs 0.00 0.00 1.78 0.15 1.63 Footwear 0.01 1.30 1.59 0.14 1.45 Men's clothing 0.00 0.76 1.21 0.21 1.00 Women's clothing 0.38 2.69 2.32 0.63 1.69 All Other Notes: 1. Sample size is slightly smaller here than in Table 2 due to missing identification numbers. 2. "In 30 /Out 30" = Within and outside 30 miles of the dock. 3. (*)=Less than 0.5%.

0.88 0.00 1.31 0.76 3.07

Item Hotel Campgrounds Grocery Restaurant gas & oil Auto/RV rental AutolRV repairs AutolRV tires Auto/RV parts AutoiRV parking & tolls Boat gas & oil Boat rental Boat repairs Boat parts Boat launch fees

SAuto/RV m

SFishing

I I £

0.00 0.19 0.19

107

II mI

! Table 3B. Average trip spending ($ per party per trip) by dock residents and nonresidents for 8 aggregate mailback spending items, n-229. __ Residents (n= 169) Nonresidents (n-S6C) Item % Item Pct. % Item Pcr In 30 Out 30 Total in Total Error In 30 Out 30 Total in Total Eorr 9% 65%; 9.01 0.30 8.71 3% 41% 2-11 0.52 1.59 LODGING FOOD AND BEVERAGE 24.54 2.94 27.48 35% 14% 32.83 6.48 39.30 40% 14% 16% 5.63 5.30 10.92 11 qo 2^4010 7.29 1.50 8.79 11% AUTO/RV BOAT-RELATED 21.41 2.66 24.07 31% 28% 15.58 10.02 25.60 26% 36%0, FISHING 1.81 0.30 2.12 3% 15% 1.82 0.24 2.05 2% 22% HUNTING 1.64 0.04 1.68 2% 37% 0.19 1,00 1.19 1% 78% ACTIVI'Y FEES 1.95 0.21 2.16 3% 32% 1.25 0.00 1.25 1%/0 45% MISCELLANEOUS 6.14 1.15 7.29 9% 29% 4.06 1.03 5,09 5% 27% Total 66.99 11.03 78.02 100% 14N 64.35 33.15 97.5 Notes: 1. Sample size is slightly smaller here than in Table 2 due to missing identification numbers. 2. 'In 30/Out 30' - Within and outside 30 miles of the dock. 3. Pct.Error=Standard error of the mean as a percentage of the mean. 4. (*)-Less than 0.5%.

100%

21%



I

S error as a percentage 4B indicates, mean is mean:

that for all

interpretation of variance.

243 cases,

Table 4,

26 percent,

Table

the standard error is

computed for weekly expenses rather

plus or minus 11

The 95 percent confidence

standard errors on either side of the mean. interval for the overall trip per party per week ($67

1

The standard error for the estimate of total

spending by dock owners is

$189.13 per week,

percent of the mean of

interval for the mean is Thus,

spending estimate

is

to $105 per party per trip

The standard errors for trip (Table 4B)

range from 10 percent

two

the 95 percent confidence between $146.37 and $231.89

average

in

Table 2).

spending estimates by aggregate (food and beverage)

to 54 percent

category (lodging).

The larger standard errors associated with lodging and hunting expenses are primarily a function of high variance and large proportions of zero spending these categories

(95% and 91%,

respectively,

108

3 5 3

applying the same 11 per-

cent standard error to the $86 per party per trip

in

5

the error associated with the lodging

respectively.

than for expenditures per trip. trip

For example,

slightly more than twice the error associated with the activity fees

54 percent vs. In

aids in

in

Table 2B).

I

3

1 I

I 3

Table 4A. Selected error statistics for trip spending per week by detailed expenditure items, UMRS Dock Owners Study (1990-91), n=243.

3 Item

3

I

Hotel Campgrounds Grocery Restaurant AutolRV gas & oil Auto/RV rental Auto/RV repairs Auto/RV tires AutoIRV parts Auto/RV parking & tolls Boat gas & oil Boat rental Boat repairs Boat parts Boat launch fees Boat fares Fishing license Boat charter fee Fishing bait Hunting license iAmmunition equipment rental Guide fees Spectator sports fee Tourist attraction fee Other recreation fee film purchasing Film developing Souvenirs Footwear Men's clothing Women's clothing All Other

Total Mean

Std. Error

Pct. Error

95% Cl Mean+ Mean-

7.37 0.75 34.84 33.42 14.23 1.40 0.65 3.25 0.87 0.22 20.38 4.12 26.87 7.38 0.78 0.02 0.19 0.00 4.42 0.15 3.06

4.31 0.38 3.13 4.33 1.44 1.04 0.20 1.35 0.63 0.10 2.41 4.12 10.25 3.74 0.32 0.02 0.17 0.00 0.52 0.11 1.07

58% 51% 9% 13% 10% 74% 31% 42% 72% 45% 12% 100% 38% 51% 41% 100% 89% 0% 12% 73% 35%/'

(0) (0) 28.58 24.76 11.35 (0) 0.25 0.55 (0) 0.02 15.56 (0) 6.37 (0) 0.14 (0) (0) 0.00 3.38 (0) 0.92

15.99 1.51 41.10 42.08 17.11 3.48 1.05 5.95 2.13 0.42 25.20 12.36 47.37 14.86 1.42 0.06 0.53 0.00 5.46 0.37 5.20

1.14 0.00 0.46 0.16 3.02 2.68 1.76 1.62 2.96 3.49 2.28 5.21

0.52 0.00 0.21 0.14 1.11 0.50 0.47 0.86 0.94 1.23 1.14 1.78

46% 0% 46% 88% 37% 19% 27% 53% 32% 35% 50% 34%

0.10 0.00 0.04 (0) 0.80 1.68 0.82 (0) 1.08 1.03 0.00 1.65

2.18 0.00 0.88 0.44 5.24 3.68 2.70 3.34 4.84 5.95 4,56 8.77

Total 189.13 21.38 11% 146.37 231.89 Pct.Error: Standard error of the mean as a percentage of the mean. Two standard errors yield a 95% confidence interval (CI).

1

I

109

3 3

Table 48. Selected error statistics for trip spending per week by 8 aggregate spending categories, UMRS Dock Owners Study (1990-91), n=243. Std. Error

Total Mean

Item

4.36 6.70 2.45 12.66 0.56 1.08 1.25 5.12

8.12 68.26 20.62 59.55 4.60 3.21 4.77 19.99

LODGING FOOD AND BEVERAGE AUTO/RV BOAT-RELATED FISHING HUNTING ACTIVITY FEES MISCELLANEOUS

Pct. Error 54% 10% 12% 21% 12% 34% 26% 26%

95% Cl Mean+ Mean(0) 54.86 15.72 34.23 3.48 1.05 2.27 9.75

16.84 81.66 25.52 84.87 5.72 5.37 7.27 30.23

I 3

231.89 146.37 11% 21.38 189.13 TOTAL Pct. Error: Standard error of the mean as a percentage of the mean. Two standard errors yield a 95% confidence interval (CI).

S 5

Durable Goods Spending Within the past year,

dock owners spent an average of $668 per household

on durable items that were used for recreation trips associated with the use Ninety percent (90%) of this amount, $602 per of their docks (Table 5). household per year, the $668 gear,

$17

The remainder of

was spent on boat-related durable goods.

in durable goods spending was distributed as: $38 (6%) (3%)

for hunting gear,

$7 (1%)

for camping equipment,

for all other durable recreation equipment.

for fishing and $4 (0.6%) $496

3

About 26% of the

3

Seventy-four percent (74%),

per household per year, was spent on motorized boats alone.

Durable Goods Spendini

by Item.

The sample of 150 dock owners reported

2,890 durable items used for recreation purposes (Table 5).

items reported were major durable goods such as boats, engines, trailers, rifles, and tents. Among these major durable items, thirteen percent (13%) Seven percent (7%) were rifles and shotguns were boats and engines alone. used in hunting; 4 percent were tents. Seventy-four percent (74%) fishing tackle,

of all durable goods were smaller items like

hunting equipment,

and boating and camping accessories.

II•

I

I

5 ! 5

Table S. Spending on durable goods by type, UMRS dock owners (150 households).

5

3

ALL ITEMS ALL YEARS N Category

$$ per Item

ITEMS PURCHASED IN LAST 7 YEARS

S1$$ per N

$$ per Item

Tol.Cost Pct of Pct of $S per HHousehold $(000's) Total $ Subgp. Householdlper Year

216 40 6 4 6 93 35 135 82 617

3743.42 1016.89 116.50 1999.88 2883.25 1415.77 543.43 145.48 95.62 1707.33

99 15 5 4 1 38 12 39 60 273

5255.83 626.50 58.80 2000.25 199.50 1893.87 520.63 254.69 96.25 2315.54

520.33 9.40 0.29 8.00 0.20 71.97 6.25 9.93 5.78 632.14

1124 225 71 131 112 1663

44.79 5.70 237.95 27.33 51.12 46.80

425 221 35 45 37 763

51,04 3.33 311.10 54.37 113.23 52.36

21.69 0.74 10.89 2.45 4.19 39.95

3%

Rifles Bows & arrows Hand load equip. Hunting boots Rubber boots Hunting clothing HUNT TOTAL

193 12 15 49 21 75 365

339.08 223.75 174.60 46.32 43.57 96.86 222.45

18 3 4 39 21 48 133

460.83 234.50 283.50 41.73 43.50 101.94 132.08

8.30 0.70 1.13 1.63 0.91 4.89 17.57

1% "

Tents Other camp CAMP TOTAL

120 27 147

82.79 492.00 157.95

29 9 38

121.66 451.50 199.78

24 74 98

88.56 79.86 81.99

16 68 84

93.84 46.48 55.50

3.16 4,66

Motor boat Non-Motorized boat Rubberboat Jet ski Sailboat Boat engines Boat trailer Waterski Boat accessories BOATTOTAL Rods & reels Nets, traps Depth finders Fishing clothing Boots&waders FISH TOTAL

URecreation

equip. Other rec. goods ALL OTHER EOUIP.

74% 1% " 1% *

10% 1% 1% 1% 90%

82% 3468.85 1% 62.65 0% 1.96 1% 53.34 0% 1.33 11% 479.78 1% 41.65 2% 66.22 1% 38.50 100% 4214.28

495.55 8.95 0.28 7.62 0.19 68.54 5.95 9.46 5.50 602.04

54% 2% 27% 6% 10% 100%

144.62 4.90 72.59 16.31 27.93 266.35

20.66 0.70 10.37 2.33 3.99 38.05

" " 1% 3%

47% 4% 6% 9% 5% 28% 100%

55.30 4.69 7.56 10.85 6.09 32.62 117.11

7.90 0.67 1.08 1.55 0.87 4.66 16.73

3.53 4.06 7.59

1% 1% 1%

46% 54% 100%

23.52 27.09 50.61

3.36 3.87 7.23

1.50

°

32% 68% 100%

10.01 21.07 31.08

1.43 3.01 4.44

*

2% 1% 6%

*

*

1%

ALL ITEMS TOTAL 2890 430.34 1291 543.70 701.91 100% 4679.43 668.49 Notes: 1. Since small sample sizes wer incurred for many items purchased within the past year only, samples sizes for items were increased by computing means for purchases made during the past 7 years. 2. "$$ per household per yearo computed by dividing $$ per household (previous 7 years) by 7. 3. (I)-Less than 0.5%.

I I

[111

!I Fishing rods and reels,

other fishing gear,

and waterskis

constizuied the

i

majority of smaller items. Of the 2,890 items purchased by dock owners,

20 percent w.;re purchased

within the past year and 45 percent were purchased within the previous seven years.

These 20 percent and 45 percent figures are somewhat conservative

since items purchased in multiple years were excluded from the one-year and seven-year analyses but not from the analysis data editing step was discussed in

for all

the PROCEDURES

durable goods spending,

the UMRS (66%)

(Table 6).

of all

in

all

years (this

section above).

Durable Goods Spending by Location and Residence. $668 in

items

About 75 percent of the

$502 per household per year,

3 3 3

took place within

UMRS residents accounted for approximately two-thirds

durable goods spending anywhere and 77 percent of such spending

within the UMRS.

Residents were more

region than nonresidents.

likely to buy durable goods within the

Eighty-nine percent (89%)

of resident durable goods

I

spending occurred within the UMRS as compared to 54% for nonresidents. Of the $502 per household spent within the UMRS region, on boats and boating equipment, on camping equipment, ble items,

and $3

$28 on fishing gear,

$454 was spent

$14 on hunting gear,

on other recreation durable goods.

with the exception of hunting gear,

spending occurred within the UMRS.

Across dura-

of all

spending

(Table 6).

Residents spent an average of $600 per household per year on durable goods,

whereas nonresidents spent an average of $781

(Table

6).

Both resident

and nonresident durable goods spending was dominated by boats and boat-related durable goods (88% and 92% of total durable goods spending,

However,

within individual items and categories,

differences.

For example,

($40 vs.

$32),

respectively).

there were some noticeable

residents spent more per household than nonresi-

dents on boat engines ($87 vs.

$21),

water skis ($12 vs.

and hunting gear ($20 vs.

average than residents for all

-

three fourths or more of all

Fifty-seven percent (57%)

on hunting gear occurred within the UMRS

$4

i

$9).

$2),

3 3 3

fishing gear

Nonresidents spent more on the

types of boats and camping equipment other than

tents.

New vs.

Used Durable Goods Spendinu.

In

the past seven years,

purchased 979 new and 312 used recreation durable goods used in with their boat docks

(Table 7).

Sixty-four percent

112

(64%)

dock owners conjunction

of total

spending

i

I

! I I

3

Table 6. Durable spending by place of purchase and place of residence ($ per household per year), UMRS Dock owners. ALL SPENDING WITHIN UMRS Pct. UMRS NonResident UMRS NonCategory Resident resident Total to Total Resident resident Total n-108 n=42 n-150 n-108 n-42 n=150 Motor boat Non-Motorized boat Rubber boat Jet Ski Sailboat Boat engines Boat trailer Waterski Boat accessories BOAT TOTAL

I *

413.20 2.58 0.40 3.97

643.02 25.34 0.00 17.01

495.55 8.95 0.28 7.62

62% 21% 100% 382

87.12 4.76 12.34 5.65 530.28

20.75 9.01 2.06 5.10 722.29

68.54 5.95 9.46 5.50 602.04

Rods & reels Nets, traps Depth finders Fishing clothing Boc0s & wadern FISH TOTAL

22.19 0.92 10.74 1.70 4.88 40.43

16.73 0.13 9.42 3.94 1.68 31.90

Rifles Bows & arrows Hand load equip. Hunting boots Rubber boots Hunting clothing HUNT TOTAL

10.31 0.21 1.51 1.70 0.67 5.15 19.55

Tents Other camp CAMP TOTAL Recreation equip. Other rec. goods ALL OTHER EQUIP. ALL ITEMS TOTAL

92% 58% 94% 74% 65%

370.67 1.79 0.40 3.97 0.26 77.67 4.56 10.36 5.54 475.22

367.51 1.02 0.00 10.54 0.00 14.29 3.74 1.29 0.20 398.59

369.79 1.57 0.28 5.81 0.19 59.92 4.33 7-82 4.05 453.76

72% 82% 100% 49% 1000% 93% 76% 95% 99% 75%

20.66 0.70 10.37 2.33 3.99 38.05

771 95% 75% 53% 88% 77%

20.32 0.67 5.46 1.63 4.43 32.51

7.48 0.09 2.57 3.50 1.11 14.75

16.73 0.50 4.65 2.16 3.50 27.54

87% 95% 85% 54% 91% 85%

1.70 1.84 0.00 1.16 1.38 3.40 9.48

7.90 0.67 08 1.55 0,87 4.66 16.73

94% 23% 100% 79% 56% 80/ 84%

10.31 0.21 1.31 0.97 0.51 4.86 18.17

1.70 1.19 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.68 3.77

7.90 0.49 0.94 0.70 0.42 3.69 14.14

94% 31% 100% 100% 87% 95% 93%

4.23 0.19 4,42

1.12 13.33 14.45

3.36 3.87 7.23

91% 4% 44%

4.23 0.19 4.42

0.10 1.28 1.38

3.08 0.49 3.57

99% 28% 89%

0.89 4.18 5.07

2.84 0.00 2.84

1.43 3.01 4.44

45% 100/ 82%

0.89 3.72 4.61

0.26 0.00 0.26

0.71 2.68 3.39

90% 100% 98%

599.75

780.96

668.49

66%

534.93

418.75

502.40

77%

1

U U i

Pct. Resident to Total

113

! ! Table 7. Durable spending on new versus used goods by type (items purchased in last 7 years), UMRS Dock Owners. NEW USED Pct. new Total Total of total $$ per Cost N $$ per Cost N $$ per Item $(000's) Item Item $(000's) Category Motor boat Non-Motorized boat Rubber boat Jet ski Sailboat Boat engines Boat trailer Waterski Boat accessories

I

I

3

51 5 5 2 0 30 8 34 60

7067.53 1640.10 58.80 3050.25 0.00 2251.90 594.56 259.10 96.25

360.44 8.20 0.29 6.10 0.00 67.56 4.76 8.81 5.78

48 10 0 2 1 8 4 5 0

5484.50 240.45 0.00 1900.50 399.00 1038.19 635.25 449.40 0.00

263.26 2.40 0.00 3.80 0.40 8.31 2.54 2.25 0.00

58% 77% 100% 62% 0% 89% 65% 80% 100%

Rods & reels Nets, traps Depth finders Fishing clothing Boots &waders

404 13 35 45 36

52.40 22.62 311.10 33.37 54.25

21.17 0.29 10.89 1.50 1.95

21 208 0 0 1

13.00 4.24 0.00 0.00 136.50

0.27 0.88 0.00 0.00 0.14

99% 25% 100% 100% 93%

I

Rifles Bows & arrows Hand load equip. Hunting boots Rubber boots Hunting clothing

16 3 4 39 21 48

508.59 234.50 283.50 41.73 43.50 101.94

8.14 0.70 1.13 1.63 0.91 4.89

2 0 0 0 0 0

78.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

0.16 0.00 0,00 0.00 0.00 0.00

98% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

I I

Tents Other camp

29 7

121.66 76.50

3.53 0.54

0 2

0.00 3522.75

0.00 7.05

100% 7%

Recreation equip. Other rec. goods

16 68

93.84 46.48

1.50 3.16

0 0

0.00 0.00

0.00 0.00

100% 100%

ALLITEMS TOTAL

979

535.11

523.88

312

934.13

291.45

64%

1

3

1

1 1

I I I[4

1 I

I was for new durable new mean of $535

items,

The used mean jf $ý-,

per item because

I

expensive

is

3 5

the new dura-

The percentages

of new are

for IMPLAN analysis.

Sampling errors for estimates of durable goods expenses are

slightly higher than for trip

3

Thus,

such as

which are based on total expenditures and not averages,

the most useful figures

Samrling Errors.

ante

based on a larger number and higher proportion of less

items than the used durable goods average.

to total spending,

3

Higher cozt items,

are more likely to be purchased used.

ble goods average

r-aser

the total av.erage cost per item reflects

both the cost and the kinds of items purchased. boats and trailers,

per item iS

spending.

smaller sample sizes and greater variance

These larger errors are due to for the cost of durable items.

As a

percentage of the mean, standard errors for durable goods are 13 percent overall

and 15 percent for spending within the UMRS (Table Errors are

camping,

larger for some individual

and other).

However,

8).

item categories

since hunting,

camping,

The estimates

hunting,

and other durable goods

account for such a small proportion of dock owner spending, not too disturbing.

(i.e.,

these

errors are

for boating and fishing equipment are much

more accurate. The error associated with nonresident spending is (20%).

Future sampling schemes may have to

moderately large

increase the number of dock owners

slightly to portray more accurately the amount spent by nonresidents. Table 8. Sampling errors for durable goods spending estimates, UMRS dock owners. 95% Confidence Mean Std.Err Interval Pct Error TOTALS $$ Per Household/Year 668.49 83.75 500.99 835.99 13% $$ in Local Area 502.40 76.84 348.72 656.08 15%

I

3

BY MAJOR DURABLE ITEM CATEGORIES Boat 602.04 Fish 38.05

79.91 5.89

Hunt

16.73

6.00

442.22 26.27 4.73

Camp

7.23

3.68

(0)

14.59

Other

4.44

2.51

(0)

9.46

57%

402.73 796.77 98.51 599.75 1099.30 462.62 159.17 780.96 Nonresidents Note: Pct Error=Standard error of the mean as a percentage of the mean Two standard errors yields a 95% confidence interval

16% 20%

761.86 49.83 28.73

13% 15% 36%

51%

BY SEGMENTS Residents

3

3

115

Other Annual Expenses.

'UMRS dock ow'rers

year in other annual expenses dock accounts maintenance

(Table 9).

for the preponderance

(18%),

-

,.sc:>.

r

3

o-i-nai cost of buI ding the ohe

(68%)

and boat insurance

;e

of these expenses,

8%).

fo1lowed b; dock

F'ishing and/or hurting licenses

I

account for less than 2 percent of other annual expenses.

Table 9. Other annual or durable goods expenses by type, UMRS dock owners. Category

Hunt/Fish. Hunt/Fish. Hunt/Fish. Hunt/Fish.

$$ per Household License License License License

(MN) (WI) 0IL) (IA)

4.51 6.75 5.74 9.83

0.68 1.01 0.86 1.47

0.80 27.63

Pct of Total

Pct of Subgp.

1%

16% 24% 21%o 36%

0.12 4.14

• 2%

3% 100%

797.03 216.04

119.55 32.41

68% 18%

14.43 25.30 96.99

2.16 3.80 14.55

1% 2% 8%

1177.42

176.61

100%

Hunt/Fish. License (MO) ALL Hunt/FISH. LICENSE Cost of dock Dock Maintenance Boat Registration Boat Storage Boat Insurance TOTAL Notes: (*)=Less than 0.5%.

Tol.Cost $(000's)

1%

3

The annual costs of boat storage and boat insurance can be directly bridged to IMPLAN sectors in order to derive corresponding economic impacts. The cost of dock construction and maintenance could also be subjected to input-output analysis,

but first

more must be known about the economic sectors

affected by these activities as well as the length of time since construction. Fishing and hunting licenses and boat registration fees are generally considered transfer payments to other units of government,

Therefore,

from the state to local units of government and that portion can be

116

B

5 -

licenses and

fees are excluded from local impact analyses unless some portion is

ascertained.

I

returned

3

I I I

I g

RESULTS.

MARINA SL'P? RENTERS

Sample Sizes and Response Rates The study plan called for the o':her contractor to attempt 9 follow-up

3 3

phone calls to the 150 households that constituted the panel of marina slip renters along the UMRS. was 1350 (Table 10).

Thus,

the total number of possible telephone contacts

Of these attempted contacts,

331 telephone calls (25%)

resulted in slip renters reporting at least one recreation trip the previous week.

Three hundred ninety-two (392)

from this group,

mailback questionnaires were received

yielding an apparently nonsensical response rate of

119 percent. There are two likely explanations

for why more mailback questionnaires

than telephone contacts pertained to slip renters who reported recreation trips and expenditures the previous week.

I

5

contacts were possible,

First, although 1,350 telephone

not all contacts were actually made.

However,

all were sent mailback questionnaires prior to the attempted contacts,

since a num-

ber of those who could not be contacted apparently returned their questionnaires anyway.

Secondly,

there were a number of telephone contacts

(28)

for

whom no trips were reported but who returned a mailback questionnaire containing trip expenditures for the previous week. The 395 mailback trip expenditure questionnaires comprise the sample size upon which subsequent marina user trip spending profiles are constructed.

3 3

A few of these 395 questionnaires reported having engaged in at least one recreation trip the previous week, but reported no trip expenditures.

These

questionnaires with recreation trips but no reported expenditures were included inthe analysis.

Trip Expenditures Marina slip renters averaged $132 in variable trip costs per party per

3

3 3

I

trip (Table 11).

Eighty-five percent (85%)

of these expenditures were made

within 30 miles of the marina slip.

Proportion of Zero Spending.

In most of the categories

(Table 11), less than

10 percent of the sample of marina users reported any spending.

Categories

with relatively high percentages of non-zero spending by marina users were:

117

Table 10. Marina user sample sizes and response rates (UMRS study, 1990-91).

A. # Households B. # Calls/Household C. Total Possible Contacts (A. X B.) D. Actual # Completed Contacts

150 9

(1)

1350 1082

I

I 3 3

E. # Recreation Trips the Previous Week F. % "Hits" (E./D.)

33.1 30 %

(2)I

G. # Mailback Q'naires Rc'd. H. # Mailback Q'naires Reporting a Recreation Trip the Previous Week

748

(3)

395

1. Mailback Response Rate (H./E.)

119 %

I

(4)

Notes: (1) 3 calls each in spring, summer, fall (2) % of contacts for which there was a recreation trip the previous week (3) Exceeds # of recreation trips the previous week (part E.) because, part way through the study, households were asked to return their maiiback expenditure questionnaires even if they incurred no recreation trips the previous week (4) Exceeds 100% because part H. exceeds part E. There are two likely explanations. First, many could not be contacted by phone. Since they were sent mailback questionnaires prior to the attempted contacts (part D.), a number of those who could not be contacted returned their questionnaires anyway. Secondly, there were 28 telephone contacts for whom no trips were reported but who returned a mailback questionnaire containing trip expenditures for the previous week.I

I I

£ I

I I I

5

Table I1A, Average trip spending [$ per party per trip) for 33 detailed maitbacit expenditure items,. UMRS Marina U)sers Study (119W-91), n-326. Mean of Item LODGING Hotel

Week 5.16

Campgrounds FOCO AND BEVERAGE Grocery restaurant AUTOIRV AutoIRV gas &oil Ato/RV rentla

Pct.

Mean per

PcI itemn

Zeroes

Trip

In Total

93%

0.41 37.39 38.89

2 72

Within 30 Mi, Mean/trip

2%

0.22 23% 35%

19.66 19.42

is 15%

Pct,

Outside 30 Mi Mean/trip

Pct

1.09

40%

1 62

80%

0.22

100%

000

0%

16.63 15.97

851% 82%

305 3.44

15% 18%

76% 100%

1.54 0.00

24% 0%

12.20 0.01 1.38 0.27 0.02 0.05

30 100

8.42 0.01

5%

4898 0.01

94

0.72

1%

0.69

96%

0.03

97 971

0.14 0.43 0.03

0.14 0.38 003

100% 89% 100%

0.00 0.05 0.00

0% 11% 0%

Boat gas &oil Boat rental Bote pairs

44.6a 0.01 38.7S

26% 100% 820o

23.52 0.01 20.30

19.44 83% 001 100% 19.59 96%

4.08 0ý00 0.80

17% 0% 4%

BoIartPat

23.18

73A

12.19

9%

10 14

83%

205S

17%

Boat launch fees Boat fares

21.08 0.15

11.09 0.084

8%

10.50 0.00

95% 0%

0ý50 0.08

5% 100%

0.12 0.00 0.58

88% 0% 95%

0.02 0.00 0.03

12% 0% 5%

0.00 0.15

0% 90%

0.02 100% 0,02 10%

0 22 0.00 008

73% 0% 31%

0 08 000 0 19

27% 0% 89%

0.15

43%

0.20

57%

5uoR U

repairs

AutoIRV tire* Auto/RV parts AutoItRV parkting &tolls

*

4%

BOAT-FIELATEID

3 U 3 ITourist SFilm

a8 10

18% 16%

FISHING Fishing license Boat charter fee Fishing bait

0.28 0.00 1.13

98 100% 83%

0.14 0.00 0.50

0.04 0.31

100 99%

0.02 0.16

0.56 0.00 0.52

98% 100% 97%

0.29 0.00 0.27

0.87

97% 96%

0.87

1%

2.34

1.23

1

1.06

88%

0.17

14%

0.89

1CA

0.77

87%

0.12

13%

1.44 1,22 1.60

1% 1% 1%

1,27 1.13 1.37

88% 93% 88%

0.17 0.08 0.23

12% 7% 14%

2.48



1.S9

76%

0-59

24%

0.10

3%

*

0O

HUNTING Hunting license Ammunition

* *

ACTIVITY FEES equipment rental Guide fees Spectator sports fee

attraction too

Other recreation fee

1.65

MISCELLANEOUS film purchasing Souvenirs Footwear Mnsclotftirg

2.73 2.31 3.04

77% 85 95 95 93

Women's clothing

4.72

92

developing

I 3

1.69

0.35

0% *

n146

53%

All Other 5.57 91 2.93 2 2.83 97% Notes: 1. Means based 0n n-395. the number of mailback questionnaireis for which recreation

expenditures

1?'9 previous

0.41

week were reported.

2. 'Mean per trip' - 'Mean per week' divided by 1.9 trips per week. the sample average. 3. 'Pct.Zefoes' -% of dock owners who spent nothing on a particular item on a particular trip.

4. (*)-Less thani 0.5%.

119

47%

I I Table 118. Average trip spending ($ per party peý trip) for 8 aggregate sWending categories. _I UMRS Marina Users Sludy (1990-91). n.395. Mean Mean

93% 16 301 17 82

5.57 74.28 14.71 127.83 1.39 0.35 3.40 22.40

LODGING FOOD AND BEVERAGE AUTOIRV BOAT-RELATEO FISHING HUNTING ACTIVITY FEES MISCELLANEOUS

per Trip

Pct. Zeroes

per Week

Item

go 68%

Within 30 Mi Mean/trip Pct.

Pct item In Total 2% 30% 6% 51 1%

293 3.00 7.74 67.28 0.73 0.18 1.70 11,79

1%

1 31 3281 6.13 s1eT.6 0.68 0.15 09.2 10.32

Outside 30 Mt Meanftrip Pctt

45% 83% 79% 899% 94% 60% 51% 8U%

85% 111,78 100 131.55 0 249.94 Total Notes: 1, Means basled on 11u395, the number of mailb41ck questionnaires for which recreation

1 62 649 1681 7 61 005 004 087 1 47

55% 17% 21% 11% 6% 20% 49% 12%,

197'

15%

I

expenditures the previous week were reported. I Mean per week' divided by 1.9 trips per week. the sample average2. *Mean per trip' 3. *Pct.Zeroea =% of dock owners who spent nothing on a paxticular item on a partlicular trip. 4. (')-Leos than 0.5%.

I grocery (23%),

restaurant (35%),

boat parts (73%),

(26%),

auto/RV gas and oil (30%),

boat gas and oil

and film purchasing (77%).

TriR Siending by Category.

The $132 per trip average for marina users across

I

U

33 specific trip expense categories and 8 aggregate groupings displayed an The largest proportion of spending was for boat-related

uneven distributic-.

and food and beverages (30%),

items (51%) auto/RV (6%),

and lodging (2%).

followed by miscellaneous

Activity fees.

fishing expenses,

expenses each comprised one percent or less of the total jTable ing profiles in

(9%).

and hunting 11B).

Spend-

33 detailed trip spending categories are reported in

I

1 3

Table 11A.

Resident vs.

Average trip spending was $127 per party

for resident marina users and $143 per party per trip

per trip dents

Nonresident Spending.

(Table 12B).

The average

$132 per party per trip

(Table

for nonresi-

for residents and nonresidents combined was 12B).

Resident and nonresident spending patterns differ slightly. residents

spend a higher proportion of their total

trip

costs

I

First,

I

3

than 1

120

I

3

Table 12A. Average trip spending ($ per party per trip) by marina user residents and nonresidents for 33 detailed mailback expenditure items, n=391. Residents (n=270) Nonresidents (n=121) Item In 30 Out 30 Total In 30 Out 30 Total Hotel 0.34 1.81 2.14 2.83 1.26 4.09 Campgrounds 0.04 0.00 0.04 0.61 0.00 0.61 Grocery 15.72 3.66 19.38 18.70 1.78 20.48 Restaurant 13.52 3.68 17.20 20.95 3.02 23.97 Auto/RV gas & oil 3.72 1.17 4.89 7.42 2.30 9.72 Auto/RV rental 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.02 Auto/RV repairs 0.92 0,01 0.93 0.20 0.04 0.24 Auto/RV tires 0.19 0.00 0.19 0.03 0.00 0.03 Auto/RV parts 0.45 0.07 0.52 0.25 0.00 0.25 Auto/RV parking & tolls 0.02 0.00 0.02 0.04 0.01 0.05 Boat gas & oil 20.19 4.48 24.67 17.64 3.32 20.96 Boat rental 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 Boat repairs 18.67 1.17 19.84 22.31 0.00 22.31 Boat parts 12.98 2.33 15.31 4.11 1.52 5.63 Boat launch fees 7.72 0.51 8.23 17.05 0.81 17.86 Boat fares 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.26 0.26 Fishing license 0.07 0.03 0.10 0.24 0.00 0.24 Boat charter fee 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fishing bait 0.52 0.05 0.57 0.66 0.00 0.66 Hunting license 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.06 Ammunition 0.22 0.00 0.22 0.00 0.05 0.05 Equipment rental 0.21 0.09 0.30 0.24 0.05 0.29 Guide fees 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Spectator sports fee C.07 0.01 0.08 0.13 0.59 0.72 Tourist attraction fee 0.10 0.19 0.29 0.27 0.23 0.49 Other recreation fee 0.54 0.51 1.05 0.32 0.18 0.49 Film purchasing 1.19 0.19 1.38 0.74 0.15 0.89 Film developing 0.94 0.14 1.07 0.44 0.07 0.51 Souvenirs 1.24 0.14 1.38 1.37 0.22 1.59 Footwear 1.22 0.00 1.22 0.99 0.26 1.25 Men's clothing 1.68 0,11 1.79 0.72 0.00 0.72 Women's clothing 1.95 0.64 2.59 1.82 0.17 1.99 All Other 1.43 0.11 1.53 6.06 0.10 6.16 Notes: 1. Sample size is slightly smaller here than in Table 11 due to missing identification numbers. 2. "In 30 /Out 30' = Within and outside 30 miles of the marina slip. 3. (*)=Less than 0.5%.

5

3

121

Table 12B. Average trip spending ($ per oarty per trip) by marina user residents and nonresidents for 8 aggregate mailback spending items, n-391. Nonres4dents (n- 121) Residents (n=270) Pct. % Item Pct. Item o/0 Item Error Total in In 30 Out 30 Total Error in Total In 30 Out 30 Total 3%No30% 4.70 1.26 3.44 31% 2% 2.18 1.81 0.38 LODGING 9% 3100 44.45 4.80 39.65 70 29% 36.58 7.34 FOOD AND BEVERAGE 29.24 9% 7% 10.31 2.35 7.96 18 5% 6.54 1.25 5.29 AUTO/RV 16% 47% 67.02 5.91 61.12 1 1 54% 68.06 8.48 59.58 BOAT-RELATED 1% 21% 0.89 0.00 0.89 23 1% 0.67 0.08 0.59 FISHING 100% 0.12 0.12 0.00 * 0.22 0.00 0.22 HUNTING 1% 41% 2.00 1.05 0.95 354 1% 1.72 0.81 0.91 FEES ACTIVITY 5% 28% 6.94 0.88 6.06 16% 7% 9.44 1.22 8.22 MISCELLANEOUS 8% 126.13 16.46 142.59 100% 126.94 105.85 21.08 Total missing identification numbers. to due 11 Notes: 1. Sample size is slightly smaller here than in Table slip. marina the of 2. In 30 lOut 30' - Within and outside 30 miles mean. the of percentage a as 3. Pct.Error-Standard error of the mean 4. (')-Less than 0.5%.

on boat-related

nonresidents beverage

Third,

dent average vs.

$36.58)

the same

(54% vs.

Second,

respectively).

respectively)

47%,

resident average

higher than nonresidents for miscellaneous

is

party trip $6.94).

35%,

(40% vs.

items

and auto/RV ($10.31 vs.

$6.54),

9%

is

£

and food and spending per ($9.44 vs.

$2.18),

food and beverage

($44.45

Boat-related averages are nearly

difference proportionately between resident and non-

little

resident spending within 30 miles of the marina slip location. of nonresident spending locally is 83%,

locally (88% vs. ing per party trip

Table 12B).

U

5 £

Nonresident average spend-

within 30 miles exceed similar resident spending for most

items except hunting-related and miscellaneous

In

Errors in

Estimates of Trip Spending.

with trip

spending estimates are reported.

weekly expen•ses

The percentage

slightly greater than resident spending

respectively in

1

I

for both residents and nonresidents.

There

U

noticeably higher than resi-

nonresident average spending is

spending for lodging ($4.70 vs.

items

100%

I

Table 13,

rather than for expenditures

the estimate of total trip

items.

sampling errors associated

The standard error is per trip.

spending by marina users is

122

computed

for

The standard error for

I

3

plus or minus 6 percent

1 U

! I I

Table 13A. Selected error statistics for weekly trip spending by detailed expenditure items, UMRS Marina Users Study (1990-91), n=395.

3Mean Item

I

3

Hotel Campgrounds Grocery restaurant Auto/RV gas & oil Auto/RV rental Auto/RV repairs Auto/RV tires Auto/RV parts Auto/RV parking & tolls Boat gas & oil Boat rental Boat repairs Boat parts Boat launch fees Boat fares Fishing license Boat charter fee Fishing bait Hunting license Ammunition equipment rental Guide fees Spectator sports fee Tourist attraction fee Other recreation fee film purchasing Film developing Souvenirs Footwear Men's clothing Women's clothing All Other

of Total 5.16 0.41 37.39 36.89 12.20 0.01 1.36 0.27 0.82 0.05 44.68 0.01 38.75 23.16 21.08 0.15 0.26 0.00 1.13 0.04 0.31 0.56 0.00 0.52 0.67 1.65 2.34 1.69 2.73 2.31 3.04 4.72 5.57

Std. Error

Pct. Error

1.18 0.26 2.18 2.60 0.81 0.01 0.99 0.25 0.38 0.02 3.51 0.01 6.93 3.51 6.06 0.15 0.11 0.00 0.18 0.04 0,26 0.29 0.00 0.29 0.25 0.72 0.29 0.24 0.90 0.56 0.69 0.99 1.98

23% 63% 6% 7% 7% 100% 73% 93% 46% 40% 8% 100% 18% 15% 29% 100% 42% 0% 16% 100% 84% 52% 0% 56% 37% 44% 12% 14% 33% 24% 23% 21%o 36%

95% Cl MeanMean+ 2.80 (0) 33.03 31.69 10.58 (0) (0) (0) 0.06 0.01 37.66 (0) 24.89 16.14 8.96 (0) 0.04 0.00 0.77 (0) (0) (0) 0.00 (0) 0.17 0.21 1.76 1.21 0.93 1.19 1.66 2.74 1.61

7.52 0.93 41.75 42.09 13.82 0.03 3.34 0.77 1.58 0.09 51.70 0.03 52.61 30.18 33.20 0.45 0.48 0.00 1.49 0.12 0.83 1.14 0.00 1.10 1.17 3.09 2.92 2.17 4.53 3.43 4.42 6.70 9.53

Total 249.94 14.81 60% 220.32 279.56 Pct. Error: Standard error of the mean as a percentage of the mean. Two standard errors yield a 95% confidence interval (Cl).

I I

I23

I I Table 13B. Selected error statistics for weekly trip spending by 8 aggregate spending categories, UMRS Marina Users Study (1990-91), n=395. Mean of Total

Item LODGING FOOD AND BEVERAGE AUTOIRV BOAT-RELATED FISHING HUNTING ACTIVITY FEES MISCELLANEOUS

Std. Error

Pct. Error

95% Cl MeanMean+

22% 6% 11% 9% 17% 74% 27% 10%

1.21 4.16 1.63 11.38 0.23 0.26 0.91 2.28

5.57 74.28 14.71 127.83 1.39 0.35 3.40 22.40

£

7.99 82.60 17.97 150.59 1.85 0.87 5.22 26.96

3.15 65.96 11.45 105.07 0.93 (0) 1.58 17.84

3

Total 249.94 14.81 6% 220.32 279.56 Pct. Error: Standard error of the mean as a percentage of the mean. Two standard errors yield a 95% confidence interval (CI).

of the mean of $249.94 per week. mean is

The 95 percent confidence interval for the

two standard errors on either side of the mean.

Thus,

confidence interval for the overall trip spending estimate is and $279.56 per party per week ($116

I 3

the 95 percent between $220.32

to $148 per party per trip applying the

same 6 percent standard error to the $132

per party per trip average in

Table liB). The standard errors for trip spending estimates by aggregate category (Table 13B)

range from 6 percent (food and beverage)

The error associated with the activity fees mean is associated with the boating mean: 27 percent vs.

to 74 percent (hunting). three times the error

9 percent,

larger standard error associated with hunting expenses is

respectively.

The

primarily a function

of the high variance and large proportion of zero spending (99%)

in

this cate-

5 3 3

gory (Table liB).

I

Durable Goods Spending Within the past year, marina slip renters spent an average of $3,087 per household on durable items that were used for recreation trips associated with the use of their marina slips (Table 14). spent on boat-related durable goods.

Nearly all of this amount (99%)

Ninety-five percent (95%) 124

was

of the total

3m 3 I

I U I

Table 14. Spending on durable goods by type, UMRS Marina Users(150 Household). ITEMS PURCHASED IN LAST 7 YEARS ALL ITEMS ALL YEARS

I

N

Motor boat Non-Motorized boat Rubber boats Jet ski Sailboat Boat engines

144 30355.73 12 10596.30 5 725.10 2 2699.88 0 0.00 15 1711,64

Boat trailer Waterski Boat accessories

8 2680.63 6 71 100.68 35 191 168.46 83 448 10186.22 238

Rods & reels Nets & traps Depth finders Fish clothing Boots & waders FISH TOTAL

355 8 52 27 5 447

SBOATTOTAL

3

I I I

N

$$ per item

92 33480.48 9 11094.98 3 806.84 2 2700.64 0 0.00 8 1021.33

Tol.Cost $(000's)

Pct of Pct of S$per Household Total S Subgp. Householdl per Year

3080.20 99.85 2.42 5.40 0.00 8.17

94% 3%

3440.54 93.92 222.61 13606.96

20.64 3129 18.48 3238.46

1%

45.93 82 35.67 5 232.39 33 23.54 13 6795 3 66.33 136

55.30 50.74 242.15 33.34 88.08 99.09

4.53 0.25 7.99 0.43 0.26 13.46

*

0%

95% 20398.70 3% 661.29 * 16.03 8 35.77 0% 0.00 1 54.11

136.71 21.77 1% 1% 122.36 99% 100% 21446.74

" " *

*

1%

2914.10 94.47 2.29 5.11 0.00 7,73 19,53 3.11 17.48 3063.82

34% 2% 59% 3% 2% 100%

30.03 1.68 52.92 2.87 1.75 89.25

4.29 0.24 7.56 0.41 0.25 12.75

Rifles Bows &arrows Loading equipment Hunting boots Rubber boots Hunting clothing HUNT TOTAL

2 1 0 4 0 3 10

749.72 69.46 0.00 75.12 0.00 75.00 208.05

2 0 0 0 0 0 2

750.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 750.47

1.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.50

. 100% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% " 100%

9.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.94

1.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.42

Tents Othercamp equip. CAMP TOTAL

112 9 121

52.58 103.02 56.33

45 9 54

62.25 103.35 69.10

2.80 0.93 3.73

75% 25% 100%

18.55 6.16 24.71

2.65 0.88 3.53

18 12 30

216.10 422.30 298.78

11 8 19

166.24 539.07 323.22

1.83 4.31 6.14

30% 70% 100%

12,11 28.56 40,67

1.73 4.08 5.81

Recreation equip. Other rec. goods ALL OTHER EQUIP.

3

$, per item

Category

S $ per

*

*

ALL ITEMS TOTAL 1056 8810.59 449 7267.95 3263.31 100% 21611.31 3087.33 Notes: 1. Since small sample sizes wer incurred for many items purchased within the past year only, samples sizes for items were increased by computing means for purchases made during the past 7 years. 2. 0$$ per household per yearff computed by dividing $$ per household (previous 7 years) by 7. 3. (*)-Less than 0.5%.

125

amount was spent on one category

:notori:~J ýIfle

. :

h

,lc

Cemaig

. t

I U

one percent in durable goods spending was spen: oan fishing gear,

Durable Goods Spending by Item.

The sample of 151 marina users reported buy-

ing 1,056 durable items used for recreation purposes (Table 14).

About 28% of

the items reported were major durable goods such as boats, engines, rifles,

and tents.

Seventeen percent (17%)

boats and engines alone.

fishing tackle,

were tents.

of all durable goods were smaller items like

hunting equipment,

ing rods and reels,

of these major durable goods were

Eleven percent (11%)

Seventy-two percent (72%)

trailers,

and boating and camping accessories.

other fishing gear, boating accessories,

Fish-

and waterskis

constituted the majority of smaller items. Of the 1,056 items purchased by marina users,

3 3 3

12 percent were purchased

I

within the past year and 43 percent were purchased within the previous seven years.

The 12 percent and 43 percent figures are somewhat conservative since

I

items purchased in multiple years were excluded from the one-year and sevenyear analyses but not from the analysis for all items in all years (this data editing step was discussed in

the PROCEDURES section above)

Durable Goods Spending by Location and Residence. $3,087 in durable goods spending, within the UMRS (Table 15). thirds (65%)

About 35 percent of the

$1,077 per household per year,

took place

UMRS residents accounted for approximately two-

of all durable goods spending anywhere and 76 percent of such

spending within the UMRS.

Residents were more likely to buy durable goods

within the region than nonresidents.

Forty percent (40%)

of resident durable

goods spending occurred within the UMRS as compared to 24% for nonrer:dents. Of the $1,077 per household spent within the UMRS region, boats and boating equipment, equipment,

$4 on fishing gear,

less than $1 on camping

and $4 on other recreation durable goods.

with the exception of other recreation durable goods, all spending occurred within the UMRS.

$1,069 was spent on

Across durable items, 35 percent or less of

Fifty-one percent (51%)

3 3 3

of all spend-

ing on other recreation durable goods occurred within the UMRS (Table 15). Residents spent an average of $600 per household per year on durable goods,

whereas nonresidents spent an average of $781 (Table 15).

Both resi-

dent and nonresident durable goods spending was dominated by boats and boatrelated durable goods (99% of total durable goods spending for each).

126

3 1 U

U I Table 15. Durable spending by place of purchase and place of residence (S per household per year), UMRS Marina users. ALL SPENDING WITHIN UMRS Pct. UMRS NonResident UMRS NonTotal Resident resident Total to Total Resident resident Category n-104 n-47 n-151 n-104 n=47 n=151

'

Motor boat Non-Motorized boat Rubberboat Jet ski Sailboat Boat engines Boat trailer Waterski Boat accessories BOAT TOTAL

2726.92 137.16 0.55 0.14 0.00 6.70 14.00 2.58 20.26 2908.31

3328.27 0.00 6.16 16.11 0.00 10.03 31.76 4.29 11.34 3407.96

2914.10 94.47 2.29 5.11 0.00 7.73 19.53 3.11 17.48 3063.82

Rods &reels Nets, traps Depth finders Fishing clothing Boots & waders FISH TOTAL

4.94 0.02 5.87 0.56 0.36 11.75

2.84 0.71 11.29 0.09 0.00 14.93

4.29 0.24 7.56 0.41 0.25 12.75

Rifles Bows & arrows Hand load equip. Hunting boots Rubber boots Hunting clothing HUNT TOTAL

2.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.06

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Tents Other camp CAMP TOTAL

3.34 1.22 4.56

SRecreation equip. Other rec. goods ALL OTHER EQUIP. ALL ITEMS TOTAL

S~127

I

64% 1136.81 100% 22.39 16% 0.00 0.14 0.00 5.63 49 8.51 57% 1.41 80% 1.62 65% 1176.51

797.87 0.00 1.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 30.40 1.82 0.00 831.99

1031.32 15.42 0.59 0.09 0.00 3.88 15.32 1.54 1.12 1069.28

76% 100% 0% 100o/o 0% 100% 38% 63% 100% 76%

79, 6% 53% 93% 100% 64

1.88 0.02 1.50 0.56 0.36 4.32

0.00 0.03 3.50 0.00 0.00 353

1.29 0.02 2.12 0.38 0.25 4.06

100% 60% 49% 100%oi 100% 73%

1.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.42

100% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

0.00 0.00 0 00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

1.12 0.12 1.24

2.65 0.88 3.53

87% 96% 89%

0.36 0.39 0.75

0.00 0.00 0.00

0.25 0.27 0.52

100% 100% 100%

2.27 2.61 4.88

0.55 7.35 7.90

1.73 4.08 5.81

90/ 44 58%

2.14 2.61 4.75

0.00 0.85 0.85

1.48 2.06 3.54

100% 87% 93%

2931.56

3432.03

3087.33

65%

1186.33

836.37

1077.40

76%

1

U

Pct. Resident to Total

0% 0% 0%0 0% 0% 0% 0%

I However,

within individual

differences. nonresidents

For example,

than residents

3

there were some noticeabie

resident marina users spent ;nore per household than

on non-motorized boats

and camping equipment ($5

New vs.

items and categories,

vs.

($137

$1).

for rubber boats,

vs.

$0),

Nonresidents

jet

skis.

Used Durable Goods Spending.

In

hunting gear

and depth finders.

the past seven years,

junction with their marina slips (Table 16).

$0),

spent more on the average

boat trailers,

renters purchased 387 new and 62 used recreation

ý$2 vs.

marina slip

durable goods used in

Fifty percent

(50%)

3 3

con-

of total

spending was for new durable items. The used mean of $26,371 per item is per item because

larger than the new mean of $4,168

the total average cost per item reflects both the cost and

the kinds of items purchased.

Higher cost items,

are more likely to be purchased used.

Thus,

the new durable goods average

based on a larger number and higher proportion of less expensive

items

the used durable goods average.

spending,

which are based on total

The percentages

expenditures

U

such as boats and trailers,

of new to total

and not averages,

are

is

U

than

the most useful

i

figures for IMPLAN analysis.

SamRling Errors.

For marina users,

sampling errors for estimates

expenses are slightly higher than for trip

spending.

These

of durable

larger errors are

due to smaller sample sizes and greater variance for the cost of durable items.

As a percentage

of the mean,

standard errors for durable goods are

12 percent overall and 23 percent for spending within the UMRS (Table Errors are larger for some individual camping,

and other).

However,

item categories

since hunting,

camping,

(i.e.,

not too disturbing.

The estimates

17).

hunting,

and other durable goods

account for such a small proportion of marina user spending,

these errors are

for boating and fishing equipment

U U

are much

5 3

more accurate. Errors associated with spending inside the UMRS and total spending are moderately large (23% each). increase

nonresident

Future sampling schemes may have

to

the number of marina users slightly to portray more accurately the

amount spent by nonresidents and the amount spent within the local area.

3

Other Annual Expenses.

£

per year in

UMRS marina slip renters averaged $2,255 per household

other annual expenses

(Table 18).

128

The one-time slip purchase fee

1 U

I U

3

3

3

Table 16. Durable spending on new versus used goods by type (items purchased in last 7 years), UMRS Marina Users. NEW USED Pct. new Total Total of total N $$ per Cost N $$ per Cost $$ per Category Item $(000's) Item $(000's) Item Motor boat Non-Motorized boat Rubber boat Jet ski Sailboat Boat engines Boat trailer Waterski Boat accessories

43 4 2 2 0 7 6 35 82

34402.40 13249,50 512.65 2700.64 0.00 1057.00 3440.54 86.98 224.42

1479.30 53.00 1.03 5.40 0.00 7.40 20.64 3.04 18.40

49 5 1 0 0 1 0 0 1

32365.34 9371.36 1395.24 0.00 0.00 771.61 0.00 0.00 73.99

1585.90 46.86 1.40 0.00 0.00 0.77 0.00 0.00 0.07

Rods & reels Nets, traps Depth finders Fishing clothing Boots & waders

82 5 33 13 3

55.30 50.74 242.15 33.34 88.08

4.53 0.25 7.99 0.43 0.26

0 0 0 0 0

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

100% 100% 100% 100% 100%o

Rifles Bows & arrows Hand load equip. Hunting boots Rubber boots Hunting clothing

2 0 0 0 0 0

750.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

1.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

0 0 0 0 0 0

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

100% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Tents Other camp

40 9

69.23 103.35

2.77 0.93

5 0

6.34 0.00

0.03 0.00

99% 100%

Recreation equip. Other rec. goods

11 8

166.24 539.07

1.83 4.31

0 0

0.00 0.00

0.00 0.00

100% 100%

387

4168.05

1613.03

62

26371.47

1635.03

50%

ALL ITEMS TOTAL

! I I i

129

48% 53% 42% 100% 0% 91% 100% 100% 100%

I Table 17. Sampling errors for durable goods spending estimates, UMRS marina users. 95% Confidence Mean Std.Err Interval Pct Error TOTALS $$ Per Household/Year $$ in Local Area

3087.33 1077.40

BY MAJOR DURABLE ITEM CATEGORIES Boat 3063.83 Fish 12.74 Hunt 1.42 3.53 Camp 5.82 Other

375.52 252.82

2336.29 571.76

3838.37 1583.04

12% 23%0/

375.29 2.04 1.42 1.44 2.83

2313.25 8.66 (0) 0.65 0.06

3814.41 16.82 4.26 6.41 11.58

12% 16% 100%o 41% 49%

BY SEGMENTS Residents 2931.56 416.23 2099.10 3764.02 Nonresidents 3432.03 784.34 1863.35 5000.71 Note: Pct Error=Standard error of the mean as a percentage of the mean3 Two standard errors yields a 95% confidence interval (37%)

and annual slip fees (35%)

expenses,

3 14% 23%

account for the preponderance of these

followed by boat insurance

(16%),

and boat storage (9%).

3

Fishing

and/or hunting licenses account for less than I percent of other annual

3 3

expenses. The annual costs of slip fees (private),

boat storage,

and boat insur-

ance can be directly bridged to IMPLAN sectors in order to derive corresponding economic impacts.

The cost of slip improvements and maintenance could

also be subjected to input-output analysis,

but first

the economic sectors affected by these activities, ments were made,

more must be known about the years in which improve-

and whether these expenditures were incurred by the boat

owner or the marina operator.

Fishing and hunting licenses and boat registra-

tion fees are generally considered transfer payments to other units of govarnment.

U 3 3

Licenses and fees are excluded from local impact analyses unless some

portion is

returned from the state to local units of government and that por-

tion can be ascertained.

U

DISCUSSION This section is divided into four major parts.

U

The first part deals

with the relative similarities and differences between dock owner and marina

130

1 I

I U

3

Table 18. Other annual or durable goods expenses by type, UMRS Marina Users. Category

Hunt/Fish. License (MN) Hunt/Fish. License (WI) Hunt/Fish. License (IL) Hunt/Fish, License (IA) Hunt/Fish. License (MO) ALL HUNT/FISH. LICENSE

3

3

I I 3 I I I I I

Maintenance Cost Boat Registration Boat Storage Boat Insurance Annual Slip Fee Slipfeature Installed One-time Slip Purchase ALL TOTAL (*)=Less than 0.5%.

$$ per Household

ToI.Cost $(000's)

3.07 1.28 1,14 2.54 0.48 8.51

0.46 0.19 0.17 0.38 0.07 1.29

30.71 23.91 205.80 354.05 779.77 28.41 823.84

4.64 3.61 31.08 53.46 117.75 4.29 124.40

1% 1% 9% 16% 35% 10/ 37%

2255.00

340.51

100%

Pct of Total

Pct of subgp. 36% 15% 130/a 30% 6% 1000/a

user spendinz zrottiles six visitor

In ý,_ c.,,

segment profiles

genera-ed

total CMRS study (Propst et. al two portions of the total UMRS study limitations is

...

in

,'ev=K

S co:1

.992.

s L:n •:rziono: I"e i

s

study are compared.

provided.

c rs

Thirdv

The fourth part sumirarizes

tions of the spending profiles and contains

references

:n

e

bet'&e n

assessment

II

of

general applica-

I

to the sources where

I

specific applications may be found.

Visitor Segment Profiles In

the developed site portion of the total UARS study,

for six predefined visitor 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6.

spending profiles

segments were developed:

I

resident, day use boaters resident, day use nonboaters resident, overnight visitors nonresident, day use boaters nonresident, day use nonboaters nonresident, overnight visitors

These segments were formed by the combination of factors nonresident,

day or overnight visitor,

the variation

in

expenditures within each segment.

Thus,

resident or

which minimized

these

six segments

to their spending patterns.

Dock owners and marina slip renters constitute segments assumed to be relatively homogeneous two segments represent distinct

(i.e.,

boater or nonboater)

are relatively homogeneous with respect

subgroups

in

in

two additional visitor

their expenditures.

3

These

terms of recreation use and

3

expenditure patterns.

Dock Owner vs.

Marina User Profiles.

In

terms

of variable

trip costs,

users outspent dock owners substantially on a per trip basis dollars per trip, marina users

respectively).

reported more

The same is

By expenditure

category,

related items than dock owners

among more

--

1992).

($132

vs.

marina $86,

for total expenditures (see St.

as

Paul District's

Trip expenditures

within the

for both groups. the most noticeable difference

groups was that marina users spent,

tively).

true

trips than dock owners

"Recreation Use and Activity Report" UMiRS exceeded 80 percent

3

proportionately,

(51% vs.

between

the two

20 percent more on boat-

31% of the overall average,

3 3 3

respec-

The sample of dock owners tended to spread this 20% differential items as reflected

spending for all

in

slightly higher proportions of dock owner

remaining categories

(Tables 2B and liB).

132

This difference

is

I

I 3

not too surprising ation activities may engage

given

:hat marina .:sersi.>

v •pc:.i

related to the

directly

::*:

e>a:

marina users have much more expe-s-ve

The average boat cost

for marina users was more

cost per boat for dock owners

($33,480

vs.

:

., ssedock

-as

in more of a mix of boating a=d no2-eoatiug

Furthermore,

;

recreation

c'i.:vrs

activities

boats than dock owners.

than six t:imes

tie average

respective'v.%'.

$5,2%6.

Thus,

it

reasonable for marina users to spend more money than dock owners on such var-.

Sable

3 3

trip

costs as boat gas and oil,

boat repairs,

and boat parts.

these conclusions are based on the averages per trip tures.

However,

Again.

and not on total expendi-

given the substantially higher number of trips reported bv

marina users than dock owners

(see

Activity Report"

--

is

by marina users,

for the items directly measured in

1992),

it

St.

Paul

logical

District's

"Recreation Use and

to conclude that total expenditures this

study,

exceed those

of dock owners. By place of residence

(Tables

3 and 12),

nonresident marina users spent

a higher proportion locally than nonresident dock owners

Stively,spent

3

within 30 miles).

66%,

respec-

Both resident and nonresident marina users

spent 3 to 4 times as much on boat-related unlike dock owners,

(88% vs.

items as dock owners.

Furthermore,

a substantial proportion of nonresident marina user spend-

ing on boat-related item occurred locally. The pattern of dock owners purchasing a wider variety of items but spending less per comparable durable goods spending.

item than marina users appears

The extreme difference

already been highlighted.

in

in

both trip and

average boat cost has

There were other differences

in

durable

goods

spending patterns as well:

SOn

an item-by-item basis, I.

dock owners purchased about three times as many durable items seven years as compared to marina users (1,291 vs. 449 items, respectively, in Tables 5 and 14).

2.

dock owner dominance in the number of durable purchased was particularly noticeable (Tables

in

the past

fishing and hunting items 5 and 14).

On a total cost basis, 1.

marina users outspent dock owners by a

$702,000), users

factor of 4.6 ($3,263,000 vs.

a clear result of much more expensive boats purchased by marina

(Tables 5 and 14).

Within the UMRS, 1.

U

the average durable spending by marina users ($1,077 per household per year) was twice that of dock owners ($502 per household per year) (see Tables 6 and 15). 133

II 2.

3.

howveer. %iarina -,sers speýnt::::~:~.~c 1- ($.51 077,.V tures outside of the UMRS percent (1- $502/$668)) outside the UMh.S

~

ui~

dock o'. .ers Taules 6 and 15).

the same pattern of proportionately more average

spending outside the LMRS

I U

than within by marina users held for both residents and nonresidents

(Tables 6 and 15).

3

For motorized boats only, 1.

marina users outspent dock owners outside the UMRS by a ratio of 2 3 to ($1,031 vs. $370 per household per year in Tables 6 and 15),

2.

58 percent of the average amount spent by resident marina users for all motorized boats was spent outside the UMRS (l-($1,37/$2,727)): the comparable ratio for resident dock owners was 10 percent outside the region ti($371/$413)) (Tables 6 and 15). in comparison to the devel-

Developed Site Segments Compared to Dock Owners. oped site study, dock owners'

average trip spending is

vs.

Dock owners deviate from the full sample of

$72 per party per trip).

slightly higher ($86

on-site visitors by spending proportionately less on lodging (4% vs. less on auto/RV items (11% vs.

21%),

3 3

12%),

and more on boat-related items (31% vs.

14%).

I

Dock owners most closely resemble the spending pattern of resident/day use/boaters fishing,

(R/D/B)

because the proportionate spending on lodging,

hunting, activity fees,

the two segments.

and miscellaneous

Also, both segments makt

of trip expenditures

locally.

items is

igh proportions

boating,

similar between (more than 80%)

Differences include higher average spending by

dock owners than the R/D/B segment ($86 vs. proportion spent on food and beverages,

$55

I

per party trip),

a greater

3

and a lower proportion spent on auto!

RV items. Durable goods spending comparisons are more difficult to make as averages are reported in different units for reasons explained earlier:

dollars

spent per party trip for the developed site segments and dollars spent per household per year for dock owners and marina users.

Therefore,

valid comparisons are those made on a proportional basis,

the only

in which case dock

owners closely resemble resident/day use/boaters in percentages spent on boatrelated durable goods, R/D/B segment,

fishing gear, and all other durable goods.

Like the

dock owners also spend a large proportion on durable goods in

the UMRS region (75% vs.

76%).

134

I 3 3 3

I I

1 5

Developed Site Segments Compared oped site

study,

($132

$72

vs.

marina users'

to Marina Users.

average

per party per trip).

trip

s-pnding

5

items (51% vs.

(6% vs.

:':ai is

21%),

trip

twice as high

from the full

less on lodging

12%

and substantially more on boat

sample

vs.

12%1)

related

14%).

Marina users do not resemble any of the six developed

Stheir

e'e

.

nearl,

Marina users dev'iate

of on-site visitors by spending proportionately less on auto/RV items

:•

spending patterns.

site segments

A high proportion spent on boat-related

coupled with low spending for lodging and auto/RU,

in

items.

sets marina users apart

from the rest. In

terms of durable

spending,

nonresident/day use/boaters

(NR/D/B)

durable goods

and all

the almost

3

goods

(99% vs. 91%)

segment (35% vs. 25%).

*

Sampling Error

else

is

goods

(1% vs.

and marina users are comparable portion of this study. limit recommended in

Propst et.

respectively.

for total

items to

feature of the marina user seg-

as a percentage of the mean)

for dock owrners

to those resulting from the developed site

trip

al (1992).

For the developed site

study,

and durable goods spending were 8 percent

For dock owners,

and

the sampling errors were 11 per-

trip spending and 13 percent for durable

goods spending.

marina user sample displayed sampling errors of 6 percent (trip) cent

However.

They are also within the 20 percent error tolerance

sampling errors for total 14 percent,

*

9%).

spending on boat-related

a distinguishing

Standard errors (expressed

Scent

other durable

spent on boat-related

Marina users spend slightly higher within the UMRS than the NR/D/B

3

3

percentages

total domination of durable goods

the exclusion of all ment.

in

marina users most closely resemble

The

and 12 per-

(durable). By place of residence for durable goods only,

UMRS resident spending is

below the 20 percent error threshold for both dock owners and marina users. For dock owners, 20 percent; future

nonresident sampling error for durable

for nonresident marina users,

studies interested in

the error

reporting durable

is

goods spending 23 percent.

is

Thus,

goods spending by nonresidents

would need to consider a goal of 200 to 250 dock owner or marina user house-

Sholds

I U

or tolerate errors larger than 20 percent.

135

I 3

Limitations 1.

not known.

The potential for double counting of visitor segments is U•RS

The design of the overall

not so much a problem

This is

marina slip renters.

and durable goods spending as

trip

incorporate

it

for estimates of average of total

for estimates

is

a clear means of

sites yere also dock ovners or

those surveyed at developed

if

determining

study did noz

recreation use

I

and spending. 2.

Computing durable goods costs on a yearly basis per household does not account for the portion of durable expenditures that could be associated where that equipment may be used. with non-UMRS sites No attempt was made to apportion the costs of durable goods to the UMRS

versus other places where example,

Allocation schemes based,

they may be used.

on frequency of use on the UMRS versus elsewhere

Without valid methods for allocating durable it

locations, purchased if

for

are largely ad hoc

goods spending across multiple

must either be assumed that durable goods would not have been docks and marina slips along the UMRS did not exist,

or durable The

expenses must be expressed as being "associated with trips to the UMRS." assumption that durable goods would not have been purchased along the UMRS did not exist is or marina user results as it fewer substitute

likely not as problematic for the dock ow-ner results.

for the developed site

dock or marina slip opportunities

than developed

There may be site

oppor-

The extent to which use of seasonal homes might effect resident and nonresident spending patterns could not be assessed due to low sample sizes. During the profile interviews,

information concerning

owner nonresidents nonresidents

in

one segment

Under this assumption, in

however,

is

one assumes

valid if

to their seasonal homes

of the 42 dock Keeping

that the amount of is

relatively short,

treated like another type of tem-

the seasonal home is

which case the spending by these 42 households resembles

the spending pattern of, If,

the ownership and

owned seasonal homes with docks inside the UMRS.

time they spend on a given trip

porary lodging,

(23)

Twenty-three

location of seasonal homes was gathered.

all

opportunities

outside the UMRS.

tunities 3.

is

if

say,

nonresidents

more like those of residents.

In

spend a significant

then their spending patterns may be

this case,

should perhaps be treated as a separate

3 3 I

3 3 3

lodging with friends or relatives.

these households (or some portion)

amount of time at their seasonal homes,

3 3 3

some nonresident households

segment for computation of total use

I

3

and spending.

136

3 I

I This separation would not change spending for economic

:he acnrtcounred as ::onresident

impact analysis.

ALL

considered nonresidents whose spending region.

However,

there would be three:

dents,

and other nonresidents.

residents.

Increasing homogeneity

One hundred seven (107)

their seasonal home. expenses

Iresidents and nonresi-

nonresidents who spend like

relatively homogeneous

in

spending patterns

in

resi-

their spending

reduces the variance

in

dock owners reported owning a seasonal home.

out of 150 dock owners Since the expenditure

for recreation

(69%)

said they had a dock at

items asked dock owners to report

trips associated with their docks,

the finding that

over two-thirds of docks are located at the seasonal residence

3

the stud'

spending estimates.

One hundred three (103)

*

be

The purpose of further segmentation would be

to create dock owner groups that are

5

injects new dollars into

instead of two dock owner segments

dents),

patterns.

•2. households would still

makes

the seasonal home spending issue an important one For marina users,

Thus,

to discuss.

only 9 out of 151 reported owning a seasonal home.

segmenting marina nonresidents based on seasonal homes usagc is

unnecessary. homes

of dock owners

However,

if

some slip renters use their boats

for a portion of the year,

likely

like seasonal

then the same dichotomy of marina nonresi-

dents may be valid. The sample of nonresidents

in

this study is

valid results with any further splitting

not large enough to provide

into segments.

However,

future

studies of dock owner or marina user expenditures may want to consider increasing

I

the sample size of nonresidents sufficiently

to allow for further

segmentation.

Applications For the entire UMRS study, are available. management, in

3 5

I

report (Propst et al.

1992).

To summarize

economic impact applications may be divided into those

the use of IMPLAN and those which do not.

As to the non-IMPLAN applications, expanded to the total ditures

spending profiles

and policy issues associated with the UMRS are discussed

the developed site

from this report, involving

total of eight visitor

The ways in which these profiles may be used to address

planning,

detail in

a

the eight spending profiles may be

population of users and then to total recreation expen-

for each segment or in various combinations

boater segments).

of segments

(e.g.,

This calculation of total recreation expenditures 137

all requires

I the multiplication of spending profiles

by est:.•

3

or

case of dock owner and marina user durable goods

spending,

multiplied by estimates of the total number of households der.ve

total expenditure

profiles must be "not party tripsl

figures.

Total expenditure estimates may be derived not only by visitor but also for the entire UMRS region, developed areas report, communities,

or sites.

out on spreadsheets

or

the five subregions for

(with some adjustments),

Total expenditure calculations

individual

thus permitting more precise

Paul District's

in

the

states,

can readily be carried

to estimate shares of spending by sector or segment.

applications are discussed in St.

segment,

described

These total expenditures may be further modified for input PC,

to

Economic

into IMPLAN-

estimation of economic effects.

Stynes and Propst Impacts report

(1992)

(1992

--

IMPLAN

and illustrated available

3 3

from St.

in

the

Paul

District).

I i U I I I i i i 138

I

I LITERATURE CITED - PART TWO

,1992), Devel~otferit of .t Propst, D. B., D. J. Stynes, and H. Jiao. Final Report spending profiles for the Upper Mississippi Ri:er Svstem. submitted to the Environmental Laboratorv, U.S. Army Engineer Waterwavs East Lansing, Mi: Michigan State Experiment Station, Vicksburg, MS. University,

Department of Park and Recreation Resources.

MI-REC: Micro-implan Recreation Eco(1992). Stynes, D. J. & D. B. Propst. Version 1.0, Easr nomic Impact Estimation System Users' Manual. Lansing, Mi: Department of Park and Recreation Resources, Michigan state University. U.S.

*

i ,I

Sampling plan for the study of the Army Corps of Engineers. (1989). Vicksburg, (Final Report). economic impacts of recreation in the UMRS. MS: USAE Waterways Experiment Station, Resource Analysis Group (Environmental Lab.) and East Lansing, MI: Michigan State University. Department of Park and Recreation Resources.

1

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