Social Culture and Economic Performance - Duke Economics

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Mar 28, 2000 - ... University of Pennsylvania, 3718 Locust Walk, Philadelphia, PA 19104. ... What is the role of social culture in economic performance? ..... ously announcing wage schedules as functions of the test signal θ.6 A pure action of ...
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pxvw eh wuxh= ý ü li F @ Fu > Y è 4 . Fu ý Z^ø äø rwkhuzlvh ý ü li F @ Fu > Y è 4 . Fu ý Zý^ø üäø = Y è 4 ý Züø äø li F @ FM > rwkhuzlvh

Wkh dfwlylw| dqg vnloo dftxlvlwlrq fkrlfhv lq dq D0fxowxudo htxloleulxp duh sruwud|hg lq ý ü ý ü ý ü ý ü Iljxuh +5e, zkhuh zh kdyh gh?qhg Y•^ ä ø @ 4.Fu ýZ^ø äø dqg Y•ü äø @ 4ýZüø ä ø dv wkh wkuhvkrog glvxwlolw| ydoxhv wkdw uhvshfwlyho| d vnloohg dqg dq xqvnloohg zrunhu duh ý ü ý ü zloolqj wr lqfxu wr eh d phpehu ri wkh holwhv1 Qrwh wkdw Z^ø ä ø ý Züø äø è Fu ehfdxvh 44

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Lqhtxdolw| +5, hvwdeolvkhv wkdw lq d fxowxudo htxloleulxp/ d vlqjoh0furvvlqj surshuw| +VFS, ri wkh fxowxudo dfwlylw| lv hqgrjhqrxvo| jhqhudwhg1 Pruh vshfl?fdoo|/ ohw xv ghqrwh wkh qhw ehqh?w wr xqghuwdnh dfwlylw| D iru d vnloohg dqg dq xqvnloohg zrunhu zlwk wkh vdph xwlolw| ý ü ý ü ý ü ý ü w|sh Y uhvshfwlyho| e| e h^ > Y > ä ø @ Y ý Y•^ äø dqg e hü > Y > äø @ Y ý Y•ü ä ø = Lq0 ý ü ý ü htxdolw| +5, |lhogv wkdw e h^ > Y > ä ø ? e hü > Y > ä ø iru hyhu| w|sh Y= Lq rwkhu zrugv/ lq dq| D0fxowxudo htxloleulxp/ d vnloohg zrunhu lv pruh zloolqj wkdq dq xqvnloohg rqh wr hqgxuh glvx0 wlolw| iurp dfwlylw| D wr eh dq holwh/ zklfk lq wxuq mxvwl?hv D0zrunhuv dv holwhv1 Xqghuwdnlqj dfwlylw| D ehfrphv d vljqdolqj lqvwuxphqw iru vnloohg zrunhuv gxh wr wkh hqgrjhqrxvo| jhq0 hudwhg VFS/ zklfk gl>huv iurp Plfkdho Vshqfh*v +4 d fkdudfwhulvwlf ri wkh dfwlylw| D lwvhoi1 Qrz L zloo surylgh wkh qhfhvvdu| dqg vx!flhqw frqglwlrq iru wkh h{lvwhqfh ri D0fxowxudo 45

htxloleuld1 Iru dq| ä ø 5 øu > Ohppd 5 whoov xv krz zrunhuv pdnh dfwlylw| dqg vnloo dftxl0 vlwlrq fkrlfhv1 Iru hyhu| srvwxodwhg ydoxh ri äø L fdq wkhq fdofxodwh wkh sursruwlrq ri wkh vnloohg dprqj D0zrunhuv1 Vshfl?fdoo|/ zh gh?qh d pdsslqj ô = ^3> 4` $ ^3> 4` e| ; bu +•3M +Tì^ +Zø ,,, ý øü ? li ä ø 5 øu ì T b •3M + ^ EZ ø ä,,nbM +•3M +Tìü EZ ø ä,, u+ ô ä @ = 3 rwkhuzlvh zkhuh wkh qxphudwru ri wkh iudfwlrq lv wkh wrwdo pdvv ri vnloohg D0zrunhuv +vhh wkh vkdghg duhd lq Iljxuh 5e, dqg wkh ghqrplqdwru lv wkh wrwdo pdvv ri D0zrunhuv1 Hyhu| ?{hg srlqw ri wkh pdsslqj ô zloo fruuhvsrqg wr dq D0fxowxudo htxloleulxp1 Dq looxvwudwlrq ri ô lv surylghg lq Iljxuh +4e,1 Wkh zd| ô lv gh?qhg kljkoljkwv wkh orfdo sxeolf jrrg dvshfw ri jurxs uhsxwdwlrq lq fxowxudo htxloleuld1 Wkdw lv/ D0zrunhuv* vnloo lqyhvwphqw fkrlfhv ghshqg rqo| rq wkh ?upv* shufhswlrq ri wkh sursruwlrq ri wkh vnloohg dprqj D0zrunhuv1 Lq frqwudvw wkh ?up*v shufhswlrq lv d sxeolf jrrg lq wkh edvlf prgho1 û ý ü ú Ohw ü ì pd{Z ø Máu ô ä ø ý äø eh wkh pd{lpdo gl>huhqfh ehwzhhq wkh ixqfwlrq ô dqg wkh lghqwlw| pds1 Lw vkrxog eh fohdu wkdw ü lv zhoo gh?qhg lq whupv ri wkh sulplwlyhv ri wkh prgho/ uhjdugohvv ri dq| htxloleulxp frqvlghudwlrqv1 Sursrvlwlrq 5 Wkhuh h{lvwv dw ohdvw rqh D0fxowxudo htxloleulxp l> ü è 3= Zkhq ü è 3 krogv/ Sursrvlwlrq 5 hvwdeolvkhv wkdw wkh hfrqrp| dgplwv dw ohdvw rqh D0fxowxudo htxloleulxp1 Lq idfw pxowlsoh D0fxowxudo htxloleuld pd| h{lvw1 Pruhryhu/ ehvlghv wkh qrq0fxowxudo htxloleulxp zklfk zh nqhz dozd|v h{lvwv/ dq hfrqrp| pd| vlpxowdqhrxvo| dgplw D0 dqg E0fxowxudo htxloleuld ehfdxvh dq dqdorjrxv qhfhvvdu| dqg vx!flhqw frqglwlrq iru wkh h{lvwhqfh ri E0fxowxudo htxloleuld grhv qrw qhfhvvdulo| h{foxgh ü è 3= Lq wklv vhqvh h{dfwo| zklfk jurxs ri zrunhuv zloo uhfhlyh suhihuhqwldo wuhdwphqw fdq eh txlwh duelwudu|1 Wkh iroorzlqj sursrvlwlrq hvwdeolvkhv wkdw hfrqrplhv zklfk dgplw d fxowxudo htxloleulxp fdq eh uhdglo| frqvwuxfwhg1 Sursrvlwlrq 6 Il{ i{^ > Fu > FM > èu > i^ > iü j vdwlvi|lqj D40D61 Iru dq| äø 5 lqw +øu , > wkhuh h{lvwv vrph frqwlqxrxv dqg vwulfwo| lqfuhdvlqj glvwulexwlrq ixqfwlrq K vxfk wkdw äø lv wkh sursruwlrq ri wkh vnloohg dprqj D0zrunhuv lq vrph D0fxowxudo htxloleulxp ri wkh hfrqrp| i{^ > Fu > FM > èu > i^ > iü > Kj=

46

Zhoiduh1 Lq d fxowxudo htxloleulxp/ wkh qhz whfkqrorj| lv dgrswhg e| d srvlwlyh pdvv ri zrunhuv1 Lq wkh phdq wlph/ vrph zrunhuv duh hqgxulqj wkh glvxwlolw| ri dfwlylw| D lq rughu wr eh phpehuv ri wkh holwhv1 Wkh wudgh0r> lv lq idyru ri zhoiduh lpsuryhphqw=45 Sursrvlwlrq 7 Dq| fxowxudo htxloleulxp Sduhwr grplqdwhv wkh qrq0fxowxudo htxloleulxp1 Surri= Zlwk qr orvv ri jhqhudolw| frqvlghu dq D0fxowxudo htxloleulxp1 E0zrunhuv duh h{dfwo| dv zhoo r> dv wkh| duh lq wkh qrq0fxowxudo htxloleulxp1 E| uhyhdohg suhihuhqfh D0zrunhuv duh vwulfwo| ehwwhu r> wkdq wkh| duh lq wkh qrq0fxowxudo htxloleulxp1 Uhfdoo wkdw lq Vshqfh +4 lq wkh vhsdudwlqj htxloleulxp1 Wklv lv gxh wr wkh dvvxphg qhjdwlyh uhodwlrqvkls ehwzhhq delolw| dqg lqyhvwphqw frvw/ zklfk lv qhfhvvdu| iru vljqdolqj wr dulvh lq klv prgho1 L fdq glvshqvh zlwk wklv qhjdwlyh uhodwlrqvkls ehfdxvh wkh VFS lv hqgrjhqrxvo| jhqhudwhg1 Wklv h{sodlqv wkh gl>huhqfh lq zhoiduh surshuwlhv iurp Vshqfh1

7

D Qxphulfdo H{dpsoh Lq wklv vhfwlrq L surylgh dq looxvwudwlyh qxphulfdo h{dpsoh= Wkh Edvlf Hfrqrp|1 Frqvlghu dq hfrqrp| zkhuh {^ @ 7> Fu @ 3=;> FM @ 4=5>

èu @ 6@;/ èM @ 8@;= Wkh whvwlqj whfkqrorj| lv jlyhq e| Su ^ëM mh^ ` @ Su ^ë u mhü ` @ 6@7 dqg Su ^ë M mhü ` @ Su ^ëu mh^ ` @ 4@7= Qrwh wkdw lw vdwlv?hv POUS1 Ohw ä eh wkh sursruwlrq ri vnloohg zrunhuv lq wkh srsxodwlrq1 Lw lv whglrxv exw vwudljkw0 iruzdug wr vkrz wkdw wkh htxloleulxp zdjh vfkhgxohv lghqwl?hg lq Ohppd 4 duh= ã 4 li ä é 4@43 z +ä> ë M , @ 45ä@ +4 . 5ä, li ä A 4@43 ã 4 li ä é 4@5 z +ä> ëu , @ 7ä@ +6 ý 5ä, li ä A 4@5= Wkh h{shfwhg sulydwh ehqh?w ri vnloo dftxlvlwlrq lv E +ä, @ 4@5^z +ä> ëM , ý z +ä> ëu ,` diwhu froohfwlqj whupv1 Lw lv d vlqjoh shdnhg ixqfwlrq1 Vlpsoh fdofxodwlrqv |lhog øu @ ^=6;57> 3=:8` > dqg øM @ >= Qrwh pruhryhu wkdw èu @ 6@; ? plq øu = Khqfh dvvxpswlrqv D5 dqg D6 duh vdwlv?hg1 Sursrvlwlrq 4 suhglfwv wkdw wkh qhz whfkqrorj| zloo qrw eh dgrswhg lq dq| 45

Li/ lqvwhdg ri D7/ wkh xwlolw| frvwv ri xqghuwdnlqj dfwlylw| ø duh wkh vdph iru hyhu| zrunhu/ wkhq ø0 zrunhuv zloo eh lqgl>huhqw ehwzhhq wkh ø0fxowxudo dqg wkh qrq0fxowxudo htxloleuld1 Lq wklv fdvh wkh ø0fxowxudo htxloleulxp lqyroyhv pl{hg vwudwhjlhv e| orz frvw zrunhuv1

47

htxloleulxp ri wklv edvlf hfrqrp|1 Lw lv lqwhuhvwlqj wr qrwh wkdw khuh wkh surgxfwlylw| jdlq ri wkh qhz whfkqrorj|/ {^ ý 4> lv pruh wkdq grxeoh hyhq wkh kljk vnloo dftxlvlwlrq frvw FM = Fxowxudo Dfwlylw| dqg Fxowxudo Htxloleulxp1 Vxssrvh wkdw zrunhuv fdq fkrrvh wr xqghuwdnh d frqvslfxrxv dfwlylw| D dqg ohw K eh d xqlirup glvwulexwlrq rq ^ý4> ý3=7` lqghshqghqw ri wkh lqyhvwphqw frvw1 Zh qrz vkrz wkdw wkh dxjphqwhg prgho dgplwv dq D0fxowxudo htxloleulxp1 Ohw äø eh wkh sursruwlrq ri wkh vnloohg dprqj D0zrunhuv1 Wkh ý ü ý ü h{shfwhg zdjhv ri d vnloohg dqg dq xqvnloohg D0zrunhu duh Z^ø ä ø @ 6z äø > ëM @7 . ý ü ü ý ü ý z ä ø > ë u @7 dqg Züø +ä, @ z ä ø > ëM @7 . 6z ä ø > ëu @7= Wkh wkuhvkrog ydoxhv ri Y lq ý ü ý ü ý ü Iljxuh +5e, duh Y•^ äø @ 4=; ý Z^ø ä ø dqg Y•ü ä ø @ 4 ýZüø +ä, = Lw fdq eh yhul?hg wkdw ý ü ý ü ý ü Züø ä ø A 4=7 iru doo äø 5 øu > zklfk lpsolhv wkdw Y•^ äø é Y•ü ä ø ? ý3=7= Lq uhihuhqfh wr Iljxuh +5e,/ wkh pdsslqj ô lv= ; ô*Hu^3fée34@ i3•cTì^ +Z ø ,j` ý øü ? D*Hu 3fée34@ i3•cTìü EZ ø äj`nô*Hu^3fée34@ i3•cTì^ EZ ø äj` ^ ô ä @ = 3

li ä ø 5 øu rwkhuzlvh1

ô kdv d ?{hg srlqw lq wkh vhw øu dw äø @ =869= Lq wklv fxowxuh rqo| wkrvh zkr kdyh wkh grxeoh fuhghqwldov ri xqghuwdnlqj dfwlylw| D dqg rewdlqlqj d vljqdo ë M duh dvvljqhg wr wkh qhz whfkqrorj|1 Ilqdoo| frqvlghu dqrwkhu h{dpsoh1 Vxssrvh wkdw wkhuh duh wzr dfwlylwlhv Dâ dqg Dââ zlwk lqghshqghqw xqlirup xwlolw| glvwulexwlrqv rq ^ý4> 3` = Rqh fdq vkrz wkdw qhlwkhu Dâ qru Dââ dorqh fdq vxssruw dq| fxowxudo htxloleulxp1 Krzhyhu/ wkh vrflhw| fdq fuhdwh d fxowxudo dfwlylw| e| jlylqj suhihuhqwldo wuhdwphqw rqo| wr wkrvh zkr xqghuwdnh erwk Dâ dqg Dââ 1 Wkh uhdvrq lv wkdw rqfh wkh dfwlylwlhv Dâ dqg Dââ duh erwk uhtxluhg/ wkh uhohydqw xwlolw| glvwulexwlrq K lq wkh srsxodwlrq lv d wuldqjxodu glvwulexwlrq rq ^ý5> 3` = Lq wklv fxowxudo htxloleulxp wkh sursruwlrq ri vnloohg dprqj wkh holwhv lv =8551 Hyhq lq wkh suhvhqfh ri dq dfwlylw| zklfk dorqh fdq vxssruw d fxowxudo htxloleulxp/ lw lv srvvleoh wkdw exqfklqj lw zlwk dqrwkhu dfwlylw| pd| lqgxfh d odujhu sursruwlrq ri vnloohg holwhv146

8

Frqfoxvlrqv Wklv sdshu suhvhqwv dq h{solflw prgho wr looxvwudwh Duurz +4 vhfrqg/ d vlqjoh furvvlqj surshuw| lv jhqhudwhg lq d fxowxudo htxloleulxp/ zklfk pdnhv xqghuwdnlqj wkh fxowxudo dfwlylw| dq hqgrjhqrxv vljqdolqj lqvwuxphqw iru vnloohg zrunhuv1 Lq wklv sdshu vrfldo fxowxuh lv dozd|v h!flhqw1 Krzhyhu/ wklv lv rqo| ehfdxvh L kdyh fkrvhq dv wkh ehqfkpdun hfrqrp| zkhuh wkh lqirupdwlrqdo iuhh ulglqj sureohp lv h{wuhpho| vhyhuh +dvvxpswlrqv D5 dqg D6,1 Vxssrvh wkdw D5 dqg D6 zhuh qrw vdwlv?hg/ wkhq wkh edvlf prgho pljkw kdyh dq htxloleulxp lq zklfk wkh qhz whfkqrorj| lv dgrswhg e| d srvlwlyh pdvv ri zrunhuv1 Wkh lqwurgxfwlrq ri wkh fxowxudo dfwlylw| zloo djdlq pdnh fxowxudo htxloleulxp srvvleoh/ exw wkhq wkhuh zloo eh qr jxdudqwhh wkdw lw lv Sduhwr lpsurylqj1 Lq idfw/ h{dpsohv fdq eh uhdglo| frqvwuxfwhg wkdw vrfldo fxowxuh pd| eh lqh!flhqw1 Wklv sdshu lv rqo| d vwhs wrzdug d ehwwhu xqghuvwdqglqj ri wkh uroh ri vrfldo fxowxuh lq hfrqrplf shuirupdqfh1 Lq wkh ryhuvlpsol?hg vwdwlf prgho deryh L fdq rqo| lpsrvh d vwdelolw| uhvwulfwlrq rq zkdw fdq eh xvhg dv d fxowxudo dfwlylw|1 Wklv olplwhg vhwwlqj suhfoxghv ph iurp dqdo|}lqj lpsruwdqw lvvxhv ri vhohfwlrq dqg hyroxwlrq ri vrfldo fxowxuh1 Iru h{dpsoh/ zkhq wkhuh duh pdq| dfwlylwlhv wkdw txdoli| dv fxowxudo dfwlylwlhv/ zklfk duh pruh olnho| wr hphujhB Zkhq whfkqrorjlhv fkdqjh/ zkdw nlqg ri sdwwhuq fdq zh h{shfw lq wkh hyroxwlrq ri fxowxuhB Wkh dqvzhuv wr wkhvh txhvwlrqv zloo eh fuxfldo wr xqghuvwdqg zk| d suhylrxvo| vxffhvvixo fxowxuh wxuqv glvdvwurxv ru d suhylrxvo| xqvxffhvvixo rqh fdxvhv d pludfoh1 Wkhvh duh h{flwlqj wrslfv iru ixwxuh uhvhdufk/ dqg fdq eh dgguhvvhg rqo| lq g|qdplf prghov1

Dsshqgl{1 Surri ri Ohppd 41 Lw lv suryhg iurp d vhtxhqfh ri lqwhuphgldwh uhvxowv= Ohppd D41 Vxssrvh kzð > wð lð'•c2 lv d sdlu ri ehvw uhvsrqvhv/ wkhq z• +ë, @ z2 +ë, iru doprvw doo ë 5 ^3> 4` = Surri= Vxssrvh wr wkh frqwudu| wkdw wkhuh lv d srvlwlyh phdvxuh vhw û ë ^3> 4` vxfk wkdw zð +ë, A zæ +ë, iru doo ë 5 û= Wkhq wkh dowhuqdwlyh vwudwhj| kzðâ > wâð l = wâð +ë, @ wð +ë, iru doo 49

ë 5 ^3> 4` > dqg zðâ +ë, @ zð +ë, iru doo ë 5 ^3> 4` qû dqg zðâ +ë, @ +zð +ë, . zðâ +ë,, @5 iru ë 5 û> lv d sur?wdeoh ghyldwlrq iru ?up l= D frqwudglfwlrq1 Ohppd D51 Li wð = ^3> 4` $ i3> 4j lv wkh wdvn dvvljqphqw uxoh rq wkh htxloleulxp sdwk iru ?up l @ 4> 5> wkhq wkhuh h{lvwv vrph •ë ð 5 ^3> 4` vxfk wkdw wð +ë, @ 4 iru doprvw doo ëA• ë ð dqg wð +ë, @ 3 iru doprvw doo ë ? •ë ð 1 Ixuwkhupruh/ •ë • @ •ë2 @ •ë +ä, zkhuh •ë +ä, lv gh?qhg e|

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4 ü iZ +ë, gë

í ìl , { +ä> ë, ý { ä> çë iZ +ë, gë A 3>

zkhuh wkh lqhtxdolw| lv gxh wr vwulfw POUS1 D frqwudglfwlrq1 ë +ä, > wkh wdvn dvvljqphqw uxoh w zlwk •ë +ä, dv wkh fulwlfdo srlqw E| wkh gh?qlwlrq ri • vwulfwo| lqfuhdvhv sur?w ryhu dq| rwkhu wkuhvkrogv1 Khqfh •ë• @ •ë2 @ •ë +ä, = Ohppd D6 Li wkh iudfwlrq ri vnloohg zrunhuv lv ä/ wkhq z• +ë, @ z2 +ë, @ z +ä> ë, zkhuh z +ä> ë, lv jlyhq e| +4,1 Surri= Ohppd D4 hvwdeolvkhv wkdw z• +ë, @ z2 +ë, @ z +ë, doprvw hyhu|zkhuh1 Vxssrvh wr • ë ^3> 4` = Frqvlghu wkh frqwudu| wkdw z +ë, ? pd{ i4> { +ä> ë,j iru d srvlwlyh phdvxuh vhw û 4:

• iru vrph % A 3 dqg dq dowhuqdwlyh vwudwhj| z•â iru ?up 4 zkhuh z•â +ë, @ z +ë, . % iru ë 5 û • dqg wâ• +ë, @ 4 li ë è •ë +ä, > wâ• +ë, @ 3 rwkhuzlvh1 Doo zrunhuv z•â +ë, @ z +ë, iru ë 5 ^3> 4` qû> • zloo wkhq dffhsw ?up 4*v r>hu1 Wkh gl>huhqfh lq sur?wv iru ?up 4 zkrvh whvw vljqdo ë 5 û ehwzhhq kz•â > wl dqg kz> wl lv= ã â ] 4 i4> ý ý ^pd{ { +ä> ë,j z +ë,` % iZ +ë, gë> 5 ì wMX zklfk lv vwulfwo| srvlwlyh li % lv vx!flhqwo| vpdoo1 Vlplodu dujxphqwv fdq hvwdeolvk wkdw sur?wdeoh ghyldwlrq h{lvwv li z +ë, A pd{ i4> { +ä> ë,j1 Surri ri Ohppd 51 Lw zloo eh suryhg yld d vhtxhqfh ri lqwhuphgldwh uhvxowv= Ohppd D71 Lq dq D0fxowxudo htxloleulxp/ dw ohdvw vrph Fu w|sh D0zrunhuv fkrrvh h @ h^ > zkloh doo FM w|sh D0zrunhuv fkrrvh h @ hü = Surri= Reylrxv ehfdxvh øM @ >= Ohppd D81 Lq dq D0fxowxudo htxloleulxp/ li +Fu > Y , lv dq D0zrunhu/ wkhq +Fu > Y â , pxvw eh dq D0zrunhu iru doo Y â è Y > vlploduo|/ li +FM > Y , lv dq D0zrunhu/ wkhq +FM > Y â , ý ü pxvw eh dq D0zrunhu iru doo Y â è Y= Lq idfw iru doo Y è 4 . Fu ý Z^ø äø > d Fu w|sh ý ü zrunhuv xqghuwdnhv D> dqg iru doo Y è 4 ý Züø ä ø > d FM zrunhuv xqghuwdnhv D= Surri= Li +Fu > Y , fkrrvhv wr eh dq D0zrunhu lq dq D0fxowxudo htxloleulxp/ wkhq iurp Ohppd D7/ vkh lv dw ohdvw dv zhoo r> e| fkrrvlqj h @ h^ = Wkxv/ e| uhyhdohg suhihuhqfh/ lw pxvw eh ý ü ý ü wkdw Z^ø äø ý Fu . Y è 4 zkhuh Z^ø äø ý Fu . Y lv khu h{shfwhg sd|r> iurp ehlqj d vnloohg D0zrunhu/ dqg 4 lv khu h{shfwhg sd|r> iurp ehlqj d E0zrunhu1 Exw wkhq wkh ý ü lqhtxdolw| Z^ø äø ý Fu . Y â è 4 krogv iru doo Y â A Y= Dqg wkh wkuhvkrog ydoxh ri Y iru ý ü Fu w|sh zrunhu lv 4 . Fu ý Z^ø ä ø = Vlplodu dujxphqwv dssolhv wr FM w|sh zrunhuv1 Ohppd D91 Lq dq D0fxowxudo htxloleulxp/ doo Fu w|sh D0zrunhuv fkrrvh h @ h^ = Surri= Ohppd D7 vwdwhv wkdw dw ohdvw vrph Fu w|sh D0zrunhuv fkrrvh h @ h^ = Vxssrvh wkdw vrph gr qrw fkrrvh h @ h^ = Wklv lpsolhv wkdw wkh| duh lqgl>huhqw ehwzhhq h @ h^ dqg ý ü ý ü h @ hü > zklfk lv htxlydohqw wr Z^ø äø ý Fu @ Züø äø = Wkhq iurp Ohppd D8/ zh kdyh wkdw ä ø @ èu = E| dvvxpswlrq D7 èu ? plq øu = Wkxv zh rewdlq d frqwudglfwlrq wr Ohppd D7 wkdw vrph Fu w|sh D0zrunhuv fkrrvh h @ h^ = 4;

Ohppd 5 lv d gluhfw frqvhtxhqfh ri Ohppdv D70D91 T1H1G1 Surri ri Sursrvlwlrq 51 Gh?qh d ixqfwlrq I +ä, @ ô +ä, ý ä= Dq D0fxowxudo htxloleulxp ý ü lv fkdudfwhul}hg e| wkh ydoxhv ri ä ø wkdw vdwlvi| I äø @ 3= Wkh qhfhvvlw| ri ü è 3 lv ý ü reylrxv= zkhq wkhuh h{lvwv dq D0fxowxudo htxloleulxp/ wkhq ü è I äø @ 3= Qrz zh zloo hvwdeolvk lwv vx!flhqf|1 Iurp wkh gh?qlwlrq ri øu ì iä 5 ^3> 4` = E +ä, è Fu j > øu pxvw eh d xqlrq ri lqwhuydov +wdnlqj vlqjohwrqv dv ghjhqhudwh lqwhuydov, vlqfh E +ü, lv frqwlqxrxv lq ä= Ixuwkhupruh øu & & lv forvhg1 Zulwh øu @ ^g &'• øu zkhuh øu lv wkh n0wk lqwhuydo/ dqg N pd| eh lq?qlw|1

Li ü @ 3> wkhq vlqfh øu lv forvhg/ zh kdyh irxqg d ?{hg srlqw ri ô= Li ü A 3> wkhq iru a 5 øu > I +a ä, A 3= Vxssrvh ä a 5 ø?u iru vrph 4 é q é N= Zh fodlp wkdw ø?u lv qrw vrph ydoxh ä ä , @ Fu = Rwkhuzlvh li E +a ä , A Fu / d vlqjohwrq vhw1 Vxssrvh lw zdv/ wkhq lw pxvw eh wkdw E +a a zloo dovr vdwlvi| wkhq wkh frqwlqxlw| ri E lpsolhv wkdw dq| ä zlwklq d qhljkerukrrg ri ä ä , @ Fu E +ä, è Fu > d frqwudglfwlrq wr wkh vxssrvlwlrq wkdw ø?u zdv d vlqjohwrq1 Exw li E +a a > d frqwudglfwlrq wr wkh vxssrvlwlrq ä, @ èu ? plq øu é ä dqg ø?u zdv d vlqjohwrq wkhq ô +a ä , A 31 Khqfh ø?u pxvw eh dq lqwhuydo1 Vlqfh I lv frqwlqxrxv rq wkh lqwhuydo ø?u dqg wkdw I +a e| wkh gh?qlwlrq ri øu > Y•^ +pd{ ø? , @ Y•ü +pd{ ø? , > khqfh I +pd{ ø? , @ èu ýpd{ ø? ? 3= u

u

u

u

ä , A 3> e| wkh lqwhuphgldwh ydoxh wkhruhp/ wkhuh h{lvwv vrph ydoxh ri Vlqfh lq wklv fdvh I +a ä W 5 ø?u vxfk wkdw I +äW , @ ä W = Lq sduwlfxodu/ äW A èu = Surri ri Sursrvlwlrq 61 Iru dq| ä 5 lqw +øu , > Z^ø +ä, ý Züø +ä, A Fu dqg Züø +ä,

4=

Khqfh doo orz frvw D0zrunhuv zloo dftxluh vnloov1 Frqvlghu wkh iroorzlqj sdudphwulf idplo| ú û ri glvwulexwlrqv iKk jkMEfc•ä zlwk vxssruw 4 . Fu ý Z^ø +ä, > 3 = ü ý ã ò@ Z^ø +ä, ý ýZüø +ä, ý Fuü li 4 . Fu ý Z^ø +ä, é Y é 4 ý Züø +ä, Kk +Y , @ = 4 ý Züø +ä, é Y é 3 ò . +4 ý ò, @ Züø +ä, ý 4 li Vxssrvh wkdw wkh srvwxodwhg ä lv wkh htxloleulxp sursruwlrq ri vnloohg dprqj D0zrunhuv iru vrph hfrqrp| zlwk glvwulexwlrq Kk = Wkhq doo orz frvw D0zrunhuv duh vnloohg vlqfh Y . Z^ø +ä, ý Fu è 4 iru doo Y lq wkh vxssruw ri Kk = Lw lv dovr fohdu wkdw rqo| wkrvh kljk frvw zrunhuv zlwk Y è 4 ý Züø +ä, zloo xqghuwdnh dfwlylw| D> exw wkh| zloo qrw lqyhvw lq vnloov= Wkhuhiruh wkh sursruwlrq ri wkh vnloohg dprqj D0zrunhuv lv èu @ +èu . èM +4 ý ò,, = Wr hqvxuh wkdw ä fruuhvsrqgv wr dq htxloleulxp iru wkh hfrqrp| Kk > zh fkrrvh ò vxfk wkdw= èu @ ä> èu . èM +4 ý ò, 4
zh kdyh 4 ý ä ? 4 ý èu @ èM = Wkxv òW 5 +3> 4,1 Fohduo| KkW lv frqwlqxrxv dqg vwulfwo| lqfuhdvlqj1

Uhihuhqfhv ^4` Dnhuori/ Jhrujh +4