WSJ/NBC News Poll

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Jan 1, 2014 ... NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey. Please note: all results are shown as percentages unless otherwise stated. The margin of error for 800 ...
HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES January 2014

Study #14039 -- page 1 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Interviews: 800 Adults, including 240 cell phone only respondents

Date: January 22-25, 2014

48 Male 52 Female

Study #14039 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Please note: all results are shown as percentages unless otherwise stated.

The margin of error for 800 interviews among Adults is ±3.46%

Unless otherwise noted by a “+”, all previous data shown reflects responses among all adults.

Q2a

For statistical purposes only, would you please tell me how old you are? (IF “REFUSED,” ASK:) Well, would you tell me which age group you belong to? (READ LIST.) 18-24 .................................................................... 25-29 .................................................................... 30-34 .................................................................... 35-39 .................................................................... 40-44 .................................................................... 45-49 .................................................................... 50-54 .................................................................... 55-59 .................................................................... 60-64 .................................................................... 65-69 .................................................................... 70-74 .................................................................... 75 and over .......................................................... Not sure/refused ................................................

Q2b

To ensure that we have a representative sample, would you please tell me whether you are from a Hispanic or Spanish-speaking background? Yes, Hispanic ................................................... No, not Hispanic .............................................. Not sure/refused ............................................

Q2c

11 6 12 7 11 8 11 8 9 5 5 7 -

11 88 1

And again, for statistical purposes only, what is your race--white, black, Asian, or something else? White .............................................................. Black .............................................................. Asian .............................................................. Other .............................................................. Hispanic (VOL) ............................................. Not sure/refused ..........................................

74 12 1 5 6 2

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES January 2014 Q3

Study #14039 -- page 2 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

All in all, do you think things in the nation are generally headed in the right direction, or do you feel things are off on the wrong track? High

Headed in the right direction ...... Off on the wrong track ............... Mixed (VOL) ............................ Not sure ...................................

9/01 72 11 11 6

Low 10/1720/08+ 12 78 7 3

4/11 28 63 6 3

2/11 31 60 6 3

1/11 35 56 5 4

8/59/10 32 58 6 4

6/10 29 62 5 4

5/611/10 34 56 6 4

3/10 33 59 5 3

6/09 42 46 9 3

4/09 43 43 10 4

2/09 41 44 9 6

1/09 26 59 9 6

1/14 28 63 5 4

12/13 29 64 5 2

10/2528/13 22 70 4 4

10/79/13 14 78 4 4

9/13 30 62 5 3

7/13 29 61 6 4

6/13 32 59 6 3

4/13 31 61 5 3

2/13 32 59 6 3

1/13 35 57 4 4

12/12 41 53 3 3

10/12+ 41 53 4 2

9/2630/12+ 40 53 5 2

9/1216/12+ 39 55 4 2

8/12+ 32 61 4 3

7/12+ 32 60 5 3

6/12 31 61 5 3

5/12 33 58 5 4

4/12 33 59 6 2

3/12 33 58 5 4

1/12 30 61 5 4

12/11 22 69 6 3

11/11 19 73 5 3

10/11 17 74 5 4

8/11 19 73 5 3

7/11 25 67 5 3

6/11 29 62 6 3

5/11 36 50 10 4

12/10 28 63 6 3

11/10 32 58 6 4

10/2830/10+ 31 60 5 4

10/1418/10+ 32 59 6 3

9/10 32 59 5 4

8/2630/10 30 61 6 3

1/23 25/10 32 58 7 3

1/1014/10 34 54 10 2

12/09 33 55 10 2

10/09 36 52 9 3

9/09 39 48 10 3

7/09 39 49 9 3

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. 1 The historical trend data for this item does not include every survey in which this item has been asked.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES January 2014 Q4

Study #14039 -- page 3 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

In general, do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president? High

Approve ................. Disapprove ............ Not sure ..............

10/79/13 47 48 5

9/13 45 50 5

8/13 44 48 8

7/13 45 50 5

6/13 48 47 5

4/13 47 48 5

4/09 61 30 9

Low 10/2528/13 42 51 7

1/14 43 51 6

12/13 43 54 3

10/2528/13 42 51 7

2/13 50 45 5

1/13 52 44 4

12/12 53 43 4

10/12+ 49 48 3

9/2630/12+ 49 48 3

9/1216/12+ 50 48 2

8/12+ 48 49 3

7/12+ 49 48 3

6/12 47 48 5

5/12 48 46 6

4/12 49 46 5

3/12 50 45 5

1/12 48 46 6

12/11 46 48 6

11/11 44 51 5

10/11 44 51 5

8/11 44 51 5

7/11 47 48 5

6/11 49 46 5

5/11 52 41 7

4/11 49 45 6

2/11 48 46 6

1/11 53 41 6

12/10 45 48 7

11/10 47 47 6

10/2830/10+ 45 50 5

10/1418/10+ 47 49 4

9/10 46 49 5

8/2630/10 45 49 6

8/59/10 47 48 5

6/10 45 48 7

5/2023/10 48 45 7

5/611/10 50 44 6

3/10 48 47 5

1/2325/10 50 44 6

1/1014/10 48 43 9

12/09 47 46 7

10/09 51 42 7

9/09 51 41 8

8/09 51 40 9

7/09 53 40 7

6/09 56 34 10

4/09 61 30 9

2/09 60 26 14

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES January 2014 Q5

Study #14039 -- page 4 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

In general, do you approve or disapprove of the job that Congress is doing?

Approve ........ Disapprove ... Not sure ......

1/14* 13 81 6

High

Low

7/13 12 83 5

1/13 14 81 5

8/12+ 12 82 6

1/12 13 80 7

8/11 13 82 5

6/11 18 74 8

5/11 22 70 8

4/11 20 73 7

9/98 61 28 11

7/13 12 83 5

2/11 22 69 9

9/10 20 73 7

8/2630/10 21 71 8

8/59/10 21 72 7

6/10 22 73 5

5/611/10 21 72 7

3/10 17 77 6

1/1014/10 21 67 12

12/09 22 68 10

10/09 24 65 11

9/09 22 66 12

7/09 24 63 13

6/09 29 57 14

4/09 28 58 14

2/09 31 54 15

1/09 23 68 9

12/08 21 69 10

10/1720/08+ 12 79 9

10/45/08+ 13 78 9

9/1922/08+ 15 73 12

7/08+ 15 75 10

6/08+ 13 79 8

1/08 18 70 12

9/07 23 65 12

3/07 31 53 16

9/06+ 20 65 15

1/06 29 56 15

9/05 29 53 18

1/05 41 40 19

6/04+ 40 42 18

1/04 46 41 13

9/03 39 45 16

1/03 42 39 19

9/02 40 44 16

1/02 54 29 17

6/01 47 34 19

1/01 48 35 17

9/00+ 46 41 13

1/00 48 36 16

9/99 40 49 11

12/98 44 42 14

1/96 26 65 9

1/94 33 54 13

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. * Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM A).

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES January 2014 Q6

Study #14039 -- page 5 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Now I'm going to read you the names of several public figures and groups and I'd like you to rate your feelings toward each one as very positive, somewhat positive, neutral, somewhat negative, or very negative. If you don't know the name, please just say so. (RANDOMIZE EXCEPT BARACK OBAMA)

Barack Obama1 January 2014 ............................... December 2013 ........................... October 25-28, 2013 .................... October 7-9, 2013 ........................ September 2013 .......................... July 2013 ..................................... May 30-June 2, 2013 ................... April 2013..................................... February 2013.............................. January 2013 ............................... December 2012 ........................... October 2012+ ............................. September 26-30, 2012+ ............. September 12-16, 2012+ ............. August 2012+............................... July 2012+ ................................... June 2012 .................................... May 2012 ..................................... April 2012..................................... March 2012 .................................. January 2012 ............................... December 2011 ........................... November 2011 ........................... October 2011 ............................... August 2011 ................................. June 2011 .................................... May 2011 ..................................... April 2011..................................... February 2011.............................. January 2011 ............................... December 2010 ........................... November 2010 ........................... October 28-30, 2010+ .................. September 2010 .......................... August 26-30, 2010...................... June 2010 .................................... May 20-23, 2010 .......................... March 2010 .................................. January 23-25, 2010 .................... December 2009 ........................... October 2009 ............................... September 2009 .......................... July 2009 ..................................... June 2009 .................................... April 2009..................................... February 2009.............................. January 2009 ...............................

Very Positive

Somewhat Positive

23 22 24 26 25 28 28 30 31 31 37 34 37 35 31 33 29 32 30 28 28 22 26 23 24 27 33 28 28 29 25 28 29 29 26 27 28 31 29 29 36 38 37 41 45 47 43

19 20 17 21 20 20 19 17 18 21 16 15 15 13 17 16 19 17 18 21 22 23 19 23 20 22 21 22 21 23 23 21 18 18 20 20 19 19 23 21 20 18 18 19 19 21 23

Neutral

Somewhat Negative

Very Negative

Don't Know Name/ Not Sure

13 11 13 11 12 12 13 10 11 11 9 8 6 9 8 8 14 10 13 14 10 13 15 14 12 14 14 14 15 15 14 12 12 12 12 13 15 11 14 13 11 11 10 11 12 12 17

14 13 13 11 16 14 12 15 14 11 14 12 11 11 13 11 11 12 13 12 14 15 13 12 14 13 13 13 15 14 14 13 15 14 14 15 14 14 14 15 12 14 14 12 10 9 8

30 33 32 30 26 26 28 27 26 26 24 31 31 31 30 32 27 29 26 25 25 27 27 28 30 24 18 23 20 18 24 26 27 27 27 25 24 24 20 22 21 19 20 17 13 10 6

1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 3

10

1

32

1

6

40

Barack Obama High February 2009 ..................................... 47 21 12 9 Presidential Term Low October 25-28, 2013............................ 24 17 13 13 All-time Obama Low October 28-30, 2006+ ......................... 14 17 18 5 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. 1 The historical trend data for this item does not include every survey in which this item has been asked.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES January 2014

Study #14039 -- page 6 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Q6 (cont'd) The Democratic Party1 January 2014 ............................... December 2013 ........................... October 25-28, 2013 .................... October 7-9, 2013........................ September 2013 .......................... May 30-June 2, 2013 ................... February 2013 ............................. January 2013 ............................... December 2012 ........................... October 2012+ ............................. September 26-30, 2012+ ............. August 2012+ .............................. July 2012+ ................................... June 2012 .................................... May 2012 ..................................... April 2012 .................................... March 2012.................................. January 2012 ............................... December 2011 ........................... November 2011 ........................... October 2011 ............................... August 2011 ................................ June 2011 .................................... May 2011 ..................................... April 2011 .................................... January 2011 ............................... December 2010 ........................... November 2010 ........................... October 28-30, 2010+.................. October 14-18, 2010+.................. September 2010 .......................... August 26-30, 2010 ..................... August 5-9, 2010 ......................... June 2010 .................................... May 20-23, 2010.......................... May 6-11, 2010............................ March 2010.................................. January 23-25, 2010 .................... January 10-14, 2010 .................... December 2009 ........................... October 2009 ............................... September 2009 .......................... July 2009 ..................................... June 2009 .................................... April 2009 .................................... February 2009 .............................. December 2008 ............................ High January 2000 ................................ Low July 2006 ......................................

Neutral

Somewhat Negative

Very Negative

Don't Know Name/ Not Sure

27 26 22 25 27 25 23 27 23 21 21 23 23 23 22 24 23 23 23 25 25 22 25 26 26 24 28 26 23 24 22 25 22 24 26 26 28 25 27 25 28 27 29 26 28 29 32

22 19 21 18 22 22 22 17 19 17 17 16 20 25 19 21 24 23 25 22 19 21 21 22 22 25 20 18 17 16 20 19 22 21 18 19 19 22 20 19 20 18 19 16 19 18 22

20 20 18 20 20 19 17 19 16 17 17 17 17 18 21 19 18 21 23 18 20 19 19 18 18 19 18 18 19 19 20 19 18 20 18 18 19 17 18 19 14 17 17 16 15 14 15

20 24 22 20 18 18 19 19 19 23 22 23 23 19 19 19 18 18 19 19 22 25 20 17 21 16 23 23 23 26 22 24 26 24 22 24 24 21 23 26 22 22 20 21 19 17 13

1 1 2 3 2 1 1 2 1 2 2 1 1 1 2 1 1 2 2 2 2 1 1 2 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 1

20

30

23

15

10

2

7

25

27

22

17

2

Very Positive

Somewhat Positive

10 10 15 14 13 14 18 17 21 21 21 19 17 14 17 15 15 15 9 15 12 11 13 15 12 15 9 14 16 14 15 11 11 11 15 11 9 14 11 10 14 14 13 19 17 20 17

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. 1 The historical trend data for this item does not include every survey in which this item has been asked.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES January 2014

Study #14039 -- page 7 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Q6 (cont'd) The Republican Party1 January 2014 ............................... December 2013 ........................... October 25-28, 2013 .................... October 7-9, 2013 ........................ September 2013 .......................... May 30-June 2, 2013 ................... February 2013 ............................. January 2013 ............................... December 2012 ........................... October 2012+ ............................. September 26-30, 2012+ ............. August 2012+ .............................. July 2012+ ................................... June 2012 .................................... May 2012 ..................................... April 2012..................................... March 2012 .................................. January 2012 ............................... December 2011 ........................... November 2011 ........................... October 2011 ............................... August 2011................................. June 2011 .................................... May 2011 ..................................... April 2011..................................... January 2011 ............................... December 2010 .......................... November 2010 .......................... October 28-30, 2010+ .................. October 14-18, 2010+ .................. September 2010 .......................... August 26-30, 2010 ..................... August 5-9, 2010 ......................... June 2010 .................................... May 20-23, 2010 .......................... May 6-11, 2010 ............................ March 2010 .................................. January 23-25, 2010 .................... January 10-14, 2010 .................... December 2009 ........................... October 2009 ............................... September 2009 .......................... July 2009 ..................................... June 2009 .................................... April 2009..................................... February 2009 ............................. High December 2001 ........................... Low October 25-28, 2013 ....................

Neutral

Somewhat Negative

Very Negative

Don't Know Name/ Not Sure

19 20 16 17 21 24 21 20 21 21 24 24 23 21 23 22 24 23 21 21 22 24 22 24 24 27 27 23 22 23 23 23 18 24 23 22 25 25 23 23 19 23 19 19 22 19

28 22 24 21 27 26 24 24 23 20 18 18 22 23 23 23 23 24 23 23 21 21 24 22 24 24 23 24 24 25 25 25 28 26 26 26 24 27 27 27 27 27 29 29 25 24

22 26 23 24 23 18 20 24 18 18 18 16 18 18 19 19 19 19 23 18 18 23 23 21 22 21 17 20 18 19 21 22 24 23 21 22 20 18 24 24 23 22 21 23 22 25

25 25 30 29 21 23 26 25 27 25 25 29 25 26 24 24 24 25 25 26 26 23 21 23 22 19 20 19 23 23 22 21 22 19 19 20 23 20 18 19 23 21 20 21 22 22

1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 2 2 1 2 1 2 3 2 1 2 2 1 2 2 3 1 2 1 2 2 2 1 2 2 3 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 3

21

36

18

13

9

3

6

16

24

23

30

1

Very Positive

Somewhat Positive

5 6 6 7 7 8 8 6 9 15 14 12 11 10 9 11 8 8 6 9 11 8 8 8 7 7 11 11 12 8 8 7 6 6 10 8 6 7 7 5 6 5 9 6 7 7

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. 1 The historical trend data for this item does not include every survey in which this item has been asked.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES January 2014

Study #14039 -- page 8 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Q6 (cont'd)

Chris Christie January 2014 ............................... October 25-28, 2013 .................... May 30-June 2, 2013 .................... February 2013 .............................. August 2012+ ............................... June 2011 .....................................

Very Positive

Somewhat Positive

7 9 12 12 11 10

15 24 29 24 17 13

Neutral

Somewhat Negative

Very Negative

Don't Know Name/ Not Sure

28 24 22 20 21 19

18 10 8 10 10 7

11 7 4 2 9 7

21 26 25 32 32 44

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. 1 The historical trend data for this item does not include every survey in which this item has been asked.

SUMMARY TABLE OF IMAGES – BY D/S (POSITIVE – NEGATIVE) TOTAL TOTAL POSITIVE NEGATIVE Barack Obama ................................................... 42 44 The Democratic Party ........................................ 37 40 Chris Christie ..................................................... 22 29 The Republican Party......................................... 24 47

D/S -2 -4 -7 -23

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES January 2014 Q7

Study #14039 -- page 9 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

And, looking ahead, what word or short phrase would you use to describe how you feel about where America is headed in the next year? ** Positive words and phrases ...............................................

Right direction.................................................................. Hopeful ............................................................................ Improving ......................................................................... Moving forward ................................................................ Economic growth ............................................................. Optimistic ......................................................................... Positive (General) ........................................................... Slowly growing................................................................. Negative words and phrases ........................................ Downhill ........................................................................... Wrong track ..................................................................... No change/ stagnant ........................................................ Disaster/ hard times ......................................................... Declining economy/ jobs .................................................. Bankruptcy/ increased debt/ spending .............................. Parties undermining each other/ no compromise ............. Concerned ....................................................................... Obamacare will have negative consequences................. Nervous ........................................................................... Disappointed.................................................................... Worried ............................................................................ Trouble ............................................................................ Going nowhere while Obama is in office ......................... Civil unrest/ divided .......................................................... Politicians are out for themselves/ need to be replaced ... Neutral/ Mixed words and phrases ............................... Uncertain ......................................................................... Okay ................................................................................ Neutral (General) ............................................................

27 9 4 4 3 3 2 2 1 62 13 12 6 5 4 4 3 3 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 7 4 2 1

Other ............................................................................... None/ NA ......................................................................... Don't know ....................................................................... Refused ...........................................................................

2 1 4 -

** Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM B).

SUMMARY OF POSITIVE, NEGATIVE, AND NEUTRAL RESPONSES 1/14 1/13 1/12 1/11 Positive words and phrases .............. 27 33 32 35 Negative words and phrases ............. 62 58 46 47 Neutral words and phrases ............... 7 4 8 13

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES January 2014

JANUARY 2013 Positive words and phrases Improving/right direction ............................................................................ Hopeful ..................................................................................................... Economy improving................................................................................... Good leadership ........................................................................................ Negative words and phrases Downhill .................................................................................................... Wrong track............................................................................................... Economy declining/in recession ................................................................ Cautious/concerned .................................................................................. Debt .......................................................................................................... Bogged down by politics/government ........................................................ Uncertainty ................................................................................................ Nothing is changing................................................................................... Infighting ................................................................................................... In need of more jobs ................................................................................. Moving towards Communism .................................................................... Fiscal cliff .................................................................................................. We're not addressing our problems ........................................................... Bankruptcy ................................................................................................ Healthcare is threatened ........................................................................... Disappointed ............................................................................................. China/outsourcing ..................................................................................... Neutral/Mixed words and phrases Facing bigger challenges ahead ............................................................... Same ........................................................................................................

33 20 10 3 1 58 16 12 5 5 4 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 4 2 2

Other ......................................................................................................... Don't know/refused ...................................................................................

3 3

JANUARY 2012 Positive words and phrases Improving/right direction.......................................................... Hopeful ................................................................................... Economy improving ................................................................ Negative words and phrases Wrong track ............................................................................ Uncertainty ............................................................................. Economy declining.................................................................. Cautious ................................................................................. Facing bigger challenges ahead ............................................. Change ................................................................................... Debt ........................................................................................ Bogged down by politics/government ..................................... Create jobs ............................................................................. Infighting ................................................................................. Neutral/Mixed words and phrases Same ...................................................................................... Things are fine the way they are ............................................. Election outcome/depends on election.................................... Corporate/globalization ........................................................... Major turning point ..................................................................

32 23 7 2 46 23 7 5 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 8 4 1 1 1 1

Other ...................................................................................... Don't know/refused .................................................................

8 5

Q8

Study #14039 -- page 10 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

JANUARY 2011 Positive words and phrases Hopeful/optimistic/positive....................................................... Right direction ......................................................................... Improving/seeing progress ...................................................... Slowly improving/it's going to take time to see change............

35 14 12 3 3

Cautiously optimistic ............................................................... Economy is improving ............................................................. Negative words and phrases Wrong direction....................................................................... Downhill .................................................................................. Uncertain ................................................................................ Bad/negative ........................................................................... National debt/recession .......................................................... Bankrupt ................................................................................. Disaster .................................................................................. Economic uncertainty/economy not improving ........................ Unemployment/not enough jobs ............................................. Difficult/challenging ................................................................. Scary/worried .......................................................................... Concerned .............................................................................. Neutral/Mixed words and phrases Same/don't see things changing much.................................... We need help/need a lot of work/change ................................ Politicians need to work together to get things done ...............

2 1 47 11 9 6 4 4 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 13 7 3 3

Other (VOL) ............................................................................ Don't know/refused (VOL) .......................................................

4 1

And, which one or two of the following words would you say best describes the state of our nation today? RESPONSES RANKED BY HIGHEST PERCENT

Divided..................................................... Troubled .................................................. Deteriorating ............................................ Recovering .............................................. Broken ..................................................... Hopeful .................................................... Strong ...................................................... None of these (VOL) ............................... Other (VOL) ............................................ Not sure ...................................................

37 23 21 19 14 13 3 -

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES January 2014

Study #14039 -- page 11 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Now, thinking about this November’s elections… Q9 What is your preference for the outcome of this year's congressional elections -- (ROTATE) a Congress controlled by Republicans or a Congress controlled by Democrats?

Republican-controlled Congress .......... Democrat-controlled Congress ............. Not sure ................................................

1/14+ 43 45 12

12/13+ 44 42 14

10/2528/13+ 41 45 14

10/79/13+ 39 47 14

9/13+ 43 46 11

7/13+ 44 44 12

6/13+ 42 45 13

10/12+ 43 45 12

9/2630/12+ 43 47 10

8/12+ 42 47 11

7/12+ 45 46 9

6/12+ 44 45 11

5/12+ 43 44 13

4/12+ 44 46 10

3/12+ 41 46 13

1/12+ 41 47 12

12/11+ 43 45 12

11/11+ 43 46 11

10/11+ 41 45 14

8/11+ 47 41 12

6/11+ 44 44 12

10/10+ 44 46 10

9/10+ 44 44 12

8/2630/10+ 43 43 14

8/59/10+ 42 43 15

6/10+ 45 43 12

5/2023/10+ 44 43 13

5/611/10+ 44 44 12

3/10+ 42 45 13

1/2325/10+ 42 44 14

1/1014/10+ 41 41 18

12/09+ 41 43 16

10/09+ 38 46 16

9/09+ 40 43 17

7/09+ 39 46 15

4/09+ 39 48 13

11/08+ 36 48 16

10/08+ 36 49 15

9/08+ 37 50 13

8/08+ 36 47 17

7/08+ 36 49 15

6/08+ 33 52 15

4/08+ 34 49 17

3/08+ 35 49 16

11/07+ 37 46 17

9/07+ 35 47 18

10/06+ 37 52 11

9/06+ 39 48 13

7/06+ 38 48 14

6/06+ 38 49 13

4/06+ 39 45 16

3/06+ 37 50 13

1/06+ 38 47 15

12/05+ 38 46 16

11/05+ 37 48 15

10/05+ 39 48 13

7/05+ 40 45 15

5/05+ 40 47 13

10/04+ 43 44 13

9/04+ 42 46 12

6/04+ 42 44 14

5/04+ 41 44 15

3/04+ 42 45 13

1/04 42 43 15

12/13/03 42 42 16

10/02+ 43 42 15

9/02 42 42 16

7/02 43 41 16

6/02 42 41 17

1/02 44 40 16

12/01 42 40 18

12/99 40 44 16

10/99 39 41 20

7/99 39 43 18

6/99 42 41 17

4/99 41 40 19

3/99 37 43 20

10/98+ 41 43 16

9/98 40 39 21

7/98 41 40 19

6/98 39 40 21

2/98 41 37 22

1/98 40 42 18

12/97 41 37 22

9/97 41 39 20

7/97 45 39 16

4/97 44 38 18

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES January 2014

Study #14039 -- page 12 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Now, moving on… Q10 Which of the following best describes how you feel about how Barack Obama will do during the rest of his second term (ROTATE TOP TO BOTTOM, BOTOM TO TOP) -- optimistic and confident that he will do a good job, satisfied and hopeful that he will do a good job, uncertain and wondering whether he will do a good job, or pessimistic and worried that he will do a bad job?

Optimistic and confident ........ Satisfied and hopeful ............. Uncertain and wondering ....... Pessimistic and worried ......... Not sure .................................

1/14 16 24 26 33 1

7/13 17 27 22 34 -

1/131 24 27 21 27 1

12/122 30 23 17 30 -

10/12+ 27 23 13 37 -

9/12+ 23 27 11 39 -

4/12+ 20 29 16 34 1

8/11+ 23 23 14 40 -

1

In January 2013, the question was phrased, “Which of the following best describes how you feel about Barack Obama will do during his second term…“ 2

Prior December 2012, the question was phrased, “Which of the following best describes how you feel about Barack Obama being reelected as president…“ + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

Q11

Compared to when Barack Obama became President—do you think that the country is (ROTATE) – better off, worse off – or in about the same place?

Better off .............................................. Worse off .............................................. Same place .......................................... Not sure..............................................

9/261/14 30/12+ 31 37 39 40 29 23 1 -

9/1216/12+ 8/12+ 8/10 31 31 38 42 40 41 27 28 21 1 -

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

Q12

Would you say President Obama does or does not have a clear agenda on what he is proposing to do on major issues facing the country? ** Does have a clear agenda ................... Does not have a clear agenda ............ Mixed (VOL) ........................................ Not sure ............................................... ** Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM B).

51 43 2 4

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES January 2014

Study #14039 -- page 13 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Now, thinking about something slightly different… Q13 As President Obama prepares to deliver his State of the Union address, there are many important issues facing the country. I'm going to list some of these issues. Recognizing that all these issues may be important but that not every single one can be a top priority for the President and Congress, for each one please tell me whether you think it should be an absolute priority for the Obama administration and THIS year's Congress, it is something that can be delayed until next year, or something that you think the Obama administration and Congress should not pursue. THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY ABSOLUTE PRIORITY FOR THIS YEAR

Absolute Priority For This Year Creating jobs* ............................................................................................... 91 Reducing the federal budget deficit January 2014** ............................................................................................. 74 66 January 2006 ................................................................................................ Ensuring all children have access to pre-school education** .................. Addressing Iran's nuclear program January 2014** ............................................................................................. January 2006 ................................................................................................ Closing corporate tax loopholes* ................................................................ Withdrawing almost all combat troops from Afghanistan* ....................... Reforming Social Security and Medicare.................................................... Fix and keep the new health care law ......................................................... Increasing the minimum wage** .................................................................. Using federal aid dollars to encourage colleges to offer affordable tuition*............................................................................................................ Reforming the nation’s intelligence system so there is greater oversight and limits placed upon what type of information can be collected in this country* ............................................................................. Reducing income inequality between the rich and poor ........................... Passing new immigration legislation January 2014 ................................................................................................ January 2006 ................................................................................................ Enacting pension and entitlement reform January 2014** ............................................................................................. January 2006 ................................................................................................ Addressing the issue of climate change** ..................................................

Can Be Delayed Until Next Year 4

Should Not Be Pursued 4

Not Sure -

21 26

3 4

2 4

63

22

14

1

60 64 59 57 56 54 51

23 22 30 30 26 15 30

12 11 8 10 16 27 18

5 3 3 3 2 4 1

49

32

19

-

49 45

36 26

13 27

2 2

39 47

42 41

17 9

2 3

38 43 27

44 47 41

12 7 29

6 3 3

* Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM A). ** Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM B).

Now, thinking about just one of these issues… Q14 When it comes to reducing income inequality between the rich and poor do you want to see the government (ROTATE TOP TO BOTTOM, BOTOM TO TOP) -- more involved than it currently is, as involved as it currently is, less involved than it currently is, or not involved at all -- in this issue? Government more involved ...... As involved as is ...................... Government less involved ........ Not involved ............................. Not sure ...................................

37 14 21 25 3

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES January 2014

Study #14039 -- page 14 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Now, switching topics… Q15a Do you think President Obama (ROTATE) -- will be too inflexible in dealing with Republicans in Congress, will be too quick to give in to Republicans in Congress, -- or will he strike the right balance in dealing with Republicans in Congress?

Too inflexible ................................ Too quick to give in ...................... Right balance ............................... Not sure........................................

Barack Obama/ Republican Congress 1/14* 1/11 39 26 13 15 41 55 7 4

George Bush/ Democratic Congress 1/071 50 7 37 6

Bill Clinton/ Republican Congress 1/952 17 20 55 8

* Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM A). 1

In January 2007, the question was stated “Do you think President Bush will be too inflexible in dealing with the Democratic Congress, will be too quick to give in to the Democratic Congress, or will strike the right balance in dealing with the Democratic Congress?” 2

In January 1995, the question was stated “Do you think President Clinton will be too inflexible in dealing with the Republican Congress, will be too quick to give in to the Republican Congress, or will strike the right balance in dealing with the Republican Congress?”

Q15b

Do you think Republicans in Congress (ROTATE) -- will be too inflexible in dealing with President Obama, will be too quick to give in to President Obama, -- or will they strike the right balance in dealing with President Obama?

Too inflexible ............................. Too quick to give in ................... Right balance ............................ Not sure.....................................

Republican Congress/ Barack Obama 1/14** 7/131 1/11 51 56 55 17 18 8 25 19 32 7 7 5

Democratic Congress/ George Bush 1/072 38 8 48 6

Republican Congress/ Bill Clinton 1/953 47 4 43 6

** Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM B). 1

In July 2013, the question was stated “Do you think Republicans in Congress are too inflexible in dealing with President Obama, are too quick to give in to President Obama, or are they strike striking the right balance in dealing with President Obama?”

2

In January 2007, the question was stated “Do you think the Democratic Congress will be too inflexible in dealing with President Bush, will be too quick to give in to the Democratic Congress, or will strike the right balance in dealing with President Bush?”

3

In January 1995, the question was stated “Do you think the Democratic Congress will be too inflexible in dealing with the President Clinton, will be too quick to give in to the Republican Congress, or will strike the right balance in dealing with President Clinton?”

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES January 2014

Study #14039 -- page 15 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Now, turning to the economy... Q16 How satisfied are you with the state of the U.S. economy today -- are you (ROTATE TO BOTTOM/BOTTOM TO TOP) very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied with the state of the economy?

Very satisfied .......................... Somewhat satisfied ................ Somewhat dissatisfied ............ Very dissatisfied ..................... Not sure ..................................

1/14 2 26 37 34 1

High

Low

10/09 2 17 31 49 1

9/98 31 55 10 3 1

2/09 1 6 22 70 1

6/13 4 32 35 29 -

1/13 3 24 32 40 1

10/10+ 3 17 31 48 1

6/10+ 2 16 34 48 -

5/610/10 2 17 36 45 -

9/09 2 21 35 41 1

7/09 2 11 31 56 -

6/09 1 11 33 54 1

4/09 2 16 30 52 -

2/09 1 6 22 70 1

1/09 2 8 25 65 -

4/08+ 2 12 28 58 -

12/07 5 27 28 40 -

9/06+ 10 33 32 25 -

1/04 6 45 30 18 1

12/02 3 33 38 25 1

10/02+ 4 27 37 31 1

9/02 2 32 41 24 1

7/02 4 42 39 14 1

4/02 6 44 33 15 2

1/02 4 43 39 13 1

12/01 5 47 32 15 1

1/01 18 57 18 6 1

4/00+ 29 52 12 6 1

10/99 23 53 17 7 -

12/98 26 54 13 6 1

10/98+ 27 55 12 5 1

9/98 31 55 10 3 1

12/97 18 52 20 8 2

9/97 13 52 23 10 2

6/97 10 51 27 10 2

3/97 13 45 27 13 2

12/96 9 51 27 11 2

9/96 7 49 30 12 2

6/96 5 43 32 18 2

5/96+ 4 43 38 14 1

3/96 3 39 37 19 2

1/96 3 37 38 19 3

7/95 4 39 35 21 1

4/95 4 40 37 18 1

12/94 4 41 38 15 2

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

1/10 1 15 33 50 1

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES January 2014 Q17

Study #14039 -- page 16 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

When it comes to your own financial situation today -- are you (ROTATE TO BOTTOM/BOTTOM TO TOP) very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?

Very satisfied.............................. Somewhat satisfied .................... Somewhat dissatisfied ............... Very dissatisfied ......................... Not sure......................................

1/14 16 45 22 17 -

9/98 26 52 14 7 1

12/13 16 47 20 17 -

1/13 12 43 23 22 1

1/12 17 47 21 14 1

1/09 15 41 22 22 -

High 9/98 26 52 14 7 1

Low 1/09 15 41 22 22 -

4/08+ 17 42 20 21 -

12/07 21 46 17 16 -

1/04 19 50 18 13 1

12/02 17 44 21 17 1

10/02+ 18 40 23 19 -

7/02 16 47 24 13 -

1/02 19 50 19 12 -

1/01 21 50 17 11 1

4/00+ 25 51 13 10 1

10/99 21 53 14 11 1

9/99 22 50 18 10 -

12/98 25 51 13 10 1

12/97 20 51 16 12 1

9/97 19 49 17 14 1

6/97 16 50 20 13 1

3/97 17 48 20 14 1

12/96 16 50 21 12 1

12/94 13 48 24 14 1

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

Now, thinking about something else for a moment…. Q18 I’m going to mention a number of groups of people and for each one, please tell me how well the economy works for that type of person. When it comes to (READ ITEM) – does the economy work very well, fairly well, just somewhat well, not that well, or not well at all? (RANDOMIZE) THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY VERY OR FAIRLY WELL

The wealthy ** .................... Men ..................................... You and your family ......... Women ............................... The middle class ............... Those living in poverty *...

TOTAL Very/Fairly Well 81 53 37 33 22 13

* Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM A). ** Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM B).

Very Well 68 19 10 8 4 5

Fairly Well 13 34 27 25 18 8

Somewhat Well 10 31 40 39 37 13

Not That Well 3 8 13 18 24 24

Not Well at All 3 3 9 7 16 48

Not Sure 3 5 1 3 1 2

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES January 2014

Study #14039 -- page 17 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Now as you may know, Barack Obama’s health care plan was passed by Congress and signed into law in 2010… Q19 From what you have heard about the new health care law, do you think it is (ROTATE) – a good idea or a bad idea? If you do not have an opinion either way, please just say so. (If Good idea/Bad idea, ask:) And, do you feel that way strongly, or not so strongly?

Total Good idea .............. Strongly ........................... Not so strongly ................ Total Bad idea ................ Not so strongly ............... Strongly ........................... Do not have an opinion .. Not sure ...........................

1/14 34 27 7 48 6 42 17 1

12/13 34 27 7 50 7 43 16 -

10/2528/13 37 28 9 47 4 43 14 2

10/79/13 38 31 7 43 5 38 17 2

9/13 31 24 7 44 6 38 24 1

7/13 34 26 8 47 6 41 18 1

6/13 37 28 9 49 6 43 13 1

Total Good idea .............. Strongly ........................... Not so strongly ................ Total Bad idea ................ Not so strongly ............... Strongly ........................... Do not have an opinion .. Not sure ...........................

7/12+ 40 31 9 44 5 39 15 1

6/12 35 25 10 41 6 35 22 2

4/12 36 27 9 45 6 39 17 2

12/11 34 23 11 41 8 33 24 1

1/11 39 29 10 39 5 34 21 1

10/1418/10+ 36 25 11 46 5 41 16 2

6/10+ 38 28 10 46 7 39 15 1

5/610/101 38 28 10 44 6 38 17 1

Good idea ......................... Bad idea ........................... Do not have an opinion .. Not sure ...........................

3/10 36 48 15 1

1/2325/10 31 46 22 1

1/1014/10 33 46 18 3

12/09 32 47 17 4

10/09 38 42 16 4

9/09 39 41 17 3

8/09 36 42 17 5

7/09 36 42 17 5

1

Prior to May 2010, the question did not ask “And, do you feel that way strongly, or not so strongly?” + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

 

6/09 33 32 30 5

4/09 33 26 34 7

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES January 2014

Study #14039 -- page 18 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Now, thinking about another topic… Q20 If a law passed in your state that allowed adults to purchase small quantities of marijuana for their own personal use from regulated, state-licensed businesses would you (ROTATE TOP TO BOTTOM/BOTTOM TO TOP) -- actively support such a law, be in favor but not actively support it, be opposed to it but not actively try to have it overturned, or be opposed to such a law and actively work to overturn it? Actively support ............................................................ Favor but not actively support it .................................... Opposed but not actively try to have it overturned ........ Opposed and actively work to overturn it ...................... Not sure ........................................................................

24 31 24 19 2

And, switching topics again… Q21 Have you seen or heard a lot, some, or nothing at all about New Jersey Governor Chris Christie's staff being involved in creating traffic jams around the busy George Washington Bridge for political reasons?

A lot ............................................................................. Some ........................................................................... Nothing at all ............................................................... Not sure ....................................................................... 1

Q22

1/2225/14 48 31 20 1

1/1214/141 39 32 30 -

Trend data from a January 12-14, 2014 survey conducted by NBC News/Marist

Governor Christie has said he had nothing to do with creating these traffic jams around the bridge and that it was the poor judgment of staff whom he has fired. Do you think Governor Christie is (ROTATE) -- mostly telling the truth or mostly not telling the truth? 1/2225/14 Mostly telling the truth................................................. 42 Mostly not telling the truth ........................................... 44 Not sure ...................................................................... 14 1

1/121 14/14 44 33 23

Trend data from a January 12-14, 2014 survey conducted by NBC News/Marist

Now, thinking about something else… QX1 When it comes to Edward Snowden, the former government contractor who released information about how government agencies collect intelligence data to media outlets, do you support or oppose what he did? If you do not have an opinion either way, please just say so.^ Support what Snowden did ........................................... 23 Oppose what Snowden did ........................................... 37 Do not have opinion ...................................................... 39 Not sure ........................................................................ 1 ^ Asked of 517 respondents 1/23-1/25

Q23-Q26 Held for later release

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES January 2014

Study #14039 -- page 19 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

I am going to ask you a few questions for statistical purposes only. QF1a Are you currently registered to vote [LANDLINE: at this address; CELL: in (state from Q1x)]? Registered ......................................... Not registered .................................... Not sure.............................................

84 16 -

QF1b/c A lot of people are unable to get out and vote for many reasons. Did you happen to vote in last November's election for president? (IF “YES,” ASK:) For whom did you vote––Barack Obama, Mitt Romney, or someone else?+ Total Yes, Voted Voted for Barack Obama ............................... Voted for Mitt Romney ................................... Voted for someone else ................................. Not sure ......................................................... No, Did Not Vote ............................................ Not sure .........................................................

44 33 7 5 11 -

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

QF2

Are you currently employed? (IF "CURRENTLY EMPLOYED," ASK:) What type of work do you do?(RECORD UNDER "6--OTHER.") (IF "NOT CURRENTLY EMPLOYED," ASK:) Are you a student, a stay-at-home mom or dad, retired, or unemployed and looking for work? Currently Employed Professional, manager ............................... White-collar worker .................................... Blue-collar worker ...................................... Farmer, rancher ......................................... Not Currently Employed Student ...................................................... Stay at home mom/dad .............................. Retired ....................................................... Unemployed, looking for work .................... Other .......................................................... Not sure .....................................................

QF3

60 24 20 16 39 5 5 23 6 1

What is the last grade that you completed in school? (DO NOT READ CHOICES.) Grade school ....................................................... Some high school ................................................ High school graduate .......................................... Some college, no degree..................................... Vocational training/2-year college ....................... 4-year college/bachelor's degree......................... Some postgraduate work, no degree .................. 2-3 years postgraduate work/master's degree..... Doctoral/law degree ............................................ Not sure/refused ..................................................

1 6 23 19 12 22 2 11 4 -

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES January 2014 QF4a

Study #14039 -- page 20 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a Democrat, a Republican, an independent, or something else? (IF "DEMOCRAT" OR "REPUBLICAN," ASK:) Would you call yourself a strong (Democrat/Republican) or not a very strong (Democrat/Republican)? (IF "NOT SURE," CODE AS "NOT VERY STRONG DEMOCRAT/REPUBLICAN.")(IF "INDEPENDENT," ASK:) Do you think of yourself as closer to the Republican Party, closer to the Democratic Party, or do you think of yourself as strictly independent? (IF "NOT SURE," CODE AS "STRICTLY INDEPENDENT.") Strong Democrat ............................. Not very strong Democrat ............... Independent/lean Democrat ............ Strictly Independent......................... Independent/lean Republican .......... Not very strong Republican ............. Strong Republican ........................... Other (VOL) ..................................... Not sure...........................................

18 11 12 20 15 7 12 3 2

Now, thinking about something else… QF4b Do you consider yourself a supporter of the Tea Party Movement?

Yes .............................. No ................................ Depends (VOL) ........... Not sure .......................

12/13+ 24 67 2 7

10/2528/13+ 22 70 3 5

10/79/13+ 20 70 2 8

9/13+ 21 67 3 9

7/13+ 21 67 3 9

6/13+ 24 65 3 8

2/13+ 20 64 4 12

1/13+ 23 63 4 10

10/12+ 24 64 3 9

9/2630/12+ 25 66 2 7

9/1216/12+ 22 65 4 9

8/12+ 26 63 3 8

7/12+ 25 65 2 7

6/12+ 24 64 3 9

5/12+ 30 60 2 8

4/12+ 25 64 2 9

3/12+ 28 63 2 7

1/12+ 27 66 2 5

12/11+ 27 65 3 5

11/11+ 25 69 2 4

10/11+ 26 64 3 7

8/11+ 27 62 4 7

6/11+ 26 63 3 8

5/11+ 26 62 2 10

4/11+ 25 67 3 5

2/11+ 29 61 3 7

1/11+ 27 62 3 8

12/10+ 29 61 3 7

11/10+ 30 59 4 7

10/2830/10+ 28 61 3 8

10/1418/10+ 30 59 2 10

9/10+ 28 61 3 8

1/14+ 24 65 3 8

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES January 2014 QF5

Thinking about your general approach to issues, do you consider yourself to be liberal, moderate, or conservative? (IF "LIBERAL" OR "CONSERVATIVE," ASK:) Do you consider yourself to be very (liberal/conservative) or somewhat (liberal/conservative)? Very liberal ........................................ Somewhat liberal .............................. Moderate........................................... Somewhat conservative .................... Very conservative ............................. Not sure ............................................

QF6

Study #14039 -- page 21 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

10 15 37 20 15 2

If you added together the yearly income of all the members of your family who were living at home last year, would the total be less than ten thousand dollars, between ten thousand dollars and twenty thousand dollars, between twenty thousand dollars and thirty thousand dollars, between thirty thousand dollars and forty thousand dollars, between forty thousand dollars and fifty thousand dollars, between fifty thousand dollars and seventy-five thousand dollars, between seventy-five thousand dollars and one hundred thousand dollars, or would the total be more than that? Less than $10,000 .................................... Between $10,000 and $20,000 ................. Between $20,000 and $30,000 ................. Between $30,000 and $40,000 ................. Between $40,000 and $50,000 ................. Between $50,000 and $75,000 ................. Between $75,000 and $100,000 ............... More than $100,000 .................................. Not sure/refused ......................................

6 9 8 8 10 18 12 22 7